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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCT 12-01; Miles Pacific Subdivision; Tentative Map (CT) (9)GREENHOUSE GAS ASSESSMENT Miles Tentative Map Residential Development Carlsbad, CA Project Proponent: Miles Pacific Limited Partnership 2373 Pio Pico Drive Carlsbad, CA 92008 Prepared by: LJn~lne. 446 Crestcourt Lane Fallbrook, CA 92028 760-473-1253 January 24, 2013 Project: 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study TABLE OF CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS .............................................................................................................................................. II LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................................................... Ill LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................................................................... 111 APPENDIX ............................................................................................................................................................. 111 LIST OF ACRONYMS .............................................................................................................................................. IV EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................................... V 1.0 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 PURPOSEOFTHISSTUDY .................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 PROJECT LOCATION ......................................................................................................................................... 1 1.3 PROJECT SETIING ............................................................................................................................................ 1 2.0 EXISTING ENVIRONMENTALSETIING ........................................................................................................... 4 2.1 UNDERSTANDING GREENHOUSE GASSES .............................................................................................................. 4 2.2 EXISTING SETIING .......................................................................................................................................... .4 2.3 CLIMATE AND METEOROLOGY .......................................................................................................................... .4 3.0 CLIMATE CHANGE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT .......................................................................................... 6 3.1 AB 1493 (PAVLEY) STANDARDS ........................................................................................................................ 6 3.2 REGULATORY STANDARDS (AsSEMBLY BILL 32) .................................................................................................... 6 3.3 REGULATORY STANDARDS (SENATE BILL 97) ........................................................................................................ 7 3.4 AB 1493 (PAVLEY STANDARDS) ........................................................................................................................ 8 3.S ENERGY INDEPENDENCE AND SECURITY ACT OF 2007 ............................................................................................ 8 3.6 EXECUTIVE ORDER S-01-07 ............................................................................................................................. 8 3. 7 CALIFORNIA ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY ACT (CEQA) SIGNIFICANCE THRESHOLDS ....................................................... 8 3.8 GREENHOUSE GAS THRESHOLDS OF SiGNIFICANCE ............................................................................................... 10 4.0 METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................................................................... 11 4.1 CONSTRUCTION C02E EMISSIONS CALCULATION METHODOLOGY ........................................................................... ll 4.2 OPERATIONAl VEHICULAR EMISSIONS CALCULATION METHODOlOGY ..................................................................... 12 4.3 ELECTRICITY USAGE CALCULATION METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................. 12 4.4 NATURAL GAS USAGE CALCULATION METHODOLOGY .......................................................................................... 13 4.S SOLID WASTE EMISSIONS CALCULATION METHODOLOGY ..................................................................................... 13 4.6 WATER USE EMISSION CALCULATION METHODOLOGY ......................................................................................... 14 5.0 FINDINGS .................................................................................................................................................... 15 S.1 PROJECT RELATED CONSTRUCTION EMISSIONS .................................................................................................... 15 5.2 PROJECT RELATED OPERATION VEHICULAR EMISSIONS ......................................................................................... 15 5.3 PROJECT RELATED ELECTRICITY UsE .................................................................................................................. 16 5.4 PROJECT RELATED NATURAL GAS USAGE ........................................................................................................... 16 5.5 PROJECT RELATED SOLID WASTE EMISSIONS GAS USAGE ..................................................................................... 17 5.6 PROJECT RELATED WATER USAGE .................................................................................................................... 17 5. 7 PROJECT CUMULATIVE TOTALS ........................................................................................................................ 18 6.0 CERTIFICATIONS .......................................................................................................................................... 19 ii Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study List of Figures FIGURE 1-A: PROJECT VICINITY MAP ••••••••••.•.•••..•.•.•••••••••.•••••••.••••.•.•.•....•.•.....•........•....•.....•.•••.••.•.•••••••••••••••••••••••.• 2 FIGURE 1-B: PROJECT SITE PLAN •.•..•.•.....•.•.••.•.••..•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••.•••••••••••••• 3 List of Tables TABLE 3.1: ADOPTED DISCRETIONARY MEASURES •....••••......•...•.•.••.•.•.•..•......••.••.•..•.•••••••••••••••••.••••••••••••••••..•..••••. 10 TABLE 4.1: EXPECTED CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT .•.•.•••••.•.••••••••••.•.••••••••.•..••••••••••.•...•••..•••••.•••••••••••••••••••••.•••••• ll TABLE 4.2: AVERAGE WASTE BREAKDOWN AND EMISSION RATES ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••..••.•.......••.••.••••••••••••• 14 TABLE 5.1: EXPECTED CONSTRUCTION EMISSIONS SUMMARY ..•........•..•..••.••.•....••.•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••..••...•••••• 15 TABLE 5.2: TOTAL GHG EMISSIONS FACTORS (ELECTRICITY USAGE) .•..•...•.•...•.•.••••.••.••....•..•.•••••.•••••••••••••••••••••••••• 16 TABLE 5.3: TOTAL GHG EMISSIONS FACTORS (NATURAL GAS USAGE) •....•.••....•..•.•..........••...•••••••..•••••••••••••••.••••••• 16 TABLE 5.4: TOTAL GHG EMISSIONS FACTORS (SOLID WASTE) ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••..•..•..•••••••••••••••••••••• 17 TABLE 5.5: TOTAL GHG EMISSIONS FACTORS (ELECTRICITY FROM WATER USAGE) .••.•••...•...•••.....•••••••••••••••••••••••• 18 TABLE 5.6: EXPECTED C02E EMISSIONS SUMMARY •••.••.•.•....•....••..•.••.•••••••..•.••••••••....••.........•.....•.••••••••••••••••••••••• 18 Appendix URBEMIS 2007 .••••.•.••••••.•.•.•.•••••.•..•••••••.••.••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••.••••••••.••.•..•..•.......•.•.••••••••••••••• 20 EMFAC20112020 INPUT/OUTPUT •••••••••••.•.•.•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••.•..•.•••...•••••••••••••••••••••• 24 iii Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study UST OF ACRONYMS Assembly Bill 32 (AB32) Business as Usual (BAU) California Air Pollution Control Officers Association's (CAPCOA) California Air Resource Board (CARB) California Climate Action Registry General Reporting Protocol Version 3.1 (CCARGRPV3.1) California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Carbon Dioxide (C02) Cubic Yards (CY) Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Green House Gas (GHG) International Residential Code (IRC) Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) Methane (CH4) Nitrous Oxide (N20) San Diego Air Basin (SDAB) San Diego Air Pollution Control District (SDAPCD) Senate Bill 97 (SB97) Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) iv Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This analysis has been completed in order to quantify Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions from the project site and was prepared according to guidelines established within the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 -Assembly Bill 32 (AB32), Senate Bill 97 (SB97), and California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Greenhouse Gasses analyzed in this study are Carbon Dioxide (C02), Methane (CH4), and Nitrous Oxide (N20). To simplify greenhouse gas calculations, both CH4 and N20 are converted to equivalent amounts of C02 and are identified as C02e. The project proposes the construction of a 17 unit residential development within a 5.4 acre site. All phases (i.e. grading, paving and construction) of the proposed Project are anticipated to start in May 2013 and could be completed by the end of the year. The proposed project will emit GHGs directly through the burning of carbon-based fuels such as gasoline and natural gas as well as indirectly through usage of electricity, water and from the anaerobic bacterial breakdown of organic solid waste. The proposed project would only generate approximately 411.19 Metric Tons of C02e each year under business as usual, which is below the strictest screening thresholds under the California Air Pollution Control Officers Association's (CAPCOA) recommendations of 900 Metric Ton per year. Given this no impacts or remedial mitigation measures would be required. Regulatory measures such as the AB 1493 Pavley rules and California's Low Carbon Fuel Standards will further reduce these emissions as the programs develop further and would be independent of the project applicant. Therefore, the project conforms to the goals of AB 32 and would not result in any direct or cumulative impacts. v Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study 1.0 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Purpose of this Study The purpose of this Green House Gas Assessment (GHG) is to show conformance to the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 -Assembly Bill 32 (AB32) and Senate Bill 97 (SB97). AB32 requires that by 2020 the state's greenhouse gas emissions be reduced to 1990 levels and SB97 a "companion" bill directed amendments to the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) statute to specifically establish that GHG emissions and their impacts are appropriate subjects for CEQA analysis. Should impacts be determined, the intent of this study would be to recommend suitable design measures to bring the project to a level considered less than significant. 1. 2 Project Location The proposed project is located within the City of carlsbad, CA. More specifically, the project site is located west of Pia Pica Drive, north of Las Flores Drive, east and adjacent to Interstate 5 in the City of carlsbad CA. Access to the project site is from Pia Pica Drive via Las Flores Drive. A general project vicinity map is shown in Figure 1-A on the following page. 1.3 Project Setting The proposed project consists of 17 single-family residences. The existing site conditions are characterized as disturbed land that is currently utilized as a nursery. Residential uses exist adjacent to the site to the north, south and east. Interstate 5 is located along the western boundary of the site. A project site plan is shown in Figure 1-B on Page 3 of this report. 1 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 Figure 1-A: Project Vicinity Map ''~:-J·P,~tt-:4 'comreun,..,.-P••• ~' ,.-1' 'f'~ ~ ... ,, ~~m~ c,~~·~·,~;, Source: Google Maps, 11/12 2 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study Figure 1-B: Project Site Plan 3 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study 2.0 EXISTING ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING 2.1 Understanding Greenhouse Gasses Greenhouse gases such as water vapor and carbon dioxide are abundant in the earth's atmosphere. These gases are called "Greenhouse Gases" because they absorb and emit thermal infrared radiation which acts like an insulator to the planet. Without these gases, the earth ambient temperature would either be extremely hot during the day or blistering cold at night. However, because these gases can both absorb and emit heat, the earth's temperature does not sway too far in either direction. Over the years as human activities require the use of burning fossil fuels stored carbon is released into the air in the form of C02 and to a much lesser extent CO. Additionally, over the years scientist have measured this rise in carbon Dioxide and fear that it may be heating the planet too. Additionally, it is thought that other greenhouse gases such as Methane and Nitrous Oxide are to blame. Greenhouse Gasses of concern as analyzed in this study are carbon Dioxide (C02), Methane (CH4), and Nitrous Oxide (N20). To simply greenhouse gas calculations, both CH4 and N20 can be converted to an equivalent amount of C02 or C02e. C02e is calculated by multiplying the calculated levels of CH4 and N20 by a Global Warming Potential (GWP). The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency publishes GWPs for various GHGs and reports that the GWP for CH4 and N20 is 21 and 310, respectively. 2.2 Existing Setting The Project site lies within a mostly disturbed flat lot with agricultural uses. Land uses surrounding the project site is residential. The average elevations over the site ranges from between 85 to 100-feet above mean sea level. 2.3 Climate and Meteorology Climate within the San Diego Air Basin (SDAB) area often varies dramatically over short geographical distances with cooler temperatures on the western cost gradually warming to the east as prevailing winds from the west heats up. Most of southern california is dominated by high-pressure systems for much of the year, which keeps carlsbad mostly sunny and warm. Typically, during the winter months, the high pressure system drops to the south and brings cooler, moister weather from the north. 4 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study It is common for inversion layers to develop within high-pressure areas, which mostly define pressure patterns over the SDAB. These inversions are caused when a thin layer of the atmosphere increases in temperature with height. An inversion acts like a lid preventing vertical mixing of air through convective overturning. Meteorological trends within the carlsbad area generally experience daytime highs ranging between 660f in the winter to approximately 79°F in the summer with August usually being the hottest month. Median temperatures range from approximately ssoF in the winter to approximately 72°F in the summer. The average humidity is approximately 66% in the winter and about 73% in the summer (Source: http://www.city-data.com/city/carlsbad- california.html). carlsbad usually receives approximately 10.4-inches of rain per year with February being the wettest month (Source: http://www.weather.com /weather/wxclimatology/monthly/graph/USCA0182). 5 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 MilesTM GHG Study 3.0 CLIMATE CHANGE REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT 3.1 AB 1493 (Pavley) Standards Assembly Bill 1493 was California's first bill which was approved by the Governor in 2002 and was designed to reduce greenhouse gases within the state of California. It required the State Board do develop and adopt motor vehicle regulations to cost effectively reduce greenhouse gasses by January 1, 2005 and start enforcing them a year later. Furthermore, the state board shall develop and adopt regulations that achieve the maximum feasible and cost-effective reduction of greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles. 3.2 Regulatory Standards (Assembly Bill 32) The Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 (AB 32), requires that by 2020 the State's greenhouse gas emissions be reduced to 1990 levels or roughly a 28.3% reduction. Significance thresholds have not been adopted but are currently being discussed. AB 32 is specific as to when thresholds shall be defined. The pertinent Sections are referenced within Part 4 of AB 32 Titled Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reductions are shown below: Section 38560.5 (b) states: On or before January 1, 2010, the state board shall adopt regulations to implement the measures identified on the list published pursuant to subdivision (a). Section 38562 states: (A) On or before January 1, 2011, the state board shall adopt greenhouse gas emission limits and emission reduction measures by regulation to achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gas emissions in furtherance of achieving the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit, to become operative beginning on January 1, 2012. (B) In adopting regulations pursuant to this Section and Part 5 (commencing with Section (38570}, to the extent feasible and in furtherance of achieving the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit, the state board shall do all of the following: 1. Design the regulations, including distribution of emissions allowances where appropriate, in a manner that is equitable, seeks to minimize costs and maximize the total benefits to california, and encourages early action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 2. Ensure that activities undertaken to comply with the regulations do not disproportionately impact low-income communities. 6 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 MilesTM GHG Study 3. Ensure that entities that have voluntarily reduced their greenhouse gas emissions prior to the implementation of this Section receive appropriate credit for early voluntary reductions. 4. Ensure that activities undertaken pursuant to the regulations complement, and do not interfere with, efforts to achieve and maintain federal and state ambient air quality standards and to reduce toxic air contaminant emissions. 5. Consider cost-effectiveness of these regulations. 6. Consider overall societal benefits, including reductions in other air pollutants, diversification of energy sources, and other benefits to the economy, environment, and public health. 7. Minimize the administrative burden of implementing and complying with these regulations. 8. Minimize leakage. 9. Consider the significance of the contribution of each source or category of sources to statewide emissions of greenhouse gases. (C) In furtherance of achieving the statewide greenhouse gas emissions limit, by January 1, 2011, the state board may adopt a regulation that establishes a system of market-based declining annual aggregate emission limits for sources or categories of sources that emit greenhouse gas emissions, applicable from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2020, inclusive, that the state board determines will achieve the maximum technologically feasible and cost-effective reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, in the aggregate, from those sources or categories of sources. (D) Any regulation adopted by the state board pursuant to this part or Part 5 (commencing with Section 38570) shall ensure all of the following: 1. The greenhouse gas emission reductions achieved are rea~ permanent, quantifiable, verifiable, and enforceable by the state board 2. For regulations pursuant to Part 5 (commencing with Section 38570), the reduction is in addition to any greenhouse gas emission reduction otherwise required by law or regulation, and any other greenhouse gas emission reduction that otherwise would occur. 3. If applicable, the greenhouse gas emission reduction occurs over the same time period and is equivalent in amount to any direct emission reduction required pursuant to this division. 3.3 Regulatory Standards (Senate Bill 97) SB 97 requires the Office of Planning and Research (OPR) to prepare and transmit to the Resources Agency, guidelines and directed amendments to the CEQA statute specifically for the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions or the effects of greenhouse gas emissions. 7 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 MilesTM GHG Study ___________________________ __. 3.4 AB 1493 (Pavley Standards) AB 1493 regulations are similar to CAFE Standards however are expected to produce a Greenhouse Gas Benefit greater to that of the CAFE Standard and would be expected to double the amount of GHGs saved under CAFE. The Pavley rules or also referred to as california Standards are designed to regulate GHG emissions while the federal standards are aimed at reducing the nation's fuel consumption. Under Pavley starting with vehicles produced in 2009, manufactures have the flexibility in meeting california standards through a combination of reducing tailpipe emissions of carbon Dioxide, Nitrous Oxide, Methane and hydrofluorocarbons from vehicle air conditions systems. Furthermore, the california standards are estimated to increase fuel efficiency to 43 miles per gallon by 2020. The 2020 reductions are based on a more stringent emission limit than the current California Standards, Called the Pavley 2 Rule, as set forth in the california Climate Action Plan and committed to by the ARV in its Early Action Measures under AB32. 3.5 Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (P.L. 110-140, H.R. 6) is an energy policy law adopted by congress which consists mainly of provisions designed to increase energy efficiency and the availability of renewable energy. The law will require automakers to boost fleet wide gas mileage averages from the current 25 mpg to 35 mpg by 2020, which will reduce energy needs by 28.5%. This fleet wide average is known as the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standard. 3.6 Executive Order S-01-07 Executive Order 5-01-07 was signed by Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger in January 2007 and is effectively known as the Low carbon Fuel Standard or LCFS. The executive order seeks to reduce the carbon intensity of california's passenger vehicle fuels by at least 10% by 2020. The LCFS will require fuel providers in california to ensure that the mix of fuel they sell into the California market meet, on average, a declining standard for GHG emissions measured in C02e grams per unit of fuel energy sold. 3.7 california Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Significance Thresholds As directed by SB 97, the Natural Resources Agency adopted Amendments to Title 14 Division 6 Chapter 3 CEQA Guidelines for greenhouse gas emissions on December 30, 2009. On February 16, 2010, the Office of Administrative Law approved the Amendments, and 8 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study filed them with the Secretary of State for inclusion in the california Code of Regulations. The amendments became effective on March 18, 2010. The pertinent Sections are shown below: Section 15064.4 -Determining the Significance of Impacts from Greenhouse Gas (A) The determination of the significance of greenhouse gas emissions calls for a careful judgment by the lead agency consistent with the provisions in Section 15064. A lead agency should make a good-faith effort, based to the extent possible on scientific and factual data, to describe, calculate or estimate the amount of greenhouse gas emissions resulting from a project A lead agency shall have discretion to determine, in the context of a particular project, whether to: 1. Use a model or methodology to quantify greenhouse gas emissions resulting from a project, and which model or methodology to use. The lead agency has discretion to select the model or methodology it considers most appropriate provided it supports its decision with substantial evidence. The lead agency should explain the limitations of the particular model or methodology selected for use; and/or 2. Rely on a qualitative analysis or performance-based standards. (B) A lead agency should consider the following factors, among others, when assessing the significance of impacts from greenhouse gas emissions on the environment: 1. The extent to which the project may increase or reduce greenhouse gas emissions as compared to the existing environmental setting; 2. Whether the project emissions exceed a threshold of significance that the lead agency determines applies to the project. 3. The extent to which the project complies with regulations or requirements adopted to implement a statewide, regional, or local plan for the reduction or mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions. Such requirements must be adopted by the relevant public agency through a public review process and must reduce or mitigate the project's incremental contribution of greenhouse gas emissions. If there is substantial evidence that the possible effects of a particular project are still cumulatively considerable notwithstanding compliance with the adopted regulations or requirements, an EIR must be prepared for the project. General Questions recommended within the environmental checklist are: (a) Will the project generate greenhouse gas emissions, either directly or indirectly, that may have a significant impact on the environment? (b) Will the project conflict with an applicable plan, policy or regulation adopted for the purpose of reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases? 9 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1124113 1310-Q2 Miles TM GHG Study 3.8 Greenhouse Gas Thresholds of Significance As directed by SB 97, the Natural Resources Agency adopted Amendments to Title 14 Division 6 Chapter 3 CEQA Guidelines for greenhouse gas emissions on December 30, 2009. On February 16, 2010, the Office of Administrative Law approved the Amendments, and filed them with the Secretary of State for inclusion in the california Code of Regulations. The amendments became effective on March 18, 2010. The pertinent Sections are shown below in Table 3.1. Table 3.1: Adopted Discretionary Measures Row# Scoping Plan Measure Measure# Page# 1 Ship Electrification at Ports T-5 C-66 2 Limit High GWP Use in Consumer Products H-4 C-179 3 Heavy-Duty Vehicle GHG Emission Reduction T-7 C-73 Motor Vehicle Air Conditioning Systems: 4 Reduction of Refrigerant Emissions from Non-H-1 C-175 Professional Servicing 5 SF6 Limits in Non-Utility and Non-Semiconductor H-2 C-176 Applications 6 Reduction of Perfluorocarbons in Semiconductor H-3 C-177 Manufacturing 7 lire Pressure Program T-4 C-63 8 Low carbon Fuel Standard T-2 C-64 9 Landfill Methane Control Measure RW-1 C-160 Additionally, as stated in Section 38562-A of AB 32, the state board adopted greenhouse gas emission limits and emission reduction measures on January 1, 2011 and began enforcing them on January 1, 2012. Currently, greenhouse gas emission limits for residential project such as the proposed project have not been adopted, however, Section 38562-B-3 encourages projects producing large quantities of GHGs to voluntarily identify greenhouse gas reductions and receive appropriate credit for early voluntary reductions. The california Air Pollution Control Officers Association (CAPCOA) published a white paper, which suggested a screening criterion of 900 metric tons per year of GHGs and require all projects producing more than 900 metric tons per year of GHGs produce an inventory of project gases and demonstrate reasonable mitigation measures necessary to reduce GHG's by 28.3% from business as usual (BAU). 10 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-Q2 MilesTM GHG Study 4.0 METHODOLOGY 4.1 Construction C02e Emissions calculation Methodology The Project Engineer expects Grading to be completed in approximately one month, Paving complete in roughly two weeks and Building Construction complete in just less than six months. The proposed project would require approximately 9,910 Cubic Yards CY of earthwork and would be balanced. Build out of the Project is expected to be late 2013. Table 4.1 shows the expected timeframes for the construction and project infrastructure and facilities. Table 4.1: Expected Construction Equipment Equipment Identification Proposed Dates Quantity Fine Site Grading and Trenching 5/1/2013-6/1/2013 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes 2 Excavators 1 Graders 1 Rubber Tired Dozers 1 Water Trucks 1 Paving 6/2/2013-6/16/2013 Cement and Mortar Mixers 4 Pavers 1 Paving Equipment 1 Rollers 1 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes 1 Building Construction 6/17/2013-12/30/2013 Welders 3 Forklifts 2 Cranes 1 Generator Sets 1 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes 1 Architectural Coating 11/1/2013-12/30/2013 This equipment list is based upon equipment inventory within URBEMIS2007. The quantity and types are based upon assumptions from Projects of similar size and scope in the County of San Diego and Vista. GHG impacts related to construction will be calculated using the latest URBEMIS2007 air quality model, which was developed by the california Air Resource Board (CARB). URBEMIS2007 has been approved by the San Diego Air Pollution Control District (SDAPCD) 11 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study . and the City for construction emission calculations. URBEMIS incorporates emission factors from the EMFAC2007 model for on-road vehicle emissions and the OFFROAD2007 model for off-road vehicle emissions. Because C02 emissions from construction only occur at the beginning of a project, emissions will be averaged over a 30-year period. This recommendation was based on recommendations from South Coast Air Quality Management District in 2008 and has been followed within the County of San Diego and Cities within the County. 4.2 Operational Vehicular Emissions Calculation Methodology Operational Emissions from daily trips will be quantified utilizing emission levels reported in grams/mile from the EMFAC2011 emission model for the year 2020. These estimates will then be tabulated to show the yearly emission levels generated by the project. Utilizing the 347 day correction factor recommended by CARB to account for lower vehicle emissions over weekends from reduced daily trips. All emission levels will then be multiplied by the daily mileage and then converted to metric tons for typical reporting consistency. Equation 1 below was utilized to determine GHG levels in Metric tons: ( g ) Metric ton GHG(Metric Tons)= Emission Factor -.l-x Annual Mileage x .000001( ) mz e g 4.3 Electricity Usage Calculation Methodology Utilizing methodologies within the California Climate Action Registry General Reporting Protocol Version 3.1-January 2009 (CCARGRPV3.1) C02t CH4, and N20 from electricity use can be calculated utilizing equations III.6b which is shown below: Equation III.6b (GHG = C02, or CH4, or N20) Electricity Use (kWh) x Electricity Emission Factor ebz:,~G) GHG(Metric Tons)= · lb 2 204 .s ' metrzc ton The electricity emission factors are published within Table C.2 within the CCARGRPV3.1 document and are broken out into sub region. The proposed project is located within California and for C02, CH4, and N20 the Electricity Emission Factors are 0.72412, 0.0000302 and 0.0000081, respectively. 12 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study 4.4 Natural Gas Usage calculation Methodology C02e generated from stationary combustion such as water heaters, stoves, and clothing dryers can be calculated for C02, CH4, and N20 utilizing equations III.Bb within the CCARGRPV3.1 document as shown below: Equation III.Bb (GHG= C02, or CH4, or N20) Natrual Gas Emission Factor ("Jt%~G) x Fuel Consumed (MMBTu) GHG(Metric Tons)= k; l,OOO metric ton The natural gas emission factors are published within Table C.7 and C.B within the CCARGRPV3.1 natural gas emission factors for C021 CH4, and N20 are 53.06, 0.005 and 0.0001, respectively. These natural gas emission factors are inserted into equation III.BB and were published by CCARGRPV3.1. Natural Gas generation rates per residential dwelling unit were obtained from the 2009 california Residential Appliance Saturation Study (2010) which was prepared for the california Energy Commission (CEC). 4.5 Solid Waste Emissions calculation Methodology Solid waste generated from the proposed project will ultimately be discarded as trash and then deposited into a landfill. The decomposition of organic matter such as food, paper, yard trimmings and wood are anaerobicly digested by bacteria which primarily produces GHG's as a bi-product. However, organic decomposition occurs at different rates and is a function of the material content. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) published various emission rates with units of Metric Tons of carbon Dioxide Equivalent per Ton (Source: Solid Waste management and Greenhouse Gases; A Life-Cycle Assessment of Emissions and Sinks). Average waste generation mixes vary between land use however, California's Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery (caiRecycle) estimates that the average waste generation for single-family could be up to 2.04 tons/unit/year (Source: http: 1 /www.calrecycle.ca .gov /wastechar/WasteGenRates/Residential. htm) and generally consist of paper plastic and other organics. Table 4.2 on the following page identifies the typical mix ratio of waste by land use (Source: California 2008 Statewide Waste Characterization Study -cascadia Consulting Group, 2009). The best way to reduce these generation rates is to promote recycling. 13 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study Table 4.2: Average Waste Breakdown and Emission Rates Waste Type Residential Waste Landfill Emission Factors Breakdown (MTC02e per Ton) Special Waste 1.5% 0.42 Mixed Residue 2.5% 0.04 Paper 19.6% 0.35 Glass 2.4% 0.04 Metal 4.0% 0.04 Electronics 0.7% 0.04 Plastic 9.2% 0.04 Other Organics 48.6% 0.24 Inert and Other 11.2% 0.04 Household Hazardous Waste (HHW) 0.3% 0.40 4.6 Water Use Emission calculation Methodology Water used from the proposed project will indirectly utilize energy for preparation and conveyance of clean water to the project site. It is estimated that indirect electricity for water conveyance requires 12,700 kWh/Million Gallons (MG) (Source: http:/ /www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/book /export/html/18037). GHG emissions are then calculated using Equation 111.6b as shown in Section 4.3. Water demand per capita is 119 gallons per day for california (Source: Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2005, USGS). Given that the US census estimates that there are approximately 2.58 individuals per household (Source: http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/OOOOO.html) it is estimated that each unit would require 307 gallons per day or 1,904,935 gallons per year. 14 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study 5.0 FINDINGS 5.1 Project Related Construction Emissions Utilizing the URBEMIS 2007 inputs for the model as shown in Table 4.1 above, we find that grading and construction of the project will produce approximately 175.57 tons over the construction life of the project. The URBEMIS model outputs are provided as Attachment A to this report. Given the fact that the total emissions will ultimately contribute to 2020 cumulative levels, it is acceptable to average the total construction emission over a 30 year period (Source: SCAQMD 2008). A summary of the construction emissions is shown in Table 5.1 below. Table 5.1: Expected Construction Emissions Summary Year C02 Construction Total (2014-2015) 175.57 Yearly Average (2020)* 5.85 tons/year over 30 years Yearly Average Metric Tons (2020)* 5.31 Metric Tons/year over 30 years Expected Construction emissions are based upon URBEMIS modeling assumptions identified in Chapter 4 of this report. *Total Construction related C02 averaged over a 30-year span. Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 5.2 Project Related Operation Vehicular Emissions Operational emissions will be calculated utilizing a total of 17 single-family units. The estimated one-way average trip length for home-work trips is 16.8 miles, home-shop trips is 7.1 miles, home-other trips is 7.9 miles. The percentages estimated in the modeling assume 32.9% home-work, 18.0% home-shop, and 49.1% home-other (URBEMIS 2007). Combined it is expected that each trip could be 10.68 miles on average. According to the project traffic study, the project would create approximately 170 daily trips and with an average trip distance of 10.68 miles, the project would be expected to add 1815.6 Vehicle Miles Traveled per day or 662,694 miles per year (based on 347 days to correct for weekend driving-CARB 2008 In order to obtain a realistic approximation of the BAU baseline emissions, LDN Consulting ran the EMFAC 2011 model for 2020 which could be assumed to be BAU and is shown Attachment Bat the end of this report. Utilizing both emission levels from the EMFAC2011 model and Equation 1 from Section 4.2 of this report the BAU GHG emission levels was calculated and found to be 310.08 MTC02E. 15 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study 5.3 Project Related Electricity Use Based upon the 2009 California Statewide Residential Appliance Saturation Study (2010) prepared for the CEC the average electricity usage for a dwelling unit per year is 7,605 KWh. Therefore, the 17-dwelling units would be expected to use 129,285 KWh. The equivalent C02 emissions are calculated in Table 5.2 below. Table 5.2: Total GHG Emissions Factors (Electricity Usage) Emission Factor Energy eGRID Subregion Conversion Total C02e GHG WECC California Usage (lbs/metric ton) (Metric Tons) GWP (Metric Tons) (lbs/KWh) (KWh) C02 0.72412 129,285 2,204.62 42.46439 1 42.46439 CH4 0.000030 129,285 2,204.62 0.00177 21 0.03719 N20 0.0000081 129,285 2,204.62 0.00048 310 0.14725 Total 42.64884 Note: Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 5.4 Project Related Natural Gas Usage Based upon the 2009 California Statewide Residential Appliance Saturation Study (2010) prepared for the CEC the average natural gas usage for a single-family residential unit would be 421 Therms or 3,508.33 CF/Unit/Month. Given this the project would require 715,700 CF per ear. Additionally, because 1MMBtu is equivalent to 1,000 Cubic Feet of gas the project would consume 715.7 MMBtu of natural gas per year. The equivalent C02 emissions are expected to be 38.07 Metric Tons per year as calculated in Table 5.3 below. Table 5.3: Total GHG Emissions Factors (Natural Gas Usage) Emission Factor Natural Conversion Total C02e GHG Gas Usage metric GWP (kg/MMBtu) (MMBtu) (ton/kg) (Metric Tons) (Metric Tons) C02 53.060 715.7 0.001 37.9750 1 37.98 CH4 0.0050 715.7 0.001 0.0036 21 0.08 N20 0.00010 715.7 0.001 0.0001 310 0.02 Total 38.07 Note: Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 16 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study 5.5 Project Related Solid Waste Emissions Gas Usage Based upon methods discussed in Section 4.7 of this report, LDN Consulting multiplied 17 units by the single-family waste generation rate of 2.04 tons/unit/year as reported by california's Department of Resources Recycling and Recovery (caiRecycle), which yields 34.68 tons of trash each year and would typically consist of paper, plastics and other types ·of waste (see actual percentages of waste breakdown in Table 4.2 above). Utilizing the EPA's waste breakdown emission factors per trash type and multiplying those factors with the projected waste generation yields estimates for equivalent C02 of 7.10 metric tons for the 17-unit project, see Table 5.4 below. Table 5.4: Total GHG Emissions Factors (Solid Waste) Residential Landfill Emission Residential Residential MTC02e after breakdown Waste Type Waste Factors Waste each year Breakdown {MTC02e per Ton) (Tons) (Metric Tons) Special Waste 1.5% 0.42 0.52 0.22 Mixed Residue 2.5% 0.04 0.87 0.03 Paper 19.6% 0.35 6.80 2.38 Glass 2.4% 0.04 0.83 0.03 Metal 4.0% 0.04 1.39 0.06 Electronics 0.7% 0.04 0.24 0.01 Plastic 9.2% 0.04 3.19 0.13 Other Organics 48.6% 0.24 16.85 4.05 Inert and Other 11.2% 0.04 3.88 0.16 HHW 0.3% 0.40 0.10 0.04 Total C02E 34.68 7.10 Note: Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 5.6 Project Related Water Usage Based on methods identified within Section 4.6, the 17-Unit project would most likely require 1,904,935 gallons per year and would produce and 24,192.67 kWh per year or 1.90 million gallons X 12,700 kWh/MG or 7.98 metric tons of C02e per year as shown in Table 5.5 below. 17 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study Table 5.5: Total GHG Emissions Factors (Electricity from Water Usage) Emission Factor Energy eGRID Subregion Conversion Total C02e GHG WECC California Usage (lbs/metric ton} (Metric Tons} GWP (Metric Tons} (lbs/KWh} (KWh} C02 0.72412 24,192.67 2,204.62 7.94622 1 7.946 CH4 0.000030 24,192.67 2,204.62 0.00033 21 0.007 N20 0.0000081 24,192.67 2,204.62 0.00009 310 0.028 Total 7.981 Note: Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 5.7 Project Cumulative Totals Cumulatively, the project will emit approximately 411.19 Metric Tons of C02e each year which is below the Screening threshold of 900 Metric Tons per year. Based on these findings, no mitigation or project related reduction features are necessary. A summary of the totals is shown in Table 5.6 below. J Table 5.6: Expected CO~ Emissions Summary C02e Generator C02e (Metric Tons} Construction 5.31 Vehicular Usage 310.08 Electricity Usage 42.65 Natural Gas Usage 38.07 Solid Waste Emissions 7.10 Water Usage Emissions 7.98 Project Totals (Business as Usual) 411.19 Data is presented in decimal format and may have rounding errors. 18 Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study i I 6.0 CERTIFICATIONS The contents of this report represent an accurate depiction of the projected C02e emissions from the proposed Miles TM residential development project at the time of preparation. This report was prepared utilizing the latest emission rates, the best available· information and reduction methodologies. DRAFT Jeremy Louden, Principal Ldn Consulting, Inc. (760) 473-1253 jlouden@ldnconsulting.net Ldn Consulting, Inc. 1/24/13 Date January 24. 2013 19 1310-02 Miles TM GHG Study ATTACHMENT A URBEMIS 2007 Page: 1 1/20/201310:00:19 PM Urbemis 2007 Version 9.2.4 Combined Annual Emissions Reports (TonsNear) File Name: C:\Users\SLAPTOP\Google Drive\CT 12-01 Miles\CT 12-01 Miles Pacific.urb924 Project Name: Miles CT 12-01 17 Lot Residential Project Location: California State-wide On-Road Vehicle Emissions Based on: Version : Emfac2007 V2.3 Nov 1 2006 Off-Road Vehicle Emissions Based on: OFFROAD2007 Summary Report: CONSTRUCTION EMISSION ESTIMATES ~ PM10 Dust PM10 Exhaust 2013 TOTALS (tons/year unmitigated) 0.57 1.39 AREA SOURCE EMISSION ESTIMATES TOTALS (tons/year, unmitigated) 0.25 OPERATIONAL (VEHICLE) EMISSION ESTIMATES TOTALS (tons/year, unmitigated) 0.14 SUM OF AREA SOURCE AND OPERATIONAL EMISSION ESTIMATES TOTALS (tons/year, unmitigated) Construction Unmitigated Detail Report: Blli2 0.39 1.10 ~ 0.04 .tiQ.K 0.20 .tiQ.K 0.24 0.00 0.58 1.66 2.24 0.31 0.00 0.00 ~ 0.00 0.09 .P.M1Q 0.08 PM10 0.32 0.40 .PM1.Q PM2.5 Dust 0.40 0.08 E.Mb..S 0.06 0.14 0.07 48.83 181.00 229.83 E.M.2..Q Elilla1W 0.08 0.15 175.57 Page:2 1/20/201310:00:19 PM CONSTRUCTION EMISSION ESTIMATES Annual Tons Per Year, Unmitigated ~ NOx .00 ~ PM1Q D!.!!it PM1Q Exbi!Y~t eMjJ2 EM2l2 D!.!!it PM2.~ E~b!!Y~I .E.M.2..l2 .em. 2013 0.57 1.39 1.10 0.00 0.31 0.09 0.40 0.07 0.08 0.15 175.57 Fine Grading 05/01/2013-0.04 0.32 0.20 0.00 0.31 0.02 0.33 0.06 0.02 0.08 37.19 06/01/2013 Fine Grading Dust 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.00 Fine Grading Off Road Diesel 0.04 0.32 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 35.43 Fine Grading On Road Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fine Grading Worker Trips 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.76 Asphalt 06/02/2013-06/16/2013 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 8.12 Paving Off-Gas 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Paving Off Road Diesel 0.01 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 6.36 Paving On Road Diesel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 Paving Worker Trips 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.02 Building 06/17/2013-12/30/2013 0.21 1.00 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.06 129.89 Building Off Road Diesel 0.20 0.98 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.06 114.29 Building Vendor Trips 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.13 Building Worker Trips 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.46 Coating 11/01/2013-12130/2013 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 Architectural Coating 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coating Worker Trips 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 Phi!!!~ ~li!.!!!ll21iQnl} Phase: Fine Grading 5/1/2013-6/1/2013-Fine Site Grading and Trenching for Utilities Total Acres Disturbed: 5.4 Page:3 1/20/201310:00:19 PM Maximum Daily Acreage Disturbed: 1.35 Fugitive Dust Level of Detail: Default 20 lbs per acre-day On Road Truck Travel (VMT): 0 Off-Road Equipment: 1 Excavators (168 hp) operating at a 0.57 load factor for 8 hours per day 1 Graders (174 hp) operating at a 0.61 load factor for 6 hours per day 1 Rubber Tired Dozers (357 hp) operating at a 0.591oad factor for 6 hours per day 2 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes (108 hp) operating at a 0.551oad factor for 7 hours per day 1 Water Trucks (189 hp) operating at a 0.5 load factor for 8 hours per day Phase: Paving 6/2/2013-6/16/2013-Paving Acres to be Paved: 1.35 Off-Road Equipment: 4 Cement·and Mortar Mixers (10 hp) operating at a 0.561oad factor for 6 hours per day 1 Pavers (100 hp) operating at a 0.62 load factor for 7 hours per day 1 Paving Equipment (104 hp) operating at a 0.531oad factor for 8 hours per day 1 Rollers (95 hp) operating at a 0.56 load factor for 7 hours per day 1 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes (108 hp) operating at a 0.551oad factor for 7 hours per day Phase: Building Construction 6/17/2013-12/30/2013-Building Construction Off-Road Equipment: 1 Cranes (399 hp) operating at a 0.43 load factor for 6 hours per day 2 Forklifts (145 hp) operating at a 0.3 load factor for 6 hours per day 1 Generator Sets (49 hp) operating at a 0.741oad factor for 8 hours per day 1 Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes (1 08 hp) operating at a 0.55 load factor for 8 hours per day 3 Welders (45 hp) operating at a 0.45 load factor for 8 hours per day Phase: Architectural Coating 11/1/2013-12/30/2013-Architectural Coating Rule: Residential Interior Coatings begins 1/1/2005 ends 12/31/2040 specifies a VOC of 250 ATTACHMENT B EMFAC2011 2020 input/output Emfac2011 -2020 Title Year 2020 version Emfac2011-LDV v2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table 1: Running Exhaust Emissions (grams/mile) Pollutant Name: Methane Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% Speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.010 0.014 0.019 0.026 0.024 0.185 0.014 35 0.009 0.012 0.017 0.023 0.021 0.182 0.013 Pollutant Name: carbon Monoxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% Speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.938 1. 255 1.640 3.172 2.214 15.959 1.270 35 0.867 1.159 1. 506 2.780 1.901 16.344 1.181 Pollutant 60% Name: oxides of Nitrogen Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: Speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.098 0.128 0.440 1.216 9.197 1.117 0.201 35 0.093 0.122 0.432 1.226 9.052 1.132 0.195 Pollutant Name: carbon Dioxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% Speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 330.542 431.625 568.750 612.545 2171.804 142.794 405.307 35 300.938 392.849 518.988 542.826 2159.834 137.943 369.526 Pollutant Name: sulfur Dioxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% Page 1 Emfac2011 -2020 speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.006 0.021 0.002 0.004 35 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.005 0.021 0.002 0.004 Pollutant Name: PM10 Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.002 0.002 0.005 0.010 0.157 0.000 0.003 35 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.009 0.135 0.000 0.002 Pollutant Name: PM10 -Tire wear Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% Speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 35 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 Pollutant Name: PM10 -Brake wear Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 0.037 0.037 0.041 0.043 0.705 0.037 0.039 35 0.037 0.037 0.041 0.043 0.705 0.037 0.039 Pollutant Name: Gasoline -mi/gal Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 2 5. 315 19.491 14.591 14.670 14.594 48.244 21.997 35 27.814 21.415 16.135 16.749 16.665 49.486 24.165 Pollutant Name: Diesel -mi/gal Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: 60% speed MPH LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 30 35.289 34.834 19.486 8.437 4.032 0.000 19.802 35 35.567 35.097 19.488 8.882 4.032 0.000 19.848 Page 2 Emfac2011 -2020 Title Year 2020 version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date : 2012/12/04 16:59:02 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Basin Average Table 2: starting Emissions (grams/trip) Pollutant Name: Methane Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 5 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.019 0.005 0.067 0.002 10 0.002 0.002 0.007 0.036 0.009 0.076 0.004 20 0.004 0.005 0.013 0.068 0.017 0.095 0.008 30 0.006 0.007 0.019 0.095 0.025 0.114 0.011 40 0.008 0.009 0.024 0.119 0.031 0.133 0.014 50 0.009 0.011 0.029 0.140 0.037 0.151 0.016 60 0.011 0.012 0.033 0.157 0.041 0.164 0.018 120 0.015 0.017 0.044 0.144 0.038 0.159 0.024 180 0.011 0.014 0.039 0.153 0.040 0.149 0.020 240 0.012 0.014 0.041 0.161 0.043 0.159 0.021 300 0.013 0.015 0.043 0.169 0.045 0.169 0.023 360 0.013 0.016 0.046 0.177 0.047 0.178 0.024 420 0.014 0.017 0.048 0.185 0.049 0.188 0.025 480 0.014 0.018 0.050 0.193 0.051 0.197 0.026 540 0.015 0.018 0.052 0.200 0.053 0.206 0.027 600 0.016 0.019 0.055 0.207 0.055 0.215 0.028 660 0.016 0.020 0.057 0.213 0.056 0.224 0.029 720 0.017 0.021 0.059 0.220 0.058 0.233 0.030 Pollutant Name: carbon Monoxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 5 0.256 0.330 0. 777 5.995 0.932 3.691 0.468 10 0.503 0.648 1. 503 11.577 1.826 4.496 0.889 20 0.973 1. 257 2.887 22.033 3. 501 6.037 1.690 30 1.412 1.827 4.177 31.546 5.024 7.483 2.436 40 1.820 2.359 5.376 40.116 6.396 8.835 3.126 50 2.196 2.853 6.482 47.743 7.616 10.093 3.762 60 2.540 3.308 7.495 54.427 8.685 11.257 4.342 120 3.707 4.749 9.623 44.661 7.138 14.919 5.703 Page 3 Emfac2011 -2020 180 2.601 3.465 7.532 46.032 7.347 11.757 4. 348 240 2. 775 3. 713 8.040 47.439 7.562 13.009 4.632 300 2.932 3.937 8.500 48.882 7.785 14.151 4.891 360 3.072 4.134 8.911 50.360 8.014 15.183 5.123 420 3.196 4. 307 9.274 51.873 8.250 16.106 5.330 480 3.303 4.453 9. 588 53.423 8.493 16.918 5.510 540 3.394 4. 574 9.853 55.007 8.743 17.620 5.665 600 3.468 4.670 10.069 56.628 9.000 18.213 5.793 660 3.526 4.740 10.236 58.284 9.264 18.695 5.896 720 3.567 4.785 10.355 59.975 9.534 19.068 5.972 Pollutant Name: oxides of Nitrogen Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT usus MCY ALL 5 0.079 0.149 0. 550 1.013 0. 310 0.176 0.206 10 0.087 0.161 0.612 1. 525 0.467 0.216 0.232 20 0.101 0.183 0.722 2.425 0.743 0.285 0.277 30 0.113 0.202 0.814 3.158 0.967 0.343 0.315 40 0.122 0.217 0.888 3. 724 1.141 0.389 0.345 50 0.129 0.228 0.944 4.124 1.264 0.423 0.367 60 0.134 0.237 0.981 4.358 1. 335 0.445 0.382 120 0.143 0.255 1.046 4.423 1. 355 0.451 0.406 180 0.149 0.264 1.059 4.407 1. 350 0.447 0.413 240 0.148 0.262 1.051 4.382 1. 342 0.440 0.410 300 0.146 0.259 1.039 4. 348 1. 332 0.430 0.406 360 0.144 0.255 1.023 4. 306 1. 319 0.418 0.400 420 0.141 0.249 1.003 4.255 1. 304 0.404 0.392 480 0.137 0.243 0.979 4.196 1.286 0.388 0.383 540 0.133 0.235 0.950 4.128 1. 265 0.370 0. 372 600 0.128 0.226 0.917 4.052 1.242 0.349 0.359 660 0.123 0.216 0.880 3.966 1.216 0.327 0.345 720 0.117 0.205 0.838 3.873 1.187 0.303 0.329 Pollutant Name: carbon Dioxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT usus MCY ALL 5 12.475 16.062 18.469 9.875 1.621 15.524 14.660 10 14.068 18.215 21.517 19.356 3.234 17.803 16.783 20 17.761 23.165 28.313 38.158 6.431 22.270 21.601 30 22.128 28.976 36.043 56.748 9.593 26.617 27.181 40 27.171 35.647 44.709 75.125 12.719 30.843 33.523 50 32.887 43.179 54.309 93.289 15.809 34.949 40.628 60 39.279 51.572 64.844 111.241 18.863 38.934 48.494 120 90.963 118.618 144.362 188.963 32.083 56.942 109.944 180 103.313 134.831 164.663 223.077 37.904 60.748 125.093 240 115.629 150.975 184.746 255.178 43.381 64.331 140.140 300 127.910 167.050 204.612 285.265 48.515 67.691 155.084 360 140.156 183.056 224.259 313.340 53.305 70.828 169.926 420 152.367 198.992 243.688 339.400 57.751 73.742 184.665 480 164.543 214.860 262.899 363.447 61.854 76.433 199.302 540 176.684 230.658 281.892 385.481 65.613 78.901 213.837 600 188.791 246.388 300.666 405. 501 69.029 81.146 228.269 660 200.862 262.048 319.223 423.508 72.102 83.169 242.598 Page 4 Emfac2011 -2020 720 212.899 277.639 337.562 439.501 74.830 84.968 256.825 Pollutant Name: sulfur Dioxide Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LDT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 30 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 40 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 50 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.000 60 0.000 0.001 ·0.001 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.001 120 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.001 180 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.001 240 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.002 300 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.002 360 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.002 420 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.002 480 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.002 540 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.002 600 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.002 660 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.003 720 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.003 Pollutant Name: PM10 Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.001 30 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.001 40 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.001 50 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.001 60 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.002 120 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.000 0.001 0.003 180 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.000 0.001 0.003 240 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.000 0.001 0.003 300 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.003 360 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.003 420 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.004 480 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.004 540 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.004 600 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.000 0.001 0.004 660 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.000 0.001 0.004 720 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.000 0.001 0.004 Title Year 2020 Page 5 Emfac2011 -2020 version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Table 4: Hot soak Emissions (grams/trip) Basin Pollutant Name: Methane Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: All Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY All 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 40 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Hot soak results are scaled to reflect zero emissions for trip lengths of less than 5 minutes (about 25% of in-use trips). Title Year 2020 Version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 Seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: V2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table Sa: Partial Day Diurnal Loss Emissions (grams/hour) Pollutant Name: Methane All Temp degF 60 LOA LOT 0.000 0.000 MDT 0.000 Temperature: ALL Relative Humidity: HOT UBUS MCY All 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Page 6 Emfac2011 -2020 Title Year 2020 version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season : Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive -~ Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table 5b: Multi-Day Diurnal Loss Emissions (grams/hour) Pollutant Name: Methane ALL Temp degF 60 LOA 0.000 Title Year 2020 LDT 0.000 MDT 0.000 version Emfac2011-LDV v2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 Temperature: ALL Relative Humidity: HOT usus MCY ALL 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season : Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table 6a: Partial Day Resting Loss Emissions (grams/hour) Pollutant Name: Methane ALL Temp degF 60 LOA LDT 0.000 0.000 MDT 0.000 Temperature: ALL Relative Humidity: HOT usus MCY ALL 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Page 7 Emfac2011 -2020 Title Year 2020 version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 Seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table 6b: Multi-Day Resting Loss Emissions (grams/hour) Pollutant Name: Methane ALL Temp degF 60 LOA 0.000 Title Year 2020 LOT 0.000 MDT 0.000 version Emfac2011-LDV v2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 Temperature: ALL Relative Humidity: HOT UBUS MCY ALL 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : san Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: V2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Average Basin Table 7: Estimated Travel Fractions ALL Pollutant Name: %VMT %TRIP %VEH LOA 0. 532 0. 515 0. 524 LOT 0.274 0.255 0.263 MDT 0.178 0.212 0.172 HOT 0.007 0.009 0.012 Page 8 Temperature: ALL UBUS 0.002 0.000 0.001 MCY 0.007 0.008 0.027 Relative Humidity: ALL 1.000 1.000 1.000 Emfac2011 -2020 Title Year 2020 version Emfac2011-LDV V2.50.57.246 Run Date 2012/12/04 16:59:02 seen Year: 2020 --All model years in the range 1976 to 2020 selected season Annual Area : San Diego ************************************************************************************ ***** Year: 2020 --Model Years 1976 to 2020 Inclusive --Annual Emfac2011-LDV Emission Factors: v2.50.57.246 san Diego Basin Average Basin Average Table 8: Evaporative Running LOSS Emissions (grams/minute) Pollutant Name: Methane Temperature: 60F Relative Humidity: ALL Time min LOA LOT MDT HOT UBUS MCY ALL 1 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 3 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 4 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 10 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 25 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 30 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 35 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 40 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 45 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 50 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 55 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 60 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Page 9