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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1978-11-07; City Council; 5654; REQUEST FOR APPROVAL OF A MASTER PLAN AMENDMENT FOR LAKE CALAVERA HILLS| CASE NO. MP150|A| APPLICANT: LAKE CALAVERA HILLS ASSOCIATES |ROY WARD|Ci I Y Wi- CAKLSYAU 8 . Dept. Head ic AGENDA BI I-L NO. -- DATE: NOVEMBER 7, 1978 - - PLANNING ,i DEPARTPI1ENT ." SUBJECT : REQUEST FOR APPROVAL OF A MASTER PLAN AMENDMENT FOR LAKE CALAVERA HILLS CASE NO: MP-150 (A) APPLICANT: LAKE CALAVERA HILLS ASSCCIATES (ROY WARD 'STATEMENT OF THE MATTER: - This matter has been heard by the Planning Commission and recommend for conditional approval. Because, of the length, complexity and importance of this matter, staff is suggesting a special meeting on November 14, 1978. We have attached the pertinent support document at this time to allow adequate time for review. for this project will be forwarded to you by November 10, 1978. It should be noted that this project falls under the time constrain established by AB 884 and must be acted upon prior to January 1, 19 The Planning Commission held a total of four hearings on this matte Also, the Commission will be reconsidering condition #38 on 11/8/72 Exhibits Planning Commission Resolution No. 1481 Master Plan, labeled Exhibit A-1, dated 3/10/78 Proposition 13 Supplement, labeled Exhibit A-3, dated 8/77 Memorandum from Levander, labeled Exhibit A-4, dated 9/28/78 Recommendation It is recommended that the public hearing on this matter be continued to November 14, 1978, for the full staff presentation and consideration by the City Council. The staff report Cost-Revenue Analysis, labeled Exhibit A-2, dated 10/77 Council action: 11-7-78 The matter was continued to the meeting of November 14, 1978 * I! 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 25 24 26 2’7 28 * e PLANNING COT4MISSJON FESOLUTIOM NO. 1481 n mSOLUTION OF THE PLANNING COMMISSION 0” THE CITY AND RECOMMENDATION OF CONDITIONAL APPROVAL FOR A OF CARLSBAD, CALIZ‘OFNXA, SETTING FORTH ITS FINDINGS MASTER PLAN AMENDLYENT FOR LAKE: CALAVEFA HILLS. CASE NO. : MP-150 (A) APPLICANT : LAKE CALAVERA HILLS ASSOCIATES (Roy Ward) WHEREAS, a verified application for certain property to A portion of Lots D, E & J of the Rancho Agua Hedionda in the City of Carlsbcd, County of Sari Diego, State of California, according to Map tkereof, No. 923 on file in the office of the County Recorder of said County has been filed with the City of Carlsbad and referred to the Planning Commission; and WREF-EAS, said application constitutes a request as provi by Title 21 of the Carlsbad Municipal Code; and WHEREAS, the Planning Commission did hold a duly noticed public hearing on September 27, 1978, and subsequently adjour hearings on October 4, 12 and 19, 1978, to consider said reqr and WHEmAS, at said hearings, the Planning Commission did consider the enviroxmental effects of said request as identij in an environmental impact report (EIR-403) that had beerr i certified by the City for a previous project (GPA-51); and I WHEREAS, at said public hearings, upon hearing and considering the testimony and arguments, if any, of all persc who desired to be heard, the Planning Cornmission considered < factors relating to the proposed Master Plan Amendment (MP-1’ and found the following facts and reasons to exist: // i I =I- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 PI l2 13 14 l e * 1. The proposed development as described by the Maste i.s consistent with the provisions of the General Plan and an applicable Specific Plans; 2. Although all Eecessary public facilities may not h available at this time, their availability, concurrent with has been assured thxcugh the conditions of approval and adeq provisions have been provided to implement those portions of Capital improvement Program applicable to the subject proper 3. The residential and open space portions of the corn will constitute an environment of sustained desirability and stability; and that it will be in harmony with or provide compa-kibie variety to the character of izhe surrounding area, that the sites proposed for public facilities, such as schoc playgrounds and parks, are adequate to serve the anticipated population and appear acceptable to the public authorities having jurisdiction thereof; 4. The proposed commercial use will be appropriate in location and overall design to the purpose intended; that th design and devslqment standards are such as to create an environment of sustained desirability and stability; and tha development will meet performance. standards established by Title 21 cf the Carlsbad Municipal Code; 5. In the case of institutional, recreational, and ot similar nonresisential uses, that such development xi11 be appropriate in area, iocation and overall planning to the pu proposed, arid that surrounding areas are protected frolrr any 16 I? E i 18 I' 20 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 21 I adverse effects from such developnent; suitable arad adequzte to carry the anticipated traffic there 6. That the streets and thoroughfares proposed are 7. That any proposed commercial development can be justified economically at the location proposed and will prc adequate commercial facilities of the types needed at such location proposed; 8. That the area surrounding said development is or c planned and zoned in coordination and substantial compatibil with said development; 9. Appropriate measures are proposed to mitigate any aciverse environmental impact as noted in the adopted Enviren Impact Report for the project. WHEREAS, the Planning Commission by the following roll vote recommended approval of MP-150 (A) subject to the follo conditions : // -2- -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3-1 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 2% c * A, Village A & B (PUD-4/CT 76-12) as identified on the atta Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78, shall be allowEd to be processed pe the conditions of City Council Resolutions #5145 and #5146 wi the following modification: 1. Conditions t12 and #13 of Resolution #5145 shall be satisfied by the payment of park in-lieu fees computed p City Ordinance #9190 for CT 76-12. B. Prior to the final processing of any other villages, the revised by the applicant to comply with the following conditions. Said revised plan shali be subnitted to the Planning Director for review and approval or rejection withir 45 days. Master Plan, labeled, Exhibit A-1, dated 3/10/78, shall be 1. The format of the revised Master Plan shall bc, condensed and ?,ut into a more concise form as shown the attached Exhibit A, dated 9/27/78. One "Land U graphic at a scal2 of 1"=200' shall also be include 2, The "Map and Legal Description" graphic shall at a scale of 1"=400' and the "Open Space areas" sh be removed from the graphic. 3. The "Land Use" graphic shall be c5anged as sho the attached Exhibit B, dated 9/27/78. 4. The "Open Space" griphic shall be changed as s * 0n the attached Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78. 5. The "Public Facilities" graphic shall be chang to show the following: a. Reference to "waste water reclamation" and "Percolation area" shall be removed from the exhibit. b. The width and cross-sections of the variou streets shall be shown on this exhibit. c, The approximate location and size of the m water and sewer lines anticipated shall be sho on this exhibit. d. The approximate location of the major stor drains shall be shown on this exhibit. e. The location of the one acre for public pu such as the future fire station and possible k library shall be shown on this exhibit. 6, The "Phasing" graphic shall hr3 modified to ref the various changes required elsewhere in these con tions. -3- I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 3.0 11 1.2 13 14 15 16 17 18 3.9 2o 21 22 23 24 26 25 27 28 I e e 7. The "Topography and Grading" graphic shall be changed to show the following: a, The areas of the property containing the 1 and endangered plant species (Adolphia & Dichc identified in EIX-403 shall be indicated. b. Areas proposed for "major" grading shali I indicated. For the purposes of this conditioi "major" grading shall be defined as any create slope with a height of 15 feet or greater or i determined by the City Engineer. 8. Specific development plans shall be evaluated accord with Municipal Ordinances in force at the tj when said plans are before the City Council for apl Approval and construction of a part of the develop pursuant to this Master Plan shall not vest any ric in the balance of the Master Plan nor create any vc rights to the approval of any subsequent developner This condition is not intended to lessen those ass1 ances identified in Section 21.38.010 (4) of the Carslbad Municipal Code. 9. guarantee that the availability of public facilitie services will necessarily coincide with the develo; timetable for construction. Availability of public services will be evaluated in the context of subsec individual approvals. PO. All land and/or easements required by this 3rc shall be granted to the City of Carlsbad without cc the City and free of all liens and encumbrances. 11. All streets within the development shall compl with City standards or as required by the City Exgi 12. 102' of right-of-way shall be provideci for tha portion of Elm Avenue that lies between Tamarack be as required by the City Engineer. 13. The developer of each village shall construct contribute money €or all traffic signals required ic traffic generated by the development as required by City Engineer or Sy whatever traffic signal poiicy1 ordinance is in effect at the time of development. 14, A statement shall be included in the Master P1 that there is no sewer service presently available 1 that all land uses approved in the Master Plan are subject to further City action 2s may be required b such sewer allocation system as the City Council ma adopt. Approval of this plan does not constitute any I Avenue and College Boulevard. Design improvements I I -4- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 a 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 3.7 18 19 ,, I c @ . 15. The applicant shall file written acknowledgeme that there is no sewer service available at this ti and that he is proceeding with this development at own risk and that the City makes no representation that he will be able to yo forward with his develog or that sewer service will be available for the prc 16, If the proposed satellite waste water treatmer facility is subsequently approved to be located anc developed within the area of this Master Plan, the applicant shall apply for a zone change from P-C tc for the land necessary for the sewer plant site it: If said zone change is then approved, City staff sl: administratively revise the Master Plan to make it consistent with the approved zone change. The Citi may have to initiate a Master Plan Aiiendment if it determined that items such as odor easements, agric ture preservation, etc., are necessary for the devc ment of such a facility. 17, One acre of land within the new Village 3-2 sl- reserved for public facility use. Said reservatior shall include a provision that if the land is not 2 yuired by the City within ten (10) years from the d of recordation of the subdivision map that includes the one acre site, the reservation shall be void ai. the area shall be allowed to develop privately. 18. The Phasing Schedule, attached as Exhibit E, c 9/27/78, shall be included in the revised Master PI Development of the various villages and correspond: provision for the various public facilities shall c incrementally as shown (i.e. 81 before #2, #2 befoi #3, etc.). However, if provision is made for all c public facilities listed under each phase (i.e. fu: improvement of Elm and Tamarack, plus dedication oj 10 acre park site, plus reservation of 10 acre dedication of 10 acre park site, plus reservation c ,I 20 I 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 acre school site with Phase I, etc.) , the various villages within that phase shall be allowed to dew randomly. The minimum increment of future developn (subdivision) review shall be each individual villz 19. The maximum cut or fill slopes allowed within development shall be 2:1 or as approved by the Cit: Engineer and no balanchg or movement of dirt shal: street has been improved. allowed to cross one of the major streets once thal .. I* 20. Discussion of the proposed "Architectural Adv: and Control Com.ittee" shall indicate that this committee's responsibility shall only be those thal more restrictive than the minimum standards allowec the City. The text shall also indicate that this committee's approval shall be required on all builc plans prior to review by the City. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 I e 0 21. The text of the revised Master Plan shall ccnt specific provisions for recreational vehicle stora? on the property. A minimum of two acres in Villagt or E-2 shall be provided for RV storage and shall 1 developed per che requirements of Section 21.45.12( of the CarlsSad Municipal Code. 22, The maximum grade established for all bikeway: shall be 7%, or as approved by the City Engineer. 23. The width and location of the open space corr: shall be as shown on the attached Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78. A deviation o€ ten percent (+/- 10%) sha: allowed when determining said width and location. minimum width allowed shall be 15 feet. Additions: open space areas may occur within each village development. 24. The sign program contained in the final Mastei shall reflect the following: a. The design motif of the four entrance sigr shall utilize wood and indigenous rock as majc components. Also the entrance signs shall be incorporated with walls erected for sounr? attc ation at the four entrances into the cornunit) 15 141 'O i 16 a7 18 19 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 I b. The permanent directional signs shall uti1 wood and indigenous rock as major components. c. Temporary directional signs for sales proc shall be governedi solely by Chapter 21.41 of I Carlshad Municipal Code. 25. The design criteria for grading and slope des. contained on pages 14, 15, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 62, 63, and 64 of ths Master Plan shall be incorpoi into the revised Master Plan document as standards unless otherwise amended by the Planning Director. 26. The design criteria for noise attenuation con1 on pages 82-86 of the? Master Plan shall be incorpoi into the revised Master Plan document as standara's unless otherwise anended by the Planning Director. 27. The revised Master Plan shall contain develop1 standards for those villages proposed by the applic for equestrian estates to the satisfaction of the Planning Director. 28. Design criteria for the proposed bike paths ai equestrian and pedestrian trails shall be included the revised Master Plan document to the satisfactic the Plannhg Director. Said criteria shall be sucf to encourage the everyday use cf the trails and pal -6- -I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 a 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 27. 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 an alternative mode of transportation. The criteri shall ahso provide for bicycle racks and related facilities in the commercial center, parks, and sim areas to encourage the use of that transportation m 29. Prior to the issuance of grading permits for t various villages, provisions, ta the satisfaction o City Engineer, shall be made for the following: a. Regulation of the use, storage and disposa all fuels, oils, petroleum and chemical produc used on the construction site. b. Site specific soils investigations with recommendations for control of potential probl as a result of expansive soils. c. necessary to install streets and prepare const tion pads, d. Avoidance of clearing operations in advanc of grading. e. local precipitation pattern. Limitation of grading to the minimum area Coordination of grading activities with th f. Construction of drainage facilities concur with grading activities. g. Watering and rolling of the final surface form a hardened, compacted cap of soil which w minimize dust and erosion due to surface runof h. Grading of surfaces so as to direct runoff toward planned drainage and, if possible, away from cut and fill slopes. i. suitable for slope erosion control immediate11 following. j. Phasing of grading activities over the 3if the project to provide a transition of habitat Planting and maintenance of grcmd cover k. Limitation of grading operations in the pi area to normal daytime working hours. 30. Prior to the issuance of building permits for various villages, provisions, to the satisfaction c the Planning Director, shall be made for the folloh a. Installation of flow restrictors in all bz fixtures. -7- I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12. 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 c b. Use of "mini-flush" toilets. d. Landscaping using drought-resistent trees plants. d. Installation of drip irrigation systems u tensiometers or other acceptable systems. e. Architectural design which reduces or tre( window and door openings and takes advantage c winter sun and sumer shade. f. Insulation for all structures according tc State standards. go Solar heating for both space and water he or if not technologically feasible at the timi construction 'stub-outs' for ultimate convers to solar heating. h. Landscaping using deciduous trees (to sha summer and allow sunlight in winter) and wind breaks. i. Retention of natural vegetation in the op space areas wherever possible. j. Retention of existing eucalyptus trees whi ever possible. k. Retention of as much Adolphia and Dichond as possible within the various open space are, 31. Prior to the issuance Gf any grading permits, provision for the protection Gf significant archaec logical resources on the property shall be complets to the satisfaction of the Planning Director as fo a. Direct on-site imparts: I 1) All work shall be performed by a qual Archeologist in conjunction with the late acceptable scientific procedures. 2) Prepare a surface map of the artifact associated ecological information. 3) Excavate a test sample of the area to determine the nature and extent of any has proven successful in similar situatio is the systematic rectilinear posthole te subsurface component. @ne such test whic // -a- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 2o 21 l3 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 a m 4) Based on &he &formation resulking fr this investigation, additional testing can designed, if needed. This second phase of testing should be oriented toward obtainin reliable sample of the site area and in as sing the variation present within the depo be necessary, although unlikely, to perfor additional investigation, or to recommend fering mitigating procedures. 5) A report shall be prepared summarizing findings and discussing the interrelations of the site materials and other sites foun the region. 6) All work shall be extensively photo- documented. 7) Copies of notes, photographs, records the final report shall be submitted to loc data depositories. Based on the results of this examination, b, Indirect on and off-site impacts - any of 1) Limit access to sites by placing barri arourd the project area. 2) Place fill over site areas. 3) Excavate the sites and achieve their information potential, following: I 32. Prior to the approval of any tentative subdivi map adjoining Elm Avenue, Tamarack Avenue or Colleg Boulevard an assessrrtent of the potential noise irnpa shall be made by an acoustical engineer. The e117in shall then prepare a report containing rscontmcndati how to mitigate any identified noise Impacts. The design of an impacted subdivision shall be consiste with thess recortmendations. I 33. The site development plan for 'Jillages E-1, E- and IC shall include provisions for transit stcps tc the satisfaction of the Planning Cornmission. 34. If a satellite waste water treatment facility is subsequently approved to serve this arc dual water systems shall be installed in all resid€ villages. 35. The City shall submit a letter to the San DLec County Department of Transportation requesting autt to approve and rmintain the improvements of Tanarac Avenue between El Camino Real an3 the project site. -9- 1 2 3 4 5 6 71 0 36. A listing of each village area as shown on thi attached Exhibit D, 8/27/78, shall be provided cle describing the development to occur in each. 37. The C.C. & R's for this Master Plan and subsel developments shall be set up so 110 amendments to t shall occur without City approval and the City sha have the authority to selectively enforce the C.C. if they determine such enforcement is necessary to protect the public welfare. 38. The public parks (Villages F, N and Y) shall dedicated in conjunction with the subdivision of t 8 9 IO 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 adjoining Village as identified in the attached Exhibit E, dated 9/27/78. Prior to the approval o the tentative subdivision map for said zdjoinifig Village, the developer shall submit a park improve plan to the City Director of Parks and Recreation approval. Said dsveloper shall then be required t complete the park improvements as approved by rhe Director of Parks and Recreation in conjunction wi the development of the adjoining subdivision. All park improveinencs shall. be completed prior to the issuance of a Certificate cf Occupancy within tke division. Once said improvements have been accept by the City, the City shall ass-me the ongoing rnai ance requirements for the park. 39. The open space corridors shown on the attache Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78, shall be dedicated as op space easements in conjunction with the subdivisio the ad2oining Village as iuentified in the attache Exhibit E, dated 9/27/78. ThGse specific corridor identified on said Exhibit C shall be made avai1aL for public access 2nd use. The improvements of al- the corridors shown on said Exhibit C shal-1 be msd by the developer of the adjoining development as identified in said Exhibit E and the other conditi criteria for the identified bike paths and equestr and pedestrian trails. Prior to the isseance of a building permits for development within this llaste Plan, a maintenance district pursuant to Sections et seq. of the California Streets and Highways Cod shall be formed to provide the ongoing maintenance the open space corridors shown on the attached Exh CI dated 9/27/78. 40, All of the private parks, private open space common areas to be provided within the Master Plan not heretofore mentioned shall be improved by the developer/landowner and maintained by a cormunity association (homeowner's association). contained herein dealins with design standards and -10- 1 2 3 4 5 6 '7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 27 26 28 0 e . AYES: Commissioners Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus and Jose NOES : None ABSENT: Commissioner Wrench ABSTAIN: Commissioner L'Heuruex NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the Planning Cornissic of the City of Carlsbad that the above recitations are true E correct. INTRODUCED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this 25th day of Octobe -=====\L<&Z 1978. RY ROMBO'I'IS, Chairman SBAD PLLIVNING CGIWISSION 0 ATTEST: S C. KAGhP!AN', czw- Secretary RLSBAD PLANWINGfiOMMISSIGN ' I I -11- EXHIBIT A *( I # ~OrnmT FoR'msTER ?I;ANs e 9/27/78 .. MP-150 (A) Page 1 of 1 ORGAN I ZAT ION Master Plans shall be organized in six (6) sections, which shall contain tne infcrnation required in Section 21.38.060 of the Ordinance f as follows: I. . Location - Leqal DescriFtion - Background .. bocation Map & Legal Description (paragraph 1-A}. . History Df previous actions f i5 any. 11. Environmental Ccnstraints -- . Topogrzphical map with major features (paragraph 1-1) . Envircm.enta1 cons-kraints as identified by EIR (para, 2-11] ... - -. ...... ..- . - - .... . ...... - __ ____---. Environmental mitigation measures from the plan's EIR shall be incor~ora-~ed in appropriate sections c)f the IvIaster plan or foxndr Per City Council, to be over-ridden by ~ccial/ec,onomic considerations. . ...- L .L1^--I. _-_. .--.._._ - ... -. .. 111. Lsnd Use - Development Standards Map identifying land uses & clevelopment standards by area (pa.ragraph 1-i3 & 1-Dj. c .Description of lznd uses and devzlopment star,dards by- area (paragrqn 2-~, 2-C, 2-~) .- . . Grading concepts by area (paragraph 1--J) . IV. OpeR Space & Naintenance e Map identifying Open Spaces by area (paragraph 1-C & 3) . Description 05 Open Spaccz treatment and maintenance by area (paragraph 2-E & 3) V, Public Facilities - & Phasing . Map identifying the location and phasing of puh1.i~ and Description of public facilities (paragraph 2-13) quasi-puhlic facilities, streets and lines c and the phasing of d2VClopinent (paragraph 1-E, 1-E', I-C; and 1-13) a. Description of the phasing of development (paragraph 2-F) VI. ~omiunity Sign PrWra2 Graphic and written standards (Paragraph 4, FORMAT The n!a'ster plan shall consist- Of (A) Olle (1) 21 x 36 inch mylar "'" each of tlle rjraphics described abovc: and (BI a concise text using *' 11 sheets bound in a three-ring or ~cco-prcss type binder. -- 1 *. -7 ~ ----- -.. .--_.- -__ -_.. __ __--____- ._______. __ ___---- __ _-.-...__._-_. - .- .-.__ .-_._.. -. * .: .. R-1 (PUP) ' Clustered Single Family 221 ..* ?'-I R-1 (U} Clustered, attached Single - 184 I_ Family. tani ly. _I P-2 R-1 Standard, detached Single 276 - .. .. .- 9 -. - EXHIBIT D .. 9/27/78. . Page' 1 of 'E- f4P-150 (A) Y Family. R-2 0-5 (CUP) Pcwk r.e-;er~~t.t'lc,, - YI -- .iunior High Schooi -c Stsndord, dctachcd Single 210 -" Singla Family EQuC5trh 18 -- .Y R- 1 Standard, rklachcd Sir.gIe . 151 .... .W R-1-3 ac. Slngle Fsal ly Equcstrian 58 5 (KUF) t R-1 lani iy. Estates, .I... *.C--Y-. .. , .v E+f Family. Estztcs. I -- X R-1- 7% '5inylr Faml ly Equestrian 23 Er ta tci . Y 0-5 (CUP) Park - -- -- 2-1 R-1-3 at. Slnglc Famlly Estates 37 2-2 R-1-i ac. Slngle Fsml ly Estaics 17 -" 0 0 Exhibit D 9/27/78 MP-150 (A) Page 2 of 2 NOTES 1. If Village A, M or S is not acquired by the Carlsbad Unified School District for school purposes within ten (10) years from th recordation of the subdivision map that includes that particular village, the underlying zoning development standards for the vi11 shall change from 0-S (CUP) to R-1 (PUD), 2, Villages C, G, R, L and U have steep slopes and/or significa canyon areas that have not been included as open space. consideration shall be given to these areas at time of subdivisio review to protect the integrity cf the adjoining open space areas 3. public facil.ity use. If the City does not acquire all, or a part of the area within ten (10) years from the recordation of the subdi.vision map for the area, the area shall be allowed to develo] privately. 4. If Village R-2 is not acquired by a public agency for park purposes within ten (10) years from the recordation of the sub- division nap that includes the park area, the underlying zoning development standards for Village R-2 shall change from 0-S (CUP) 5. The intent of Village E-2 is to provide adequate area for "Community Comercial" development. City that such additional area is fiecessary, Conditional Use Permits for residential development in Village E-2 will not be accepted by the City during a ten (10) year period following the recordation of the subdivision map that includes Village E-2, Special One acre cf land within Village E-2 shall be reserved for to R-2 (PUD). If it is determined by the I -. t * t i iy walls c c - IQ hc, -- -.L Souttwca t f 8\ D or Ck F ' 138/150 trails of If G'. II I( - '. :I Tamarack to Elm -- u . .D,or G * .H 33 IS -- - -" Southe3ctc .. traits & c - (,C+o+ctl 500 "&) .. 42 11 -" - ..I :.EastE.rly : ,& corridoi I : i S' .m . -frat 1% i,n -,or 2-2 & 17 ECR) eastc.rly l If U or X X or 2-1 23/37/ . (to Cannon or 5 ac. . -- Y & 2-3. c.. .LC *- * *I * (I 11 8t rc ' 0. * m-. cn It . , #I @@ “MASTER PLA ~ __ . - .-_-- ---.1 -I_ : $ i i i I t--- -.---- 0 I i Cas3 t.lo.~~i~<Q 1 j 5;:;bit ~3. *A:-I ._______ ___I i i DE+? -3./ja/ZS.-\ , 1, ! i .! i ---------_ i 0 W 0 LAKE CALAVERA HILLS MASTER PLAN AMENDMENT First Submittal: March 30, 1977 Revised October, 1977 Revised December, 1977 Final Submittal: March 10, 1978 INFORMATION SUPPLIED BY: Lake Calavera Hills Associates 3088 Pi0 Pic0 Drive, Suite 20 Carlsbad, California 92008 * ('714) 729-4912 Rick Engineering Company 3088 Pi0 Pic0 Drive, Suite 202 Carlsbad, California 92008 (714) 729-4987 RECON 5620 Friars Road San Diego, California 92110 (714) 299-9125 Envirometrics Development Planning, Inc. 608 Aldwych Roach El Cajon, California 92020 The Peridian Group 446 N. "Old" Newport Blvd. Newport Beach, California 92660 (714) 631-1700 0 TABLE OF CONTENTS P, - SECTION I. INTRODUCTION * 0 Location 0 Legal Description 0 History of Project 11. ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS 0 Description of Existing Site 0 Environmental Impacts and Mitigations 0 Grading Concepts 0 Geologic and Seismic Safety 111. LAND USE a Community Concept 0 Design Concepts e Land Use Summxy 0 Development Standards (Zo:ning) Summary 0 Description of Land Uses IV * PARKS, OPEN SPACE AND MAINTENANCE 0 Open Space and Parks Description 0 Circulation 0 Open Space Categories 0 Plant Materials 0 Irrigation System 0 Fire Control 0 Parks, Open Space and Maintenance Proposal 0 Slope Design V. PUBLIC FACILITIES AND PHASING * 0 Streets 0 Water e Sewer 0 Solid Waste 0 Gas & Electricity 0 Schools 0 Flood Control 0 General Government 0 Phasing 0 Public Transit VI. SIGN PROGRAM 0 Design Motif 0 Location of Community Entrance Signs 0 Directional and Informational Signs 0 Size and Type of Signs e TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued) SECTION PAGE 0 VII. APPENDIX 0 Master Plan 150 0 List of Studies 0 Additional Technical Data on Parks, Open Space and Maintenance 0 e LIST OF EXHIBITS a __- EXHIBIT PAGE NO A PHOTOGRAPH - EXISTING DEVELOPMENT B LEGAL DESCRIPTION 3 C TOPOGRAPHY AND GRADING 6 D LAND USE 22 E ZONING 24 0 F PARKS AND OPEN SPACE 32 G PUBLIC FACILITIES 67 H PHASING 72 0 ((MASTER PLA e e SECTION I INTRODUCTION 0 This amended document is an update of the Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan (MP-150) and an expansion of that plan adopt by the Carlsbad City Council on May 7, 1974 (Resolution #3407) The exhibits contained in this document reflect the total area of Lake Calavera Hills zoned Planned Community (P-C) of approximately 828 acres. Approval of this amendment recognize replacement of the original Master Plan by the current, update Master Plan. Approval of this Master Plan indicates an acceptance of c general scheme of development for the entire property. It all reflects the updating of the original Master Plan as well as ( restructuring to provide for compliance with the amended Plan Community Zone Ordinance adopted July, 1976 (Chapter 21:38). adopted it will also include mitigating measures to major env mental impacts as identified in the Environmental Impact Rep0 1,ocation of the various land uses in this plan have desi a nated zones currently in effect in the City. Development of property within the area of each zone shall be subject to the regulations of the indicated zone except where modified as a part of this Master Plan. Individual developments within the Master Plan boundary be evaluated in accord with municipal ordinances and policies force at the time of plan submittal. Approval and constructi of an individual development under this Master Plan will not any development rights in the balance of the Master Plan areE The City of Carlsbad and Lake Calavera Hills Associates both reserve the right to initiate amendments to this documer to insure that it is kept up-to-date. City Staff shall prep; status reports on the Master Plan periodically as deemed necc sary to monitor the Plan's progress. * -1- LOCATION The Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan area is an 828 acre p; located approximately three miles inland from the Pacific Ocear and within the Carlsbad City limits. The central portion of tl property is situated 4.28 miles southeast of the geographic cer of the City of Oceanside, 4.13 miles southwest of the geograph: center of the City of Vista, and 31 miles north of downtown Sa1 Diego. Specifically, it falls within the east half of Section Township 11 South, Range 4 West, San Bernardino Meridian. a LEGAL DESCRIPTION Portion of lots D, E, & J of the Rancho Aqua Hedionda in the City of Carlsbad, County of San Diego, State of California, According to map thereof No. 823 on file in the office of the County Recorder of said county. HISTORY (Planning Commission and City Council Actions) March 12, 1974 - Master Plan 150 approved by Planning Commission (Resolution #1050). e 0 May 7, 1974 - Master Plan 150/EIR 230 approved by City (Resolution #3407). 0 May 21, 1974 - Zone Change 138 adopted by City Council (Ordinance #9388). o January 26, 1977 - Tract 76-12, PUD-4 approved by Planning Commission (Resolution #1314). 0 August 4, 1977 - Tract 76-12, PUD-4 approved by City Council subject to sewer availability (Resolution #514! and Resolution #5146). 0 -2- ((MASTER e a ~.-. ~ ___.__ - ~~~~ -~ ~~~ r----- -~ --- . .~~~ 0 I WI 11 - 3- 0 SECTION I1 - ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS The following presents a detailed description of the projc site with accompanying topographical map (Exhibit C) . Followir that is a list of those environmental impacts and mitigations relative to Lake Calavera Hills from the Environmental Impact Report supplement. ____ Description of Existing Site a The topographic relief of Lake Calavera Hills ranges betwe elevation 100 feet msl and 456 feetmsl. The site is dominate a promontory north-central portion which slopes off in all dir to the topographically lower area. This promontory is essenti the central point along an east-west trending drainage divide directs drainage either northerly into Buena Vista Creek or so into the Ayua Hedionda drainage course, At the west end of tb drainage dSvide, major northwesterly-southeasterly canyons ex that eventually drain into Buena Vista Cree:k and Aqua Hedionda @ respectively. Vegetative cover on the site varies according to the under rock and soil types. Approximately two-thirds of the site und by granitic materials and supports dense to moderate growths o chapparal. In areas of sedimentary rocks, approximately the r one-third of the site, ground cover consists of grasses, weeds scattered brushy areas. Much of the natural vegetation has be cleared in areas which are presently under agricultural use. the western boundary of the site is a stand of eucalyptus tree tending along one-half the length of this boundary from south Additional eucalyptus trees are scattered throughout the west€ quarter of the site. It is anticipated that the existing euca trees will be incorporated into the design concept of the ovex project. m -4- Man-made features of the site consist of two large reservc type water tanks: one located on the hill top promontory, and t a other approximately 2,000 feet south-southeast. These tanks ar connected via an underground pipeline which continues west and southwest of the southerly tank to adjacent properties. Surrounding Land Uses (Exhibit A) Various stages of urban development surround the Lake Calavera Hills as well as fallow and active agricultural land. The area bordering the western boundary of the property ccnsist of land planned for development, currently under construction E fallow agricultural land. In the northwest, Quail Ridge is planned for 234 dwelling units. Below that is Ternplin Heights which is now under construction for 264 dwelling units. To the south of Templin Heights and southwest of Lake Calavera Hi1 fallow agricultural land. The area to the northeast of the property line is a development called Mira Costa Mesa (City of Oceanside) consistj of approximately 600 units. To the east is land owned by the Kelly Family and is planned for 1-2 acre ranch estates under t! City's soon-to-be-adopted Ranch Estates Ordinance. The land directly to the south of the first tract of Lake Calavera Hills (CT 76-12, PUD-4) is currently agricultural land. To the soutk east (approximately 800 yards distance) lies Rancho Carlsbad -- a mobile home park development of approximately 90 acres. Q) e -5- ,’ I I . FROM DRAFT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT REPORT DATED JULY 19, 1977 PREPARED BY THE CITY OF CARLSBAD: e SUMNARY AND AIUALY S I S ___________ 1. The project consists of a Ma:-t,ev. P'Iati it _I ( Development for a planned community of 3,452 dwel7ing units. S!I' sought is approval of an alternative sewage treatment faciiit:,. t.i the Encina Water Pollution Facility, The 828-acre project site is located within the City of Carlshzd of El Camino Real and south of State Highway 78. The cite is ;it" vacant, except portions under agricultural cultivation. 2. ____ Environmental Impacts: Project Description. Project's Iqacts _____.. .-.- _.--.-.- - Topic Surrounding Land Uses The Contribution to tile lit- Hydro1 ogy (1) The generation of increase rates and sediment loads t (2) The overloading of the sit to percolate effluent, if GPD or more were to De pro the alternative sewage tre faci 1 i ty. potential throughout the s (2) The conversion of agricult suited soils for urban dev Biological Resources (1) The removal of most of the vegetation and wildlife fr. of eastern Carl sbad. resulting from urban devel .1 Geology & Soils (1) The creation of increased (2) The removal of most of one one endangered plant speci Air Quality The generation of increase principally from additiona travel. At project comple pounds of Reactive Hydroca 10,186 pounds of Carbon Mo 3,833 pounds of Oxides of would be generated per day a -7- Topic Project ' s Impacts Noise (1) The generation of short-term * from construction activities, (2) The generation of permanent n principally from the three ar streets within the project. completion, noise levels woul 67 decibels on College Bouieb and 63 decibels on Elm and Ta Avenues. Traffic Circulation The generation of increased t on arterjal streets serving t project. At project. cornplet; total of 28,700 vehicular Lri day would be generated. Visual Aesthetics The replacement of natural 1i with urban land uses. Utilities (1) The generatjon at project ,,on of 984,000 GPD sewage. (2) The creation of an alternatij treatment facility, with its operation and maintenance re( at project completion. (4) The generation of 8,801 tons, solid waste at project coinplt a (3) The demand for 1,771,200 GPD Community Services (1) The generation of 2,142 addi students at project completii (2) The creation of a need for 2 of neighborhood parks, and a of 148 acres of recreation f (3) The creation of a need for a fire engine companies and PO construction of a new fire s (4) The creation of a need for f additional police officers a project compl et ion. e -8- Topic Project's _____ Impacts -I--- Archaeology (1) The disruption of two potent valLiable archaeological site (2) The potentiai disruption of archaeological sites ad.jdcer; project site. Energy (1) The short-term consumption o through con st ruct i on act i vi t (2) The long-term consumpti05 of principally through trave! a 241 ,640 therms natural gds, kwh e1ectric:ity and 15,929 g gasol ine 1;~ould be consumed p ho'i d operation. At proj oc t 3. Mitigation Measures Mi t i ga t i on Pled s u res __~ __..-__ ~-- Topic Surrounding Land Uses The impact is unrnitigable, Hydro1 ogy (1) Observe those erosioil contro gation measures noted below Geology and Soils. (2) Regulate the use, storage an of all fuels, oils, petroleu chemical products used on th e struction site. (3) Observe the Nater Resources Board's standards for grcjund discharge. (4) If the capacity of the alter sewage treatment facility ex the site's percolation capab dispose of effluent in spray or use it as agricultural or space water. Geology and Soils (1) For Erosion Control: (a) Conduct site specific s investigations with rec mendations for control potential problems as a of expansive soils. (b) Limit grading to the mi necessary to install st prepare construction pa e -9- Topic Mitigation -______ Measures Geology and Soils (c) Avoid cl;.ar.ii:g opet-d’ +o 0 advance of jrading. (d) Coordinate grad-iri; al ti with the local preiii it pattern. (e) Construct drdinaye fdci concurrently with 5r,idi activities. (f) Water dr;d roll the t’na to form a hardened, cum cap of coil vJhict-, will dust and erosisr, dce to runoff. (9) Grade surfaces so as to runoff towdrd planned d and, if possible, awdy and fill slopes. (h) Plant and rnainta1n grou suitable for slope eros e trol immediately follok (2) The impact on agricultural r is unrnitigable. Biological Resources (1) Phase grading activities JVE life of the project to provi transition of habitat. (2) Leave open spaces in natural vegetation. (3) Locate and orient open space a manner that as much Adolpt Dichondra as possible are rt within them. (4) Retain existing eucalyptus 1 all parts of the property. Air Qual ity (1) Locate and design bicycle, [ and equestrian trails and fc within each subdivision or i development plan in such a I that their everyday use for portation is encouraged. ab -10- Topic Mitigation Measures 0 Air Quality (2) Install bicycle racks and fac.ilit in the commercia? cec-:tcr, parks, similar areas to er!cotlra%e the 14s of that transportation mode. (3) Loc;.te, design, and improve trnns stops within the project iri such manrier that the use of transit !'s encouraged. Noise (1) Limit construction -in the project to normal daytime working hours. (2) Further assess the impacts of iicji from College Boulevdrd at the tin subdividing 1and.adjacent. to it, Design lots judged to be impactec noise from College Boulevard in 5 a manner that buildings arid yard can be oriented away from the Roi Traffic Circulation (1) Observe those mitigation measures for Air Quality. (2) Require the connection of Elm Avc to El Camino Real with the first of development to provide alterni points of access. Similarly reqi the offsite connection of College Boulevard to at least one end pr- the commencement of Phase I11 de\ 0 Visual Aesthetics No mitigation required. Utilities (1) Prior to final approval of the a' sewage treatment facility, conduc of the number of alternative fac proposed or desired in the City, agency to operate and maintain tl facilities, the costs and revenui iated with those facilities, and equitable means of assigning tho and revenues. This study shall an evaluation of the cumulative mental and social impacts of SUC native facilities. (2) Observe the following water cons practices: (a) Installation of flow restri (b) Use of "mini-flush" toilets all basic fixtures; 0 -11- Topic Mitigation Measures Utilities (c) Landsczpiny using drought- resistant trees and plants: (d) Installation cf drip irricji systems using tensiometers (e) Use of recycled wastewater watering open spaces. (3) Solid waste -impacts are not ,dir mitigable by .the project. Community Services Community service impacts are ri direct:.,: rnit.iyable by the proje, Archaeology (1) Direct on-site impacts: 0 (a) Prepare a surface mai; :>f t, artifac-ts and associated ec o 1 og i 1: a 1 i n format i on s (b) Excavate a test sample of area to determine the natu and extlent of any s~ibsurfa component. One such test has been proven successful similar situations is the atic rectilinear posthde 3) (c) Based on the information r from this investigation, a testing can be designed, i This second phase of testi be oriented toward obtaini reliable sample of the sit and in assessing the varia present within the deposit on the results of this exa it may be necessary, althc likely, to perform additio investigation, or to recon differing mitigating proce (d) A report should be prepare summarizing findings and d the interrelationships of materials and other sites the region. 9 -12- Topic Mitigation Measures _-- Archaeology (e) All work should be extensiv e photodocumented. (f) Copies of notes, photogr-1ph records and the findl tepor should be submitted to icjca data repositories. (9) All work should be performe qualified archaeologist in junction with the latest ac s c i en t i f i c p roc ed u re 5 . (2) Indirect On- and Off-site Inrpdct any of the following: (a) Limit access tu sites by p! barriers around the project (b) Place fill over site arec:s. (c) Excavdte the sites and achi their i nforrnati on poteii ti dl Energy (1) Observe the mitigation measures for. Air Quality. (2) Observe the following design pra * (a) Architectural design which or treats window and door.. o and takes advantage of wint and summer shade; (b) Insulation for all structur according to State standard (c) Solar heating for both spac water heating; or if not te cally feasible at the time construction, 'stub-outs' f ultimate conversion to sola (d) Landscaping using deciduous (to shade in summer and all light in winter) and windbr vii 0 -13- GRADING CONCEPTS General e Grading shall conform as closely as topographically possib to the requirements set forth in paragraph I-J of the Planned Community Ordinance (21:38.060) and shall also conform to the provisions as set forth in the State Subdivision Map Act, Specific Areas and Villages (See Exhibit E) Development Village Acres Standards Grading Concept -___ _- A 10.0 Open Space As required by proposed ter (School Site) map 76-12 and future needs C.U.S.D. B 70.6 R-1-7500 Grade to provide minimum 6C flat pad with minimum 2:l E if any. Fill and cut to b; As many view sites to be p~ as possible. Single Family C 29.4 RDM-Q Approximate natural grade. Multi-Family Multi-Family contains, large quantity of 30 feet depth. Building pi be constructed on top of r( E 10.0 C-1-Q Minimum grading to provide F 10.0 Park To be determined by City PC G 37.5 R-1-7500 Same as for Village B. H 22.0 R-1-20,000 (E) Minimum or no grading for ( to 4:l slopes. Actual gra is to be minimum to provid hillside construction. D 29.8 RDM-Q Minimum disturbance. (This 0 Comer. & Institu. adequate drainage. and Recreation Department. Single Family Single Farn. Estates tion of pads. Topography I 27.8 R-1-20,000 (E) Single Fam. Estates Same as Village H. J 26.0 RDM-Q Sites are in rock belt are Mu 1 ti -Family Minimum grading to allow f proper drainage. K 21.4 RDM-Q Same as Village J L 24.3 RDM-Q Same as Village J Multi-Family Mu 1 ti -F ami 1 y e -1 4- Development e Village Acres ____. Standards Grading Concepts - M 10.0 Open Space Natural t.errain until schoo: N 5.0 Open Space To be determined by City Pa: (Park) and Recreation Department. 0 55.3 R-1-6000 (PUD) Grading to provide minimum Clustered Single 50' X 75' building pads wit1 Family minimum disturbance of commi open space within the villa< Contemplzte higher degree oj landscaping preparation and tenance. (School Site) is p1anne.d (4-10 years) * P 115.0 R-1-7500 Same as Village B Single Family Q 13.0 RDM-Q Hillside construction, minir .Mu 1 t i-F ami 1 y disturbance of existing grac allow access and parking. R 75.8 R-1-7500 Same as Village E Single Family S 20.0 Open Space Natural for 4-10 years. Gr; (School Site) as required by future schoo: T 58.0 R-1-7500 Same as Village B U 18.6 R-1-1 Acre (E) Minimum grading for buildins Single Family pad only---not to exceed 10, Estate Sq. Ft. Single Family Single Family 7,500 Sq. Ft. or use natural I) Single Family v 41.8 R-1-7500 Same as Village B w 32.0 R-1-10,000 Building pad grading not to slopes wherever possible. X 23.0 R-1-20,000 Same as Village H & I Single Family Y 5.0 Open Space No grading except for paths z-1 20.3 R-1-10,OOO (E) Same as Village H, I & X 2-2 16.4 R-1-20,000 (E) Same as Village H, I & X 2-3 TOTAL 828.0 (Park) Single Fam.Estates Single Fam.Estates 20.0 Open Space San Diego Gas & Electric Ea: * NOTE: See Section IV, Parks, Open Space and Maintenance, Page Slope Design for additional information on grading conce -1 5- GEOLOGIC & SEISMIC SAFETY e The Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan falls within the juri diction of the report filed March, 1975 on geologic and seismi safety for the City of Carlsbad. In that report, which is on file with the Planning Department of the City of Carlsbad, it is stated under the Summary of Findings, Section 2, that no special study zones (as required by the Alquist Priolo Geologi Hazards Acts) have been delineated within the City of Carlsbad by the State Geologist and based on the information developed in this study none are expected. A detailed geo- technical report was prepared for the City of Carlsbad by BurE land and Associates and made a part of the Geologic and Seismj Safety Element of the City of Carlsbad. Lake Calavera Hills P be developed in accordance with these findings and with the pi cedures outlined to accomplish the goals and objectives of thc Geologic & Seismi;: Safety Element for the City, I~L a e -1 6-- a 0 - SECTION 111 LAND USE @ COMMUNITY CONCEPT __- -__ The community of Lake Calavera Hills has been master-plan to allow a pattern of development which will plan each complex a sensitivity to the environment (terrain, open space, road la and landscape value) and to evolve a pattern of semi-private neighborhoods linked together by activity corridors which incl equestrian/pedestrian trails, bike trails, recreation areas, schools and parks. Distinctive developments offering varied lifestyles are o lined in the Master Plan. The higher density housing will be centrated around the Community Core with decreasing densities towards the outer perimeters of the community. Single family detached residences, multi-family and equestrian-oriented pro- pertics will be available in the initial three-year program. Subsequent phases will offer multiple family dwelling uni (near Community Core), single family detached homes of varying densities and additional equestrian-oriented homes. Every eff has been made to provide a logical yet innovative approach to housing mix which blends harmoniously the various elements of topography, land use and aesthetics. 0 The focal point of Lake Calavera Hills will be the Commur Core located in the geographic center of the community at the intersection of the three major arterial highways. The core 2 include a business and professional services complex, retail shopping area, multi-family dwelling units and a 10-acre parksite proposed for the Northeast Carlsbad Community Recreation Center. This Center could conceivably SL such recreational amenities as a clubhouse, tennis courts, swj pool, soccer/baseball/football fields, branch library, communj arts facility as well as needed police, fire and health servic The Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan is a plan for both de @ ment and conservation of this 800-acre land resource. Approxi -17- 258 of the total community will be set aside for parks and oper @ space with emphasis on preserving the native: vegetation and nat topography of the land. A parks and recreation maintenance district is proposed fc the community. This district would be established by the City Council and administered by a Board of Directors composed of landowners, homeowners and the City Council. This proposal is dealt with in detail in the Parks and Open Space section. Lake Calavera Hills will offer a wide range of lifestyles through its variety of housing types while maintaining a high "quality of living" aspect as a result of the planned concepts set forth in the above paragraphs. The strict adhere to quality design standards, the abundance of preserved, natur, open space areas and the provision of high quality, easily accl public facilities are factors which will promote the creation of a highly innovative and viable community., a DESIGN CONCEPTS - ___.__ -______ The basic design \:rit~ria for Lake Calavera Hllls have be established to conform to and compliment the natural setting o the property. Development will be related to the slope of the natural terrain so that only a minimum of grading will be requ for site preparation. Land Use Design Residential densities for each project will range from a of 0-1.5 dwelling units per acre for the equestrian estates tc maximum density of 20 dwelling units per acre in the multiple family structures. Overall gross density for Lake Calavera Hi is computed to be 4.16 dwelling units per acre. The higher density developments, such as apartments and townhomes, are planned for close proximity to the Community Core. This will promote a pedestrian movement to tl core area shopping and recreational facilities thereby off set1 the normally higher amourits of vehicular traffic generated by a commercial/public facility. a & Another important consideration in the design of Lake Cali Hills is the maximization and preservation of vistas to providc only ocean views but also views of the surrounding natural topc @ graphy * Architectural Advisory and Control Committee- 1/ ___ The essential design characteristics of the Lake Calavera Hills community will be adhered to as set forth in and through the use of Covenents, Conditions and Restrietions (CC&R's). T are to be administered by an Architectural .Advisory and Contro Committee established by Lake Calavera Hills Associates. The Advisory Committee will address itself to such design factors as building materials, setbacks, screening, fencing, 1 scapinq, lighting, signing and pldnt niaterials. All of these specific items will be stringenr1.y coritrolled in their relatic with the goals, conditions and requirements of the Master Plan the entire community of Lake Calavera Hills. The Architectural Control Committee will diligently seek provide on-going, long-term guidance and direction to all futu development in Lake Calavera Hills by controlling the aestheti of the community. Assimilation and proper absorption of the various "villages" and la.nd uses into the overall development scheme will be a paramount issue of the Architectural Control Committee. The protection and planning of open space and recr tion areas of each development will be monitored in an effort to conform with the long-term goals of the community. * In addition to general aesthetics and design criteria co: the following specific conservation design techniques shall bl adhered to in each individual village development: 1) Architectural design which reduces window and door openi and takes advantage of winter sun and summer shade. 21 Insulati-on for all structures according to state standar and recommendations of the utility companies for the pre vation of fuel and energy. e - 1/ Controlled by Lake Caldvera Iiills Associates and home owne: -19- 3) The installation of solar energy space and water heating an alternative to conventional methods shall be made ava. ble to all interested parties. This will include built-: connections for optional solar booster heating systems. e 4) All landscaping shall take into consideration the use of draught resistant/fire resistant natural materials where7 possible as well as the use of deciduous trees and other foliage which would provide shade in t:he summer and al1o.c sunlight in the winter. Another function of the Architectural Advisory and Contrl Committee will be to implement the street name policy for Lak Calavera Hills. The developer of each vi1:Lage will choose a country of the world from a list provided by the Committee an1 then choose the appropriate number of cities from that countr to name all the streets in that village. e e -20- LAND USE SUfiUlARY e PROPOSED PLAN SUMMARY* (Exhibit C) Phase I Phase I1 Phase 111 Land Use D.U. Acres D.U. &res D.U. Acres RL (IDW Density) 75 49.8 0 0 116 70.3 (0-1.5 DU/acre) RIM (Lcrw-Med Dens) 549 137.5 733 183.3 750 187.6 (0-4 DU/acre) (4-10 DU/acre) (10-20 DU/acre) (20-30 DU/acre) RM (Medium Density) 558 55.8 243 24.3 0 0 RMH (Med-High Dens) 214 10.7 214 10.7 0 0 RH (High Density) 0 0 0 0 0 0 -~ -~ -~ Subtotal 1,396 253.8 1,190 218.3 866 265.9 C (Carmercial) 10.0 0 0 E (Elawntw Schools) 10.0 10.0 0 J (Junior High Scbl) 0 0 20.0 0 P (Parks) 10.0 5.0 5.0 TOTAL 283.8 233.3 290.9 SDG& E Ea-t *Densities shown are calculated to the center line of open spac-. areas and re gross density per acre. Specific open space corridors are sbwn on Ekhibit NOTE 1 Although a request for approval of tentative maps my total the maximu units in all phases, time lags in final map approval, construction ard occupan cause dds for public services to lag behind tentative map approvals by a 6 month period. A damn3 for public services of no mre than 3005 units per yea forseen for Phase I. (see Phasing Section graph exhibits for additional infon NOTE 2 Where specific numbers of dwelling units are cited in this text, its e and tables, they represent the maximum nmkr allowable u~~Ier this Master Plan and do not constitute develo-t approval for that nmkr of units. Tk actu of units allowed in any area will be approved in terms of the developwnt cond of this Master plan ad applicable City policies ardt ordinances. (FOR AN EONMIC ANALYSIS OF "ACTUIAI;" DWELLING UNITS PROJECTED, SEE FISCAL IME REPORT PREPARED BY LEVANDER,PA.KEXIXE AND A", SECTION 111, PAGES 47-51) ment. Maxinnrm densities are used for Domlation/utilitv mjF?ction TX~F?S CI m 3 Density allocation and land use boundaries are to be oonsiderd reason mates at this tire. As more precise plans are prepared it is anticipated that changes =e likely to occur. Wcordingly, it is the intent of this plan to pe mimr deviations in density allocations and lard use boudaries subject to rev approval of the Planning Director, and provided that tk changes do not exceed the approved density or land area currently shown on the land use map. m -21- W$ I 0 WI AI -22- ~ . ~~~~ i i -~~ L--- ~ ~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~-~..~~ e DEVELOPMENT STANDARDS SUMMARY (Exhibit E) -___ Max. Village ZONING ___ - Development Type # DU's e A Open Space Elementary School -- B R- 1- 7 50 0 Single Family 282 C RDM-Q Multiple Family 117 D RDM-Q Multiple Family 298 E C-1-Q Commercial & Institutional -- F Open Space Park -- G R-1- 75 0 0 Single Family 150 H R-1-20,000 (E) Single Family Estates 33 I R-1-20,000 (E) Single Family Estates 42 J RDM-Q Multiple Family 260 K RDM-Q Multiple Family 428 L RDM-Q Multiple Family 243 M Open Space Elementary School -- N Open Space Park -- 0 R-1-6000 (PUD) Clustered Single Fami1.y 221 0 P R-1- 7 5 00 Single Family 460 Q RDM-Q Multiple Family 52 R R- 1-7 50 0 Single Family 273 s Open Space Junior High School -- T R- 1-7 5 0 0 Single Family 210 U R-1-1 Acre (E) Single Family Estates 27 V R- 1- 7 5 0 0 Single Family 151 W R-1-10,000 Single Family 116 X R-1-20,000 Single Family 34 Y Open Space Park -- 2-1 R-1-10,000 (E) Single Family Estates 30 2-2 R-1-20,000 (E) Single Family Estates 25 2-3 Open Space San Diego Gas & Electric -- Easement TOTAL 3,452 e -21- ~ ~~ ~~ ~ ~~~ ~ ~.~____~__--~ -~ ~~~~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ .-~~- ~~ ~- .. . ~~~ .... -. ~~~~ .. -24- -~~_ ~ ~~ ~ ~- ~~ ~ ~~~ ~__~~~~~ ~__ ~__ ~~~ ~~ ~ a DESCRIPTION OF LAND USES RESIDENTIAL VILLAGES 0 The amended Master Plan proposes the following housing types for Lake Calavera Hills: D.U./ Land Use Acre Des ignatior - -- Description Single Family Estates 0-1.5 RL Single Family 0-4 RLM Clustered Single Family 0-4 RLM Multiple Family 4-10 RM 0 Multiple Family 10-20 RMH Phase I- Calavera Hills South Phase I of Lake Calavera Hills includes the first 138 units now being processed by the City of Carlsbad. These sing family detached homes will be located in the southwest corner the property. This initial development will be accessible fro Camino Real and Tamarack and in close proximity to existing surrounding developments. It will allow the necessary improve 1/ Tract 76-12, PUD-4 (Resolution #5145 and #5146, August 4, 1 a- -35- such as utilities and the Tamarack road extension to be brougl to the property. ~ue to physical location and proximity to public facilities it is considered to be the most logical and economically feasible site for the first development of Lake Calavera Hills. 0 Phase I will also include low-density, equestrian-orientc estates along the western boundary. Due to the steeper slope: along this boundary, grading will be minimized by offering la1 lots. Developments in the low-medium density category will bc built on flat to rolling terrain, while the flatter land adjacent to these areas and directly south of the Community Cc will feature medium-density development (4-10 D.U./acre). C1t tering of units such as townhomes or zero lot line houses WOU: be advised for this type of terrain. The higher density resic tial area (10-20 D.U./acre) is planned just north of the Cornu Core on flat to gently rolling terrain thus promoting pedestri access to the core facilities. Method of Development Lake Calavera Hills Associates intends to retain strict c trol of the first increment of 138 units by planning, developi and building this project itself or with jclint venture partner in order to establish the desired tone, quality, style and general aesthetics of the entire community. 0 Subsequent developments in Phase I will be controlled by Lake Calavera Hills Associates through the guidelines of this Master Plan, CC&R's and subsequent tentative map approvals. SUMMARY - PHASE I (Calculated at Max. Permitted Densities) Land Use Type Dwelling Units Gross Acr RL (0-1.5) 75 43.8 RLM (0-4) 549 137.5 RM (4-10) 558 55.8 RMH (10-20) 214 10.7 0 TOTAL 1,396 (see Note 1) 253.0 Total Population: 3,663 Pop. per Household: 2.6 7r - Phase I1 - Calavera Hills North This area represents the highest point of the property (4 feet msl) and preservation of oceans views will require some g Densities will range from low-medium to medium in the northern areas with some additional increments of medium-high density n of the Community Core. Method of Development 0 Development in Phase I1 will be control.led by Lake Calavc Hills Associates through the guidelines of this Master Plan, CC&R's and subsequent tentative map approvals. SUMMARY - PHASE I1 (Calculated at Max. Permitted Densities) Land Use Type Dwelling Units Gross Acres RLM (0-4) 733 183.3 RM (4-10) 243 24.3 RMH (10-20) 214 10.7 TOTAL 1,190 (See Note 1) 218.3 Total Population: 3,354 Pop. per Household: 2.8 0 Phase I11 - Calavera Hills East LOW and low-medium density development will predominate Phase I11 of Lake Calavera Hills (east of College Blvd.) The northeast area is characterized by gently rolling land and wil allow high quality subdivisions offering views of Lake Calaver The southeast portion of Phase I11 is rugged to rolling terra: and will necessitate some grading to insure vistas. The soutl central portion will be utilized for equestrian estates and will offer larger lots. This is considered the most efficieni land use for this rocky terrain in order to minimize grading. Method of Development Development in Phase I11 will be controlled by Lake CalaT Hills Associates through the guidelines of this Master Plan, ( and subsequent tentative map approvals. a -27- SUMMARY - PHASE 111 (Calculated at Max. Permitted Densities) * Dwelling Unit:; Gross Acres - -- Land Use Type RL (0-1.5) 116 78.3 187.6 RLM (0-4) 750 TOTAL 866 (See Note 1) 265.9 Total Population: 2,823 Pop. per Household 3.3 - I-- OPEN SPACE Approximately 175 acres have been designated as open spa in Lake Calavera Hills. These open space corridors define di neighborhoods as well as providing a natural buffer between r dential areas and adjacent commercial areas and public facili A trail system for both equestrian and pedestrian usage will incorporated into the open space area. Preservation of the n vegetation and topography will be of paramount importance for all open space areas. 0 PARKS It is the objective of the amended Master Plan to set as 25 acres of dedicated City Parks to comply with the City's re ments. Three parksites have been approved by the Parks and F tion Department in strategic locations that complement adjace land uses. (See Parks/Open Space Section for specific sites) COMMERCIAL SERVICE AREA 10 acres of land have been designated for a neighborhooc shopping center at the junction of College Avenue and Elm Ave This area is situated in the geographic center of the project flat, easily--accessible land. Proposed uses include a supern drug store, qeneral commercial usages, general purpose off icc space and medical/dental office space as required by the neec the community. A permanent recreational vehicle storage and service area will also be included in the commercial service 0 -28- An additional 10 acres (north of Zlm/ west of College), contiguous to this commercial area, has been reserved for corn< purposes should this usage be deemed appropriate at a later dai The amount of acreage set aside for recreational vehcile I purposes will be flexible and can be determined in conjunction the City of Carlsbad at the time of map approval. 0 SCHOOLS .____ Two elementary school sites and one junior high school si have been selected by the Carlsbad Unified School District. A school sites are located adjacent to permanent open space corr dors and the trail system. They are as follows: Site I - A 14-acre elementary school site (including slopes) located within the boundaries of the first subdivision (tract 76-12). ThiF site is immediately adjacent to the internal col tor streets (60’ row) on sloping, flat land. The necessity fo the entire 14 acres has not yet been determined by the School District. 0 Site I1 - This 10-acre elementary school site is located in a single family residential area in the northwest sector of the property. A 5-acre parksite has been selected adjacent to thc school site to allow an overlap of usages. Site I11 - A 20-acre junior high school site has been selectec in the northeast quadrant with frontage on College Avenue. This area has been zoned single family residential. Until such time as the specific areas are being developec and access is available via the dedicated streets, a non-spec: easement for ingress and egress could be granted to the schoo: sites and park sites as required by the City of Carlsbad. 0 -29- 0 0 - SECTION IV 1/ e PARKS, OPEN SPACE AND MAINTENANCE - INTRODUCTION _____-_ The Calavera Hills site's basic landforms consisting of ravi and mesas with broad side slopes and hillocks offer an oppor for developing a variety of distinct landscape environments. primary north-south trending ridge acting as the site's "COT ental divide" creates two drainage patterns away from the CE of the property with a natural elevation change of 375 feet. element describes the dominant feature of the site. Existir terns of vegetation - chaparral and inland sage scrub with 5 of eucalyptus trees generate the character of the proposed c space system. The physiography and areas of native vegetat: eucalyptus help to define the limits and potential charactei the group of residential areas master planned for the develc They serve as a framework for developing separate identitie: landscape pr9Fram of streetscapes, slope design, 200 acres ( space and 25- acres of intensively developed parks wlll be dr to reinforce the different identities. The majority of the site's 200 acres of open space will be its natural state to act as buffers between residential use It will also act as a circulation spine for non-vehicular mi throughout the community. It will be improved only as nece for fire control and low intensity park uses, such as hikin cycle and equestrian trails with small lookouts, rest stops picnicking areas. The interface between the areas of undisturbed or restored vegetation and that of the intensively landscaped areas wil sist of both native plants and those adaptable and compatib the soil and water requirements of plants native to this ty Southern California landscape. The goal of the landscape p is twofold: The first is to create a landscape which has 1 maintenance requirements; and second, to provide a continuu link to the site's original basic character and to that of surrounding undeveloped landscape properties. e - l/ See Appendix for additional technical data - 2/ 20 acres reserved, plus an additional 5-acre park located in the open space corridor near Lake Calavera m -30- OPEN SPACE AND PARK DESCRIPTIOS e A. Open Space The plan for Lake Calavera Hills calls for approximately 200 a to be set aside as open space. The open space corridors, as s on Exhibit F , provide buffers between residential areas and and commercial and public areas as well as defining neighborhc A system of pedestrian and equestrian trails will traverse the in these corridors to connect schools, parks, and the commerci center with the housing on the site. These trails can be plar to connect to a broader citywide circulation system. The landscaping in the open space corridors will be Undisturbc Restored Natural Vegetation as described in sections I & VI. efforts will be made to retain existing natural land forms. ' will be done through articulation of the ravine systems, mesa slopes. 'Wherever grading is necessary, straight slopes will be avoide natural forms imitated with softened concave and convex faces rounding corners. The open space corridor created by the SDG & E easement will ' treated with the vegetation and grading described above to b] it and alleviate its straight and narrow shape. The trails h be of a meandering character to also help soften the impact. B. Community Park A ten acre community park site has been designated at the jun of the three arterial streets (Tamarack, College and Elm) in community core. This facility may include a community building, open play a ball fields, tennis courts, hard courts, picnic shelters, pla ments, a pool or fountain, arbors or gazebo and parking. The landscaping for the park would be Refined and Intensive 7 tation but an attempt should be made to retain the rural chai of the development through informal naturalistic design and material selection. C. Neighborhood Parks Five acre neighborhood parks have been located in the northw quadrant of the project and adjacent to the proposed element school. These two sites could provide tot lots, play aparatus, wadir spray pools, hard courts, picnic areas or shelters, and oper areas. * a -31- - -~ ~.~_ - -~ ____ _-- 1 -32- The site adjacent to the school could be &signed in conjunctj with it to provide integrated facilities f use by the park i school. The landscaping of these parks would be a: lscribed above foi e community park. D. Mini Park A two acre mini park has been located along Tamarack Avenue s( of Elm Avenue. Facilities here include a tennis court, a gazi and a turf area. This is a private neighboriiood park and is a qral part of the first subdivision map, Tract 76-12, PUD-4. Landscaping of this park would also be as described above for community park. E. View Park A five acre site at the northeast tip of the project site ove looking Lake Calavera has been designated a.s a view park. Th park would serve as a terminus for part of the equestrian and hiking trail systems. As it is in the open space corridor, the landscaping for the would be Undisturbed and Restored Natural Vegetation. Facilities here could include picnic tables, benches, hitchin posts, and a shade structure overlooking the lake. Provision could be done with ruscic fences, plant material screens, or separation. Portions of this parking site might be set aside a commercial (franchised) equestrian center for stabling and ing operations. See Exhibit a e keep hikers separated from horses would have to be made. Thi f 4D -33- a I 0 -34- 0 CIRCULATION Circulation throughout the master planned development will incl a system of bikeways, pedestrian and equestrian trails. The fr work for this system is outlined in the Master Plan and on the and Open Space Plan. The bikeways along specified roadways wil allow access through the entire cormnunity while allowing bicycl access to the schools. The pedestrian and equestrain trails wi help tie the parks and schools together while giving access to the major greenbelt buffers between residential areas. Each pz of the system is discussed in detail below. The value of open comes from its usefulness as recreational areas, as well as it: trinsic esthetic value. (See Exhibit F) Bikeways A width of 8 feet paved is proposed for bikeways depending on 1 raphy and circulation demands. This width will allow both bic: and pedestrians to use the same pathway and allow bicyclists f: each direction to pass comfortably. The bikeways can serve pec ans as well and will connect the sidewalks and trails for pede! only to form a more complete network. The bikeway will have a mum grade of 10 percent for distances no greater than 100 yard: path will consist of asphaltic concrete. The alignment will mi wherever possible. The bikeway will follow all of the main co Tamarack Avenue, Elm Avenue, and College Boulevard adjacent to roadway. Pedestrian Trails Where bicycle circulation is not needed and/or the topography open space does not allow, pedestrian trails are proposed. Th trails will often penetrate open space areas and greenbelt buf that will have most of the native vegetation retained or resto sional rest stops. The trails will consist of compacted soil cement or decomposed ite four feet in width. They will occasionally traverse steep slopes (particularly through the San Diego Gas and Electric ea in Phase 111). The constantly curving alignment will follow t tours or switch back where required to prevent grades exceedin percent. The small width and greatly varying alignment and gr makes a minimal impact on the native landscape. The trails ca trate i~to the furthest ranges of the open space areas. Rest stops for relaxation and picnicking will be located at si cant points along the trail or bikeway, such as at a viewpoint consist of an average 10' x 20' soil cement pad with benches. 0 after minor grading operations to construct the trails and occ e -35- and, if required by the topography, small stone retaining wall: Trees not requiring irrigation would be incorporated to providc shade. Approximately 15 rest stops will be provided along the trails. Equestrian Trails Exhibit I also described the general layout of equestrian trai A 10 foot graded trail is the proposed standard width. In the developed open space areas native soil is to be used for the t Where the trails pass within 75 feet of residential, commercia school areas, or a major roadway, surface treatment such as de posed granite, eucalyptus and/or bean pod mulch should be used minimize dust. Just as with the bikeways and pedestrian trail equestrian trail will not necessarily be graded level in the d tion of the trail. dard alignment. The trail grade will be limited to a maxinum ( of 108 for distances greater than 500 feet, 15% for distances IC than 500 feet, and 20% for extreme cases (less than 300 feet). Tk will be kept separate from both the bikeway and pedestrian trs distances or differences in vertical elevation. Normally, the trian trails will be positioned downwind of the other trails. ever the trail may need to cross a roadway, signs will be plac which follow the International Code by showing a horseman on i "Equestrian Crossing'' below. Underpasses are recommended wher trail crosses a section of major roadway not at an intersectic College Boulevard, Tamarack Avenue, and Elm Avenue. The trail be free from overhead obstructions from ground level to a heii 12 feet. Three rest stops will be provided along the system c Standards Common to Bicycle, Pedestrian and Equestrian Trails Construction of the bikeways, pedestrian and equestrian trail: several standards in common. All- trails will be constructed 1 vide good drainage. A cross slope is to be maintained with a 2 percent grade, with berms and ditches utilized to prevent wc of cuts and fills. Neither cut nor fill slopes should exceed Trail signs displaying the symbol of a horse for equestrian t' and a bicycle for the bikeways will be spaced every 1,000 fee entrance signs, will be posted at trail entrances and street Although the proposed trail systems minimize crossings with r for any trail crossing a roadway a crossing sign warning mot0 is to be set 300 feet before the crossing. Vehicular The Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan includes three major stre shown in the City of Carlsbad's General Plan Circulation Elem These streets are 102' and 84' right-of-way streets known fun within the master-planned area are local or local collector s 0 A rolling and meandering path will be the e ally as major snd secondary arterial streets. All other st 0 -36- @ It is anticipated that the local streets will be fairly level shown in Exhibits d and e and be landscaped according to the C of Carlsbad standards using one tree at each residence from th recommended list of street trees in the Plant Material section this report. The arterial streets (College, Elm, and Tamarack) present an o tunity to further reinforce the rural, natural feeling of the jects as shown in Exhibits b and c. It is recommended that th rights-of-way, slopes and medians along these streets be plant with random groups of trees and shrubs from the native and gen plants recommendations of the Plant Material section of this 1: This, rather than regimented street trees, will give the desir naturalistic effect €or the proposed slope treatment. Local c tors should be planted in a naturalistic pattern to reinforce overall effect. e e -37- 0 - e w -in -& -z LbcpI 0 0 -20 OPEN SPACE CATEGORIES a A. Undisturbed Native Vegetation Areas of native or naturalized vegetation to be left in their natural state. 1. No installation. 2. Clearing and cleanup. 3. Maintenance a. Litter control. b. Firebreaks. B. Restored Native Vegetation Areas of native and naturalized vegetation disturbed by constr or grading to be restored to their natural state. Replanting cies like those naturally occuring or which are adjacent with sion to install slope stabilization procedures until permanent become est ab 1 i shed. 0 1. Installation a. Temporary irrigation system that would be salvaged or b. Erosion prevention measures c. Ground cover d. Trees and shrubs abandoned. 2. Maintenance a. Litter control b. Fire breaks c. Irrigation repair until removed d. First year fertilization C. Supplemented Native Vegetation Areas of natural and introduced plant materials adjacent to r( and development that are visually impacting development. 1. Installation a. Automatic irrigation system c. Erosion control if required d. Shrubs and trees c. Paving if required (such as soil cement, decomposed g b. Turf and/or ground cover 0 -40- 4D 2. Maintenance a. Litter control b. Irrigation repair c, Fertilization d. Weed and pest control e. Pruning f. Irrigation water g. Turf mowing if required D. Refined Vegetation Areas of native and non-native plant materials which are more manicured than the above category. 1. Installation a. Automatic irrigation system b. Turf and ground cover c. Slope stabilization if required d. Trees and shrubs e. Specimen plant material f. Paving if required 2 - Naintenance a. Litter control b. Irrigation repair c. Fertilization d. Weed and pest control e. Pruning f. Irrigation water g. Turf mowing a E. Intensive Vegetation Areas of intensive landscaping for pleasing visual impact. Ma. slope is 5:l. 1. Installation a. Automatic irrigation system b. Turf and ground cover d. Specimum plant material e. Paving, walls, signs f. Park furniture, play equipment g. Lighting c. Trees and shrubs 2. Maintenance a. Litter control b. Irrigation repair c. Fertilization d. Weed and pest control e. Yiuning and aborculture f. Irrigation water g. Electricity h. Turf mowing e -41- @ PLANT MATERIALS Manufactured Slopes and Replanted Natural Slopes with Native and Naturalized Planting Groundcover : Hydromulch : Lupinus succulentus hydromu At r ip 1 ex semi lb aca t ta hydromu Lotus corniculatus h y dr omu (hydromulched and/or rooted cuttings) Rooted Cuttings: Baccharis pilularis rooted NOTE: (combination of Baccharis planted 36" O.C. and oversee with hydromulch provides best resu:Lts) Shrubs: (planted in 1-gallon container size) Ceanothus (all varieites) Tecomaria capensis Cis tus vellosus :Plumbago capense He teromele s arb uti f ol ia Fremontia mexicana Rhus integregolia €X ovata Lep to duc tylon calif Echium fas tuosm Berberis nevinii Romneya coulteri Ribes viburni f ol iur Acacia (species) 0 Trees: (planted in 1-gallon, 5 gallon, 15 gallon and 24" to Eucalyptus spp. (1-gallon only) Schinus molle (5-gallon and 1 Umbellularia califomica (5-gallon and 1 Platanus racemosa (5-gallon and 1 Alnus rhombifolia (1-gallon, 5-g; Pinus halepensis (1-gallon, 15 E Pinus Torreyana (1-gallon, 15 i box specimens) and box specin 15 - gallon) box specimen) box specimen) General Planting Trees: Acacia. Ceratonia siliqua. Eriobotrya japonica, Euc: Geijera parvifolia, Hakea, Heteromeles arbutifolia, linarifolia, Olea europaea, Pinus, Rhus lancea, Sch: Tamarix aphylla. e -42- Foliage Plants Arbutus unedo, Atriplex, Centaurea gymnocarpa, e Elaeagnus , Greyillea Pittosporum, Prunus lyoni, P. ilicifolia, P. caroliniana, Rhamus alaternus R. crocea ilicifolia, Rhus ovata, Senecio cine1 Xylosma congestum. Flowering Plants Achillea, Callistemon citrinus, Cistus, Convc cneorum, Coreopsis verticillata, Cytisus and tium, Echium fastuosum Escallonia, Eriogonii Fremontodendron, Garrya elliptica, Lantana, 1 ium perezii, Nerium oleander, Ochna serrulati Pennisetum setaceum, Plumbago auriculata, Ror coulteri, Teucrium fruticans I Ground Cover Baccharis pilularis, Hypericum calycinum, Rosmar. officinalis, Santolina chamaecyparissus , Ceanothi Cotoneaster. Vines Bougainvillea, Canpsis, Solanum hartwegii, Tecomaria ' ensis, Vitis vinifera, Wisteria. Street Trees* e Agonis flexuosa Metros idero s tomentosa Call is t emon ci tr inus Pinus canariensis Callistemon viminalis Pitfosporum undulatum Cupania anacardioides Pyriis kawakami Eucalyptus citriodora Quercus ilex Eucalyptus polyanthemos Tristania conferta Lagunaria pat tersoni Melaleuca quinquinervia *From City of Carlsbad approved street trees list. e -43- * I RRI GAT I ON SY S TEM 1. Restored Native Vegetation (manual operation) We recomaend rental of ''rain for rent" type Rainbird sprii lers with aluminum pipe. Very low maintenance. No natur: condition. Another alternate would be to install permanel systems to assist in additional fire prevention and contrc These systems would be used only during emergency periods or extreme droughts. areas are trenched and removal leaves the area in a naturi 2. Supplemented Native Vegetation "Rainbird" type sprinklers to be installed. These areas would be automatically controlled by using fre uent irrig amount of moisture at predetermined depths in the soil a "override" the controller when areas were considered "wet The difference in plant material requirements would be go erned by use of heavy or light application rate sprinkler Drip irrigation would be an acceptable alternate in lieu "Rainbird" type irrigation for plants. tions using moisture control devices" ithat wou 9 d govern t 0 3. Refined Vegetation Combination of use of "Rainbird" type sprinklers and "spr type systems. 4. Intensive Vegetation Mostly spray systems with some large rotor type sprinkler larger areas, General Each category would have to be determined on its own merit a: which category it lies within. All areas should receive a ml sensing override at the controller to avoid over watering an vide plant material with the proper soil-moisture relationsh quired in the root zone. All sprinklers having potential "r from a higher elevation of sprinkler heads should be supplie check valves to avoid erosion and wasted water run-off. Systems should be designed to operate in the hour 11 P.M. to and in high intensive areas such as parks, only five nights I Sunday through Thursday. I) *tensiometers -44- Care should be taken in installing meters and controllers at I A good example is that if all 2 200 acres of irrigation were t operate at any one instance, a flow of 3,700 gallons/minute cc happen at the peak summer requirements, An orderly fashion of programing, possibly a master-satellite system or strict adhe to procedures set up at a preliminary st;ge could reduce this maximum 1,000 gallons/minute flow, still a substantial amount. this quantity were to affect the fire flow, possibly master sw to turn off all irrigation would be in line or at least studic Slope irrigation should have separation of top, toe and cente slope for systems due to the obvious drainage and run-off con that would exist. Soil tests should be made and application rates for the sprin should be as close as possible to soil percolation rates. Irrigation systems along streets (R/W & median) should be don such a way as to minimize run-off to streets. In all the above cases the Landscape Architect responsible fo 0 final design should substantiate his design as to all the cri mentioned above. To reduce costs and make efficient use of resources, the use reclaimed water for irrigation is planned for Lake Calavera F Even if this system is not initially installed in the first I of development, provisions for stub outs would be provided fc subsequent use. The water reclamation system with a ponding east of Elm Avenue and a sewage treatment facility to be loc: west of Tamarack Avenue will provide not only water for irrii but also as a by-product of the proposed sewage treatment pl: fertilizer which can be used in the open space maintenance pl 0 Note: Drip irrigation for any area, using the proper system, should be considered if designed correctly. It is mentiop.ed ( as automatic irrigation and each area, by its merit, should bt determined for drip potential. This is the irrigation designt role in pursuing alternative methods. 0 65 a FIRE CONTROL (fire resistant plants) The major hazardous condition which exists with natural area: jacent to residential areas is that of fire. In order to in face natural areas with development, it follows that certain ifications to the situation must be made for safety. The fi codes and insurance companies are quite specific as to the r quirements of separation between structures and fire fuel ar Basically, it requires that all highly flammable vegetation ' removed in a fire break form to a minimum of thirty feet fro1 structure, and with a discretionary flexibility to require a as one hundred feet from the structure. The fire break area be maintained continuously to prevent the reinfestation of t' fuels. Normally, the elimination of vegetation causes serio problems of erosion due to the exposure of the surface soil. hazardous condition normally can be eliminated by proper pla and irrigation of less, or nearly non-flammable ornamental materials whose characteristics emulate the natural scheme. If the location of developments occurs at the crest of hills are adjacent to steep ravines, modification and harvesting o fire fuel within the entire ravine area may be necessary to tect against extremely volatile fire storms that could come ravine during a fire. e A- Typical Interface Conditions and Recommended Solutions: The following are typical examples of conditions where devel interface with natural areas. There shall be adequate fire accessibility to the native areas via the streets and bicycl or special access fire roads and easements per the fire mars quirements. Although it is not required, we would recommend cleared and planted natural and manufactured areas of slopes in the examples, be automatically irrigated and maintained k owner's association, rather than by individual homeowners. P areas which are to remain natural should be either turned ox City for open space or owned and maintained by a homeowner E tion. These native areas would only require the maintenance erated by the type of use, i.e. flat nature parks probably b quire trash pick-up, etc., due to intensive picnic usage; wf chaparral slopes would require very little maintanance. All to be cleared and planted should have an automatic irrigatic tern, although, there are three basic alternatives to irrigat 0 the natural-like plantings. -46- 0 a. Complete sprinkler system, either automatic or manually ope b. Temporary sprinklers installed for the establishment period the planting; then removed and the reliance of natural rain to sustain the planting. operation, to allow rainfall to sustain plant growth. c. No sprinklers with the proper seasonal timing of the planti Alternative (a) provides the best system of continued guarantee plant growth with adequate moisture constant for fire protectic This alternative also allows the ornamental plants to better cc with native material which might otherwise cause infestation ar continued harvesting, and removal maintenance problems. Alterr (b) provides adequate establishment, but usually is almost as E sive as alternative (a). It also does not insure adequate plar material moisture content after the system is removed. Altern: (c) is difficult to control the establishment due to the obvioi unknowns. It is only practical for small areas and requires mc maintenance during the establishment period (rainy season) . In all of the above alternatives, the installation of a quick c system for maintanance and fire protection is recommended. Plant material usage can vary according to the desired effect. is recommended that plants selected be representative of the ni existing material as far as form, color, and texture are concei Specific plant varieties should be selected for their fire res: quality. 1. Generally preferred are shrubs of low growth habit and fuc volume which have low heat output when they burn, can be e< established, and will grow under native site conditions. mended for the conditions of the Calavera Hills site inclu . Salvia sonomensis, Creeping Sage . Atriplex gardneri, Gardner's saltbush . Atriplex cuneata, Castlevalley saltbush . Atriplex canescens, Fourwing Saltbush Other low grawing plants introduced from other countries t also suitable to reduce fire hazards include: Cistus albi C. crispus, Hybrid rockrose; Galenia ubescens, Green gale artemlsia; and' Atriplex ssp, Saltbushes y other than the ab e 2. Some of low volume and low profile native shrubs that are ~~~~&~~~~th~~~ edule, 1Ceplant;r E-- eK!llSla Caucas1ca, Ca * -47- e 3. All of these introduced species and native ones listed do no require irrigation. Added protection can be gained by incor oration of irrigated greenbelts or fuelbreaks (a zone of pla material modified with irrigated non-native plants that reta moisture and act as a firebreak transition from purely nativ areas to the developed residential areas). 4. Pelargonium peltatum, gazania uniflora, osteospermum frutico iceplant varieties, and vinca major may be used for color ac The vehicle for maintenance of the native areas may either be a maintenance district formed for this purpose or the master homeo association. Principles of the interface of native brush areas residential areas are shown in Exhibits i-n. e 3 e A0 I----p___ - -~ __ __ - -___I 1/ PARKS AND OPEN SPACE MAINTENANCE PROPOSAL- I) The City of Carlsbad issued Policy Statement Nc,. L3, dated January 25, 1977 with rpference to open space maintenance which states: "The intent of this policy is to provide a level of develo ment of open space areas which will fit the character of the ne borhood and at the same time minimize maintenance costs. The creation of intensively landscaped areas, which are expensive t maintain, should be carefully limited. Open space areas should developed so as to obviate the need for a public maintenance di trict. 'I "In those instances where a public maintenance district is essential, this policy will provide guidelines to help insure that open space areas will be adequately maintained." Lake Calavera Hills proposes to follow these basic guideli 0 throughout its Master Plan. The essential criteria regarding o space will, of course, be to minimize the necessity for intensi landscaping by preserving the existing natural vegetation and 1 planting self-sustaining vegetation in newly landscaped areas. Should the necessity to form a maintenance district arise, the following proposal is felt to provide a cost/effective and effj cient means of maintaining open space areas in the Lake Calavei Hills community: Several items were deemed important considerations for th< formation of a maintenance district: 1) The necessity to insure maximum revenue production flexi- bility to insure that potentially accelerating costs will not exceed available funds and, 1/ - See technical supplement for entire report as prepared by Rutan & Tucker for Lake Calavera Hills Associ-Ltcs. 0 -49- 2) Achievement of optimum efficiency and citizen responsivent in the administration of the maintenance and operation of the open space through active participation in the decisic making process by the property owners who are most direct affected . After careful research into the available legislation re- e garding open space maintenance, a maintenance district formed pursuant to the Improvement Act of 1911, Streets and Highways Code Section 5820, et seq. was considered the most acceptable method of meeting the above-mentioned considerations. The following will outline the provisions of the 1911 Act Maintenance District: 1) The establishment of a maintenance district for improveme constructed pursuant to the Act including sidwalks, cross walks, steps, safety zones, platforms, seats, statuary, fountains, parks and parkways, recreation areas, planting of trees, shrubs and other ornamental vegetation. 0 2) Proceedings are as follows: a) Adoption of a resolution of intention stating intenti of City Council to order expenses of maintenance and operation assessed upon district as City Council shal determine will be benefitted by the maintenance and operation of the improvements proposed to be maintain b) Protest hearing (negative vote requires owners of one half or more of the acres of the property -- may be overruled by a four-fifths vote of the City Council). c) Maximum property tax rate established by voters of the district prior to or concurrently with the forma- tion of the district by written consent executed by property owners holding at least 60% of the land to be benefitted. d) Costs estimated annually thereafter and tax rate assigned to meet costs. Levied and collected at the 0 -5e- same time and mariner as general tax levy for City pur- poses. Paid into City Treasury to the credit of the fund of the maintenance district. City Council may de termine that whole or any part of the expense of main- tenance shall be paid by the City -- if so, it must be stated in the resolution of intention. e It is felt that setting a tax rate which anticipates rea- sonably foreseeable revenue demands without the necessity of a recurring tax rate election affords the City and the property owners the most efficient and flexible method of providing mair tenance. It is also suggested that to insure effective owner parti- cipation in the administration of the maintenance and operation fund, the open space dedication which is reqLuired as a conditio of subdivision approval should include a provision establishing an advisory board comprised of City officials and property owne or their designated representatives. The function of the advic board would be to consult with the City Council and its staff c questions of day-to-day maintenance and operation of the open space areas, as well as long-range planning. This board would be formed and approved by the City Council prior to the dedica- tion of open spaces. ab This structure would provide both the Council and its staf with guidance in fixing the tax rate, insuring proper directior for use of tax dollars and providing management for the distric The City Council would, of course, approve or disapprove the efforts, direction and management plans of the board. The make-up of the board would include three members appointed by the landowner and two by the City Council prior tc the occupancy of the dwelling units. As the land is developed and the residents begin to occupy the units, the residents, rat than the landowners, should begin assuming the responsibility for governance of this advisory board. The following chronolog @ is proposed: -51 - 1) Initial formation of maintenance district: a (2) City Council (3) Landowners 2) First occupancy of dwelling units and until 2/3 property is developed: (2) City Council (2) Landowners (1) Homeowners 3) After 2/3 of the property is developed and occupied: (2) City Council (1) Landowners (2) Homeowners 4) After full development of Lake Calavera Hills: (2) City Council (3) Homeowners The following tables present an estimation of costs ar,d revenues generated by Lake Calavera Hills for the purpose of mai taining parks and open space. By arbitrarily setting a tax rate of $.50 per $100 of asses valuation (through the use of the Improvement Act of 1911), it i possible to illustrate the potential for adequately covering the maintenance costs incurred by the project. 0 Overhead costs include staff (labor, benefits, taxes) and equipment purchase and replacement. e -52- LAKE CALAVERA HILLS OPEN SPACE MAINTENANCE DISTRICT COST/REVENUE PROJECTIONS 0 1977-1980 1.9 8 1-198 4 1985- Phase I1 Phasc _-.___- Phase I Acreage (Undeveloped) 481 202 Value per Acre (Fair Mkt. Value)ij $ 4,600 $ 5,290 Assessed Valuation (258) 1,150 1,320 $553,150 $266 , 640 Total Assessed Valuation _______-----------------------------------------------.----------------------- Acreage (Developed) * 327 606 Total D. U.: Single Family 624 1,357 Multiple Family 772 1 , 229 Market Value/Unit: Single Familyk' $70,000 $84 , 000 $1( -I/ Multiple Fm.- 2' 50,000 60,000 Total Market Value 82,28O,OOO 187,728,000 312 , 51 Assessed Valuation (25%) $20 I570,oOO $461932,000 $78 I 11 * TOTAL ASSESSED VALUATION $21 , 123 , 150 $47,198,640 $78,1d (Developed & Udeveloped) _____________----_---------------------------------------------------------. Tax Rate: (mx REVENUES) $.50 per $100 A.V. $105 , 615 $235 , 990 $3' (60,960) (111 , 850) (21 (67) (103) - Surplus (Deficit) 44 I 655 124 , 140 1 ( (40 I 000) (7O,ooo) - Overhead Costs $ 4,655 $ 54,140 $1 Y Surplus (Deficit)- MAJTJIFmNcE COSTS - 2/ (Approximate acres) Cost per D.U. per annum at $.50 tax rate: $87.50 $105.00 Single Family Multiple Family $62.50 $ 75.00 __ 1/ Phase I1 increased 15% over Phase I 2/ Increased for inflation 5% per year - T/ Indicates potential for decreasing tax rate * SOURCE: Lake Calavera Hills Associates @ ]Excludes 20 acres of SIX & E Easement which is undevelopable. -53- e LAKE CALAVERA HILLS OPEN SPACE MAINTENANCE COSTS (1977 - 1978) Cost/Month/Per* Acre Year -- Area - Undisturbed Native Vegetation $ 36 $ 43 Supplemented Native Vegetation 1 Refined Vegetation 2 46 55 88 1,05 120 1,45 e Intensive ~ege tat ion3 250 3,OO Restored Native Vegetation 1) for the first 12 months only, after 1 year reverts to cos for Undisturbed Native Vegetation. 2) includes slopes along arterial collectors (Tamarack, Elm, and College) 3) includes intensively developed parks and recreation (20 a *figures based on similar maintenance categories currently in at Newport Beach Parks and Recreation Department. SOURCE: The Peridian Group 0 -KA- 0 SLOPE DESIGN The majority of land use within the study area is residential its related services such as schools and commercial supports. erally, the flatter the gradient, the higher the intensity of land use and as the topography and gradient steepens, the low intensity gets. It is in the treatment of the streetscapes, and the interface between residential areas and the natural E proved open space that lies the opportunity for developing a character for the master planned community. This section described recommendations for slope design to gj rural and naturalistic effect. 1. Vary slopes when possible from l-l/Z:l to 3:l or more wl possible. Flair or "feather" proposed slope gently into existing tt when possible. (Ekhibits j, f) 2. Shorten deep comer lots to reduce gradient of slope. (EX 3. Shorten deep lots to allow undulation in slope top and r( top of slope. Eliminate certain lots to allow slope to flatten or to " a 4. in" creating visual alcoves to break up the monotony of stant linear slopes. (Exhibit i) 5. Shorten depth of existing corner lots to undulate slope ient and round the top and toe of the slope. (Exhibit h) 6. Eliminate the shallow corner lots to allow more substant flattening of existing slope and more flexibility in slo rounding. (Exhibit h) 7. Round and undulate the toe of slope so there is no defin line. (Exhibit f) 8. Allow toe to undulate into the street right-of-way, somc even to the curb line. At the same time allow the side\ undulate in and out of the right-of-way. (Exhibit f) Maintain less than 30 foot elevation changes between be1 See Exhibits f-s 9. e -55- e e 3kdi- * -56- e -57- 0 F\a l-l-trs G&m qX'hbb c k* .. -._ .' - 0 b rn Tftcs tow wwby 0 r*m * tots. m3m ""* be al'ved zit te\n provide a vi* .-..- w'w \&I .. _.. UAdLdevga ..- .. -.- 9 r-hkvzeihov -58- * a a -59- -60- / cry ~ vrlwimde- 4ISklCt 07 1 brn~ow~' rnd+imrLz 4*&& r--- 1 0 - -61- @ a3 (9% e 0 -62- a e wte: yvwlStefCWtl&, ib -fw W-bM w FamSrnfi4. e -I A- SECTION V PUBLIC FACILITIES AND PHASING 0 General It is the intent of the amended Master Plan to insure that adequate levels of all public facilities are available to Lake Calavera Hills as the individual villages develop. An attempt has been made by Lake Calavera Hills Associates to assess the future public facilities needs of the development and adequate land area has been allocated for future public fac ities use. It is, however, a decision to be made in the futurc by the City of Carlsbad as to the desirability and timing for such facilities to be built. No land dedication other than that shown for public parks, arterial streets and reserved locations for schools presently shown in the Master Plan is contemplated by Lake Calavera Hill: Upon determination of the need for a specific public facility, sites will be made available for acquisition by the City of Cai from Lake Calavera Hills Associates. Streets @ The exact location and precise alignmer-t of major arteria: streets (Elm, Tamarack and College) is impossible during the Master Plan stage due to the general topography of the Master I area. During development, the precise alignment of these artei is subject to further engineering studies which may require mil modification of present alignments. Precise alignment will be controlled by the City Engineer through tentative and final ma] recordations and approvals. Water ___ Present supply reaches the project by the 27 inch Squires Dam Transmission Line, the 20 inch El Camino Real Transmission Main and two 14 inch feeder lines which are fed off the El Cam Real Main. All of these lines are in place and operating pres including a 100,000 gallon booster station storage tank and th @ -65- 0 e main one million gallon storage tank (elevation 456') at the northerly terminous of the 14" feeder which bisects the project The Tri-Agency Pipeline will provide high pressure water I 0 within the project area for future supply. The present plan approved by CMWD will supply 20 cubic feet per second to flow westerly to the project area. By agreement with CMWD, all water improvements will be pa for by the developer as each village is built, the exception bt transport lines (mains) which are included in the Tri-Agency Pipeline proposal and will be paid for by the district which WJ then be reimbursed by all the users of the District 3 system. A report has been prepared by Woodside/'Kubota & Associate: Inc. entitled "Master Plan for Public Water System Improvement District No. 3 North and East of El Camino Real", dated July, 1 and has been included in the technical supplement to this Mastc Plan Amendment. Sewer 0 --_ Current practice in the City of Carlsbad indicates the En( Treatment Facility as the primary source of sewage treatment ar it would be desirable for Lake Calavera Hills to be serviced b: this facility. But, because of the restricted capacity at the Encina Treatment Facility and the orobability that it will coni for a long period of time (5 years+), Lake Calavera Hills propc that a separate district be formed and a500,000 gallon waste WE reclamation facility be constructed to service the planned corn using Alternative #9 of the Lowry & Associates Feasibility Stuc (see technical supplement). In addition to the system proposec Alternative #9, Lake Calavera Hills plans to reclaim water thrc the use of wells at the north property line for redistribution use throughout the project for agricultural and irrigation pur- poses. A suitable location for the satellite plant to serve the Lake Calavera Hills project is available within the master-plai area (See Exhibit G). It is the intent of Lake Calavera Hills 0 -66- r-~-~~ ~~~ ___ ~. ~~ ___. ~~~~~__ .~ _~___~ ~~~~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~ ~~~ W W J ~ I -67- ~ ~~~~~~~ ~~ ~ ___. ~__ . - ~___~ L. ~ ~ ~ ~ ~~ ~~~~ ~ - . ~ e build this plant provided that it is located within the boundar of the Lake Calavera Hills property. The facility will be buil 0 at no cost to the City of Carlsbad and will then be turned over to the City under a reimbursement agreement for the purpose of repaying Lake Calavera Hills through the normal collection of s hook-up fees for the cost of the facility (most of these fees will be paid through the future development and build out of La Calavera Hills). The proposed waste water reclamation facility will be designed with the potential for exparision in the event that the City of Carlsbad should determine that additional capacity be made available to other areas of Northeast Carlsbad Solid Waste -__ Solid waste from Lake Calavera Hills is collected and displ at the county-operated land fill facilities. McDougal Sanitati has indicated that it has adequate capacity to meet the anticip; demands of the proposed Lake Calavera Hills communities. Phasec solid waste demands are given in the accompanying table. a Gas & Electric The San Diego Gas & Electric Company will distribute natur; gas and electricity to the Lake Calavera Hills areas. The futu: power demands of Lake Calavera Hills are within the long-range capacities of San Diego Gas & Electric. Phased energy demands are given in the accompanying table. All utilities including pi visions for cable television shall be placed underground. Schools Lake Calavera Hills is currently served by the Carlsbad Unified School District. Lake Calavera Hills shall comply with the City of Carlsbad's public facilities policy by assuring con- tinued cooperation with its School District by the setting asid< of such land as may be necessary to meet the needs of the Schooi District. (see Land Use Section for specific sites) To meet the term need for educational facilities of the Lake Calavera Hills ment, Lake Calavera Hills Associates has proposed a payment to t School District of a fee which would provide relocatable classrc the District use. Alternately, Lake Calavera Hills Associates I: proposed purchasing the classrooms, preparing the sites for the: use and leasing the facilities to the School District. C;R c, 0 e co m w 00N/ N 0 0 r. C' 0 in a w o ammi e e 040 0 0 m W m Pent rl ID ON ON ?--I-- . . I. . . . . . rdlcurimio IN 7lIDDCorl e NCo02 r. N P cnr. d la mm mrd mc ria lcuri ommruco Lo mda 0 e N m rl cn rla, >La ''a COH *2" 4H X - Irn U4rd cbrd 0 om0 0 o CD CJ m oar u3 CUoqoTr r- 0 6\ m M r. cor. W cn 0 m 7-4 w m I-.c?mru Lr m W . . . . . . . i'.".l w Ln CC L'? P- MAW CO MN Public Transit Lake Calavera Hills will adhere to the policies of the Cit of Carlsbad as stated in the Circulation Element regarding pub1 transit. It is contemplated that the area will be serviced by North County Transit Authority as is the entirety of the City c Carlsbad. Flood Control 0 The provision of storm drainage facilities throughout the Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan area is necessary to avoid pote flooding. The general drainage basin for flood water dispersal would be to Agua Hedionda Lagoon and its collecting system. Lake Calavera Hills shall meet all requirements of the Sar Diego County Department of Sanitation and Flood Control and the City of Carlsbaci in providing flood control facilities to neigl borhoods as they are developed within the Master Plan. General Government _- The need for additional police, fire and library facilitic for Lake Calavera Hills is a future possibility. The determin; of timing and location of these facilities will involve a deci: by the City of Carlsbad as to their need. Lake Calavera Hills Associates will make available sites for acquisition by the Cil of Carlsbad for public facilities as their need Is determined. 0 PHASING The development of Lake Calavera Hills is expected to occi over a ten to twelve year period. No plan can project the prec sequence in which the various villages will be constructed. PI will be sensitive to the issues of prevailing market condition as well as City requirements. Development of units within eac may overlap depending on current market conditions. Upon completion of the individual villages, and subject t acceptance by the City, streets, adjacent open space areas, pa school sites and utilities will be dedicated to the proper age in conformance with the final map approval of that village. 0 -70- PHASING SCHEDULE - ___-__ (Exhibit H) Single Multi- Total School Streets Village Fm. Fm. D.U. Corn. Site Park & Util. 0 PHASE I A X Tamarack B 282 Tamarack D 298 Tamarack F x Elm G 150 Tam. /Elm H 33 Tam. /Elm I 42 Elm J 260 Elm C 117 n/a E X n/a K ($1 __ 214 Elm - Subtotal 5 07 889 1,396 PRXE I1 -__ K (4) 214 Elm L 243 n/a M x n/a N X n/a 0 221 n/a P 460 College - - College a Q 52 Subtotal 681 509 1,190 PHASE I11 R 273 College S x College T 210 College U 27 College V 151 College lil 116 College X 34 College Y X College z-1 30 College z- 2 25 College 2-3 (SDG&E Easement j - - 866 Subtotal 866 __ TOTAL 2,054 1,398 3,452 1/ Determined by Carlsbad Unified School District 2/ - Determined by Carlsbad Parks and Recreation Department * Tentative I) -71- -72- ~~ ,’ / L ~~ ~ ~~ -~~ ~- a 13 MUl sw ow \ I I I I I I ! / H HU 2 "SH 4AZ2 WZPIW 3H @g gz2 az w4 x zz 44w PI (/1 dS a wcn 4 Ed crjda co g: P P a r-i * \ I \ I \ I \ \ i 1 ~ I \ =\ \ I a' = " 1 I 1 I / ' \'\ I j ! - \ I I 'I >/ \-l '\ \ 'i \ '\ \ P- \ \ \ \ ' \ .. \ \ ' I Y \ \ / ._ e! I I I I I 0' 0' 0' 01 0' 0' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 cu 0-l ri u-l 0 cn 0 cn CD W M r- co W co mLn 4a3 4 H tY OT 44 -3 e,p: a3 24 HA \ r=' a\ 14' k \ a! - - ----I I - G rd ri e, k a +J - - k 0 w -2 a, 3 rl - a *\ \ rv\ \ Ln q- \ \ m - I1 aseyd 1 3: P44w x 3rv 00 ri co 0 a3 0-l P a3 r- P r- W P a * 0 ri 4 rd -. m c, .ri r: =1 - t7 G .A rl rl a a I asqd L 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 la 3a Uk u .!-I 03 a UF ci.4 a Cricl oa G3 a* dn PC >h E .d a L43 ua 00 @E a4 4 --rl cl .ri ci aa 3 mx Ga >Oh 5a om a.d a ET: ET: c am ; mo 542 $ e -n m E z w P; H 3 3 01- ri w* 03 4' ri WG3 m 4ulO Hki zua Ha 4,3m P;lG - wwri 0 4H m cn ri 2 m- dLJH *:g; xPCz 4\fi dB G\ 0 r- z cn 4 ri PI 3 u u 0 co I- a\ ri r. r. cn ri 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 M ri a b m M ri rl ri SLINfl 60 H38IdflN e -75- ~ 0 0 SECTION VI COMMUNITY IDENTIFICATION AND SIGN PROGRAM e Other than as specifically requested In Section VI, Lake Calavera Hills plans to have an integrated and controlled signing program consistent with the City ordinances. It is planned for community entrance signs to be located where Tamarack Avenue, Elm Avenue and College Avenue enter the mastel planned areas. Design Motif -___ All signs as nearly as possible wi1.1 be done on board: representing the shape of the planned community. EXAMPLE : a All directional and information signs will be done in the same color motif as the permanent community entrance indic Background: Light Sand Lettering: Dark Brown, Green or B1 0 -76- Location of Permanent Community Entrance Signs Each entry to the property on the arterial streets Of Tamarack, Elm and College Avenues shall have a community identi- ficat )<)I) sign. EXAMPLE : 0 T q '6" A PrmvNeO COWMUNWT 0 i /ice d 4 0 -77- Directional and Information Signs Except where specifically requested, the sign Program for * Lake Calavera Hills will be in accord with the sign program ordinance of the City of Carlsbad. Directional and informatio signs will be controlled by the Architectural Control Committe Information and directional signs will be allowed during thc sales programs on all collector streets. These signs for each village development shall be allowed to identify itself with a entrance sign of a permanent nature. These signs shall be approved by the Architectural Control Committee and shall conform to the architecture and landscapinc plan of the community as determined by the Committee. Directional and information sign will be uniform in construc tion, colors and lettering to provide a neat and orderly appea: ance throughout the development. Yearly renewals of permission by developers to use directiol @ and information signing must be sought and approved by the Architectural Control Committee as well as the City of Carlbad Flagging of sales and marketing areas (model homes) shall bc allowed if approved as to color, height and size by the Archi- tectural Control Committee. Size and Type of Temporary Directional and Information Signs All directional and information signs shall have the appear; of "permanency" and shall be no less in size than 24" x 36" or larger than 36" x 60". Said signs shall not be closer than one every 100 yards a101 the right-of-way. At all times these signs shall be maintainec in good "bright" condition. The final design of these interim construction period signs shall blend with the general architectural and landscape plan 3) of Lake Calavera Hills. -78- EXAMPLE : e k Po " 34 This type of sign shall not exceed 25 in number at any time for any one subdivision under construction within Lake Calaver Hills. Permission and use of same shall be by authorization c the Architectural Control Committee. The number, location, content and color of these signs shall be controlled by the Architectural Control Committee and approval prior to submission to the City of Carlsbad shall be required. a -79- 0 .. *'7y 'p, 7 0 MASTER PLAN PLAN MAP LAKE CALAVERA i-lILLS C A RLSBAD, C A LIFO G NIA PLilhN NC e CALAVCRA PROPERTIES INC ENVIROMETRICS DEVELOPMENT P ANN NG INC 8550 GARDEN GPOVE BOULEVARD MCABE EffiINEtHliG INC GARDEN GROVE CALIFORNIA 92644 TELEPHONE 714 534 7490 TEL 714 442 1681 *I" 'NChIIRIIC 607 ALDWYCH ROAD EL CAJON CALIFORNIA 92020 LtGInO r @-I LLLYINIAIV LOCAl MII OW SPA(1 - e ADDITIONAL TECHNICAL DATA PARKS, OPEN SPACE, & MAINTENANCE ON (SECTION IV) 0 0 LIST OF STUDIES PERFORMED FOR LAKE CALAVERA HILLS AND SUBMITTED TO THE CITY OF CARLSBAD a ___ TITLE DATE PERFORMED BY 1. Master Plan-l50/EIR 9/3 0/7 3 Envirometric Developen Flaming, Inc. 2. Market Feasibility Study 7/2/7 6 Development Dimensions ('Prac t 7 6-12 ) Research 3. EIR (Tract 76-12) 9/2 0/7 6 RECON 4. CC & R's * 11/76 Ibtan & Tucker 5. Open Space Maintenance 12/76 3utan & Tucker Alternatives * 6. Soil & Geologic Investigation 1/28/77 SGT Consultants (Tract 7 6-12 ) 7. Market Feasibility Update 1/7 7 Ashley Econcmic Service (Tract 76-12) 8. Market Feasibility Update 3/7 7 Lake Calavera Hills Ass (Tract 76-12) 9. First Master Plan Amendment Draft 3/77 Lake Cdavera Hills As: 10. Consideration in Sewage Handling 4/7 7 Lowry & Associates e Facilities for Lake Calavera Hills* 11. Preliminary Percolation Testing 5/6/77 Irvine Soils & Engineer for Effluent Percolation Ponds * 12. Hydrq-eolqic Study * 6/2 1/7 7 Irvine Soils & Engineel 13. Geohydrologic Study for Wateer 9/13/77 Irvine Soils & Engine= Reclamation Project * 14. Draft EIR (Master Plan) 7/19/77 City of Carslbad, RECOP 15. Master Plan for public Water 7/7 7 Woodside, Kwta System Improvement District #3 North and East of El Camino Real* 16. Fiscal Impact Report a/7 7 Levander, Partridge, AI 17. Parks and Open Space Eleiint 8/19/77 The Peridia Group 18. L%ster Plan Amendment 10/77 Lake Calavera Hills As: 19. Revised Master Plan Amenchent 12/77 Lake Calavera Hills As: * Technical Supplement on File with Planning Department e -81- e NOISE ATTENUATION Noise is an increasing problem particularly in suburban areas. Acoustical experts call noise invisible pollution. They have I us that noise has increased to the point of threatening human 1 ness and health. The Master Plan for Lake Calavera Hills intends to provide and tain a healthy acoustic environment for all residents. Land uses relate to noise in two ways. They can be particular1 sensitive to excessive noise levels or they can generate noise excessive for surrounding laEd uses. This project proposes resildences, schools, libraries, parks, ar churches, which are noise sensitive. The primary noise generat offroad vehicle noise, construction noise, and active parks. Planning measures to mitigate noise generation and minimize noi effect on noise sensitive land uses are discussed in the Amendc Master Plan. This section will discuss proposed methods of att uating sound in the plan execution. Sound energy from a source usually spreads out and never returr to the source. Sound will be dissipated in transmission. Sour waves can be absorbed, reflected, deflected, or refracted when meet a barrier or change of medium. Sound can be partially dir ished by multiple reflectilon to produce reverberant sound. Outdoor sounds are usually attenuated or reduced in intensity I reaching the receiver. Basically, attenuation is of two types first of these is normal attenuation due to distance. The secc excess attenuation resulting frcm the introduction of elements barriers between the sound source and the receiver. Normal attenuation occurs as the sound travels over a distance. is partially absorbed by the air and partially absorbed by the ground. Maximizing distances from noise generators and set-bac will accomplish this. Factors contributing to the reduction of sound through excess t uation are climatic conditions, and the introduction of element between the sound source and the receiver. Climatic condition: have an affect on sound attenuation in that sound as it travel: be modified and the rate of attenuation changed by wind and ter expected to affect Lake Calavera Hills are highway and street r @ e ature. -82- Elements introduced between the sound source and the receiver r duce sound by absorption, deflection, reflecrion, and defractio of sound waves. Absorption takes place when an element receives the sound waves entraps or absorbs them, converting the sound into other energy forms and, ultimately, heat. Deflection is accomplished by introducing an element which caus the noise to be bounced away from a recipient into an area or direction less offensive to the hearer. Reflection causes the sound to be reflected toward its source, shielding the receptor from offense. Refraction occurs when acoustical energy is dissipated, diffuse by turbulence and gusty winds; and sound shadows may be produce upwind of noise sources. Masking while not actually a form of attenuation, occurs when ' sound is introduced to override upleasent or undesirable noise. example piped-in music in offices is a form of masking unpleas2 undesirable sound. In order to attenuate sound, combinations of grade changes, slc plantings, walls and architectural elements will be employed tc reflect, deflect, refract and msk sound. Examples of possible installations are shown in Exhibits t through x. 0 or dispersed by striking a rough surface. Sound is also disber 0 0 -83- 1, .. \ e -84- , \ '\\ lo' vaXmue& -85- \\ 1 \ '\ - * \ h'b\&- Lkhlkl *a% Awbbr- wSc\ 4 wl , I 5a4Ws\rouM hwe WIrD lJ..)\w e 0 -86- e MAINTENANCE REQUIREMENTS A. Planting 1. Frequent and close mowing throughout the summer may reliev the necessity of fall thatch removal in Bermuda lawn. 2. Aerate with suitable equipment if Bermuda lawn shows signs both directions. compaction. Use 1/2 to 1" spoons at full depth. Aerify i 3. Cultivate only where needed to improve the appearance of tr 4. Maintain a basin around each plant as large around as the 1 planting bed (Do not cultivate as a means of weed control) itself and 3" to 4" deep. 5. Maintain mulches of fallen leaves and city supplied chippii from its tree maintenance program to help eliminate need o cultivation and weed control. 6. Street trees in cut-outs - replace or repair tree ties and and add top soil beneath cover if necessary to correct set 7. Train and guy espaliers and vines. 8. Prune groundcover around light fixtures. 9. Frequently hose off plant foliage to remove dust and grime B. Sprinklers 1. Maintain heads at proper height, adjust and clean as neces: 2. Adjust risers as plant material grows up and affects perfo- e of sprinklers. 3. Replace or repair damaged heads and/or risers. 4. Check automatic controllers and valves periodically for ma functions. 5, Periodically, when irrigation system is on, check that all arc functioning properly. C. Miscellaneous 1. Clean walks and paved areas. Avoid washing into planted a water will carry grease and soil off a paved surface and m damage plants and soil. I * -87- @ 2. Repair damaged or broken landscape lighting fixtures. 3. Trash removal in planting areas is very important for appe and because insect and disease organisms live and multiply trash which accumulates at the base of the plant. I) * -88- e PERENNILBLS & ANNUALS A. Perennials 1. Cut back severely once a year (time). At this time fex lize, soil condition and mulch. 2. Fertilize lightly each month during blooming season wit Gro-Rite 6-10-4 or equal. 3. Thin periodically and remove dead flower heads, leaves, etc. B. Annuals 1. Chmge three (3) times per year. 2. Time of Planting. During May for summer color During August for fa11 color During January for spring color Fertilize lightly each month during the growing season Gro-Rite 6-10-4 or equal. e 3. 4. Deep watering. 0 -89- e PRUNING OR TRIMMING A. General - Remove all d.ead plant foliage; broken, dead or d seased branches by the use of a sharp pair of garden pruni shears. Remove completely to the end of stalk and base of trunk or main stem - leave no stumps. B. Street Trees - Remove low branches that could interfere wi pedestrian or vehicular traffic. Eliminate V-shaped crotc and branches growing toward center of tree. Annual winter pruning should be done by qualified tree pruner. C. Crotch Cutting - Make clean, smooth cuts parallel and as c to the main trunk as Flossible. Leave no stubs as they ten invite decay or infection. Limbs of considerable weight s be undercut and top cut before the parallel cut is made; prevents splitting and stripping bark from the tree. Trea cuts over 1" in diameter with tree seal material. D. Miscellaneous Prune Deciduous trees in February. Thin out shrubs as needed during October. 0 -90- e WEED CONTROL A. To control blade grass in dichondra lami or broadleaf grou cover - Use Dow-Yon B. To control broadleaf weeds in bemda lawn - Use 2-4-d; 2,4,5,-7 (do not water for a day or two after a.pplication) . C. To control broadleaf weeds in dichondra or blade grass wee( bermuda lawn - Use hand weeding or spot application of Dow-Pon or 2-4-D; : D. To control weeds in walks, gravel, concrete cracks, etc., . Use same as C. above at stronger rates. 0 E. General Information 1. Avoid shallow watering - most weeds come with shallow t 2. Weeds to be removed by hand should be pulled when soil moist. 3. In shrubbery or groundcover areas, spot treat and/or ht weed only. 4. Follow manufacturers directions I 9 -91- FERTILIZING A. Fertilize when soil is moist. e B. Irrigate immediately after fertilizing with either dry or liquid materials. C. Do not overwater plant beds for excessive water will leach fertilizer materials down below the root zone, wasting wat and fertilizer. D. Do not use bargain manures or peat moss materials. Improp composed manures may contain weed seeds, debris or toxic c icals and certain low grade peat moss will have a high "sa content, toxic to plants. Do not attempt to "catch-up" on your fertilizer program by creasing the recommended application rate. Too much ferti will kill or severely set the plants back in growth. E. G. NOTES 1. Bermuda Lawn a. Mow once a week. Use reel type mower. Remove cli b. Remove thatch by verticutting or renovating (follo pings and edge after each mowing. e by fertilization). 2. Watering a. Dichondra areas to receive more frequent watering b. Thoroughly water after conditioning, fertilizing a c. Adjust hose bibb in street tree-cut-outs for soaki d. Do not overwater pots. Allow soil to become almos (especially during summer). or mulching. type watering. (but not to the point where the plant wilts). Gen water once every ten (10) days, 4. Apply fertilizer to trees by means of holes at 2' apar 5. Caution: Keep chemicals off of concrete surfaces; it 1% to 2' deep throughout area of dripline. to stain. 6. Pot Draining Use a dip stick to determine if pot needs draining. 7. Approved equals of above brands may be used. 0 -32- a E-c Pi u e; c3 z H n w w crc a U I I CCI rn k A0 r a I TJal I @E: 0 4 kl-4 *kl-irl h0.d uk n *l-l a * hS m .k a 3 0l-I aaurtu3 ua aw orl QI ac b4cdEias4dwu 2: a3oa urlwaa4 crc-4 Q)I d rl hQ Em I L) I cd cdc e5 oa5= g .rl (dw F: 0 aaag ac ~ U +a, .&&$ a -Q) ac4cdoa M Ud U Tmg QO’ kCar8Q r: 3zi2 I alL)-r(k CnuasaaJT3 3 4 C& 0 QI oa a 4 u c) 3bi LT3-l-l-d G a crldQ1w@QoQ.datu Tl .I4 \ GSd m p.!? .A ad-V, U4: u 0 Urn-d 3 a 00 -3 2 rlu a 63kaa k PG a w?X:”,:;~ 5 8 urd$ k M? k U? I4 c(d u U %Y- ’ z %d 9% 932 : Sm 03 - tI3 - - - - % %a a rd aJ a& NO 00 Q)u $40 k k a- m.. r= 4 d aw *rl& m dad ‘ 6U a= m auol a3.rl ‘ ca aJ CQI dm a\k a= k cd= td m4-d m .-Pa m4.n I aw ad 0 c = &@a 30 g*r4 rl .ti 0 4 % -4 u 2 .c - - -4 m U u Am 2 i& %$ * 2-22 s-% I .rl rl u.4 u .rl ak ak k M? UP, aa b m-4 m-4 8 *rl r(. 4- ri rl .dbi .rl w .rl - 4 - U. 4J. 4Jw Ubi IC0 Im I. I. rl rl ri [I] dm *rl 0 *rl 0 -1i *rl u 00 00 (3 0 00 .rl rnm rnm cn 0 v)O a A I4 0 0 O\ O\ (3 l-4 Od C 0 a0 a0 (I) 0 a0 CrCA LA k 4 kl4 U u u -A *rl Cm cm Am g .rl k2 E2 ijY IC 20 14 \ ,-I + LJ* $40 LJ* $40 u QI u -I4 u -4 05 03 ak ak kt9 4 aa d=1 B rn-4 rn4 x-4 $3 $23 €I aa k p-! k c--- i a- 0 l-4 -4 Jn a. am am \DUM aJ m ca ad a : U \.rl cd a0 aJkk rl 0 u cd am 0 ZO 0 -4 a0 aJ0 4mCrC I QIO .TI *I+ mrl &.-Pa k\ lrl0 a=%= 0 u 4 mrl k\ a=%= 0u.d I aJ a=%= Erc om 00 km 50 Om kd-w urn Urn c3-m-4 urn c310 $$ .: $ 0 ? $m2 s c 2: c aJgm: 6% u cc B ;G.% rduc k mu c cd rd 4 ala k cdk k 0 3ov3 @?SzU& k *A ka aJ -0 wo rd.rl= uww k OdIaJ .I4 c rlu a ? a aJ +f!; Zkrd a0 -..J9 i( a k d a- om CaJk a) ua)a~a- E uua, kcl k r, -4 (d n ’7? n rnr> $Ik a %2 5% $52 5 IRRIGATION 1) A. To determine if enough water is being applied: Digging bc and after watering (a steel rod soil tube or something sir will do) to determine water penetration depth, Amount of water penetration should be: 8" to 10'' deep for lawn areas 6" deep for most low ground cover plants 6" to 10" deep for small shrubs 18" to 24" deep for large shrubs and small trees Large shrubs and bigger trees require deeper and less frec watering (due to depth of their roots). B. To determine if soil is too dry or wet: Usually soil is c in color when wet and it can be formed into a loose ball tr squeezed in your hand. When too dry, soil will not form i and falls apart very easily. e C. To Water: 1. Automatic a. Determine (manually) amount of water, timing and 1 vals between watering to achieve the required dept tration. Turn irrigation on and let it run until penetration is achieved or until water puddles. Y system off and let water soak into soil. Repeat g as necessary to determine water penetration depth. water run off and check shady areas so as not to c b. Schedule watering cycle at the controller on a daj time basis. 2. Manual Determine the amount of water required to water to the quired depth (follow steps as described above). Regul the watering program by the intervals between irrigatj a -94- e D. Deep Watering q. Hose deep water trees and larger shrubs (24" min. pene- tration - deeper for larger trees). Larger trees requj less frequent watering due to the depth of their root E Use of a deep watering wand may be required, especially 2. existing and large specimen trees. E. Additional Information 1. Due to weather condition and time of year, repeat procc described above at different times throughout the year. 2. During periods of warm weather, the intervals between watering will be shorter; when weather turns cool, the time between watering will get longer. or after it starts to cool in the afternoon. 3. Watering should be done before it becomes hot in the mc 4, For more efficient irrigation, the use of a tensiometer override the automatic system is recommended. a e -95- 1 r 1 1 1 1 1 c I 1 t I 1 ! 1 1 1 a ENVIROMETRICS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING, INC. 8140 PASEO DEL OCAS0 LA JOLIA, CA. 92037 (714) 489-6167 5670 WlLSHlRl LOS ANGELES. (213) 935-52C I EOP- September 30, 1973 Mr. Robert L. Farrow, President Calavera Properties, Inc. 8550 Garden Grove Boulevard Garden Grove, California 92642 Re: Lake Calavera Hills Dear Mr. Farrow: In accordance with your instructions, we are pleased to sd a Master Plan for the development of Lake Calavera Hills, Car lsbad , California . The content of the Master Plan is set forth in two accompai reports: 1. Survey and Analysis of relevant geographic, demographic, housing and economic factors affecting the development potential of the Lake Calavera Hills Property; and 2. A Master Plan report on the Particulars and Proposals of the plan, supported by An Environ- mental Impact Report on the development proposed under the Master Plan. These proposals have been prepared for submission to the C of Carlsbad in order to secure approval for the developmen the provisions of Title 21, Zoning Code - Planned Communit Zone, and in accordance with the General Plan for the City Carlsbad. In preparing the Master Plan and Environmental Impact Rep0 we have been concerned to respect Carlsbad's community goa policies and objectives, and to prepare a plan which seeks maximize the human use and enjoyment of the future communi Lake Calavera Hills. Sincerely, d%+ h& Jeffrey Holland, President ENVIROMETRICS DEVELOPMENT PLANNING, INC. Introduction This report on "Survey and Analysis" is an integral of the accompanying Master Plan proposals for Lake Calai Hills, Carlsbad, California. The property comprises 80( L I E E 1 1 3) r 1 1 E 9 3 B 'g t 1 'i acres of undeveloped land situate between State Highway and El Camino Real, and located in the geographic cente. a statistical unit Census Tract 198 in San Diego County The compilation of this report on Survey and Analy is designed to provide a factual basis upon which the L Calavera Hills Master Plan proposals can be evaluated i the context of the key growth parameters for the Carlsb Subregion. location of the property, trends in population growth a change, the dynamics of the housing component in terms supply, demand and need and a profile of leading econon indicators which include, employment growth and change, wage and income patterns, specific industry groups and retail trade. These parameters include, the geopolitical The essential quality of the proposed Lake Calave~ Hills Master Plan is to create an expression of urban j which provides for a residential community of 4,200 fa1 together with supporting cultural services and amenitii The form and function of the proposed development is tl create a series of housing clusters orientated around Village Center complex and interspersed with scenic corridors which provide a linkage with the proposed La Calavera Regional Park. if CALIFORNIA- SP ’9.5 MINUTE SERIEZ ‘C. - ,fins. y, -‘~-y-----w NE/4 OCEANS!DE LE .. . ? -> I z E E 1 II 1 1 a i I 1 6 t il. I I LOCATION ANALYS a e E 1 f i I 1 1 1 I t 1 11 € 1 I 1 I I I LAKE CALAVEZA U\LL4 CnELLBAD 5UbRt\oN CALI F 0 RN I A I I I I I I I f 1 t I I I 3 1 I I 1 Location Analysis The purpose of this section is to identify and describe the 800 acre Lake Calavera Hills property in terms of its geopolitical location. The elements to be considered will i. its relationship to the Carlsbad Subregional Area and to the urbanizing areas of the City of Carlsbad, and its potential holding capacity as an integral part of a logical growth are for the City. The Statistical Planning Area for this study contains s Census Tracts which together comprise the Carlsbad Subregion Area (hereafter SRA). This subregion, in turn, forms an imp element in the North County Major Statistical Area (herafter MSA). As will be seen from the accompanying location map an from the supporting tabular data, the SRA contains an area o 25,566 acres 3f which 14,450 acres or 56,s percent is incorp within the limits of the City of Carlsbad. In 1970, 10,424 people or 69.7 percent of the total population of the City of Carlsbad resided in three small Ce Tracts (178.01, 179 and 180), which together contain 2,054 a or 13.2 percent of the incorporated area. This population d tribution, therefore, reflects an overall density of five pe per acre or 3,200 persons per square mile. The balance of t City's population (4,520 persons) was distributed throughoL the remaining three census tracts which makeup the Subregior 1 I 1 The Carlsbad Subregional Area includes Census Tracts 178.01 178.02, 179, 180, 198 and 200.03 for a total of 25,566 acre of which 14,450 acres are incorporated in Carlsbad and 11,l acres are unincorporated. An additional 1,045 acres of Cal bad's lands are within Census Tract 171, in the adjoining San Dieguito Subregional Area. I I I II I 1 I I II I 1 I I 1 Census tract 198 wherein the Lake Calavera Hills prope is located, lies immediately to the east of the three censu, 1 tracts which contained the original urbanized areas of the City of Carlsbad. Census tract 198 contains 6,623 acres, which, 2,944 acres are within the City limits, and the bala is unincorporated. The tract is bounded by the cities of Oceanside and Vista on the North and by San Marcos on the E 1 and Southeast. The Lake Calavera Hills property comprises percent of Census tract 198; a census tract which is strate linked to Carlsbad's future growth. As ill, il-a,;d in the foregoing section, the historical pattern of urban growth in Carlsbad's inner census tracts h produced an overall density of five persons per acre. And as will be observed from a subsequent section on "Populatio in order to obtain a forecast population of about 85,000 by the year 1995 it will be necessary to plan for an overall d of between 3.3 and 5.7 persons to the acre .Zzr the entire I Subregional area. Note: The overall density is now only 1 This range will be dependent upon many variables which incl future annexation policy, city and county policy as regards optimal densities for developing areas, and the potential f redevelopment of blighted urban areas. Additionally, it w necessary to consider a wide range of physical and socio-ec determinants which affect land use and optimal carrying cap Coupled with these considerations are important questions w relate to environmental issues and the consumption of limit resources, over time. I 2 1 I I I b i 1 JI i I s I 1. P I Typically, about 40 percent of urban land goes for 1 residential purposes and in these circumstances an overall density of five persons to the acre will necessitate a gro: residential density of at least 12.5 persons per acre. I attempting to obtain a first estimate of holding capacity for the Carlsbad Subregion, it will be recognized that got all lands will have an optimal development potential. Extensive areas within the subregion will be withdrawn fro1 development for a number of reasons. These include, envir mental factors which limit use; ownership considerations w preclude land coming on the market; the location of commun facilities, public utilities and transportation networks; and existing patterns of settlement whic:h cannot be distur in terms of residential density. 1 II In addition to the factors cited in the foregoing the are many compelling reasons which indicate that a desirabl expression of urban land form for Carlsbad will not necess be secured by adherance to a low density profile. The hig price of land and construction, and the high cost of trans tion and in extending lines of communications and essentia services have compounded the problem of providing new hous within a price range which most people can afford. I Recognizing the intricate nature of urhan yrowt51 dyna and of land use interdependencies, it will now be approp to examine the development potential for the Lake Calavera Hills property in the context of emerging growth trends for 3 I 1 z ji t I 1 0 I 1 1 II I R I 1 the Carlsbad Subregion in order to establish an optimum density range for the land which is consistent with: (a) The goals and objectives of the City of Carlsbad; (b) The forecast demand for urban land; and (c) Optimal conditions for a Planned Community for the Calavera Hills property. In order to establish the development potential for 1 the Ranch it, therefore, will be necessary to: (1) Examine a series of factors affecting development which include detailed population forecasts for the Subregion, historical annexation practices, housing trends, leading indicators of economic growth in terms of retail and wholesale trade, services, manufacturing and employment; and Develop Concept Master Plans which take into account the orderly and economic development of the land consistent with prevailing trends and conditions which in turn are influenced by commlunity goals and objectives. The significance and magnitude of the Lake Calavera (2) 1 property is that, it contains a major land holding which i: ripe for development. The site is within the immediate spl of influence of Carlsbad's Central Business District and i, adjacent to the dynamic El Camino Plaza Regional Center. ' property is centrally located within Census Tract 198 whicl contains developable lands which are needed to reinforce t. vigor of North Carlsbad. The property is strategically 101 to provide efficient linkages for the City's circulation SI tieing in with State Route 78 to the North and El Camino RI to the West and South via the proposed Elm Avenue and Kell: Drive Extension. 9 4 II I 1 I II I 1 1 1 1 I 1 t E Il II I 8 a POPULATION B I t 1. t I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 il t 1 1 1 t P OPULAT I ON TABLE OF CONTENTS Pag P A Introduction B Population and Size of City. P .................... ............ C Annexation and Growth. ............... P E Future Population. ................. P D Population Distribution and Density. P ........ F Population Characteristics P: G Income Characteristics ............... P. H ............. Summary of Concluslons ............... P POPULATION 4 I - 1 8 t i 1 1 8 i I I E 1 A. Introduction This section of the report will consider changes in t size and the distribution, density and socio-economic char istics of the population in the Carlsbad Subregional area within the City of Carlsbad, The purpose of this analysis 1 to produce a reasonably accurate estimate of current trend of population growth and change, and the implications thes trends might have for the future development of the Lake Calavera Ranch property. E. Population and Size Figure P1 indicates the rate of growth for Carlsbad the ten communities which comprise the North County Major Statistical Area. In the period 1960-1970, the growth rat1 for the City of Carlsbad was 4.9 percent: Annual Average In This growth rate was somewhat slower than that evidenc for the Decade 1950-1960 wherein the City produced an AAI 7.8 percent. It is, however, nearly double the County groa Since the period of the 1970 Census; the City has cont: to grow at a rate of 4.9 percent per annum. However, thert are leading indicators which suggest that this growth rate be accelerated in the coming decade. C. I lt Annexation and Growth ;I The history of annexation shows that the original ~OUI of the City in 1952 contained 4,780 acres and a population approximately the same number. By 1960 the boundaries of t City had heen extended only by 481 acres or 10 percent whei t P1 li I 1 1 t I I t 1 8 S 8 I t 1 1 a FIGURE! P1 POPULATION CHANGE NORTH COUNTY MSA AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY 1960-1970 19 70 1960-1970 Changt No. Percen. 49.4 f Escondido 29,838 50,821 20,983 70.3 San Marcos 3,243 6,059 2,816 86.8 San Deiguito 19,042 26,023 6,981 36.7 CARLSBAD 9,963 16,283 6,320 63.4 54.0 Oceanside 27,070 41,688 14,618 25,928 32,861 6,933 26.7 37.9 MSA 1960 North County 147,468 220,326 72,858 1 Pendleton Fa1 lbrook 8,728 12,038 3, 310 Vista 20,234 29,479 9,245 45.7 Valley Center 2,316 3,488 1,172 50.6 1,586 480 43.4 Pauma 1,106 Total County 1,033,011 1,357,854 324,843 31.4 Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1960 and 1970. Note: During the period 1960-1970, the North County MSA inc as a percentage of Total County Population from 14.2 points. It was the second fastest growth area, eXceE by the North City MSA which reflected an increase frc 17.0 percent of the County's population to 21.2 perm an increase of 4.2 percent. As will be noted within North 2ounty MSA, the Carlsbad Subregion reflected a tion incriase of 63.4 percent which was the third hi2 increase among the ten communities encompassed by the San Marcos with 86.8 percent, and Escondido with 70.: cent were the only cities which reflected a 9reater c cent to 16.2 percent, an increase of two whole percer P2 population had almost doubled to 9,253. Sy 1970, the size 8 I # 8 I 8 1 1 4 I I t t 1 the incorporated areas had increased from 5,261 acres to 7, acres or 39 percent while the population increased from 9,2 to 14,944 for a 61 percent increase. From these data and f Figure P2, it can be seen that by 1970 the City had tripled its original base population and only doubled its land areE However, recognizing the impetus for growth in the No1 County MSA and, indeed, for the Carlsbad Subregion, the Cit has recently embarked on an expanded program of annexation, Thus, between August 1969 and July 1973, an additional 7,41 f 1 acres has been added. It is noted that, the Post 1970 Cei 1 annexations to Carlsbad essentially comprise major annexat: in the Southern portio:n of Census Tract 178.02 and in Censi Tract 200.03 located in the Southeast section of the Subrec These annexations are to accommodate major planned communi of upper-middle income families. In addition, there have a number of ad hoc annexations elsewhere in the Subregion. The general location of growth areas is shown on the accom Annexation Map. 4 This prudent policy of providing the City with suitabl areas for expansion and growth will ensure Carlsbad the necessary flexibility to keep pace with trends evidenced i other important centers in the region and economic resourc consistent with its needs. Having regard to the growth ps of contiguous areas such as Oceanside, Vista and San Marcc and recent intention in San Dieguito to annex most of the Dieguito Subregional Area it seems evident that Carlsbad : 'Note: The 1972 annexation (2.12) included 1,045 acres wl located in Census Tract 171 within the San Dieguito Subrc P3 1 1 8 I 8 8 1 II c I 1 1 # 1 c 8 9 I FIGURE P2 HISTORY OF ANNEXATION: CARLSBAD 1952 TO 1973 sq Are a Miles Acres Original City 16.0 July, 1952 7.47 4,780.8 South Carlsbad 1.1 Aug. 20, 1957 0.09 59.0 South Carlsbad (Road Alignment) 1.2 Dec. 17, 1953 East Carlsbad 2.1 July 15, 1959 0.66 422.4C East Carlsbad 2.7 July 20, 1961 0.05 33.5 East Carlsbad 2.2 Aug. 20, 1962 1.45 930.3f East Carlsbad 2.3 Sept. 19, 1963 0.45 292.5' I East Carlsbad 2.4 Dec. 26, 1963 0.23 147.3' 300.0 South Carlsbad 1.4 Dec. 31, 1963 0.47 South Carlsbad 1.5 Sept. 8, 1964 0.02 10.7 East Carlsbad 2.5 Feb. 16, 1967 0.01 2.9 East Carlsbad 2.6 April 20, 1967 0.63 401. C Pacific Vista 2.8 July 17, 1968 0.001 0.E East Carlsbad 2.9 Aug. 15, 1969 0.143 92.( 1. Total Aug. 15, 1969 11.441 7,322. 1 2. Total July 1, 1971 12.084 7,810. 3. Total Jan. 1, 1973 21.364 13,672. 4. Total July 2, 1973 23.090 14,777. 5. Total Aug. 7, 1973 24.21 15,494. 1952-1969 - Percent Change 39.7% 1969-1971 - Percent Chz 7/1971-1/1973 - Percent Change 1/1973-8/1973 - Percent 76.8% 13.328 I Note: An additional 445 acres was annexed on August 17, P4 8 4 1 1. 4 t c s 1 1 I z I II 1 P5 1 eventually incorporate all of the remaining unincorporated within its own Subregion in order to meet its needs for fut growth. Several large pockets of unincorporated lands have been formed by the random nature of annexational boundaries and it is felt that in the interests of economy and homoger these pockets usefully could be brought within the municipa D. Population Distribution and Density The distribution of population for Carlsbad and its Sx seen in the distribution of such populatic is most clearly by Census Tract. I Figure P3 shows the total acreage and population for the six census tracts which make up the Carlsbad Subregiona Area. For comparison, these data are also shown for those of the census tracts which lie within the incorporated area the City of Carlsbad. As will be observed, in 1970 the Clt encompassed 56 percent of the total Subregional area and contained 92 percent of the population within the Subregion Importantly, three census tracts (178.01, 179 and 180) contain 2,054 acres or 13.2 percent of the City's land alsc contain 10,424 persons or 69.7 percent of the City's popula The remaining census tracts (178.02, 198.00 and 200.03) the fore contair. 12,395 acres (incorporated) and a 1970 populat of 4,520. Thus, it can be seen that the necessary land are to accommodate the expected increase in Carlsbad is essenti contained within three large census tracts which are presen - # I rural in character. 1 t 1 1 1 t 8 E/ 1 Total Census Tract Incorporated Areas Total Total Density Total Total Der Ac POP (PPa) Ac POP (E CT % No. % No. 9 No. % NO. 178.01 1103 4.3 3719 22.8 3.37 1103 7.4 3719 24.8 3, 178.02 9434 36.9 4097 25.2 0.43 5480?17,0 3620 22.8 0, 179.00 616 2.4 4528 27.8 7.35 616 4.1 4528 30.2 7, 180.00 335 1.3 2177 13.4 6.49 335 2.2 2177 14.5 6 198.00 6663 26.0 1385 8.5 0.20 29441.9.9 1100 7.3 0 - 200.03 7415 29.0 337 2.0 0.04 3972 T!g. 0 --- -0- 2556689.9116243 199.71 2.98 114450 39.6 14944 199.61 3 11 t I I 1 I II 4 t 1 1 I 1 I I I I I 8 P7 II The density of population by census tracts shows that two narrow tracts adjacent to the Ocean (179 and 180) have high overall densities of 7.35 and 6.49 persons to the acr These figures express a gross residential density of appro 25 persons to the acre and a net residential density of be 45 and 55 2ersons to the acre. Census Tract 178.01 which is slightly larger in size 1 both 179 and 180 put together, produces an overall density 3.37 persons per acre. It should be noted that this tract includes areas which are undeveloped. It also includes th large El Camino Real Plaza Regional Center and adjoining 1 holdings which are to be used for extensions to the region center. The three large census tracts (178.02, 198.00 and 200, produce a density of approximately 0.35 persons per acre. previously indicated, these tracts are essentially rural ii character, although it should be noted, extensive developmei have been approved in respect to large land holdings in eat of these tracts. The overall 1970 density of population fc the entire incorporated area of 14,450 acres was 1.0113 pe: per acre. Thus, it would appear that not only do large lai areas exist to meet the needs of the future population but there is a need to closely re-examine the density variable expressed in terms of overall, gross and net residential dc for individual census tracts and for the City as a whole. II I I 8 8 E 8 1 8 1 8 1 1 8 E. Future Population Tke forecast range for population increase for the Cit of Carlsbad LS shown in Figure P4 . As will be seen, foul projections are given, of which, two can be considered to 2 ''most probab1e"forecasts. These are, the "Medium High" an( "Possible High" projections to 1995. The "Medium High" projection reflects the rate of grol experienced in the Carlsbad Subregional area over the decac 1960-1970. It extrapolates an average annual increase of five percent which will produce a population of 50,000 by I The "Possible High" projection is based on the data g by the Comprehensive Planning 0rganizati.on for San Diego. forecast using an annual average increase of 7.2 percent w produce a population of 84,983 by 1995. This rate of inc approximates that evidenced in Carlsbad in the decade 1950 1960. (These projections, represent a ;!30 percent and a 4 percent increase in Carlsbad's 1970 base population.) s t Figure P5 indicates the overall population density w must be produced to accommodate the planned population to and 1995. The data is based on the two projections discus in the foregoing part. The densities given for each time period are based on two geographically limited areas: I A - The City of Carlsbad 1973 Boundaries; and B - The Subregional Area Boundaries. As will be seen, to accommodate a 1995 forecast popul of 85,000 the existing overall density must be increased n s P8 8 I I I 1 Population 1960 1970 19 80 1990 - P ro j e c tions 9,253 14,944 1. Possible Low --- --- 19 , 316 24,969 26 --- --- 22 , 333 33 , 378 40 2. Medium 3. Xedium High --- --e 24,342 39 , 653 5( 4. Possible High --- --- 29 , 950 60 , 028 84 I -0 PO mq bN rlm 8 8 I t 8 8 I 8 I t II 1 8 I 8 l 1 I a4d CnN N a om h 4 .d a, 2 wm 00 N* 4oo'm' cq \D F4 *P mLn NW n W'CO *d m E 2% m Ecd B wm In 003 wm ma mo o* h- $8 a 0 rlpc m a3 am Elm I34 !x4 0 m E" 22 EF5 2 E!3 "-3 mmm cud LnP . om om Id a4 04 * Pld )r H In P4 8 g $7 -ri Ul E: a, Cl c> 0 (Yo -0 rl crib b\D *N 4' 3 mm r34 IiI 4 Em Hd mp: a H ma >a . .4 CDO -IN E3 E8 22 22 !? a E+n crlo C> qv) mm CD a cn 0 wm H .1L r-lp( N m 3m !&4 U r: 0 -4 3 Id rl c 3 &I e( 0 i4 d -4 b-lz a -4 a, mk Ida) m 03 cl k04-10 u om Gh S-l 1 m aa, uina k ~r:mmu a,a, l+a Urd04 k bok i; 0 HL'O a, 4J a, =2 u a, 53 f&-4-I" a,dm *a, a tu PI ZPI m a, k u rd W W m m N k 0 (II u u rb k . B [II 3 a, U x 01 -d a,m k ur: 4 -4 Pa, Pm Prd -a, qk 7lu Id 1CI 0" rd a, -4 tnc, ac, ma, kc, 00 4a mr: GO -4 c,a ma, -4 m xa CI 2 ~wm k 20 Id ha0 a, (d E; OIG rn 0 k a -4 Qf6b-l a, irlQ k=I m a Ulwa con a, m -4 ld .. u u a, 4J 0 ab2 .m "$ pc-2h 5s a5z z2ui -4 8 8 8 t 1 I 1 1 t 8 1 8 1 8 8 six times (5.7) if the planned population is to be contained within the existing city limits, while overall density must be increased more than three times (3.3) if the entire Subregion calculated for density purposes. t It w.iI.1 be readily appreciated that different census tracts will produce a range of densities based on a variety of environmental 'and urban factors which influence development. ever, it is equally apparent that, to accommodate a twofold an possibly fourfold increase in Carlsbad's population over the n 22 years,reali,stic and flexible density standards will be reqi throughout the entire Subregion. F. Population Characteristics 1 The population distribution for the school age and el& 1970 is shown in Figure P11. The distribution shows 4,348 E aged or 29 percent which is slightly higher than the 27 percer in the 5 - 18 year old group for the County as a whole. The E 1 group 65 years and over in the amount of 1,502 persons represf 10 percent of Carlsbad's population - slightly higher than the percent County average. FIGURE P11 POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY SELECTED AGE GROUPS, CARLSBAD SUBREGION 1970 Census Tracts 178.01 178.02 179.00 180.00 198.00 Total Population 3,719 4,097 4,528 2,177 1 , 385 Under 18 1 , 450 1,474 1,584 457 609 Over 62 334 532 543 435 96 t About 830 persons or 16 percent of Carlsbad's population alone, i.e. , as one person households. P11 8 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 I I I I t G. Income Characertistics The 1969 median family income for Carlsbad was $10,434, which is the second highest among the ten communities in the North County MSA. However, some disparity is shown in the level of family income for some sectors and for some segment e Of the population. For example, income data by census tract shows that the 1969 median family income for Census Tracts 179 and 180 was $6,196 and $6,531 respectively, considerably lower than the City's average figure for family income. I The 1970 Census shows that in Carlsbad, 274 families ha an income less than the poverty level, 161 families with an income less than 75 percent of the poverty level, and 383 families at less than 125 percent of the poverty level. Tht a total of 818 families or 20.8 percent of all Carlsbad's families were shown to be close to a poverty level. The overall distribution of income by census tracts for the Carlsbad Subregion is shown in Figure P12. 1 t H. Summary of Conclusions The principal conclusion to be drawn from this sectio. on "Population" is that the City of Carlsbad and the Carlsb Subregion are likely to see a sustained growth rate of beth 5 and 7 percent annual average increase over the forecast p I The general characteristics of the population are typi of those of the County as a whole, with a slijhtly higher p portion of school aged and elderly segments. The rate of n increase is now 14 per 1,000 and corresponds with the regia average. However, in-migration is forcing up the percent32 8 school aged population. P12 I 8 i t 8 Less than $2,999 3,000- 3,999 4,000- 4,999 e 5,000- 6,999 7,000- 9,999 10,000- 8 14,999 1 24,999 15,000- 25,000- 49,999 50, GOO and over t 8 178.01 178.02 179.00 180.00 198.00 201 28 39 97 65 32 37 31 101 49 11 17 46 129 49 33 99 115 208 89 14 12 3 167 239 67 36 322 291 263 1-86 162 283 309 103 73 66 57 72 -0- 14 3 15 17 -0- 6 -0- Med Income* 11,668 11,796 s I1 6,196 6,531 11,527 17 1 8 8 8 8 8 8 E I 8 1 8 Approximately two-thirds of all the future population growth within the forecastperiod(1970-1995) will result from migration into the area. Recent annexation policy by the Ci of Carlsbad has ensured that there will be an adequate land resource to provide for the needs of the future population. The overall consideration of population settlement in the context of revitalization of existing urban areas and the orderly planning of new growth areas is being actively considered as part of the City's updating of the 1966 Gener, Plan. - Within the context of the City of Carlsbad' s General Plan the total population projected for the City and Subreg can be exhaustively allocated to each of the six census tra within the Subregion. This allocation procedure can be accomplished by means of a growth index model which weighs the probable growth in each census tract and its accessibi population in the Subregion, to employment centers and in I of land available for development. I I In general, growth in each of the census tracts may bt characterized initially by the rapid planned development o large land holdings followed by steady growth and stabiliz of new urban areas. Growth within Census Tracts 179 and 1 likely to be less in evidence. These areas presumably wil benefit from comprehensive plans for redevelopment which i conservation of beach areas, the provision of parks and 0 spaces and the revitalization of core area housing and the Central Business District. a I 8 8 8 8 ******* P14 8 I 8 i i 8 1 8 1 1 1 t 1 8 8 B 1 8 8 HOUSING t 8 1 I 8 I 1 8 1 1 8 1 8 I I 8 8 HOUSING TABLF, OF CONTENTS P ac A Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H B Goals for Housing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H C Characteristics of Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . H D Urban Expansion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H E Review of Housing Stock. . . . . . . . . . . . . . H F Trends In New Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . H1 a G Residential Space Consumption. . . . . . . . . . . H1 H Family Income. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H1 I Housing Costs and Income . . . . . . . . . . . . . H1 J Housing Need vs Housing Demand . . . . . . . . . . H1 K The Rent Gap . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . II1 L Family Size and Housing Needs. . . . . . . . . . . H2 M Housing Standards. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H2 N Depreciation in Housing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . H2 0 Age and Condition of Housing . . . . . . . . . . . H2 P Housing Strategies . . . - . - . . - . . . - - . - H2 Q Summary of Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . H3 R Lake Calavera Hills: Housing Objectives . . . . H3 t 8 8 I 8 8 I I I 8 I I I 8 8 HOUSING A. Introduction The study of housing is defined as the process by whic the provision of shelter is accomplished. Shelter means the provision of safe, sanitary and pleasant housing within a pi range the occupant can afford to pay. A need for housing cz be measured by standards of adequacy in t.erms of structural condition, provision of services , housing density, populatic density, neighborhood environment, and the like. t i The demand for housing reflects a range of financial considerations including subsidy costs, interest charges, t' maintenance costs, etc., which the owner or tenant is willii to pay. Trends in the housing component are a significant indicator in assessing Carlsbad's urban f:orm and future pot1 While the City of Carlsbad has continued to attract residen. in the middle and upper-middle income brackets, like any o community, it contains families in lower income groups, who the most part, are inadequately housed. 1 I The problem of achieving satisfactory housing for ina impe housed individuals is a composite of four dimensions: fections in the housing market which lead to supply/demand maladjustments; substandard housing conditions; the absence adequate environmental facilities or conditions; and constr on consumer choice in terms of housing type, size, location price. I H1 8 I I 8 I I 8 t R I I B. Goals for Housiny In the preparation of the Housing Element to the Gene Plan, the City of Carlsbad has identified six goals: 1. That all residents of Carlsbad have access to adequate housing within a price range they can afford. That current housing problems be met with progra for remedial action without wholesale displaceme 2. of residents. That current trends in housing development be understood and problems met with preventive action. That causes of housing problems be understood by the community and considered as the primary dete rent to the availability of adequate housing. That environmental quality be established and enhanced to provide the necessary amenities and services for the residents of Carlsbad. That priorities be based on the critical nature of housing needs as certain people are affected. 3. 4. I 5. 6. C. Characteristics of Growth In addition, the Housing Element identifies the chara 8 and problems associated with growth; specifically, spatial phenomena, and socio-economic interdependencies. these characteristics and problems are the following: Typical o 1. Carlssad's growth has attained certain common I characteristics of ''urban sprawl". I 2. The older part of the City has remained relative static while population growth has trended easte: Sporadic subdivision activity has placed a burdei 3. on the provision of essential services. 4. Two housing problem areas are identified which together contain over 12 percent of Carlsbad's I 8 8 8 (pre 1970) housing stock. H2 I I I 8 I D. Urban Expansion The report recommends certain actions with respect to urban expansion: 1. Preserving geographic and natural resources. 2. Clustering residential unit types (utilization of P-C Zone). 3. Retaining natural topography. 4. Providing contiguous open-space areas. 5. Encouraging Design Flexibility. e I Minimize "sprawling" trends by: 1. Increasing density in and around the City core. 2. Concentrating urban functions (i.e., commercial areas, industrial areas, etc.) in distinct areas, 8 I I I I I 8 8 1 E, Review of Housing Stock In 1970 there was some 5,150 housing units in Carlsbi This number has since been increased to 5,806. Figure H1 shows the age of structures and distribution by tenure. As be observed, 576 units or 11 percent were built prior to Woi War 11, and 673 or 13 percent were built during the War Per: Thus, 24 percent of Carlsbad's housing stock is more than 2! years old. An additional 1,478 units or 28 percent, are be. 20-25 years old. Exhausting these characteristics by censu! 1 1 tracts we see that Census Tracts 179 and 180 both contain a incidence of older housing units; 272 and 188 respectively, i were more than 35 years old in 1972. From Figdre H2 we can see a marked disparity in the : value of owner occupied housing units between one census tr and another. Similarly, ."e can observe the comparative med I H3 1 I I I I I I I I 1 I 1 I 1 I 1 I 8 I family incomes for the six census tracts which makeup the Carl: Subregion. It will be noted that in Census Tract 179 there is marked incidence of low income families, low value housing and low percentage of owner occupancy. Both Census Tracts 179 and 180 reflect a 1969 median income which is substantially below median for the City as a whole. proportion of absentee owners. Both census tracts show a hig Not unexpectedly, the inner and older census tracts in Carlsbad reflect some evidence of congest.ion and deterioration housing stock. Declining housing conditi.ons have been brought about in some incidences by minimal property standards and by economic obsolescence in housing. At the time of the Census 71.2 percent of Carlsbad's how was in the form of "one unit" structures., The distribution bl type of occupancy for each of the census tracts within the Car bad Subregion is shown in Figure H3. The incidence of ownc occupancy is substantially less in Census Tracts 179 and 180 I in all other census tracts. Vacancy rates of units for sale throughout the City are : to be very low (2.1 percent) in all cases. Vacancies among r units, were shown to average 9 percent in 1970. Since the da the Census, however, there has been a phenomenal surge in bui activity which will generate a marked increase in the supply housing. geared to higher income families with sale $35,000 for a new house. In terms of demand this new construction invariably prices averaging H4 Occupied Housing Year Census Round Tract Housing Owner Renter I 1 I I 1 I I 178.01 1,127 877 213 178.02 1,136 1,026 228 179 180 1,029 245 638 19 8 212 179 26 200.03 269 113 20 1,589 502 1,043 Total 5,362 2,942 2,168 Total Housing - 54.8% 40.4% ' Occupied Units - 57.5% 42.5% I Vacant For For Year Sale Rent Round 15 9 37 19 36 82 1 28 44 1 88 146 7 29 70 136 -- -- 65 231 452 2.1% 9.6% 0.8% m F') 0 0 N 8 I I I I I 1 I I 1 I I I I 1 u a, 03 cn rl 0 m b rl g E s W H u 0 rl cn a a 4 i2 5 ;E 2G 54 . ul P .-I VI 3 (u 0 03 P rl 1 $2 HB Ercn n E z w H cn n 4 0 E Er 03 P d 0 w 3 3 2 4 u a k B m 3 10 G O~UI'UI'Q CO . * . *O * rlmwwDcuoa rlrluodr IIIIrlmmmcnmm rlrlmw-rl 4 <yowwooo N I1 . . .o rlmP03mrlrloa rlw rlcn IINm<y403--Nm dm0 rl IIII rr W . (u 0 \D 6 03 03 d i.&b =cJ rrm(u(urlw rl"N m . . Tr Ill .o IrIlrlOcnPrnN(u~ (um*mrlrlw-- 0 . r4;PGFPgz rl . 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I I I I I 8 FIGURE H4 RESIDENCE IN 1965, CARLSBAD No. Percen Total Population 100.0 Same House 4,919 35.6 Different House 8,035 58.2 I Different County 3,701 46. ( 5 Years Old & Over 13,791 Same County 4,334 54.c Same State 1 , 769 47. - Different State 1,932 52.: Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1970, Social Characterisl Table 102. From these data it will be observed that 35.6 percent o Carlsbad's population living in 1965 were resident in the sa house in 1970. Thus, the balance of the population growth CI ponent or 64.4 percent migrated into the City, moved within City, or were annexed. Of this total, slightly less than on half came from outside San Diego County and of this total sl more than one-half came from outside of California. I I 1 Totals will not add to 100 percent since the balance were e attending college, or were in the Armed Forces or were abrc 1965 or moved and did not report place of residence. H9 1 I I I I i 1 I I E E s 1 1 I F. Trends In New Construction 1. Subdivision Activity I The subdivision of land is a leading indicator as to development trends and construction. In the period 1971- April 1973, the City approved 44 Tentativle Maps generating 2 tuLal of some 2,400 condominiums, 532 apartments and 1,072 single family lots. While not all of these subdivisions hati been recorded as final maps, the evidence does indicate a hj level of subdivision activity. I A major portion of this subdivision activity is shown for La Costa in the Southeast sector of the planning area wk 380 condominiums and 384 single family lots have been filed. The map and summary in the Appendix shows the overall disposition of subdivision activity in the Post 1970 Census Period. 2. Building Permits I In the Post 1970 Census Period between April 1970 and June 1973, the City of Carlsbad has issued Building Permits for 2,275 new housing units. Of this total 761 or 33 percer were for single family dwellings and 1,514 or 67 percent we1 for apartments and condominiums. I The incidence of construction activity represents an impressive annual average increase of 12 percent over the C: 1970 housing stock, for a total value of about 60 million dc The extent of new construction by type of unit is shown in Figure H5. H10 I 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 T c T Since 1972 the data has been refined to reflect a distinction between apartments and condominiums. In the period January - June 1973, huilding permits were issued for 164 apartment units and 503 condominiums. These housing data for 1973 indicate a ratio of 1:4, between rental units and those whick- are intended primarily, although not exclus for, owner occupancy. In 1970, the number of "one unit" structures was showr to be 4,059 or 72.9 percent of the City's housing stock. Ir the post census period it is interesting to note that the ri of one-unit structures to multiples The data for the post census period, indicates that 67 percc is 1:2 (approximately). of Carlsbad's new housing is in a form different from the detached single family dwelling. A preponderance of owner occupied units will now be built in the form of multi-unit structures and townhouses. I The principal conclusion to be drawn from these data . that while housing in Carlsbad will con1;inue to be predomin, owner occupied an increasing proportion of owner occupied hc ing will be in the form of condominiums,, i.e., townhouses, : multi-unit structures. 1 Between 30 - 35 percent of Carlsbad's housing is rentc As indicated, however, a significant trend is se occupied. in the increasing proportion of condominium units over the s traditional detached single family dwelling. Indeed, the 011 ratio of "one unit" structures to "multiples" traditionally 2:1, is now being reversed. of land, labor and construction. H11 Again, this reflects the high h W W In m W W (u W P W cn rl . b b L m P cn W am 30 I40 SZ rl N Y In rl m .. c, 0 B I I I W m P fi cr, 03 Tr Ln 0 N Tr rl rl z . - rl rl W (u P b cn ilt Ln P W 0 . m rl 3 lx B tn 2 0 u 3 I 1 1 1 h r( s z -; E a, rl F c -rl ul F I= Tr CO 0 w -d rl tn . -4 rl 3 ‘CI a cv d In 0 r- 0 W 4 0 rl z . m W W rl Ln a m W W co 0 rl -3 Tr a . . . . . ZI) (u (u m 0 0 rl k 4 hl m (6 U w W m cv 03 4 0 W m m w W (u m P h c, h om 50 (u 40 In rl $=s Y 0 z k Id I 1 $ -4 u CUn 4- ma, ou PG cn-3 ma (u b I rlI Ja a< .. m a, rd 0 aQ pl- E 4b 4 u ba, rl b z : $2 cl 0 k 07 rl m m- II I I I 8 I 1 1 1 1 I t 1 I 1 G. Residential Space Consumption li Household size and income are the fundamental dimension affecting individual patterns of consumption. Income specifi the maximum value of all commodity combinations that can be purchased, while family composition influences the variations and substitutions in the preference ranking of these commodil Thus, the housing consumption function is the outcome ( a set of choices determining the relative priority given to 1 purchase of shelter in relation to other basic necessities o! life. Normally, the lower the family income the smaller the amount left over for housing after the necessary purchase of food and clothing. It is this residual amount that will dett mine the quantity and quality of residential space demand fo: low income families. 1 1 Another factor affecting the supply/demand equation fo. housing is the price of residential space. Normally, at any income level, there occurs a substitution of quantity as the of the household grows larger. In Carlsbad we can observe t' corollary of smaller sized families seeking quality space. Therefore, a space demand schedule according to income and f size, theoretically can be constructed from surveys or from set of defined housing standards. 1 The essential point to re is that, demographic as well as socio-economic changes in PO growth should influence the City's future housing policy. H13 H. Family Income I 1 8 1 1 I I 1 1 I I I 1 I In 1960, the median family income in Carlsbad was $5,85 and by 1970 this had increased to $10,434. data on distribution of income inthe North County MSA, it wil From published I be observed that Carlsbad had the second highest median fmil income figure for 1970, with San Dieguito (at $11,239. The distribution of family income by broad income grour for Carlsbad in 1970 was shown to be: Percent No. 1 Less than $5,000 764 27.5 $5,000 - $9,999 1,210 27.8 SlO,OOO - $14,999 1,236 24.0 $15,000 and over 1,080 20.5 In a detailed breakdown of family income we find that c the 1,080 families with an income over $15,000 only 215 enjo: an income in excess of $25,000. Thus, only five percent of 1 recorded 4,290 families were in receipt of this income and i- can be readily established that the higher income spectrum i: not forcing up the threshold of the City's median family incc Put another way, 95 percent of Carlsbad's families had I 1 income of less than $25,000 in 1970, and 80 percent of all families had an income of less than $15,000. At the lower el of the income scale we observe that 55.3 percent of all fami had a family income of less than $10,000, and over 27 percen 1 had a family income of less than $5,000. It is against the indicators, among others, that the potential supply, demand, and need for housing must be re-examined and redefined. 1 I It should be noted that a family income of $6,400 represent a poverty level in 1970. H14 I I I. Housing Costs and Income The ability of a family to finance new housing is 1 I conditioned by many variables which include purchase price, capital investment, mortgage interest rates, income and the like, coupled with age and condition of the structures, local and vacancy rates, which affect supply and demand and, there. price. The ability to finance older housing is further cc by depreciation schedules which affect property values in dii ferent ways, and finally, mortgage differentials for long and E term financing. While the refinements associated with reside real estate financing are beyond the scope of this report son essential factors can be pin-pointed as regards income and hc I S I 1 1 I I I I I 1 1 1 purchase. Typically, lending institutions require evidence of an income: rent (mortgage repayment) ratio of 4:l. Thus, with a $24,000 income a 30 year mortgage at 8.75 percent would, all things being equal, sermit the purchase of a property valued $63,000 - roughly equivalent to a borrowing power of two and one-half times income. Thus, to purchase a house at the prek ing average cost of $35,000 requires an annual income of $14, While an annual of $10,000 would generate an approximate lend power of $25,000. 1 1 If these figures can be taken as approximations it can be seen that a high percentage of Carlsbad's families earning less than $10,000 a year cannot afford to buy new housing whi costs in excess of $15,000 - $20,000; and among these familie: H15 I I 1 I I I I I 1 I 1 I tc i I t a substantial number really require some form of incentive 03 assistance if they are to be adequately housed. In this reg: there are several ways in which to increase a households welj by the introduction of housing strategies. These strategies can be aimed at decreasing expenditures on housing, transpor- and other costs. J. Housing Need Versus Housing Demand I The capacity of a family to pay for housing relates to ability to earn income. Frequently, it is the case that man: families cannot find housing within a price range which they afford and in consequence have to pay a disproportionate mol their family income for housing. In cases where the number t low income families substantially exceeds the number of low rent units a "rent-gap" is said to exist. This is variously termed as non-effective demand, and is distinct from housing Non-effective demand relates households to housing units in of their ability to pay; housing need relates households to. units in terms of society's standards for housing. Among 1 to moderate income families a hardship will probably be esta if such families pay more than 25 percent of their gross inc for housing. 1 I The average value of housing in Carlsbad in 1970 was $ and the median value was shown to be $25,600. Assuming a mo eligibility criterion of 2.5 times salary we see that it req an annual income of $11,080 to finance an average priced hou Carlsbad. As will be seen from Figure H6, 2,179 families H16 I B I 1 I 1 1 1 1 I 1 I I I I I I 1 cannot afford to pay this price. Discounting for the prevail distribution of renters (42.5%), we see 2,179 x 0.575, or 1,; families who own a house probably pay a higher percentage of family income on housing than is recormended by lending instj K. The Rent Gap In the Carlsbad Subregion in 1970 there were 261 famil: who earned less than $3,000 a year and who, (using a payment criterion of 25 percent of income) cannot afford to pay more than $62 a month for their housing. At this time there were rental units specifying less than $62 contract rent. Thus, among Carlsbad's poorest families a gap clf 77 families is SI te exist. An idditional 503 families earning hetween $3,000 and I could afford an average rental of $80 per month. Some 200 UI were specifying a contract rent of approximately $80 a month, Thus, approximately 300 families in this low income group prc are paying more than they can afford. A further additional f families earned between $5,000 - $7,000 and these families c( afford a monthly rent of $125 a month. The number of unts SI fying a contract rent of $125 is shown to be 163. Thus, somc 362 families in the $5,000 - $7,000 income range are probabl: paying more than they can afford for housing. Among the low income cohort indicated above, not all w: be renting. However, the principle applies, and for each grc there is a demonstrated gap between what they can afford and what they actually have to pay for housing. The magnitude o I H17 I B I I 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 i 1 gap among Carlsbad's poorer families is shown to amount to 7 families. In each case, the most impacted problem occurs in Census Tract 179. I The data incidates generally that 1,289 or 25 percent of Carlsbad's families earned less than $7,000 in 1970 and t there were only 517 housing units within a price range this income group could afford. (See Figure H:7) From these data certain fundamental implications face City in meeting its housing needs beyond ithat which will be satisfied by the expanding construction o:E new housing in th $35,000 - $50,000 class. For example: I 1. To what extent should the exist.ing inventory of housing be protected so that it can serve as a source of housing for those who cannot afford the cost of new housing, i.e., low income families, newly formed families, and the elderly. 2. What will the dynamics of housing (the filtering process) demonstrate in the future having regard to : (a) Change in occupancy as housing that is vacated by one income group becomes avail- able to the next lower income group. (b) Change in relative costs of a housing unit with respect to other available housing. (c) Change in price or rent (constant dollars). (d) Change in price or rent with respect to change in family income. The general cost spiral in the housing market suggest: 1 a filtering up of all housing in relation to the income of the popblation. For those entering the housing market cost! of home-ownership have risen relatively more rapidly than tl costs of renting. H18 Less than a $2 I 999 $3,000 - $3 , 999 $4,000 - 8 I I I 1 I $4,999 $5,000 - $6,999 $7,000 - $9,999 $10 , 000- $11,000 Total L I 178.01 178.02 179.00 180.00 198.00 200. 28 39 97 65 32 -c 37 31 101 49 11 -C 17 46 129 49 33 -C 99 115 208 89 14 4 ’ 23 167 2 39 67 36 9 64 58 52 37 32 2 368 456 826 356 15 8 15 I 1 I 8 I I I I I I 1 1 I I I II I 1 FIGUFE H7 CORRELATION BETWEEN LOW INCOME FAMILIES AND BUDGET RENT HOUSING, CARLSBAD,, 1970 Low In come Budget Rent* Rent Gap Family Income Families Housing Units (Families) Less than $3,000 261 154 77 $3,000 - $5,000 503 200 303 $5,000 - $7,000 525 163 362 - - Totals 1,289 517 742 (100%) (40%) (60%) *Based on a criterion of 25 percent of income. These data show that the rent gap between low income R and low rent housing units is 60 percent. For every famill adequately housed (in terms of budget rent) there are an ac tional 2.5 families for whom there is no housing within a specified rent index equal to 25 percent of income. H20 L. Correlation Between Family Size and Housing Needs There is frequently an imperfect fit between housing si and need based on the size of a family and the housinv space occupies. In estimating the demand for future housing needs Carlsbad, therefore, it is appropriate to correlate family s. with housing type and size. While the population of Carlsbac increased by 61 percent between 1960 and 1.970, the number of households increased by 70 percent reflecting an increase in smaller households. From Figure H8, we can see the compara- distribution of population by family size for 1960 and 1970. As will be observed, there has been a 4.1 percent increase i small sized families since 1960. In numerical terms this me that whereas in 1960 there were 1,727 families with 1 - 3 pe by 1970 the number of such families had increased to 3,184- I I 1 1 1 1 I 1 8 1 t 1 I U I I 1 I Let us assume that all 1, 2 and 3 person households ca have their space needs satisfied in an apartment or condomin and that all families with four or more persons will require single family dwelling with three or more bedrooms. The di tribution of families with 3 or less persons and families wi 4 or more persons is in the proportion of 43 percent and 57 percent respectively. This distribution shows that 3,184 sm families require housing with one or two bedroom accommodati and 1,906 families require housing providing three or more bedrooms. 1 8 From Figure H9 we can see that, to accommodate small families, i.e., 1, 2 or 3 person families, there are 1,159 s 1 It is recognized that some apartments and condominiums have or more bedrooms, but such cases are the exception rather t the rule. H21 units to accommodate 3,184 families with three persons or le In the case of families with four persons or more we see 4,L units to accommodate the needs of 1,906 families. 1 i 1 1 While not all small sized families of 1, 2 or 3 persor may wish to live in an apartment or condominium, the data dc show that 26.4 percent of the total population comprising - 1 - 2 person families and 43.6 percent of the total population 1 comprise 1, 2 or 3 person families could be comfortably houi in something other than the modal expression of a three or four bedroom house. The correlation between household size i a occupancy (size of dwelling) becomes extremely significant 1 1 1 1 I 1 I I I I I housing costs are correlated with family income. Figure H8 refers. These data reflect the gap between housing supply and need, based on family size and housing type by number o rooms. With the decline in the natural birthrate and the tre towards smaller family size, it would appear that the housi resource in the future should contain a higher proportion o smaller units to more adequately reflect the housing needs 1 smaller families. The increased costs of urban land and ho are also indicative of the need to provide a more perfect b between family size and its housing needs. I These preceding sections have presented some of the elementary aspects associated with the housing consumption function including, the supply/demand equation related to th price of residential space; family income and housing costs relationships; non-effective demand and relationships betwc family size and housing needs. i H22 8 1 1 1 I I I 1 I ]I 11 I 1 I 1 I I 1 FIGURE H8 COMPARATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION BY FAMILY SIZE, CITY OF CAFUSBAD, 1960 AND 1970 1960 DATA Persons Units Population Percent 1 368 368 4.0 ) 1 2 896 1,792 19.7 ) 3 1 3 463 1,389 15.3 ) 4 486 1 , 944 21.4 ) )3 18.3 ) 5 332 1,660 6 169 1,014 11.1 ) 1 7 71 497 5.4 ) 2 ) 8 49 392 4.3 ) 2,843 9,056 1970 DATA 1 792 792 5.3 ) 1 2 1,550 3,100 21.1 ) 4 ) 3 842 2,526 17.2 ) 4 731 2,924 19.9 ) 13 5 482 2,410 16.4 ) a 6 243 1,458 9.9 ) 1 7 108 756 5.1 1 1 ) 8 88 704 4.7 ) 4,836 14,670 H2 3 c 0 LI-0 ala aN G *4 34 -4 c, 3 -4 I 1 1 1 N li I 1 I I I I I Eld a .K -9 As! aal -rl E gal Gu w Ud ala N oa H plrn cn -4 a N 4 . k0 P h $ $2 mn’ m EE x Ei 2 E urn 2 23 0 Err ~CI Es 272 p5 -4 dm c, 5 -; k3 rn k a, PI H zw w m ac, 0 4J -4 H oc E-ID 4 p: 0 u h m 4Jo z dm 2 2 rn2 .rl 0 I I mh 00 I I IQOCoW~ d+a, ICnCncrcrN Iv)WbWN I a -4 I I I aw I ala, I N Ud I -4 a 4 I m am I rn- -?I x M -$ c: Yii : ud 2:; b m 031 I “kg i I I b 0 rnl v-I hk bW I wD.i I rn3k rl I .ua, I mua I 0 I ac 1 I I -4 k -rl a, g m-4Q I I 0 I I . 5;: k $54 k zww I c I g$ I I: ‘ea b rl m1rl b m co co NWColPCn WOCO co P Colb TY cv rl a, 40 . I a mrl d I ak I 0 I rlu I a, Nw I a( rnN 4 b> rl N rnlW v) W F a3 GC I w 3 .a I 0 rnQ I 437 I a, 4,Gu I 4 aE-Iu 0 *G I I h ana I u mrn I c 4c:C 0 N PIP b rl cv N a -00 a rlrn v) co WlW a, mm ?I N colrn 4 m m m 3 ka 1.- u alas, Id rl u ham I oaa I -Q I I I a,a, I c Zc-la, I 0 E’G I I a I a, 0’ 4 -rlcJu I I zg I I 5 Era $$ I ?!.g rl N m1-3 m co P co I I 8 8 1 8 1 It I 1 1 1 I II 1 s I n t r4. Housing Standards Residential structures are classified with reference tc standards governing the livability of housing units. These standards may be applied to both new construction and rehabi: ta?ion of existing structures. Criteria for these standards include quality of construction, materials and workmanship; durability, economy of maintenance, and the like. The "Con- - struction Classes" set by the California State Board of Equalization and the Residential Cost Handbook of Marshall Stevens Publications Company are utilized in this report for the purpose of classifying residential structures. The typic single and two family dwelling classes found in Carlsbad are described be low: Poor: These structures are minimum shelter. They are generally inferior in design, workmanship and material! and ref Lett rapid physical depreciation. Fair: These structures are fair construction under most building codes. They will reflect a normal rate of physical depreciation. Good: These structures are average construction under most building codes, and have refinements above standa. construction. This class will reflect nornial depreciation due to physical causes. These prototypical classes can be described as follows: R1 & 2 POS~ - 1960 Good 1959 - 1950 Fair R 1949 - Earlier Poor R3 Post - 1955 Good 1954 - 1940 Fair 1939 - Earlier Poor R4 Post - 1950 Good 1949 - 1936 Fair 1935 - Earlier Poor Note: Two additional classes R 5 and R 6, with well above average standard construction are not shown. E25 N. Depreciation in Housing i I I x I I I 1 I 1 I I 1 1 8 I I The nature, extent, and rate of physical depreciation property is a guide to the further useful life of the prop€ in question. It is indicative of the neled for conservatior and rehabilitation of a scarce resource. It contains impli cations which materially affect the future demand for housi against the replacement of a depletable supply. Depreciati briefly defined, is loss in value however caused. In genei terms, depreciation of physical property may be broken dowr into two basic classifications: Obsolescence. I Physical Depreciation and a. Physical depreciation, as the name implies, is loss in value for physical causes, includ- ing the process of aging, and normal 1 deterioration. b. Obsolescence is the condition of being out of date. This category of depreciation is usually divided into two sub-headings: Functional and Economic. (i) Functional obsolescence is a condition that arises within the physical property This includes such items as poor design, inefficient floor plan, and under improvements. (ii) Economic obsolescence is occasioned by forces outside the property. These include changes in economic conditions whereby the property no longer produces an economic rent, changes in land use patterns, development of new processes, and legal restrictions. Loss in value due to physical deterioration can genera be retarded and controlled by proper care, usage and mainte ance. Losses due to functional factors are less likely to curable. Losses in value due to economic obsolescence are rarely curable. HZ6 t I 1 x 1 1 I I I I 1 i 1 1 Years (66) (59) (51) (4 X I I 1 The depreciation rates shown in the following Figure have been based on considerations of all physical factors affecting the value of structures. The rates are based on data developed by market analysis. Emph.asis is placed on fact that the table assumes that the individual structures will be subject to normal maintenance. If the condition o individual structures deviates from simi.lar properties of like age in the same class, variations firom the tables may warranted. 1 FIGURE H10 NOWL DEPRECIATION FOR RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES R1 & 2 R3 R4 R5 & Group Age Minimum Fair Good Excel A 1-5 0 - 10 0-8 0-7 0- Years (5) (4) (4) (3 B 6 - 11 11 - 20 9 - 16 8 - 15 7- Years (16) (13) (12) (1 C 12 - 18 21 - 30 17 - 24 16 - 22 15 - Years (26) (21) (19) (1 D 19 - 26 31 - 40 25 - 33 23 - 29 21 - Years (36) (29) (26) (2 Years (46) (38) (33) (2 F 36 - 46 51 - 60 43 - 53 37 - 45 33 - Years (56) (48) (41) (3 G 50 - 65 61 - 70 54 - 64 45 - 55 41 - E 27 - 35 41 - 50 34 - 42 39 - 36 26 - Source: Division of Appraisal and Assessment Standards, S of California, 1971. H2 7 Age When 1 1 1 X 1 Constructed No. Percent Prior to 1940 576 11.1 1940 - 1949 673 13.0 1950 - 1959 1,478 28.6 1960 - 1964 1,239 24.0 1965 - 1970 1,184 22.9 - Condition , Future Useful Life Good Fair Poor in Years 5 15 80 0 - 15 10 60 30 5 - 20 40 55 5 10 - 25 75 25 0 30 - 50 80 20 0 30 - 50 8 8 8 I 1 1 I 1 I I 1 I 1 8 If we assume 734 units are in "poor" condition this represents 14 percent of Carlsbad's housing stock. It provic 8 a rough correlation with the 11 percent of the housing inven. built prior to 1949 and with the estimates for substandard housing updated from the 1969 Housing Element. It also prov. a tentative correlation with the 742 low income families who are paying more than they can afford for housing. I From these data we can assume that kly the end of the forecast period 1995 (say 25 years from th.e date of the 1970 Census) a high percentage of families in Clarlsbad's older ho. ing will be displaced as these units reach1 the end of their useful life. While this attrition in housing is, of,course, natural phenomenon, it points to the fact that there is a co: tinuing need to anticipate the displacement of families who are inadequately housed and their rehousing needs. Thus, in addition to the growth factor associated with migration of new families into the area it is also important to recognize the housing mobility of residents within the area and their diversified housing needs. P. Housing Strategies 1 8 For purposes of presenting the strategies, it is conven. to adopt a simple budget equation of an average family: Household = Expenditures + Expenditures on =Expenditure! Income on Housing Transportation Other Goo1 To increase a household's resources for housing, stratec can be aimed at increasing income, decreasing expenditures 01 housing, decreasing expenditures on transportation, or decre( other costs. 1 H29 I 8 I i I I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 In terms of priorities, it seems clear that all strategj a&d at increasing income are to be preferred to those aimec at reducing housing costs, which are, in turn, to be preferrc to those aimed at reducing expenditures on transportation. I Household incomes can be raised by making available new employment opportunities for members of households. The directions for implementation here are numerous including thc encouragement of immigration of new or expansion of existing firms; inducing industries to locate in the community where 1 I are not available to the existing population; developins an i grated and comprehensive transportation system which improve: labor mobility in the regional market; providing opportunitie for additional members of the family to enter the labor markc including mothers with dependent children, the physically har capped and those seeking irregular or part-time employment. I Household incomes can be raised by ma:king available new employment opportunities for additional meimbers of the famill The City could encourage bonded daycare facilities, to free secondary members of families, or female heads-of-households I for gainful employment. Such facilities would be a major st€ in emancipating the mothers from child-raising responsibiliti (if they desired) enabling them to devote daytime hours to income producing work. Moreover, daycare facilities avail& to low income households would be an effective weapon in the battle against poverty and welfare dependency. ' I H30 I 8 8 i I I I 1 8 I 8 I 1 t 1 I To encourage the development of units designed for fami with children, zoning bonuses should be provided to a develo Bonuses could include density increases and reduced parking requirements in other non-family units he is building. The idea here is to encourage a developer to build both family a non-family units, and to relax requirements for non-family units if he builds concomitant family units. One of the factors increasing the cost of housing is hi( land prices. As indicated, the market price for new home si in Carlsbad has increased by 38 percent in the last three ye Land costs (exclusive of improvements) frequently average 25 percent or more of the total selling price of a single-famil; home. Land cost increases are difficult to control but some actions can be taken to reduce the amount of land required p' I lasing unit. Consideration might be given to liberalizing minimum lo sizes for single-family homes. This does not imply a lessen of standards. On the contrary, the acceptance of new design concepts, such as zero lot lines, yield increased housing quc and usable open space even if individual lot sizes decrease Developers should be encouraged to use the Planned Unit Deve: ment concept allowing site design flexibility as well as fee simple ownership. I 1 1 See Report on the Housing Element for the General Plan Of t? City of Los Angeles, September 1970. I H31 I I I I 1 1 I I I 1 I I 1 I Q. Summary of Conclusions The Housing Element as a mandated e:Lement under the Ci General Plan, provides the first essentia:L step in forniulati goals, objectives and standards for securing the orderly and economic development of Carlsbad' s new growth areas and promoting the rehabilitation of older housing areas. i The recent decline in the natural birthrate is a direct outcome of lower fertility rates, increase of years in highe education among females, a decline in young marriages and a delay in the incidence of the first child following marriage The resultant has been a reduction in family size, Coupled w longevity among the elderly, an increased proportion of Carlsbad's housing should be adapted to the needs of the sma (1-3 persons) family. I The spiralling cost of housing (land, labor and materia is producing an upward filtering effect in relation to incom and the costs of homeowership are rising more rapidly than t cost of rentals. The effect on low to moderate income famil has been to produce a squeeze on the supply of low to modera priced housing. I 1 The Post 1970 Census housing program by developers in Carlsbad has been directed primarily toward the upper middle income group with the sales price of new housing offered at between $35,000 and $50,000. The evidence indicates a considerable rent-gap among 1 Carlsbad's poorer families and the elderly. of low rent units is greatly exceeded by the number of low i families. The proportion H32 I I Recent trends in new development and construction have focused on South Carlsbad. The impetus for this growth has tended to polarize the City into two distinct urban areas joined by a narrow coastal band of urban settlement. 1s a need to reinforce the North Carlsbad Central Business District and residential areas with new development. 1 1 I I I I I I I 1 I 1 1 I There 1 The deterioration in Carlsbad's older housing will becc more evident as the pre-1949 stock ages over the next 20 yea As the older residential areas become ripe for redevelopment increased land values will dictate more intensive uses other 10W density residential. Many families who will be displace will require moderately priced housing within easy distance of Carlsbad's core areas. R. Lake Calavera Hills : Housing Objectives The principal objective underlying the Lake Calavera Hi: Master Plan is to: Widen the Choice for Housing in Carlsbad This is consistent with the implicit aim in the City of Carl housing element. The aim here is to promote the opportunity all residents and future residents to have a reasonable choi in owning or renting the sort of home they want. But there still nany people who have no choice at all. And there are others whose choice is limited. The immediate objective Of Lake Calavera Master Plan proposals, therefore, is to widen range of choice for new housing at a reasonable price for Carlsbad's residents. - I I TO this end, the following additional objectives are supportive of the principal housing goal for the Lake Calave development: H33 I I I I * The provision of new housing will reflect a proportio of owner occupied housing and a proportion built to r to meet the needs and wishes of the people in the are at prices they can afford. This wnll require a flexi approach in providing a range of housing in terms of 1 size and price. I * The proposed development plan is to be consistent wit the City of Carlsbad's General Plan which contains a presumption in favor of housing development. In keep with this objective, the planned development will inc community services and recreation elements as a conti of design consistent with the aesthetics of the area environmental principles. I 1 I I I 1 1 I I I I 1 I * The provision of housing at reasonable densities whic designed to promote the orderly and economic developm of the area consistent with a pleasant environment. Nc If housing land is developed at very low densities it becomes necessary to preempt for housing a needlessly large amount of land which is better suited to some o use. It also generates increased costs in the provis of streets and services and ultimately reflects in th cost and, therefore, the price of housing to be provi The densities proposed are consistent with sound deve ment criteria which in turn, promotes the economic development of the property and also facilitates a de expression of urban form for a planned community. H34 1 I E I I I 1 i I ******* I I 1 II I I I I I I * The provision of some smaller houses and apartments t meet the needs of the small family and the elderly is to be an integral part of the overall plan. The provision of this kind of accoimodation brings SE advantages. It provides a better fit between housins supply and needs for the one and two person family an for the elderly; and for the elderly and for those on fixed incomes the provision of adequate housing withi their means extends the potential for independence cc with a greater assurance of security and involvement within the community at large. 335 1 I 1 I I I I I I T I I I I I h I I I ECONOMIC PROFIL I I i 1 i I I I 1 1 I I 1 I I 8 I E ECONOMIC PROFILE TABLE OF CONTENTS P a( A Introduction E B Growth of the Region ................ E C Comparative Urban Areas. E D Employment Growth And Change ............ E E Wage And Income Patterns .............. E. F Specific Industry Groups El .................... .............. I .............. G Retail And Wholesale Trade * e . . * * B B . a E1 H Summary of Conclusions E; I Lake Calavera Hills in the Context of Carlsbad's ............... Economy. E; ...................... I I E 1 m I r I I I r I 1 I T ECONONIC PROFILE A. Introduction The purpose of this study is first, to provide a rev: of economic trends in the City of Carlsbad in order to in( the flow of information available to public and private ii concerned with the economy of the area and second, to assz the implications of these economic trends in relation to 1 proposed Lake Calavera Hills development. I The following considerations serve as a point of ref( I for formulating a review of the economy in Carlsbad: What are Carlsbad's chief economic advantages? How has the City progressed in attracting new businesses and services? Has Carlsbad fully participated in the areas economic expansion? What are Carlsbad's future prospects for economic growth? These questions call for an objective analysis of COI that characterize the City's economy and are relevant to . I future. B. Growth of the Region Carlsbad forms an integral part of the economy of Sa County and the North Coastal Subregional Labor Market are which includes Carlsbad, Oceanside and Vista. Therefore, economy of the San Diego County region should first be co A review of recent economic development, using as a the County's growth in employment provides a first point c reference, While employment does not exhaust all aspects El I 1 1 1 I II I I E 1 1 1 t I economic growth it does represent an overriding consider Employment data affords a high degree of statistical com bility over time, since these data are usually available an accurate and consistent time series. In the five year period 1966-1971, employment in th I State of California increased by 13.2 percent. In this period, employment in San Diego County increased by 37.7 percent. From Figure El , we can observe the comparativi growth rates in employment for each employment sector. (a) In San Diego County only a single indust agriculture - failed to grow in the peric I 1966-1971. (b) Major employment sectcrs include: 1. Construction 2. Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 3. Services 5. Government 6. Transportation 4. Trade I 7. Manufacturing These seven employment sectors are ranked in order c growth. Figure El shows that employment in Construction San Diego County increased at approximately double the gi rate for all sectors combined, followed closely by Financ Insurance and Real Estate and Services. Manufacturing rc the slowest growth rate (next to agriculture) in the Cour Employment in "Aircraft and parts, and Ordnance" provided jobs or 35 percent of total manufacturing employment. Ar industry provides the exception to the rule in the slow g sector. Slow growth in the manufacturing sector general1 reflects the dominance of Los Angeles as a manufacturing 8 1: E2 0 tnN ab a, I I I I 1 I 1 T i 4 I[ I I I I 1 i I 1 I Diilo W 5Gcn 2 -2 N ,Carl urn N ba I kb woo1 -%la Q\ .rl Lo rlrlcn ad N U b 0-l c, rl c I a N UJ OF cn earl rl rl -4 4 W !??ma 2 n wcw rdw 0 rd rl !% c, H 0 4 E+ 2 rlmcn 9 25 (v Wrdb 0 -- s:2 a)%l r(N u -4 a krlUJ z aacn WE LUd 3u W uom HO r: tnb c.tW om Eg w 2 -4 rl 2 cLrdUJ Emm 2 2% b Li E 2dU 2 H hn a 0 4CUJ m w rl w am W m0 x a,--4 cn crl U 0 dV4 crdcn url h N -4 ID 52 3 0 4 PI x u bwm 0 m OFLn b Ill I 6 (I8 8 mmco m In mcbe b Ib m dl amdl m mm\o N q add N brlrl d 0 cobm M Ill rl N NU" rl NO0 w -3 UFO3 0 NLnM w cn dlbh) 0 rl rl rlN 0 rl . NN-3 W dl COUJco 0 mdllo -3 co mmrl 0 rl rl rlh) 0 rl dlbw a W cnom 0 mmco Ln cn dl-03 0 rl 4 rlrl 0 . . rl Nmm b -F mmw 0 eerl Ln co eww 0 m N rl rlrl 0 a, rl u k 7 OCON rl c-4 rldlcn OD 0 rlNW N a NcoO b m . 2 5 rl Tr !z rlWb UJ M meLn co rd 4rlm rl UJ rlLnb w z LCI OrlUJ W cn OFF b 0 coo0 Ln a NmLn dl Ln dlm-3 rl c, . . .. L c 4J (d luLnrl MMLn e M MOA N a . . L. L a, d 4 rld b a r6 a, -4 U r: c k . aa, 0 CUI kc, w tn OCro 3rd -4 c c -4oa roc, rl a, 0 -4 c, .rl-rl CUI rd -4 k rdclc, HW c, U 4J u c, hurl 4 3 u 0.4.4 m UJ oocn 2 rl rl 44 co k \D r-l oo\D riwm 0 Pa 0 4 oom : 4J =I 4J 6-4 r: ai.; ; g 3 k a GCc, uauc ~ 2 U g EUrd E hrd ro c3 & cn .. c) u >a, rd k hr:C ardCak> 4J =I 0 kOC k .dC a, 0 0 0 a, c!z .rl k : ?I 2 ;gD a a I C, Comparative Urban Areas --- - In order to facilitate an examination of Carlsbad's I it will be appropriate to compare Carlsbad with other cit San Diego County. The extent to which Carlsbad's employmc Dattern conforms to that of other cities in the North Coal Labor Market may be measured by a diversification ifidex. measure is general in that it uses only employment to detc the degree of diversification. 1 1 I ! I I I I I lr t E 8 1 The method requires the use of an employment pattern which is taken to be that of San Diego County as a whole. data required for the construction of the index are conta in Figure E2 . The data shows the percent of total 1970 employment group fo San Diego County, Carlsbad, the North Coastal Labor Market (Carlsbad, Oceanside and Vista) . I For example, the second column shows the percent of Carlsbad's employment in Agriculture (5.9%), in Construct (6.3%), and so on. Note that the sum of this column (and every column) is 100 percent. The remaining columns conti the same data for each of the other cities while the firs column contains the percent distribution for the County a whole. I A guide for assessing any particular city's employme distribution pattern (or mix) is the sum of the positive deviations of the percent of its employment in a particul industry class subtracted from the percent of employment this industry class for the County as a whole. The sum o 1 these deviations is then subtracted from 100 SO that a hi( I index is represented by a high number. E4 I t 1 1 1 I I Manufacturing 15.1 10.9 9.7 I 1 f T I I FIGURE E2 PERCENT DISTRIBUTION OF EMPLOYMENT SAN DIEGO COUNTY, CARLSBAD AND NORTH COUNTY COASTAL LABOR MARKET, 1970 San Diego North County II County Carlsbad Labor Market * Agriculture 2.4 5 . 9 9.8 Construction 4.8 6 . 3 3.2 Transportation 4.6 5.7 4.7 Wholesale) Retail ) 1 19.3 27.3 19.3 Finance & Insurance 4.0 5.2 3.3 I Services 16,Y 30.0 18,8 Public Administration 22.0 8.2 29.3 1.9 --- Other Employment 10.3 Source: U.S. Census of Population 1970, Social & Economic Characteristics *Includes Carlsbad, I3ceanside and Vista Sari Diego County/Carlsbad Diversification Index Raw Score = (15.1 - 10.9) + (22.0 - 8.2) +(10.3 - 0) 1 t = 71.7 Index = 100 - Raw Score = 100 - 28.3 E5 I 1 U 11 I 1 1 I 1 I I 1 I T 11 If a city had the exact employment distribution as t County (that is if the data in its column were identical the first column in Figure E2 1, the sum of its deviatioi be zero. This raw score (zero) when substracted from 10( yield a perfect index of 100. For Carlsbad, its diversi: index is computed as follows: San Diego County/Carlsbad Raw Score = (15.1 - 10.9) + (22.0 - 8.2) + (10.3 - ( II Index = 100 - Raw Score = 100 - 28.3 = 71.7 Note that only when data in a sector is higher for 1 County than for a City are these two percentages subtracl summed with the other positive deviations, and the:> ~;~l=ltl from 100. A high index number reflects a high degree of similarity of the City's industry mix with that of the Cc A more detailed description of the procedure for calculai the diversification index is contained in the appendix sc The index reading for the Labor Market Area (Carlsb< Oceanside and Vista) not unexpectedly is higher at 84.9 1 is that for the City of Carlsbad. Supplementary data, tc report will provide comparative diversification indices : each of the ten communities in the North County MSA. 1 1 By itself, specialization or diversification is nei beneficial or harmful. Sometines economic specializatioi great benefits to a community. But a highly specialized incurs the risk of growing or contracting with one indus while a diverse econxny may absorb changing economic tre. a with minimum job displacement. 1 E6 8 R I 1 I' 8 t I 1 I i 11 1 1 I t I D. Employment Growth and Change in Carlsbad Employment is one of the fundamental indicators of . magnitude and potential of an area's economy since emploi 1 generates wealth in a community and enables a population be supported. Without employment--and the healthy growtl services and industry--the opportunities for large numbe people to live and work in one locaticm simply do not ex Factories, farms, shops, offices, restaurants create livl hoods for people by generating cash income to satisfy thc many important social, economic, cultural, and recreatio needs. With this in mind, we can examine the growth of different types of employment in Carlsbad over the past c Figure E3 contains a record of employment in the Ci since 1960. The data are presented fclr eight major emplc ment groups (called industry sectors). Additional data shown for unemployment. The first two columns contain tl amount and distribution of 1960 employment, the second tl columns contain the same data for 1970, and the last col shows the 1960-1970 percent change occurring in each indl group. As can be seen in Figure E3, total employment ' increased from 2,655 in 1960 to 5,101 in 1970, an increa of 92.0 percent. I As will be seen from Figure E3 , the employment/PoP ratio has increased from 29.9 percent in 1960 to 36.2 pe in 1970. This means that the employment level in 1960 h actually increased by 14 percent over the decade. 8 E7 0 bc, mea, I uc okrd -lam w a,& m&u rl 1 8 1 I I I I I Dl% I t I 1 1 I a 4 o\o 3 20 4 t- mc, dF: z k H r3 0 rl z w 2 T, H 4 (/I z fl 0 W mc, de UO a, 0 LIZ 0 H rl E-r 3 a w w w *z ZpI H % 2 2 E+ cn H cl E-l z w I4 0 PC E 3 a mmm rlmmcom ornmco WsrlmomoNrlmo *NN rl*ONNIOI mul . *I c; G d rl rlsrlrlrl om0 mmm bMNON . . *I . . mulo mbmocooomo rl (v m IO 0 r( 4 -=rN -=rc rn .U CrP rl **am0 d0I-l CnCnu)OmNIONC\I NmNln-=rorlm* . . I . . rl rl m m 2:; mmm m*m rlb03rlulmONO bmm mrl-=rwcvNO-=rO N Nrl 0 0 rl rl . m ma N ha cnc NNm wFco-=rmcombcv rlmm mbNcnmWmrlP N(vc*I rlmrlam rQ rl P N cv . . 2 ( 0 -4 c, Id -I u a, I c -4 u c k G 0 I 0 c, l% ( -4 c I 0 I W c,u ld G k c, 0 c k m rl I4 -4 I -4 c,( F om a 3 c c .da, c m a.4 34 4QIl a, 0 -4 c,-d Id c k -4 k Idc, H ? c, ? cI.4 a, krl -l 3 u 0.4 rd a, a, aUO>pIi 3krda4mUuu 0 rl -4 Idr u44-I -4m7c k c G IdQ 0 c k A c, , 8: 0 Ida, c, a, k -I . E 92: $4 $Id ea KJ c m F c, u 4 krl 4 . m 4 0 Id 5 -4 0 ( -4 *d 2 E-r a w rl ' 3 8 2 I?? g -2 g 2 g 5 ;r a,wc:rdrl ri c, *=22>rl I 1 1 1 1 I I t 1 I I I ! 1 1 i I 1 o\o O\O o\o O\O ow 09 OV, do 0 m a N m cn t- (v 0 b 0 co Lo In In m m N 4 . 0 0 W d 0 d 0 cn d P 0 . PC 3 0 p: u w ffi E-l 0 a 3 W n z -~n w4 co H 2 ' Ern D* H urn ha m w a 4 a, k 3 tT, u z d d -4 H b4 E-l 0 k z rn -d w rd a 0 k a, +J rl 4 d .rl PC tn -4 0 a r: w 3 2 m -F 03 0 In rl Q' co M cn rn N N 0 cn W rn m rn -3 m m N N E c c, E m *d c G c -4 -A 0 a, c, rd 4 k -d 4 u L, rl 0 a, .. 4 cn cl a U u7 G u a, U u rd u -4 a, 4-1 -4 4 U rd k d 3 a 3 rl ZI) -4 k rd I= a d 3 0 k a, g u 2 23 $ 2 a, 0 a -4 5 s E li4 k m E-l 2 !& u ?I E9 t t I N I i 1 ;I 1 E 11 E. Wage and Income Patterns Consideration of the wage and income patterns existing Carlsbad points out another dimension of the City's economy. To a significant extent, an area grows as a result of produc income for its inhabitants. And in a community like Carlsba much of this income comes from local payrolls and from resid families spending in the area. Generally there are four types of income that accrue tc persons: wages and salaries earned by being employed, pro- prietary income that entrepreneurs receivle from establishins business and employing people, property income coming from 1 property or from stocks and bonds, and transfer payments suc as inheritances and retirement income. These income stream: shown statistically in Figure E5 for nine income sectors. The Data show that employees working in industries in Carlsk receive personal income payments totalling $52,685,000 durir calendar 19 70. I I Of the four sources of income, wages and salaries amour to approximately $34 million or 65 percent of total income derived by persons working in Carlsbad. Adding business prc prietors income to wages and salaries, this amounts to over $37.7 million or 71.5 percent of all personal income accruir to Carlsbad employees. An analysis of wage and proprietary reveals many sources of income generation. In the first co: of Figure E5, the number of employed persons in major indusl groups in the City is listed. The second column indicates I relative distribution of these persons by major group. In ( 11 I I 1 m E10 1 8 I 1 I 8 I I 1 I I 1 I the annual wage bill by industry group is shown. This is s the product of multiplying employment by annual wage. The relative distribution of this income is shown in column 4. Since annual wages vary for industry sectors, the perc of total income generated by a sector may differ from the p cent of total employment in that sector. That is, some emp sectors generate more payroll than employment and others mo employment than payroll. This can be seen by comparing col 2 and 4. 1 8 Figure E5 shows the relative contribution of each secto the City's income stream as well as the relative income pro per employee in generating a part of this income. As can be seen from Figure E5, the top three sectors p income in the City's economy are Manufacturing, Services an Trade which account for $21.2 million or 61.9 percent of a1 dollars earned in the City. 5 Note, however, that the most productive sectors in pro income per employee are Government, Construction and Manufa That is, these are relatively high wage industries and tend I generate more wealth per employee. An ideal growth pattern course, would be for the City to attract more of these type industries. As can be seen from Figure E5, income to persons worki in Carlsbad not directly related to employment constitutes approximately $14.9 million or 28.3 percent of total income generated in the City. This comes from seal and other prop and from transfer payments. Little additional data is avai for the sources of this income. These sources, however, ar relatively stable part of the local economy. I 8 Ell c 8 I I 1 1 I I 1 i il I 'I 1 II 11 I I 1 FIGURE E5 1970 PERSONAL INCOllE, CARLSBAD 1970 Wage Bill or Wages and Salaries Employment Annual Income Percent Amount Percent Amount Agriculture 301 5.9 445,000 1.3 '7,6 12,O 0 0 22.2 Manufacturing 558 10.9 Mining NA NA ?3,000 0.1 Construction 325 6.3 2,941,000 8.6 Transportation 294 5.7 2,2 6 3,OO 0 6.6 6,378,000 18.6 Wholesale & Retail 1,394 27.3 Finance & Real Estate 268 5.2 1,994,000 5.8 Services 1,533 30.0 '7,2 18 , 0 00 21.1 Government 420 8.2 !SI 26 7,000 15.4 I 34,191,000 3,522,000 Proprietors NA NA Property Income NA NA 8,620,000 Transfer Payments NA NA 6,352,000 100.0 1 - Total 52,685,000 Source: Interpolated from U S Census of Population 1970 and data from Human Resources Development Department. E12 I 0 8 I I I 1 1 1 I I I I I 8 From Figure E6 we can see the distribution of mediar earnings by selected occupation groups in Carlsbad for 1: It should be noted that for the purpose of this sample tl: Bureau of Census has omitted all government employment. the sample data pertains to six occupations among male en for a representative sample of 76 percent of all male em: ment and two categories of female occupations representir 34 percent of all female employment. groups are shown in Figure E6 and include professional ar mangerial, craftsmen, operatives, farmers and 1 aborers (k farm and non-farm) as well as female clerical and operati As will be seen, the professional and managerial occ 1 These occupational 1 groups represent 816 workers or 26 percent of the work fc and this occupational group contributed 44 percent of the total wage bill or annual income. represented 6 42 employees or approximately 21 percent and this group contributed approximately 24 percent to the wc bill or annual income. Thus, these two classes, which represented 47 percent of Carlsbad' s workers, contributed almost 68 percent of the annual income accruing from wage It should be remembered that the government group was exc The craftsman group I from the example and if this high iiicoine group were inclt it should increase the percentage of Carlsbad's workers e a relatively high annual wage. 8 The balance of the sample (52.5 percent) of all empl contributed 32 percent to Carlsbad's annual income. Thec the lower earning categories whose annual wage was shown 61 percent and 46 percent of Carlsbad's 1970 median fami E13 L E 8 I t t I 1 L 1 f I 1 I I 1 I 1 FIGUm E6 DISTRIBUTION OF MEDIAN EARNINGS BY SELECTED OCCUPATION GROUP, CARLSBAD, 1970 Wage I 1970 Employed Annual Annua: All Workers No. Percent Wage $ Amount (sooos) I Professional , Managerial 817 26.6 12,520 10,228 Craftsman 642 20.9 8,603 5,523 Operatives 462 15.0 6,404 2,958 4,868 1,100 Laborers (Excluding Farm) 226 7.3 Farmers 44 1.4 NA NA Farm Laborers 183 5.9 3 , 615 661 Female Clerical 526 17.1 4,181 2,199 Operatives 170 5.5 2,983 507 3,070 100.0 --- 23,176 Standard Note: (NA) Not Available (--- ) Not Applicable Note: Selected occupation groups as a percent of total civi: employment. 3,098 Males Sample 2,374 or 76.6% 2,003 Females Sample 696 or 34.7% Total Emp. 5,101 3,070 Source: Data from US Census of Population General Social an( --- Characteristics, Occupation and Earnings. t E14 a 8 1 i I I I 1 1 I 1 I FIGURE E7 PERCENT DISTRIBUTION AND DIVERSIFICATION INDEX OF TOTAL EMPLI BY OCCUPATION, SAN DIEGO COUNTY, CARLSBAD, OCEANSIDE AND VIST San Diego County Car lsb ad Oceans ide Professional, Technical 18.7 16.0 11.8 I Managers & Administrators 9.3 1.2.8 9.8 Sales Workers 8.9 1.2.0 10.9 18.8 10.6 Clerical 19.1 1.3.9 Craftsmen 13.6 1-2.5 Operatives 8.2 6.1 9.7 Transportation 2.9 2.9 3.7 Laborers (Non-Farm) 4.2 4.4 4.8 Farmers & 1.3 0.8 0.4 Farm Laborers NA 3.5 1.2 Service Workers 12.9 1-3.2 16.9 I Private Household 1.3 1.2 0.7 CAlUSBAD (18.7 - 16.0) + (19.1 - 13.9) + (13.6 - 12.5) + (8 (1.3 - 1.2) DI = 88.8 8 (1.3 - 0.7) DI = 88.3 8 DI = 92.8 OCEANSIDE ( 18.7 - 11.8) + (19.1 - 18.8) + (13.6 - 10.6) + ( VISTA (18.7 - 15.7) + (9.3 - 9.1) + (19.1 - 15.6) + (12. Source: U,S, Census of Population General Social and Economi 8 1 1 Characteristics, 1970, E15 B I I 1 t I I I I I II 1 8 I 8 F. Specific Industry Groups In the previous section the sources of income in the C are scrutinized and three sectors were seen as major contri 1 butors: Services, Trade and Manufacturing. Service industries in Carlsbad in 1970 employed 30 pel of the labor force and generated 21 percent of the total ar income in wages and salaries. This industry group was fol: by wholesale and retail trade which generated 27 percent 0: employment and 18 percent of all wages and salaries. This industry group was followed by manufacturing, which employc approximately 11 percent of the total labor force and reprc significantly, 22 percent of the annual income resulting f wages and salaries. We shall now randomly select the "man 1 1 sector'' for closer analysis. Manufacturing plants in the Carlsbad-Oceanside commun A list of the larger manufact area are rapidly expanding. firms in the community is included in the appendix. While the number of firms has not increased significa during the period of 1960-1970, there nevertheless has bee major expansion of several large firms as well as the intr duction of several new firms coming into existence. Withi manufacturing sector some concentration can be seen in el€ computer components and aviation parts. predominate in the manufacturing sector. If any cutback C in this industry sector money previously spent by these wc on manufactured goods, retail trade, services, etc. woulc and this, in turn, would generate unemployment. On the 01 t These industries E16 I I 8 1 R t 1 1 I 1 8 8 1 hand, an increase in manufacturing employment would obvious increase other employment in the City through the same mech This mechanism is termed the "multiplier effect" and it may estimated by various data now available. 1 It would be safe to say that the local employment mult effect would be at least as great as 1.30 or 1.30 jobs to e job in the manufacturing industry. Thus, a 10 percent cutb in Carlsbad's manufacturing industry (now at 558 jobs) woul mean a loss of 55 employees plus an additional 71 jobs in t community at large, or a total loss of 1;!6 jobs. On the ot hand, a 10 percent increase in manufacturing employment wou mean a net addition of 126 jobs in Carlsbad's economy. 1 1 G. Retail and Wholesale Trade Employment in Ketail and Wholesale Trade represents 27 We shall now cons. I percent of total employment in the City. some other measures of retail and wholesale trade activity. 1. Income and Buying Power To determine the significance of the present level of retail sales in Carlsbad, it is critical to look at the dol. income of residents in the trade area. Shoppers can purcha: goods only within the capacity of their buying power (and, ( course, their extension of today's buying power by the use ( credit). As income goes up, so too does dollar expenditure: for retail items; if it goes down, so too does expenditures And if income is higher or lower than that of the rest of tl community, retail expenditures follow suit. t II 1 These examples deal with the dynamics of industrial growth change. They are prototypical of the factors affecting ea life in the City of Carlsbad. 8 E17 i 8 8 I I I t I 1 1 8 I 1 s 8 8 1 According to estimates by Sales Management, Carlsbad residents had in 1970 a net Effective Buying Income of $40,996,000. Net Effective Buying Income (commonly called Disposable Income) is the amount of income persons receive (Personal Income) minus tax payments to Federal, state and local governments. This deduction (the base payment) is mad6 in order to indicate how much is available for the purchase goods and services. We sze then that approximately $41,000 was available for Carlsbad residents in 1970 and they could I spend this amount (or save it) for such items as shelter, retail goods, personal services, etc. This amounted to $8, per household. From Figure E8 we can observe that Carlsbad retained 74 percent of its disposal income in 1970 for expenditures retail sales. This is a significantly high figure and may k contrasted with the percentage of disposal income retained other communities throughout San Diego County. When one cc siders the relatively small population base of Carlsbad con with such cities as Chula Vista, C1 Cajon and La Mesa it i: reasonably safe to assume that Carlsbad has an excellent fl prDspect for economic growth and development. An even grc percentage of Carlsbad's disposal income will be retained . the City as cultural and business elements expand in con] with urbanization of the subregion. t E18 I li FIGURE E8 I RETAIL SALES AS A PRECENT OF DISPOSABLE INCOME CARLSBAD AND SELECTED CITIES, 1970 Retail Disposable Retail Sales Income as a ($000~) Disposab (SOOOS) I I CARLSBAD 30 , 412 40,996 74 8 8 8 1 t 1 San Diego City 1 , 272,630 2,507,929 5( I San Diego County 2 , 508,824 4,750,642 5: t I I I 8 Escondido 148,342 120,651 122 Oceans i de 86,593 123,542 70 Vista 46 , 859 77,370 60 82 El Cajon 166,662 199,697 256,199 71 Chula Vista 182 , 000 La Mesa 151,647 178,016 85 National City 102,179 113,884 85 I Source: Compiled from 1970 Survey of Buying Power. Note: Total retail sales occurring in the City of Carlsbad equal to: Retail Sales = Expenditures + Expend in Carlsbad by residents by non. Disposable income of Carlsbad' s residents means: m Disposable Income of - - Spent inside + Spent Carlsbad's Carlsbad Carlsb residents E19 h 0 N m m rl 0 k ko rl N * rla, 0 k-4 rd - h4J Q)d rd c*- plw - m F W I I I I 1 8 8 t 8 1 1 1 I 1 3 I 8 8 I I c- N co c\J P W (u w a W rl 54s -4 rl 0 5 00 m k. 4J 4J h.(rl m a* PI -4 w PI' a, u c,O rl mo rdW0 4J. 044 Hrl* 4- . n N m q 4 \D cv rl c\I 0 Ln 0 u . u1 $ ; Eil u w v) a w E UP ww cia wrl m Cl 24 4 wu w E m rl 4J 4 c GO' -4 hZ rl co rl N m c,kO N 2 -2 =: 3 -4 rl 4J 4 (dm 40 F 0 m m OZ m W 00 az m p n 0 a 0 N 0 0 W cy co * b 4 rl da, 0 0 !-I NO hc, 04 a CN* plw - cn E" 2 44 E E2 25 w k*l-!rd . l4m c(fn 3E bl a -rn a G- W In w 4JrlO N -4 rl 0 4 Lo m m 5 00 W 0 k. * rl 4J h--l m a* m wpl- a, 40 rd rl mo rn rdwo 0 4. 044 In W 0 Ed- 4- wc-7 BE . . . Xkl BO &E-( n W w cn 30N rl F* 2 cn rl W W N WH . . . rl H m rl 4 rl c COD UkO cb N b i2 0 u .rl hZ e u) u) 3a AI ul c4 -4 ri rl Q a' c, 4Jo Lo 03 0 (d m 02 w E Ln ri 03 N - --- cn m F In W W cn Dl m rl rl rl m 7k ma ca, a,sI W T7'3l-l ma3 con mu rlrl 01 " Q) Nco u Urn rl -rl 3 k a, VI a a, 4 u a, rl a, v) *# m rn c, 4J *a c, -4 4J 4 ma, ma, wu wu *a 2 2 LDW om I. .. 04 corn NLo Nm rl m -d a 'a, c, c,rl m *a, -04 ma ma 2 wv) wm I mF Wm IAW WW om om rlrl rlrl I a, m c Id 6 4J c a, u k Q) PI 1 8 I 1 8 I Sales ($1,000) D D I I 8 8 I t I 8 8 8 FIGURE E10 RETAIL SALES BY BUSINESS GROUPS 1963 AND 1967, CARLSBAD 1967 - Business 1963 -n Building materials, hardware and farm equipment Establishments 5 7 Sales ($1,000) 546 416 General Merchandize Establishments 4 3 Food Stores Establishments 6 9 Sales ($1,000) 2,423 2,756 Automotive Dealers Establishments 3 5 D 632 Sales ($1,000) Gasoline Service Stations Establishments 10 14 Sales ($1,000) 1,092 2,050 Apparel and Accessory 7 Establishments 6 Sales ($1,000) 167 488 Furniture, Home Furnishings a Establishments 10 9 408 421 Sales ($1, 000) Eating and Drinking Establishments 22 28 Sales ($1,000) 9 31 1,784 Drug Stores 2 2 D D Establishments Sales ($1,000) Miscellaneous Re tai 1 Establishments Sales ($1,000) Est ab 1 is hments 8 Sales ($1,000) 10 15 402 875 Non-store Retail 4 6 58 108 Standard Note: (D) Withheld to avoid disclosure. Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Census of Retail Trade, California 1963 and 1967. I E21 I 8 II I 1 1 I 1 t t I 8 I t 2. Business Sales in Carlsbad 8 The latest figures available indicate that in the Cale Year 1972, annual retail sales in Carlsbad amounted to $50 This represents an impressive 500 percent increase in retai volume that Carlsbad retail establishments generated in the years since 1966. This substantial increase was accomplish in spite of the recent spate of newly constructed planned s ping centers located in the North County, which are vigorou competing for Carlsbad's consumer expenditures. 1 Carlsbad has successfully competed with these new cent by encouraging the completion of the Plaza El Camino Region Center, thus, attracting substantial numbers of consumers f the trading area. Data compiled for bushess groups in Fig indicate the types of businesses experiencing recent gains. growth can be looked at in two ways: A change in the numbe stores and a change in retail sales volume. Data in Figure show that the total number of stores increased from 191 in to 237 in 1966, to 365 in 1971. By 1972, the number of stc had further increased to 414. Retail sales grew from $5,89 in 1962, to $8,107,000 in 1966, and following completion of Plaza El Camino Center to $37,762,000 in 1971. Moreover, an sales further increased between 1971 and 1972 reflecting a total of $50,314,000 total sales (retail and selected servi Sale increases were experienced notably in general mer apparel and other retail. ;7hile all groups reflected incre sales, building materials and service stations reflected le their share in the prevailing pattern of growth. 1 I I E22 I 8 8 I 1 I 1 8 8 Package Liquor 3 D 2 D 2 I 1c Building Materials 6 683 4 621 4 8 Service Stations 12 214 12 311 20 1 1 I I 1 8 FIGURE Ell RETAIL SALES BY BUSINESS GROUP 1962, 1966 AND 1971, CARLSBAD Sales Sales Sa Kind of Business Est. 1962 Est. 1966 Est. 19 (Sooos) (sooos) (-w Apparel 7 $ 484 9 $ 469 38 $ 4 General Merchandise 2 100 3 334 7 15 Drugs 2 D 2 D 3 Food 8 614 9 1,094 11 2 Eating and Drinking 21 538 27 1,566 36 2 Home Furnishings 4 186 11 303 16 Automobile & Supplies 0 D 2 D 3 Other Retail 18 317 20 1,154 48 4 All Other Outlets - 108 2,275 - 136 2,265 - 177 - 7 TOTAL 191 $5,892 237 $8,107 365 $37 f Standard Note: (D) Withheld to avoid disclosure; totals includl Note: Data is not comparative with the US Census of Retail Tr and Selected Services for 1963 and 1967, and will not COI with the data for the 1972 Census (unpub1ished)due to la reporting and exclusion of retail sales incidental to in Source: Compiled from State Board of Equalization and San Dieg Chamber of Commerce, Economic Research Bureau, July 19 within "Other Retail". E23 8 1 8 1 I I I I 8 I 8 1 8 1 1 It is of some interest to see which retail outlets have generated an inflow of sales. cated in FigureE12. The first two columns contain retail sales for San Diego County and retail sales for Carlsbad du Some estimate of this is ind: 1971--the latest year for which accurate sales data are eas available. In 19711 Carlsbad contained one percent of the County's population. The retail sales pattern for one perc of the County's population is shown in column 3; this would also be the sales pattern for Carlsbad if the City had the same per capita amount and distribution of retail sales. Thus, Carlsbad, if it mirrored the County, would experience retail sales of $27,823,000. If we subtract Carlsbad's "expected" sales (column 3) from Carlsbad' s actual sales 1 (Co~umn 2) I we can see the extent to which the City over-or under-participated in business volume. This is shown in cc 1 4 of Figure E12. From column 4, ~.7e can observe the following items: (i) Total retail sales inflow amounted to $9,339,300. That is to say, Carlsbad's retail volume ought to be $27,823,000 instead of $37,762,000 if it followed the County retail sales pattern. (ii) Two business groups accounted for most of the retail sales inflow: General Merchandise dealers with inflow sales of $101632,000 and Apparel with inflow sales of $2,746.000. (iii) The major leakage occurred in Other Retail and amounted to $1,906,000. (iv) Other business groups experiencing significant leakage were Home Furnishings, Building Materials, Other Retail, All Other Outlets and e I Service Stations. E24 8 8 I I I I FIGURE E12 EXPECTED RETAIL SALES IN CARLSBAD Carlsbad Sales Excc Carlsbad County Pattern1 C San Diego if it followed S ($000s) ($000s) ($000s) ( Apparel $ 117,435 $ 4,036 $ 1,290 $ - Kind of Business County B General Merchandise 414,258 15,185 4,553 8 Food 184,151 2,272 2 , 024 Drugs (64,101) D D 1 Package Liquor (57,515) D D I I Automobile & Supplies (421 , 306) D D I 1 1 Eating and Drinking 236,794 2,918 2 , 602 114,542 793 1,258 Home Furnishings - Building Material 122,865 689 1,350 - Service Stations 42 , 443 458 466 - Other Retail 542,922 4,061 5,967 - 756,397 7,350 8,313 - TOTAL $2,531,807 $37,762 $27,823 $ - 8 ~11 Other Outlets Standard Note: (D) Withheld to avoid disclosure; totals included "Other Retail". Figures in parenthesis in Column non-additive. Source: Compiled from State Board of Equalization and San Diego C I 1 1 20btained by subtracting Column 3 from Column 2. of Commerce, Economic Research Bureau Data for 1971. 1 Obtained by multiplying each element in column 1 by the percent o Diego County's population living in Carlsbad in 1971 or (15,517)/ 0.0109911. E25 I ~$000,000) 8 40 8 I I I 1 1 8 1 I 10 I 8 1 I 30 20 8 I 0 RETAIL SALES DISTRIBUTION, CAIiLSBAD - 1966 AND 1971 $37,762,000 - General Merchandi Apparel - Other Retail - All Other Outlets Growth Home Furnishings Food Eating & Drinkinc L Growth Building Material __----- Service Stations 1966 1971 I 8 1 I I I I I I I I I I 1 I FigureE12 indicates that Carlsbad's strengths--and th are very dominant--are represented in two business groups, while Carlsbad's weaknesses are spread among five establis ment groups. The strong retail areas, General Merchandise and Apparel, are both regionally oriented. Figure E13 shows graphically the comparative distribut of retail sales businesses in Carlsbad in 1966 and 1971. data shows both the actual growth in sa:Les for each type o business and also the rate of growth for each business gro As will be seen, General xerchandise, Apparel, Other Retai and All Other Outlets were represented :in the fast growth sector; Home Furnishings, Food and Eating and Drinking reflected moderate growth while Service Stations and Build Materials produced only a slow rate of growth. If Carlsba I is to obtain a more balanced retail profile, it must activ plan for CBD development, additional shopping centers and expanded services and highway oriented commercial to encou the growth of lagging retail sectors. I The Carlsbad-Oceanside-Vista labor market which contE a population of approximately 90,000 will experience a foy increase to 360,000 within the next 20 years. A consumer tion of this magnitude will demand not (only a correspondir increase in the primary business groups but also a greatlq 1 expanded comparison and specialty shopping and business sf Carlsbad is strategically located to provide the focus fox I expanding labor market. The Lake Calavera Hills develor has the potential of generating a consumer market of up tc people and of contributing 60 million dollars in wages. E27 I 8 I I I 1 I I I I 8 8 I I H. Summary of Conclusions * The City of Carlsbad is strategically located to serve as the marketing center for the North County Major Statistical Area. Its location in proximity to the Cc and the expanding freeway network makes Carlshad a mo: desirable place to live and work. I * The City has already demonstrated a. dramatic take-off in the trade and service sectors which can be conside: I of regional significance. * An expanded industrial base for industries which prov higher wages than the present base average for the Ci can be developed. I * The productivity of Carlsbad' s industries , measured ii terms of value added per employee, has increased. Sim the percent of Carlsbad's disposable income retained 1 the City shows a very healthy position. The percent of population gainfully employed has substantially in I over the period 1960-1973. * The projected fourfold increase in Carlsbad's populat contains major implications for development and diver cation of the City's economic base. I * Additional industries will provide a nearby source of employment for Carlsbad's residents. Similarly, incr industrial employment in the City will generate incre business volumes in other sectors of the economy. E28 I. Lake Calavera Hills in the Context of Carlsbad's Eco I I I I I I In the context of leading growth indicators for the of Carlsbad, the planned development of the Lake Calavera Hills 6evelopment will provide a major infusion of popula employment and capital into the City. The proposed devel when completed will generate a population of some 11,600 a labor force potential of 4,200 workers. 1 The tax revenues which can be expected after full dc of the Lake Calavera Hills project indicate the followins possibilities: * 4,200 dwelling units x estimated average market value of $30,000 = $126 million investment 1 (excluding personal property). 1 value = $31.5 million. * Assessed value assumed at 25 percent of market * Tax rate assumed for all taxing agencies = $11.6: per $100 assessed valuation. * Annual tax revenue estimated at $3,700,000 (It should be noted that these figures do not incluc service charges which may be required for water an( sewers.) I 1 I 1 1 I 1 I 1 Assuming that 36 percent of the -population will be labor force, 4,200 workers will contribute approximately million in wages based on the 1970 median family income. I Buying power of the residents in the Lake Calavera Development is estimated to be: * Assume minimum annual income per dwelling unit a 40 percent of dwelling unit cost $30,000 x 40 percent = $12,000. * Assume disposable income at 70 percent of gross 70 percent x $12,000 = $8,400 per dwelling unit. Disposable income generated annually by resident * of Lake Calavera Hills Community - $35 million. ******* E29 I 1 1 I I 1 I 1 1 I I I 1 I 1 I I I 1 LAKE CALAVERA HILLS COST-REVENUE: ANALYSIS --PROPOSITION 13 SUPPLEMEN'J-- Prepared For The City of Carlsbad August 1978 THE LEVANDER COMPANY. iric economrcs and management cc-sblfanfs I 1 1 I I 1 1 a I 1 INDEX Page Number 1 1. SUMMARY.. . . . . . . . . . . . e a a 2. PRINCIPAL PROVISIONS OF PROPOSITION 13 AND 4 RELATED LEGISLATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 3. SOME GENERAL IMPLICATIONS OF PROPOSITION 13 . . . 8 4. REVIEWS OF INDIVIDUAL AGENCIES. . . . . . . . . . 8 (1) City.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 (2) Water. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 (3) Schools . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 (4) Sanitation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 (5) Parks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 5. . SOURCES OF DATA . , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . EXH I B ITS 1 PROJECT MAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 ANNUAL HOMEOWNER COST COMPARISONS . . . . . . . . 2 7 3 COST- REVENUE COMPARISON- -"STABLE YEAR" AFTER 10 1 1 FULL DEVELOPMENT--PER-CAPITA ITEMS. . . . . . 1 1 I 1 8 1 I THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consulfants I 1 I 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I I 1 I 1 8 I 1 MEMORANDUM City of Carlsbad TO Attention: Mr. Mike Zander DATE August i FROM Dale H. Levander ti 258 SUBJECT LAKE CALAVERA HILLS COST-REVENUE ANALYSIS-- PROPOSITION 13 SUPPLEMENT At the request of the City of C rlsbad, we have prepared this supplement to our report of last October.c7 In this report, we evaluated the poten impacts of the prospective 808-acre Lake Calavera Hills residential deve ment project on local governmental finances. Exhibit 1 identifies this project. The basic purpose of our work was to assist community leadership in judg the desirability of the project, as part of a broader general plan revie 1 process. The results of this work were documented in a summary report of 76 pages and a technical supplement of more than 300 pages. Our analysis reviewt financial impacts of the project upon the City of Carlsbad, the Carlsbac Municipal Water District, the Carlsbad Unified School District, and sanitation and parks activities which might be the subject of special assessment districts outside the City's current structure. In the supplemental analysis, our purpose has been to determine to what extent Proposition 13 may have altered the basic findings and conclusior reached in the October report. In this analysis, we have confined our c to a review of Proposition 13 impacts only. We have not attempted to r estimate cost and revenue factors, reflecting inflation and other chang which have occurred since then, exclusive of Proposition 13. This is n full update of the other report. 1. SUMMARY CONCLUSIONS Regarding the several agencies under study, we offer the following sumn concl us i ons : o City. In our judgement, Proposition 13 does not alter the basic cost-revenue relationships displayed in the earlier October report. Revenues directly attributable to Lake Calavera Hills development remain above costs - a,/ Lake Calavera Hills Cost-Revenue Analysis, prepared by Levander, Partridge & Lnderson, Inc. (name of firm prior to January 1978). THE LEVANDER COhlPANY, INC economics and managerrenf consultants 1 I I 1 THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC esonomics and management consultants ID 1 I I I 1 I 1 I 1 I I 1 I 1 I 1 I directly attributable. However, an estimated revenue reduction of about $42 per capita will significantly reduce the margi n of revenues over costs--from about $55 per capita to about $13 per capita.2' The basic question now as before is the extent to which the community percei ves the necessity for new development to cover not only directly attributable costs (which are termed "variable" in the analysis) but also costs which are not directly attributable (termed "fixed" in the analysis). such factors as pressures for added City services i rrespecti ve of growth, need for residential neighborhoods to support the community at large irrespective of political boundaries, and other matters of this sort. Basically, we believe that this analysis provides sub- stantial argument that if development were justified on a pre-13 basis, it is now. o Water and Sanitation. Enterprise operations such as water and sanitation will face no major problem as a result of Proposition 13, because of their capability of obtaining adequate revenues through service charges and hook-up (buy in) fees. This is a very complex question, involving o Schools. While Proposition 13 will impact schools adverse1 this impact will be no more in Lake Calavera Hills than it will be in the community at large. The principal problem remains the provision of adequate 1 ong-term capital facilities. additior,al facilities will be required. These requirement: appear to be solvable through developer-district cooperatic A1 though there is no short-range problem, 1 o Parks. Provision of parks will not be impacted adversely if the developer's plan for use of a special assessment district is employed. In this and most other cost-revenue analyses, a major concern analyzed i extent to which new development will have favorable or adverse impacts upon existing residents. However, a corollary concern is that of the at of the new residents to pay. In this regard, the prior analysis indica adverse situation for the new homeowner; nor does the existing analysis On the contrary, property tax savings from Proposition 13 should enable these new homeowners to be able to afford to pay more "front end" costs public infrastructure required by their development (schools, parks, st pub1 ic buildings, etc.) . Thus, we see no major problem in the impositi greater user and capital charges upon future homeowners, as a1 ternate sources of revenue to those used heretofore. - a/ The above $13 per capita margin indicated for the City is conservat in that it does riot take into consideration potential cost reductic and revenue increases now under study as a result of Proposition 13 and particularly greater user fees and possibly state subventions. THE LEVANDER COMPANY. P.: economics and rna,?zjemenf consdants 1 I 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 I I 1 1 1 2. PRINCIPAL PROVISIONS OF PROPOS~TION 13 AND !ELATED LEGISLATION Provisions are not totally clear at this time, because of need for additic legal clarification. However, it would appear that the following provisic of importance will apply: The property tax is limited to 1% of fair o Maximum Tax Rate. market value, which equates to a maximm tax of $4.00 per $1 00 assessed Val uati on. However, exi ;ti ng bond repayment commitments can be added to the $4.00. The $4.00 tax rate compares to last year's rates throughout California ranging from roughly $8.00 to $15.00. In Carlsbad, last year's combined rate for all taxing agencies was about $10.62, including about 50$ for bond purposes. present maximum is equal to about 40% of last year's rate, excl usi ve of bond i terns. Thus the $4.00 o Assessed Value Base and Increases. Property taxes will be against assessed value per the 1975-76 tax rolls, with an a1 lowable annual escallation of 2% maximum. Improvements not on the 1975-76 rolls will be based upon their first- year rolls, subject to the same 2% annual increase. In the event of property sales or other transfers (excluding intra-family transfers), taxes can be computed on the basis of current value. additions to assessment rolls will arise only through new construction, inasmuch as the 2% factor is considerably below present and potential inflationdry rates. required for new revenues intended as alternates to propert tax loss. However, it is our understanding that increases in existing revenue sources will be permitted, such as business license fees, user charges for water and other services, and assessment district charges. This is a rathf complex matter which requires further legal clarification. o Additional Bonding Overrides. It is our understanding tha- overrides to the $4.00 maximum property tax rate are permissable with two-thirds voter approval , for bonding an( other purposes. This means essentially that major o Replacement Revenue. A two-thirds voter approval will be Another important aspect arising from passage of Proposition 13 is the distribution of surplus to cities for fiscal year 1978-79. Nithin the month after passage of Proposition 13, the legisldture decided to appropriate $250 million of state surplus to cities within the state through a formula keyed to allocating surplus on the basis of tax reve lost, based upon prior year's experience. In this respect, preliminary estimates by the League of California Cities indi1:ated that Carlsbad wa to receive an estimated $722,000, equal to roughly 528 per capita. In comparison, the per-capita average for all cities within the state is a imately $16 and thus Carlsbad would receive a greater per-capita figure average. On the other hand, some cities would receive even higher i THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consu1;ants I 1 1 I I I R I I 1 I 1 1 I I I I I allocations. For example, the City of Los Angeles is estimated to receivc approximately $39 per capita. cities with higher tax rates inasmuch as these would be the cities most severely hurt by the 1% limitation. These were the basic allocation considerations. utilization of City surplus. The post-13 law stated that any cities with current general fund surplus in excess of 5% of last year’s total general fund revenues would be penalized in an allocation to the extent of one-th of this surplus. Many cities have taken exception to this requirement, a it is now the subject of legal action. It is our understanding that Carl has a significant surplus, and may not choose to accept the State’s alloc on this basis. A broader question concerns what will happen beyond 1978-79. In our viev there is a considerable possibility that the State will devise some form additional subvention which will essentially take the place of the “one-: surplus distribution this year (even though there may be an almost equal state surplus occurring by the end of this fiscal year, available for ne, year). Most likely such a future subvention would be based on a variety factors; and given sufficient time, the legislature could quite probably introduce a number of social and economic factors into the distribution Whatever the specific formula which might be used, it is quite likely th population would be a significant factor. However, we cannot predict at point in time to what extent. In this analysis, we have acknowledged th potential subvention revenue, but we have not included it in the specifi In a similar manner, the Legislature set aside major funds for distribut to school and community college districts, and also funds for distributi to speci a1 di stri cts (fi re, water, sani tation, etc. ) . In effect, the allocation formula favored Another major provision the post-13 law, subject to considerable current controversy, dealt with I numerical computations. 3. SOME GENERAL IMPLICATIONS OF PROPOSITION 13 There is considerable current discussion both statewide and nationally concerning the true meaning of Proposition 13. broad mandate for significant cost cutting in government. Others see it as an adverse social reaction, aimed at discrimination against minoritic and the poor. protection. In this respect, still others see inequities in the law cor ing renters, and others see need for limiting the law to residential benefactors only, i n effect el imi nati ng comerci ai and i ndustri a1 enter] from Proposition 13 benefits. These are all very complex questions beii addressed today. matters. necessary to address these broader issues. Rather, we have confined ou analysis to financial impacts of the law as it can be determined today, irrespective of the broader philosophic questions. Some people see it as a Others see the law more simplistically as homeowner We certainly do not have the answers to all of these Yet from our standpoint in this analysis, we believe that it THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consultants I I 1 I I I 1 8 1 I 8 I I I I I I Nevertheless, Proposition 13 is clearly impacting itself upon government1 agencies of all types throughout the state in two major forms, as follow o There is a significant move to increase revenues through user charges, both for operational and capital purposes. This in effect is a move towards a greater "user pay" philosophy. It is a lessening of the doctrine which has been growing throughout our nation during the past 50 years i nvol vi ng greater and greater progressive taxation. Currently, these same agencies are to find means to reduce costs. cost reduction was expressed by the Council through appointment of a Proposition 13 Implementation Advisory Committee shortly after passage of Proposition 13, whose report of July 18 we have read. o In the City of Carlsbad the desire for potential Beyond these questions of local government finances, we believe that Pro 13 has a rather broad implication upon the homeowner'^ ability to pay fo services. In the past, with high property taxation of single-family horr there has been considerable argument against imposition of major "buy-in fees by sewer districts, water districts, school districts, and other governmental agencies. This factor has been of varying importance in differing jurisdictions; yet our experience suggest that it has clearly of significance in the past. With the savings in property tax created by passage of Proposition 13, c preliminary financial estimates show that the homeowner now has a great€ capability to pay for physical facilities than he had in the past. To illustrate this point, we have prepared Exhi bit 2,. This exhibit compare the tax savings from Proposition 13 for typical owners of $60,000 and $1 homes to assessment district costs, were we to assume that all governmer infrastructure were to be paid by the new homeowner on the basis of 25 j bonds. In several jurisdictions, such an assessment district arrangemer has been approached. Irrespective, the figures show that tax savings fc a $60,000 home wou7d be more than sufficient to pay for total infrastruc which we compute for the average situation to be in the range of $5,000 $6,000 per unit. This infrastructure cost would include total cost of 5 facilities, streets (not provided by developer), government buildings, F sanitation, and water facilities, etc. We are not recommending institution of such an assessment district at tk time. Rather we use Exhibit 2 as an illustration of the greater capabi' of the homeowner to pay his way, now that Proposition 13 has been passel I THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC I economics and management consultants I 1 i I I i I 9, I is 1 5 I 1 z 1 I I @ 3 0 @ e q Q s 0 c, t- cy@ 0 9% c, % c 0 L1 2 0 T 3 z z T 4 I mm -CY mu =3 m OO f-l (D 0 t c 0 .- > l- .- L L a .w a 0 a, L rc rn 1 I I 0 0 0 I 0 0 0 0 1 I I 1 I 1 1 I I 1 I I I 1 I I 4. - REVIEWS OF INDIVIDUAL AGENCIES In our October report, we considered five local governmental agencies: o City of Carlsbad. o Sanitation. I o Parks. o Water. o Schools. Water serviGe will be provided by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District inasmuch as Lake Calavera Hills is in its service area, even though the City of Carlsbad has a water department operating elsewhere in the City School service is provided by the Carlsbad Unified School District. Sal facilities have been broken out as a separate element because of the possibility of establishment of a separate wastewater reclamation plant the Lake Calavera Hills site, and possible establishment of a special assessment district. Parks have been similarly broken out from city se because of the possibility of a special assessment district to pay for f aci 1 i ti es . (1 1 City In this and the prior analysis, we evaluated the following major functi in terms of City financial impacts: o Pol i ce Protecti on. 1 o Fire Protection. o Streets. o Development-Related Departments (Building, Engineering, and Planning activities related to new development). 1 o Library. o Recreati on (excl udi ng Parks). o General Government. ) o Government Buildings. ) 1 Administration AS discussed, other City functions of parks, sanitation, and water wer considered elsewhere. THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consuirants 1 I 4 I I 1 I I 1 I I 1 1 1 I I I 1 The only financial impact of Proposition 13 on City finances for which projections can be made at this time is property tax loss. Prior to passage of Proposition 13, Carlsbad tax rate was $1.90, of which 12~ was for bonds. Its General Fund rate was $1.78. Correspondingly, the combined tax rate for the city as a whole was approximately $10.62 (per Lake Calavera Hills property statements). Of this amount, approximately 62$ (preliminary) was for bonds. tax rate of $4.00 is approximately 40% of the old rate exclusive of bond: On this basis we project that 1978-79 taxes for the City of Carlsbad wil' be approximately 40% of those which would have occurred without Propositi( 13, This estimate is preliminary. Final determination must await detai computations by the County. As a check of the 40% figure, City staff es that taxes to be received in 1978-79 will be approximately 35% of those would have been received otherwise. The 5% differential (35% versus 40% is possibly accounted for by a lower tax base, res)ulting from having to go back to 1975-76 tax rolls (plus 2% per year) for most properties. Immediately upon passage of Proposition 13, a number of cities throughou the state chose to move forward with additional revenue measures, includ increased business license fees, apartment fees, etc. However, Carlsbad did not do so. However, as noted earlier the Council did move against the cost side in an exploratory manner by appointment of the Proposition Implementation Advisory Comi ttee, which issued its report on July 18. have reviewed this report, which basically identifies and prioritizes a number of cost-cutting possibilities. However, to the best of our know1 no specific cost-cutting actions have been effected. analysis no specific cost reductions are assumed. ref1 ected i n our earl i er report prevai 1 s. On the revenue side, it is our understanding that City staff is current1 exploring greater user charges. However, as with cost cutting, we are utilizing figures from the October report for revenue generation, wi the exception of property taxes. The principal exhibit of our October report covering revenue-cost impact of Lake Calavera Hills was presented as Exhibit 13. In this supplementa analysis, we have updated this earlier Exhibit 13 as Exhibit 3 which fol this page. this time: As a consequence, the new combined Thus, in this Rather cost analysis This exhibit contains several terms which we want to define o Direct Revenues. Those revenues which can be directly o Variable Costs. Those costs which cdn be directly attribu. attributable to new development. to new development--which "vary" quite directly with new de vel opmen t . Fixed Costs. new development, but which for the most part reflect City- wide administrative overhead. These costs include both operating and capital i tems, and thus are not to be confust with some industry terminology involving "fixed" assets. o Those costs which do not vary directly with THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC I economics and management consu':z?s - L- =m *, mm 1 :: 1 n 0 UI h P, Q)u) R +o rX cna .- ;A 1 I Wi- I I 1 1 1 I I 1 R 1 i 1 I 1 1 1 0 Margin. The difference between direct rever,;Jes and variable costs. As seen, total Proposition 13 property tax loss (baijed upgn the foregoin! 60% loss estimate) is estimated at $41.94. Accordingly, direct revenues attributable to Lake Calavera Hills are reduced froin $132.90 per capita to $90.96. The margin between these direct revenues and variable costs is reduced from $55.20 per capita to $13.26. that a margin still exists. The exhibit indicates that the basic Lake Calavera Hills cost-revenue picture remains unchanged after Proposition 13, in the sense that direct revenues will continue to exceed variable costs. However, as before, th will not cover estimated fixed costs, which may or may not be spent, inasmuch as their determination is often a matter clf policy decision as opposed to measurable increase in need. conclusions indicated in the October report, it seems to us that the figures in Exhibit 3 provide substantial basis for arguing that if development were justified prior to Proposition 1,3!, it is justified now, The only major argument against this conclusion which we can see would be if 1eadershi.p felt the prior margin provided a required margin of sa: or contingency reserve, whereas the new margin did not. This is a mattt for i ndi vi dual 1 eadershi p deci s ion. Further argument towards this conclusion would be drawn from the three . arrows shown in Exhibit 3, which reflect the following: Irrespective, these revenues remain above the directly identifiable variable costs of Lake Calavera Hills, estimted at $77.70. Nevertheless, we believe it significa 1 Without totally restating I o Upward pressures for more user revenues, which should increase those revenues directly attributable to Lake Cal avera Hi1 1 s . Possible significant state subventions, a portion of which would nost likely be on a per-capita. basis, and thus direc attributable to Lake Calavera Hills. o o Downward pressures for lower costs, which would reduce Lake Cal avera Hi1 1 s vari ab1 e costs estimates. As discussed earlier, in this analysis we have not assigr,ed dollar vali to these potential revenue increases and cost reductions. Yet, they SI be acknowledged. In the course of our discussions with City officia.1s and elsewhere, we identified a nurnber of potential revenue increases, including: o Full recovery of costs involved in all new d2velopment processing. Increase in Finance Department charges to the trash collei contractor, to cover billing and accounting activities, w' o we understand may not be recovered fully at this timel THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC. 1 economics and management consuitants I 1 1 1 1 i I 1 I I I 1 I I I 1 1 1 o Additional charges to the trash collection contractor for o Increase of weed abatement overhead charges, to ensure o Increase in business license fees. 0 full recovery of City supervision , if necessary. full recovery of City supervision , if necessary. Increase in utility franchise fees. This list is by no means complete, but it illustrates potential revenues which can be raised without Proposition 13 two-thirds voter approval requirement. Regarding fees to cover new development activities, we stated in the October report that it appears that current fees cover current costs. H as also stated in the October report, this judgement was based upon very rough cost and revenue estimates necessitated because of the lack of detailed cost accounting in City records. We suggest that the City ador a policy for full recovery, and that it implement necessary accounting n to ensure that this policy is executed. In this respect, there is obvic need for a practical limit of accounting, so that the costs of accountir do not outweigh the benefits gained. In a similar manner through discussions with City personnel, review of 1 Proposition 13 committee report, and work el sewhere, we have i denti fied number of cost cutting opportunities. We have not discussed these in tt report, but thejr potential is clearly evident to city staff and leader: which has been documented to a considerable degree already. This should be achievable. Water (2) As discussed in the October report, water services will be provided by Carlsbad Municipal Water District. Basically, this is a self-sufficien enterprise. Last year, the total property tax rate applicable to Lake Calavera Hills was 49@, comprised of 14t general fund (which is subject Proposition 13 reduction) and 35t bond repayment (not subject to Propos 13 reduction). Thus, we estimate that total property tax reduction as result of Proposition 13 will be an approximate 8.40 loss (60% of 14t). upon last year's assessed values, this loss amounts to approximately $: per year, which is equal to about 7.7% of last year's water sales rever If we assume that this tax loss is made up through higher water costs ( the District has the option to do), the residential water rate would hi be raised from 33c per water unit (100 cubic feet) to approximately 35 For a typical homeowner utilizing 500 gallons per day, which is equal , about 20 water units per month, the resultant increase would be about per month. We see no major problem in such an increase, particularly in view of the aforementioned major tax-savings to the typical homeown I THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consultants I 1 1 1 1 I I I 1 I I I I 1 1 I I i I In terms of establishment of new bonds for an improvement district, Prop( 13 will make this much more difficult. However, the District has an available option of hookup charges, which it has been studying for the pi year, charges which are quite common in many districts throughout the st; Such charges at the level of $500 to $800 per unit typically more than pl for the capital cost requirements of the system. We see no difficulty o establishment of this means for capital recoupment. In summary, Proposition 13 will have relatively minor impact upon the District, and it will not adversely affect Lake Calavera Hills ability t pay its own way. Lake Calavera Hills will not adversely impact the bala of the community in terms of water service finances. (3) Schools The principal impact of Proposition 13 on the Carlsbad Unified School Di has been to reduce total revenues of the District by approximately 10% over what they would have been otherwise. This total reduction amounts approximately $800,000 during 1978-79. Another impact is that the Disti has lost its 10% permissive override, which probably cannot be made up . ' use of the general fund, because of shortages there. Another impact is that Propositi on 13 has essentially negated the opportunity for the District to utilize lease-purchase arrangements for financing capital facilities. Such lease-purchases have become a gl-owing means of financ. throughout Cal i fornia, because of the requirement that only a majority \ approval be obtained. However, with heavy pressures on the ger;eral fun, lease-payment revenues would almost surely require a special revenue so an override--which in turn require a two-thirds voter approval. Thus 1 purchase approval would in effect become identical to bonding approval - two-thirds requirement ?'n either case. Thus, Proposition 13 has had a negative impact upon the District. Howe in terms of operating revenues, Proposition 13 is not a negative factor terms of Lake Calavera Hill 's impacts. This is because the principal 5 of operating revenues is increasingly the State, through the subventior have been and will continue to be based primarily upon average daily at (ADA). Thus, funds will become available for Lake Calavera Hills studc proportion to the cornunity at large. Further, growth in the district maintenance of existing levels of enrollment) can create certain operat efficiencies, as discussed in the October report. In this respect, avE teacher salaries are reduced by growth , because proportionally fewer tc reach the high end of the salary step chart. Regarding facilities requirements, the District appears to be in reasoi good condition for the next several years. A new Kelly School is undei construction to serve the area surrounding Lake Calavera Hills. This I is being built upon a 7.3 acre site near the project. It will contain classrooms initially, which can accomodate up to 360 (and possibly mo students. Additional classrooms can be added to the site through use ( relocatables, creating a potential 600 to 800-student capacity. THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and management consuitants I . I 1 I 1 I 1 I I Capacity is also available at junior and senior high schools. The junior school has a capacity of 900 students with an enrolllment of about 650 ex1 during the next year. The high school has a capac-ity of 1,800 versus an enrollment in the range of 1,500 to 1,600 next year. There has not been significant enrollment growth in the District in the i several years because of declining household size trends, and also very ION student generation in some of the newer tracts (such as Seaport and Spinnaker Hi 11 ) . Neverthel ess , we are basing projections upon those i 11 I in the October report. Accordingly, there will be requirement for new s( construction to serve Lake Calavera Hills at some point within five year! However, there is no immediate problem. Concerning capital facilities , Proposition 13 does not signficantly a1 te outlook over that of the October report one way or the other. State aid financing during the past several years has provided virtually nothing f capital facility outlays. Such outlays have had to depend upon a combin of bonding and lease purchase arrangements, the former with two-thirds v approval and the latter with 50%. As noted earlier, lease-purchase arra ments are essentially equivalent to bonding at this point in time. to new facility construction will unquestionably lie either in some form of state aid adjustment geared to capital provision, or in cooperation b the developer and school districts. Provision Of adequate school facilities will be a long-term problem to b~ faced. However, this problem appears solvable through cooperation betwel the developer and the school district. The previously mentioned greater ability of residents to pay for infrastructure as a result of Propositioi tax savings should assist in this regard. The 1 1 (4) Sanitation We judge that Proposition 13 will not significantly alter Lake Calavera impact upon sanitation service. This is because provision of sanitation service is quite similar to that provision of water service. essentially an enterprise operation. capital costs can be handled through service charges. Also capital requ ments can be handled through hookup charges. secure financial self-sufficiency. It is Operating costs and all or a part 1 8 I 1 These can be adjusted to Parks (5) Our consideration of parks involves only physical facilities and their maintenance. The recreational function i s covered under City services , I discussed above. I 1 As noted in the October report, we evaluated parks under two potential financial a1 ternati ves : o Special assessment district, which would pay park maintenar and possibly pay for capital amortization as well. THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC I economics and management consultants I I I 1 o Existing City operating format. If the special asse5sment district financing route is employed, Propositi 13 should not have a major impact upon Lake Calavera Hills. This is bec; such assessment district financing is outside the framework of property taxation, and can be employed in any respect. requiring the City to provide capital improvements and maintenance, this will place additional pressures upon the City, possibly requiring a two- thirds override approval. As a consequence, we believe that Proposition 13 argues for the use of the special assessment district procedure to If it is not utilized, 1 finance parks. I 5. SOURCES OF DATA In the conduct of this analysis, we have obtained information from a var of sources. Executives of the several agencies involved have been inter including the following: I I I I 1 1 I i I I I I I o Paul Bussey, City Manager, City of Cdrlsbad. o James Hagaman, Planning Director, City of Carlsbad. o Mike Zander, Project Planner, City of Carlsbad. o Ron Beckman, Director of Public Works, City of Carlsbad. o Roger Greer, Superintendent of Streets and Utilities, City o James Elliott, Finance Department, City of Carlsbad. o Robert Crawford, Superintendent, Carlsbad Unified School o Glen Whitener, Business Manager, Carlsbad Unified School o Jack Kubota, District Engineer, Carlsbad Municipal Water of Carlsbad. District. Di strict. Di strict. In addition, we discussed the current status of the Lake Calavera Hills project with Roy Ward, a principal executive of the development firm. we reviewed a considerable amount of material on Proposition 13 provide the League of California Cities, and reviewed twci special reports prepa during the past two months: o Report of the Proposition 13 Implementation Advisory o Report of the Pupil Growth Study Committee (Carlsbad Corninittee (City of Carlsbad) dated July 18, 1978. Unified School District) dated June 28, 1978. Also, we have drawn upon our past experience and general familiarity w city finances, including work in recent months in the preparation of t\ 1978-79 budgets (for the City of Maywood and the South Gate Redeveloprnt Agency). THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC economics and managemeni consuitants I I 1 1 I 1 I I I I I I ,I 1 I I I I I I LAKE CALAYERA HILLS COST-REVENUE ANALYSIS --Summary Report-- Prepared for The City of Carlsbad October I977 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants -1 - I 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 336 tejon p ace palosverdes estates California 90274, 121 3) 373 69 I October 17, 1977 #217 City of Carl sbad Carlsbad, CA 92008 Attention: Mr. James C. Hagaman, Planning Director Gen tl emen : Ne are pleased to submit this sumary report of our cost-revenue analysis of the proposed Lake Calavera Hills project. present a brief summary of major project features and our principal findinc and conclusions regarding financial impacts on three local agencies--the City of Carlsbad, the Carlsbad Municipal Water District, and the Carlsbad Unified School District. I I 1200 Elm Avenue 1 I I At this time, we want to 1. PROJECT FEATURES I I I I I I I I I I Lake Calavera Hills is a proposed 808-acre project primarily resider in nature. The master plan specifies 3,452 residential units, whicl we estimate will accommodate approximately 10,000 residents, incl ud- 2,400 students (Kindergarten through 12th grade). The developer ha! indicated that actual development may be limited to 2,100 to 2,400 The project also calls for a ten-acre comnercial center, four parks containing 25 acres, and three school sites (two ten-acre elementar sites and one 20-acre junior high site). Other elements include 2.9 miles of arterial streets (College, Elm, and Tamarack) , and 19. miles of local streets (preliminary estimate), 116 acres of open space, and a package sanitation plant to service the project. project is planned for three phases. Detailed site plans to date The cover only a first increment of 138 units. 1 2. MARKET EVALUATION We judge that an appropriate mid-range estimate for project build-c is approximately ten years. However, realistically absorption coul occur in a five to 15-year period, depending particularly upon the number and quality of individual builders used in the project and economics and debeloprnent consultants -2- I I 1 I I I I I 1 I 1 1 I I I I I I I specific competition to be encountered. should be above current City levels, but 10% to 15% below La Costa. We estimate that pricing in 1977 dollars--not considering inflation will average $80,000 for estate single-family units, regular tract single-family units, and $45,000 for condominium/PUD units. Rental apartments will carry an average market value of $20 per unit . In our judgement, there is sufficient market for the planned ten-ac commercial center. In fact, we judge there is support for double tc triple that amount within a ten to 15-year period. Valuation of th ten-acre comercial center (in 1977 dollars) is estimated at $5 mil Total valuation of new development is estimated at about $190 milli Residential unit pricing $60,000 for 3. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--CITY OF CARLSBAD In the analysis of City finances, we have excluded consideration of sanitation, water, and parks services. Sanitation and parks have been considered separately because of possible use of speciai assessment district arrangements. Water has been excluded because this service will not be provided by the City. We conclude that revenues generated by Lake Calavera Hills will cover direct or "variable" costs imposed by new residents, structur etc. However, it will not cover all costs, if administration and certain other currently somewhat "fixed" costs keep pace percentage with their "variable" counterparts, However, this same situation p with existing residences. Basically, our analysis suggests that if the City wants continued residential developmient, Lake Calavera Hi1 is an appropriate project. It will provide better financial return than existing residential areas because of higher-valued homes and higher income residents (on average). On the other hand, if the ,City requires total financial self-sufficiency (coverage of both appropriate, nor will most other projects in the City. We believe the judgement of acceptability of the project can be bas on the analysis of the project with its specified 3,452 residential units, three phases, and ten acres of commercial center. Possible variations in numbers of units, phasing, and commercial center sizi are of minor consequence in judging the acceptability of the projec from a financial standpoint. variable and fixed costs), then Lake Calavera Hills will not be levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economm and developmenf consultants -3- I I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I 4. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SANITATION Our analysis has considered two a1 ternatives--( 1) employment of a separate package wastewater treatment plant at Lake Calavera Hills and (2) continued use of Encina. feasibility of the package plant nor expansion timetable capabilities of Encina. Our review has been financial only. In this respect, estimates derived indicate relatively little difference in capital cost and operating cost requirements for the two alternatives. Monthly service fees will be higher than the present $2 per unit level in either case because of requirement for secondary treatment and possibly a 1/30 replacement cost reserve. In any event, we judge that sanitation financial impacts are not a major consideration in th Lake Calavera Hills evaluation. We have not evaluated physical 5. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--PARKS 3ere we have considered operation under existing City arrangements and also possible use of an assessment district to pay for maintenanc costs (and possibly capital costs). Our analysis suggest that use of the maintenance district will result in either favorable or at least break-even finances for the City. Fund arrangement will probably be a slightly adverse factor, but not of major proportions. The 25 acres of parks specified for Lake Calavera Hills is roughly 2.5 times existing levels of finished City parks on a per-capita basis. Also, the parks at Lake Calavera Hills will probably be used by residents beyond the project. Use of the existing General 6. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--WATER 9ur analysis indicates that Lake Calavera Hills should have a favorat financial impact on the Carlsbad Municipal Water District. An opera1 ing surplus of $218,000 per year is projected after full project bui' out. Capital costs should not be an adverse factor. I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and developmenf consultants -4- i I 1 I I 1 I 7. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SCHOOLS Lake Cal avera Hi 11 s will have essential ly a break-even impact on operating costs and revenues. State aid legislation largely dictat this situation. However, the project will require significant new school facilities, In the near term, adequate school facilities ca provided through use of portables at existing school sites. In the long term new schools will be required. If the District requires 1 permanent faci 1 i ties, costs will be high--roughly $3,501) per reside unit at Lake Calavera Hills. There appear to be appropriate lower- alternatives, involving some degree of permanent facilities and USE portables. In our judgement, there is capability to meet new schoc needs through a combination of use of portables, developer contri- butions, and District resources. The developer is currently workir with the District to gain an approved working arrangement to meet 1 Calavera Hi I1 s needs. 1 Additional discussion of these summary points is found in the body of the report and also in an extensive Technical Supplement unaer sepzraie cover We appreciate having had the opportunity to work on this most interesting assignment, and sincerely hope our work proves of value to the City of Car *Respectfully submitted, I r” r’ i! 1; \----L “ -I..& +“;J L kL jk LL =--_ 1 <> 1 I I I 1 I 1 I Dale H. Levander DHL: sf levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 1 I I I I I I I TABLE OF CONTENTS P; - Introduction I. PROJECT DESCRIPTION 1. Location and Size. ................... 2. Landuse.. ...................... 3. Residential Units. ................... 4. Population and School Enrollment ............ 5. Phasing.. ....................... I 6. Arterial Streets .................... 7. Public Facilities. ................... 8. Number of Individual Builders. ............. 11. MARKET EVALUATION 1. Economic Setting .................... 3. Individual Bui 1 der Expectations. ............ 4. Projected Residential Absorption ............ 5. Estimated Residential Values .............. 6. Resident Characteristics 7. Projected Commercial Absorption. ............ 8. Commercial Center Valuation. .............. 2. Housing Activity Pools ................. ................ 1 111. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--CITY OF CARLSBAD 1. Services Analyzed. ................... 2. Review of Current City Finances. ............ 3. 4. Lake Calavera Hills Cost Factors ............ 5. Stable-Year Projections--Per-Capita Cost Items ..... 6. 20-Year Projections. .................. 7. Impacts of Possible Development Plan Variations. . , . , 8. Conclusions. ......................... Lake Calavera Hills Revenue Factors. .......... IV. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SANITATION 1 . A1 terna ti ves Analyzed. ................. 2. Capacity Requirements. ................. 3. Capital Costs. 4. Operating Costs. .................... 5. Revenues ......................... 6. Conclusions. ..................... ...................... levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 1 economics and development consultants I 1 - i 1 1 I i 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 I Pa V. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--PARKS 5 5 5 5 5 ............... .............. 1 . 2. Park Acreage and Phasing ................... 5 3. Capital Costs. 4. Operating Costs. .................. 5. Revenues 6. Conclusions. .................... A1 ternati ves Analyzed. ...................... VI. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--WATER 6 6 E € € € 1. Serving Agency ................... 2. Water Requirements ................. 4. Capital Costs and Revenues ............. 5. Operating Revenues and Costs ............ 3. Water Capacity and Availability. .......... 6. Concl usi ons ..................... VII. FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SCHOOLS E t t t t 1. Serving Agency ................... 2. Lake Calavera Hills Student Generation ....... 3. Existing and Future Schools. ............ 5. Capital Costs and Funding. ............. 6. Operating Revenues and Costs ............ 4. Lake Calavera Hills Assessed Valuation ....... I I 7. Concl usions. .................... I EXH I BITS 1. Project Map. .................... 2. Landuse.. .................... 3. Residential Unit Maximum Comparisons ........ 4. 5. Average Annual Population Increase ......... 6. Projected Annual Housing Activity Pools. ...... 7. Projected Residential Annual Absorption. 8. 9. 10. 11. Per-Unit Population and Student Enrollment ..... ...... Carlsbad Revenue and Cost Comparisons Sources of Property and Sales Tax 1976-77 Lake Calavera Hills Per-Capita Cost Factors-- Sumnary Lake Cal avera Hi 11 s Cost-Revenue Comparison --"Stab1 e Year" After Full Development-- (Approximate) 1976-77 Budget. .......... Budget. ..................... , Carlsbad Revenues by Source 1976-77 Budget ..... 12. Lake Calavera Hills Per-Capita Cost Factors. .... (Per-Capita Items). ............... ..................... 13. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 1 economics and development consultants Pac L 1 I I 1 I 1 1 I I 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 EXHIBITS (Continued) 14. Lake Calavera Hi1 1 s Cost-Revenue Comparison --Variations to "Stab1 e Year" Projections-- ( Per-Capi ta I terns). 4 ................ 15. Lake Calavera Hills 20-Year Cost-Revenue I Projections (Per-Capi ta Items). .......... 4 TABLES 1. Population and School Enrollment. 1 2. Phasing Schedule. .................. 1 3. Commercial Demand Estimates--Full Development of Project and Surrounding Area .......... 2 4. Lake Calavera Hills Revenue Factors 2 5. Lake Calavera Hills Cost Factors. 7 6. 20-Year Projections Devel opment-Re1 ated Costs and Revenues. 4 7. Sanitation Estimates--1 .O Million Gallons Per Day Capacity. ................... 8. Park Estimates. 9. At Full Build-Out ................. 6 1977 Dollars at Full Build-Out. 6 --Lake Calavera Hills at Full Build-Out 6 12. Student Enrollment Build-Up--Years, 1, 5, 10, and 15. 6 13. Lake Calavera Hills School Construction Costs --Conventional Permanent Buildings. 6 14. Cost of Portable Classroom. ............. 7 15. Income--Carlsbad Unified School District 1976-77 Budget. 7 .......... ......... .......... ................... K K ................... Projected Lake Calavera Hills Water Requirements-- 10. Projected Residential Water Sales Revenues--In 11. .......... Annual Operating Revenues and Costs--Residential ...... ........ ...................... APPEND1 X Definitions of Terms I ................... levander, partridge & anderson, inc. i economics and development consultants 1 I I I I I 1 i I I I I n t roduc ti on 1. AUTHORIZATION AND PURPOSE We were authorized in May 1977 to prepare this cost-revenue analysis of tl prospective Lake Calavera Hills development project.. This project covers an 808-acre site and is planned for development of 3,452 residential unit The project is described in more -- detail in Section I. Analysis behipd th report was conducted during the four months May through August. A draft report was issued for City review on August 17. This report compares clc with the draft, with but minor modifications. Our basic purpose is to assist City staff and leadership in evaluating 1 prospective project, in connection with approval of a master plan. To tt end, we have provided a financial analysis of financial impacts on three governmental agencies: I I o City of Carlsbad. o Carlsbad Municipal Water District. o Carlsbad Unified School District. In addition, for park and sanitation service, we have evaluated possible of special assessment districts. It should be noted that our work has excluded several areas of potential interest in project evaluation, including: o Environmental impacts. o Physical feasibi 1 i ty of the developer' s propo"Sd waste watei treatment pl ant . Value judgements regarding appropriate service levels. I o Basically, our work has involved measurable dollar quantities. We have r placed dol 1 ar measures on environmental matters. Regarding service 1 eve' we have general ly accepted present 1 eve1 s as being appropriate, a1 though instances we have commented on these levels and possible areas of increa: 1 reduction. I 2. REPORT STRUCTURE Our work has been documented by the following reports: o Summar Re ort. This report, presenting highlights of our 1 1 I *form intended to be readable by City leadersh to assist in judgemental decisions. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I I 1 I I I I I I 1 1 I I I I o Technical Supplement. Detailed information in support of th summary report, including project data, market data, cost an revenue elements, methodology, and detailed computations. o Working Memoranda. Compiled during the course of the analys to assist in presenting preliminary findings and conclusions to affected staff personnel. During the course of the assignment, we met several times with the City'z study coordinator to review findings and conclusions. At this time, we s ready to meet with the City Council and other leadership groups to preser highlignts of our findings and conclusions and entertain discussion as appropriate. 3. SOURCES OF DATA Research information was obtained from a wide variety of primary (origin: and secondary (already published) sources, including the following: o Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan. Preliminary document prov by the City Planning Department. o Budgets and Financial Statements. 1976-77 budgets and 1975 actuals for the three agencies under study. 1977-78 budget 1976-77 actuals were not available at time of analysis. o Department Head Interviews. Personal discussions with all 1 department heads and executives of the water and school dis o Developer Interviews. Discussions with developer staff reg' plans, assessment district arrangements, and other project matters. o Other Interviews. With engineering consultant, educational consul tant, ather school district offi cia1 s, real tors, deve and others having information of value to this analysis. 41 3-Ci ty Cost Comparisons. Comparisons of Carl sbad 1975-76 levels on a per-capita basis with those of the 413 cities i California, as reported by the State Controller. A varietg cross-tabulations, indicating differences by city size, res income levels, degree of commercial activity, etc. Special computer tabulation. Building Permit Data. From the City and alsc the Security 4 z I o o 1 Pacific National Bank. o Development Dirnensi ons Research Report. Detached and attal sales housing project information for all projects in San I County, as of late 1976 and early 1977. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 1 1 I I o First American Title Company Housing Sales Information. Per o Developer Reports. Reports on waste water treatment plant ai quarterly pub1 ication "Recorded Facts. " park assessment district, prepared for the developer. Diego County for the 1976-77 period. courtesy of San Diego Federal Savings. A service affiliated with SREA Market Data Service. Other information uti1 ized includes certain average manpower figures fro the International City Management Association, 1970 and updated populati housing data from the County, information from the 1975 special census, ment data from the State, and others. While the information used in thi report appears reasonable, we have not verified it in detai 1. However, no single source of information provides ''the" answer, we are confident the above information sources--combined with our previous experience and files--have provided an appropriate basis for analysis. o SREA Market Data. Pricing information on housing sales in S o MULVAR Housing Price Estimates. Provided to us through the I I I 4. METHODOLOGY Major aspects of the methodology employed include the following: o Incremental Approach. Our basic analysis considers Lake 1 I 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 I Calavera Hills as a separate entity. What are its impacts alone on agency finances? o Variable and Fixed Costs. Costs to be generated by Lake Calavera Hills have been estimated to be either variable or fixed. hriable costs are those which will "vary" quite directly with new residents at Lake Calavera Hills. Fixed costs are essentially administration, government buildings, and other costs which will not respond directly with new development activity. In essence, variable costs may also be termed marginal costs. which can be relatively easily attributed to new residents and units at Lake Calavera Hills. Indirect costs are less attributable, but nevertheless our best estimate of ultimate impact. essentially marginal revenues. \ o Direct and Indirect Revenues. Direct revenues are those Both direct and indirect revenues are levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 I I 1 1 I II 8 I I I I 1 1 I I o Per-Capita and Per-Unit Measures. All Lake Calavera Hills c and revenues have been expressed in summary form as functior of either population or housing units. This is an oversimpl measures were explored, including miles of street, area of 5 pavement, acres of parks, gallons per day of water, etc. TI per-capita and per-unit figures are most appropriate for sun fication, In detailed analysis, a variety of other detailec 1 expression of financial impact. o Amortization of Periodic Costs, Costs which are not incurrc a regular basis have been equated to annual figures on the t of amortization and discounted cash flow techniques. We hi assumed a municipal interest rate of ;7%. Items covered inc major equipments, facilities, and seven and 15-year pavemen maintenance. o Minimum-Maximum Range. In detailed analysis, we considered minimum and maximum cost and revenue figures to reflect potential unknowns and basic limitations of accuracy. In tl summary analysis, a1 1 detai 1 ed computations have i nvol ved 01 best estimate of mid-range costs. Consideration of possiblt accuracy variations are at a sumnary level only. o Use of 1976-77 Budget Data. In this report, we have dealt primarily with 1976-77 budget information. At the time of our principal analysis, 1977-78 budgets were not available, and they are not approved as of this date. Further 1976-77 actuals for both revenues and costs were not available in final form. Our review of preliminary city 1976-77 actuals indicates that variations between actual and budget will no be of major significence in our specific determinations. We are well aware that this type of analysis is in no sense precise. I cannot be from a practical standpoint. As with many management judgeme - one should recognize such limitations. We judge that the cost-revenue figures presented herein are probably accurate within plus or minus 20% Further, the basic fixed costs involved in the analysis in no sense can predicted in relation to development measures. In reality, no costs ar ever totally fixed. They are only fixed within ranges. Further, they influenced by policy matters as well as pure need. I 5. ALTERNATIVES OF ANALYSIS As with methodology, there is no simple single set of assumptions on wt- to operate. In this analysis, we have had to review cost-revenue impac on the bas is of several a1 ternati ves, i nvol vi ng the fol 1 owi ng: levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I B 1 8 1 I I 1 I I I I I 1 1 1 I o Rate of Development. We have considered five, ten, and fifteen-year build-out, as discussed in Section I1 I o Sanitation A1 ternatives. Consideration of the developer proposal of a separate waste water treatment plant and also the possibility of treatment through expanded Enci na facilities. o Park Maintenance A1 ternatives. Consideration of a special assessment district and also existing organizational I structure. o Potential Revenue Changes. Possible changes in sales tax distribution, for example, to a per-capita basis, possible modification of Federal Revenue Sharing, etc. Treated at a sumnary level only. Detailed computations assume continuat on a present basis. service levels will be maintained, However, we have comer on possible changes at a sumnary level. o Inflation. All detailed cost-revenue computations are expr in 1977 dollars. However, summary comment is made regardin potential inflationary impact. o Project Size. Detailed computations are based on the speci 3,452 residential units. Summary comment only is made regarding a developer estimate of 2,100 to 2,400 units as a possible development maximum. Specific handling of assumptions is commented on in the body of the repo a pp ropr i ate. o Service Levels. Detailed computations assume that current I 6. POSSIBLE CHANGES IN MASTER PLAN It may be expected tnat various detailed elements of the master plan wil change from time to time as tne plan goes through its review process and subsequently. However, unless the basic character of the residential development is changed substantially, the basic conclusions reached in t report should remain useful to City leadership in assessing the plan's suitability. We do not believe that new estimates need be made for rela minor changes, as this would lead to unnecessary effort and expense. Hc in the technical supplement, information is provided which will permit C staff to adjust detailed figures if appropriate. Further, we will remai available to comment on possible need for revision in the event of major 7. DEFINITION OF TERMS A list of definitions is contained in the appendix. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants i I I T I I I I I I I I I I D 1 I PROJECT DESCRIPTION 1. LOCATION AND SIZE The location and boundaries of the project are shown in Exhibit 1. project is located approximately three-fourths mile east of El Camino Rel at Tamarack and Elm Avenues. Total size of the project is 808 acres. The 1 2. LAND USE Proposed land use is indicated in Exhibit 2, reflecting information prov to us by the Planning Department, that 25% of residentla1 area will be in such use. These figures are quite approximate. Detailed land use has not been determined on a preci basis. The estimate of: neighborhood streets 1 3. RESIDENTIAL UNITS As shown in Exhibit 3, the plan specifies 3,452 residential units. Thi: the number specified in the proposed master plan. However, the developc indicated that he would probably develop 2,100 to 2,400 units. In the i we directed greatest attention to the assumption of 3,452 units. Howevt have commented on potential variations which might resui t froin developmc the 2,100 to 2,400 units. Based on information at hand, we have assumed that four basic types of residential units will be built, as follows: o Estate Single-Family. RL land use (low density, zero to o Conventional Single-Family. RLM land use (low-medium aensi o Condomi ni um/PUD. On RM 1 and use (medi urn-densi ty , 1.5 dwelling units per acre). zero -Lo four dweiling units per acre). units per acre). o Rental Apartment. RMH land use (medium-high density, 20 dwell ing units per acre). As the project is developed, there can be variations. For example, dup triplex units could be placed within the RLM zone. For purposes of our analysis, the breakdown in Exhibit 2 is sufficient. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. I economics and development consultants I / / I 1 I Exhibit 2 LAND USE i I I I I I I I 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 808 (11 IO Acre Park (31 5 Acre Parks 121 Elementary Sit( Acres Each (I) Junior High Si1 Commercial Center 2 0 A cres College Boule vard Elm A venue Tamarack A venue 2023 Single Family Regular Units 80 I Condo/PUD 428 Apartment Units I I i 8 I 1 I 8 I Exhibit 3 RESIDEN TIA, L UNIT MIX COMPARISONS Percent of Total o Mobile Home 100 90 80 70 I 60 8 50 1 40 30 1 1 1 I I 1 1 20 10 0 hc ‘00 ir, ?5% 5% % %z co c- a%; 0 Ad CJ s 0, 0 QZ .a %- 2 m ?(I, 0 (00 -1- 4. / J 0 0,PO 4 v, F3, Y WL c. o+ 5 CY f- 0 3 I-, : L 0 c <W 1 I 8 I I I 1 1 1 I I 8 1 I I 1 As also shown in Exhibit 3, the mix of housing proposed for Lake Calaver, will be more heavily oriented to single-family construction than the cit: whole and also the current market.a Conversely, Lake Calavera Hills wil below the city and the market in terms of mobile home and rental units. 4. POPULATION AND SCHOOL ENROLLMENT As shown in Table 1, it is estimated that the Lake Calavera Hills projec Completion will house 9,897 residents, including 21,410 students at local elementary, junior high, and senior high schools. Per-unit factors use( shown in Exhibit 4. The population factors are oiirs, based on prior sti The school enrollment factors are those of the Carlsbad Unified School C for appropri ately-Val ued housing units. On a per-unit basis, the Lake Calavera Hills estimate of 2.87 population higher than the January 1977 City average of 2.33. These ratios cover E housing units, occupied and vacant. The higher Lake Calavera Hills numt reflects its higher proportion of single-family units in comparison witf City at large. 5. PHASING I The master plan specified three phases. It is our unde that these phases are intended primarily as a means to control proper provisior! of public facilities. In our analysis, we have not considere phasing as a constraint, We assume that there can be an overlapping of development concurrent with a realistic development/rnarket schedule. See Table 2. 6. ARTERIAL STREETS Arterial streets will be College Boulevard, Elm Avenue, and Tamarack AL College Boulevard will be a major arterial with 102 foot right-of-way c 82 foot pavement. Elm and Tamarack Avenues will be secondary arterial: 84 foot right-of-way and 64 foot pavement. It is assumed that after fi build-out the project will be readily accessible to areas to th,e east, I north, and south. a 8 See Section I1 for a discussion of market potentials. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I t 1 1 1 I 1 13 T se 1 1 1 Q 1 1 I 1 I 1 L z Lu s 8 4 cy z Lu k 5 Lu 3 h c/) Q -Q 3 a Iv * .\ 0 “h T Q 0 h 3 z b tx Lu Q ‘0 0 0 0 0 d c.j Pi h I i I 1 I 1 Rent a 1 Apartments - 1 1 8 1 1 8 I 1 I 1, D Table 1 POPULATION AND SCHOOL ENROLLMENT Students - # Elem. Jr.High Sr.High Units Population -- K-6 7- 8 9-1 2 NUMBER PER UNIT Si ngl e-tami ly Estate 3.00 0.212 0.1 3 0.26 Sing1 e-Fami ly Res. 3.30 0.35 0.17 0.38 Con do/PU D 2.20 0.18 0.09 0.15 1 All Units (Average) 2.87 0.217 0.14 0.29 Rental Apartment 2.00 0.12 0.08 0.10 N UMBE R Single-Family Estate 191 573 4 2 25 50 Si ngl e-Fami ly Res I 2,032 1,706 711 1 346 772 Condo/ PUD 80 1 1,762 144 72 120 43 Total 3,452 9,897 948 477 9 85 - 34 - 5 1 -- 428 856 Table 2 PHASING SCHEDULE T Phase I11 - Phase I1 - I Phase I ACRES Total 284 233 291 Parks 10 5 10 School Sites 10 10 20 -- -I Commerci a1 Center lo RESIDENTIAL UNITS --Single-Family Estate 75 -- 116 --Single-Family Regular 549 733 750 2, --Condo/PUD 558 243 -- --Rental Apartment 21 4 21 4 -- - To ta 1 1,396 1,190 866 3, Population 3 , 693 3,381 2,823 9, levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants i I I I 1 1 1 I 1 1 I i 1 I i I I 7. PUBLIC FACILITIES As shown in Exhibit 2, major public facilities will include a 10-acre co 40 acres of schools (one 20-acre junior high school site and two 10-acre elementary school sites). The commercial center will be aimed primarily residents. However, aforementioned arterial access should provide some opportunity outsi de the immediate project area. The master plan specifies location of a fire station and branch library the Lake Calavera Hills commercial center area. However, the center shc considered but an alternate site for either of these facilities, per our discussions with both the Librarian and the Fire Chief. The master plar also calls for location of a waste water treatment. plant within the proj As noted in the introduction, this is the developer's proposal, which is considered as one of two alternative sanitation service methods. center, 25 acres of parks (three five-acre parks and one ten-acre park), 1 8. NUMBER OF INDIVIDUAL BUILDERS In our analysis, we have assumed a range of possibilities--from a minim. one builder to multiple builders. This factor, as discussed in Section is an important variable in project absorption. lo the best of our know the developer has no firm plans regarding the ultimate number of builder to be used, other than his plans to construct the first 138 units himsel I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 4 1 1 I I 1 1 I I 1 R 1 1 I 1 I1 MARKET EVALUATION 1. ECONOMIC SETTING Residential growth at Lake Calavera Hills will be heavily dependent upor overall economic growth in the County and North County. These are high- growth areas with potentials for continuing so. 19s shown in Exhibit 5, population growth since 1970 has been above 40,000 annually in the Coun. about 55,000 during the past two years. This chart shows a sharp increi in the North County's share of County population growth--from 22% in tht 1960's to 29% in the early 1970's to 42% during tlhe past two years. We predict precisely what share the North County will have in the next ten 15 years. We believe we are (safe in assuming at lei 30% to 40% of County growth will be in North County, assuming that land public facili ties--particularly sanitation--are available for housing dc ment. At the time of our analysis, the CPO had projected population growth in 1975-95 period at approximately 42,000 annually for the County and 12,0( annually for the North County--essentially the same levels as experience in the early 1970's. It also had projected an annual growth of 1,710 fc the City of Carlsbad, roughly double earlier levels. It is our understi that the CPO has modified its sub-regional projections since preparatio our draft report, and that the Carlsbad growth projection is now at a 1 about 2,200 annually. We want to note that these CPO projections have bearing in our analysis, and thus we have not made any modifications to draft report to reflect such changes. While such projections are neede regional planning purposes and may be important in terms of allocations Federal grants, in our judgement they are not constraints in market ana The City's General Plan specifies residential densities which could allow a maximum "full development" population in the range of 154,118 to 281,640. projections. This population range has not been a factor in our analys However, we have utilized estimates of future City population within three-minute and five-minute driving times of the Lake Calavera Hills commercial center, for purposes of estimating commercial market potenti and possible housing units which could be served by a fire station in a It may exceed 50%. 0 These levels are much more than double current CPO 1 the project. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 1 economics and development consultants 1 8 I 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 8 20,000 1 1 1 1 I Exhibit ?5 A VERAGE ANNUAL P0PUL.A TION INCREA 60,000 55,600 50,000 40,000 I 30.000 I 70,000 1 0 1960-70 19 70- 75 1975-77 19 75-95 t A c tuals b CPO Projection 1 I 2, I 1 I I I I 1 1 i I 1 i 1 8 I 1 HOUSING ACTIVITY POOLS - We estimate that housing activity in the County and North County during the next ten to 15 years will be an average of 25,000 and 8,000 units annually, respectively, as shown in Exhibit 6. Thus we project 32% of the County activity to occur in the North County--which appears conservi in light of recent experience. We have termed these housing projections as "Housing Activity Pools.'' This is the activity from which Lake Calavera Hills will draw its principal economic sustenance. It may be expected that the project wil draw mainly from North County activity, however, there is no market lim here, as Lake Calavera Hills can draw from buyers working out of North County who have housing options elsewhere. Basically, these are over a figures used in feasibility determination as broad indicators of potent These projecti ons assume con ti nued avai 1 abi 1 i ty of developable 1 and and no major development interruptions because of extended lack of public 1 facilities--sewer capacity in particular. 3. INDIVIDUAL BUILDER EXPECTATIONS c From a review of recent sales performance of mre than 170 San Diego Cor builders, we judge that: Average performance would be sales of about 1.5 detached or attached units per week. Superior performance would be sales of about two units per for both housing types. o o Recent performance indicates that the median sales per week in the Coun 1.3 units per week detached and 0.9 units per week detached. Top quarti performance was 2.2 units attached and 1.9 units detached. 4. PROJECTED RES1 DENTIAL ABSORPTION Based on our review of economic growth factors, competitive projects, a market factors, we believe a good "mid-range" expectation for project i would be about ten years. This would reflect average sales of about 3E year, equal to about 6.7 per week. This implies probable use of multi? buildirs in light of the foregoing review of individual builder perfom levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 Exhibit 6 1 PROJECTED ANNUAL HOUSING ACTIVITY POO1.S I Number of Residential Units -A ttatched- 8,000 1 COUNTY NORTH COUNTY 1 I 1 I I 1 1 I I I 1 I 1 I I I 1 1 I From a practical standpoint, we must also accept the realities of preser project uncer tai n t i es : o o o Lack of precise builder plans. Unknown competitive environment year by year. Potential year-by-year variations fronn the projected activi. pool s. In light of this, we believe it highly prudent to operate under the asst for cost-revenue analysis purposes--that the project may be absorbed wit period of anywhere from five to fifteen years. in our subsequent analysis. As shown in Exhibit 7, annual absorption would range from 230 units per under 15-year build-out to 690 units per year under five-year build-out. also shown, these quantities related to North County housing activity PC projections--excl uding mobile homes--woul d range from 3.3% under 15-year built-out to 9.9% under five-year build-out. The five-year absorption k unquestionably reflect outstanding performance and involve mu1 tiple buil It would also most likely require gaining market from well beyond the Nc County's normal share. These are "market" projections. They do not consider potential developn limitations beyond the marketplace--in particular, possible limitations by inadequate facilities (such as sanitation) or possible limitations im by controlled regional growth. We have considered this 5. ESTIMATED RESIDENTIAL VALUES For purposes of financial projection, we estimate future residentiarval at Lake Calavera Hills--in 1977 dollars--to be as follows: I Type of Unit Value Per Unit Single-Family Estate $ 80,000 Single-Family Regular 60,000 Condomi ni um/PUD 45,000 Rental Apartment 20,000 These estimates are in 1977 dollars, without consideration of inflation. reflect our judgement of future values after the project is accepted as i residential neighborhood. Initial pricing will probably be somewhat low( to develop acceptance. The above prices for single-family are about $5,( per unit above the developer's indicated pricing structure for the first units. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 I I I 1 I I I B I I I I I 03 ro v 1 I 3 -i= 0 4 e 0 E m aa 7 1 .. I t 9 ? 2 ' Qz n3 IU 7 24 : 2 T >Cc s Lu Q G LLI ar a k! Y z -\ C e + 5 c J *. c, O )r 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 c\l 1 1 Lake Calavera Hills pricing will be above existing City averages, but prob 10% to 15% below major tract development today at La Costa. These figures intended to assist in financial projections. They will vary by builder an individual project. These are not recommended pricing for a marketing pro I 1 6. RES1 DENT CHARACTERISTICS In general, we foresee greatest market potential among families in child- rearing years. existing City levels. Yet five to fifteen years is too far ahead to be precise in this respect. The project is large enough to accommodate a reasonably broad range of age and income groups, including some possible retirement housing. without some form of public subsidy. Also, average incomes of residents should be 10% to 20% ab I 1 [ 1 79 PROJECTED COMMERCIAL. ABSORPTION ' 1 However, we do not see low to moderate-income housing In our judgement, commercial demand could support 20 to 30 acres of shopp and office facilities in Lake Calavera Hills--well above the ten acres specified for the commercial center. Table 3 indicates the basis of our projection for an approximate 20-acre level. Population figures used werc provided by City staff for the area within five minutes' driving time of the center at time of full development. These figures used cover Carl: residentions only. No consideration was given to possible sales to nearb; Oceanside residents. In this report, our analysis is probably conservatii In the remainder of the analysis, we have assumed that only the ten-acre commercial center will be developed. However, the City may wish to recon! in terms of these judgements. A ten-acre center will be essentially a neighborhood facility, with supermarket and possibly drug-store anchors. 15 to 20-acre center could accommodate a full community center, with a junior department store and additional banks, restaurants, offices, and o facilities. Should the center be limited to ten acres, future demands foi both commercial and public facilities could cause need for adjustments or need for facilities nearby but out of the area. 1 I 1 I I I 1 I 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 0 m L el- WZ EIW r 00 WWV’ Id Id.- a= Y >; At-- Zn -I 0 &? s2 000 ou3 0. 000 Oh0 Nh ON0 %% 0 0 0 0 om nn C3m m 6 n m n ul rn 0 0 ul b cn CD m - I I I 1 1 1 I 1 I c> 1 I I 1 I I I 8. COMMERCIAL CENTER VALUATION We estimate that the ten-acre comnercial center will have a developed vali approximately $5.0 million. This estimate has been computed as follows: Building space of 100,000 square feet, equal to 10,000 to 12,1 square feet per acre. o o Development value of $50 per square foot of building space, I i ncl udi ng 1 and and improvements. These factors are ours, based on extensive surveys of commercial faciliti throughout Southern California, undertaken during the past year by our st Commercial center development would be prirnari ly retai 1 , but there would some office development, particularly for bank,. savings and loan, and loc service office usage (realtor, insurance agent, etc.). I 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 1 I11 I I le / I I FINANCIAL IMPACTS--CITY OF CARLSBAD SERVICES ANALYZED This section evaluates all services provided by the City of Carlsbad, with I the following exceptions: 0 Water. Excluded from Lake Calavera Hills cost-revenue analys because this service will not be provided to Lake Calavera Hi by the City. Sanitation. consider a possible special district. special district. o Evaluated in Section iV, because of the need to I o Parks. Evaluated in Section V, also because of a possible - Although these three services are excluded from evaluation, in this sectic the report, certain figures pertaining to these operations are presented i I I 2. REVIEW OF CURRENT CITY FINANCES 1 I 1 a brief review of current City finances, which follows immediately. Exhibit 8 presents a comparison of 1976-77 budgeted revenues and costs. I this comparison, we have estimated revenues which can be directly attribut to local residents and other sources, and costs which can be similarly attributed. This exhibit indicates that local residents presently do not cover the& directly attributable costs, even before allocation of a share overall administrative costs--and also consideration of charges for previa purchased capital facilities, There is an estimated "gap" of $1.2 million equal to 20% of costs. What this means is that Carlsbad residents depend revenues from local businesses, out-of-city residents, and raw land to prc necessary covering revenues. As shown in Exhibit 9, property taxes and sales taxes derived from non-re: it is estimated that local residents contribute only 42% of local propert: taxes and 32% of local sales taxes. These estimates are quite approximate.a Yet we are confident that they ai basically correct in indicating that local residential revenues do not cot local residential costs. We believe this is an important point of I sources are major factors in the City's financial structure, In this res] 1 I See the Technical Supplement for supporting detailed estimates. Ia I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 I I I 2 I Qh ZQ I LQ 1, -: h n 1 -Q Qn z 4, G Ob' Q? &, 1 I 1 c, 3 I 1 I I I d ci ru' I % T I h 4 7 @ TQ 5 Qh kh 0 @ Lu 0 @ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 h e *: .3 2 > I 1 2k 4b- a2 d c * c < c 5 cy s a a cy - E 5 Q Q rg T c\l 0 h I I 1 1 I 1 I perspective in the City's leadership judging future Lake Calavera Hills financial performance. Another aspect of current City finances which we believe is important in over all perspective is demonstrated in Exhibit lo. Here it is seen that about 25 of the City's revenues are basically beyond its control-- they are obtained from the state and federal governments. In this regard, we have included sales taxes as a state item, inasmuch as they are derivec from state legislation and are subject to possible future modification at state level. For example, some cities in the state are currently seeking modification of sales tax distribution to a per-capita or partial per-capi basis. subsequent discussion of sales tax revenues. Similarly, continuation of F Revenue Sharing is not a certainty. In our analysis, we have worked under the assumption that basic state?federal revenue arrangements will continuf but there are obviously some dangers here. This change would be adverse to Carlsbad, a:; can be seen from i I I I 1 I I 3. LAKE CALAVERA HILLS REVENUE FACTORS (1) Overview A summary of projected revenue factors is presented in Table 4. projection factors are keyed to two measures: These o Per Capita. For most revenue items. Please note that these per-capita factors are not equal to existing City-wide levels to City-wide levels from time to time as a point of reference to bui 1 di ng acti vi ty (bui ldi ng permit fees , subdi vi si on fees, As shown, total per-capita revenues are estimated at $132.90 per year. PI unit revenues are estimated at $593 for a weighted average of all units, from $240 for apartments to $720 for estate single-family residences. Pe capita revenues are on-going year by year, whereas per-uni t revenues appl These revenues are all directly attributable to new development at Lake Calavera Hills. Property taxes are keyed directly to property values ant Sales taxes are based on estimated purchases by local residents at local s and also some purchases by non-residents at the Lake Calavera Hills comme center. Many of the state revenues are allocated to the City on the basi However, in our discussion of these figures, we have referred o Per Residential Unit. For those revenues directly relatable 0 zoning fees, plan-checking fees, etc.). 1 I a single development event. I I 1 I I of population or closely-related items. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants Exhibit 70 CARLSBAD REVENUES BY SOURCE II 1 I i i i I 1 i 1 i i 1 I I 2,000 1 1 1 0 1 7976-7977 BUDGET io, ooo Thousands of Dollars Mot or Vehicle Fe Re venue Sharing Other State ’ Alcoholic Be v. L i HOPTR I BITR 8,000 Street Lighting Transient Tax Bus in e s s L is c ens Fines and Forfit& Transfer Tax Misc. Gen. Fund 6,000 Service Fees - 4,000 $1.913 Rate 1 1 I I I Table 4 LAKE CALAVERA HILLS REVENUE FACTORS PER-CAPITA REVENUES ( Annual) General Fund Property Tax ($1.78) $ 69.90 0-80 Library Bond Fund (2t) 3.80 21.30 1 HOPTR and BITR Sales and Use Tax State Gas Tax 8.10 1 Transient Tax 0.80 Business Licenses 2.20 Motor Vehicle Fees 11 .oo Cigarette Tax 3.10 1 Alcoholic Beverage License Fees 0.30 Fines and Forfeitures 1 .oo Transfer Tax 1.80 I Federal Revenue Sharing 7.90 General Fund Interest _- Rebates and Miscellaneous 0.90 1 Ambulance Feesa --a Library Feesa --a Recreation Feesa --a Street Lighting Assessments --a --a I Trash Collection -____ 1 I Weighted Average 593 I 1 I 1 I 9, 132.90 Total -PER-UNIT REVENUES 1 Single-Family Estate $ 720 Single-Family Regular 670 Condomi ni um/PUD 540 Apartment 270 NOTE: Excl udes Sani ta ti on and Parks and Recreation revenues, which are considered in Sections IV and V. a Assumes a cost offset. I (2) Property Taxes In this section of the report, we are considering only General Fund prope taxes (current $1.78 rate). The 10$ sewerredemption fund rate applies to sanitation, covered by Section IV analysis. The 2$ library bond redemptil rate is disregarded in this analysis, inasmuch as it applies to a relativl minor fixed indebtedness not directly relatable to Lake Calavera Hills. We estimate that Lake Calavera Hills, at time of full build-out of 3,452 I will generate the following General Fund prloperty taxes: I I 1 .I I I I 1 I, i Per Capita Amount (9,897 pop.) --- Assessed Valuation Res i den ti a1 $i 37,500,000 :$ 3,789 I Comercial 1 , 375,000 139 Total $ 38,875,000 $ 3,928 -- Property Tax @ $1.78 Rate Residential $ 667,500 $ 67.45 I Commercial 24,500 2.47 Total $ 692,000 $ 69.92 -- On a per-capita basis, projected Lake Calavera Hills property taxes will equal $69.92 per year, compared to a 1976-77 Citywide figure of $126.66. The principal cause of this difference is accounted for by Citywide property taxes on business properties and raw land. Residential units all at Lake Calavera Hills are projected to generate a higher property tax th, their existing City counterparts. Property tax projections are based upon housing and commercial values disc in Section 11. In addition, it has been assumed that assessed values wil' average 20% of market value, as opposed to the statutory 25% requirement. This lower factor represents what we judge to be average current practice within the County. Present (1976-77) General Fund taxes on the property in' its raw land stab were approximately $16,000, equal to 2.3% of projected taxes upon full development. All estimates are in 1977 dollars, and they assume continua of the City's 1976-77 General Fund rate of $1.78. I I 1 I It is a conservative approach. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. I I economics and development consultants 1 1 (3) Sales and Use Taxes 1 It is estimated that lake Calavera Hills upon' full development will generat sales taxes of approximately $210,000 annually. This amount will equal $21 per capita. Its principal derivation will be purchases made by Lake Calave Hills residents at local stores, equal to $20.25 per capita. A small incre equal to $1 per capita will be derived from non-Carlsbad residents who will shop at the Lake Calavera Hills commercial center. Lake Calavera Hills sal tax generation will be below current City levels on al per-capita basis--$21 versus $51.50. However, residential sales. tax generaltion at Lake Calavera Hills will be roughly $5 per capita above that of current City residential levels a1 one. In our estimates, we have judged that.Lake Calavera Hills residents will pu approximately 67% of their requirements at local stores (in Lake Calavera Hills and elsewhere within the City). Thus, the City's capture will be hig Also, we have assumed that Lake Calavera Hills purchases will be higher tha Citywide averages because of hi gher incomes of 1 oca1 residents. (4) State Gas Tax (2106,2107, and 2107.5) I I I I 1 I These funds are paid by the state to the City, principally on the basis of population. Each of the funds is restricted in certain detailed forms rega I the use of arterial street and maintenance versus new construction. From a practical standpoint, these funds can be viewed as being available Citywide irrespective of detailed legal restrictions. In 1976-77 these funds were I budgeted at $8.06 per capita. For purposes of analysis, we have assumed th future gas tax funds will be allocated to the City at $8.10 for each Lake Calavera Hills resident. On this basis, at time of full development, the C will receive approximately $80,000 annually as a result of Lake Calavera Hi I devel opment. I (5) Property Tax--HOPTR and BITR I 1 I (6) Transient Tax I These are property taxes returned to the City by the state, resulting from state-mandated exemptions. The 1976-77 budget estimated these revenues at $160,000, equal to 5.4% of General Fund property tax revenues. In this analysis, we assume that these taxes will be generated at a rate equal to 5.4% of other Lake Calavera Hills property taxes, discussed earlier. This is a City tax charged on the basis of 6% of all motel and hotel room revenues. per capita. Inasmuch as there will be no known motel or hotel facilities The 1976 budget called for revenues of $240,000, equal to $10.3C levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economfcs and development consultants I 1 I I 1 I I I 1 within Calavera Hills, there will be no direct transient taxes associated i the project. However, increased residential activity in Lake Calavera Hi1 will support some 1 oca1 hotel /motel business. On the basis of prior studies, we estimate that a transient tax of approxir 80t per capita will be generated by Lake Calavera Hills, which would be approximately $80,000 per year at time of full development. (7) Business License Business 'licenses are based upon a varying scale of charges, for $12 plus 20& to 40Q per $1,000 of gross revenue, with a $15 minimum for most establishments. On this basis, commercial establishments in the Lake Cal avera Hi 11 s commercial compl ex may be expected to generate business licenses of $3,000 to $4,000 per year. The 1976-77 budget included business license revenues of $125,000, equal tc $5.37 per capita, equal to about 10% of sales taxes. We estimate that future Lake Calavera Hills residents will generate approximately $2.00 per This figure is equal to about 10% of sales tax revenues (approximately the percentage of 1976-77 budgeted business 1 icenses to sales taxes) and suppor a portion of .local business, and thus a portion of local business licenses. in the $2.00 figures is the estimated 40t per capita for business establish1 in the immediate project commercial center. ! I (8) Motor Vehicle Fees 1 The 1976-77 budget included motor vehicle fees of $226,000, equal to I $9.70 per capita. I to the City, directly in proportion to its population. Based upon latest information received from the state, it is estimaLted that Lake Calavera Hills residents will generate $11 per capita motor vehicle license fee payme On this basis, the project at completion will generate approximately $110,00 1 annual revenue. 1 (9) Cigarette Tax 1 B generation as follows: 1 I 1 The state returns a portion of motor vehicle license fee! These were budgeted at $100,000 in 1975-76,equal to $4.29 per capita. Cigar taxes are paid by the state to the City on a rather complex formula, basical 50% allocation on the basis of sales taxes and 50% on population. basis, we estimate that Lake Calavera Hills residents will have direct reven On this o o $2.20 per capita directly related to population. 4.2% of each dollar of sales tax generated by Lake Calavera levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I $3.10 per capita. Hills residents (dliscussed earlier), equal to 90$ per capita. On this basis, total cigarette tax generation is estimated at approximate1 (1 0) The 1976-77 budget of 14,000 equals 60$ per capita. Cities receive 90% of penalties. Thus, this revenue is in many respects similar to business lic Possibly there will be some direct fee generation in the commercial comple but this cannot be predicted precisely at this time. In our judgement, th fees can be related to sales taxes in order to measure potential Lake Cala Hills impacts. On this basis, we estimate 1.2$ of alcoholic beverage lice fee for each $1 of sales tax generated, equal to 306 per capita. (11) Fines and Forfeitures A1 coho1 i c Beverage Li cen se Fees I I I 1 1 I I I I 1 I I I I I monies collected by the state for alcoholic beverage license renewals and These are monies received by the City for traffic violations within the Ci boundaries, collected both by the Highway Patrol on Interstate 5 and the Carlsbad Police Department. The 1976-77 budget estimated this revenue at $90,000, equal to $3.86 per capita. results from non-residents, particularly related to through traffic on Interstate 5. Nevertheless, Lake Calavera Hills residents will have some impact on these fees. We estimate that an appropriate figure would be $1 per capita. (12) Transfer Taxes The 1976-77 budget calls for transfer taxes of $40,00O,;qual to $1.72 per capita. These taxes are collected by the county on real estate sales, on basis of a portion of the $1.10 per $1,000 stamp tax. Lake Calavera Hills residents will be adding to City transfer taxes as the result of initial purchases and subsequent housing resales. In addition, there will be a PO small commercial element. We estimate that Lake Calavera Hills at full development should be able to generate transfer tax activity in the range $1 -50 to $2.00 per capita, and thus use a figure of $1.80. (13) Federal Revenue Sharing These are funds provided to the City by the federal government, issued on basis of a rather complex formula. However, within a given city they are closely tied to population. will continue in its present form. However, under the assumption that it A considerable amount of this activit I We cannot be sure that federal revenue-sharin levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I 1 I our analysis. I (15) Rebates and Miscelleous I I (1 6) Buil ding-Re1 ated Fees I I will, we believe it appropriate to estimate that each Lake Calavera Hills r will generate approximately $8 per capita federal revenue-sharing revenues. The level in the 1976-77 budget was $7.83 pel- capita. (14) General Fund Interest These are monies earned on cash balances in the City treasury. In the 197t project, such general fund interest was placed at $113,500, equal to $4.87 per capita. In our judgement, these revenues cannot be attributed to resic devehpment, There can be no assurance that Lake Calavera Hills activitie: will generate cash surplus. We have not included a factor for this revenuc These items are budgeted at $20,000 in the 7976-77 budget, equal to 86$ per capita. We suggest using a figure of go$ per capita. These fees, budgeted at $250,500 in 1976-77, are col'lected for work perfom by the Building, Engineering, and Planning Dlepartrnents for new development and various rehab work. We have combined these fees because performance I work for a given fee is not restricted to a single department. We estimate that the 1976-77 budget reflected a weighted average fee of approximately $593 per unit, ranging from $240 per unit for apartments to $740 for estate single-family units, These lare not on-going revenues, but rather are for single-service activities. I I 0 I (17) Recreation Fees I These are "cost offset" fees collected by the Recreation Department for various class activities in which the department pays for an outside teach We have considered neither the fee nor offsetting cost in our analysis. (18) Ambulance Fees These are a minor item, budgeted at $9,000 in 1976-77. per ambulance call. 1 I I I A fee of $25 is ch In our analysis, we have treated this as a cost offse 1 i tern. levander, part ridge & anderson, inc. eCOnOmiCS and development consultants I I I I i I I I I I I I 1 1 I I I I I (19) Street Lighting Assessments These were budgeted at $130,000 in 1976-77. assessed to cover operating costs (principally energy). (20) Library Fees They are cost-offset items $15,000 is budgeted in the 1976-77 budget for library fees and library x fees. These are cost-offset items. 4. LAKE CALAVERA HILLS COST FACTORS <I (1 1 Overview Projected cost factors (both per capita and per un.it) are presented in Ti Exhibits 11 and 12 present highlights of per-capita factors. Please reft the Introduction of this report and Technical Supplement under separate ( for discussion of methodology. At this time, we want to discuss--briefl: major cost items individually. (2) Police Protection Lake Calavera Hills protection requirements are estimated at '$30 variablc $15 fixed, a total of $45. Costs in 1976-77 were budgeted at $42.82 per The fixed cost element includes $1.50 for facilities and $3.50 for admin- Various equipments, including relatively short-life patrol cars, are inc' in the "other" variable element. The $30 variable figures is our judgemc of a practical minimum for consideration in adding new residential units city. There will be requirements for approximately one patrol car for ei new residents. The City currently operates to this standard. Police mar of approximately 1.9 per thousand residents is quite close to national a\ for cities in the 10,000 to 25,000 population range. Lake Calavera Hills in itself will not be the cause for a new police stal The existing facility is undersized. The City's capital budget includes provision for a $2.0 million facility, which should serve for the next 21 30 years according to plan. $1.50 facility figure within the fixed cost reflects an appropriate "sharle" of either existing or new facilities. In terms of police activity, Cake Calavera Hills should generate less thi its proportion amount, because of its heavy single-family orientation an( higher-Val ue characteristics. However, in terms of financial projectioni have not assigned a direct cost savings to Lake Calavera Hills in this rf We believe our figures are appropriately conservative. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and developmenf consultants ~ooo~ooa -0- 000Ln000~ mome-Nwwm cj-m-7N m . . . . . . . . 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W&? s *- h Qh h ah 7s-. ww N I i 1 I Ez L3 c 7 ;[; 1_~ 00-I- +.-s 7 i m 0aJ-P I wm KJ - QOW s soc, 0 c, - vsc, r- oms c, s KJ ws ru <wnc,oLmKJs v, w I- zow I- ov aJ-KJQJLL L 3s- e LL>rnVS> c, e >c, w 0.-c, aJ-- w aJ 0 aJ WaJaJ c,v c, > c, -no g -- w a c, FEW c, a LvrIIh-P-E 3 g 0 ~21E 0 I .r w aJ w L L w aJ .r nnkv,nAeua e nntx n *r a urn -3 $as 2 *r 2maJ -7 rb >L LO - aJ 'r) m S v) n L -w ac, s Q V -r 3wm v) -q s ow ~21- - Dl KJ-s .r KJ .r Lc,V aJ *r 7 c, 21 *r rdm3 *L om arm v 1 1 1 1 1 I I I c, z 2' i; TL I c,cy &T s @ Q 0 h c, T k h c/, 0 't E > iz 'k 1s 2s $I s > IG 2 2 a \ .$ (t (t .. c T b Y T c, 4 k 7 1 i I 1 I 1 I I 4 4 0 6 0 b ry t.? u, 0 c\l 0 h h I I I ! 1 I 1 c> 1 IA c, I+ G@ 4 $J' s il 1 i 1 1 I i 1 60: Vd ? c, 66; Q"\ Qe' ee' 0 h k h m 0 T QT "Q < T Go 4 Q,e h 2 $x+ 7 Q T 2 4 I 'T c> <\I c LL1 k T pi' 4 0 0 0 'Q 0 0 P' .m ,cy h UI I I B (3) Fire Protection As shown in Exhibit 12 and Table 4, we estimate Lake Calavera Hills fire protection requirements at $15 per capita variable and $15 per capita fixe1 a total of $30 per capita. This compares to $33.87 in the 1976-77 budget. The $15 variable figure is our best judgement of true incremental requirenw to be imposed on the Fire Department by Lake Calavera Hills development. / new station will be attributable to Lake Calavera Hills in itself. The ex be built in Lake Calavera Hills or nearby would serve a much broader area, probably a total of 30,000 people--roughly three timles the projected population of Lake Calavera Hills. Also, no new paramedic unit will be rei purely for Lake Calavera Hills. Paramedic service from Chestnut Street shi suffice, and one unit can serve up to 60,000 people (roughly six times Lakc Calavera Hills population). In some respects--under truly marginal costing--one could argue that Lake Calavera Hills might not add any cost, or in any event, less than $10 per capita. We do not believe this to be appropriate for this analysis. Lake Calavera Hills obviously will increase the load somewhat. Nevertheless, e' at $30 total costs (fixed and variable), the cost is lower than existing levels. As noted earlier, existing per-capita service levels are approxim, $34 per capita (1976-77 budget) Lower future costs reflect the favorable financial impacts of in-fill, wherein the department can serve a larger nul of people with a given number of facilities. picture for many years than the existing city. This is because of stronge existing fire control fire codes, higher valued homes, and other factors. ever, in preparing our estimates, we have not taken these into consideratic Me believe that our projections are appropriately conservative. I i Chestnut Street Station can serve the project. Any new station which migh I I i R i I In terms of fire incidence, Lake Calavera Hills should have a more favorab' I (4) Streets LZ I I Street costs are estimated at $1 1.30 per capita variable and 70$ per capit fixed, a total of $12.00. Principal elements of the variable cost include street sweeping and minor maintenance, seven-year slurry or chip-seal application, I 5-year recap appl ication, and traffic signal maintenance. E is lighting, which is handled through assessment as a cost-offset item. F costs include 706 per capita for administrative payroll and $3.00 to cover "share1' of maintenance and construction of out-of-area streets. We have assumed Lake Calavera Hills will be responsible for about 10% of the City' arterial system outside the project. This assumption is probably conserva inasmuch as the developer will pay for major out-of-project arterial impro at the outset required to serve the project. Also, the developer will pay cost of all in-project construction, including street signalization. 1 i 1 i ' levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 1 1 I I 1 1 I 1 1 1 I 1 I I I I Per-capita variable costs have been estimated on the basis of these physicl measures : o 2.9 miles of arterial streets within the project. o o o Ten signalized traffic intersections. 19.4 miles of neighborhood streets. 4.8 million square feet of pavement area. I To these measures we applied the following cost factors: o Regular sweeping and maintenance $3,580 per mile per y o Slurry Seal (Residential Streets) 1.86 per square foot. o Chip Seal (Arterial Streets) 4.56 per square foot. o Traffic Signal Maintenance $500 per year per in1 Having these dollar estimates covering a 15-year period, we then computed average annual costs and applied an appropriate discounted cash flow factc See the Technical Supplement for further discussion of computations. Wit1 average annual costs for the project, we then divided by build-out populai of 9,897 to determine per-capi ta factors. Present street sweeping is on a weekly basis in residential neighborhoods is more frequent than many cities, where two times or once monthly is not uncommon. Were the City to employ a monthly schedule, we estimte that L( Calavera Hills costs could be cut by about $5.00 per capita per year--$8. versus possibly $3.00 in the future. However, in our computations we havc assumed conti nuati on of the weekly schedule. ‘> Library (5) Library costs are estimated at $10 per capita variable and $12 fixed, a t of $22 per capita. Variable costs cover requirements for basic people-re service--issuance of books, ordering, and other such activities. Our est are based on a review of current budgets and also tentative budgets for a branch library. The principal elements of fixed costs are administration and facilities and books ($8.50). Facilities estimates are based on rep1 cost estimates of the present library and also tentative budgets for a br Lake Calavera Hills in itself will not require the development of a branc library. If a branch is located here, it will serve a much broader base the project alone. Our estimates do not consider future development of a children’s library. This might add as much as $2.00 per capita to variable costs. Also, our levander, part ridge & anderson, inc. eCOnomiCS and development consultants I I I I per-capita estimates do not consider the present use of the library by non- residents. It would appear that 25% to 30% of library usage is presently by non-residents, and amounts to $2.50 to $3.00 per capita. (6) Recreation Recreation costs are projected at $5 per capita variable and $1 fixed, $6 ir total. The variable costs are essential park operation, while the fixed it€ I covers administration. These estimates are based on current (1976-77) cost levels, which were budgeted at $5.97 per capita. We have not prepared detai operating budgets for each of the four parks planned for Lake Calavera Hill: I inasmuch as these facilities will serve much more than the imnediate projeci particularly the ten-acre park. However, our approach basically imp1 ies tht the City will provide a level of service to Lake Calavera Hills residents (t I in the project and at Citywide facilities) equal to current levels. As noted earlier, the developer is proposing that park maintenance be handle 1 by a special assessment district. Because of this, wle have excluded considc of park maintenance in this section of the report. 1 (7) Devel opment-Re1 ated Departments I I i I I These are the Building, Engineering, and Planning Departments. Part of the work is direct servicing of building permits, subdivisions, and development functions. Costs of this work have been estimated on a per-unit basis. Thc remainder of the departments' work is involved in overall administration, a( planning, and other activities related in many ways to general government. of these activities have been estimated on a per-capita basis. Per-unit costs are estimated at $555 per unit. These are "one shot" costs, that they cover processing of a single unit of development. The $555 figur based on the 1976-77 budget, using cost estimating factors provided by depa ment heads and using a figure of 500 to 600 residential units anticipated i budget, It should be noted that these are very approximate estimates, as are per-unit revenues, We discuss their implications subsequently. Also, should be noted that we have not included a factor for on-going rennovation and rehabilitation of Lake Calavera Hills buildings--either in costs or revenues. This is a relatively minor factor and essentially a cost-offset i tern. Per-capita costs are on-going, as are police services and other regular fun They are estimates at $14.50 per capita, all fixed. I i I I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and develoDrnent consultants I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I (8) Genera7 Government These costs are estimated at $36 per capita--all fixed. City administration for the most part, including the following departments They cover basic o City Council . o City Manager. 1 o City Clerk. o General Government Admi n i strati on. o City Attorney. 0 Finance. o City Treasurer. I o Purchasing. o Personnel. Also, various non-departmental costs are covered, including the following: o Insurance and bonds. o Community promotion. I o 1911 Acts (Administration). o Audit. o Dues & Memberships. 1> o Contingencies. All estimates are based on budgeted 1976-77 levels. They are not subject precise per-capita treatment. "charge" to Lake Calavera Hills for provision of administrative services. In reality, new development will not automatically cause these costs to increase. Many such costs are dictated in part at least by policy, not r need. In the long term, such administrative costs tend to keep pace with other costs, but this is not in any sense a measured requirement. Rather, the $36 in effect is an estimated levander, partridge 81 anderson, inc. economics and development consultants n I (9) Government Bu i 1 d i ngs 1 [ Government buildings costs are estimated at $5.50 per capita, all fixed. Th figure includes $1.30 payroll for maintenance activities and $4.20 to cover the amortized value of the City Hall (excluding police) and City Yard facili In estimating the $4.20 figure, we took two approaches: o Reviewed replacement costs of the existing 12,500 square foot City Hall (excluding Police and Library space). Reviewed proposed City Hall expansion and proposed City Yard re1 oca t i on. o I 1 I I I I I I I I The $4.20 figure is basically our best judgement of a resident's share of facilities--either present or future. As with General Government costs, public buildings costs will not necessarily increase directly in proportion to Lake Calavera Hills development. Public buildings in particular are a function not only of raw need but also public policy. (10) Reti remen t Retirement is treated separately in the City's accounting system. It is no' detailed by originating payrolls. For purposes of this analysis, we have estimated retirement by originating source, using a factor of 12.77% of pay] costs. On this basis, retirement is estimated at $14 per capita (for per-c items) and $52 per residential unit (for per-unit items). (1 1) Some General Observations Regarding Cost In our detailed analysis of departmental costs, we compared Carlsbad costa those of 413 California cities and also--for police and fire protection--wi national averages reported by the International City Management Association From this analysis, we make the following observations: o Size of Cit . Generally speaking, cities do not reduce per-ca dy grow in size. There do not seem to be major economies of scale in city government. However, population si does not appear to be a major factor until cities reach a size of well beyond 150,000. At larger sizes, city costs seem to escalate because of administrative complexities and other factors. We do not view this as a major factor in the current analysis d factor in some areas of cost. protection and planning are adversely affected. instances, population growth tends to reduce costs. I I 1 m m o Densit . Carlsbad's present low population density is an In these In particular, fire levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I I I o Comnercial Activity. We observed an approximate $10 per- capitavariation in costs of high commercial cities versus low. Principal variations are in police protection. o Residential Income. Not observed to be a major factor at xe Carl sbad level and beyond for costs in general. While cost comparisons with other cities may be beneficial in individual del mental cost evaluation, we did not find them conclusive in our cost-revenue I analysis. 5. STABLE-Y EAR PROJE CTI ON S --PE R-CAP I TA COST ITEM!; - In Exhibit 13, we have recappgd per-capita revenue and cost comparisons, an( also related these to a "stable year'' after full build-out and occupancy of the project by a projected 9,897 residents, This exh.ibit shows that estima Lake Calavera Hills direct revenues will more than cover variable costs--to the extent of $55 per capita or $544,000 per year. not cover all fixed costs, under the assumption that such costs increase in proportion to variable. Basically, our figures show that revenues will rea( the half-way mark between variable and fixed costs. These figures in Exhibit 13 are based on our best "mid-range" estimates A! noted in the introduction, we judge basic accuracy of this analysis to Le a or minus 20%. With this in mind, we prepared Exhibit 14, which compares mi( range projections to those under maximum favorable cost-revenue variation assumptions (left-hand bar) and maximum adverse assumptions (right-hand bar The adverse assumption assumes costs to be 20% higher and revenues to be 20: lower. On this basis, revenues would still cover variable (or "hard") by at $13 per capita, but would fall over $100 short of covering all fixed items. Under maximum favorable assumption (20% higher revenues and 20% lower costs revenues would cover both variable and fixed costs. Using mid-range projections, we estimate that Lake Calavera Homes would have to be valued about $50,000 per unit higher than estimated in Section I revenues to cover both variable and fixed costs. This pricing would be abol current La Costa levels. If housing price escalation inflation, then a $1.78 property tax would possibly cover the $50,000 "gap" within five to ten years. However, there is no basis for assuming that this will be the case. 1 I However, revenues will I I 1 I 1 I I il increases at a much faster rate than general 20-YEAR PROJECTIONS I 6* I 1 I Exhibit 15 presents 20-year projections of the per-capita cost and revenue items, under assumed five, ten,and 15-year build-out. Basically, the same situation prevails in each case--revenues cover variable costs and part of levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consulfants I 1 I i I $ 2 1 a I 0 2G Wtu I I ZQm q4 2' QdLU I Ssh I 204% * %T "4 4 k I 2SkS c3k %Wq I 4b Lu: & qs- P- I I 4 I I I I I 2 1 I v) W' c CQ 0: 200 Q 0 k7 . -. 0 0 :QG - &h 0 tu Ob eQ4 u'h ? I- 9 . I cp' (II CPQ QL *r 0 0 0 0 b 0 Ir, ? *5 %LIZ h h 1 I I 1 I i 1 I x Qk 1.1142 -3u,4, c 1 [ 5OQQ Q QTT 2. kJ Xp I I 22 c\r 2% I TE q i. c4 I QY ?? Y u, iu 3' 0' @c/, Z$ $i= QY QR I ( 5: w 9 ( SQ QO 3Q.l Le2 I ! ( TQ c ( .c u,&Q 4 b -& a (i s Q 2 ; t c4 2 CD +r *\ v : a S 1 T' L 4 I I I I G u, 4 (D + 0 0 0 Ir, 0 0 0 0 0 In h Ln h 'ru I nr I I I 1 1 i I w .4u Y 0 c> kI > 0 t ( k 3 2 9 C Lu dl i= I LS 1 -\ *yc,q .* 0 2 gk 1 s 75 G bc, I Qk > I I 4 s s i. I I 1 c, 2 $ I I 1 ts (9 cu 1 0 2 9 Qh QT QkI k mu 0 ! E 9 ; T 5 7 T * 0 2 ; 4 (I s > a 7 4 0 0 0 h 0 0 I I 1 I fixed. This is because these projections are simple extensions of the annua per-capita figures. There are no special "one-time" costs projected which c the project will be charged for a fire station, a police station, part of th yard, or the like. Rather, these facilities are covered over time through t amortization methodology discussed earlier. In our judgement, this is the c appropriate approach to take, as Lake Calavera Hills in itself will not be cause for any single major City expenditure of a capital nature. Please not sanitation and parks facilities are excluded from these figures, as they are analyzed separately in Sections IV and V. Twenty-year projections of devel opmen t-related costs and revenues are shown in summary form in Table 6. The mid-range figures show a slight surplus of $131 thousand for all 3,452 units. Maximum adversity, figured at a varia of $100 per unit lower revenues and $100 per unit higher costs, shows a deficit of $559 thousand. In terms of magnitude, development-related i tems quite small in relation to per-capita items. For example, using mid-range pr ions and ten-year buil d-out assumptions, variable costs of per-capita items are projected at $11.5 million, versus $1.9 million for development-related i tems. "bumps in the curve," so to speak, We have not assumed in a given year that I 1 [ 7. IMPACTS OF POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT PLAN TARATIONS 1 1 As noted, the foregoing estimates are based upon an assumed ultimate develo ment of 3,452 residential units and a ten-acre commercial center. These ar the quantitites specified in the master plan under consideration. However, as noted earlier, plan changes may be expected. The developer foresees the possibility of only 2,100 to 2,400 residential units ultimate development. The plan calls for three phases. Possibly a larger number could be employe1 Further, we foresee the possibility of a larger commercial center to meet market and convenience demands. Would such changes significantly affect thl project's financial impacts on the City from an over all standpoint? (1) Smaller Number of Residential Units Let us examine the case where there would be only 2,100 residential units. developer judges that these units would probably be in the same mix proport- as the 3,452 specified units. This is probably a reasonable assumption. Tt population would be estimated at about 6,00O--roughly 3,900 fewer than the n plan. The impacts of potential reduction in unit quantities show two differ answers if considered in terms of two extremes regarding fixed cost assumptl I I [ I 1 1 o If fixed costs are truly over the long term, the City would lose approximately $115,000 per year from a lower number of units. See Exhibit 13. The City would lose the $55.20 per capita surplus of revenues over variable costs. o If fixed costs in reality are not fixed but rather will increase over the long term with new development, then the City would save approximately 8115,000 per year from a lower number of unit -4 i 1 I 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. econorn/cs and development consulfants I I i 1 [ Costs - I I Table 6 20-Y EAR PROJECTIONS DEVELOPMENT-RELATED COSTS AND REVENUES lviaxirnum Mi d- Range Maximum PER UNIT Revenues $ 593 $ 493 $ 693 455 Surplus (Deficit) $ 38 ($ 162) $ 238 - 655 - 555 3,452 UNITS ----- -------- ---___ Thousands---.-- _________-_-__- 1 Revenues $ 2,047,000 $ 1,702,000 $ 2,392,000 1 Surplus (Deficit) $ 131,000 ($ 559,000 $ 821,000 costs 1,916,000 2,261,000 1,571,000 I 1 1 1 I i i 1 I I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 I I I I I 1 I 1 I I 1 1 1 I I Also see Exhibit 13. The City would save the $55.10 differe between total costs (fixed plus variable) and project revenu In our judgement, there is no precise answer to which assumption is corr Fixed costs are somewhat a function of policy as opposed to pure need, a discussed earlier. extremes, quite possibly in the breakeven range. Another way to look at this situation is to assume that the margin between variable costs and p revenues provides somewhat discretionary funds to the City, with which i has some choice as to priorities. Some of the choices involve new physi facilities, which are not required purely as a result of new development Included in the fixed cost estimate shown in Exhibit 13 is $19.20 per ca for the fol 1 owi ng faci 1 i ties : o Fire Station $ 2.00 per capita o Police Station 1.50 o Library and Books 8.50 o Other Government Buildings 4.20 2.00 The answer is probably somewhere in between the two o Arterial Streets -- Total $ 18.20 Among these facilities, the new fire station is probably least dependent the specific level of unit density in a given new project, but rather is dependent primarily upon response time requirements. Thus, if the decis is made to develop Lake Calavera Hills and nearby new projects, then fir station requirements will be set, irrespective whether the number of uni 3,452 or 2,100. I (2) Phasing .5 Similarly, our analysis suggests that changes in phasing at Lake Calaver Hills would have relatively little impact on City finances, and in any e impacts which cannot be measured within the tolerance limits of this an The principal potential impact of the best phasing in a development situ is the potential for delaying major capital expenditures by judicious incremental construction, to permit building infrastructure closely para to residential buildup. However, in the case at hand, the major infrast items will either be paid for by the developer (or residents through ass or cannot be identified specifically to the project (fire station, for e Obviously, the total cost efficiency of development can be influenced by proper phasing, but this cost efficiency will have relatively little bea on City finances in themselves. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 (3) Greater Commercial Center I additional City taxes: The planned ten-acre commercial center is planned to generate the following o Property Taxes. $24,500 per year. See Page 29. o Sales Taxes. $10,000 per year. Equal to $1 -00 per capita, as discussed on Page 30, first paragraph. If we 1 I Thus total tax generation is estimated at approximately $34,500. assume a 20-acre center, tax generation may be expected to be approximately double; a 30-acre center, approximately'triple. However, much of this additional tax will be basically from replacement facilities--that is, facilities which would have gone elsewhere in the City if they had not been developed at Lake Calavera Hills. probably be one-third or less of the above increases. development of additional facilities will be a benefit to the City from a tax standpoint; but in no sense of a magnitude to spell the difference betwe the project's being favorable or unfavorable to City finances. I I 1 1 8. CON CLUS IONS 1 Thus, the net gain to the City would In the aggregate, In our judgement, the following major points emerge from our analysis: o Development-Related Services. These are essentially a "washi1 item. be made so, through groper cost accounting and pricing. Further development-related costs are relatively small in relation to on-going service costs, when viewed in a 20-year time frame. o On-Going Service. On-going revenues generated by Lake Calavera Hills will cover variable costs (or "hard" costs) and part of fixed costs. However, they cannot cover a full allocation of present fixed (or ''softi1) costs. However, neither does residential development elsewhere in the City cover fixed costs. Rather, City finances depend heavily upon commercial s industrial and raw-land property taxes and sales taxes derived from residents. o Infrastructure. Lake Calavera Hills will not require the City to expend major capital costs.a the developer, including some arterial improvements. Any future fire station will serve much more than Lake Calavera Hills alone, and in the meantime the Chestnut Street station will Further, by City policy, they can quite effectively I I 1 I I I I 1 I non- Streets will be paid for by provide service, Similarly, any future branch library at Lake a See Sections IV and V for discussion of sanitation and park facilities. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. - 5c economics and development consultants I I I I I I I I B I I I Calavera Hills or nearby will serve a much broader populace. In reality, Lake Calavera Hills can be part of the basis for justifying future major facilities (fire station, library, etc City Size Factor. cities grow in size, their per-capita costs actually increase. There is no real economy of scale. However, analysis indicate this is not a major factor until a city grows beyond the 150,O to 200,000 population level. Thus, we view this factor as not being of major significance in the Lake Calavera Hills evaluat o Review of other city costs suggest that as o Inflation. If we assume a continuation of the $1.78 General Fund tax rate, housing price escalation is a potential financi benefactor--in a sense. Property taxes might escalate faster than general costs. However, we cannot count on this. Also, even so, local residents would be paying higher taxes across t board. o Service Levels. Our projections assume continuation of presen service levels. Analysis suggests in some cases that Carlsbad could reduce services and still remain "competitive," such as street sweeping and possibly library. Yet, these are policy decisions. Our only course at this moment is to assume that service will continue at present levels. In this respect, we cannot assume different levels at Lake Calavera Hills than in City as a whole. 0 Number of Residential Units. Under the assumption that the project remains primarily residential in character, we judge that variation of the number of units between the planned 3,452 and the developer indication of a 2,100 minimum will not be a material favorable or adverse factor to City finances. .I o Rate of Build-Out. This will not be a major financial factor. In our view, the foregoing analysis suggests that if the City wants continu residential development, Lake Calavera Hills is an appropriate project. It will provide better financial returns than existing residential areas becau of higher valued homes and higher income residents (on average). On the ot hand, if the City insists on total financial self-sufficiency (coverage of variable and fixed costs), then Lake Calavera Hills -will not be appropriate nor will most other projects in the City. I I I I 1 I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I I '* I I I IV FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SAN ITATI ON ALTERNATIVES ANALYZED I This financial analysis considers two alternative means of handling sanitation : o Package Plant. As proposed by the developer. To be a self- contained unit, capable of serving the full project plus possibly nearby residents as well. matching residenti a1 requi rements. require expansion of existing Encina facilities. To he built in phases, o Encina. Operation within the City's existing system. Would I We have not evaluated these alternatives from a physical feasibility standy: including time for availability of Encina capacity. 2. CAPACITY REQUIREMENTS 1 u We estimate that Lake Calavera Hills at time of full development (and assur the specified number of residential units of 3,452) , !will require approximi 1.0 million gallons per day (gpd) capacity as follows: GPD # Units GPD Per Unit - Res iden tial Units 3,452 270 932,000 Students 2,450 15 36 , 800 I I Commercial Space 100 2 00 20 9 000 (000 SF) I Total 988 9 800 u I 3. CAPITAL COSTS 1 1- The 270 gallon per day residential unit factor is that provided us by City staff. files of previous studies. The student and comnercial space factors are drawn from our Capital cost requirements for a full 1.0 million gpd capacity are summari. both alternatives in Table 7. The major cost under consideration is that levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 1 1 I 1 Cost Per Unit I --Out-of-Project Line -- 1 I 1 I I I 1 I I Table 7 SA! I TAT I ON EST I MATES --1.0 Million Gallons Per Day Capacity-- Package-P1 ant Encina A1 ternative A1 ternative Minimum Maximum Mi n i mum Maxi mur, ----------- Thousands of Dol lars----------- i CAPITAL COSTS Treatment Plant 1,000 3,000 1,500 2 , 500 720 Out-of-Project Line -- -- -- Sub-To tal 1,000 3,000 1,500 3,220 In-Project System 1,200 1,200 -. 1,200 1,200 Total 2,200 4,200 2,700 4,420 --Treatment Plant $ 289 $ 869 $ 434 $ 724 --In -Pro j ec t Sy s tem 348 348 348 348 -- _- Su b-To tal $ 2-89 $ -76 $434 $933 Total $637 $1,217 $782 $1,281 -- -- - --- - -- Thousands of Dollars---------- 20 10 15 150 Su b-To t a1 21 9 259 2 09 2 34 83 Total 2 52 359 2 59 31 7 ANNUAL OPERATING COSTS dmi n i strati on 20 30 -- Lift Station -- -- 180 Treatment Plant 100 1/30 Tri -P1 ant Reserve 1 ;4nternal System 49 49 49 49 - 150 50 - - 150 33 - - - - - ---------------- Dollars------------------ I Cost Per Unit Per Month --Before 1/30 Reserve $ 5.29 $ 6.25 $ 5.05 $ 5.65 --After 1 /30 Reserve 6.08 8.07 6.25 7.65 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I i a treatment plant capacity. Here it is seen that a package-plant would co the range of $1.0 million to $3.0 million, whereas Encina expansion is es at $1.5 million to $2.5 million. They both center around the $2.0 million mark. or near the cost of Encina expansion on a per-unit basis, estimated treatm plant costs range from $290 to $869 for the package plant and $435 to $724 Enci na. Out-of-project line costs are shown to range from zero to $720,000. The 1 assumes construction of a self-sufficient line to Encina. The minimum fig assumes use of existing main-line capacity. In-project system costs are estimated at $1.2 million, but in any case will be borne by the developer part of his development cost. These figures suggest that the package plant can probably be built 1 I Cost estimates utilized have been provided by City staff, the developer, a his engineering consultant. of this technical matter. We have not prepared an independent cost stud Ranges are used because of the imprecise nature I the cost estimates. 4. OPERATING COSTS I Operating costs are also summarized in Table 7 for both alternatives. Co: data for Encina operations and station/system operation are based on City information. Estimates for the package plant stem from engineering consul data. Basically, these figures show that operating costs for the two altc should not differ substantially, and should be roughly in the $5 to $8 per range. The cost estimates for the Encina alternative reflect future secondary trE In this regard, we have used a cost factor equal to 225% of current Encin? As with capital facilities, we have not prepared independent cost estimate I I costs, to reflect secondary treatment upgrading--at the suggestion of Citj 1 I for operations. r> I 5. REVENUES Present City revenues obtained for sanitation service are as follows: o Monthly Service Fee. $2.00 per residential unit per month 1 I 1 I I 1 (with equivalents for commercial/industrial). o Hook-Up Fee. $500 per residential unit. To cover system o Sewer Bond Redemption Fund Tax. Present lot tax to cover costs. debt incurred to purchase Encina capacity. In addition, Federal Revenue Sharing funds were allocated for sewer capitl project use in the 1976-77 budget. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 1 1 1 Under the Encina alternative, this basic arrangement will probably prevail. However, City staff anticipates a sharp increase in the monthly service fee in the future-possibly to the $5.50 level. This will be required to cover Encina secondary treatment and also a new requirement to provide a one-thir reserve each year against replacement cost of the treatment plant (a requir imposed by federal grant). Revenue arrangements under the package plant a1 ternative are not firm. The developer is considering: o Charging a hook-up fee to recover treatment plant costs. o Having operating costs charged to Lake Calavera Hills resident on some form of cost-assessment basis, 1 I We are operating under the assumption that any package plant would be opera within the framework of the City system, but this too is not a firm situati If the developer obtains a separate hook-up fee under the package plant a1 ternative, it would appear in order to eliminate or modify the present $500 City hook-up fee. However, no arrangements to this effect have yet be determined. Also, we assume that the present 10Q bond rate will prevail, although it will diminish as the City's assessed value increases, as it is used to repay a fixed obligation. At lo$, a typical $60,000 single-family would be charged a tax of $12 per year or $1 per month. If a new bond issui is made for expanded Encina capacity, we would assume some adjustment would be made if Lake Calavera Hills does not use the expanded capacity. However either. I 1 1 I the best of our knowledge, no arrangements have been made regarding this ma 6. CONCLUSIONS 1 I In our judgement, the financial impact of sanitation is not a major factor consideration in evaluating the suitability of Lake Calavera Hills. earlier, we have not evaluated the two alternatives from the standpoint of physical feasibility. However, irrespective of which alternative is used, Lake Calavera Hills will have no major financial impact on the City's financ Revenue arrangements are established essentially on a cost-offset basis. Wc must assume that they will continue to be done so. In terms of Lake Calavera Hills residents, we see no major adverse situatior It would appear that under an assessment arrangement, their costs will not be excessive--at $5, $8, or even $10 per unit per month. As not 1 I I I 1 I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 1 1 1 V FINANCIAL IMPACTS--PARKS 1. ALTERNATIVES ANALYZED We have evaluated park financial impacts for two alternatives: o Special assessment district, which would pay for park maintenance, but parks would be open to the general public. i o Existing City operating format. I @ I 2. PARK ACREAGE AND PHASING I 1 In both cases, we have assumed that the developer will contribute the land and the City will pay for improvement costs. additional developer in-lieu payments will be needed; although this is a matter for subsequent determination by the City. the developer has indicated a willingness to provide front monies; but he woul d want eventual recoupment from the City. We have assumed that no Regarding improvement co Our estimates are based on the master plan specification of 25 acres of pa This amount is consistent with present City standards, but is equal to aboi 2.5 times present City levels. We have assumed development of the ten-acrl park in Phase I, per master plan. For purposes of financial analysis, we I assumed that at some point about 700 residential units with about 2,000 residents will be required to pay for this park, roughly 60% of the estima Phase I units and population. 3. CAP1 TAL COSTS 1 1 Summary estimates are presented in Table 8 for Phase I and the total projec It is assumed that land will be donated by the developer. We have estimatf a cost for this factor. Improvement costs are estimated at $33,000 per aci including structures and major equipments. Costs for the total project arc estimated at $825,000, equal to about $82.50 per capita and $239 per residc unit (for the full project). Assuming long-term bonding, these capital COS would equate to annual costs of approximately $7.00 per capita, a figure wt is below the City's 1976-77 per-capi ta capital costs of $11.27. 4. OPERATING COSTS I 1 1 1 1 1 Projections of "variable" operating costs are shown in Table 8. estimated at $91,000 annually for the full project, covering maintenance 01 They are levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 1 I I II 1 R i I Q I 1 i I 1 1 1 Table 8 PARK ESTIMATES Phase I Total Project ACRES _i_ Parks 10 25 Open Space 40 116 CAPITAL COSTS Land -- -- Park Improvements 330 , 000 825,000 ($33 ,OOO/AC) Total 330,000 825,000 OPE RAT1 NG COSTS i (VARIABLE) Parks ($3,40O/AC/YR) $ 34,000 $ 85,000 Open Space ($ 50/AC/YR) 2,000 6,000 Total $ 36,000 $ 91,000 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I as follows: $3,400 per acre for finished parks and $50 per acre for open space. If we assume that these costs are to be borne by a special assessment district of some form, we estimate that annual per-unit and per-capita costs would t Phase I Partial Buildout Full Buildout (50% Population) (100% Population) Total Annual Cost $ 36,000 $ 36,000 $ 91 ,OO( 1 I I I i 1 1 I Popul a ti on 1,847 3 , 693 9,89; Housing Units 698 1,396 3 , 45; Annual Cost -- Per Capita $ 19.49 $ 9.75 $ 9.1! -- Per Unit 51.58 25.79 26.3r If these costs are borne through the City's existing financial structure, 1 will not be excessive in relation to current levels. To illustrate, 1976-; budgeted costs for parks operations for the City as a whole were $13.90 per capita. Thus the Lake Calavera Hills projection of $9.19 for the full pro; is somewhat lower. Even the early Phase I costs of $19.49 are not cause fc alarm. Likewise, if parks operating costs are to be borne by assessment district, do not appear excessive, even in early Phase I. assessment costs for parks fac'lities as high as $10 per month per unit elr where in Southern California. 1 We have observed special I 5. REV E MjJ E S Park revenues are presently obtained through the General Fund. The develol proposes that operating costs be handled through some form of assessment procedure, all or in part. In this event, charges would probably level ou at about $30 per year per residential unit, allowing for some administratic Early in Phase I, charges might be in the $50 to $60 per unit range. Under current City arrangements, park improvement costs are covered by the General Fund, special grants, and in-lieu payments. The indicated capital costs of $825,000 would be equal on an amortized basis to about $70,000 annually. This in turn would be equal to about $7 per capita per year aft1 The developer has indicated willingness to provide initial funding but wan 1 1 I 1 repayment. full development. The problem with this cost is front money and repayment levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 1 I economics and development consultants I 1 Possible sources of such repayment include: o City savings of operating costs, in the event that maintenanc is handled by assessment to Lake Calavera Hills. I 0 Expansion of the maintenance district td cover both operation and capital. Redirection of other park in-lieu funds or grants. o I I I i I 1 I I> i I I I I 1 I I 6. CONCLUSIONS Based on the foregoing, we conclude the following: Use of assessment district for both maintenance and capital would be a clear financial benefit to the City. Use of assessment district for maintenance only would be an approximate breakeven, as operating cost savings would be o o offset by capital costs. o Use of the existing General Fund for operating funds would be a slight adverse factor--possibly to the extent of $5 per capita measured against Lake Calavera Hills residents. Basically, we do not view the park situation to be a major adverse or favorable factor. However, the City has means available to ensure that it is not an adverse factor, should it choose to do so. In this respect, we have not evaluated the advisability of an assessment arrangement other than in terms of finances only. I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I VI I I .la I FIN AN CI AL IMPACTS- -WATER SERVING AGENCY Lake Calavera Hills is presently within the service area of the Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD). In this analysis, we have assumed that water service will be provided by this agency. 1 2. WATER REQUI REMENTS I I As shown in Table 9, it is estimated that Lake Calavera Hills upon complet will have water requirements of approximately 1.7 million gallons per day. The major assumption here is a usage of 170 gallons per day per resident-- which is quite possibly conservatively overstated in light of recent conservation act ions. 3. WATER CAPACITY AND AVAILABILITY I I I I I 4. CAPITAL COSTS AND REVENUES I We have been advised by district officials that there will be ample water capacity to serve Lake Calavera Hills. Main lines are within the propertj A major new pipeline (Tri-Agencies pipeline) will be constructed on the property. Present CMWD capacity is about 16,000 acre feet of water per yc to be expanded to about 28,000 with completion of the Tri-Agencies pipelir Lake Calavera Hills requirements would be about 7% of this amount. The capacity of 28,000 acre feet of water per year is 147,000 people, using t gal Ion factor mentioned above. All costs of the internal system will be paid by the developer, as part o his normal development costs, The developer will also be required to pay his share of major improvement which will be required to serve Lake Calavera Hills. share of the Tri-Agencies pipeline. We do not have information on the pr nature of how these costs would be charged. Possibly they will be handle through an existing improvement district, In any event, there will be nc burden to present users within the District for these future facilities. One way of looking at maximum capital costs which might be incurred by tl District would be to estimate the present replacement value of the syste~ levander, partridge & anderson, inc. We have no estimates of this cost. These include a I ' I I economics and development consultants I I I Table 9 I --At Full Build-Out-- PROJECTED LAKE CALAVERA HILLS WATER REQUIREMENTS ALL USES I I 1 I (100,000 s.f. (3 0.2 gpd) 20,000 1 .l% I I I 1 I I I I I 1 I I Gallons Per Dg % of Total Res i den ti a1 1,683,000 96.8% (Table 3) Students (2,410 @ 15 gpd) 36 , 000 2.1% Total 1,739,000 100.0% Commerci a1 RESIDENTIAL USE ONLY Single Family Condo/PUD Apartments - Tc 3: 9 428 # Residential Units Popul a ti on 7,279 1,762 856 GPD Per Capita 170 170 170 146 GPD (000’s) 1,237 300 8 Water Units Per Year 603,600 146,400 Acre-Feet Per Year 1,386 336 163 2,223 801 1 71,200 82 1 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I I I I I I I I I I a per-unit basis. We estimate that the present replacement value is equi to approximately $450 per acre foot of existing capacity. On this basis the total residential units with their projected 1,885 acre feet per yea] requirement would be equal to approximately $250 per residential unit. I not see the costs of system as being an adverse financial factor under a form Of repayment arrangement, It is our understanding that a hook-up f presently being considered for capital purposes. 5. OPERATING REVENUES AND COSTS As shown in Table 10, residential water sales are estimated at $411,600 year for the full 3,452-unit build-out. This assumes continuation of pr water rates of 33t per water unit and present stanidby charges of $4.00 a $2.30 per month for single-family and apartment/candominium units respec These figures are in 1977 dollars. In Table 11 we have estimated that Lake Calavera Hills should yield a substantial operating surplus to the District--of over $200,000 annual 13 full build-out of 3,452 units. This surplus estimate is based upon Tab- water sales revenues and General Fund property taxes at the current 14d Operating expenses which would be incurred are priimarily those of water computed at the current cost of $93.35 per acre foot. The remaining Opt costs are essentially computed on an incremental basis, utilizing estimt provided us by District staff. We indicated that 3,000-plus homes at L< Calavera Hills would have the following impacts on his costs. Further, growth in the District may permit at some point the ability to a computerized accounting and billing system, which in fact might enabli District to reduce per-uni t costs. Our discussions with District staff--as well as evaluation of other wati districts--suggests that growth can be a favorable factor from the stani of operational economies. Adding additional volume does nTt require a proportionate increase in administrative charges and in many cases main and other operating charges. Our estimates show that for every dollar additional revenues generated in the system, the District can probably surplus of something in the order of 50$. These estimates may be subje some adjustment at some point in the future. In any event, we visualiz worse than a breakeven situation from an operating cost-revenue standpo 1 I I 6. CONCLUSIONS Our analysis, although preliminary, shows that Lake Calavera Hills shol a favorable impact on CLIWD. Operating surpluses should enable the Disl either to improve operations elsewhere or reduce property tax rates. ( costs should not have an adverse impact, inasmuch as they will be paid the developer and subsequent residents. There appears to be an adequai capacity e levander, partridge & anderson, inc. ' 1 I I I economics and development consultants I I Table 10 I PROJECTED RESIDENTIAL WATER SALES REVENUES --In 1977 Dollars at Full Build-Out-- Single Fami ly -- CondolPUD Apartments 2 301 428 # Residential Units 2,223 # Water Units Water Change Per Water Unit Standby Charge Per Residential Unit I 1 I I I 1 I I I I I I 1 I 1 Con sumpti on/Y ea r 603,600 146,400 71,200 82 3 36 33$ 33t --Per Month $ 4.00 $ 2.30 $ 2.30 --Per Year 48.00 27.60 27.60 Annual Revenues $ 199,200 $ 48,300 $ 23,500 $ 27 Water Sales Standby Charges 106,700 22,100 11,800 14 Tota 1 $ 305,900 $ 70,400 $ 35,300 $ g 1 Average Billing Per Res i dent i a1 Un i t $ 137.60 $ 87.89 $ 82.48 $ 11 --Per Year --Per Month 11.47 7.32 5.87 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I 1 1 I I I I I I 1 1 1 I 1 1 I Table 71 ANNUAL OPERATING REVENUES AND COSTS--RES1 DENTIAL --Lake Calavera Hills at Full Build-Out-- 1 Reven ue s Water Sales $ 411,600 $ 464,600 General Fund Property Taxes* 53,000 Operating Expenses Water Purchase (1,888 Acre-Feet $ 176,000 at $93.35) Meter Rea di ng 5,000 Billing and Accounting 3,000 Total $ 194,000 Operating Surpl us . $ 217,600 Stationery md Postage 10,000 * Assessed Valuation $37,845,000 (See Page 28). Tax Rate 14$ per $100 A.V. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 VI1 I i FINANCIAL IMPACTS--SCHOOLS 1. SERVING AGENCY This analysis covers school service from kindergarten through high school The serving agency is the Carlsbad Unified School District (CUSD). 1 I 2. LAKE CALAVERA HILLS STUDENT GENERATION At full build-out, we estimate that Lake Calavera Hills will have 2,410 students attending CUSD schools. Page 12. Student generation for the first year and at years five, ten, and 15 are in Table 12. See Table 1, presented earlier on 1 I i 1 1 1 1 I I 1 I 3. EXISTING AND FUTURE SCHOOLS Existing schools in Carlsbad are as follows: o High School. Carlsbad High School on Monroe. Present I enrollment of approximately 1,750. o Junior High School . Val ley Junior High School, on Plagnol ia, the high school. o Elementary Schools. Four existing schools--Jefferson, Pine Street, and Buena Vista. Approximate enrollment at four sc'r combined-- 2,010. The District has near-term plans to build a new elementary school in the Laguna-Riviera area, near Lake Calavera Hills. The Distrist is seeking $1,370,000 grant from the Federal government to assist in building this It is planned that this school will have 14 classrooms, sufficient to a( 420 students, and an administrative wing with a 5,000 square foot learn- resource center. using one of the classrc a library, in which event capacity would be 450 students. This new school would be on a site of approximately eight acres, adjacer two acres of park. It will be capable of expansion, either through perr buildings or portables, Regarding status of Laguna-Riveria, the Distric has applied for the $1,037,000 grant. Recent discussion with Federal o Enrollment of approximately 610. An alternative might involve I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 I 1 I I 1 I 1 I 1' 1 1 I I I I 1 Table 12 STUDENT ENROLLMENT BUILD-UP --Years 1, 5, 10, and 15-- Total - 9-1 2 - - 7-8 - K-6 5-YEAR BUILD-OUT 190 95 197 48 2 5 948 47 7 985 2,410 Year 1 10-Y EAR BUILD-OUT 95 48 98 2 41 5 474 238 493 1,205 10 948 47 7 9 85 2,410 Year 1 15-YEAR BUILD-OUT 63 32 66 161 31 6 159 328 80 3 1,607 10 632 31 8 657 15 948 47 7 985 2,410 Year 1 5 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I I I I I 1 1 1 I I I I I I I I 1 indicated that prospects for the grant are good. will be received until approximately mid-September. In the long term, Lake Calavera Hills enrollment will be served as follows However, no firm answer o Elementary. 948 students. To be served by two elementary schools within the project. Sites selected and approved by 1 the District. o Junior High School. 477 students projected. To be served by a junior high school located within the project. Site selecte and approved by the District. high school to be located behind Rancho Carlsbad, immediately south of Lake Calavera Hills. 42.5 acres site. No timetable of construction, but District staff indicated it will be beyon five years, and that some form of long-t,erm financing will be required for this $10 to $15 million dollar facility--either bonds or lease-purchase. o High School. 985 students projected. To be served by a new In the short term, Lake Calavera Hills students could utilize existing facilities within the District. If the Laguna-Riviera school is built as contemplated, it can be-expanded through portables should demand dictate. District staff has indicated that this is one alternative available, but I the only alternative. 4. LAKE CALAVERA HILLS ASSESSED VALUATION We estimate that the market value of new construction at Lake Calavera Hi will be approximately $189 million (in 1977 dollars). assessed valuation increase for the Carlsbad Unified School District of approximate3y $39 million, equal to $3,928 per ADA (Average Daily Attenda These figures assume construction of the full 3,452 residential units and This will lead to ADA figure equal to student generation of 2,410, Assessed valuation per ADA is estimated at $16,131. District's assessed value per ADA was $32,600 in 1976-77 and will be an estimated $35,800 in 1977-78. Calavera Hills reflects in large part its residential character. Only at 3% of total valuation is commercial development, whereas in the City as 2 whole shopping centers, industrial parks, and raw land add greatly to the tax base on a per-ADA basis. In comparison the The lower assessed value per ADA for Lake levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and developmenf consultants I 1 5. CAPITAL COSTS AND FUNDING I (I) Permanent Construction Based on latest construction cost factors from the State, we estimate thal Lake Calavera Hills students would require facilities costing about $12.0 million, under the assumption that permanent facilities are constructed. Table 13. The State factors conceivably are high. Specifics of architect and degree of extras are major factors which could ‘lower or raise costs. Nevertheless, the factors appear reasonable in relation to proposed costs the new Laguna-Riviera school, wherein the District estimates costs of $3# to $3,800 per student, versus the $3,500 figure on Table 13. The land fa( that value) and that land requirement is 600 square feet per student. Were the District to cover these costs by bonding or long-term lease purcl the amount of property tax which would have to be raised would be equal ti approximately $1,018,000 per year, figured as follows: o Bonding Required (Equals Cost Assuming $ 11,975,000 I 1 1 1 1 I I I I I I I I I used assumes that land can be purchased at $11,000 per acre (or donated a; ’ No Reserves) o Annual Amortization 8 8.5% (25 years 1,018,000 @ 7%) ’ Were this annual cost to be repaid from taxes derived from Lake Calavera Hills, the property tax rate to cover would be equal to $2.62 per $100 assessed valuation. (2) Portables An a1 ternate to permanent construction involves portables. has used them. District staff has indicated that they are suitable for c room use. In many cases, they are used to expand existing facilities, wh core administrative and service facilities (restrooms, etc.) are already place. In some districts, they have used for a totally new school I with portables used for core as well as cl room facilities. In Table 14 we have presented estimates of costs of a 30-student portablc classroom on a minimum-maximum range basis. Costs cover three principa’ el emen ts : i’ The District This has been the case in Carlsbad. o o The basic classroom structure (the portable). Associated costs involved in installing and furnishing. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 I I I 1 I 1 1 I 1 I I 1 I I I Table 13 LAKE CALAVERA HILLS SCHOOL CONSTRUCTION COSTS --Conventional Permanent Buildings-- - Grade - IC-6 - 7-8 - 9-12 Total Enrollment 948 477 985 2,410 (Full Project) Cost Per Student --Bui 1 di nga 3 , 500 5,000 6,000 - -Lan db 150 150 150 --Total 3,650 5,150 6,150 costs --Bui 1 ding 3,318,000 2,385,000 5,910,000 11,613,000 142,000 72,000 148,000 362,000 --Land I --To ta 1 3,460,000 2,457,000 6,058,000 11,975,000 COST PER RESIDENTIAL UNIT 3,364 105 --Land --Total 3,469 --Building $ a Per State Department of Education Assumes 600 square feet of land per student @ 25$ per square foot ($1 b per acre). levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 I 1 I I I I I I 1 I I 1 1 I I I Table 14 COST OF PORTABLE CLASSROOM Maxi mum Mi n i mum 30-Student Portable Classroom Structure $ 27,000 $ 33,000 I Total $50,000 $ 65,000 Installation-Furnishings 8,000 12,000 Share of Core Facilities 15,000 20,000 Per Student C1 ass room Structure $ 900 $ 1,100 Install ation-Furnishing 26 7 400 Share of Core Facilities 500 667 Total $ 1,667 $ 2,167 Per Lake Calavera Hills Re si dent i a1 Un i t 768 279 186 34 9 466 1 Total $ 1,163 1,513 C1 as sroom Structure $ 628 $ Instal 1 ation-Furni shings Share of Core Facilities levander, partridge 81 anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I B I o Associated costs of related core facilities, presumably in permanent structures elsewhere, but possibly of a portabl e nature. The furnishings portion of the second element probably amounts to $1,500 to $2,500. These costs do not include a factor for land. for land of about $150 per student appears appropriate. per unit residential unit at Lake Calavera Hills will range from $628 to $768 for the portable structure alone to $1,163 to $1,513 for the portable plus installation furnishings plus share of core facilities. are well below the approximate $3,500 figure for permanent COnStrUCtiOn, Possibly in terms of accounting this is an operating cost, not I a capital cost. As discussed earlier, a figui As shown, costs I I These costs 1 (3) Developer Contribution I 1 The present developer contribution in Carlsbad is $500 per residential unit, irrespective of type of unit. proposed to pay a fee of $800 per unit. considering a fee ranging from covering the portable structure alone to covering structure plus installation-furnishings plus share of core facilit In a staff proposal, the fee will be tied to bedrooms, with higher fees for 1 arger homes. (4) Bonding, The Lake Calavera Hills developer has The District Board i s presently I I The District has existing unused bonding capacity of approximately $11.8 million (1976-77). Lake Calavera Hills would add capacity equal to 10% of assessed valuation, or approximately $3.8 million, which would be equal to about 42% of the total cost of permanent structures to accommodate Lake Ca' Hills students. However, bond elections are often difficult to pass, as a two-thirds voter approval is requ i red. I g B (5) Lease-Purchase 1 1 Bonding is an option open to the District. This form of financing involves ownership by a non-profit corporation and long-term lease by the District. This financing requires simple majority voter approval. It is gaining popularity among California districts. Car Unified has used this form. Long-term lease rates compare closely to long term bond repayment amounts. 1 I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 I 8 I I I 1 1 I 6. OPERATING REVENUES AND COSTS Income for fiscal year 1976-77 is shown in Table 15. Here it is shown thal total revenues for the District (excluding beginning balances) were approximately $7.4 million. This figure is equal to approximately $1,545 per ADA. taxation is quite high--highest of all unified districts in the county. major reason for this is the District's present high level of assessed valuation per ADA. County, and has a level more than 50% above County average (for unified districts). Based on the District's 1976-77 property tax rate of $4.28, prospective Lake Calavera Hills would generate property taxes of approximately $691 p ADA. This figure would be approximately $575 per ADA under the District' budgeted levels for 1976-77. However, this does not mean that the Distri would suffer accordingly. Under a rather complex State aid formula (cove by SB go), districts with lower assessed valuations receive higher aid th districts with higher valuations. Further, as new values are added to th district, the formula in effect gives or takes back aid depending upon th specific values per ADA being added. In several analyses, we have pursued it in great detail. The net effect of SB 90 is that State aid has largely eliminated property value per ADA of new development as a major factor in District finances. This nay change, the Serrano-Priest decision and other factors are calling for new legisla which will probably cause more equalization, not less. As a consequence, is no precise method by which Lake Calavera Hills impacts can be estimate on operating costs and revenues for 20 years ahead. However, we judge tha Lake Calavera Hills will not be a negative factor in terms of operating c and revenues. Further, there is considerable argument that growth in a district is essential to keep costs in line. In particular, in no-growth or declinin districts, average teacher seniority increases and most teachers employed are at the top end of the salary chart. I per ADA become high, whereas in a growth district, a more average situati prevails. There are obviously short-term operating problems in any growt situation. Yet in general, Lake Calavera Hills should not be a long-terrr I detriment to operations, and possibly it will be a benefit. I 7. CON CLUSI ON S I I The principal source of the District's revenue is from local I taxat ion-approximately 82%. Carl sbad's percentage of revenue from local I Carlsbad ranks second only to Borrego Springs in the I This is a very complex subject. I As a consequence, teacher costs The major problem of residential growth is building school facilities. 1 the case of Lake Calavera Hills, adequate school facilities can be provic in the near term through use of portables at existing sites. In the lon! term new sites will be required. If the District opts for fully permaner facilities for these new schools, costs will be high--roughly $3,500 per levander, partridge & anderson, inc. I 1 economics and development consultants i 1 Table 15 I 1976-77 Budget INCOME--CARLSBAD UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Do 1 1 a rs * Per ADA % of Total - -- Dol 1 ars I I 1 I I 1 1 "1 I I I 1 I I I I Federal $ 198,700 $ 41.40 $ 2.69% State 1,021,700 21 2.85 13.80% County 106,000 22.08 1.43% Property Taxes 6,078,408 - 1,266.34 82.08% Total $ 7,404,808 $ 1,542.67 100.00% * Estimated at 4,800 ADA. SOURCE: Superintendent of Schools, San Diego County levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I i I I I I 1 I i i I 1 I 1 I I I 1 residential unit at Lake Calavera Hills. There appear to be appropriate 11 cost alternatives, involving some degree of permanent facilities and use o portables. In our judgement, there is capability to satisfy growth needs of the %hoc District, through a combination of means: 1 o Appropriate use of portables. o Developer contributions. o District resources. The developer is currently working with the District to gain an approved working arrangement for financing of school requirements of Lake Cal avera Hills. "/ -~ levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 I I 1 1 R I I I I I I I l B I I APPENDIX DEFINITIONS OF TERMS HOUSING ACTIVITY POOL A Housing Activity Pool is an estimate of major future housing activity in the County or North County areas. annual activity over the next five to ten years. individual annual projections. It is an estimate of average It does not reflect BREAKEVEN The term "breakeven" is used to indicate a condition where the cost of providing a service is offset by revenues generated from providing this 1 servi ce. MID-RANGE ESTIMATES Where we have indicated "mid-range" estimates, these are our best judgeme of ''average'' costs and revenues in the 'future. In this analysis, we have indicated in certain instances a range of prqje including minimum, maximum, and mid-range conditions. best estimate of "most 1 ikely" conditions, but recognizing that variation estimates is quite likely. 1 Mid-range is our VARIABLE COSTS These are costs of providing public services and facilities which will vc directly with new development activity. residential units would cause the immediate or almost immediate requiremi for an increase in some service cost. Introduction of 100 new An example might be recreation service or police protection. FIXED COSTS These are public costs which will not vary directly with increases in de ment activity, even though over a long period of time they may increase proportion to such activity. As noted in the body of the report, fixed 1 are much more subject to policy decision than variable costs. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 DIRECT REVENUES 1 These are public revenues that will result directly from new development activity. For example, when additional residential units are built, there is a direct increase in property taxes. BUILD-OUT PERIOD I I I 1 I I years Or Inore* I I I I I I I I This is the period of time during which construction w-ill occur at Lake Cala\ Hills. Full build-out will occur when full development of the project has occurred. STABLE YEAR A full year after full build out, when there will be full realization of pro1 tax , sales tax, and other cost-revenue factors. CAPITAL COSTS Capital costs are those costs involved in the purchase or construction of permanent or semi-permanent facilities and equipment. Major capital costs would cover streets, bridges, schools, public buildings, etc. They also cover "long-life" equipment, such as fire trucks, which have a life of 20 I OPERATING COSTS These are on-going costs of printing services. operating items which are replaced quite frequently--in a period of less tha three years for purposes of this analysis. They include "short life" B levander, partridge & anderson, inc. -71 economics and development consultants 0 0 NOTICE OF PUBLIC tlEARING RC: MASTER PLAN 150(A) - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the City Council of the City of Carlsbad will hold a public hearing at the City Council Chambers, 1200 Elm Avenueg Carlsbad, California, at 7130 P,M. on Tuesday, Novernbcr 7, 1978, to consider. the Master Pliii-1 for the proposed Lake Calavera Hills development on property generally located on the east side of El Camino !?ea1 between Righway 78 and proposed Cannon Drive on the south, and more particularly described in the files of the Carlsbad Planning Department and on the map beTG AFPLICAl!T: Lake Cal avera Hi1 9 s Associates PUBLISH: October 28$ IS78 CARLSBAD ClTY COUNCI d 8- [. e l I b3 ALL0 aLCIef2T; Owner e Oceanside, California a54 ; - ..:- *. .i :, -*># Q Robert & Mareida Harrison JrElsie M. Kelly 4067 Alto Street '. . 4656 El Camino Rc L,+ :r, vid & Gail Smith . 20 Vista Calaveras .- pansid&, Cali g2OS4 Car1sbad, ....... Ca1ifo1 .. reanside, California ........ 92054 4073 Alto' Street-':.-'.:': . e..., ... .. .% . HSW United t . 9811 Xaufman Avei South Gate, Cali. , . .... -.-=;.: .. 2 . Jakob Hersching :H&S BN (ASC) MU3 Camp ButleHerbert' & Dorothy Nan 30772 Vis La Cre '0 Seattle, Washington 4101. Alto Street Palos Verdes, Ca r14 Vista Calaveras Oceanside, .. California _. .. 92054: Ieanside, California 92054 JaGob & Maria He 8; I /I./ . .' , .- lly & Pauli 110 Vista. Caliveras' Zeanside, California 92054 ... -. Ronald & Marilyn Allred Vista, Californi .. ?,2,b: .<T : '.qk i;(rj ;bert & Yvonne Smethhurst 106 Vista Calaveras . I. :eanside, Ca1i.fornia 92054 TJ c. KJ .n & Carla Stotts 127 Alto Street zeanside, California 92054 q'\ i r--.\?ht / chael & Ruth' Wals 131 Alto Street leanside, California 92054 rc- . 4.c 3-j- Donald & 'Nancy Austin P.O. Box 218 V??~.l- ,c -ank & Jay Arcidiacono :eansi.de, California 92054 .. 118 Vista Calaveras'-L' - Hollingsworth-,:' -.:;- ----: . . .. . _.-.. .. .{ Oceanside,.' California 92054 ... ..... ................ .:.. .I -. - _: ~ - _. r.. _._ -. q$p{::- :, - Gloria prey c/o ... :- .. .- '. ...? i +. ... .. .I . ._ Thomas b Patricia Smoak 4105 Alto' Street' Oceanside. California ... 92054 Maie C. Templin . !-: . __ . 4109 A1to Street . Oceanside, California 92054 Grant & Mildred 947 Heather .Driv .- . . . .- ...... P,O. Box 845 .. *rJAq Robert & Reda Harris Palos Verdes, Ca 4111 Alto .Street Oceanside, California 92054 Emory & Elizabet Pamela G. Britting 1609 East Bay Fr 3623 Harbor Crest Way Balboa, Californ Oceanside, California 42054 South Coast Asph 3601 Seacrest Way Carlsbad, Califc Oceanside, California 92054 - Marjorie Acquistapace 3603 Seacrest Way Tax Division Oceanside, California 92054 P.O. Box 7 I Robert & Rano'na Falconer Clifford & Darl--e E;3wQ 3605 Seacrest Way 4001 Vista CalaT Oceanside, California 92054 Oceanside, Cali: Frederick Nakatr George M. Van Nest 3607 Seacrest Way 4005 Vista Cala. Oceanside, ._ California 92054 Oceanside, Cali] Gregory & Maureen Sojka Oceanside, California 92 Irwin & Helene Laurent ?q \ . .- Sully-Miller Cor 135 Alto Street Union Oil. Co. of 9 \C iG .. -jos4 en & Marianne Maddy 139 Alto Street :eanside, California 92054 Zeph & Norma esse 140 Bolivar Street :earlside, California 92054 LPG's-& r ;> \ Nancy TJ 1c 37 enson 147 Alto Street :eanside, California 92054 t , d%:.?-:L 'ihartl T. idiller 151 Alto Street :eansidet California 92054 s 1.7 i ale- / ii.rley Hamilton 155 Alto Street .Oceanside, California 92054 Oceanside, Cali :eansi.de, California 92054 Walter & Jeanie Balab.as Edward & Sandra ill & Janet Reedy 3620 Seacrest' Way 4011 Vista Cala 059 Alto Street Oceanside, California 92054 Oceanside, Cali - \QL + /I? 403- f 3609 Seacrest Way / (< 5.. > _- dJ 3622 Seacrest Way a\'-L L(Q5-q cean$jdc, Ca1i.forni.a 92054 u___cI ___I-."." ---- -...--.. ,:. ......- 'r *__.+-*.-.- - . -.* -*,.w..- - -.-.-.--.- w- a ,; I. J,ewis \qilson ;618 Seacrest Way 3601 Surfline Way keans ide , Ca 1 if orni .. Oceanside, Califo [Ictoria R, Schmidt Kent Land Co. (Corp.) Donna R. Mcrritt ;616 Seacrest Nay ' 4127 Baycliff lqq i:canside, California 92054 Oceanside, Calif0 - .ary A. Glickman ... . ' Jack & Jewel GreE lfxanside, Caii fornia 92054 Oceanside, . .. Califc {ai-ren c.' 'Speakman .,: .: Rex & Sonla Xidd ii12 seacrest igay -. 4123 Baycliff Wal ~ccansidc, California .. Oceanside, Califc Thelma R. Bergen t3it.h B. Zadra . :610 Seacrest Way 4121 Baycliff Wa: Oceanside, Calif( ;cesnsi.de, California 92054 Harry & Robble Ri hcoSore & Margaret Norman ;608 Seacrest Way 4129 Raycliff Wa] Iceanside, California 92054 Oceansi.de, Calif( .cnt Land Company (Corp. ) Michael A. Levinc Oceanside, Calif1 ?by Er Bc~vcrly XcKj nncy 0 Kent Land Co. (Corp.) a 9 2 0 5 4 Kent Land Co.(corp.) '.!, , . Kent Land Co I (Coxp .) .. .; -- ._. '. . . .. -. e. _. -:* ,. ?, 8.. . .,. . .. . -. . .. . .. 4125 Baycliff P?ay iGl4 Seacrest Way ' Kent Land co, (cozp.) Kent Land Co. (corp.) . , . .. -., ~ .'.-. , ..- . . . ._ :'.F.' ' __. . . -.: .-= - . . . . .._ . . ... . .-. , . .?-. s-,; , - . . . . .- 1, .. -,- .' . 1 , Kent Land Co. (Corp.) 92054 Kent Land Co. (Corp . ) Kent Land Co a* (Corp . ) Kent Land Co. (Corp. ) Kent Land Co. (Corp.) Kent Land Co. (Corp.) Kent Land Co. (Corp.) Kamar Construction Co. 325 Elm Avenue Carlsbad, California 92008 Linda K* Church Kama r Con st rii c t i on Co . . .. .. >.O. Sox 2335 ' 4131. Baycliff \fa: rvine, California 92707 ient Land Company (Corp. 1 4133 Baycliff F.!a Oceanside, Calif 'hornas & Cheiyl Dempsey >602 Seacrest Xay Iceanside, California 92054 City of Carlsbad Anton Sr Esther S 1200 Elm Avenue 4135 Baycliff Wa Carlsbad, California 92008 Oceanside, Calif 'ent Land Co. (Corp.) f7881 Skypark North Scott & Cheryl L rvine, California 92707 Allan 0. Kelly 4137 Baycliff :+?a P.O. Box 335 .cnt Land Co. (Corp.) Carlsbad, California 920 canside, Calif Dani 1 ti Pamela 41 9 Baycliff h'2 Fullerton, California 0 q$Q side, Calif .ent Land Co. (Corp.) Robert & Helen Clark 810 Glenwood Terrace cnt Land Co. (Corp.) ent Land Co. (Corp.) Robert & Helen Clark ent land CO, (CC Kent Land Co.(CC cnt Land Co. (Corp.) All.an 0. Kelly cnt Land Co.(Corp.) Elsie M. Kelly Kent Land CO. (CC 6 dye' 3607 P.O. Box 35 Kent Land co- (cc rigel ti Betty Holguin GO7 Surfline Way .Kent Land CO. (Cc ceansidc, California 92054 Kent Land. CO- (I -.IJ. Rceman Xi05 Surfline Way Kent Land eo. (C ccansidc, California 92054 Kent Land. CO.( anet L. B:shop .. Carlsbad, California 32008 c J - 3LOj $ y&,[>,3 @k df, - r-4 n r--. r.--- .. ;::.,:,* .-. ... . . .- . 023 Vista:: Calaveras -. .I * ceanside, California 9205 Thomas & Cu.rtise Dubose i:. 4065 Vista Xalaveras ./ ' .. . ? Oceanside, :.Califc Kathleen TEujil1-c .. . .. - 0 0 NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARING RE: MASTER PLAN 150(A) - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the City Council of the City of Carlsbad will hold a public hearing at the City Council Chambers, 1200 Elm Avenuep Carlsbad, California, at 7:30 P.M. on Tuesday, November 7, 1978, to consider the Master Plan for the proposed Lake Calavera Hills development on property generally located on the east side of El Camino Real between Highway 78 and proposed Cannon Drive on the south, and more particularly described in the files of the Carlsbad Planning Department and on the map bela APPLICANT: Lake Calavera Hills Associates PUBLISH: October 28, 1978 CRRLSBAD CITY COUNCI 1 j NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARING RE: MASTER PLAN 150 - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS (4) NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the Planning Commission of Council Chambers, 1200 Elm Avenue, Carlsbad, California, at 7:OO P.M. on Wednesday, September 27, 1978 to consider the Master Plan for the proposed Lake Calavera Hills development on property generally located on the east side of El Camino Real between Highway 78 and proposed Cannon Drive on the South, and more particulariy described in the files of the Carlsbad Planning Department and on the map below. the City of Carlsbad will hold a Public Hearing at the City Those persons wishing to speak on this proposal are cordially invited to attend the public hearing. If you have any questions, please call 729-1181 and ask for the Planning Department. APPLICANT: Lake Calavera Hills Associates PUBLISH: September 13, 1978 CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION * e e NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARING RE: MASTER PLAN 150(A) - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS NOTICE IS HEREBY GIVEN that the City Council of the City of Carlsbad will hold a public hearing at the City Council Chambers, 1200 Elm Avenue, Carlsbad, California, at 7:30 P.M. on Tuesday, November 7, 1978, to consider the Master Plan for the proposed Lake Calavera Hills development on property generally located on the east side of El Camino Real between Highway 78 and proposed Cannon Drive on the south, and more particularly described in the files of the Carlsbad Planning Department and on the map belov APPLICANT: Lake Calavera Hills Associates PUBLISH: October 28, 1978 CARLSBAD CITY COUNCII *' a e I .-< ~E~~Q~A~~~U City of Carl sbad TO Attention: Mr. Mike Zander DATE September 2 l%OM Dale H. Levander # 258 SUBJECT PER-CAPITA PROPERTY TAX ESTIMATES UNDER ALTERNATE HOUSTMG VALUE ASSUMPTIONS In response to discussion at last night's Planning Comniission Meeting, we have prepared Tables 1 and 2 attached. total market valuation of Lake Calavera Hills at full development, under the housing and CCrntinercial values set forth in our ini-tial report, and also under the assumption that val ues woul d increase 25% and 50% respecti ve'ly . Thus, for example, a singlefamily "regular" unit which was initially estimated on the basis of a $60,000 unit price hzs also been estimated mi the basis of a $75,000 and $90,000 price. It should be noted that en Pa;e 78 of our initial summary report, a value per unit far single-faxiiy estate unit was indicated to be $80,000. This was a typoqraphical error, as in our detailed computations we used a figure Df $90,090. In this respect, we refer you to the Technical Supplement, Section 315, Page 6. We also assumed that values of the comiriercial property would increase by the In Table 1, we have indicated same 25% and 50% figures. would be approximately $788.7 million under the initial vajue assumptioos, $235.9 million under a 25% increase assumption, and $233.1 million unaer a 50% i ncrease ass uinpt i on. In fable 2, we have indicated how these value increases would impact up~n per-capita property tax generation. first colilmn, it is seen that property taxes w2re estimated at $69.92 per capita. approximately 40% of last year's rate, it is seen (in the second colhmn) th; property tax per capita would be reduced to $27.98, a redGction of $41.94 per capita. Proposition 13 lfpdate Report, Exhibit 3. If ne assune tnat values would be 25% higher (third column) it is seen that the decrease would be only $34.36. equal to $5.98 per capita differential. (fourth column) would result in a loss of only $27.97, a $13.96 differentia Rapidly escallating hcusing prices could serve to increase the margin shown in Exhibit 3 of our post-13 report. margin was estimated to be $13.26 per capita, before consideration of possi downward pressIrres for lower costs , upward pressures for more us~r revenues and also possible additional state subventions. On this basis, as shown in Table 1, total v~lua-,! In the initizl estimate, shown in :ne On the basis of an estimated current property tax rate equal to These are the same two fisgres that were presented in our Similarly, a 5% value increase from earlier estilnates. There, as indicated, the revised THE LEVANDER COMPANY, lrrC economics and Irdnagernent cmsultcrnts 1 IS 0 e 8 As noted in the introduction of our post-13 report, we did not attempt to revise all financial estimates to reflect cost escallation, value increases, etc. However, it is quite probable that housing values in the Carlsbad area have increased at a substantially greater rate than costs during the past year; and thus it is logical to believe that a portion of the higher taxes indicated in Table 2 could serve to increase the margin shown in our Exhibit 3 of the post-13 report. I will welcome the opportunity to discuss this with you should you wish. THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC. econcmics and manaoemcnt con~ltnnir * a i Table 1 LAKE CALAVEM HILLS VALUE COMPARISONS Pre- 1 3 POS t- 1 3 Original - Ori gi nd Val ue Value + 25% + 50% Est i Kate Estimate Value Value UNIT VALUES Single-Family Estate $ 90,000 !$ 90,000 $ 112,500 $ 135 Single-Fami ly Regular 60 , 000 60,000 75,000 9c Condomi ni um/PUD 45, OOG 45,000 56,250 6; Rental Apartment 20,000 20,000 25 , 000 3( --------- Thousands of Dol 1 ars---- MARKET VALUATION Si ngl e- Fami 1 y Estate 17,190 17,190 21,488 2! Single-Family Regular 121,920 121,920 152,400 i 8: Condomi ni um/PUD 36,045 36,045 45,056 511 Rent a 1 Ap a r tme n t 8,560 8,560 10,700 - Total Residential 183,715 183,715 229,644 27 (191 Units) (2,032 Units) (801 Units) (428 Units) 1; - 5 , 000 5 , 000 6 , 250 Commercial (100 000 SF -- B’I dg. Space)- a1 Total 188,715 . 188,715 235,894 2G - a/ At $50 per square foot including land. THE LEVANDER COMFANY, INC. economics and management consuhnts I e e Table 2 LAKE CALAVERA HILLS PROPERTY TAX COMPARISONS #. Pre-13 POst-13 - Original Ori gi nal Value Val ue + 25% + 50% Estimate Estimate - Val ue -- Value ---------------- Thousands of Dollars-------------- Market Val uati on 188,715 1813,775 235,894 283 58 Assessed Val u&’ 38,875 38,875 48,594 ...................... Dollars-------------------- Assessed Value Per c Capita (9,897 Pop.) 3,928 3,928 4,910 b/ 0.712- General Fund Property b/ Tax Rate (Per $100 AV) 1.78 . 0.71 2-- Property Tax Per Capita $ -69.92 $ 23.98 $ 34.96 $ Decrease From Pre-13 Level 41 -94 34.96 -- - a/ At 22% of market value plus a 3% factor for person61 property. - bj assumed to equal 40% of pre-I3 rate. THE LEVANDER COMPANY, INC. I,*..,.. Q, ". L =a *, act2 a0 e ,. . I-: 4 1 PLO WL z: 0, mw QL act2 (0 aln a a a a n Y d wo -* u ;A @X am I.) * 0 0 --+A JL-. ~ - ______ ---r ___-- - __?__--- _~___ ~ .~ . 0 r- LAKE Ckl’,VERA HILLS 0 OPEN SPACE MAINTENANCE DISTRICT COST/REVENUE PROJECTIONS 1979-1980 1981-1982 1983-1984 (2 Years) (4 Years) (6 Years) -- 758 608 408 Acreage (Undeveloped) Value Per Acre $ 2,500 $ 2,500 $ 5,000- 1/ Total Assessed Value 118951000 1,520,000 2,040,000 Acreage (Developed) 50 200 400 Total’ Dwelling Units 140 800 1,000 Value Per Unit - 21 60, 000 62,400 66 , 000 Total Market Value 8,400,000 49,920,000 66,000,000 TOTAL MARKET VALUE 10,295,000 51,440,000 68,040,000 ACREAGE AND UNITS Assessed Valuation (25%) 2,573,750 12,860,000 17,010,000 TAX RATE: !l ‘ $0.50 per $100 A.V. 12,868 64 , 300 85 , 050 MAINTENANCE COSTS: 20 , 189 74 , 881 81,995 SURPLUS (DEFICIT) REVENUES @: 1 $0.50 per $100 A.V. (7,321)- 3’ 41,010 3,055 Cost per D.U. per annum @: $0.50 tax rate: 75 93 83 f 1/ 100% increase over 3981/1982 2/ Adjusted 4% per year 3/ Cost of maintenance will be borne - - - by land owner for first three years. 4 1 IN it- \\ U1w dp." P. P. 33 or) Yrl .(Dm DP, Ulul DO r. r. 33 P,pl 00 plpl om 2; N6H-Z p OPJZDJ,P, r( -3rrRrt n, DOXC I pl 0 c (D fl r me-we ul pl PI P-\D c moot-r C r-3 a tT IDXRP, \ 0 10 rt =I<rrofD m P Hl Ln Hl Eo rt(DO(I3 dp P- P Cn*VD 0 ovm FrnUOTJ Plr \P, H (b h 30 730 3 m (Dm P CT' PI 0 mID dP Om M P, m R 3 z23: !? 0 LmaP po a'b c, 0'' 21 P L Y 4 '33 403COON 99 u, U1 ulo Ln va Mrtl 2 a\r x- v) om v r(M N 0 xx rou P 03 u3 . w P 0 4 P ui PUIJP *TJ M . . . .... on, ul ul LD POOWN DM ul u3 QI NcOc?OO Y 4 Dl 0 00000 H 5 ****a --.$ P h)t-moI--. LnNlbON ch Ib 'm POCO I-- P OmP 4Comoh) Rfll Ln Ln Ln am n,\r *\ in ih a 4 5-l cn P lb w ul \o mw~r (Dv\ .... P,(D 05 P a h) ulNLD0ul fir( c?J P 0 I-L WNroW P I& 0 & LDN40rn . . . - _I e I3 g 0 M rCI v) r-3 cn na o za 003 'h) Ir P 4WO4 w5-l-4ocn 03a41003 lb 8.e.. .ch 4 cb CV O'h) P rp Ln LnuIocn P 0 w D 9 m OW pom Ornw cb\r xu, (D t;j Wrtl e\ u, ul 43 m 4 m Sb P P cn P 4LnCON mv\ .... wn, \D W bB co aamou YY W 0 m P ow400 m 0 P ID mlbulolb . . . - -1 om *Q IN a 1) MEMO RANDUbI -- DATE : November 14, 1978 TO : PAUL BUSSEY, City Manager FROM ; JAMES C, HAGAMAN, Planning Director JL/ SUBJECT: CONTINUANCE OF PUBLIC HEARING FOR LAKE CALAVERA HILLS Dale Levanderp the author of the economic studies for Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan Amendment, will not be able to attend the meeting of the City Council on November 14, In anticipation that the Council may wish to adjourn this evening's meeting to a date when Mr. Levander could attend to present, his findings and answer questions, we have confirmed three possible dates with him. 1978. The dates follow: 1 November 15 @ 1978. -- W'ednesday November 16, 1978 - Thursday November 20, 1978 - Monday Mr. Levander prefers the November 96! 1978 date but indicates that he wguld.k:,e available the other dates if they were better for the Council. Mr. Levander will be available from 4:OO P.M. on each of the dates. We have informed Mr. Levander that we would advise him of the City Council's desires by the morning of November 15, 1978. JCH: MZ :ms 0 .. .. _._____.^_- - -- -- _---.- .--_---.- -- -lo-' b . .. *. ..' * (c a MEMORANDUM To: Paul Busseyp City Manager DATL' Bet. 24, 19'98 FROM: SUBJECT. Special Meeting of November 14, 1978 James Co Hagaman# Planning DirectorJl This is to remind you to ask City Council for a special meeting for Tuesday, November 14, 1978, to consider the Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan. This should be an advertised public hearing. L, QOC/~* 3 Ted/) ' -( " -rflcJ \ /JT./- -( -Ip Y \ .c- 0 Q 4.r y (>L.X Fa,'- -< - --- , / 9pq clr 1-7- U2rL.L- CY <DL3Twar '; ', S , I QL5flz!j&'>F- y3 CU*'C ' c FFFl- e'r3)- FF. v'; r .J ( gL-5' ra--bf;L -------- *L Asn" ~-'e~ (-q[:u/ 0 7ci> 1 , IL_ 0 p Qo-4?< 7: --. . ( /- ( c CW &p/tGI--"7 phd. @MY 13 JCH : ms 'f psT\ c ( +q-ED I 61: utcn"Jf p+Jb UH4-T + ~ pidL [; p t-! I- -I J,3 $rk ,) F > /LJ 1'1 &5E- d /' r\ F 854' CALAVERA HILLS SUMMARY OF PROJECT e Calavera Hills is a planned community of 802 acres in the City of Carlsbad overlooking the Pacific Ocean. Located just east of El Camino Real and 1-1/2 miles east of Inter- state 5, it has magnificent ocean views of the Pacific, less than 3 miles away. Although the rolling hills, trees and nat:ural beauty give the community a feeling of suburban tranquility, Calavera Hills is actually one of the most strategic community loca- tions in NorEh County. An elementary school and a junior high school site are set aside in the center of Calavera Hills, together with a 20-acre park and a 10-acre shopping center. 517 acres in Calavera Hills is owned by Calavera Hills Company ("CHC") and the remaining 285 acres is owned by Pacific Scene, Inc. Planning for the entire Calavera Hills community started in 1976 and Pacific Scene started its tentative maps in 1982. The new CHC Master Plan allows up to 2,302 dwelling units covering the complete spectrum of housing types: 1/2 to 2-1/2 acre estate sites; single family lots from 5,000 sq. ft. to over 9,000 sq. ft.; zero side yard lots of 3,600 sq. ft. and 4,000 sq. ft.; duplex lots with 7,000 sq. ft.; condominiums in 4 unit, 6 unit, 8 unit and 10 unit build- ings; and apartment buildings with a wide range of sizes and types. A 10-acre shopping center is also included. This wide variety of housing types was carefully planned by CHC to appeal to different segments of the market. into 15 separate parcels, it has been condensed into 9 "Villages" for tentative map filing purposes. CHC started working with the City on our plans for Calavera Hills prior to our close of escrow, which took place September 10, 1982. Together with our planners and engi- neers, we then worked on the tentative maps for all of the Villages in order to obtain a comprehensive inter- related plan for the total site before completing the design of any one Village. The plans were finalized in the summer of 1983 and the tentative map for Village T was filed August 11, 1983. The tentative map for Village Q was filed October 20, 1983. Since then, refining of the tentative maps has been taking place with the Planning and Engineering Staffs. a Although the CHC residential property was originally divided a Page 1 of 2 As a result of the continuous exchange of ideas and concepts and our working together, your Planning Staff has recommend- ed approval of our Villages Q and T, which incorporate all of the elements required by City standards. Special efforts were made to develop distinctive and unique @ Villages that are in keeping with Carlsbad tradition. In addition to meeting all criteria for site sensitivity, traffic circulation and recreation, our two Villages include the following features: Open Space: 35 acres, representing 18.7' percent of the Villages' acreage. Recreation: 1.1 recreation centers, which include swimming pools, quiet recreation areas and children's play areas. All slopes, not remaining natural, are on a 2/1 ratio and will be landscaped with colorful ground cover, shrubs and trees. Special areas are set aside as view corridors and observation points for residents and visitors to take advantage of the many excel- lent views. A 20-acre site in the center of the community has been set aside for dedication to the a City as a public park. Architecture: The award-winning architectural firm of Naegle and Associates has taken extra care in making the street scenes as attractive as possible. The many different types of units and exter- ior elevations create Villages that will appeal to the young professionals and fam- ilies, mature families, empty-nesters and the retired. 0 Page 2 of 2 - ~~ CARLSBAD CIRCULATION PL, COMMITTEE PLAN t-4 --- MAJOR ARTERIAL m (IECONDAAY ARTERIAL - PROPOSED ANNEXATIONS ORlPWlC 8CkLE .C*LL- 1- toe- VILLAGE MOT A PARTOF CALAVEIA HlLlS COlrlPAW - - - UlUAGE WWNDARY - - - CnASE BREAKDOYW - - - ?HASE BOUNDARY OF VILLAGES TOTAL ACUUOe FOU w OF CAUVERA HRLS COMPANY Li ORlCWlC 8CkLE .C*LL- 1- toe- VILLAGE MOT A PARTOF CALAVEIA HlLlS COlrlPAW - - - UlUAGE WWNDARY - - - CnASE BREAKDOYW - - - ?HASE BOUNDARY OF VILLAGES TOTAL ACUUOe FOU w OF CAUVERA HRLS COMPANY Li ILL Me OF RDJ. SECTION rry : 1'4 . I/*. *'4 UfiDE 1- OUffflE OF Raw. VILLAGE Q OF CALAVERA HILLS 0 Located at the highest point in Calavera Hills, scenic Village Q has a commanding 360 degree view. From the south- erly view of the Pacific Ocean to the easterly view of Lake Calaveras, Village Q is a unique 204 home neighborhood with 29.4 percent of its total acreage devoted to open space. Five recreation areas are strategically placed throughout the Village with a total of 92 homes facing open space in its natural state or on creatively landscaped areas. Statistically, this is Village Q: 51.4 total acres 36.3 developed acres 15.1 total acres (29.4 percent) devoted to open space 6.2 acres covered by buildings 204 residential units 5 separate recreation areas a Village Q is easily identified as it surrounds the water tank that is located at the highest elevation in Calavera Hills. (The existing water tank will be replaced by a new concrete tank, with landscaped crib walls and complete visual screening.) The six distinctive neighborhoods within Village Q are connected by a horseshoe shaped collector street that has two entrances on Tamarack Avenue. The Village has homes with zero side yard configurations that permit the homeowner to enjoy ample side and rear yards without the problems of care and maintenance of the traditional large rear yards and unusable side yards. The lots average over 4,000 square feet. The land plan is designed to take every advantage of the spectacular views for the one and two story, two and three bedroom homes. Each home will have a two car enclosed garage. One of the recreation areas will include a lap pool, kiddies pool, cabana with restrooms and showers, barbecue pits 0 Page 1 of 2 and a large deck area surrounding the pool. The other recreation areas will include tot lots and green areas for passive recreation. It is anticipated that Village Q will be built in three phases of 77, 64 and 63 homes, respectively. I) 4D 0 Page 2 of 2 I - 4.-H I- WCE -py5&Li+ -7-m - VILLAGE T OF CALAVERA HILLS a Village T, the largest Village in Calavera Hills, is 136.7 acres in size and will include 466 homes in three distinc- tive, compatible modes. The northerly portion of the Village, which includes 124 single family detached homes on 5,000 square foot lots and larger and 142 patio homes, is separated by a 20 acre school site from the southerly portion which will include 28 single family detached homes on 9,000 square foot lots, 92 patio homes and 92 duplex units. The small individual neighborhoods are served by a circular collector street with two entrances on College Boulevard. A jogging trail and walkway will meander through the Village. Two major recreation centers will be included in the five recreation areas set aside within Village T. The major recreation centers will each include a lap pool, kiddies pool, a cabana with restrooms and showers, a barbecue pit and a large poolside patio area. One center will also include a tot lot and a large lawn court for volleyball and other games. The secondary recreation areas will in- clude tot lots, barbecue pits and areas set aside for passive recreation. Statistically, this is Village T: a 136.7 total acres 20 total acres (14.6 percent) devoted to open space 15 acres covered by buildings 466 residential units 5 recreation areas All of the homes along the eastern corridor have commanding views of Lake Calaveras. More than 90 homes have yards abutting an open space. The two single family detached neighborhoods are located along the northern and southeastern perimeters to take advantage of the views. The homes will be one and two story, ranging from two to four bedrooms, with two car e enclosed garage. Page 1 of 2 The duplex units are located in a separate neighborhood in the southern portion adjacent to the large open space. They will be one and two story, include two and three bed- rooms and each will have a two car enclosed garage. The patio homes are clustered in three separate neighbor- hoods. The homes will be one and two story, two and three bedrooms, with two car enclosed garage. Traffic circulation will be controlled by a horseshoe shaped collector street from which the individual neighborhoods will join. Adding to the distinctiveness and privacy of the neighborhoods will be 20 individual cul-de-sac streets. a e 0 Page 2 of 2 MoJwm *' I - UJlA *iqPb-!~C~ --. - ~ -- WU- Ip -\4-,: -- _-._ _-..- .. Calavera Hills Detail No !!j!h.g? Scale: I":2O' Job: ' No: Architcctiirc 2zlOAVcndJ tk la Playa a IJJ~IJ C~lihmiia~2(J~7 Date: 4 -64 613 453.2boh Drawn: w ia :*= Assodates + Plan n Ing , . -- ,v ,-r-~- - I - - - 1% Calavera tiills Detail No. vugg Scale; I ":zo' Job: glC&v No: + 11 fo11.i CJib 1rtiuX11~7 Date: +f-'w Planning 619 459-2646 Drawn: m Archirccturc 2210.4Vt.nKlJtk13~2).2 -- e iq Z'= Asw c la t cs MASTER PLAN 150 (F) \\ - FIEC vt3BlE STOR* LEG€ND: - I K VILLAGE - - -- VI Lt AG E DE VEL0 PMEN f <PO- STANDAROS I-- VlLt AGE BOUN 0 ARY \ OPEN SPACE I-- . os i Pueuc PARK ORlPWlC 8CkLE .C*LL- 1- toe- VILLAGE MOT A PARTOF CALAVEIA HlLlS COlrlPAW - - - UlUAGE WWNDARY - - - CnASE BREAKDOYW - - - ?HASE BOUNDARY OF VILLAGES TOTAL ACUUOe FOU w OF CAUVERA HRLS COMPANY Li I I I 1 I I I 1 I I I II I I 1 I 1 CARLSBAD - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS I ECONOMIC IMPACT STUDY Submitted to the CITY OF CARLSBAD levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economrcs and development consultants r I 1 I I 1 I I I I I I I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. gcs wes~ century boulevard SLlte 912 ic s aige~ec cs~,~orr~~a 00045 (2131 March 25, 1977 P5308 Mr. Bud Plender Acting Planning Director City of Carlsbad Dear Mr. Plender In response to your Request for Proposal dated March 8, 1977, Levander Partridge & Anderson, Inc. is pleased to submit the following proposal for professional services to prepare a land-use evaluation and economic impact report for Lake Calavera Hills Planned Community. We believe that the following scope of work will result in a meaningful analysis of the economic impact on the City of Carlsbad of the proposed development plan, and will provide a useful tool for continued use in the City’s land use decision making. We are confident of our ability to perform this work to the highest professional standards. We have extensive experience in economic forecasting and governmental financial analysis, and we urge you to contact our references or make other inquiries into our professional qualifications and reputation. from prior work. pleted new community market analysis and/or cost-revenue studies for seven different clients in the North San Diego County area. !de appreciate the opportunity to submit this proposal, and hope to be able to meet with you to discuss our approach and qualifications in greater detail. Please call us if you have any questions or if we can provide any further information. serving the City of Carlsbad on this challenging assignment. p spectfully submitted, We are familiar with the City of Carlsbad During the past three years, we have personally com- We look forward to the possibility of I I (JL I@ 1 2L q,.# ‘!M&LJ /j Q2- /7y: // /kf,@yJ &.pd/&$ ”- /-L” Dale H. Levander Pr i nc i pal 1 I I 1 I’ ’ AGA: 1 d Austin G. A derson Principal eco-c- - ‘j Fi-reqI co?su:fants t/ I I I I 1 I I NTRODUCT ION The following pages set forth a work program which will fully meet the basic objectives as set forth in the Request for Proposal. It involves sufficient detail to deal wiT the complex issues and interrelationships between land USI public services, and governmental revenues, yet it will result in a meaningfu' understandable summary of conclusions. The scope of work has been divided into 6 work tasks. These proposed tasks ai clearly identifiable in terms of outputs and methodology, enable tight schedu' and performance control , and reflect a practical "inter(itive" work situation. In Table 1 we have identified a number of specific data sources which will be used. It is our understanding that two other economic impact studies are underway. Our work program does not assume that any specific data will be available from these studies. However, in working closc?ly with City staff we shall endeavor to build upon any previously completed work available for our review, avoiding needless duplication of research tasks or policy formulation that may already have been completed to the City's satisfaction. The followir pages outline our scope of work in greater detail. ' ' i I I 1 I 1 I I 1 I I 1 i levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economfcs and development consultants I 1 1 I 1 1 I I 1 I I I I 1 1 I1 1 SCOPE OF WORK TASK I - LAND USE ANALYSIS Specific annual forcasts of absorption and improvement values by type of use must be established as a foundation for the cost-revenue analysis. free market economy, the future growth rate within a given county, community or specific development cannot be precisely predicted. variables directly affect growth rates, including growth management, pol icie of surrounding jurisdictions, regional and national economic growth rates, and social trends as reflected in housing preferences, migratory patterns, a long-term birth rates. 1 ikely" forecasts required for decision making. In our judgment, historical trends within the region and experience at other new community developments provide an adequate basis for establishing reasonable estimates of probable growth trends, and will enable the formulation of minimum and maximum projec tions of the overall rate of development. The evaluation of proposed land uses and formulation of development forcasts will represent approximately 25% of our overall work effort, and would entai Given a I Many fundamental Thus, the projections must be recognized as "most I the following basic steps: A) Evaluate Historical Development Activity To determine trends in population and development growth. Including: o Fundamental growth, Determine historical rate of population and hous hold growth within the Carl sbadlllorth County area. o Development characteristics. Housing values, unit characteristics, sales rates, resident characteristics, (origin, age, income, etc.), commercial square footage, etc. o Other new communities. We will determine historical development rate and land use mix at selected new communities in Southern California. B) Review Master Plan Proposed Uses and the Region's Land Use To evaluate Lake Calavera Hills' proposed inventory in relation to the compe supply of developable land, active in the market area. housing types, and marketing programs anticipated in the master plan. Particular focus on master planned new communit To define the specific land allocations, densiti 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants C) Forecast Regional and Lake Calavera Hills Population o Establish regional market area population forecasts based on pro ec- tions by the CPO, San Diego County Planning Department, and any $ity projections, adjusted as appropriate to reflect most recent historical I experience. o Estimate attainable penetration rates of this market area growth poten tial by Lake Calavera Hills, given anticipated promotion and developmei strategy . I I I o Forecast the rate of dwelling unit development and household and pop- I I D) Forecast Other Uses I ulation growth at Lake Calavera Hills. Demand for commercial development wi 11 accrue 1 argely fr-om population growth within the community, with possible secondary support from surrounding develor ment rates for a1 1 non-residential uses will be forecast based on appropriate support ratios. E) Forecast Specific Development Factors The overall growth forecasts must be refined to express specific categories 01 development. Forecasts will, as a minimum, define the following level of dett for each year: 1 1 I I I o Total permanent and second home population. o Number and average value of single family homes, townhouses, condominiu 1 and apartments. o Acres utilized for basic housing types, o School enrollment for K-6, 7-9, and 10-12 grades. o Total retail sales generated by residents. o Acres, building square feet, and valuation of commercial retail, office hotel/resort/commercial recreation, and public open space, and other B uses of signficance. 8 1 F) We will establish confidence intervals in terms of at least two basic variable' a maximum and minimum absorption rate anticipated, and a maximum and minimum rl of commercial development. The maximum estimate will be such that in our judgi there will be a 20% chance that the actual development rate will exceed this e mate. Similarly, the minimum estimate will be such that there is a 20% probab Establish Ranges of Absorption and Value I 1 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants 1 1 1 1 I 1 I 1 that actual development will fall below the estimate. Clearly, we would anticipate a relatively wide range between the minimum and maximum estimate. We believe that review of past experience at major new communities would prc vice a solid indication of minimum, maximum and attainable performance. TASK 2 - ANALYSIS OF COST REVENUE FACTORS These factors will cover the Principal operating costs, capital costs and revenues of the agencies under consi deraii on, which i ncl ucie the City , the Carlsbad Unified School District, and the Carlsbad Municipal Water District. It may also be advisable to evaluate other agencies or sub- divisions of functions, but this judgment cannot be made until the research is underway. Our analysis of service costs will be based on a dual approach--first, from direct estimation through analysis of city of Carlsbad departmental budgets, operating data, interviews with department heads, and engineering estimates. Secondly, a comparable approach will be applied, drawing on factors develope in our work for other cities, and from comparing typical services costs for other cities throughout Cal ifornia. A) Operating Costs A first element of this analysis will be to analyze the structure of each governmental jurisdiction and identify and define the basic categories of services and costs to be examined. For the city, we will cover its major service functions, including: pol ice protection, fire protection, library, parks and recreation, streets, and administration. Within each of these service departments, we will determine specifically how internal operations are affected by new growth (either residential or commer- cial). Based on our own experience and also from discuss -& from manage- ment personnel ¶ we will carefully identify those service :. service costs which are most closely related to new resideniial and commercii development. As an example, in the police department we will review such detailed functions as patrol , 1 aboratory, detectivejinvestigation. and administration. The parks and recreation area, we will carefully consider recreational services as opposed to park maintenance. area, clear demarcation will be given to the preventive inspection work as opposed to fire response service. In the area of school analysis, we will evaluate principally the teaching vs. administrative functions. It will not be within scope of this analysis to review school budgets from a detailed grade by grade or function by function basis. ' I tions and thus 1 I I i I In the fire protectior Our cost analysis will consider service levels--current service levels w1l-I be evaluated and required minimum service levels will be defined. level of services (and costs) to be provided to the area is, to an extent, a variable to be determined by city leadership. We will evaluate data for dther cities as prepared by the state controller, correlating budget data with size, density, age, residential income, and The ultima I I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. 1 1 economics and deveiopment consultants I I I I I I I I I 1 I I D I I I 1 1 population, to determine the most applicable ranges of value for Carlsbad. Also, we will review data from the national governmental census for average costs, and we believe it will be relevant to study current budgets of ten to twenty "comparable" cities in greater detail, to gain measures of their per capita costs for police protection and other services. from both the departmental analysis and comparable city approach, we will then make comparisons of results and make final judgment regarding proper service levels and cost factors. the two approaches, we will then undertake additional research to reconcile these variations. At the conclusion of our work, we wiill prepare definitive estimates of these cost factors, applying each departmental cost to appropria development units or combination of units. costs may be expressed in terms of a different dollar value per unit for single family, second home condoainiums, and apartments, plus a dollar value per square foot of commerci a1 space and industrial area. Conversely, 1 i brarj costs may be related directly to population, while less significant costs maj be allocated on a straight per capita basis.) B) Capital Costs These costs will apply to the jurisdictions under study, bil; greatest importance and emphasis will apply to city streets, sclioc utility facilities. Our prior experience suggests that t - -Lsts of new school facilities may be particulary significant to the final conclusion. While capital cost data for other cities will be reviewed, our experience suggests that the greatest emphasis will be placed on preparing specific budgets for various capital i tems, working closely with department heads. Capital cost estimating is a two-staged process. specific capital facilities must be related to population and/or development growth, and the reauired major facilities scheduled over time. Then, the co the specific fac' es must be estimated, drawing upon city department ex- pertise, or esti gn factors prepared by other governmevtal agencies. In this analysis we hill clearly identify those capital cost Glich are assumed directly by the developers as opposed to the city. eloper-supplied capital facilities will not be "double counted'' in the city budget. After analysis If discrepancies are significant between (For example, direct police ilities, and 1 First, the need for Thus, C) Revenues For our analysis of city revenues, we will review all sources, with emphasis on major items: o Property Taxes o Sales Taxes o State Subventions (gas taxes, cigarette taxes, etc.) o Use Charges o Development related fees o Other Fees and Licenses o Revenue Sharing o CD Block Grants levander, partridge & anderson, inc. econom~cs and development consuliants I I Each revenue item must be expressed in terms of appropriate development units For property taxes , values wi 11 be based on current (and possible prospective: property tax rates, applied to estimates of new development values from Task 1. An important factor to be evaluated will be the extent to which assessor practice conforms to the statutory 25 percent assessed valuation factor. To this end, we plan to obtain data on 40 to 50 properties in the Greater Carlsbad area, and compare recent sales prices with “then current” assessment values. From this, we can make a judgment regarding the practical- of the 25 percent factor. For school finances, a key factor to be considered is the impact of the SB 90 State Aid formula. This is a complex formula, but the basic provisions of SB 90 are such that property tax generation realized by the schools is not directly re1 atable to assessed val ues. new development may in effect simply reduce state aid by an offsetting amount and thereby increase financing for the state as a whole. Sales Taxes will include two components: the taxable sales generated by new population at Lake Calavera Hills will be estimated, times a factor to expres the percentage of this total to be realized at retail stores within the city limits. In addition, new commercial uses within the community may draw a percentage o their sales from outside the city, which will represent a new increase in tax revenues to the city. Development-related fees will be related directly to new construction, while revenue sharing, block grants, and certain other items may be most closely approximated as being proportional to population. ’ I Thus, taxes generated by high-val ued I I I 8 I 1 1 TASK 3 - ASSUMPTIONS AND ISSUES A key work task is the definition and evaluation of issues and alternative assumptions underlying the cost revenue analysis to be accomplished jointly with city staff. As indicated in the work schedule, this -ask will be under- taken in two stages: first, the basic issues must be ide: ’fied prior to undertaking the ev-’i!zttion of individual departmental cos; d revenue factors. Subseque, , some alternative assumptions must t nsted and finalized for the f t ;#al cost revenue conclusions. the foll owing : A) Allocation of Indirect Costs. The additional services and facilities made necessary by the new development will entail a direct cost, but the impact on administration and other indirect departments is subject to inter- pretation. itself require an increase in the size of the City Hall or in the costs for I city council. Nevertheless, budgets of cities of varying size provide little evidence of long-term economies of scale as cities increase in size. There- I I I 1 I I 1 These assuiiiptions include For example, the addition of a new fire station does not in fore, in our judgement the most reasonable assumption is that indirect oper- ating costs will increase in proportion to direct cost. 1 levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 I I 1 I 1 1 8) Governmental Organization and Tax Structure. Revenues and service responsibilities accruing to various governmental agencies are a function of complex laws at the municipal, state and federal levels. structures and rates will doubtlessly change, and some significant bills have already been introduced to this end, in our judgment the cost revenue analysis nust be based on the existing structure. the magnitude of impact of possible tax law modification. Although tax However, we will outline C) Inflation. Our basic analysis will be based on constant, current value dollars. In our judgment, a long-term analysis applying estimated inflation rates to revenues and cost elements will result in substantial distortion in later years of the forecast. assumes that housing values, land values, revenue items, and cost of services will all increase subject to roughly equal inflation rates over the long term Although, as illustrated by the recent rapid inflation in housing values, any given component of the economy can experience inflation far greater than the prevailing rate, there is little theoretical or practical basis on which to justify the application of varying inflation rates over the long term. D) Plan Alternatives. be measured in relation to the conditions that will exist if the plan is denied. ment plan. E) Quality of Services. Our analysis and projections will be based on the assumptions that the services provided to the newly developing area will represent a continuation of existing quality of service 1 eve1 s. we will address possible financial impact of curtailing certain services if appropriate, and outline cases where, in our judgment, increased levels of expenditure may be appropriate based on our discussions with department F) Rate of Development. As discussed previously, our analysis will con- sider alternative scenarios in terms of absorption rate. We will also outline possible scenarios that would result in the high risk of major financial deficits or creation of 1 arge surpl uses. The constant dollar analysis, in effect, u The economic impact of the proposed master plan must This may represent no development or a modification of the develop- However , I I heads. I 1 i I 1 1 I TASK 4 - COST REVENUE COMPUTATION Based on inputs from Tasks 1 and 2, and reflecting the appropriate assump- tions as outlined in Task 3, we will prepare 25-year forecasts of annual service costs, capital costs, and revenues accruing to each governmental jurisdiction. Separate forecasts will be prepared reflecting maximum, expected, and minimum development rates. In this assignment we do not propose to utilize a computer-based model. Our methodology will employ a series of essentially simple arithmetic equations, applying the detailed cost and revenue factors to the appropriate develop- ment measures, and resulting in a summary of net annual surplus or deficit for each. B levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants TASK 5 - REFINEMENT OF FACTORS AND CONCLUSIONS B 1 1 1 After an initial set of projections has been prepared, our results will be reviewed and evaluated with city staff. Additional research tasks and refinements to assumptions and methodology, as appropriate, will be defined and undertaken. The final series of projections will then be prepared. TASK 6 - DOCUMENTATION a I Our final documentation must accomplish two basic objectives: 1. The overall results and conElusions of the study must be clearly expressed in a relatively brief, summary format. The data base, assumptions, and methodology must be fully docu- mented, both to enable City staff to fully evaluate the results of 2. the study, and also to enable maximum application of this work to future cost-revenue studies of other areas. I 1 I I 1 I II I i 1 i 1 I We will prepare a verbal and graphic presentation of basic findings to City Staff or public forum as appropriate. Our final report will include a technical appendix with computational worksheets, factor tables, and full instructions to enable city staff to prepare additional iterations with very limited consultant assistance. A full bibliography will also be i ncl uded. levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I I 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 I I 1 4. Computations & Analysis 2 5 7 1 I I i 1 1 I I11 STAFFING AND SCHEDULE This assignment can be completed within 12 weeks from authorization to procef which will allow adequate time for communication with City staff and final report preparation. Figure 1 illustrates a proposed work schedule for the basic elements of the work program. As shown, the basic analysis of land USE and market demands will be completed within 5 weeks, and preliminary conclusi as to overall financial impacts will be available within 10 weeks from author ization to proceed. The following table illustrates the expected allocation imately 70 man-days. It should be noted that the allocations among individua work elements are estimates, as the actual performance of work will entail considerable reallocation of effort among the individual work elements as problems and issues are encountered. effort among the basic work steps, with a total anticipated effort of approx- Man -D ays Task Pri nci pal Associate Total a. Project Initiation 1% 1 2% 1. Land Use Analysis 6 12 18 2. Cost/Revenue Factors --Municipal 1 0% 6 1 6% --School District 4 1 5 --Other % ?5 1 Subtotal it"2 15 7& 2 2% 3. Assumptions d Issues 5 1% 6% 5. Refinement 4 2 6 6. Final Documentation 4% 2% 7 Total 38 31% 69% levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consultants I 1 I I I I I 1 -2 I tlu i i I I W 2 wu NI 30 am rY 0 3 n - -. - ___-- - - .P PI- P . ______--___ I I - -__ I- ____._ - - - ____._ __ -- ---- - __~ - - __P___ - I -- -- - _~___ -- __ __ _~- -- __ ~ - I- : - __ I I I --~ -- _. - ~- ~- ___ t - I -- __ - 4 I 1 8 I I I IV CONTRACT FEE AMOUNT Our fee for this work will be billed on a time and materials basis, not to exceed a maximum budget of $12,!~0. Components of this fee include: Principals: 38 3ays at S320 $ 12,160 Associates: 31 4 Days at $160 5,0120 Total Fees $ 17,200 1,200 (Computer Time, Graphics , Travel ) I Total Budget !$ 15,400 1 date. Expenses (Computer Time, Graphics, Travel Billings will be submitted on a monthly basis reflectinlg work completed to I I I I I I I I I 1 I levander, partridge & anderson, inc. economics and development consulfants 7 .. .. .. ''e declari'ng its intention to order the-formation of an assessmen 6i.st-ri.ct and setting a time and place'for a hearing OR the que tion of, the formation of: the assessment district and the levyi 0: the proposed assessment. (Section 22587) . Upon the conclusicn of the noticed hearing, the City Coun makes a determinati-on as to whether a majority protest ex.ists. If such a protest ex<-sts, un3.css o-\:C.rniICd 5y a four-fi.fths vote of the mm'ucrs - of the -I-.-.-- Council. has beer1 017le~-rcLed, the city Couzcil nay adopt the re~ol~fl~i-~ ordering the improvements and the forrriation of the assessment d!~st-rj_ct. c The adop-tior, of the resollition shall constitute ti?^ levy of ilii assessment for the fiscal .y-?a:: referred to i:? - tile c meni:. (Section 22534). the proceedings must _I_-_.- be abandoned - II- ..-- - _--- _I -_-_-_________ _I_ ...---_-_ If a iniijority prctest has not been filed, oxt if fi '0 . *.. The x3jur probl.ern with the use of such an assessment dist fcix hke Calavera Hills is that additional proceedings must b: taken for each fiscal yearduring which an assessment is to be t l..o,v3.d and coI-l.e<:ted. within an existing assessment district. tion %2621). In Lake Calavera Hi.lI.s, this procedure wili be ; qu.irei2 anr1uaii.y. Tlicse additional. proceedings must comply wii the proced.ures set forth in Sections 22620 through 22631. In 1:hj.s regard, a noticed. proi:cst hearing is held after the City Council. iip,?roVCs the report of the engineer and adopts its re: tion sf $.~?~.C':I~.~.CXS a .?s wiih t.hc i.n.iti.al proccdincjs, at the co! c-,:lu..-ior: sf ::h.,.- hczring, tlie City Ck:;::ci>, !:cy z6,sp~ a > c. e 0-13 .. .. a confirming the diagram and assessments as filed or as modified by it during the course of the hearing. Again, the adoption of the resolution shall constitute the Levy of an assessment for the fiscal year referred to in the assessment. (Section 22631). SPECIAL MUITICIPAL TAX DISTRICTS , c. -"- A special municipal tax district may be formed in a rnanner similar to that required in thc Open Space PIaintcnance Act, C-ovcrnrncnt Code Sections 60,000 et seq. Like the Open Space Maintenance Act, the sDecial municipal. tax district is limited to a specii'ied ad valorem tax rate, In this regard, Government Code Section 60,000 establishes the maximum tax rat at- $1 per year on each $100 of assessed valuatioz. of the $1 per $100 of assessed value tax rate limitation, the special municipal tax district suffers from the same dxzwback: as the Opcri Space Xaintenance Act. Accordingly, ws sugacst that the special rnunici a1 tax district procedure not be pvrs~ for thc i~cascns sei; forth in our analysis of the Open Space F:: tenance Act. 132 1 ACTS I-IAX1!TETlAi\'CE DISTRICTS .. Bccaizse - - e P ---- --_I_- . An al-tcrnatlvc approach to the formation of a maintcnancc trick is provided in Streets 8, Iiicjhways Codc, Sections 5820 el seq. (a portion of thc: Iniprovemcnt Act of 1311) .) These provi- sions atif-horize the estathli sliment of rnahtcnance districts for ~);L\J~TQ*<c~~~c~~;s which ~TC pcmj tl tcr! LO bc cc;::.trt:ct:cd k D-14 .. . the Improvement Act of 1311 (Section 5821). that the requirement is merely that the improvements could be installed pursuant to the Act, not that they were in fact inst pursuant thereto. Among the improvements authorized under the Act are the following: sidewalks, cross-walks, steps, safety zones, platforms,. seats, statuary, fountains, parks and parkways, reaeation areas I inc ing all structures, buildings and other facilities necessary t make parks and parkways and recreation areas useful for the purposes for which intended shrubs, or other ornamental vegetation (Section 5101). fn vic of these authorized ‘improvements, it is clear that 1911 Act mi tenance districts m2.y be used to assess benefitted property fc the cost of rnzintaining landscaped areas. Xt should be note e the construction or reconstruction of as well as the plantiny of trees, - . ... Pxoceedings for the formation of a 1911 Act Idaintenance I -tr.-j.ct are commenced by the adoption of a resolution of intent: which sta,tes the intention of the City Council to order that ‘ expenses of maintaining1 and operzting the subject improvement: incl.uding the cost of necessary repairs, replacements, fuel, * electrical currentt care, supervision, and any and all other necessary for the proper maintenance and operation thereof, s he assessed either partly or wholly; upon such district as th city Councj.1 shall determine will be benefitted by the mainte and operation of the improvements proposed to be maintained ( tion 5821). The rcsolution of intcnti.on must also describc t * 0. D-Ef .. .. boundaries of the district to be assessed for such maintenance and operation (Section 58221, and fix the time and place for. hearing objections to the proposed maintenance or to the propo dis.trict (Section 5824) . 0 a. Mt5-ce of the adoption of the reso1utio:n of intention is provided by publication (Section 5133) posting (Sectiorts 5190 5x911, and mailing (Section 5191). If at the protest hearing the City Council finds that protest against the formation af the rnainter!ance distzicst, has been made by the owners of more t one-half of the area of the property included within the distr no further proceedings may be taken unless the protests are ov ruled hy rrn affirrnaEive vote of four-fifths of the! niembers of the City Council (SectiQn 5826). If the Board firids that the . . owners of more than cne-half of the area of .the proper:$,inclu within the proposed district have n.ot protested against the . formation of the district, it may proceed to overrule such prc as may have been filed and adopt a revolution ordering the fox .. tj-on of the,district (SLction 5828) - Notice of the formation of the district must be provided to I&.. County Assessor and the State Board of Equalization (Gc ment Code SS549OQ arid 54902). The district will not be effective for property tax purpc until a maximum property tax rate has been established (Reven1 and Taxatioc Code 52263.2). hc estnh7.isl:cd e-itl:cr by khc votcrs of the district (as provir fox in Rcvcrluc and 'l';ixat,ion Code s52285 and following) or I-- nrlc Such a maximum property tax rate * D-1.6 to or concurrently with the formation of the district by writt consent esecuted bv property - owners holding at least sixty per cent in area of the land to be benefitted (Revenue and Taxatic Code S;2263.2), pursuant to the Majoritv Protest Act of 1931. Streets & Hiqhways Code 552800 et seq. e Thereafter, in each ensuing year, the City Council shall estimate the cost of maintaining and operat.ing the improvement within the maintenance district and fix a special tax rate 'sui cient to meet the estimated costs The City C( cil shall decide whether or not the cost of the same shall be borne who1l:q or partially by the said maintenance discrict an( shall, in addition to all other taxes, fix a special tax rate for the real property withi-n said naintenance district - suff ic. to raise the neccssary an-,cunt of money (Section 5830). The s! i.al assessment tax Is ievied and co'llcctcd at the same time ai in the same manner as the general tax levy for City purposes (Section 15830) - - * ' {Section 5831). Cdhen collected, the proceeds of such tax zre paid into the City Trcdsury to the credit of the fur,d of the maintenance district and may be used for the paymerit of expen of the district (SectS.on 5830) - The City Couiicil may detern6. that the whole or any part of the expense of such maintenance shall be paid by the City (Section 5832). If this is to be t: case, the same must be stated in thc resoluticm 'of intention, - CONCLU S I ON . Tiit: ~QJ-~]CIL~CI:I of a Maintenance District pursuant to ?!:e Irnprovcment Act of. 1311 provides several distinct ndvantayes present in the statutory Einanci.liq nicthods rcvicwcd by thi.:; r e n A-l 7 -4 .b. .. .. .. The following are indicative: .. .- (1)' A majority protest may be overruled by a four-fifths e vote of the City Council. quires that the proceedings be abandoned in the event of a The Open Space Maintenance Act re- . . majority protest. I (2) The vote requirement in establishing a maximum tax I iS fulfilled by 60% written consent of the affected landowner. The Open Space Maintenance Act and the Special Municipal Tax District Act require an,election before the statutory maximum can be imposed. (See Revenue arid Taxation Code S2263.2). _._- . (3) A tax rate which nnticipatcs J-~~soJ~,U~:L~ fcreseeable TcvcrIuc demands ntay. be authorized iri.i.i:.i.al.ly, but not fully ic until the cost of maintcnancc dictstcs, thereby ?:voiding a necessa.ry for resurrirlg tax rate elections. In c:ont;cast, the 1,andsc"pj.ncj arid Liy!itincj Act of' 1972 requ ;.re:; aiinual Icassesc after noticed publ.ic hearing, In addition, the maximum tax 1: levied pursuant to the Open Space !.?aintenance Act and the SPI laun j.cipa]. Tax Di.s trict I Act is Ljmited by statute and cannot I irlcreased beyond the statutory .linii t:; to neet increasing rev ilcrmnds. .. e _.* Although items [I) and (2) arc sigiiifi.cant, item (3) a1.o offers pursuasivc support for the conclusion that a 1911 Act 'tenance District should be utilized within Lake Calavera Iiila We would fuxthcr surlqcs t that to iiasurc effcct.ive owner. part.ici pntio:~ in tilo acinii ni st ratiori of the :mii:ixniince ai\d ci Lion fund, the opcn spacc dedication which is required c?s' 2 [ - - _. . .I . . a I D-18 ...- . %. .. % .. .. . .--- -_.. .-.- - _. ---.. .. . - .. . tion of subdivision approval sliouId j.nclul!e a provishn estab ing an advisory board comprised of city ofFicia3.s and pxopcre, The function .. of 'e ' ownc-:rs, or their designs. tcd rcprescntatives. ' the advisory board would be to consclt with bile Cj.ty Council ' its staff on cluestions OE day to day main~c:nance and operakio the open space areas,' as wc1.l as long-range planlliny. This b would be formed and approved by the City Counci.1 prior to the dcdi.cat.i.on of thc opm spaces. This structure wou.lCi pro-dide bcth the c:ouncil and its st; with yui.dance in fixing the tax rate, insuring proper direct: for the use of tax dollars, and providing nanagement for the district. The City Council would, of course, approve or disai the eZZorts, direction, and rnar,ay;ernent plans ,of the board. With respect to the make-up of the board, we vmuld: fur'cht suggest that prior to occupancy of any of the residential &:e: unj-ts, the bozrd be conprised of five members, three of which are appointed by the landowners and two of which are appointee -0 . . by the City Council. N?recvcr, as land is developed and the dents begin occupying the dwelling wits, the residents, rathl than the landolpncrs, should begin assmiry the responsibility governance of this advisory bosrd. In this regard, the follo~ chronology might be considered: (1) Upon the initial formation of the maintenance distr the board will be comprised of two nembers appointed by the council and thrcc members appointed by the landowncrs . (2) Upon first; occupancy of the dwelling units and unci two-thirds of t-he propcrty has been devclopcd, the board woul , be compriscd of oilc rcprcscntnt:.ivc of tlic homcowncrs, two rcp * sentatives of the lan'dowr; and two repnxntativea appointc 0 by the..City Council. .. (3) After two thirds of the development is completed an occupied, the homeowners would have two representatives, the landowner one representative, and the City Council would appo two. (4) After full developnent of Lake Calavera Hills, the City Coiancil would continue to have its two appointees and th homeowners would have three representatives on the board. If you hclve any questions or require further elaboration on the above analysis, please fzel free to contact this offic TPC:ct - i . .. i V - * I n-9n e. - 0 + M E PI 0 R A 14 D U M .* ---------- e: .I .. TO: ROY WARD . Date: January 3, 1977 FROi.1: RUTAN & TUCKER Thomas P. * Clark, Jr . .. ., RE: Supplement to >!enorandurn - Calavera Hills You have requested inforrnaticn to sup’plement our inemorand entitled LAKE: CALAVERA HIJALS-?4AISTE?LVJCE OF OPEN SPACE I with particular reference to the use of a 1911 Act Naintenancc Dist In this regarr?, you have requested our analysis of the fo .. lowing issues: X. Issue. After the formation .of a 1911 Act Maintcnanc -‘ IJl-S’LriCt al-€2 Eiddi’iic3nal iiiiuXGVCKt2n’L districts Xhte:i GvCZLap t boundaries of the existing Yaintcnance District perxissfble? 0 Conclusion. Yes. -- , Disc~ission. The 1911 Act ?~aintenance.Distric~~ is fj.n thraiagh the levy and. collection of ad valorem taxes. A maximi: property tax rate in connection theru:.Jith is established cithc I by thc voters of the Distrj-ct, as provided for in Revenue & Tz Code Sections 2285 et seq or prior to concurrently with the fc tion of a district by written consent-, cxecnted by property ob holding nt least sixty (609) of thc land to be bcncfittcd {??c\ ti Taxation Code $2263.2), pursuant to the Majority l?rotcst Act of 1931.. (Streets b IIighwnys Code Sections 2800 et scq.) 0 ’ D-21 .. .. .. '. In contrast, an imnrovcmcnt district forincd ei thc>r p' suant to the 1311 Act or 1913 Act is financed .hv thc ini~tosi.tioi of a special cssessmcnt on all propertics within thr, district t mcnsurate with the benefit receivd. Accord'~nqly, .. r? special a sessinent, in contrast to an ad valorem assessment docs not clff . ' the maximum property tax rate limitations impbscd by S.B. 90 a t. rehated legislation. XI. Issue. Can Park and Open Space Ixproozxents be Performed by a 1911 Act Maintenance Distric ' Conc3.usion. .No, -- 'Discussion. The purpose of a 1911 Act Maintenance District is to provide for the financing of the maintenance of ' improvements which hive been constructed pursuant tc. one of th Imprmement Acts, It should he noted, however, that the i.mpro mcnts to be maintained need not have been constructed piixsaznt to an Irnprovemnnt. Act, but rather simply an improvement .which could have bccn constructed pursu.mt to an Inprovcmcnt Act. - .-. ' ... 0 Thus, needed park and open space improvcments can be constructed pursuant to either the Improvement Akt of 191.1 or the Municipal Inipiroveinent Act of 1913 ai12 maintained by a nair: tenanccl district formed prior to the construction thereof. If you have any further questions, please fccl free .. to contact our office. -. TI'C : c t * I e' D-22 ~ .* ,'. , ' , ? q? ;:.y . yV.6' 3 2 3 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 3-0 11 12 13 0 14 15 16 17 19 20 X€? 21 22 23 24 25 2GI/ 27 0 PLANNING COIhYISSION RESOLUTION NO, 1481 A RESOLUTION OF THE PLANNING COMMISSION OF THE CITY OF CARLSBAD, CALIFORNIA, SETTING FORTH ITS FINDINGS AND RECONMENDATION OF CONDITIONAL APPROVAL FOR A MASTER PLAN MNDbENT FOR LAKE CALAVERA HILLS. CASE NO. : MP-150 (A) APPLICANT: LAKE CALAVERA HILLS ASSOCIATES (Roy Wai WHEREAS, a verified application for certain property 1 A portion of Lots D, E & J of the Rancho Agua Hediond( in the City of Carlsbad, County of Sail Diego, State 0. California, according to Map thereof, No. 923 on file the office of the County Recorder of said County has been filed with the City of Carlsbad and referred to tl Planning Commission; and WIIEREAS, said application constitutes a request as prc by Title 21 of the Carlsbad Municipal Code; and WHEREAS, the Planning Conmission did hold a duly not5 public hearing on September 27, 1978, and subsequently adjc hearings on October 4, 12 and 19, 1978, to consider said rl and WHEREAS, at said hearings, the Planning Commission dil consider the environmental effects of said request as iden in an envirdnmental impact report (EIR-403) that had beer? I I certified by the City for a previous project (GPA-51); and WHEREAS, at said public hearings, upon hearing and considering the testimony and arguments, if any, of all pe who desired to be heard, the Planning Commission considere 1 factors relating to the proposed Master Plan Pmendxcnt (:.E? arid found the foilowing facts and reasons to exist: 1 2 e 3 4 5 f5 7 8 9 10 l1 l2 13 I* l5 16 l7 18 I' 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 0 20 1. The proposed development as described by ChQ M%E is consistent with the provisions of the General Plan and applicable Specific Plans; 2. Although all necessary public facilities may not available at this tine, their availability, concurrent wit has been assured through the conditions of approval and ad provisions have been provided to implement those portions Capital Improvement Program applicable to the subject prop 3. The residential and open space portions of the c will constitute an environment of sustained desirability a stability; and that it will be in harmony with or provide compatible variety to the character of the surrounding are that the sites proposed for public facilities, such as sck. playgrounds and parks, are adequate to serve the anticipat population and appear acceptable to the public authoritiez having jurisdiction thereof; 4, The proposed commercial use will be appropriate location and overall design to the purpose intended; that environment of sustained desirability and stability; and t development will .meet performance standards established bl Title 21 of the Carlsbad Municipal Code; design and development standards are such as to create an 5. In the case of institutional, recreational, and similar nonresidential. uses, that such development will be appropriate in areap location and overall planning to the proposed, and that surrounding areas are protected fron ar adverse effects from such development; 6. That the streets and thoroughfares proposed are suitable and adequate to carry the anticipated traffic thc 7. That any proposed commercial development can be justified economically at the 1oca.tion proposed and will I adequate commercial facilities of the types needed at sucl location proposed; 8, That the area surrounding said development is 01 planned and zoned in ccordination and substantial cornpati1 with said development; ' 9. Appropriate measures are proposed to mitigate ai adverse environmental impact as noted in the adopted Envii Impact Report for the project. WHEREAS, the Planning Commission by the following ro' vote rccornnended approval of MP-150 (23.) subject to t5,e fo conditions: I // E -2- 1 2 3 .4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 0 * I-4 15 16 1V 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 2G 27 28 e A. Village A & B (PUD-IZ/CT 76-12) as identified on the at Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78, shall be allowed to be processed the conditions of City Council Resolutions #5145 and #5146 the following modification: 1, Conditions $12 and g13 of Resolution #5145 shall satisfied by the payment of park in-lieu fees computec City Ordinance $9190 for CT 76-12. B. Prior to the final processing of any other villages, 1 Master Plan, labeled Exhibit A-1, dated 3/10/78, shall be revised by the applicant to comply with the following conditions. Said revised plan shall be submitted to the Planning Director for review and approval or rejection wit1 45 days, 1. The format of the revised Master Plan shall condensed and put into a more concise form as shc the attached Exhibit A, dated 9/27/78. One "Lanc graphic at a scale of 1"=200' shall also be incli 2, The "Map and Legal Description" graphic sha at a scale of 1"=400' and the "Open Space areas" be removed from the graphic. 3. The "Land Use" graphic shall be changed as the attached Exhibit B, dated 9/27/78, 4. The "Open Space" graphic shall be changed a on the attached Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78. 5. The "Public Facilities" graphic shall be ch( to show the following: - 1 a, Reference to "waste water reclamation" t "Percolation area" shall be removed from th exhibit o b, The width and cross-sections of the var streets shall be shown on this exhibit, c. The approximate location and size of th water and sewer lines anticipated shall be on this exhibit. d. The approximate location of the major s drains shall be shown on this exhibit. e. The location of the one acre for public such as the future fire station and possibl library sha1.l be shown on this exhibit, 6. The "Phasing" graphic shall be modified to the various changes required elsewhere in these tions. E -3- 1 2 3 4 5 E 7 8 9 3.0 11 12 13 e e X* 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 0 7. The "Topography and Grading" graphic shall be cI. to show the following: a. The areas of the property containing the r( and endangered plant species (Adolphia & Dichonc identified in EIR-403 shall be indicated. b. Areas proposed for "major" grading shall hc indicated. For the purposes of this condition, grading shall be defined as any created slope w height of 15 feet or greater or as determined b; City Engineer. 8. A listing of each village area as shown on the attached Exhibit D, 8/27/75, shall be provided clear describing the development to occur in each. 9. All streets within the development shall comply City standards or as required by the City Engineer, 10. 102' of right-of-way shall be provided for that portion of Elm Avenue that lies between Tamarack Ave and College Boulevard. Design improvements shall be required by the City Engineer. 11. The developer of each village shall construct o contribute money for all traffic signals required by traffic generated by the development as required by City Engineer or by whatever traffic signal policy/ ordinance is in effect at the time of development. 12. One acre of land within the new Village E-2 sha reserved for public facility use, Said reservation include a provision that if the land is not acquired by the City within ten (10) years from the date of I: dation of the subdivision map that includes the one site, the reservation shall be void and the area sha allowed to develop privately. 13, The public. parks (Villages F, N znd Y) shall be dedicated in conjunction with the subdivision of the adjoining Village as identified in the attached Exhi E, dated 9/27/78. Prior to the approval of the tent shall submit a park improvement plan to the City Dj-r Parks and Recreation for approval. Said developer s be required to complete the park improvements as app by the Director of Parks and Recreation in conjuncti. t.he development of the adjoining subdivision. All park improvements shall be cor.:pleted prior to %?e 5r of a Certificate of Occupancy within t.he subdivj.sio:7 said iinprovements have bc2n accepted by the City, ti: City shall assume the ongoing maintenance requiremen the park. subdivision map for said adjoining Village, the deve n- A; 1 02 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 0 14. The open space corridors shown on the attached I C, dated 9/27/78, shall be dedicated as open space e: ments in conjunction with the subdivision of the adjc Village as identified in the attached Exhibit E, datc 9/27/78 - Those specific corridors identified on saic Exhibit C shall be made available for public access : use. The improvements of all of the corridors showri said Exhibit C shall be made by the developer of the adjoining development as identified in said Exhibit i the other conditions contained herein dealing with dc standards and criteria for the identified bike paths equestrian and pedestrian trails. Prior to the issm any building pe-mits for development within this Mas1 Plan, a maintenance district pursuant to Sections 58: et seq. of the California Streets and Highways Code : be formed to provide the ongoing maintenance of the t space corridors shown on the attached Exhibit C, datc 9/27/78 o 15. All of the private parks, private open space an( common areas to be provided within the Master Pl-ai) a not heretofore mentioned shall be improved by the de- landowner and maintained by a community association (homeowner's association). 16. The Phasing Schedule, attached as Exhibit E, da 9/27/78, shall be included in the revised Master Pla Development of the various villages and correspondin1 provision for the various public facilities shall OC~ incrementally as shown (i-e. #I before #2, f2 before #3, etc.). However, if provision is made for all of public facilities listed under each phase (i.e. full ment of Elm and Tamarack, plus dedication of 10 acre site, plus reservation of 10 acre dedication of 10 a1 site, plus reservation of 10 acre school site with P' etc.), the various villages within that phase shall allowed to develop randomly. The minimum increment c future development (subdivision) review shall be eac indiviciual village, 17. The maxirnum cut or fill slopes allowed within t development shall be 2:l or as approved by the City Engineer and no balancing or movement of dirt shall allowed to cross one of the major stzeets once that has been improved. 2.8. Discussion of the proposed "Architectural Advis and Control Committee'' shall indicate that this comm responsibility shall only be those that are more res than the mj nimurn stanilards allowed by the City. Tk2 E*?~:II L allso ir-dicatz that this comnnittce's apFroi--.l c xcyuircd on all fsuilclincj plans prior to rcvicw by t:: . // E- 5- 3, 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 e 10 11 12 13 0 l4 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 0 19. The C.C. & Rs for this Master Plan and subseque1 developments shall be set up so no amendments to ther occur without City approval and the City shall have 1 authority to selectively enforce the C.C. & Rs if tht determine such enforcement is necessary to protect tI public welfare. 20, The design criteria for grading and slope desigl contained on pages 14, 15, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 6: 62, 63, and 64 of the Master Plan shall be incorpora- into the revised Master Plan document as standards UI otherwise amended by the Planning Director. 21. The revised Master Plan shall contain developmei standards for those villages proposed by the applicai for equestrian estates to the satisfaction of the P1# Director o 22. Resign criteria for the proposed bike paths and equestrian and pedestrian trails shall be included i the revised Master Plan document to the satisfaction the Planning Director. Said criteria shall be such encourage the everyday use of the trails and paths a an alternative mode of transportation, The criteria also provide for bicycle racks and related facilitie the commercial center, parks, and similar areas to encourage the use of that transportation mode. 23. The design criteria for noise attenuation conta on pages 82-86 of the Master Plan shall be incorpora into the revised Master Plan document as standards u otherwise amended by the Planning Director. 24. The text of the revised Master Plan shall conta specific provisions for recreational vehicle storag or E-2 shall be provided for RV storage and shall be developed per the requirements of Section 21.45.120 the Carlsbad Municipal Code. 25. Prior to the issuance of grading permits for th various villages, provisions, to the satisfaction of City Engineer, shall be made for the following: .. the property, A minimum of two acres in Village E-1 a. Regulation of the use, storage and disposa all fuels, oils, petroleum and chemical product on the construction site, b. Site specific soils investigations with re mendations for control of potential problems as result of expansive soils. c, necessary to install streets and prepare constr pads, Liniitation of grading to the minimum :!rr?=i E-6- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 * a 9 10 21 12 13 0 l4 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 0 d. Avoidance of clearing operations in advancc grading. e. precipitation pattern. f. Construction of drainage facilities concur. with grading activities. go a hardened, compacted cap of soil which will mi dust and erosion due to surface runoff. h, Grading of surfaces so as to direct runoff toward planned drainage and, if possible, away cut and fill slopes. i. Planting and maintenance of ground cover si for slope erosion control immediately following j, Phasing of grading activities over the lifc the project to provide a transition of habitat. k. Limitations of grading operations in the p area to normal daytime working hours. Coordination of grading activities with thc Watering and rolling of the final surface 26. Prior to the issuance of building permits for t various villages, provisions, to the satisfaction of the Planning Director, shall be made for the followi a. Installation of flow restrictors in all ba fixtures. b. Use of "mini-flush" toilets. c. Landscaping using drought-resistent trees plants. d. Installation of drip irrigation systems us tensiometers or other acceptable systems. e. Architectural design which reduces or trea window and door openings and takes advantage of winter sun and summer shade. f. Insulation for all structures according to standards. g. Solar heating for both space and water hea or if not technoligically feasible at the time construction * stub-outs ' €03: illtimate conv2rsl.o solar heating. h. Landscaping using deciduous trees (to shad summer and allow sunlight in winter) and windbr 1 E-7- 3, 02 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 I1 12 13 14 I. 15 3-6 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 e 27 28 i. Retention of natural vegetation in the ope space areas wherever possible. j. Retention of existing eucalyptus trees whe possible. k. Retention of as much Adolphia and Dichondr possible within the various open space areas- 23- Prior to the issuance of any grading permits, p for the protection of significant archeological reso on the property shall be completed to the satisfacti the Planning Director as follows: a. Direct on-site impacts: 1) All work shall be performed by a quali Archeologist in conjunction with the lates acceptable scientific procedures, 2) Prepare a surface map of the artifacts associated ecological information. 3) Excavate a test sample of the area to determine the nature and extent of any sub component. One soch test which has proven successful in similar situations is the sy rectilinear posthole test. _. 4) Based on the information resulting fro this investigation, additional testing can designed, if needed. This second phase of testing should be oriented toward obtainin reliable sample of the site area and in as sing the variation present within the depo Based on the results of this examination, be necessary, although unlikely, to perfor additional investigation, or to recommend fering mitigating procedures. 5) A report shall be prepared summarizing findings and discussing the interrelations the site materials and other sites found i region. 6) All work shall be extensively photodoc 7) Copies of notes, photographs, records final report shall be submitted to local d depositories. b. 1nd.ireet OP, and off-site impacts - a;ly OK foll.owing : 1) Limit access to sites by placing barri around the project area. E-8- 1 02 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3-1 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 e 0 28 2) ' Place fill over site areas. 3) Excavate the sites and achieve their iriformation potential. 28. Prior to the approval of any tentative sub( map adjoining Elm Avenue, Tamarack Avenue or Co: Boulevard an assessment of the potential noise impacts shall be made by an acoustical engineer engineer shall then prepare a report containing mendations on how to mitigate any identified no impacts. The design of an impacted subdivision consistent with these recommendations. 29. The site development plan for Villages E-1 and K shall include provisions for transit stop the satisfaction of the Planning Commission, 30, The maximum grade established for all bikes shall be 7%, or as approved by the City Enginee 31. The width and location of the open space CI shall- be as shown on the attached Exhibit C, da 9/27/78. A deviation of ten percent (+/- 10%) be allowed when determining said width and loca The minimum width allowed shall be 15 feet. Ad open space areas may occur within each village ment. 32. The sign program contained in the final Ma Plan shall reflect the following: a. The design motif of the four entrance shall utilize wood and indigenous rock as ; components. Also the entrance signs shall incorporated with walls erected for sound uation at the four entrances into the corn b. The permanent directional signs shall wood and indigenous rock as major componen c. Temporary directional signs for sales ' shall be governed solely by Chapter 21.41 Carlsbad Municipal Code. 33. Specific development plans shall be evalua accord with Municipal Ordinances in force at th when said plans are before the City Council for proval. Approval and construction of a part of development pursuant to this Master Plan shall any rights in the balancc of the Master Plan nc create any vested rights to the approval of my sequent dcvelopmznts. This condition is riot in to lessen those assurances identified in Sectio 21.38.010 (4) of the Carlsbad Municipal Code. E-9- I 1 e2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 * 26 * 2'1 28 34. All land and/or easements required by this Ordinance shall be granted to the City of Carlsk without cost to the City and free of all liens E encumbrances. 35. Approval of this plan does not constitute E guarantee that the availability of public facilj and services will necessarily coincide with the developer's timetable for construction. Availal: of public services will be evaluated in the con1 of subsequent, individual approvals. 36. A statement shall be included in the Mastel that there is no sewer service presently availal that all land uses approved in the Master Plan l subject to further City action as mdy be requirc such sewer allocation system as the City Counci. adopt. 37.. The applicant shall file written acknowledi that there is no sewer service available at thi time and that he is proceeding with this develo at his own risk and that the City makes no repr tation that he will be able to go forward with development or that sewer service will be avail for the property. 38. If the proposed satellite waste wate-r trea facility is subsequently approved to be located developed within the area of this Master Plan, applicant shall apply for a zone change from P- P-U for the land necessary for the sewer plant itself. If said zone change is then approved, staff shall administratively revise the Master to make it consistent with the approved zone ch The City may have to initiate a Master Plan lime if it is determined that items such as odor eas agriculture preservation, etc., are necessary f the development of such a facility. 39. If a satellite waste water treatment facil is subsequently approved to serve this area, dc water systems shall be installed in all resider villages - 40. The City shall submit a letter to the San County Eepartment of Transportation requesting authority to approve and maintain the improvemc of Tamarack Avenue between El Camino Real and 1 project site. . I // // ' E-10- 0 1 2 3 4. 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 a AYES : Commissioners Rombotis, Schick;, Larson, Marcus, and Jose NOES : None ABSENT: Commissioners Wrench, L’Heureux NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the Planning Commission of the city of Carlsbad that the above recitations are true and correct- INTRODUCED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED this 25th day of October, 1978 D / , ,/’- ,. &z e JEgY .ROMBOTIS , CHAI~Wd 1 CARLSBAD PLANNING COitU4ISSION 13 2 3 2 4 0 I25 26 27 MP-150 (A) Page 1 of 1 FORMAT FOR MASTER PLANS -w-=ZAT1oN - Master Plans shall be organized in six (6) sections, which shall contz the information required in Section 21.38.060 of the Ordinance, as fol I. Location - Legal Description - backyrognd - -1- . . Location Map & Legal Description (paragraph 1-A) History of previous actions, if any. 11- Environmental Constraints - a Topographical map with major features (paragraph 1-1). . Environmental mitigation measures from the plan's EIR shall be inmrporated in appropriate sections sf the Master Plan or found, per City COIX-JC~ 1 c tcj fie over-ridden 1:v e:~cj.~l./economic:tic considezai 111. Land Use - Development Standards e Environmental constraints as identified by EIR (para. 2-H). - Map identifying land uses & development standards by area (paragraph 1-E & 1-D), Description of land uses and development standards by area (paragraph 2-A, 2-C, 2-G) ~ = Grading concepts by area (paragraph 1-J) - 0 IV. Open Space & Maintenance . .I Map identifying open spaces by area (paragraph 1-C & 3) Description of open space treatment and maintenance by area (paragraph 2-E tc 3) V. Public Facilities & Phasing - d Map identifying the location and phasing of public and quasi- public facilities, streets and lines, and the phasing of development (paragraph I-E, 1-F, I-G and 1-H) . Descripti.on of public facilities (paragraph 2-D) . Description of the phasing of development (paragraph 2-F) VI. Community Sign Program - . Graphic and written standards (paragraph 4) FORMAT The master plan shall consist of (A) one (1) 24 x 36 inch mylar sheet each of the graphics described above and (B) a concise text using 8% x shcets hound in a three-ring or acco-press type binder. * E-12- - .___Il_----C-- ,_ (_,,,_____ -I.2..,__ "-,. _,_(__ I__r___ * _II____-__I_____.-- ------.-------------.-------- -. '--.. - . .- ---- -.-.-_ --a- ._--- ".. .-. u-17- - ! UP’ I.-*-., -__- -.____ -~. . p El. m STI\NDRRDT. SUHMARX 2L-Q niN. CROSS &?X .' fi NBS # DU'S s Nota mvelopmont 'W?2 Zoning 1 villsqo StanCVard ---- 10.0 --- c- 70.6 -, h (CUP) Elcmqntary school R-l' tpUD) S-ndnrd, domchd Sinqle 282 FadlY. - 2 ! 0. B ---- 29.4 Cluster& Nultiple-FJmilY 117 NN-Q 19.6 mH-Q ' ynrltipk-farnily. 198 138 C D. To-houSC Or 'flat ---.. 10.0 I I Conmrunity comercia1 --- 3,: C-2-Q CC" 10.0 04 [w) Park 37.5 I .- ET2 c-Lp-p community comercial . \ . E-1 (Transiticn Mea) 10.0 ---- --.- 2 l!M 75 P ! R-l (pUD) Clustered single Family 22.0 R-1-4 btandard, detached Single 33 -c- 27.0 R-1-b --c ? G n Family. standard, Betached Single ''2 Family. I 1.04 26.0 214 2X.4 I R-l (pUD) ~]~~y~~ed NG3tjp1e-fami-ly 260 J K NM-Q mx-Q Kel,l al spartrncIit!. t4uleiple 428 Family. To-house or flat MultiPle 243 FNilily. Elementary School 170 24.3 L -- c-- 10.0 0-s (CUP) park 55.3 5.0 _--- i *n (a?) --- ---- N clustered Single ~amily 221 66.0 R-1 (PUD) 154 _--- 0 x-l (pm) Clustered, attached P-1 Single-Fmily. ---e 69.0 01 R-1 smnaardp detached Single 276 P-2 Family. -e- 13.0 Clustered Multiple family 52 Fax4 63 -4 --- Q R-1 Standard, detached Single 253 i t R-1 Family - R-2 o-s (cup) park resematiol1 20.0 Junior High Schml 52.4 5.0 -c- --- ! --- --- c-- (CLN 210 Standard, detached Single Single Family Equestrian 18 Standard, detachcd Single 151 Family - Single Fmily Equestrian 59 gstates. 'i s R-1 FbmilY - ---- 18.6 ..--a 37 .a ---.. 29.0 --..- 23.0 T i i -! I ? 1 ! i V w R-1-1 Estates. . U R-1 ._ . R-1-5 R-l-,, ~ingle Fan\ilY Equestrian 23 EstateS- X ! EXIILBIT 1) 5.0 25. ---- 9/27 /-I 8 -d 0-s (CW) park c-- MP-150 (A) Y . . Single Family Estates R-l-'I --e- 37 I 11: page 1 of 2 : 2-1 SiNle FJmily Estates l7 sari DicqO GllB L Electric 2-2 R-1-5 ---- 20 t o-s tcuy) --* m.;rnont.. 2.-3 01 - e a1. TOTAL idon1 c'1 to t,lo c:o 1,1 tri,int.!, in Cirin ~a:ltcc rial'* r~" I~JD ~CCXOH~ may r,prcoonto tho mnxlmum nunbc of dwcllig'cl "nit' '*nl'cr *Thin numtur col,dlt~on3 ~,.l vith ccimi'l Innc'' tta, I,I,H tgtorit\orr\g inr uneloc t'1o C"IlC"~'t. OIedP t" )*I ,1H"lll<>\"'d uwl~*r ,rn vlllo~l,, co f)rc,vm tor clu:il~r~?~l ~wl~lrJ 'Fz- 1 5'-nver tho (!!kt. EXHIBIT D 9/27/78 MP-150 (A) NOTES Page 2 of 2 e 1. If Village A, M or S is not acquired by the Carlsbad Unifiec School District for school purposes within ten (10) years from t recordation of the subdivision map that includes that particulai village, the underlying zoning development standards for the vi1 shall change from 0-S (CUP) to R-1 (PUD). 2. Villages C, G, K, L and U have steep slopes and/or significi canyon areas that have not been included as open space. Specia: consideration shall be given to these areas at time of subdivis: review to protect the integrity of the adjoinj.ng open space are? 3. One acre of land within Village E-2 shall be reserved. for public faciiity use, If the City does not acquire all, or a paj of the area within ten (10) years from the recordatjon of the subdivision nap for the areap the area shall be a1.3.owc~d -Lo Cieve: privately I 4. If Village R-2 is not acquired by a public agency for park purposes .&.thin ten (10) years from the recordation of the sub- division map that includes the park area, the underlyi.ng zoning development standards fclr Village R-2 shall change from 0-S (CUI r) to R-1 (PIID) c 5. The intent of Village E-2 is to provide adequate area for "Cormnunity Commercial" development y If it is determined by the City that such additional area is necessary, Conditional Use Pexmits for residential develcpnent in Village E-2 will not he accepted by the City during a ten (io) year period following thc recordatioii of the subdivision map that includes Vil-1 age 1.3-2. e E-16- I ! 1 2, D or G ---- .G F 190/150 9 lo ac. ---- Tamrack to Elm (if total 500 units) 3. DorG ” ----- ---- ---- ----e --- --- 4. H 33 59 I 42 * ----- ---- ---- Q I e or E-1 or E-2. 420/ 117/0 (Special treat- ment of Elm if K or E-1 or E-2 = I. ac I--- --._- j.f E-2. 8. K or c or E-1 or E-2 . --- --__- .. 9. :: or C or E-1 ” or E-2. ----- -___ 10. K or C or E-1 “ or E-2 ----- ----- T. ” I 243 ---- -_-- ---- .. . 11. L 12. 0 & n 5 ac. 10 ac. ---- &N 221 EXHIBIT. .E 9/27/78 . ---- ---_- R- 2 253 5 RC. 20 ac. ---- 17- S 6 T 210 ---- 0 STATE OF CALIFORNIA 1 COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO 1 CITY OF CARLSBAD 1 ss I, JAMES C, HAGAMAN, Secretary to the Planning Commission of the City of Czrlsbad, California, do hereby certify that the foregoing resolution was duly introduced, approved and adopted by the Planning Commissj-on of the City of Carlsbad at a regular meeting of said Commission held on the 25th day of October, 1978 by the following roll call vote: AYES: Rornbotis, Schick, ?arcus, Jose, Larson NOES : None e ABSTAIN: L'Heureux, Wrench - ABSENT: None / / 4E.S C. HA 'L4hF Secretary RRLSBAD PLANi /NG COMYISSJOL\T P P a F-18- I- NcA OFFICIAL UNTII PLANNING CONMISSION MINUTES APPROVED AT SUBSEC September 27, 1978 MEETING OF CARLSBI PLANNING COMMISSIC a r, .a.l ,CITY OF CARLSBAD csge One (I.) I. CALL TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 7:OO P.M. by Chairman Rombol rr. ROLL CALL Commissioners present: Chairman Rombotis, Commissioners Larsoi Marcus, Schick, Jose, L'Heureux Commissioners absent: Commissioner Wrench Staff present: James C. Hagaman, Planning Director, Bud Plendt Assistant Planning Director, Don Rose, Associate Planner, Mike Zander, Associate Planner, Jere Riddle, Engineering I11 e AGENDA ITEM COMMUNICATIONS h memo from staff regarding Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan staSf report was included in the packet. IV, NEW PUBLIC HEARINGS - - A. ZC-200, Encina Sewage Treatment Plant -I u, Mr. Don Rose presented the staff report on the proposed zone change from R-1-10,000 to P-U (Public Utility) on property generally located on the west side of Interstate 5, between Poinsettia Lane and Palomar Airport Road. PUBLIC HEARING OPENED AND CLOSED AT 7:05 P.M., as there was no public testimony on this agenda item, A motion was made recommending approval of ZC-200 based upon the findings contained in the staff report dated September 27, d.0 APPROVED MOTION: L' Heureux AYES; Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose, L'Heure NOES : None . SECOND: Jose Due to the complexity of item B., Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan Amendment, MP-l50(A), this item was tabled until further on the agenda. v. NEW I3USXNESS A. - GPA-~~, Scwc3r Availability 4. Mr. - Bud Plcndcr prcsented the staff report indicating that the City Council lixd returned this item to the Planning Commission for recommendation as to revision of the wording of Section IV F-1 f-. c. -. September 27, 1978 Page Two (2) of the General Plan. A motion was made recommending the addition of' Subsection (6) , General Plan, Section IV(b), to read as follows: "(6) Sewer Availability. Due to the events largely beyond thc control of the City of Carlsbad, the City has no capacity righi in the Encina Sewage Treatment Plant available for new develop1 In effect, sewer facilities are not available for any deveI-opmt to be constructed within the City of Carlsbad. This unavailab is expected to continue for the forseeable future. As a resul of a lack of sewer facilities, the City Council has determined that it is necessary to condition further development of the C pursuant to this land use element on the provision of adequate sewer facilities, All. of the designated land uses contained in this element shall be inoperative until such time as the Ci Council determines that sewer facilities are available to serve the property, The availability of sewer service will be determined by the City Council in accordance with such a Sewer Allocation Plan as the City Council may adopt. developmental approvals shall not be exercised and new develop approvals shall not be given unless the proposed project quali under such a sewer allocation system.. Notwithstanding anything to the contrary in the general plan, developments may not occur in the City of Carlsbad regardless of the land use designation or other approvals which may-have been obtained unless the City Council gives its approval for s a Sewer Allocation Plan as the City Council may adopt." co Sewer Availability, to the Land Use Element of the Carlsbad Outstanding t.; * 'L" APPROVED MOTION: Jose SECOND: Larson AYES : Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose, L'IIeure NOES : None - VI. NEW PUBLIC HEARINGS (CONTINUED) B. MP-l50(A) r Lake Calavera Hills Commissioner L'Heureux stated that due to the fact that he has represented property owners in the general vicinity of Lake Ca Hills, he will abstain from discussion as well as voting in th Mr. Jim Haqaman, Planning Director, introduced the agenda iter as being the first of several Master Plans to be submitted for public hearing. He indicated that the siting of a satellite sewage treatment plant was not an issue at this public hearing and that topic would be discussed at a later date. He urged the Cornmission to T!IOT.~T," fr>r;:ard 2s quic!;lp cis :?or;siblc as Assembly Bill 884 r?as nc:ccss:-tatzd tl~ ~!xpi.Zition of ai~.. _- e g applications. Mr. Mike Zander presented the staff report, highlighting the I_ - main areas 03 discrepancy between the staff and the applicant. 'le a1so summarized the attachmc3nt-q. i e FTR dn? Fcnnnrn;m 4: - 4’ PL-?A”ING COMPIISSION MIN@-’S September 27, 1978 *L, Page Three (3) 42- Mr. Dale- Levander, of Palos Verdes Estates, presented the Econc +-L Impact Report for the Master Plan Amendment. Several question were raised pursuant to said report and Mr. Levander indicated that he would prepare and distribute a supplimental report. THE PUBLIC HEARING OPENED AT 9:50 P.M. Mr. Ed Hayworth, applicant, distributed information as to the major policy issues and the maintenance of open space, (see attached) He indicated that necessity for the amendment to the original Master Plan is in order to conform to recent changes in City policy and alsa to address specific land use issues, Mr- Roy Ward, applicant, indicated that although there may be differences of opinion between staff and applicants, that he trusts all work together in order to promote the welfare of the City of Carlsbad and its citizenry, DUE TO THE LATENESS OF T3E HOUR THE PUBLIC HEARING WAS CONTINUI TO WEDNESDAY, October 4, 1978, AT 7:OO P.M. IN THE CITY CQUNCII CKAbBERS - The complexity of this item was discussed and it was generally agreed that staff, applicants, and Commissioners will meet eacl Wednesday, at 7-00 P.M., to properly and thoroughly review and respond to the many complex issues contained in MP-l50(A). UD-’ VII. APPROVAL OF MINUTES OF SEPTEPIIIBER 13, 1978 .. A motion was made to approve the minutes of September 13, 1.979 as corrected. APPROVED 1 -- MOTION : Jose SECOND: Larson AYES 2 Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose ABSTAIN : L’Heuruex NOES : Nons VI11 .APPROVAL OF RESOLUTIONS A. Resolution No. 1469, Approving CUP-l18(A), Plaqee House APPROVED - j Ir MOTION: Jose SECOND r Larson AYES: . Rornbotisi Schick, Larxln, !hrccs, ;rose I --,e --, -_*x . NOES z None ABSTAIN : I,’ Heureux c; F- 3- c-. F,) -# 4"' PLANNING COMMISSION MINLk-,S September 27, 1978 Page Four (4) B. Resolution No. 1470, ZCA-100, Public Facility Uses Q. A motion was made APPROVING Resolution No. 1470 as submitt AP P KOVED MOTION: Jose SECOND: Schick NOES : None ABSTAIN: L'Heureux AYES : Rornbotis, Larson, Schick, Marcus, Jose C. Resolution No. 1471, ZC-199, Jerry Bryan A motion was made APPROVING Resolution No. 1471 as submitt APPROVED MOTION: Jose SECOND: Schick AYES : Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose NOES : None ABSTAIN: L'Heureux D. Resolution No. 1472, SDP-78-2, Jerry Bryan A motion was made APPROVING Resolution No. 1472 as submitt $6- 6 1- APPROVED MOTIOK: Schick SECOYD: Jose AYES: Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose NOES: None ABSTAIN: L'Heureux ..>. ', ~- IX. There being no further business Commissioner Jose moved to adjourn the meeting. The motion passed unanimously and the me€ adjourned at 10:30 P.M. F- 4 -- a c ms LllY us LtiKh3D3NU LYVL ULL ALAnu VLYILJ a PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES APPROVED AT SUBSE( October 4, 1978 MEETING OF CARLSBi Page One (1) PLANNING COMMISSI( { 'L 0 I. CALL TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 7:OO P,M. by Chairman Rombo 11. ROLL CALL, I Commissioners present: Chairman Rombotis, Corrimissicners Larso Marcus, Schick, Jose, L'Heureux Commissioners absent: Commissioner Wrench Staff present: James C. Hagaman, Planning Director; Bud Plend Assistant Planning Director; Mike Zander, Associate Planner; J Riddle, Engineering 111. CONTINUED PUBLIC HEARING MP-150 (A)/ Lake. Calavera Hills Commissioner L'Heureux will he abstaining from discussion and voting on this matter due to previous'representation of proper owners adjacent to the subject property. Mr. Mike Zander presented a brief summary of the discussions r lating to this project thus far. THE PUBLIC HEARING WAS OPENED AT 7:05 WITH NO PUBLIC TESTIMONY AT THIS TIME. A general discussion between the Planning Commissioners, staff and the applicant was had, wherein general. policy matters such as the economic impact, phasing and method of private maintena were discussed. A minute motion was made to Corward the Economic Impact Report new memo and the Proposition 13 supplenent prepared by Dale Levander to the City Council indicating that they satisfy the requirements of the Carlsbad City Code. - #- G. 0 APPROVED MOTION: Larson SECOND: Schick AYES: Rombotis, Larson, Schick, Marcus, Jose ABSTAIN: L' Meureux 6a \.L F-5- PLANNING COLWISSION MIPU'UTES October 4, 1978 Page Two (2) { A motion was made recommending phasing for this project as attached hereto. I outlined in Exhibit E of staff's report dated September 27, 19 APPROVED MOTION: Larson SECOND: Schick AYES : Rombotis, Schick, Larson, Marcus, Jose ABSTAIN: L'Heureux A minute motion was made designating an Open Space and Parks Maintenance District as defined by the applicant in order to provide for the maintenance of the open space areas pursuant to the Improvement Act of 1911, APPROVED MOTION: Schick SECOND: Larson AYES : Rombotis, Marcus, Larson, Schick ABSTAIN: L'Heureux, Jose Commissioner Jose stated for the record that his reason for abstention was not due to disagreement, but because he does not consider the 1911 Act as a proper vehicle for detcrminatio of the agency which is responsible for the maintenance and cos of Park and Open Space sites in this development. At this point the Commission decided to review each proposed condition on an individual basis, accepting input from staff, applicant and the general public. A- Village A & B (PUD-4)CT 76-12) shall be allowed to be pro per the condition of City Council Resolution #5145 and # with the following modification: 1, Conditions 4/12 and #13 of Resolution #5145 shall he i '-a satisfied by the payment of park in-lieu fees comput per City Ordinance #9190 for CT 76-12. (Commission found condition to be proper) B. Prior to the final processing of any villages, a final Ma Plan shall be prepared by the applicant to comply with tl- following conditions. Said plan shall be submitted to th Planning Director for review and approval, and applicant receive notice of Planning Director's determination withi 45 days of receipt of said final Master Plan. 1. Thc format of the final Master Plan sh;lll be cf-? 'Y and put into a more concise fer!? 2s sho~n in L.? attached Exhibit A, dated 9/27/78. 0 4 (the Commission recommended that the applicant also provj a 200 scale exhibit as an additional attachment) F-6- PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES . October 4, 1978 Page Three (3) 2. The "Map and Legal Description" graphic shall be at a scale of one inch equals four hundred feet and the "Open space areas" shall be removed from the graphic o c. 0 3, The "Land Use" qraphic shall be cha.nged as shown on Exhibit B, dated 9/27/78. (the Commission basically concurred with the provisions as outlined by staff, but chose to table any discussion as to the designation of Villages U and X as R-E at this time) 4. The "Open Space" graphic shall he c:hanqed as shown on Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78, (the Commission found this condition to be proper) 5. The "Public FaeLlities" graphic shall be changed to show the following: a, Reference to "waste water reclamation" and percolation area" shall be removed from the exhibit. r* 'C, be The width and cross-sections of the various streets shall be shown on this exhibit. c. The approximate location and size of the main water and sewer lines anticipated shall be shown on this exhibit. d. The approximate locatiors of the major storm drains shall be shown on this exhibit. e. The location of the one acre for public purposes such as the future fire station and possible branch library shall be shown on this exhibit, . (the Cornmission felt that condition f. was not appropriatc and should not be included) 6. The "Phasing" graphic shall be modified to reflect the various changes required elsewhere in'these conditions. 7. The "Topography and Grading" graphic shall be change( to show the following: , I, F-7- fg 0 w. rutuviiuyu LUL~U~~.L~~LUI\I MIL\IU IL~ October 4, 1978 Page Four (4) a. The “Open Space areas” shall be removed from th graphic. (Commission believes the Open Space areas shoul ce remain designated on the graphic) b. The areas of the property containing the rare a endangered plant species (Adolphia and Dichondr identified kn EIR-403 shall be indicated, c. Areas proposed for niajor grading shall be indic For those purposes of this condition, “major“ grading shall be defined as any created slope w a height: of 15 feet 01- greater or as determined by the City Engineer. (Commission found this revised condition to be prope 8. A listing of each village area as shown on Exhibit D 9/27/78, shall be provided clearly describing the development to occur in each. Mr, Fred Morey, La Costa Land Company, related his opinion tha Lake Calavera Hills is a relatively small Master Plan area and the applicank has exerted a great deal af detail in their planning work. He noted that the extent to which the applican has carried this precision boarders on a precise plan and furt indicated that the Commission should not expect the same degre of detail in any Master Plans submitted by La Costa Land Compa c,. (this item was tabled until other conditions have been discussed) 9. Development of Village K shall be limited to apartme Mr. Fred Morey, expressed concern with City policy being incl-u in conditions of a Master Plan and urged that any policy chang be instituted on a citywide basis and not in.individua1 master Code for a rental zone per see plans. He also noted that there is no provi-sion in the Zone (Commission found this condition to be improper) 10. Specific development plans shall be evaluated in acc with Municipal Ordinances in force at the time when plans are before the City Council for approval. A~F and construction of a part of the development pursua this Master Plan shall not vest any rights in the ba of the Kaster Plan nor create any vestcd righks to :: approval of zny su3;seque::t devclopmenks I .& t; (Commission found this condition to be proper) 77-Q- P LANN 1NG CUMMIS S ION MINUTES October 4, 1978 Page Five (5) 11. Approval of this plan does not constitute any guaran that the availability of public facilities and servi will necessarily coincide with the developer's timet for construction. Availability of public services h be evaluated in the context of subsequent, individuz approvals (Commission found this condition to be proper) a il: 12, No reimbursement by the City shall be provided for E required to be dedicated in the Master plan. (Commission instructed staff to c:Larify condition tc only apply to 20 acres of dedicated park area) 13, All streets within the development shall- comply wit:€ City standards or as required by the City Engineer. (Co,mission found this condition to be proper) 14, Special treatment shall be given to that portion of Elm Avenue that lies between Tamarack Avenue and Col Boulevard, Consideration shall include such things center medians, turning lanes at intersections, rest median openings, etc., as required by City Engineer. (Specific Right of Way and improvements to be incluc I< .r 0 .- 15, The developer of each residential or commercial' \r- development shall construct or contribute money for all traffic signals required by traffic generated Iq the development as required by City Engineer or by P ever traffic signal policy/ordiriance is in effect at the time of development. Mr, Fred Morey, La Costa Land Company, related the need for a City policy regarding traffic signals, as there is no policy i this time. He believes that payment for same should be obtaj.1 at the time of construction and all should contribute. The Commissi.on agreed that the City Council should be urged tc adopt a traffic signal policy. Due to the lateness of the hour it was decided to continue th: public hearing until Wednesday, October 11, 1978 at 7:OO P.M. and thereafter to Thursday, October 12, 1978 at 4:OO P.M. in 1 Council Chambers. IV. A motion adjourning the meeting carried unanimously and the meeting ndjourncd at 11:15 P.K. a F-9- 4 "#I". "I I *"AIL4 VI1 I iL *APPROVED AT SUBSEQ *MEETING OF THE CAR *PLANNING COMMISSIO ****************** CITY OF CARLSBAD OCTOBER 12, 1978 PLAN N I N G COiiiM I S S I ON MI NUT ES a CALL TU ORDER The meeting was called to order at 4:OO PM, by Chairman Rornbotis. ROLL CALL Commissioners' Present: Chairman Rombotis, Commissioners' Larson, MarcLis, Commissioner Absent: Commissioner L'Heureux Staff Present: James Hagaman, Planning Director; Bud Plender, Assistant Planning Director; Michael Zander, Associate Planner; Kent Whitson, Traffic Engineer; Frank h-lnen, Administrative Ass-istant to the City Manager. Schick, Jose, Wrench. CONTINUED PUBLIC HEARING: CASE NO. MP-SEiO(A) - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS, APPLICANT ROY WARD Mr. Michael Zander, Associate Planner, presented a brief summary of the dis- Chairman Rombotis, asked the Commission if he could take things out of order and start with agenda item III.D.2., methods of Private Maintenance as there was people there to speak on those items. The Comrrlission concurred and they began taking additional public testimony a 4:20 PH. The Commissioners first took a few minutes to review a mcmorandum from staff: dated October 12, 1978, regarding Methods for Improvement and Maintenance. Edward Hayworth, representing Lake Calavera Hills, asked for clarification o the memorandum. Mr. Frank Mannen, Administrative Assistant to the City Manager, discussed th City Council policy regarding the maintenance districts. He stated that the various methods of open spac? maintenance outlined in the applicant's memo (Rutan & Tucker) on the subject was accurate but had been prepared prior to the passage of Proposition 13. tie stated that there was some concern of whe or not the various methods of taxation for these maintenance districts would now be legal per the new requirements of ProposStion 13. He also stated tha no opinion had come from the City Attorney on this matter and that ultimate1 the courts ~,:ould have to decide the mttcr. Mr. Koy \.lard, Applicant, indicated to the Coinmission that he Prould 'liks t3 introduce Robert HardiTg, past president of the Homeowner's Association of St. Francis Ccurt a condominium project in Lomas Santa Fe in Solana Beach tc discuss the pros arid cons of a homeowners association. @ cussions relating to this project thus far. .. I_- 0 CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING CONMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 PAGE TWO (2-) Robert Harding, past president of the St. Francis Court, Homeowners Associat. 617 Camino de Clara, Solana Geach, Cay indicated that he had been the presidi for this association for 3 years. He outlined various problems with a home- money to enforce the CCeiR's properly. He suggested that an association wou7c have to involve 500 or more dwelling units to be viable. Roy Ward, Applicant, stated that he felt the 4 major issues on the open spact maintenance consideration included: Owners association such as owner apathy and not having enough people and/( 1. 2. Professional responsibility and CC&R enforcement. 3. Public or private 4. Liability Money to maintain and service. Commissioner Schick, restated that he felt the proposed 1911 Act, if found t be legal, would still provide the best vehicle for open space maintenance. Michael Zander, Associate PlannerS asked the commissioners' to clarify their actions regardirtg improvements and maintenance to these areas identified in the staff Rem0 dated October 12, 7978. The Commissioners' chose to trail th request until other matters on the agenda were completed. Michael Zander, Associate Planner, then moved on to agenda item III.D.l., re El Camino Real Circulation. Kent Whitson, City of Carlsbad Traffic Engineer, explained the future projec for traffic on El Camino Real Circulation and Elm and Tamarack and then open up his discussion for questions. Commissioner Schick questioned Mr. Whitson as to whether or not it would be advantage to have an overpass at Elm or Tamarack at El Camino Real. Kent Whitson, Traffic Engineer, in response to Commissioner Schick's questic indicated that it would not be an advantage. At this point the Commissioners 'stated that their concerns on this matter had been aleviated. Chairman Rombotis then went back to agenda item I11 .C., - Review of propose( conditions of approval. This review began at the meeting of 0ct.ober 4, 1971 wherein the first 15 conditions of the staff report dated September 29, 1971 were reviewed. Conditions 16. A stateincnt shall be i:,cluizC! jn t'iz i'251e7 Pian tit.,t ti-pre js i,: : Service presentfy avajlable ar,d that all land uses spproved in lilt. Master Plan are subject to further City action as may be required by such sewer allocation system as the City Council may adopt. .." -. @ CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 PAGE THREE (3) 17. The applicant shall file written acknowledgement that there is no sewer service available at this time and that he is proceeding with this development at his own risk and that the City makes no representation that he will be able to go forward with his development or that sewer service will be available for the property. If the proposed satellite waste water treatment facility is subsequent1 approved to be located and developed within the area of this Master Pla the applicant shall apply for a zone change from P-C to P-U for the land necessary for the sewer plant site .itself. If said zone change is then approved, City staff shall administratively revise the Master Plan to make it consistent with the approved zone change. The City may have to initiate a Master Plan Amendment if it is determined that items such as odor easements, agriculture preservations, etc., are necessary for t development of such a facility. (Commission found these conditions to be proper) 18. 19. One acre of land within new Village E-2 shall be offered for dedication to the City for public facility use. Said offer shall include a provis that if it is determined by the City that the site for public purposes not necessary, the area shall be allowed to develop privately. The proposal to formulate a public maintenance district for the private open space areas is denied and the applicant, in conjunction with the first development, shall establish a master homeowner’s association for the purpose of maintaining all private open space areas and other facilities to be commonly owned by the community. (Commission tabled final decision on these two (2) conditions until 21. The phasing schedule, attached as Exhibit E, dated 9/27/78, shall be included in the Master Plan. Development of the various villages and corresponding provision for the various public facilities shall occur incrementally as shown (i.ec5 #1 before $2, #2 before $3, etc.). Howev if provision is made for all of the public facilities ’listed under eack phase (i.e., full improvement of Elm and Tamarack, plus dedication of 10 acre park site, plus reservation of 10 acre school site with Phase I etc.), the various villages within that phase shall be allowed to devel randomly. review shall be each individual village. (Commission found this condition to be proper) The maximum cut or fill slops allo!.ied within the deve!opnmt sb!? !,2 2:l and no balz:i:j?;g or rnovt.i;,int of dirt shall bz zl~ztlcd O52t’,c:-, villages separated by ofit? of the riiajor streets once that strcct I,~IS ..bL improved. (Commission felt that this condition should be reworded as follows) -_ 20. 0 a later date) The minimum increment of future development (subdivision) 22. e - _- CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 0 PAGE FUUR (4) The maximum cut or fill slopes allowed within the development shall be 2:l or as approved by the City Engineer and no balancing or movement of dirt shall be allowed to cross one of the major streets once that street has been improved. Discussion of the proposed "Architectural Advisory and Control Comrni ttee shall indicate that this committee's responsibility shall only be those that are more restrictive than the minimum standards allowed by the City The text should also indicate that this committee's approval shall be required on a11 bu!lding plans prSor to revjew by the City. The CCIR'S for this blaster Plm shall be set up so no amendments to them shall occur without City approval and the City shall have the authority to enforce the CC&R's. (Commission felt that this condition should be split into two parts, 23. Lz one deal i ng with -the Architectural Advisory Committee and one deal i ng with CC&R's. They then found the first part of the condition dealing with the Architectural Advisory Committee to be proper and asked staff to review the second part of the condition dealing with the CC&R' s 24. The text of the final Master Plan shall contain specific provisions for recreational vehicle storage on the property. A minirnum of two--acres it Village E-l or E-2 shall be provided for RV storage and shall be dev- eloped per the requirements of Section 21.45.120(6) of the Carlsbad (Commission found this condition to be proper} with the City Attorney). e Municipal Code, k 25. The maximum grade established for all bikeways shall be 7%. (Commission felt that this condition should also state "or The width and location of the open space corridors'shall be as shown on the "Landscape Open Area Plan", attached as Exhibit C, dated 9/27/71 ..A deviation of ten percent (10%) shall be allowed when determining said ~ width and location. as approved by the City Engineer"). 26. (Cornrnission felt that this condition should be clarified to state a plus or minus deviation would be allowed, that the condition does not preclude additional open space than that shown, and that the minimum width of the identified open space corridors would be 15'). The sign program contained -tn the firal Master Plan shall reflect the foi'lowiny: a) 27. The design motif of the four entrance signs shall utilize wcirici a:,? indigenous rock as major components. 0 F-13- CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MI NVTU e OCTOBER 12, 1978 PAGE FIVE (5) Also, the entrance signs shall be incorporated with walls erected for sound attenuation at the four entrances into the community. b) The permanent directional signs shall utilize wood and indigenous rock as major components. The styling and location criteria used shall be similar to the directional sign program utlized in Lomas Santa Fe and La Costa. Temporary directional signs for sales programs shall be governed solely by Chapter 21.41 of the Carlsbad Municipal Code. c) (Commission felt that the second sentence under sub-item (b) should be Church sites within the Master Plan area shall be limited to Villages D, E-l, E-2 and 1 or K and shall have access to one of the three arteria (Commission concurred with staff and appl i cant that this condition was deleted and concurred with the condition as revised.) 28. confusing and shoul d either be re-wri tten or deleted) , @ 29. The design criteria for grading and slope design contained on pages 14, 15, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63 and 64 of the draft-Master Plan shall be incorporated into the final Master Plan document as standards unless otherwise amended by the Planning Director. The design criteria for noise attenuation contained on pages 82-86 of the Master Plan shall be incorporated into the final Master Plan document as standards unless otherwise amended by the Planning Director (Comniission found these conditions to be proper) Prior to City approval of Villages E-2, K or L, the applicant shall submit a program to provide low income housing and housing for the elderly to the satisfaction of the City. 30. 31. - {Commission found that this condition should be deleted until the City adopts a city-w-ide program for low/moderate income housing). 32. The final Master Plan shall contain villages proposed by the applicant for equestrian estates to the satisfaction of the Planning Director. Design criteria for the proposed bike paths and equestrian pedestrian trails shall bz included in the final Master Plan document to the satisfaction of the Pianning Pirector. Said criteria shall be such as to encourage the everday iusc of the t1-r and paths as an alternative mode of transportation. The criteria shal also provide fcr- bicycle racks and related facilities in the commercii center, parks, and similar areas to encourage the use of that transpor mode. development standards for those 33. e CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 0 PAGE SIX (6) 34, Provision for the rough grading and interim landsicaping of the various park sites (Villages F, N, R-2 and Y) at time of ,adjoining development shall be included in the final Master Plan document to the satisfaction of the P1 anni ng Director. (Commission tabled this condition until a later date) Prior to the issuance of grading permits for the various villages, provisions, to the satisfaction of the City Engineer, shall be made for the fol 1 owing : a: 35. Regulation of the use, storage and disposal of all fuelss oils, petroleum and chemical products used on the construction site. Site specific soils investigations With recomrncndations for control of potential problems as a result of expansive soils. Limitation of grading to the minimum area necessary to install streets and prepare construction pads, Avoidance of clearing operations in advance of grading. Coordination of grading activities with the local precipitation pattern r Construction of drainage faci 1 i ti es concurrently with grading activities. Watering and rolling of the final surface to form a hardened, compacted cap of soil which will minimize dust and erosion due to surface runoff o h. Grading of surfaces so as to direct runoff toward planned drainage and, if possible, away from cut and fill slopes. 1, Planting and maintenance of ground cover suitable for slope erosio control immediately following, Phasing of grading activities over the life of the project to provide a transition of habitat. Limitation of grading operations in the project area to normal daytime working hours. b. c. d. e. 0 f. g. j. k. 36. Prior to the issuance of building permits for the various villages, provisions, to tk saiisfactioc of ti12 Planning Directat-, shall br. a. Installation of flow restrictors in all basic fixtures. 0 made for the fo1l;vin~: CITY OF CARLSBAD P L ANN I NG COMM I S S I ON 11 I NUTES . CICTOBPR 12, 1478 @ PAGE SEVEN ~ (7) . b. Use of "mini-flush" toilets. c. d. Landscaping using drought-resistant trees and plants. Installation of drip irrigation systems using tensiometers or other acceptable sys tems. Architectural design which reduces or treats window and door openin and takes advantage of winter sun and summer shade. e. f. Insulation for all structures according la state standards, g. Solar heating for both space and water heating; or if not tech- nologically feasible at the time of construction, 'stub-outs' for u7 timate conversion to solar heating . h. Landscaping using deciduous trees (to shade in summer and allow sunlight in winter) and windbreaks. Retention of natural vegetation in the open space areas wherever poss i b? e. i. _I @ j. Retention of existing eucalyptus trees wherever possible. -.' k. Retention of as much Adolphia and Dichondra as possible within the various open space areas. (Coinmission found these conditions to be proper) 37. Prior to the issuance of any grading permits, provisions For protectior of significant archaeological resources on the property shall be complc to the satisfaction of the Planning Director as follows; a. Direct on-site impacts: Prepare a surface map of the artifacts and associated ecologicij information. Excavate a test sample of the area to determine the nature and extent of any subsurface component. been proven successful in similar situations is the systematic reti 1 i near posthol e test. Based on the information resulting from this investigation, additional testing can be designed, if ncded. This second ph; ~f testing should be ~r?c~i??,:i t &rd cbt3jriir:g a rc!iaii of the site area a~d it: z,:;:;pss; the deposit. Eased on ttiii results of tiiir; examination, it may be necessary, a1 though unlikely, to perform additional inves- 1) 2) One such test which has 3) I. t)\c ~j~~j;-c~la:~ prp=c!:t '*,-: 0 tigation, or to reconiinend differing mitigating procedures. F-16- CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 0 PAGE EIGHT (8) 4) A report should be prepared summarizing findings and dis- cussing the interrelationshjps of the site materials and other sites found in the region. A1 1 work should be extensively photodocunented. Copies of notes, photographs, records and the final report should be submitted to local data depositories. All work should he performed by a qualified Archaeologist in conjunction with the latest acceptable scientific procedwes. 5) 6) 7) b) Indirect on and off-site impacts - any of the following: 1) 2) Place fill over site areas. 3) Excavate the sites and achieve their information potential. (Commission felt that sub-item (a)(7) should be placed as the first condition under (a) and concurred with this condition as reordered a Limit access to sites by placing barriers around the project ar 38. Prior to the approval of any tentative subdivisfon map adjoining Elm Avenue, Tamarack Avenue or College Boulevard an assessment of the potential noise impacts shall be made by an acoustical engineer. The engineer shall ten prepare a report containing recommendations on how to mitigate any identified noise impacts. The design of an impacted subdivision shall be consistent with these recommendations. provisions for transit stops to the satisfaction of the Planning Direcl (Commission found these conditions to be proper) m 39. The site development plan for Villages E-1, E-2, and K shall include . Roy Ward, Applicant, asked the Commission to add the following two (2) new conditions: 40. The City shall seek the authority to approve and maintain the improveme of Tamarack Avenue betrueen El Camino Real and the project site. 41. Dual water systems shall be installed. Michael Zander, Associate Planner, stated that conditions 3L,8, 19, c0nditio:is b;lcicslly ccni;ei*cd arounq t.!-je issues of ~i ~:intc?d~c? ti oninended slope b1 ikt area formula wikh th~ exccptiun of curdjxiorl which dealt with land being provided for public fsc-i iity uses. suggested that the land be offered for dedication to the City and the applic felt the land should only be set aside for a period of time and made availat 20 and 34 had been held over for further discussion. He exnlained that the! @ Staff i1;s F-17- CITY OF CARLSBAD PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 12, 1978 @ PAGE NINE (9) to the City if they wished or needed to purchase it for public facility uses After further discussion the Commission moved to only require a reservation of the land. They stated that this would he as far as they were willing to reword condition no. 19 accordingly, Due to the lateness of the hour it was decided to continue this public hcari to Thursday, October 19, 1978, at 4:OO PM in the City Council Chambers. THE MEETING ADJOURNED AT 7r00 Pf4 go without further guidance from the City Council. Staff was directed to /ar .I e - F-18- 0 NOT OFFICIAL U CITY OF CARLSBAD APPROVED AT SU PLANNING COP'JI I SSION fI1INUTES MEETING OF THE OCTOBER 19, 1978 . PLANNING COMMI CALL TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 4:OO PPI, by Chairman Rombotis ROLL CALL Commissioners Present: Chairman Rombotis, Commissioners: Larson, Marcus, 0 Schick, Jose. Commissioners Absent: L'Heut-eux, 'rlrench Staff Present: James Hagaman, Planning Director; Bud Plender, Assistant Planning Director, Michael Zander, Associate Planner, Jere Riddle, Principle Civil Engineer. - CON1 IIWED PUBLIC HEARlNG: CASE NO: MP-150(A) - LAKE CALAVERA HILLS, APPLICANT: ROY WARD ---___- Mr. Michael Zander, Asswiate Planner, presented a brief summary of the discussions relating to this project thus far. the revised conditions of approval as presented in staff's memorandum dated October 13, 1978. Roy blard, 3@88 Pi0 Pico, Applicant, indicated to the Commission that he had spent' a considerable amount of time working with staff on this matter and was in basic concurrence with conditions 1-35 but would like to suggest additional verbage to some of the conditions. Mr. Ward indicated that condition no. 8 related to one of the disclaimer statements by the City which he agreed with bEt would like to add a referenc to Section 21.38.010(4) of the Planned Community Ordinance. stated was t1ia.t this section states that the !laster Plan was intended "to provide some assurance to the developer- that later development will be accept,able to the City." He then solicited cornrnents o * The reason he Chairman Jerry Rornbotis asked the Cornmission if they had any questions or objections to this add<d verbage to condition no. 8. Michael Zander, Associate Planner, Read Section 21.38.010(4) , Intent and Pu to the Comission. tle then read Section 21.35.130(b) and gave his concerns regarding assurances and vested rights and the differences between thesetwc sections as they pertained to Condition No. 8. The Commission concurrc:! xi 11; th? aci-!:d ~zri--' .121 = A tn Ccndi Lip- :!oq ?- 0 F-19 PLANNING COMMISSION MI WTES OCTOBER' 19, 1978 PAGE TWO (2) 1) Mr. Roy Ward then expressed concern over condition no. 17 as worded. He fel that if thetiming started when a subdivision nap was finaled, the timing could stretch out for a long long time. the 10 year period to begin with the approval of the Master Plan. The Corrsnission felt this condition was proper as written. Mr. Rojt b!ard then expressed concern over paragraph 6 of Exhibit D. 10 years was arbitrary and he wished to retain the right to submit plans and work with the City in the planning of this area. The Comlnission felt that this condition should be reworded to read as follow "The intent of Village E-2 is to provide adequate area for "Community Commer development, If it is determined by the City that such additional area is necessary, Conditional Uce Perm-its for residcntial clevelqjiiient *h V.il lage E-2 will not be accepted by the City during a ten (10) year period following the recordation of the subdivision map that includes Village E-2." Michael Zander, Associate Planner, then moved on to agenda item I1I.C. to complete the review of the proposed conditions of approval. Staff explained condition no. 25 and its relationship to condition ..no. 36, suggested that my zone or any note that referenced slope to lot area ratio be deleted and modifications De made to pages 14 and 15 of the Master Plan a provided in Condition KO. 25. He indicated that note 3 should be deleted fr Exhibit D and Exhibit B and D be modified to show V-il'lage U as R-1-1 and Vi1 as R-I-%. "waste water reclamation" and "percolatic area" should have been deleted from Exhibit B, The Commission concurred with these changes. Condi tians 39. He indicated that he would prefer He felt Also, the reference to The CC&R's for this Master Plan shall be set up so,no amendments to thc shall occur without City approval and the City shall have the authoritj to enforce the CC&R's. Michakl Zander, Associate PlannerS stated that the Planning Director had di: cussed this condition with the City Attorney and that he felt it was proper but felt that if there was a need for clarification regarding the enforcemer of CC&R'S that it could be expanded to state that this does not force the city to enforce all or any of the CC&R'S. It simply iiieans that if the City Council makes a determination that it is necessary to protect the public interest, the City could selectively enforce the CC&R's. ;*c tj.i71s, staiyd 1,3;t +b'-js L $4 c c a siuijj.f<C;:rlt py-0b-i the City Attorncy to cl ari fy th.i s condi ti on. The Coinmission concurred that clarification should be added. PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES OCTOBER 19, 1978 * PAGE THREE J3) Michael Zander, Associate Planner, then reviewed conditions no. 37 and 38 and asked the Commission to clarify their action regarding maintenance in relatio ship to the memorandum dated October 12, 1978, Methods for Improvement and Mai tenance. Jerry Rombotis, Chairman, stated to the Commission that their action regarding maintenance related to the minute motion of October 'I, 1978. - Michael Zander, Associate Planner, asked the Commission to identify their desired method of improvement & maintenance for public parks, private parks, resulted in the following recommendations: Public Parks Improvements within the public parks (Villages F, N and Y) would be provicictl as a developer requirement per item C.on page 3 of staff's memorandum dated October 12, 1978. Maintenance would be provided by the City. Roy Ward, Applicant, supported thl's proposal bLit asked that the denotation of a "park plan" be changed to "park improvement plan". The Comission concurred with this change. Private Parks Private parks would be improved as a requirement of the developer of each homeowner ' s associ ati on e Public Open Space Improvements to the public open space identified on Exhibit C, dated 9/27/78 would be provided as a developer requirement per the schedule outlined on Exhibit E, dated 9/27/78. Maintenance would be provided by a maintenance d-istrict forined mder the 1911 Act (proposed by the applicant). - Private Open Space Improvements to the private open space identified on Exhibit C, dated 9/27/; woyld be provided as a developer requirement per the schedule outlined on Exhibit E, dated 9/27/78. requirement of the developer of each village containing such open space. Maintenance of the private open space shown on Exhibit C would be provided t a maintenance district formed under the 1911 Act. The maintenance of all other private open space ~ould be provided by a hcmeowner's association. public open space, private open space and common areas. Further discussion - .. 0 < Village inC1Uditig such a facility, Maintenance would be provided by a Other private open space would be improved as a m F-21- PLANNING COMMI SS I ON MINUTES OCTOBER 19, 1978 0 PAGE FoUR (4) Common Areas Common areas would be improved as a requirement of the developer of each village including such comon areas. homeowner's association. Michael Zander, Associate Plznner, at this point, indicated that, unless any of the Cornjissioners had additional concerns, all matters previously idPntifie by the Commission, applicant or staff had been addressed and resolved. Whereas no further concerns were identified by the Comniissioners and no additional public testimony was offered, the chairman closed the public hearing at 6:25 P.M. Michael Zander, Associate -- Planner, asked that the Planning Commission, in their reconmendation to the City Council 9 include a statement that they have considered many different a1 ternatives to the various matters involved with this project and, if the Ccuncil chooses a different alternative than that recommended by the Comission, the Council need not return the project to the Planning Commission for further report. After discuss.ion, the Planning Con;!nission, recognizing the cime constraints invo7ved with this project, concurred with staff's request and unanimously approved a minute motion to formrd this understanding to the City Council. A motion was made to recommend approval of MP-l50(A) to the City Council based on the findings outlined on page 40 of the staff report dated September 27, 1978, and subject to the conditions as represented in the staff report dated October 13, 1978, with modification to conditions 8, 17, 37, 38 and 39. APP ROVED MOTION : Commissioner Larson SECOND: Corilm i s s i oner S c h i c k AYES : Commissioner Rombotis, Larson, Schick, Marcus? Jose. ABSENT : Commissioner Ilrench, L'Heureux - Michael Zander, Associate Planner, stated that staff would attempt to bring the resollrtion back to the Planning Commission at their next regular meeting on Octcber 25, 1978, to have the Commission review the wording on those conditions modified at this meting. Maintenance would be provided by a e THE NEETING ADJOURNED AT 6:35 P.M. 0 /ar F-22- . CITY OF CARTASBAD NOT OFFICIAL UNTIL PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES APPROVED AT SUBSEQUENT ctober 25, 1978 MEETING OF CARLSBAD ye One (1) . PLANNING COMMISSION Q I. CALL TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 7:OO P.M. by Chairman Rombot 11. ROLL CALL Commissioners present: Chairman Rombotis, Commissioners Larson Marcus, Schick, Jose, L9Heureux, Wrench Staff present: James Co Hagaman, Planning DIirector; Don Rose, Current Planning; Jere Riddle, Engineering; Hike Zander, Associ Planner 111. AGENDA ITEM COlYifiIUNICATIOXS - Mr. Rose related that staff wished to add Resolution Number 1481, Lake Calavera Hills Master Plan Amendment to the bottom of the agenda. Mr., _I Rose further indicated that item A. CUP-156, Friends of thc Handiczpped, under New Business should be disposed of due to the fact that recent legislation prohibited the City from requiring a conditional use permit for residential care facilil of six persons or less. Due to the fact that several citizens had arrived €or the publ. hearing Chairman Rombotis announced that there would be no nee for a public hearing and they may not wish to remain for the entire meeting. Xc further indicated that due to the fact tha there seemed to be considerable confusion over the subject property and its use that those interested citizens contact the Planning Department for further information, A motion was made to file CUP--155 due to the fact that recent: State legislation has reduced local jurisdicions from requirir a conditional use permit in such cases. 0 AP P ROVED MOTION : Jose SECOND : L ' Ileuruex AYES: Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES : None _I_P Jose, Larson A minute motion was made directing staff to follow-up on the purported zone code violat; oii in the CGT~VC~S~QI-I of thz < r: '.I 1 0 into expanclcci living sp;;3zc. F- 2 3- PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES . October 25, 1978 P e two (2) APPROVED MOTION: Wrench SECOND: Schick AYES : Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES : None Q Jose, Larson IV. NEW PUBLIC HEARINGS A. PUD-11, R.E. Wilkinson Mr, Don Rose presented the staff report for this planned unit development for four units on property of approximately 2.22 acres. Commj-ssioner --_ Jose ques%ioned as to whether or not the school letter had been obtained. Staff responded that there was not a copy in the file but that they would secure a duplicate copy in that the applicant indica' they had, in fact, obtained said letter, A general. discussion between the Commission and staff was had regarding grading, land fill, slopes, cutsr open spacer water, sewer, etc. A major point of concern was in the exact ownershi of that strip of road just off El Camino Real, referred to by staff as the frontage road. THE PUBLIC HEARING OPENED AT 7 z 40 P .Me Speaking in favor: Bob Wilkinson, 13027 Caminito Del Kosio, Del. MPZ, the appI;.cani indicatedthat the school letter had been obtained and all applicable bonds posted. He indicated his agreement with the CC & Rs as indicated in staff's report. Speaking in opposition: Larry Byers, 3821 El Camino Real, related his understanding th the property referred to as the frontage rcad had reverted to the property owners when El Camino Real was improved. He furt indicated that there is no maintenance on the road. H. Merriot, 3851 El Camino Rea1,indicated that he was for the proposed project, as it will enhance the value of his own home hut wondered where the water line will be broucrht from. He all asked about access to his home in the event the frontage ror:c? @ * torn up. Staff indicated that the water line would be brought. from Ches along the El Camino Real right-of-way and that the installatic said watcr lines will be done with a minimum of inconvenience homeowners along that frontage. PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES October 25, 1978 Page three (3) Mr. Merriot then asked about curbs and gutters, as to whether or not they will be installed and if he will be incumbered upon for the cost of same. Staff indicated that there may be a possibility of an asphalt berm to necessitate proper drainage, but that there are no curbsl gutters or sidewalks indicated at this time. Mr. E. Anderson, 3814 Skyline Road, questioned as to the exact elevations of the two uppermost homes indicated on the plans, ani asked if they will, in any wayP obstruct his view. Mr. Wilkinson, the applicant, indicated that the plans indicate two-story homes on those sites which should not ran more than 25 high, with 2,000 square feet. Mr. Ken Huelsman, - 3812 Skyline, related the same concern I-egardi the height of the homes and asked if the plans were firin. THE PUBLIC HEARING CLOSED AT 8:lO P.M. Cornrnissiancr Larson, indicated that a main problem lies with thc exact ownership of that frontage road to El Camino Real- in that if an easement can't be gained onto the access road indicated ir the plans, the plans will be considerably affected. A motion was made recommending approval of PUD-11 based on the findings, and subject to the conditions as contained in the Sta: report dated October 25, 1978 and pursuant tc the following: 1. The school letter will become a part of this application. 2. Exact ownership of the frontage road of El Camino Real sha: 3. Determine the exact location of the water source.within thl e e .- be determined. water easement along the north property line. The Commission's motion added the following two conditions to t conditions of approval: 15. Any work in the limits of the frontaye raod shall be condu ' in such a manner that continued access to the two homes us said road will be assured. 16. The indicated pad elevations of Exhibit B, d.ated 10/25/78 shall be complied with within a tolerance of +6 inches and -2 feet. APPROVED bIOTION : Jose SECOTJD : Larson AYES : Rornbotis , L ' IIeureux , Schick, Plrcnch, Jose, :!:I ::::, Lar son NOES : None 1--- e F-25- PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES October 25, 1978 .Page four (4) 0 V. NEW BUSINESS A. CUP-l18(A), Magee House Appeal Mr. Don Rose presented the staff report. Commissioner Larson questioned the parking at St. Michaels. Staff responded that a letter has been recieved from the pastor of St. Michaels indicating their willingness to allow parking on their lot; said permission is revokable at any time. Commissioner L’fieureux asked how long it should be before the fi compliance with all the conditions imposed. ~- Staff noted that subject improvements to Magee House have been included in next year’s budget, although Lt may be a low priorif item. James C. Haqaman, Planning Director, indicated that the Council intent was to complete the project. He suggested that the Corn may wish to indicate to Council their opinion that a definite t frame should be imposed within which the project shoulcl be comp Commissioner Jose noted concern of the Planning Commission ill maintaining a srtaiglzt line on all CUPS, The City should abide the same rules as it expects of other applicants. If an applic is required to follow certain criteria the City should be held those same guidelines, It was again suggested that the xistori Society carry their appeal to the City Ccuncil for approval of limited use subject to a definite commitment by the City Couiici on a timetable for completion. A motion was made recommending final CUP approval subject to confirmation by the City Council of a definite commitment to in; all necessary improvements completely complete prior to June 31 1979. @ APPROVED . 1IOTION: Wrench - SECOND: Schick AYES : LIHeureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, Jose, Larson NOES : Rombotis Commissioner E’Ileureux indicated for the record that he was op to the appnrant double standard between the City and private I He suggested that the City Council be posed the question as tc iinposition of a dual standard 2s a matter of policy. A minute motion was maze rcqucsting a pz’3i.c:; s+zii.tc m. -_ the implied dual standards for public and private Levclo;:. .I;~, expressing disapproval of same. PLANNING COMMISSION MINUTES October 25, 1978 '"0 five (5) APPROVED MOTION: L'Heuruex SECOND: Jose AYES : Rombotis, L'Heuruex, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES: Jose, Larson None VII. APPROVAL OF MINTUES A. A motion was made approving the minutes of October 4, 1978 as read. APP IiOVE D MOTION: Jose SECOND: Larson AYES: Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, -__- JoseF Larson NOES: None B. A mation was made approving the minutes of October 11, 1978 as read. APPROVED MOTION: Jose .. SECOND: L'Heureux AYES s NOES : None e Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, Jose Larson VIII. APPROVAL OF RESOLUTIOIJS A. A motion was made approving Resolution No. as read, APPROVED NOTION: Jose SECOND: Schick AYES : Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES : None A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1475, ZCA-101, PUD Expiration, as read. APPROVED MOTION : Jose SIXOND: Itarson $?YES : Ror,bQtis I Zf :;ev-r?lbTx, Schick, bJren,"-*! I I\'n:-c::?s : NOES : None 1474, V-284, Stai Jose, Larson B. Jose, Larson a F-27- PLANNING COMXISSION MINUTES October 25, 1978 Page six (6) 1) C. A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1476, V-285, Cra as read. APPROVED MOTION: Jose SECOND: Schick AYES: Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, -- Jose, Larson D. A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1477, V-286, Pahl, as read. APPROVED MOTION : Jose SECOND: Schick AYES: L'Heureux' Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES: None ABSTAIN: Rombotis Chairman Rombotis indicated that the reason for his abstent was due to the fact that he had been approached regarding t subjeck property after the last Planning Commission ~. action. E. A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1478, SP-175(A), Alta Mira #4,- as read. AP P ROVE D MOTION: Jose AYES: Roinhotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Larson, Jose, Marcu: NOES: None JoseB Larson e SECOND: Schick Wrench F. A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1479,CUP-157, Shell Oil, as read. APPROVED MOTION : Jose SECOND: Larson AYES : Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Wrench, Marcus, NOES : None Jose, Larson G. A motion was made approving Resolution No. 1480, PCF-15, Priestly Lincoln F!2rcur>lI as corrccted. APPROVED ---_--- MOTION: Larson SECOND: Schick AYES: Rombotis, L'Heureux, Schick, Larson NOES : None ABSTAIN: Wrench, Narcus, Jose 0 PLANNING COr/lPIISSION l4INUTES .October 25, 1978 Page seven (7) H. Resolution No. 1481, ME' 150(A), Lake Calavera Hills W Chairman Rombotis expressed concern over the wording of finding #2. A motion was nade approving Resolution No. 1481, MP 150(A) Lake Calavera Hills, as corrected, with finding 82 amended to read as follows: 2, "Although all necessary public facilities may not be available at this time, their ava-ilability, concurren with need, has been assured through the conditions of approval and adequate provisions have heen provided to implement those portions of the Capital Improvemen Program applicable to the subject property." APPROVED MOTION : Jose SECOND: Larson AYES: Rombotis, Schick, Marcus, Jose, Larson NOES: None ABSTAIN: L'Heureux, Wrench -- . There being no further business, the meeting adjourned at .. 9:35 i)" ms * F-29-