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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1994-10-18; City Council; 12910; REGIONAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION ON DRAFT SERIES 8 FORECASTS AND DRAFT LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT' AB # J&jCi/D TITLE. MTGrn- DEpT. &e PLN +GIONAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION ON DRAFT SERIES 8 FORECASTS AND DRAFT LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT DE CI CI * 2 s 0 a k (d 3 N 0 w 0 2 $ 5 z h .d a) 5 w d ad - Un om E: 2 2 ha a rn I o 0, . z O c, z 2 2 g *rl u a =la dm o v) - 3 2 G z $ p10 - *d -4 d G ?I ?I "u Z o 5 a 2 0 z 3 0 0 2 u u c, U m$4 -;rw u -0 ' ' (dm 44 UC) WY OF CARLSBAB - AGWDA BILL RECOMMENDED ACTION: REVIEW AND COMMENT upon a) the Interim and Long Term Series 8 Forecasts, and b) the Draft Land Use b:str;butAon Element via a c SANDAG staff presentation, and ADOPT Resolution NO. 9 4- a97 directing the City Manager to forward to SANDAG the Council's COI ITEM EXPLANATION The Board of the San Diego Association of Governments (SMDI requested each member agency to review and comment upon two inter items: a) the draft Interim and Long Term Series 8 Growth Forecas b) the Draft Land Use Distribution Element. The two items are pa larger number of interrelated plans and strategies which collel constitute the continually evolving Regional Growth Management St Following receipt of individual member agency comments, the SAND1 is planning to hold a major public workshop on November 18 to further these items and the member agencies' comments. In part the discussionwill focus upon several critical issues (bothprob: possible solutions) facing the region. Aletter from SANDAGto t Manager dated August 3, 1994, is attached as Exhibit 4 and c SANDAG's report on the two items. The issues raised by the items are both highly important and c In their most simple form, the draft Series 8 Forecast is predict: the region is approaching limits on its ability to absorb futurc because of limits on the availability of land for new housi predicts the region will run out of urban density residential le before the 20 year horizon of the forecast. The suggested solr to increase the residential capacity of land within the region, draft Land Use Distribution Element proposes tactics and stratc do so. These tactics and strategies are also offered as respc traffic, air quality, energy consumption and other, major econc quality-of-life issues facing the region. If implemented as recommended, the tactics and strategies being E would affect each city within the region in different ways. Fc the effects would be small. For others, there could be major 6 Depending upon how they are implemented, the tactics and strategi have significant implications for the dwelling unit limita City's future land use patterns. What is most-desired by thc Board is to determine through the member agencies' comments wheth proposed solutions are locally feasible, or, if not, whether the 1 identified by the forecasts need to be addressed in other ways. A as Exhibit 2 is a list of initial staff comments on the two id In order that they may provide the most meaningful comments on items, the City Council members should consider the items wi- context of the entire Regional Growth Management Strategy. To t staff members of the City and SANDAG will jointly make a pres for the City Council dealing with a number of related topics include a review of the overall direction and purpose of the Growth Management Strategy, a review of the state and federal re and policy framework through which the Strategy must operate, by reviews of four key Strategy components: the Series E Forecasts, the draft Land Use Distribution Element, open space management principles and plans, and the draft Regional Energy copy of the tentative agenda is attached as Exhibit 3. Carlsbad's Growth Management Plan and the intensity, mix and for 1 Q /A; “Bo 0 1 PAGE 2 OF AGENDA BILL NO, FISCAL IMPACT None. This item is for information and discussion only. ENVIRONMENTAL REVIEW None is required. This action is not a project under the Ca: Environmental Quality Act. EXHIBITS I. City Council Resolution No. 9Y-ALj7 2. Initial Staff comments 3. (Tentative) Workshop Agenda 4. Letter to City Manager from SANDAG dated August 3, 1994, COI SANDAG Reports. 4 . 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 lo 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 W e RESOLUTION NO. 94 -297 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF CARLSBAD, CALIFORNIA DIRECTING THE CITY MANAGER TO FORWARD TO SANDAG THE COUNCIL'S COMMENTS REGARDING A) THE INTERIM AND LONG- TERM SERIES 8 FORECASTS AND B) THE DRAFT REGIONAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN. LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT OF THE WHEREAS, the Board of the San Diego Associal Governments has requested the City of Carlsbad to rev comment upon a) the interim and long-term Series 8 Forec; b) the draft Land Use Distribution Element of the I Growth Management Strategy: and WHEREAS, staff members of the City and SANDAG presentation to the City Council on these two items, aftt the City Council formulated comments to be returned SANDAG Board, which comments are reflected in written "Exhibit A: city council comments on series 8 Foreca Draft Land Use Distribution Element", a copy of which is with the Planning Department; City of Carlsbad, California that: NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council 1. The above recitations are true and correct. 2. That the City Manager is hereby directed to foi the SANDAG Board the City Council's comments re a) the interim and long-term Series 8 Growth Fc and b) the draft Land Use Distribution Element Regional Growth Management Strategy, which c are reflected in written form on !'Exhibit Council Comments On Series 8 Forecasts and Dr? Use Distribution Element1!, a copy of which is with the Planning Department. **.. .... .... .... .... * L I. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 W I) PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED at a regular meet the City Council of the City of Carlsbad, California, on 18th day of OCTOBER ,I 1994, by the following vote, tc AYES : Council Members Lewis, Stanton, Kulchin, Nygaarc NOES: None ABSENT: None ATTEST: . ALETHA L. RAUTENKRANZ, City Clekk (SEAL) -2- Resolution No. 94-297 I 0 0 4 Ex€ Draft Staff Comments on Issues Interimbong-Term Growth Forecasts and Draft Land Use Distribution Element Series 8 Forecasts A. Regional Growth Forecast Issue: SANDAG is telling us that local plans do not have sufficient land i housing growth predicted by the regional forecast. The solution is to more residential capacity by amending local plans. The regional fore derived from computer models based exclusively upon econometric tech and standard population growth formulas. The results of the regional fc are then "allocated" to create local subarea forecasts @e.: cities, c~mmui based, in large part, upon local land availability for jobs and housing g The local forecasts say our plans cannot accommodate the regional II estimate of growth. The regional model itself, however, does not fac 1) local quality of life factors such as the availability of residential land, street capacity, solid waste disposal capability, habitat protection nee( 2) the ability and/or willingness of the region and individual jurisdicti pay for infrastructure capacity and services (using locally estal standards) to support open-ended growth, 3) the home-rule right o jurisdictions to make decisions regarding local growth and its control and 2) Com: Perhaps part of the problem with the Growth Forecast is a computer which forecasts regional growth without factoring in both real-world p and fiscal capacity limits and policy decisions by local governments within self-determined limits. B. Short-Term, Interim Local Forecasts Issue: Do we support the short-term, interim local forecasts? These are base existing plans and policies in all the jurisdictions. These plans and I provide, however, only enough land for houses through half of the fi period (until 2005, instead of through 2015, the desired horizon). TI run out of residential land. Com: Carlsbad should support the interim local forecasts. The process bq SANDAG allocates the regional forecast to the sub-regional I( reasonable. Because the interim forecast is based upon adopted 1 plans, (including the Carlsbad's growth management program and la1 1 e 0 mix), it is consistent with existing policy. The question then becomes, do we do about a long-term forecast to get us through 2015? C. Long Range Forecasts Issue: The "interim" local forecasts are based upon existing policies and are only through 2005 because we run out of residential land about then. forecasts through 2015 are needed and can only be achieved by incrt residential capacities in the region (assuming the regional forecast is COI The draft Land Use Distribution Element (LUDE) offers recommend for changes to local general plans that would bring about that addi capacity. Local governments are being asked to modify their general pl implement these changes. However, it will take time to do so. It has suggested that a long-term forecast is needed immediately (early next and that it should be completed without waiting for local governme make actual changes to their plans. Such a forecast would "anticipat changes local governments may make, with time, later (6+ m( Alternatively it is suggested that a long-term forecast should be deferre1 after local jurisdictions actually debate and make the changes to their g plans. Com: SANDAG should not attempt to anticipate or "assign" land use chan local jurisdictions prior to local approval in order to update the i forecast to a long-term forecast. Local forecasts should always reflect ac local land use policy. Therefore, the extension of the interim, shor forecast should be deferred until local jurisdictions actually approve wh land use strategies from the LUDE they choose to implement. Land Use Distribution Element Issue: The Land Use Distribution Element (LUDE) recommends a package ( use strategies intended to respond to several inter-related issues: a p' general shortage of residential land, traffic congestion, air quality pro vehicle energy consumption, and residential densities needed to s affordable housing. This package emphasizes non-automobile travel including commuter rail, bus transit, bicycle, and pedestrian. It pro1 generalized intensification of land uses around ''transit focus areas'' to both points of origin and destinations to support transit. Among other it calls for increases in the density of residential land (suggesting 20 un as a target) and mixed uses in these areas, and the conversion of in( land to residential land in areas away from transit focus areas. Com: As concepts, the proposals of the Land Use Distribution Elemeni excellent planning and economic sense and the City should support I Staff believes that the 1-5 corridor, and, in particular, the area aroL pending Poinsettia Lane commuter rail station, and, to a lesser degr area around the Village commuter rail station are excellent art implementing these concepts. The quadrant dwelling unit caps of Cai 2 e 0 * growth management plan may limit the degree to which we can ac implement residential intensification in these areas, however. Thes quadrants of the city do have ''excess units" in the bank and these units be put to this use. The property owners of land around the Poinsettia s area have indicated that they believe that the market would more support housing densities in the 10 - 12 dwelling unit/acre range, rathe: the 20 unit/acre range recommended by the LUDE. Nevertheless, supports the concept of ''transit focus areas" and believes that the City s move in this direction. The vehicle for doing so would be private initi for general plan changes and re-zonings over time. However, in implemc any of the Land Use Distribution Element strategies, it must be undei that compliance with the dwelling unit limitation of the Growth Manag. Plan is required. 3 0 0 EXl - CARLSBAD CITY COUNCIL WORKSHOP (October - , 1994) Regional Growth Management Strategy Tentative Outline for Workshop I. Introduction (City st( 11. (City st 111. State and Federal planning context for regionalflocal planning. The San Diego Regional Growth Management Strategy. A. RGMS conceptual framework - l'strategy'l or "plan"? (SAND B. Components - list of RGMS components. (SAND C. Presentations on major components. (City/SANDAG s 1. Interim and long-range forecasts. 2. Land Use Distribution Element. 3. Open spacehabitat management. 4. Energy Element. D. Summary and wrap-up. (City st IV. City Council responses. (Council mem A. Q &A. B. C. D. Formulation of comments on interim and long range forecasts. Formulation of comments on LUDE. Action by Council (convey comments to SANDAG formally). 0 e E San Diego ASSOCLATI( GOTiERNSI E Suite 800, First Interst, 401 B Street San Diego, California I (61 9)595-5300 Fax (6 GJ August 3, 1994 Mr. Ray Patchett City Manager City of Carlsbad 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr Carlsbad, CA 92008-1989 Dear Mr. Pa On July 22, the SANDAG Board of Directors considered two new Elements of the Re Growth Management Strategy: the Regional Growth Forecasts and the Land Use Distrj Element. SANDAG accepted both Elements for distribution, requesting comments by the the County and other agencies. The Board tentatively rescheduled these two items 1 November 18, 1994 SANDAG agenda. Copies of the Series 8 Population and Employment Forecast and the Land Use Disk Element are enclosed for your information. SANDAG's referral requests specific action t: jurisdiction. The Series 8 Forecast and the Land Use Distribution element was guided Regional Growth Management Technical Committee which you chaired. SANDAG staff would appreciate the opportunity to attend any public meeting at wh Series 8 Forecast and the Land Use Distribution Element is discussed. Staff also is av to help in the presentation of these Elements of the Regional Growth Management Stra you wish. Please contact me, or have your staff contact Susan Baldwin at 595-53 additional information or assistance in this matter. Sincere1 & Executive TH Director E. SULZER KES/GF/ah Enclosures cc: Michael Holzmiller, Planning Director @@@r we@ 6 5"'@' MEMBER AGENCIES: Cities of sbad, Chula Vista, Coronado, Del Mar, El Calon, Encinitas, Escondi 0, Imperial Beach, La Mesa, I ADVISORY/LIAISON MEMBERS. California Department of Transportation, US. Department of Defense, S.D. Unified Port Distnct, and Tilu: I. National City, Oceanside, Poway, San Diego, San Marcos, Santee, Solana Beach, Vista, and County of San Diego. 0 SanDiego- - - ofGovenhhtS BOARD OF DIRECTORS AGENDA REPORT No.: 944 July 22, 1994 Action Requested: RECOMMEND APPR BYTHEC AND THE co1 APPROVE Fo1 SERIES 8 REGIONAL GROWTH FORECAST FOR JURISDICTIONS AND OTTER COMMUNITIES Introduction The Series 8 Regional Growth Forecast is an important part of the Regional ( Management Strategy. Like its predecessors, this Growth Forecast is used by SAND, member agencies, and many other public and private sector entities in plans and stud require population, housing and employment data. SANDAG’s Regional Growth Forecast is produced in two phases. The fust phase regionwide forecast. It produces population, housing, employment and other growth information for the entire San Diego region. In September 1993, the Board relea regionwide forecast -- termed the Economic Prosperity Forecast -- for review and comm for use in the second phase of the Growth Forecast. The second phase allocates the re@ forecast to jurisdictions, communities and other geographic areas within the region, The regionwide Economic Prosperity Forecast includes the tactics contained in the R Economic Prosperity Strategy designed to help solve the region’s most important ec problems. It is the frrst forecast produced by SANDAG to include specific changes to policies and trends related to the region’s employment growth. This forecast indicates region’s civilian employment base will grow by 359,000 jobs from 1990 to the year 21 increase of 32 percent. It includes an additional 59,000 jobs over an alternative re@ forecast based primarily on recent trends. The region’s population will grow by 51 percent (1.3 million persons) by the yea: Natural increase (births minus deaths) accounts for 52 percent of this growth while the rei is due to people moving into the region. The Regional Growth Management Technical Committee spent a considerable amount and effort in working with staff during this second phase, to allocate the regionwide for jurisdictions and other communities within the region. This committee is composed of I] representatives from each member agency. Traditionally, the second phase of the I; 0 0 Growth Forecast was completed by allocating the regionwide forecast based on the land us1 growth policies of the region's jurisdictions. For the first time, local jurisdiction plans ( not accommodate the regionwide forecast: therefore, the committee looked at alternatives f existing plans. A "quality of life" land use distribution alternative was formulated which would better ml future growth and thus accommodate the regionwide forecast to the year 2015. Implemenl of this alternative would require major changes to the general and community plan? development policies of most cities and the County. These changes were viewed b, representatives of those jurisdictions as being unacceptable at this time from a local F standpoint. As a result, staff prepared a Series 8 allocation which reflects the current lan and growth policies of the region's jurisdictions; however, this allocation using current po does not accommodate the regionwide population and housing forecast beyond the year 2 The attachment to this report shows the population, housing and employment forecast to tht 2005 for each jurisdiction and sphere of influence. It is the Regional Growth Manag Technical Committee's and my RECOMMENDATION that the Board recommend that the cities and the County approve the Series 8 Regional G Forecast to the year 2005 for inclusion in the Regional Growth Management Strategy an this forecast be approved for use in planning and other studies. It is further recommende the actions contained in the Land Use Distribution Element be used to solve the pro identified by the Series 8 forecast. Discussion The Series 8 Regional Growth Forecast is a result of a cooperative effort among the titi( the county. It shows the likely distribution of 3.0 million people and 1.24 millioi throughout the region in the year 2000 and 3.28 million people and 1.37 million jobs in th 2005. The forecast for jurisdictions and other communities reflects the current public pc contained in the local agencies' general and community plans. Some of the uses of the Regional Growth Forecast are shown below. City, county, community, and capital facilities planning Planning by special purpose agencies and districts and the private sector in the pqi of development plans, business plans, and environmental impact reports All SANDAG studies and plans described in the Overall Work Program, includj evaluation of elements of the Regional Growth Management Strategy Preparation of federal and state grant applications by local agencies for population-s public facilities Several problems were identified during the second phase of the forecast. The reg% Economic Prosperity Forecast released by the Board extended to the year 2015. In attei 2 0 0 to distribute the growth beyond the year 2005, the region is confronted with something th never occurred in the 20-plus years that SANDAG has been producing growth forecasl forecast based on currently adopted general and community plans runs out of land plann urban residential development. In the year 2005, only 14,000 vacant urban residential remain in the region. All of this land and more is needed to accommodate the re< forecasted growth beyond the year 2005. Attempting to distribute forecasted growth beyo year 2005 would cause unrealistically high levels of development in the outlying areas region and would not preserve enough vacant urban residential land needed for € conservation. The issues identified in this report are medium to long term in nature. However, this Se forecast illustrates that implementation of our current general and community plans will in some problems for us in the years ahead. The Regional Growth Management Strategy identifies solutions to the problems resulting the region’s growth. The Land Use Di~stribution Element of the Strategy (Agenda Rep01 contains recommendations designed to correct these problems. If adopted as policy by the and County, these recommendations will be reflected in future Regional Growth Forecai A forecast beyond the year 2005 is needed for transportation and other studies. Staff wil with the Growth Management Committee to prepare this technical forecast. M*!h Executive Director Attachment Key Staff Contact: Jeff Tayman, 595-5374 Funds are Budgeted in Overall Work I?rogram #102.07 3 This forecast is subject to change. The numbers have not been adopted or endorsed and should be used with that understanding. Jurisdiction 1990 2ooO 2005 Carlsbad 63,126 93,134 106,420 Chula Vista 135,163 162,201 164,744 Corona d o 26,540 29,096 29,016 Del Mar 4,860 5,477 5,409 El Cajon 88,693 95,694 95,109 Encinitas 55,386 63,152 64,914 1990 - 2005 1: Change A\ Absolute Percent % I- , 43,294 68.6% 29,581 21.9% 2,476 9.3% 549 11.3%1 6,416 7&2% 1 9,528 17.2% , 29,004 26.7% Escondido 108,635 131,371 31,107 58,738 27,432 Imperial Beach 2651 2 30,184 La Mesa 52,931 58,615 Lemon Grove 23,984 26,994 National City 54,249 58,493 59,987 Oceanside 128,398 161,368 169,257 Poway 43,516 50,727 51,028 San Diego 1,110,549 1,293,018 1,410,138 San Marcos 38,974 66,108 80,278 Santee 52,902 62,602 67,298 Solana Beach 12,962 14,653 14,382 I Unincarparated Area 398,764 51 3,175 617,206 Vista 71,872 86,100 88,783 San Diego Region 2,498,016 3,002,162 3,278,885 Sphere of Influence 1990 2ooO 2005 Chula Vista 148,483 1 86,249 200,411 El Cajon 104,416 11 2,553 11 2,214 Encinitas 55,544 63,434 66,404 Escondido 126,797 153,997 163,602 National City 56,225 60,585 62,023 Poway 43,664 51,015 51,323 San Marcos 43,795 72,225 87,100 Vista 84,932 102,071 106,626 SANDAG 401 B STREET, SUITE 800, SAN DIEGO ::::: i 4,595 5,807 3,448 14.4% ' 5,738 10.6% 40,859 31.8% 7,512 17.3% 299,589 27.0% 41,304 106.0% 14,396 27.2% 1,420 11 .O% 16,911 23.5% 218,442 54,076 780,869 31 -3% 1990 - 2005 Change Absolute Percent 51,928 35.0% 1 7,798 7.5% 10,860 19.6% 36,805 29.0% 5,798 10.3% 7,659 17.5% 43,305 98.9% 21,694 25.5% CA 92101 (61 9: This forecast is subject to change. The numbers have not been adopted I or endorsed and should be used with that understanding. 1990 - 2005 Change ' l! A Jurisdiction 1990 g.3J.g 2005 Carlsbad 27,235 38,073 44,754 Absolute Percent % I 1751 9 64.3% Chula Vista 49,849 56,004 57,999 ~ Coronado 9,145 9,669 9,828 Del Mar 2,514 2,565 2,581 El Cajon 34,453 34,963 35,084 Encinitas 22,123 23,587 24,596 Escondido 42,040 47,697 51,035 Imperial Beach 9,525 10,041 10,570 La Mesa 24,154 24,838 25,151 Lemon Grove 8,638 9,106 9,447 National City 15,243 15,824 16,674 Oceanside 51,109 59,611 63,925 Poway 14,386 15,944 16,423 San Diego 431,722 472,771 527,904 San Marcos 14,476 22,818 28,608 Santee 18,275 20,496 22,380 Solana Beach 6,346 6,456 6,478 Vista 27,418 30,765 32,508 Unincorporated Area 137,589 169,062 209,589 San Diego Region 946,240 1,070,290 1,195,534 Sphere of Influence 1990 2ooO 2005 Chula Vista 54,357 63,473 69,119 El Cajon 40,615 41,198 41,489 Encinitas 22,182 23,702 25,365 Escondido 48,209 54,983 59,618 National City 15,850 16,431 17,281 San Marcos 17,167 25,927 32,114 Poway 14,443 16,037 16,521 Vista 32,061 36,082 38,579 SANDAG 401 B STREET, SUITE 800, SAN DIEGO 8,150 16,3% 1 683 7.5% 67 2.7% 63 1 1.8% 11.2% 2,473 8,995 21.4%, 1,045 11.0%1 997 4.1% 1 809 9.4% 1,431 9.4% 12,816 25.1% 2,037 14.2% 96,182 22.3% 14,132 97.6% 4,105 22.5% 132 2.1% 5,090 18.6% 72,000 52.3% I I 249,294 26.3% 1 I 1990 - 2005 Change Absolute Percent 14,762 27.2% 874 2.2% 3,183 14.3% 4 I ,409 2Q .I% 1,431 9.0% 2,078 14.4% 87.1 % 6,518 20.3% 14,947 CA 921 01 (61 9) E~~NG PoLIc~Es ALTERNAT~&~~ 1994) TOTAL EMPLOYMENT: JURISDICTIONS AND SPHERES OF INFLUENCE This forecast is subject to change. The numbers have nof been adopted 1990 - 2005 / I or endorsed and should be used with that understanding. Change P Jurisdiction 1990 2ooO 2005 Absolute Percent !j Carlsbad 35,023 37,109 44,874 9,851 28.1% Chula Vista 50,777 52,321 57,823 7,046 13.9% Coronado 33,325 33,593 33,794 469 1.4% Dei Mar 3,809 3,795 3,798 -1 1 -0.3% El Cajon 43,305 42,617 45,496 2,191 5.1% Encinitas 23,858 23,912 25,393 1,535 6.4% Escondido 47,557 47,789 53,230 5,673 1 1.9% Imperial Beach 3,849 4,019 4,212 363 9.4% La Mesa 26,848 26,793 28,419 1,571 5.9% Lemon Grove 7,972 8,059 8,463 49 1 6.2% National City 31,913 32,094 33,880 1,967 6.2% Oceanside 99,428 95,604 44,071 10,949 33.1 % San Diego 678,651 682,641 739,884 61,233 9.0% Poway 12,068 13,478 17,156 5,088 42.2% San Marcos 25,289 26,847 32,129 6,840 27.0% Santee 16,161 16,600 18,771 2,610 16.1% Solana Beach 8,293 8,308 8,727 434 5.2% Vista 21,191 22,696 28,114 6,923 32.7% Unincorporated Area 120,850 124,830 141,947 21,097 17.5% 1 San Diego Region 1,223,867 1,243,195 1,370,187 146,320 12.0% 1990 - 2005 Change Sphere of Influence 1990 2ooO 2005 Absolute Percent Chula Vista 53,089 54,998 60,834 7,745 14.6% El Cajon 47,461 46,631 49,859 2,398 5.1% Encinitas 24,486 24,537 26,040 1,554 6.3% Escondido 51,050 51,137 56,891 5,041 11.4% National City 32,127 32,306 34,092 1,965 6.1% Poway 12,068 13,478 17,156 5,088 42.2% San Marcos 26,998 28,493 33,828 6,830 25.3% Vista 24,670 26,022 31,589 6,919 28.0% i SANDAG 401 B STREET, SUITE 800, SAN DIEGO CA 921 01 (6' 9) 0 of GOV~ents s=Diego- .. 0 BOARD OF DIRECTORS July 22, 1994 AGENDA REPORT No.: 94-0‘ Action Requested: RECOMMEND APPRO AND THE cou BY TEIE cr LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT OF THE REGIONAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY Introduction The Regional Growth Management Strategy gives local jurisdictions and other agenci forum to work together to manage the region’s growth. The Land Use Distribution EIem the strategy identifies the things they can do together to make travel more convenient with between communities. In addition, by increasing the intensity of new development in area good transit service, the Element would accommodate projected growth and preserve re open space, problems identified in the Series 8 growth forecasts. The Land Use Distribution Element establishes access standards -- maximum travel hi distances -- to measure travel convenience in the region. To improve the convenience of 1 the Element addresses design, intensity and distribution of urban communities. The El defines the relationship of the region’s communities to the planned transportation system importantly, the growing transit system. The Land Use Distribution Element was prepared by the Regional Growth Manag Technical Committee. The Element was evaluated as part of the regional growth fora process and during the preparation of the Regional Transportation Plan (adopted in Fe 1994). It is the Committee’s and my RECOMMENDATION that the Board of Directors recommend that the cities and the County: a. b. approve the Land Use Distribution Element, and implement the land use actions through changes in their general and community p e 0 . Discussion Implementation of the Land Use Distribution Element would provide the region’s reside options needed to change their travel behavior over time. It would restructure gro improve the region’s quality of life as described in the Regional Growth Management Sti The Element achieves its goals by: 1. 2. 4. By implementing the Land Use Distribution Element, the cities and the County would daily vehicle trips by 427,000 in the year 2015, daily vehicle miles of travel by 4,043,O increase daily transit ridership by 28,000 when compared with existing general and con plans. Most of the region’s residents would travel shorter distances in less time to get 1 shopping and services. The forecasted consumption of vacant land could be reduced by more than 80,0(30 acre decrease would be achieved primarily by increasing the average density of newly CPeveloF focusing new growth within walking distance of major transit services, providing mixed-use districts as the centers of the region’s communities, providing safe and convenient pedestrian and bicycle access. 3. providing residential uses within major employment areas, and redeveloping residential land from 5.9 housing units per acre to 6.6 units per acre. The Land Use Distribution Element was prepared by the Technical Committee to add jobs/housing balance in the region, as required by the Regional Planning and Growth Measure (Proposition C of 1988). Jobs/housing balance is addressed by establishing m travel time and distance (or access) standards for the home to work trip. The Elem addresses access to shopping and services because these types of trips represent tl majority of daily travel. The goals, objectives, policies, and actions of the Land Use Distribution Element, wh was designed as the region’s Indirect Source Control program required by the Califom Air Act, are describal in the attachment. Implementation by the cities and the Count be reported and monitored through the Regional Growth Management Strategy self-cert process. &*b Executive Director Attachment Key Staff Contact: George Franck, 595-5378 Funds are budgeted in Overall Work Program #105.15 2 0 0 Attach men t LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT REGIONAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT STRATEGY July 22, 1994 The purpose of the Regional Growth Management Strategy is to identify the actions we take to protect and improve our quality of life. Private and public sector actions shou make life in this growing region more convenient for all of us, and help us do the rig1 for the region and all of its inhabitants. The Land Use Distribution Element addresses the location, intensity and design 0: communities, and the relationship of these communities to the planned transportation The intent of this element is to improve the region’s planning process and to provide gu for changes in the cities’ and the County’s general and community plans. Over timc changes would provide the option for the region’s residents to change their trayel be These changes wouId also allow the region to accommodate its anticipated population over the next 20 years. I GOALS The following Goals are established for the Land Use Distribution Element: MAXIMIZE ACCESS TO JOBS, SHOPPING AND SERVICES - AS MEASUE TJXAVEL TIME, COST AND DISTANCE - THROUGH THE DISTRIBWIOl DESIGN OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT. PROVIDE SUFFICIENT URBAN LAND TO ACCOMMODATE FOREC, POPULATION GROWTH WILE PRESERVING ADEQUATE LAND FOR SPACE. INTRODUCTION During the 1980’s, travel in metropolitan areas grew so quickly that today, numerous and state laws and regulations require local governments and regional agencies to deal with traffic congestion and the land use patterns which help create that congestion. California law now requires the adoption of a Congestion Management Program (CMI regional level. The CMP establishes minimum service levels on freeways and major ro; requires local agencies to take direct action to maintain mobility in their jurisdictions. B and federal law require local and regional agencies to prepare and implement plans to air quality through controls on automobile travel. 3 a a In addition, the California Clean Air Act requires an "Indirect Source Control Progr minimize air pollution through land use actions. The best way to implement such a pro1 to build in long term land use changes in the general plans of local jurisdictions. This La Distribution Element is designed to help create these long term changes and, therefore, ti as the region's Indirect Source Control Program. The conventional way in which we locate our homes, businesses and public buildings h; a major contributor to traffic congestion and poor air quality. Further, the design of OUI neighborhoods has also forced most of us to make nearly all of our trips, and our chi trips, by car. Congestion could be reduced if there were a better balance of jobs and 1 in each community, or if, by some other means, we could make travel easier. .. On average, the work trip is the longest daily trip which most of us make. But WOI represent only about 20% of the trips made on a normal work day, and nearly half of the! trips are made during off-peak periods. While a community balance of jobs and appro! priced housing could lessen congestion, this balance would not solve all of the mobility PI we face. To address the full range of mobility needs, the Land Use Distribution E addresses shopping and service trips as well as work trips. In addition, the currently adopted general and community plans do not accommodate the I projected residential growth beyond the year 2005. Most of the land planned foi residential use would be developed by the year 2805 under current plans, leaving very fe available for habitat conservation and regional recreation uses. SUMMARY OF THE LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT This Land Use Distribution Element includes goals, objectives, policies, and actions to 1 region accommodate the forecasted population growth and improve traffic congestion quality. The regional access objectives, shown in Table A, define a maximum acceptabl time and distance for work trips, as well as those other trips which are made to sati shopping, recreation and service needs. The transportation elements of the Regional Growth Management Strategy already identij of the actions needed to help meet the access objectives. These include new and in facilities identified in the Regional Transportation Plan, and congestion management in identified in the region's Congestion Management Program. In addition, adopted air Transportation Control Measures include programs which will help create alternatives tc occupant automobile travel. Improvements to the transportation system alone will not allow us to meet the regiona objectives. Land use actions are needed, too. Therefore, the Land Use Distribution 1 stations and in major bus corridors. By focusing development in mixed use centers, rn! will be able to be made by transit, walking and bicycling. Local trips can be consolida recommends that new office, residential and other development be focused around rai 4 e I) potential use of shorter-range alternative fuel vehicles can be increased and some trips eliminated through the increased use of electronic travel substitutes. Appropriate design is required to make the focusing of development work. Therefore, tk Use Distribution Element recommends the preparation of design guidelines which i desirable design characteristics of development, buildings and public facilities (including - sidewalks and bicycle routes), Existing employment areas, which are outside of potential transit focus areas, also shc planned to include a residential element. As long as environmental conditions do not residential uses, major employment areas should accommodate appropriately priced hous support facilities to meet the needs of some of the employees working in these area! streets within these employment areas should provide for transit, bicycle and pec circulation as well as automobile travel. With increased intensities and mixed-use development in transit focus areas, the land pi for urbanization in current general and community plans would more than accomma projected population growth. Vacant land also would remain for regional recreation and habitat preservation. The concepts contained in this Land Use Distribution Element were evaluated as a par regional growth forecasting process. This evaluation indicated that, when cornpan adopted general and community plans, the implementation of these concepts would req use of significantly fewer acres of vacant land to accommodate the region’s forecasted pol growth. It dso would reduce both the number of trips made in the region and the total of automobile travel, as well as provide some improvement in air quality. The La Distribution Element would help the region achieve its quality of life standards and ob for transportation, air quality, access, and open space. The ideas contained in this strategy are not new. They are an integral part of the adopt Ranch Plan, MTDB’s Transit Development Guidelines, the County’s Transportation 1 Management Program and the City of San Diego’s Land Guidance Program. 5 AREA/Travel Mode TRAVEL TIME Minutes URBAN AREAS Work Other Automobile 19 10 Transit 50 35 Automobile 60 20 RURAL AREAS TRAVEL DISTAN( Miles Work Othr 10.6 5.1 11.0 7.5 19.4 12.1 0 0 v 7 0 0 Objective 2: conservation areas and a full range of open space opportunities. The Open Space Element of the Regional Growth Management Strategy is being prepared on the need for recreation areas as well as natural habitat preservation. A policy and i promoting Sensitive Lands and Open Space Preservation and Protection were adopted as of the Phase 1 Regional Growth Management Strategy in 1993. This policy is being r( and additional actions will be proposed as part open space planning efforts. Adequate vacant land should be preserved to accommodate h Habitat conservation plans are being prepared based on an extensive data collection, m and evaluation effort. Although many general and community plans preserve a portion existing habitat areas, it is anticipated that the habitat plans will require additional prese of land planned for urbanization. Additional land also should be reserved for other ope1 needs identified in SANDAG’s open space planning studies. Once these plans are definr goal can be quantified. POLICIES Land use policies will help the region achieve the goals and objectives of the L~I Distribution Element. In addition, related transportation Policies also will be needed objectives are to be realized. Land Use Policies: The following land use policies, if implemented by the cities and the County, would rr a better balance of residential, employment, commercial and institutional uses in the r major travel corridors. Implementation of these policies would make it easier for the r residents to avoid unnecessary travel and would help preserve an adequate amount of vaci for habitat preservation and recreation. 1. Transportation facilities should be designed to meet the needs of pedestria bicycle riders as well as automobile drivers. Circulation Elements of local general plans should emphasize pedestrian and facilities for trips within communities. Direct pedestrian access should be prow transit stations and within transit corridors. Street design can play a significant role in increasing pedestrian, bicycle and tran throughout the region. In transit focus areas, pedestrian travel should receive p still accommodating emergency vehicle, bus and automobile circulation. The px of medians on major streets is another way to facilitate pedestrian movement. Local general and community plans should also provide for streets and road5 connect communities, reducing the need to use the region’s freeways for relative To make walking easier, major streets in all areas should be as narrow as pssiblt 8 0 0 trips. These local streets and roads also facilitate more direct automobile and bus access. Higher land use intensities should be located in transit access areas. The highest employment intensities and residential densities permitted in the should be located in major bus transit corridors (Figure 2) and within walking dis about 1/4 mile - of planned rail transit stations (Figure 3). To insure sufficient ric potential in major bus transit corridors and near the stations, a minimum averi density of 20 housing units per acre is desirable. Within a quarter mile of rail transit stations, average employment intensities shc at least 60 workers per acre (a floor area ratio of approximately 0.50). In ma corridors, average employment intensities should be at least 45 workers per acre ( area ratio of approximately 0.35). Where current economic conditions do not development at these intensities, site plans should be designed to allow for a density on the project site in the future. For example, surface parking could be E for future conversion to structured parking and additional economic uses, inc housing. Implementation of this action would require most jurisdictions to change their ger community plans. Outside of downtown San Diego and several other major ( centers, the employment intensities proposed in general and community pk relatively low. This intensification could occur either by (a) a balance for the lowering of PI intensities in areas that are not served by a high level of transit service to 1 intensities or @) increasing the permitted amount of development in a jurisdictio second of these alternatives is preferable if the second regional objective (of ope preservation) is to be achieved. However, local jurisdictions should make this d based on the needs of the community. Mixed-use development should be encouraged in community center areas, inc the areas surrounding rail transit stations and within the bus transit corridl Within the transit focus areas, a higher intensity mix of residentid, empla shopping and service uses should be required. Allowing residential uses abc ground floor also should be considered for existing commercial areas. These mi areas will permit many of the local trips to be made by foot or bicycle, and wil pedestrian access to transit stops more convenient. 2. 3. 9 e 0 1 \ J Figure 2 BUS TRANSIT FOCUS AREAS = BU8 !kViC* Conidon 0 T1~8ltCant.n ASSOCUTION OF GOVERNMENTS 10 e 0 '1 1 1 J Figure 3 RAIL TRANSIT FOCUS AREAS 0 Station Areas - Regional Translt Comidom 0 htlen Amas - Potential Tmnsk Corridors MILES ASSOCIATION OF GOVERNMENTS 11 0 0 Mixed use development also is appropriate for community centers which are out the transit focus areas, because it provides the opportunity to consolidate tri encourages walking trips. These community center areas are located in several suburban cities, as well as rural communities. As these centers intensify a~ residential uses, they may become appropriate locations for future transit facilitic It is recognized that not all transit stations are suitable for higher intensity, mil may have intensity limits that are below those recommended in this Element. Sin some station areas may not be suitable for residential development because o impacts from ahports or from adjacent freeway facilities. A mix of housing types and prices should be provided within walking d2& transit stations and in transit corridors. This mix of housing should include small-lot single family units, town hou: apartments. This mix would provide for a range of housing opportunities j community, and help each jurisdiction achieve the goals in the Regional Housing Statement. The higher density, more affordable housing in the transit corridors be balanced against the larger lot developments located farther from the station. More intensively used public facilities should be located near transit statio stops, within walking or biking distance of the communities they serve. Libraries, urban parks, hospitals, churches and most civic buildings are exar more intensively used public facilities. The location of the more intensively usa facilities in the denser areas near high level transit service will increase the oppc for people to travel to these facilities by walking, riding a bike and transit. : areas, this type of public facility should also be located within commercial cent1 Public facilities which require more land, such as schools and active recreatio should be located near the edges of the mixed-use transit focus areas, adjacent t density residential uses. Parking requirements should be reduced within transit focus areas, with 01 parking provided in the mixed-use community core areas, whenever possib In anticipation of decreased automobile use, the lowering of parking requirement! be considered in coordination with the adoption of transportation demand man; programs. The lower parking requirement would lower costs and provide an h to develop near the transit stations and in transit corridors. On-street parking in the transit focus areas helps to create a more walkable envii by separating the pedestrian from vehicular traffic. When on-street parkin1 possible, pedestrians should be separated from vehicular traffic by landscaping suitable barrier. development, For example, a rail station located within the influence area of an 4. 5. 6. 12 0 0 7. Residential uses should be incorporated into existing employment areas tl located outside of the transit focus areas. Local general and community plans should permit appropriately sited resident unless potential environmental hazards exist. An objective of providing housing workers employed in the area should be established in the general planning pra The potential price range of this housing should be based on the types of employ the area. The general plan also should ensure the adequate provision of public fi including schools and recreation areas. Design guidelines should be used to encourage the development of tram pedestrian-friendly communities. Local jurisdictions should adopt design guidelines for new and redeveloping areas guidelines should emphasize non-automobile travel, permitting more convenien by pedestrians, bicyclists and transit riders. It is expected that these guidelines based on the extensive planning work already completed by several local jurisdic Technical Committee, if needed. While design guidelines are needed most in the transit focus areas, they also address the design of lower density areas as well. In the areas surrounding tht focus areas (between one-quarter and two miles from transit stations or ma corridors), pedestrian and bicycle linkages also are needed. These linkages provide for both internal circulation and access to the transit focus areas. Even communities, appropriate design would reduce the need for automobile travel. Lower land use intensities should be located in areas with low levels of services or no transit services. In areas that are not proposed for a high level of transit service, higher i development should be discouraged. For example, new development on convi single family lots should be located beyond walking distance of rail transit stal major bus corridors. In auto-oriented areas, intensities should be established ti not diminish highway levels of service below those adopted in the Regional Management Strategy and Congestion Management Program, (see page 12 and Particularly for employment areas, local agencies should review proposed inten! areas that are not in transit focus areas. Many of the planned employment area region have low development intensities and therefore are difficult to serve with In those areas, employment intensities should be reduced to a level that would n an adverse impact on the region’s highway system or proposed land uses shc changed to permit an appropriate level of residential development. - within large employment areas that are not provided with a high level of transit 1 8. the region, Model guidelines could be developed by the Regional Growth Man2 9. 13 0 0 Transit corridor planning considers, and should continue to consider, the local major activity centers within the region. High levels of transit service should planned for open space and sensitive habitat areas. Related Transportation Policies In order to achieve the access objectives of the Land Use Distribution Element, a comb of land use and transportation policies and actions will be required. In addition to the la policies listed above, a range of transportation agency policies and actions also are impoi improving travel time. The following policies are drawn from other elements of the Regional Growth Manal Strategy and the Regional Transportation Plan. Actions to implement these policies a contained in those elements or the Regional Transportation Plan. The related transpc policies are listed below to acknowledge the important relationship of land use and ~ranspc programs in achieving regional objectives. 1. Traffic flow improvements. Through the adoption of the Transportation Control Measures UCM) Plan, the has committed to making a substantial improvement in the optimization of traffic to reduce congestion, energy use and improve air quality. Approximately half region’s 2,000 signals have been coordinated or optimized through an existing funded program, with all signals scheduled for optimization by the year 2000. Traffic flow improvements are the most cost-effective TCM evaluated as part of quality planning program. Because they tend to decrease travel times, they are cr for potentially increasing trip distances and even inducing additional automobik Nevertheless, traffic flow improvements are included in the Air Quality TCh! Congestion Management Plan. 2. Transit improvements and expansion. This measure expands the 20-year Regional Transportation Plan and the seven-yea Range Transit Plans of the region’s two transit development boards. The n consists of the conversion of the current bus fleet to low emission vehicles, the ex] of bus services, and the expansion of the rail transit services. The lack of op funds for transit service expansion remains a major problem in the implementation policy. 3. Transportation System Management (priority treatments). Transit will be given priority as a part of the proposed traffic flow improvements f traffic signal preemption, signal timing and the designation of special lanes for use. Within the transit focus areas, traffic flow improvements should inch consideration of pedestrian and bicycle travel, On many freeways and some 14 0 a streets, High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) lanes will decrease travel times for transj Plan, Air Quality TCM's and Congestion Management Plan. Telecommuting, home-based shopping and other technological alternatives single-occu pant automobile trip. Electronic communication provides a convenient alternative to many of the shopping and service trips which most people make today. Alternatives to physic; should be encouraged, but specific governmental action is not recommended at th Telecommuting is a permitted tactic in the regional trip reduction program whici of the TCM Plan. Market-based strategies to reduce automobile travel. Strategies that require auto drivers to pay more of the true cost of automobilc should result in shorter trips for employment, shopping and services. As part of Quality TCM's, SANDAG has adopted mileage- and pollution-based vehicle regi fees as the region's primary "market-based" strategy for decreasing automobile Increased registration fees effectively increase the cost of automobile travel region's residents, encouraging them to find alternative travel modes. Market-based strategies are being evaluated through a Statewide study. Transportation Control Measures Plan will be reviewed periodically and whe options are available, such as market-based measures, it can be revised accordii e and carpool users. These priority treatments are included in the Regional Transp 4. 5. ACTIONS The following actions would implement the land use distribution policies listed above ( 1-9). Actions to implement the related transportation policies are contained in the R Transportation Plan and other elements of the Regional Growth Management Strategy. actions also will help monitor the achievement of the two objectives of the Land Use Dist Element. The "Transit Focus Areas" identified in the following actions are defined as areas with level of transit service. These areas include major bus corridors (shown in Figure 2) an within walking distance of existing and planned rail transit stations (shown in Figu Regional Transit Corridors - Station Areas). Figure 3 also identifies "Potential Transit Cc - Station Areas" referred to in action 10. Cities and the County 1. During the comprehensive update of the land use, open space and transportation e of general or community plans, the cities and the County will: 15 0 0 a. consider at least one alternative that would increase the intensity of develc in the transit focus areas, consider at least one alternative that would encourage the development of use community cores in the transit focus areas and other community cenl . b. c. consider at least one alternative that would decrease moderate and high ii development in areas which are not located in transit focus areas, consider at least one alternative that would encourage the development of I and appropriate support facilities in employment areas of more than 1,W and adopt all reasonable changes to bring their updated general and commun elements into conformance with the Land Use Distribution Element, provic adequate public facilities (including schools and local parks) are avail programmed to support these changes. d. e. 2. The cities and the County will encourage the implementation of the Ia Distribution Element through the discretionary review of projects required by ( plans and ordinances. The cities and the County, with the assistance of SANDAG, will evaluate the p impacts of land use alternatives that increase intensities and encourage mil communities in the transit focus areas. The cities and the County will monitor the consumption of total vacant land anc land with high habitat value within its jurisdiction. In implementing their general and community plans, the cities and the COUI consider zoning classifications and subdivision regulations that encourage mi: developments and higher intensities in transit focus areas and other communi 3. 4. 5. areas. 6. In implementing their general and community plans, the cities and the COUI consider changes to their street and road standards that are consistent with the of this Land Use Distribution Element. In implementing their general and community plans, the cities and the Coui prepare or consider changes to their design guidelines for development that are ca with the policies of this Land Use Distribution Element. 7. San Diego Association of Governments 8. SANDAG will monitor the average travel times and distances for the 15 Travel ( Zones. 16 0 e 9. SANDAG will provide the cities and the County with model zoning codes, guidelines, subdivision ordinances and street design guidelines which axe in confc with the Land Use Distribution Element policies. Transit Development Boards, SANDAG, the County, and Affected Cities 10. The transit development boards, SANDAG and the affected cities will evalu potentid Of transit service improvements in conjunction with increased la intensities and mixed-use development in the five potential regional transit c( identified in Figure 3. The County and affected cities will complete the multiple species habitat wnse plans and incorporate those plans into the general and community plans. 11. 17 0 e a San Diego ASSOCIATI( GOVERNME Suite 800, First lnterst 401 B Street San Diego California (619)595-5300 Fax (6 @ PI August 3, 1994 Hon. Bud Lewis Mayor City of Carlsbad Carlsbad, CA 92008-1989 Dear Mayor Lewis: SANDAG requests the City of Carlsbad’s review of two new Elements of the Regional G Management Strategy: the Regional Growth Forecasts and the Land Use Distribution Ele The Board of Directors accepted both draft Elements on July 22 for distribution, requ comments by the cities, the County and other agencies. The Board tentatively reschedules two items for the November 18, 1994 SANDAG agenda. The recommended Series 8 Forecast distributes expected growth through the year 2005 a the region’s 18 cities and the unincorporated areas based on adopted general and comn plans. Residential growth expected beyond the year 2005 can not be accommodated unle currently adopted general and community plans are changed. For this reason, consideration and approval of the Land Use Distribution Element w difficult. We all recognize that our adopted plans will change over the next 20-years, bi challenge to us is to cooperatively direct those changes in a way which will improve the reg quality of life. The Land Use Distribution Element is proposed as a way to direct changes. The Land Use Distribution Element addresses the question of how to better manage inev population and housing growth. It addresses how to preserve community values while pro\ more affordable housing. By focusing higher intensity uses in places which will have high of transit service, implementation of the Land Use Distribution Element would allo~ economy to grow. The proposed Element would more effectively manage projected popul growth through the year 2015 and also preserve adequate open space for recreation and ni habitat. The policy changes included in the Land Use Distribution Element would also inc transit ridership, decrease automobile travel and improve other quality of life measures su air quality. The preparation of the Series 8 Forecast and the Land Use Distribution Element was guidc the Regional Growth Management Technical Committee, which is composed of Plar Directors or other representatives from all SANDAG member agencies, as well as thc 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr MEMBER AGENCIES Cities of Carlsbad, Chula Vista Coronado Del Mar El Calon. Encinitas ESCCIoldO lmperlal Beach La Mesa Len ADViSORYiLlAlSGN MEMBERS California DeDaflment of Traxoortation U s Department of Defense S 3 Unified %C Dlstrict an3 Tijuana, National Clty Gceanslde Poivay San Diego Sa? Ivlarcos. Santee Solana Beach Vista and County of San D ego 0 e I “4 .) Mayor Lewis August 3, 1994 Page 2 Pollution Control District and the transit development boards, Copies of the Series 8 1 and the Land Use Distribution Element were sent to Ray Patchett for distributi consideration by the City of Carlsbad. Please contact Ken Sulzer, or have your staff contact Susan Baldwin at 595-5343 for ad information or assistance in this matter. Sincerely, /G.wLdAk MICHAEL B. BIXLER Chairman, Board of Directors MBB/GF/ah cc; Councilmember Ann Kulchin Councilmember Julianne Nygaard Ray Patchett, City Manager Michael Holzmiller, Planning Director 8 -> ( November 9, 1994 Stuart Shaffer San Diego Association of Governments Suite 800, First Interstate Plaza 401 B Street San Diego, CA 92101 COMMENTS ON DRAFI’ SERIES 8 FORECMTS AND DRAFI’ LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT Dear Stu: Thanks to you and your staff for participating in the presentation to our City C~UI the draft Series 8 Forecasts and the draft Land Use Distribution Element on Octo While many questions were asked and comments were made by the individual mei of the City Council, the formal action which the Council took is reflected in the ai “Exhibit A” to the Council’s adopted resolution. These comments constitute the C official responses. If you have any questions please give me a call at 434-2821. Sincerely, a1 RAYP TCHE’TT City Manager RCP/DAT/mhs c: City Clerk Community Development Director Planning Director Principal Planner Turner 1200 Carlsbad Village Drive 0 Carlsbad CA 92008-1 989 9 (61 9) 434-2821 FAX (61 9) 7; $ e * i -.= Stuart Shaffer SANDAG November 9, 1994 Page 2 EXHIBIT A to CITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION NO. R 94-297 CITY COUNCIL COMMENTS ON DRAFI' SERIES 8 FORECASTS AND DRAI;"r LAND USE DISTRIBUTION ELEMENT 1. The Interim Local Forecasts a. Carlsbad could accept the interim local forecast for our city, which ii upon adopted Carlsbad policies. Carlsbad firmly believes that any local allocation process, whether in or long-term, should be based only upon adopted local policies. The no attempt should be made to assign or anticipate land use changes keeping with the draft Land Use Distribution Element or otherwise) order to extend the interim Series 8 Forecasts to long-term forecasts Jurisdictions should be allowed time to consider and act upon the pr land use changes before the forecasts are extended. b. 2. Draft Land Use Distribution Element (ILUDE) Carlsbad has just adopted a completely updated general plan which re-affirx growth management principles it originally adopted in 1986. These principll include residential capacity limits in each of the City's four quadrants and fc City as-a-whole, plus a land use plan embodying a mix of uses and intensitic use, which the plan is tied to and supports the dwelling cap limits. There n; merit in the "transit focus area" strategy embodied within the draft LUDE. However, there are likely to be significant limits to what Carlsbad can do tc implement the strategy. The City Council feels it needs more information a the "transit focus area" strategy. Following the up-coming elections, it prop take up the matter for further discussion. In the interim Carlsbad cannot ac the Land Use Distribution Element in its entirety.