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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2011-02-08; City Council; 20453 EXB 1A; EXHIBIT A - 2010 PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY AND STATE OF EFFECTIVENESS REPORT2010 PUBLIC SURVEY STATE OF EFFECTIVENESSr4t» f "^ CITY OF CARLSBAD 2010 Public Opinion Survey Report Presented to the City of Carlsbad February 2011 RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2541 State Street, Suite 108, Carlsbad, CA 92008 j p: (760) 730-9325 | f: (760) 730-9688 | www.bwresearch.com City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Figures ii List of Tables iii Executive Summary 1 Introduction to the Study 1 Methodology Overview 1 Key Findings 2 Notable Changes from the 2009, 2008, and 2007 Surveys 5 Conclusions 2 Satisfaction with City Services 7 Satisfaction: Comparison to Other Cities 9 Quality of Life 10 Perceived Direction 12 Quality of Life: Comparison to Other Cities 14 Number One Way to Increase Quality of Life 16 Sense of Community 18 Sense of Community: Comparison to Other Cities 22 Safety 23 Safety: Comparison to Other Cities 25 Confidence in City Government 27 Satisfaction with Specific City Services 29 Recycling and Trash Service Preferences 34 Satisfaction with City-Resident Communication 36 Information Sources 39 Preventing Pollution of Creeks, Lagoons, and Ocean 42 Source of Information 43 Action Taken Based on Information 44 Experience Visiting the Carlsbad Village , 46 Methodology 51 Appendix A: Toplines A-1 |bw] RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Satisfaction with City Services 7 Figure 2 Satisfaction with City Services: Comparison to Other Cities 9 Figure 3 Quality of Life Rating 10 Figure 4 Quality of Life Direction 12 Figure 5 Quality of Life Rating: Comparison to Other Cities 14 Figure 6 Quality of Life Direction: Comparison to Other Cities 15 Figure 7 Number One Way to Increase Quality of Life (n=153) 16 Figure 8 Level of Agreement with Items 19 Figure 9 Sense of Community Index Levels 20 Figure 10 Sense of Community: Comparison to Other Cities 22 Figure 11 Safety in Carlsbad 23 Figure 12 Safety Walking Alone During the Day: Comparison to Other Cities 25 Figure 13 Safety Walking Alone After Dark: Comparison to Other Cities 26 Figure 14 Confidence in City Government to Make Decisions 27 Figure 15 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services 29 Figure 16 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Top 5) 31 Figure 17 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Mid 5) 32 Figure 18 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Last 5) 33 Figure 19 Recycling and Trash Service Preferences 34 Figure 20 Satisfaction with City-Resident Communication 36 Figure 21 Frequency of Using Information Sources 39 Figure 22 Overall Use of Information Sources 40 Figure 23 Informed about Preventing Water Pollution 42 Figure 24 Source of Pollution Prevention Information (n=652) 43 Figure 25 Action Taken Based on Pollution Prevention Information (n=652) 44 Figure 26 Frequency Visiting Carlsbad's Downtown Village 46 Figure 27 Experience Visiting Carlsbad Village (n=966) 48 Figure 28 Recommended Improvements to Carlsbad Village (n=966) 50 RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Number One Way to increase Quality of Life 17 Table 2 Sense of Community Index 18 Table 3 Confidence in City Government to Make Decisions 27 Table 4 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services 30 Table 5 Contacting the Appropriate Person at the City 38 Table 6 Overview of Project Methodology 51 City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION TO THE STUDY The City of Carlsbad and its Performance Measurement Resource Team partnered with BW Research Partnership, Inc. (BW Research) to conduct its annual public opinion survey of residents for the fourth consecutive year. The main research objectives of the 2010 study were to: • assess residents' perceptions regarding satisfaction with city services, quality of life, sense of community, safety in their neighborhood, city government, and city- resident communication; • evaluate residents' preferences for the City's trash and recycling containers; • identify residents' awareness of water pollution prevention; and • assess residents' experience visiting the Carlsbad Village. METHODOLOGY OVERVIEW The city-wide telephone survey of residents was administered from September 8 through 16, 2010 and averaged 20 minutes in length. In total, a statistically representative sample of 1,000 Carlsbad residents 18 years and older completed a telephone survey, resulting in a maximum margin of error +/- 3.08 percent (at the 95 percent level of confidence) for questions answered by all 1,000 respondents. Prior to beginning data collection, BW Research conducted interviewer training and also pre-tested the survey instrument to ensure that all the words and questions were easily understood by respondents. Interviews were generally conducted from 5:00 pm to 9:00 pm Monday through Friday and 10:00 am to 2:00 pm on Saturday and Sunday to ensure that residents who commuted or were not at home during the week had an opportunity to participate. Prior to analysis, BW Research examined the demographic characteristics of the 1,000 respondents who completed a survey to the known universe of residents 18 years and older using the San Diego Association of Government's (SANDAG's) 2010 demographic estimates for the City of Carlsbad. It is estimated that among Carlsbad's 106,804 residents, 83,248 are 18 years and older. After examining the dimensions of zip code, gender, ethnicity, and age, the data were weighted to appropriately represent the universe of adult residents and ensure generalizability of the results. The results presented in this report accurately reflect Carlsbad's adult population by age, gender, ethnicity, and geographic distribution (zip code) within the City. 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad CONCLUSIONS The 2010 survey shows that in spite of a down economy and high profile government scandals elsewhere in the state, residents continue to have a high level of confidence in their city government and give the City high marks in everything from quality of life to safety, parks, libraries, and other important services. • 96 percent of residents feel the quality of life in Carlsbad is good or excellent. • 92 percent of residents are satisfied with the job the City is doing. • 78 percent of residents have confidence in Carlsbad city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of community members. The percentage of residents satisfied with the job the City is doing to provide services increased from 89 percent in 2009 to 92 percent in 2010. Satisfaction with the City's efforts to manage traffic congestion on city streets was one of the more significant increases over previous years, with 74 percent in 2010 reporting satisfaction compared to 70 percent in 2009, 68 percent in 2008, and 64 percent in 2007. Overall Indicators for the City of Carlsbad There are several key metrics or indicators that we evaluate every year from the survey results to gauge residents' overall level of satisfaction with the City and the perceived quality of life in the community. These indicators include an assessment of the overall job the City is doing to provide services as well as some of the issues that have historically been of high importance to residents such as maintaining public safety and managing growth and development. In 2010, many of these broad indicators reached new high levels of satisfaction among Carlsbad residents. They include: • Residents who indicated they were very satisfied with the overall job the City is doing to provide services - For the first time, 60 percent of residents indicated they were very satisfied with the overall job the City is doing to provide services. This is only a percentage point or two above the previous high, but it still a notable threshold to achieve. • Perception of public safety and law enforcement efforts - Ninety-three percent of residents who provided an opinion were satisfied with the City's efforts to provide law enforcement services and less than ten percent (9%) of residents indicated they felt unsafe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark. Again, the proportional increase above the previous high was only incremental but still notable in the threshold (below 10 percent) that was achieved. • Managing the City's growth and development - Just over two-thirds of residents (67%) are satisfied with the job the City is doing to manage growth and development, an increase of ten percentage points from 2007. This finding is likely due the decrease in growth and development in Carlsbad since 2007 as a result of the economy. [bw 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad Additional Analysis Neighborhood Differences The sampling methodology used for this study was implemented to ensure that overall results were reflective of the City's entire adult population as well as each of the four zip codes that make up Carlsbad (based on the San Diego Association of Government's 2010 zip code estimates). However, the four zip code quadrants of Carlsbad do not allow us to adequately differentiate all of the neighborhoods that exist in Carlsbad. Part of the challenge in comparing Carlsbad's neighborhoods is that not all neighborhoods in Carlsbad have an agreed upon name. For example, the neighborhood around Carlsbad High School represents a considerable portion of the City's population but does not have a commonly identifiable title as a neighborhood. The following results provide an analysis of the neighborhoods within Carlsbad where there were large enough sample sizes to reliably compare differences within the City. 1. Residents who identified themselves as living in Calavera or Calavera Hills as well as Carrillo Ranch were more likely to indicate they were very satisfied with the overall job the City of Carlsbad is doing to provide services and were more likely to indicate they were very confident in Carlsbad city government in comparison to the average response of Carlsbad residents. 2. Residents who identified themselves as living in La Costa, La Costa Canyon, or La Costa Oaks as well as Downtown Carlsbad or the Village were less likely to indicate they were very satisfied with the overall job the City of Carlsbad is doing to provide services and were less likely to indicate they were very confident in Carlsbad city government in comparison to the average response of Carlsbad residents. 3. Residents who identified themselves as living in Calavera or Calavera Hills as well as Carrillo Ranch were also more likely to have a high sense of community whereas residents that identified themselves as living in La Costa, La Costa Canyon, or La Costa Oaks as well as Downtown Carlsbad or the Village were less likely to have a high sense of community. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad KEY FINDINGS Based on the analysis of the survey data, BW Research is pleased to present the following key findings. Please refer to the body of the report for a more comprehensive analysis of findings, including comparisons among resident sub-groups. • Ninety-two percent of residents were satisfied with the job the City of Carlsbad is doing to provide city services. Sixty percent of residents were "Very satisfied" and 32 percent were "Somewhat satisfied" with the job the City is doing. • An overwhelming 96 percent of residents indicated a positive quality of life in Carlsbad ("Excellent" 61%, "Good" 36%). • Seventeen percent of residents viewed the quality of life as "Getting better" and 15 percent viewed it as "Getting worse." The strong majority (65%) of residents felt the quality of life in Carlsbad was "Staying about the same." o When the 153 respondents (out of the total sample size of 1,000) who rated the quality of life as "Poor" or "Very poor" or felt it was getting worse were asked about the number one way to increase quality of life, the most frequently cited recommendations were to stop building and growth (34%), improve the quality of the roads and other infrastructure (13%), and fix the traffic problems (11%). • Assessed through a seven-question series, 44 percent of residents were classified as having a "High" sense of community, 44 percent as "Medium," and 12 percent as having a "Low" sense of community. Respondents demonstrated the highest level of agreement with items related to "Mutual concerns" and "Community values." • Nearly all (98%) residents felt safe walking alone in their neighborhood during the day ("Very" 87%, "Somewhat" 11%). Eighty-seven percent of residents felt safe walking alone after dark ("Very" 51%, "Somewhat" 36%). • Seventy-eight percent of residents have confidence in Carlsbad city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of its community members ("Very" 22%, "Somewhat" 55%). • At least 90 percent of residents who provided an opinion were satisfied with the City's efforts to: o "Provide library services" (96% satisfaction); o "Maintain city parks" (96%); o "Provide fire protection and prevention services" (95%); o "Provide sewer services" (93%); o "Provide law enforcement services" (93%); and o "Provide water services" (90%). RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad • When offered two conflicting opinions regarding trash and recycling services, respondents indicated a preference for the current system (57%) rather than three new city-provided bins accompanied by a two dollar monthly increase in trash and recycling service fees (36%). • Seventy-four percent of residents were either "Very" (31 %) or "Somewhat" (42%) satisfied with the City's efforts to communicate with residents. • Nearly two-thirds of residents (65%) have seen or heard information in the past year about how residents can prevent the pollution of local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean. • Nearly all (97%) residents have visited Carlsbad's Downtown Village. o The majority of residents regularly visited (53%), 24 percent sometimes visited, and 19 percent visited the Village less than once a month. o Nine of ten residents who visited Carlsbad's Downtown Village rated their experience positively. o The two most common recommendations for improving Carlsbad's Downtown Village included improving parking (18%) and adding unique businesses or better restaurants (16%). NOTABLE CHANGES FROM THE 2009, 2008, AND 2007 SURVEYS Below are the most notable changes in Carlsbad residents' opinions, perceptions, and behaviors from the 2009, 2008, and 2007 surveys. • Residents' overall satisfaction with the job Carlsbad is doing to provide services in 2010 improved from 2009 (92% vs. 89%), driven by an increase in the percentage "Very satisfied" (60% vs. 56%). The increase from 2009 places the 2010 satisfaction back in line with the percentages reported in 2008 (91%) and 2007 (92%). • Each year, more residents have indicated that the quality of life in Carlsbad is "Staying about the same." From 2007 to 2010, this response has increased from 48 percent to 65 percent of residents. • The number of respondents reporting some measure of dissatisfaction with the quality of life in Carlsbad1 was statistically lower in 2010 than previous years (2010: 15%; 2009: 21%; 2008: 20%). o The leading suggestion, from the relatively small percentage (15%) of residents who indicated some measure of dissatisfaction with the quality of life in Carlsbad, remained that the City should halt building and growth. Although still in the top position, the percentage citing this response has declined each year (2010: 34% 2009: 37%; 2008: 48%) and was statistically lower than 2008 (statistically unchanged from 2009). 1 Residents who rated the quality of life in Carlsbad as "Poor* or "Very poor" or felt it was getting worse. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad o Among the 153 respondents, the most significant difference in responses from prior years was an increase in the percentage of respondents indicating that the City should "Improve the quality of the roads and other infrastructure," which moved from a less common response to the second most common response (2010: 13% 2009: 3%; 2008: 2%). • The proportion of residents classified as having a "High" sense of community increased in 2010 as compared with 2009 (44% vs. 38%) and the percentage in the "Medium" category decreased (44% vs. 48%), placing the results back in line with 2008 and 2007. • Statistically fewer respondents indicated feeling unsafe when walking alone in their neighborhood after dark in 2010 (9%) when compared to 2007 (11%). • In 2010, overall confidence in city government improved from the level reported in 2009, making it statistically consistent with the levels reported in 2008 and 2007 (2010: 78% 2009: 74%; 2008: 76%; 2007: 79%). • All changes in satisfaction with specific city services evidenced from previous years were positive improvements. o From 2009 to 2010, there was a statistically significant increase in satisfaction for providing law enforcement services (2010: 93%; 2009: 90%; 2008: 92%; 2007: 92%). o The percentage of residents satisfied with the City's efforts to manage traffic congestion on city streets was significantly higher in 2010 than each of the three previous years (2010: 74%; 2009: 70%; 2008: 68%; 2007: 64%). o The percentage of residents satisfied with the City's efforts to manage growth and development has also increased each year, with the percentage statistically higher than 2008 and 2007 (2010: 67%; 2009: 64%; 2008: 62%; 2007: 57%). For additional detail on the research findings and a complete assessment of the survey results, please proceed to the body of the report beginning on the next page. City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report SATISFACTION WITH CITY SERVICES Sixty percent of residents were "Very satisfied" and 32 percent were "Somewhat satisfied" with the job the City is doing to provide services in 2010, resulting in an overall satisfaction rating of 92 percent. Residents' overall satisfaction with the job Carlsbad is doing to provide services in 2010 improved from the percentage reported in 2009 (92% vs. 89%), driven by an increase in the percentage "Very satisfied" (60% vs. 56%). The rebound from 2009 places the 2010 satisfaction back in line with the percentages report in 2008 (91%) and 2007 (92%). Dropping below two percent, a statistically significant decrease was observed in the percentage of residents "Very dissatisfied" from 2009 to 2010 (4% vs. 2%). This drop accompanies a statistically significant decrease in the overall percentage of residents reporting dissatisfaction ("Very" plus "Somewhat") when compared to each of the past three years (2010: 4%; 2009: 8%; 2008: 6%; 2007: 6%). Figure 1 Satisfaction with City Services 80% 60% 40% • 2010 02009 • 2008 02007 Somewhat dissatisfied 1 Statisticaily significant change from 2009 (p< .05) Statistically significant change from 2008 Statistically significant change from 2007 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Analyses of 2010 survey responses by resident sub-groups will be presented in text boxes throughout this report. To follow is the assessment of residents' 2010 satisfaction with the job the City of Carlsbad is doing to provide city services by sub-groups. • As residents' quality of life perception increased, so did their reported satisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services ("Excellent" quality of life 96% satisfied; "Good" 88%; "Fair" 64%). Those that felt the quality of life was getting worse were significantly less likely to be satisfied with the job the City is doing to provide services ("Getting better" 97% satisfied; "Staying about the same" 93%; "Getting worse" 82%). • As expected, confidence in Carlsbad government and satisfaction with city- resident communication were both positively correlated with respondents' satisfaction with the delivery of city services. Experience visiting Carlsbad Village was also positively correlated with how satisfied respondents were with city services. • Respondents who felt unsafe walking around their neighborhood alone after dark were more likely to be dissatisfied with city services ("Safe" 3%; "Unsafe" 9%). • As residents' sense of community increased, so did their reported satisfaction ("High" sense of community 96% satisfied; "Medium" 89%; "Low" 84%). • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of satisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services: o Confidence in Carlsbad government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents; o Ratings for the quality of life in Carlsbad; and o Satisfaction with the City's efforts to repair and maintain local streets and roads. Demographically • Although overall satisfaction was comparable among men and women, men were more likely to feel "Somewhat satisfied" (36%) than "Very satisfied" (55%) when compared to women ("Somewhat" 28%; "Very" 64%). • There was no difference in total satisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services by zip code. However, respondents in the 92010 were the most likely to report being "Very satisfied" (92008: 53% "Very satisfied"; 92009: 58%; 92010:72%; 92011:64%). • By neighborhood, fewer residents of The Village/ Downtown (83%) were satisfied with city services when compared to Calavera/ Calavera Hills (97%), Aviara (97%), and La Costa/ La Costa Canyon/ La Costa Oaks (93%). 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad SATISFACTION: COMPARISON TO OTHER CITIES Figure 2 below shows examples of the range of satisfaction scores evidenced in cities throughout California that have conducted comparable studies within the past five years. With 92 percent satisfaction, Carlsbad remained in the top tier in 2010. Figure 2 Satisfaction with City Services: Comparison to Other Cities Small City, Riverside County Mid-Sized City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, Orange County Small City, San Diego County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small City, Orange County Small City, Contra Costa County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County Small City, Riverside County Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County Large City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, Contra Costa County Small City, Riverside County [ Mid-Sized City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, Los Angeles County Small City, Kern County 89% 88% 85% 83% 80% 78% 77% 75% 67% 53% o%20%40%60%80%100% Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report QUALITY OF LIFE Overall, 96 percent of residents provided a positive rating for the quality of life in Carlsbad in 2010 (statistically unchanged from the 96% and 95% reported in 2009 and 2008 respectively). Sixty-one percent of residents rated the quality of life in Carlsbad as "Excellent" and 36 percent rated it as "Good." Although statistically more residents provided a negative quality of life rating in 2010 than 2009, the increase was only 0.4 percent3 (2010: 0.4% vs. 2009: 0.0%). Compared with 2008, statistically fewer residents in both 2010 and 2009 reported a negative quality of life (1.5% in 2008). Figure 3 Quality of Life Rating4 Excellent Good Fair Poor Very poor DK/NA Positive 2010 = 96% 2009 = 96% 2008 = 95% o%20%40%60%80% 0 Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) ¥ Statistically significant change from 2008 " Discrepancy in the text versus the graphic is due to rounding ("Poor" shown in the graphic as 0.3% is 0.28% and "Very poor" shown in the graphic as 0.2% is 0.16%). 4 Question not asked in 2007. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of quality of life ratings by sub-groups. • Quality of life ratings were positively correlated with a number of other metrics throughout the survey, including: satisfaction with city services; satisfaction with city-resident communication; sense of community; confidence in city government; perceptions regarding the direction of the community; safety walking alone in their neighborhood both during the day and at night; and experience visiting Carlsbad's Downtown Village. • All respondents who felt the quality of life in the City was "Getting better" rated the quality of life favorably (73% "Excellent" and 27% "Good"). • Nearly all residents (99.7%) "Very confident" in Carlsbad city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of its community members rated the quality of life favorably (81% "Excellent" and 18% "Good"). Overall, 98 percent of those confident in city government provided a positive rating compared with 89 percent of those not confident in city government. • Residents satisfied with the job the City is doing to provide services were much more likely than those dissatisfied to positively rate the quality of life in the City (97% vs. 80%). • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of residents' views on quality of life: o Satisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services; o Satisfaction with the City's efforts to provide local arts and cultural opportunities; and o Experience visiting Carlsbad's Downtown Village. Demographically • Ninety-nine percent of residents in both the 35 to 44 year age group and the 65 or older age group indicated a positive response regarding their quality of life. Residents in the 18 to 24 year age group provided the lowest "Excellent" or "Good" ratings of all the age groups (although still at 91%) and were the most likely to rate the quality of life as "Fair" (9%). • Carlsbad residents who lived in a single family detached home were more likely to offer a positive assessment of their quality of life (97%) compared to apartment residents (91%). • Ail respondents who lived in Calavera/ Calavera Hills indicated that they felt the quality of life in the City was "Excellent" (63%) or "Good" (37%). Other neighborhoods with high positive quality of life ratings included Carrillo Ranch (98%) and Aviara (97%). 2010 Public Opinion Survey City of Carlsbad Report PERCEIVED DIRECTION Residents were next asked whether they thought the quality of life in the City was getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same. In 2010, 65 percent viewed the quality of life as "Staying about the same," 17 percent of residents viewed it as "Getting better," 15 percent viewed it as "Getting worse," and four percent did not know or declined to state. Each year, more residents have indicated that the quality of life in Carlsbad is "Staying about the same." From 2007 to 2010, this response has increased from 48 percent to 65 percent of residents. The large increase in this response category has resulted in a decrease across the other response categories as compared with 2007 and 2008. The percentage of residents that felt the quality of life was "Getting better" remained statistically unchanged from 2009, but declined from the percentages reported in 2008 and 2007 (2010: 17%; 2009: 15%; 2008: 21%; 2007: 22%). Compared with each of the three prior years, fewer residents indicated that the quality of life was "Getting worse" (2010: 15%; 2009: 21%; 2008: 20%; 2007: 27%). Figure 4 Quality of Life Direction 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% • 2010 02009 Staying about theGetting better Gettingsame worse 16.5% *' 15.1% ¥l 64.7% DK/NA 15.2% 20.9%,o/ * 3.6% 4.2% * • 2008 21.1%56.5% '20.0% 02007 21.5%47.9%26.5%4.0% a Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) * Statistically significant change from 20081 Statistically significant change from 2007 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of perceived direction of the quality of life by sub-groups. • The majority of residents who viewed the quality of life in the City as "Fair" viewed the direction as "Getting worse" (65%), whereas the majority of residents who viewed the quality of life as "Excellent" (67%) or "Good" (65%) viewed the direction as "Staying about the same." • As residents' sense of community increased, their perceptions regarding the direction of the quality of life in Carlsbad became more positive. • Thirty-one percent of residents who felt unsafe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark rated the quality of life as "Getting worse" (compared with 14% among those who felt safe). • Respondents who indicated that they were "Very confident" in city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents were the most likely to view the quality of life as "Getting better" (33%). Forty-two percent of residents who indicated a lack of confidence viewed the quality of life as "Getting worse." • Residents satisfied with the job the City is doing to provide services as well as those satisfied with city-resident communication were more likely than those dissatisfied to feel that the quality of life in the City was improving. • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of residents' views on the direction of the community: o Satisfaction with the City's efforts to manage residential growth and development and o Confidence in Carlsbad government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents. Demographically • Residents 45 to 54 years old were the most likely among the age groups to view the quality of life as "Getting worse" (21%), followed closely by residents 55 to 64 (19%). Young adults aged 18 to 24 years were the most likely to believe the quality of life was "Getting better" (30%). • Negative perceptions regarding the direction of the community were more common from residents that have lived in Carlsbad for 15 or more years (23%) compared to those who have lived in Carlsbad for less than 15 years (11%). • Apartment residents were less likely than those living in single-family detached homes to believe the quality of life was staying the same (49% vs. 66%) and more likely to view the quality of life as "Getting better" (27% vs. 14%). 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad QUALITY OF LIFE: COMPARISON TO OTHER CITIES This section shows examples of resident perspectives regarding the quality of life in cities that have conducted comparable studies within the past five years. With a 96 percent overall quality of life rating, the score given by Carlsbad residents placed within the top tier among comparable resident research studies. Figure 5 Quality of Life Rating: Comparison to Other Cities5 % of Residents that Rate the Quality of Life in their City as "Excellent" or "Good" Mid-Sized City, Orange County Mid-Sized City, Ventura County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small City, Orange County Small City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, Riverse County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, Orange County Small City, Riverside County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, Alameda County Large City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, San Bernardino County Large City, Santa Clara County ; Large City, Riverside County i 4 Small City, El Dorado County i Mid-Sized City, Contra Costa County Large City, Los Angeles County j Mid-Sized City, Riverside County Small City, Riverside County Small City, Sacramento County o% QSJ70 88% 87% 86% 77% 75% 74% I 72%| 70% 64% 62% 56% 20%40%60%80%100% 5 Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Figure 6 displays the percentage of residents that viewed the quality of life in their City as either "Getting better" or "Staying about the same" from comparable research studies throughout California that were conducted within the past five years. Carlsbad rose from the middle tier in 2009 to the top tier in 2010. Figure 6 Quality of Life Direction: Comparison to Other Cities6 % of Residents that View the Quality of Life in their City as "Getting better" or "Staying about the same" Small City, Alameda County Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small-Sized City, San Diego County Large City, Sacramento County Large City, San Bernardino County Small City, Los Angeles County Small City, Riverside County Large City, Riverside County Large City, Marin County Large City, Kern County Mid-Sized City, Contra Costa County Mid-Sized City, Riverside County 73% 69% 66% 64% 60% 51% 47% o%20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report NUMBER ONE WAY TO INCREASE QUALITY OF LIFE As a follow-up question, the 15 percent of residents (153 respondents) who rated the quality of life in the City as "Poor" or "Very poor" or felt it was getting worse were asked to report the number one thing that the City could do to improve the quality of life within the community. The number of respondents in this group was statistically lower than in previous years (2010: 15%; 2009: 21%; 2008: 20%). The most frequently cited response among this group was to stop building and growth (34%) to increase the quality of life, followed by "Improve the quality of the roads and other infrastructure" (13%), "Fix the traffic problems" (11%), and "Better economic plan/ lower taxes" (7%). Please note that the percentage of respondents for each issue only represents the 15 percent of Carlsbad residents who indicated some measure of dissatisfaction with the quality of life in Carlsbad. As such, the 34 percent of residents who answered this question by stating that the City should stop building and/ or stop growth represent only five percent of all respondents who answered the survey (15% of respondents asked the question multiplied by the 33.5% who provided that response). Figure 7 Number One Way to Increase Quality of Life (n=153) Stop building/ stop growth Improve roads/ other infrastructure Fix the traffic problems Better economic plan/ lower taxes Increase/ improve police services Improve schools More public transportation Increase recreation opportunities Remove the illegal immigrants More jobs Preserve more open space Need new mayor and/ or city council Improve beach access Limit airport growth/ reduce noise Other DK/NA 0%20%40%60% 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad The leading suggestion for the number one way to improve the quality of life among the sub-group asked the question each year has been that the City should halt building and growth. Although still in the top position, the percentage citing this response has declined each year (2010: 34% 2009: 37%; 2008: 48%) and was statistically lower than 2008 (statistically unchanged from 2009). The most significant difference in responses from prior years was an increase in the percentage of respondents indicating that the City should "Improve the quality of the roads and other infrastructure," which moved from a less common response to the second most common response (2010: 13% 2009: 3%; 2008: 2%). Respondents in both 2010 and 2009 were much more likely to cite an economic-related response such as the need for a "Better economic plan/ lower taxes" or "More jobs" than in 2008 (2010: 10%; 2009: 14%; 2008: 4%). Respondents in 2010 and 2009 were also more likely than in 2008 to decline to state or not know how to improve the quality of life (2010: 7%; 2009: 7%; 2008: 3%). Tabie 1 Number One Way to Increase Quality of Life7 Number one thing that Carlsbad could do to improve quality of life Number of respondents Stop building/ stop growth Improve the quality of the roads and other infrastructure Fix the traffic problems Better economic plan/ lower taxes Increase/ improve police services Improve schools More public transportation Increase recreation opportunities Remove the illegal immigrants More jobs Preserve more open space Need new mayor and/ or city council Improve beach access Limit airport growth/ reduce noise Build desalination plant More programs for seniors Nothing needs improvement Other DK/NA 2010 153 33.5% * 12.9%"¥ 1 1 .2% 7.2% ¥ 3.6% 3.5% 3.2%° 2.8% 2.4% 2.3%° 2.1% 1 .9% 1 .0% 0.9% - - - 4.1% 7.3% ¥ 2009 209 36.7% ¥ 2.5% 12.0% 6.4% * 6.3% 2.9% ¥ 3.7% 2.4% 7.8% ¥ 2.8% 2.9% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% - 0.4% 3.8% 6.6% 2008 202 47.7% 2.1% 12.2% 2.3% 4.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 1.2% - 1.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 6.6% 2.6% 0 Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) ¥ Statistically significant change from 2008 7 2007 responses are not presented since the follow-up question was asked of a different sub-group of residents (the overall quality of life question was not asked in 2007), City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report SENSE OF COMMUNITY To assess sense of community among residents, a seven-question series known as the "Brief Sense of Community Index"8 was utilized. The series assessed the three underlying dimensions of sense of community: "Social connections," "Mutual concerns," and "Community values." Table 2 displays the questions used to measure sense of community among Carlsbad residents and overall agreement with each statement (disagreement for reverse-coded items). Carlsbad residents reported the highest level of agreement with items related to "Mutual concerns" (76% average) and "Community values" (74% average). Table 2 Sense of Community Index Social Connections I can recognize most of the people who live in my neighborhood I have almost no influence over what my neighborhood is like Very few of my neighbors know me Mutual Concerns My neighbors and I want the same things from this community If there is a problem in my neighborhood, people who live here can get it solved Community Values It is very important for me to feel a sense of community with other residents How strongly feel sense of community Strongly agree 29.2% 12.6% 22.2% 24.6% 20.8% 28.9% Very strong 28.6% Agree 46.0% 38.5% 40.0% 51.4% 54.8% 51.2% Some- what strong 39.4% Total Agree 75.2% 36.9%* 32.1%* 76.0% 75.6% 80.1% Total Strong 68.0% Average 48.1% 75.8% 74.1% * Items reverse coded. Percentage shown is total disagreement. Disagreeing with these statements indicates a higher sense of community. 8 Long, D,A. and Perkins, D.D (2003), "Confirmatory Factor Analysis of the Sense of Community Index and Development of a Brief SCI." Journal of Community Psychology 33(3): Pages 279 - 296. 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad Figure 8 displays residents' level of agreement across the seven-question series from 2007 to 2010 (after adjusting for reverse-coded items). The percentage of respondents that agreed with six or seven items (indicating a high sense of community) has varied over the past four years similar to those who indicated a medium sense of community by agreeing with three to five items. In 2010, both proved statistically indifferent from 2007 figures. Please proceed to the next page for more information on the sense of community levels. Figure 8 Levei of Agreement with items 7 of 7 6 of 7 5 of 7 4 of 7 3 of 7 2 of 7 1 of 7 Oof 7 17.4%mom 18.1% 21.2% 10.1%mwm 1.5% 0.8% 1 1.1% B2010 D2009 • 2008 Q2007 0%5%10%15%20%25%30% ° Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05)¥ Statistically significant change from 20081 Statistically significant change from 2007 RESEA.'RCH; PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Forty-four percent of residents in 2010 agreed with at least six of the seven items and were classified as having a "High" sense of community. An additional 44 percent agreed with three to five items and were placed in the "Medium" category. Twelve percent of respondents agreed with zero, one, or two of the questions and were classified as having a "Low" sense of community. The proportion of residents classified as having a "High" sense of community increased in 2010 as compared with 2009 (44% vs. 38%) and the percentage in the "Medium" category decreased (44% vs. 48%), placing the results back in line with the 2008 and 2007 findings. Figure 9 Sense of Community Index Levels 2010 2009 2008 2007 0% 43.9% "12.2% 48.3% '13.3% 46.4% '12.7% 40.0%12.0% 20%40%60%80%100% High DMedium DLow 0 Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05)¥ Statistically significant change from 2008 1 Statistically significant change from 2007 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of sense of community levels by resident sub-groups. • Sense of community was positively correlated with a number of factors throughout the survey, including: satisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services; satisfaction with city-resident communication; perception of safety walking alone in their neighborhood; quality of life ratings; perceptions regarding the direction of the quality of life; and confidence in city government. • Residents who had heard about water pollution prevention in the past year had a higher sense of community than those who had not heard about ways to prevent the pollution of local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean ("High" 48% vs. 37%). • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of residents' sense of community: o Confidence in city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of community members and o Ratings for the quality of life in Carlsbad. Demographically • Residents 35 to 54 years of age were the most likely to place in the "High" sense of community group and those 18 to 24 or 55 to 64 were the most likely to fall in the "Low" group. • Residents who have lived in the City for five years or more had a higher sense of community than those who have lived in Carlsbad less than five years ("High" 46% vs. 36%). • Homeowners had a higher sense of community than renters ("High" 49% vs. 28%). • Residents with children in their home had a higher sense of community than those without children ("High" 52% vs. 38%). • Among the zip codes, residents in zip codes 92009 and 92008 were the most likely to place in the "Low" sense of community group (92008: 13%; 92009: 16%; 92010:6%; 92011:9%). [few] RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad SENSE OF COMMUNITY: COMPARISON TO OTHER CITIES Figure 10 below shows the percentage of residents in comparable research projects that reported feeling a "Strong" sense of community9 living in their City. Carlsbad residents placed in the middle tier with regard to sense of community in 2010. .Figure 10 Sense of Community: Comparison to Other Cities10 Small City, Solano County Mid-Sized City, Los Angeles County Small City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, Alameda County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County Small City, El Dorado County Small City, Riverside County _ ' .. .75% 68% 66%; j : ... 61% 59% 58% 52% 50% 50% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 1C 9 Question 1 of the survey: "Would you say that you feel a strong sense of community, a weak sense of community, or no sense of community at all?" 10 Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report An overwhelming 98 percent of residents felt safe walking alone in their neighborhood during the day (with 87% reporting they felt "Very safe") and 87 percent of residents felt safe walking alone after dark (51% "Very safe"). Only one percent of residents reported feeling unsafe walking alone in their neighborhood during the day and nine percent felt unsafe after dark. The overall percentages of residents that felt safe and unsafe walking alone in their neighborhood during the day in 2010 were statistically consistent with past years. The only statistically significant difference for the question was in the percentage of residents who either declined to state or were not sure how safe they felt (2010: 1%; 2009: 1%; 2007: 0%). The overall percentage of residents that felt safe walking alone after dark in 2010 was also statistically consistent with past years. However, statistically fewer respondents indicated feeling somewhat unsafe when compared to 2007 levels (2010: 7%; 2009: 8%; 2007: 9%) and feeling unsafe in general when walking alone after dark in 2010 (9%) when compared to 2007 (11%). Figure 11 Safety in Carlsbad 100% i 80% -j 60% 4 40% - 20% - 0% 100% -s 80% 60% 40% H 20% 0% 2010 2009 2007 2010 2009 2007 Walking alone in neighborhood during the day Walking alone in neighborhood after dark E Very safe DSomewhat safe QSomewhat unsafe BVery unsafe QDK/NA a Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05)1 Statistically significant change from 2007 Question not asked in 2008. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Given the very high percentage of residents that felt safe walking alone in their neighborhood during the day (and thereby the limited amount of differentiation among sub-groups), the focus of the sub-group analysis to follow is on safety walking alone after dark. • Several sub-groups were more likely to report feeling unsafe than their counterparts, including: residents who reported dissatisfaction with the job the City is doing to provide services; those who were very dissatisfied with the City's efforts to communicate with residents; those who felt the quality of life in Carlsbad was "Getting worse"; those who had not heard anything about preventing water pollution; and residents who were not confident in city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents. • Residents with a high sense of community were more likely to report feeling safe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark than those with a medium or low sense of community ("High" 91% safe; "Medium" 85%; "Low" 78%). Demographically • Female residents were four times more likely to report feeling unsafe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark as compared to male residents (13% vs. 3%). • Residents in the 18 to 24 year age group were more likely than the other age cohorts to report feeling "Somewhat safe," however; total safety ("Somewhat safe" plus "Very safe") was statistically indifferent from the other age groups. • Residents with children in the house were more likely to feel unsafe when walking alone at night when compared to those without children (11% v. 7%). • Respondents who have lived in Carlsbad for less than five years were more likely than those who have lived in the City longer to report feeling safe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark ("Less than five years" 92%; "Five years or more" 85%). • There were no differences in the overall percentages of respondents reporting they felt safe or unsafe by zip code. However, more residents in zip code 92010 reported feeling "Very safe" than residents in other zip codes (92008: 47%; 92009: 50%; 92010: 62%; 92011: 50%). Residents of 92011 were the most likely to report feeling "Very unsafe" (92008: 1%; 92009: 1%; 92010: 0.0%; 92011: 4%). • Residents of Calavera/ Calavera Hills (95%) were the most likely to report feeling safe when walking alone in their neighborhood after dark. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad SAFETY: COMPARISON TO OTHER CITIES As discussed in the previous section, Carlsbad residents felt safe walking alone in their neighborhood during both the day and night. Walking Alone in their Neighborhood During the Day Figure 12 shows examples of residents' feelings of safety walking alone in their neighborhood during the day in cities throughout California that have conducted comparable studies within the past five years. Carlsbad was in the top tier with regard to this metric. Figure 12 Safety Walking Aione During the Day: Comparison to Other Cities12 Small City, Orange County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small City, El Dorado County Small City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, Los Angeles County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County 93% Mid-Sized City, San Bernardino County Mid-Sized City, Riverside County 90% GOTO Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County Large City, San Francisco County 85% 83% Small City, Riverside County 81% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 12 Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Walking Alone in their Neighborhood After Dark As is always the case with this type of question, residents reported lower safety ratings for walking alone in their neighborhood after dark as compared to during the day. With 87 percent of residents reporting they felt safe walking alone in their neighborhood after dark, Carlsbad placed within the top tier among comparable resident research projects. Figure 13 Safety Walking Alone After Dark: Comparison to Other Cities13 Mid-Sized City, Orange County Mid-Sized City, Orange County Small City, Orange County Large City, Orange County Small City, Riverside County City of Carlsbad, San Diego County Small City, El Dorado County Small City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, San Mateo County Mid-Sized City, Santa Clara County Mid-Sized City, San Diego County Mid-Sized City, Los Angeles County Mid-Sized City, San Bernardino County Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County Mid-Sized City, Sacramento County Mid-Sized City, Riverside County Large City, San Francisco County 80% 78% 71% 68% 66% 61% 55% 52% 50% 0%20%40%60%80%100% 13 Small cities were defined as those with a total population up to 50,000. Mid-sized cities were those with a population between 50,001 and 150,000. Large cities were those with a population of 150,001 or more. [bw|:. R E S E ARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report CONFIDENCE IN CITY GOVERNMENT Seventy-eight percent of residents reported confidence in Carlsbad city government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of its community members. Twenty-two percent indicated they were "Very confident" and 55 percent were "Somewhat confident." Figure 14 Confidence in..City Government toMakeDecisions Somewhat confident 55.2% Somewhat unconfident 12.0% Very unconfident 5.5% DK/NA In 2010, overall confidence in city government improved from the level reported in 2009, making it statistically consistent with the levels reported in 2008 and 2007 (2010: 78% 2009: 74%; 2008: 76%; 2007: 79%). Table 3 Confidence in City Government to Make Decisions1 Confidence in Carlsbad government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents Base Very confident Somewhat confident Total confident Somewhat unconfident Very unconfident Total unconfident DK/NA 2010 1,000 22.4% 55.2% 77.6% ° 12.0%° 5.5% 17.4%" 4.9% 2009 1,000 21.6% 52.2% 73.7%' 15.7% 6.5% 22.2%' 4.0% 2008 1,000 23.6% 52.1% 75.7% 12.9% 7.5% 20.4% 3.9% 2007 1,001 23.1% 55.4% 78.5% 12.7% 5.4% 18.1% 3.4% Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) Statistically significant change from 2008 Statistically significant change from 2007 14 Discrepancy in the percentage total confident in 2009 as compared to the percentage "Very" and "Somewhat" confident is due to rounding. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of residents' 2010 confidence in Carlsbad government by sub-groups. • In general, residents confident in Carlsbad city government were more likely to rate other aspects of life in Carlsbad favorably. Confidence was positively correlated with: residents' views regarding quality of life; direction of the community; sense of community; safety walking alone in their neighborhood; satisfaction with city services; satisfaction with city-resident communication; and residents' experience visiting Carlsbad's Downtown Village. • Residents with a "High" sense of community (87%) were more likely than those with a "Medium" (75%) or "Low" (52%) sense of community to indicate confidence in city government. • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of residents' confidence in Carlsbad government: o Satisfaction with the job the City of Carlsbad is doing to provide city services; o The degree to which respondents felt a strong sense of community, weak sense of community, or no sense of community at all (Question 7 of the survey); o Perceptions regarding the direction of the quality of life in Carlsbad; and o Satisfaction with the City's efforts to maintain the business climate in Carlsbad. Demographically • Among the age groups, confidence was lowest among those 18 to 24 (73%) and highest among those 65 years and older (87%). • Confidence was higher among residents in zip code 92010 as compared to the other three zip codes (92008: 77%; 92009: 75%; 92010: 85%; 92011: 78%). RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report '- SATISFACTION WITH SPECIFIC CITY SERVICES Over 90 percent of residents who provided an opinion15 were satisfied with the City's efforts to "Provide library services" (96%), "Maintain city parks" (96%), "Provide fire protection and prevention services" (95%), "Provide sewer services" (93%), "Provide taw enforcement services" (93%), and "Provide water services" (90%). Figure 15 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services Provide library services Maintain city parks Provide fire protection and emergency medical services Provide sewer services Provide law enforcement services Provide water services Provide recreation programs Provide trails and walking paths Provide local arts and cultural opportunities Repair and maintain local streets and roads Maintain the business climate in Carlsbad Protect water quality in the City's creeks, lagoons, and the ocean Manage traffic congestion on city streets Provide enough undeveloped areas in the City for habitat protection Manage residential growth and development 76.5% 66.5% 70.1% 58.5% 64.5% 19.6% 29.3% 24.6% 34.5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% •Very satisfied D Somewhat satisfied 15 Due to the higher than average percentage of "Don't know/ no answer" responses for many items, those responses were filtered out of the analysis for this series. The high percentage of "Don't know/ no answer" is likely due to residents' lack of direct experience with those specific services. RE S E A RC H PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad The table below shows the overall percentage of residents that were satisfied, neither satisfied nor dissatisfied, or dissatisfied with the City's efforts in each area. Table 4 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services Satisfaction with the City's efforts to... Provide library services Maintain city parks Provide fire protection and emergency medical services Provide sewer services Provide law enforcement services Provide water services Provide recreation programs Provide trails and walking paths Provide local arts and cultural opportunities Repair and maintain local streets and roads Maintain the business climate in Carlsbad Protect water quality in the City's creeks, lagoons, and the ocean Manage traffic congestion on city streets Provide enough undeveloped areas in the City for habitat protection Manage residential growth and development Average across items Satisfied 96.1% 95.8% 94.7% 93.0% 92.7% 90.2% 89.4% 89.3% 87.4% 85.9% 83.6% 83.1% 74.1% 72.4% 66.8% 86.4% Neither 2.5% 1.1% 3.7% 5.5% 2.7% 4.7% 4.9% 2.6% 6.8% 4.0% 8.6% 6.6% 4.8% 5.6% 8.8% 4.8% Dissatisfied 1.3% 3.0% 1.7% 1.6% 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 8.1% 5.8% 10.0% 7.8% 10.2% 21.1% 22.0% 24.4% 8.8% Satisfaction Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad All changes in satisfaction evidenced from previous years were positive improvements. From 2009 to 2010, there was a statistically significant increase in satisfaction for providing law enforcement services (2010: 93%; 2009: 90%; 2008: 92%; 2007: 92%). The percentage of residents satisfied with the City's efforts to manage traffic congestion on city streets in 2010 was significantly higher than each of the three previous years (2010: 74%; 2009: 70%; 2008: 68%; 2007: 64%). The percentage of residents satisfied with the City's efforts to manage residential growth and development has also increased each year, with the percentage statistically higher than 2008 and 2007 (2010: 67%; 2009: 64%; 2008: 62%; 2007: 57%). Although unchanged from 2009, the percentage of residents satisfied with the City's efforts to protect water quality in the City's creeks, lagoons, and the ocean (2010: 83%; 2009: 82%; 2008: 76%; 2007: not asked) and provide enough undeveloped areas in the City for habitat protection (2010: 72%; 2009: 71%; 2008: 67%; 2007: not asked) were statistically higher in 2010 than 2008. The three charts to follow show satisfaction with each local issue or service over time. Figure 16 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Top 5) Dark=Very satisfied Provide library services '10 ' '09 '08 '07 Maintain city p '10 '09 '08 '07 Provide fire protection and emergency medical service '10 '09 | 74.2% '08 '07 Provide sewer services '10 '09 '08 '07 Provide law enforcement services '10 '09 '08 '07 Light=Somewhat satisfied 24.6% 19.9% I Total Satisfied 96.1% 96.7% 96.6% 96.3% 95.8% 94.4% 95.5% 95.0% 94.7% 94.1% 58.5%34.5% 30.0% 33.5% 31.8% 93.0% 90.8% 92.0% 91.6% 92.7% 90.0% 92.3% 92.3% 100% [bw]- R E S E A R C H PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad Figure 17 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Midjj) Light=Somewhat satisfied 55.5% Dark=Very satisfied Provide water services '10 '09 I 56.0% ^^^^^^^•^^^^^M^^^^^H'08 '07 I 34.7% 32.8% 33.8% Provide recreational programs '10 '09 'OS '07 ! 54.7% 55.4% 59.0% Provide trails and wa|k!nc '10 '09 '08 '07 | Daths 53.0% idJWi 51.6% Provide local arts and cultural opportunities '10 '09 | 50.0% '08 '07 Repar and mainta nlocal streets '10 '09 | _ 47.6% '08 '07 o%20%40% 31.7% 34.0% 29.1% 34.3% 34.3% 32.8% 34.8% 33.8% 35.2% 39.4% 36.7% 38.7% 41.4% 38.7% 39.0% 42.8% 60%80% Total Satisfied 90.2% 88.8% 90.9% 92.5% 89.4% 88.1% 89.9% 89.0% 89.3% 87.8% 87.5% 86.8% 87.4% 86.7% 88.3% 88.2% 85.9% 86.6% 84.3% 85.5%1 100% RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad Figure 18 Satisfaction with Local Issues and Services by Year (Last 5) Dark=Very satisfied Maintian the business climate in Carlsbad— ~ Light=Somewhat satisfied 36.6% 31.1% 40.5% 39.5% Protect water qualityin the City's creeks, lagoons, and the ocean '10 | •'•.'• H 40.8% '09 '08 '07 Manage traffic congestion on City streets '10 ' '09 '08 '07 43.0% 36.7% 42.5% 22.8%l_.J 41.4% Provide enoug '10 Total Satisfied 83.6% 83.7% 83.2% 85.3% 83.1% 82.3% 76.1% 74.1% 69.5% 68.1% 64.2% 72.4% 70.9% 66.5% 66.8% 63.7% 61.6% 57.0% 0%20%40%60%80%100% RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 City of Carlsbad Resident Survey Report RECYCLING AND TRASH SERVICE PREFERENCES Respondents were next presented with the opinions of two neighbors who live in Carlsbad and who disagree about Carlsbad's options for trash and recycling containers. This question was asked for the first time in 2010. Below are the opinions of the two neighbors: • Smith believes that the City of Carlsbad should replace current trash cans and the small recycling bins with three containers provided by the City for recycling, trash, and yard waste. Smith is willing to pay approximately two dollars more a month for trash and recycling services that provide more convenient containers and have enough space for all of our recyclable materials. • Jones believes that the City of Carlsbad should not change the current recycling bins and trash cans with city-provided containers. Jones does not want to pay any more money a month for trash and recycling services when the current system is working just fine. After hearing each opinion, residents were asked to select the one closest to their own. The majority of residents (57%) agreed with Jones that additional fees are not necessary when the current system is working just fine. Thirty-six percent of residents identified with Smith that the City should provide three containers for an additional fee of approximately two dollars a month. The remainder of respondents did not agree with either opinion (2%), agreed with a combination of both (1%), or did not know or declined to state (3%). Figure 19 Recycling and Trash Service Preferences Keep the current system 57.1% Replace with three city- provided containers >- 36.3% DK/NA 3.4% Neither 2.2% Combination 1.1% 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of residents' opinions regarding recycling and trash service by sub-groups. • Demographic groups that were more likely to prefer replacing the current system with three city-provided containers and a two dollar fee increase included: o Females (42%); o Households with children (44%); o Renters (44%); o Apartment residents (55%); and o Carlsbad residents of less than ten years (45%). • Respondents 25 to 34 years of age (57%) were the most likely to agree with replacing the current system. With the exception of those in the 18 to 24 year group, the preference to keep the system as it is now was correlated with age. Respondents aged 65 and older were the most likely to prefer the system remain the same. RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report SATISFACTION WITH CITY-RESIDENT COMMUNICATION Seventy-four percent of residents were either "Very" (31%) or "Somewhat" (42%) satisfied with the City's efforts to communicate with residents. Seventeen percent reported dissatisfaction and nine percent did not know or declined to state an opinion. Compared with 2009, more residents did not know or declined to state their satisfaction with city-resident communication in 2010 (2010: 9%; 2009: 5%). As a result, the total percentage satisfied decreased from 79 percent in 2009 to 74 percent in 2010 while the percentage dissatisfied remained unchanged (2010: 17%; 2009: 16%). However, when residents who did not know or declined to state (i.e., "DK/NA") were filtered out of the analysis, the percentage of residents satisfied with city-resident communication was statistically comparable to 2009 (2010: 81%; 2009: 83%). Figure 20 Satisfaction with City-Resident Communication16 100% ! 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 9,2% .5.1% 12.2% 42.3% 5.1% 11.1% 49,5% 31.3% 2010 29.3% 2009 0 DK/NA D Very dissatisfied D Somewhat dissatisfied O Somewhat satisfied • Very satisfied Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) ' The wording for this question was changed in 2009, As such, the 2008 and 2007 results are not displayed. 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of residents' satisfaction with city-resident communication. • Satisfaction with city-resident communication was positively correlated with a number of other variables throughout the survey, including: residents' views on quality of life; perceptions regarding the direction of the community; sense of community; safety walking alone in their neighborhood; satisfaction with the City's efforts to provide services; and confidence in city government. • Residents who cited using the City website, reading the North County Times, using the community services or recreation guide, or reading flyers (in the water bill or at city buildings) to look for city information were more likely to be satisfied with city-resident communication. • Residents who recalled being exposed to information regarding ways to prevent the pollution of local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean reported higher satisfaction with city-resident communication than those who did not recall hearing or seeing any information. • A regression analysis revealed the following as the top predictors of residents' satisfaction with city-resident communication: o Confidence in Carlsbad government to make decisions that positively affect the lives of residents and o Satisfaction with the City's efforts to provide recreation programs. Demographically • The age group that was most satisfied with city-resident communication was the 65 and older cohort (83%) and the least satisfied group was the 18 to 24 year old cohort (64%). • Residents of La Costa/ La Costa Canyon/ La Costa Oaks were the most likely to report dissatisfaction with city-resident communication (25% vs. an average of 17%). 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad New to the 2010 survey, residents were asked how they would most likely find and contact the appropriate person at the City to report an issue or concern or to get specific information about city services. Fifty-eight percent of residents indicated they would "Look on the City website to find the appropriate information or an electronic form to complete." The next most popular response was to "Find the phone number of the appropriate city employee and call them," which 35 percent of respondents chose. Table 5...Contacting the Appropriate Person at the City Offered Responses Look on the City website to find the appropriate information or an electronic form to complete Find the phone number of the appropriate city employee and call them Send an email to the appropriate employee or City department 50.9% 35.0% 7.2% Other Responses Walk in to City offices General Internet Multiple methods Miscellaneous DK/NA 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 4.0% Residents aged 55 years and older responded in greater proportion with the phone-based option, while those under 55 were more likely to prefer using the City website. The preference for phone was also found for residents without children and those who have lived in Carlsbad for 15 years or longer. Respondents living in the La Costa zip codes (92009 and 92011) were more likely to prefer the City website when compared to the remaining Carlsbad zip codes of 92008 and 92010 (55% vs. 46%). Respondents from the remaining Carlsbad zip codes were more likely to choose the phone-based answer (40% vs. 31%). « CARLSBAD ^ c Ai.>FO«N'A • jitebad City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report INFORMATION SOURCES Residents were next asked how often they referred to a variety of sources for information about city issues, services, or activities. Television news (33% regular use), water bill flyers (29%), the San Diego Union Tribune (23%), the community services or recreation guide (22%), and the North County Times (22%) were each "Regularly" utilized by at least 20 percent of residents. Figure 21 Frequency of Using Information Sources Television news Flyers that come in your water bill The San Diego Union-Tribune or www.signonsandiego.com The community services or recreation guide The North County Times or www.nctimes.com The City of Carlsbad web site Flyers at City buildings like the Library, Senior Center, or community centers Social media web sites such as Facebook, Twitter or YouTube 32.5%21.2%18.4%26.5% 22.2%13%32.0% 18.6%16.9%41.0% 30.1%23.3%22.3% 15.7%16.8%44.6% 28.9%26.1%30.3% 26.2%25.6%33.0% 7%13%68.5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% • Regularly O Sometimes D Seldom D Never DDK/NA Figure sorted by the percentage that "Regularly" used each source. Question not asked in 2008 or 2007. [bWJ RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad In terms of overall use, the community services or recreation guide (76%) and television news (72%) were each utilized by more than seven of ten residents. Similar to 2009, social media websites such as Facebook, Twitter, or YouTube were the least frequently utilized source for city information (31%). Compared with 2009, statistically fewer residents in 2010 referred to the North County Times (2010: 54%; 2009: 60%), San Diego Union-Tribune (2010: 59%; 2009: 67%), and television news (2010: 72%; 2009: 77%) for information about city issues, services, or activities. Figure 22 Overail Use of Information Sources18 Community services or recreation guide Television news City of Carlsbad web site Flyers at City buildings Flyers that come in your water bill San Diego Union-Tribune North County Times Social media websites • 2010 02009 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) 1 Question series not asked in 2008 or 2007. 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad To follow is the assessment of sources for information about city issues, services, or activities by resident sub-groups. The percentages below are overall use of each source among the sub-groups. • Female respondents were statistically more likely than males to use television news (75% vs. 69%), flyers at city buildings (70% vs. 60%), the community services or recreation guide (80% vs. 71%), and the San Diego Union Tribune (62% vs. 55%). • Compared to respondents in other age groups, a higher percentage of residents 18 to 24 years old referred to social media websites (62%) and/ or flyers at city buildings (83%). • Seniors 65 years and older were the least likely to use the City website (48%) and social media websites (14%). Seniors were the most likely of any age group to refer to the North County Times (61%). • When compared with renters, a higher percentage of homeowners utilized water bill flyers for city information, the San Diego Union Tribune, the community services or recreation guide, the City of Carlsbad website, and television news. • Residents with children were more likely than those without to refer to the community services or recreations guide (80% vs. 72%) or the City of Carlsbad website (79% vs. 62%) when looking for information about city issues, services, or activities. • Residents of zip code 92008 were the least likely to use the City of Carlsbad website (59% vs. an average of 69%). • Residents of zip codes 92008 and 92010 were less likely to refer to the San Diego Union Tribune than residents in 92009 or 92011 (92008: 51%; 92009: 64%; 92010: 51%; 92011: 65%). City of Carlsbad 2010 Resident Survey Report PREVENTING POLLUTION OF CREEKS, LAGOONS, AND OCEAN Nearly two-thirds of residents (65%) have seen or heard information in the past year about how residents can prevent the pollution of local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean. The percentage of residents that had heard information in the past year about preventing the pollution of local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean decreased from 2009, but was statistically higher than 2008 and 2007 (2010: 65%; 2009: 74%; 2008: 57%; 2007; 60%). Figure 23 Informed about Preventinci WaterPollutjon 65.2% Yes 59.7% DK/NA I1 M - 0.9% * ' 1.3% ¥ I 3.2% j 2.3% • 2010 D2009 • 2008 D2007 0%20%40%60%80%100% ° Statistically significant change from 2009 (p< .05) ¥ Statistically significant change from 2008 1 Statistically significant change from 2007 The following sub-groups were the most likely to recall hearing or seeing information about preventing water pollution: o Residents with a "High" sense of community; o Residents 35 years and older; o Those without children in the household; o Homeowners; and o Residents in zip codes 92011 or 92009. RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP 2010 Public Opinion Survey - Report City of Carlsbad SOURCE OF INFORMATION Residents who recalled seeing or hearing water pollution prevention information were next asked to recall the source of the information in an open-ended format. The most frequently cited sources of information were television (32%), newsletters (21%), and the newspaper (20%). Fjg_ure 24 Source of Poiiution Prevention information (n= TV Newsletters Newspaper Water/ utility bill Curb signs Brochures Radio Website Family/ friends/ other word of mouth School Posters Public events/ booth Information in the mail Flyer Internet Movie theaters Lagoon Foundation Magazine 5.9% 4.0% 3.6% 3.4% 2.9% 2.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% City building or library \ 0.6% "LSigns near lagoons/ beach/ trails f 0.6% Other Don't know/ not sure 2.0% 4.0% 20%40%60% Compared with the 2009 results, a statistically lower percentage of residents in the 2010 survey cited television (32% vs. 38%), the radio (8% vs. 12%), the newspaper (20% vs. 28%), and brochures (10% vs. 16%). The most notable increase from 2009 was in the percentage that cited newsletters (21% vs. 11%). ' Multiple responses permitted; the percentages in the figure total more than 100 percent. 2010 Public Opinion Survey- Report City of Carlsbad ACTION TAKEN BASED ON INFORMATION Those residents who recalled seeing or hearing information about how to prevent water pollution were next asked to indicate what they had done, if anything, to reduce the amount of pollution in local creeks, lagoons, and the ocean. Twenty-six percent of respondents to this follow-up question indicated that they had not done anything or declined to state. Twenty-two percent of those who recalled hearing or seeing pollution prevention information properly disposed of hazardous waste, 15 percent used a commercial car wash, and 14 percent used environmentally friendly products. Compared with 2009, residents in 2010 were less likely to indicate that they had taken action to prevent water pollution, placing the percentage back in line with 2008 and 2007 responses (2010: 74%: 2009: 81%; 2008: 76%; 2007: 75%). Figure 25 Action Taken Based on Pollution Prevention Information (n=652)20 Properly disposed of hazardous waste Used a commercial car wash Used environmentally friendly soaps, pesticides, etc. Cleaned up trash at parks and beaches Recycled Careful of what goes down sewer/ no longer dump down storm drain Reduced water usage/ used water more efficiently Cleaned up animal waste Reduced run-off/ erosion control Don't litter I do everything I can/1 don't pollute Don't wash cars as much/ don't wash in driveway Reduce trash/ plastics Other Have not done anything DK/NA 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 20 Multiple responses permitted; the percentages in the figure total more than 100 percent. RESEARCH PARTNERSHIP