HomeMy WebLinkAbout2015-05-12; City Council; 21958; Presentation San Diego Forward Regional PlanCITY OF CARLSBAD-AGENDA BILL
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DEPT.
21 958
5/12/2015 RECEIVE A PRESENTATION ON THE DRAFT
SAN DIEGO FORWARD: THE REGIONAL PLAN
DEPT. DIRECTOR
CITY ATTORNEY
CITY MANAGER CEO
RECOMMENDED ACTION:
Receive a presentation from SANDAG representatives on the recently released draft of San Diego
Forward: The Regional Plan.
ITEM EXPLANATION:
On April 24, 2015 the SANDAG Board of Directors released the draft of San Diego Forward: The
Regional Plan for public review and comment. The draft regional plan incorporates three major
planning documents -the Regional Transportation Plan, Sustainable Communities Strategy, and
Regional Comprehensive Plan into a single plan for the region's future. The draft plan has been under
development for the last two and a half years. SANDAG representatives will provide an overview of the
plan and the opportunities for public comment.
FISCAL IMPACT:
There is no fiscal impact for the City Council to receive a presentation on the draft regional plan.
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT:
Pursuant to public Resources Code Section 21065, this action does not constitute a "project" within the
meaning of CEQA in that it has no potential to cause either a direct physical change in the environment,
or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment, and therefore does not
require environmental review.
DEPARTMENT CONTACT: Don Neu 760-602-4612 don.neu@carlsbadca.gov
FOR CITY CLERKS USE ONLY.
COUNCIL ACTION: APPROVED
DENIED
CONTINUED
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AMENDED
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CONTINUED TO DATE SPECIFIC
CONTINUED TO DATE UNKNOWN
RETURNED TO STAFF
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Council received presentation.
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Aiming for a Vision that Works for All
SAN.IMG
To provide innovative mobility choices and planning to
support a sustainable and healthy reg1on, a vibrant economy,
and an outstanding quality of life for all.
4
Developing the Plan: Input and Ideas
SAN.IMG
5
Innovative Mobility & Planning
SAN.IMG
TODAY:
Where People Live
and Work
•3.1 million people
•1.5 million jobs
•1.2 million homes
6
2050:
Where People will
Live and Work
•4.1 million people
•1.9 million jobs
•1.5 million homes
7
TODAY:
Regional Transit
8
b l•tfng Population end
£mployment Den.siti.,
with Tr•Mit N.tworit
Allfl4201'J
-lt~l;til.ft~
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2050:
More Transit Choices
•Five new Trolley lines
•32 new Rapid lines
•New SPRINTER express
service and extension
•Continued COASTER
double tracking
•Four new streetcar lines
•Three new intermodal
transit centers
9
TODAY:
Managed Lanes
and Highways
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2050:
More Managed Lane
Choices
•Managed Lanes
•Operational
improvements
•Highway lanes
•New HOV and
highway connectors
(not shown)
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TODAY:
Regional Bikeways
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Existing Populatlon and
EmploY""'"~ Densities
wiU1 Ill•• N1flwotk
Apnl1015
-~111 .... "-tNit'l..oriC
•
2050:
More Biking and
Walking Choices
•Complete the Regional Bike
Network
•Additional investments (not shown)
•Safe routes to transit projects
•Safety improvements at highway
interchanges
•Safe routes to school programs
•Local bike and pedestrian projects
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Incorporating innovative technology
and maximizing our system
~-
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Mobility Hub Concept 0 Package delivery
0 Bike parlctno 0 Shatl!d mobility
s.Nices G) PoedHUian fadlltiM
0 ReaJ.tlmt ttantlt ln1o 0 Smart lrt1w..ctlon G Protected bltvway
0 lnfo-rmotlon;alldo,Jr 0 aec:trk vehicle
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Healthy Environment and Communities
SAN.IMG
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Open Space Preservation
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Open Space Preservation
Planned Open Space in the 1990s
850,000 acres
1.85 million acres
Available for Development __
Planned for Preservation __
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Open Space Preservation
1.2 million
acres1.5 million
acres
Planned for Preservation __
More than half the land
in the county will be
preserved as
open space
Available for Development __
2050
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NEW Housing Mix
Single Family
__
1990s Projected Mix of New Housing
48%52%
Multi-Family
__
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New Housing Mix
18%
82%
San Diego Forward
projected mix of
New housing
2050
Single Family
__Multi-Family
__
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TOTAL Housing Mix
1990s Projected Total Regional Housing Mix
61%39%
Single Family
__Multi-Family
__
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TOTAL Housing Mix
San Diego Forward
projected Total regional
housing mix
50%50%
Single Family
__Multi-Family
__
2050
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Our Changing Land Use Pattern
1999 Planned Land Use 2015 Planned Land Use
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Environmental Mitigation Program
La Costa
21 acres
Coastal Sage Scrub
Jamul
953 acres
Coastal Sage Scrub & Chaparral
San Luis Rey/Bonsall
137 acres
Wetlands, Woodland, Scrub
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Environmental Mitigation Program
•$850 million TransNet program started in
2008
•Conserved 3,450 acres of sensitive habitat
to date
•Over 2 dozen separate land purchases
•Provided 70 land management grants,
totaling more than $11 million
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Smart Growth Incentive Programs
TransNet Active Transportation ProgramsMaple Street Plaza
Escondido
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Smart Growth Incentive Programs
TransNet Active Transportation ProgramsBird Rock Roundabouts
La Jolla
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Smart Growth Incentive Programs
•$560 million Smart Growth Incentive
Programs started in 2008
•Invested $35 million to date
•$15 million additional to be awarded
summer 2015
•35 local projects completed
•43 local projects underway
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•Preserving our environment
•Creating vibrant communities
•Providing more transportation choices
•Addressing climate change
Planning for Sustainability
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Sources of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Greenhouse gas emissions
inventory for the San Diego Region
–2012
Passenger Cars &
Light-Duty Vehicles39%
Electricity
22%
Natural Gas End Uses8%
Other Fuels/Cogeneration Thermal
6%
Solid Waste
5%
Industrial Processes
and Products4%
Heavy-Duty Trucks and Vehicles4%Aviation4%
Off-Road Equipment and Vehicles3%
Wildfire2%
Water Supply and Conveyance1%
Wastewater<1%
Rail<1%
Agriculture<1%Marine Vessels
<1%
Motorcycles<1%
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State Strategies for Reducing Emissions
Advanced Clean Cars
State regulations requiring higher miles per gallon
and the sale of more zero emission vehicles
State Regulations requiring low carbon fuels
Reducing vehicle miles traveled
through coordinated transportation and land use planning
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SB 375 Greenhouse Gas Targets
and Emissions Reductions
-7%
-13%
-18%
-24%
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
2005 2020 2035 2050
Targets Set by the State for SANDAG to Reduce Per Capita
CO2 Emissions from Passenger Vehicles Compared to 2005
ARB Target San Diego Forward Projections
-30%
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Vibrant Economy
SAN.IMG
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Vibrant Economy
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Economic Benefits
•$1 invested results in nearly $2 of economic benefit
•53,000 new jobs on average annually
•20 percent to build and operate the transportation system
•80 percent from improved economic climate
•$13.4 billion in annual increased gross regional on
average to 2050
•10 percent to build and operate the transportation system
•90 percent from improved economic climate
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Economic Benefits
•Supports High-Tech and Research
•Improves opportunities for business clustering
•Makes the region more attractive to skilled workers
•Increases Access to Jobs and Education
•Connects low-income residents to employment and education
•Deepens talent pool for employers
•Helps to realize under-used economic potential
•Connects San Diego to the World
•Supports trade passing through the international border
•Improves goods movement through Port of San Diego
•Enhances experience for business travelers and tourists
•Supports Military Presence in the San Diego Region
•Connects service members and families to bases, housing and education
•Connects bases to industry clusters
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Implementing the Plan: Where does the
money come from and when?
2014-
2020
(8%)
2021 -
2035
(29%)2036-
2050
(63%)
Major Revenue Sources Phased Revenues
$203.4 billion in year of expenditure (YOE) dollars
Local
35%
Federal
18%
State
34%
TransNet
13%
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•Preserve more than half our land as open space
•Exceed greenhouse gas reduction targets
•Provide more mobility choices
•Invest $204 billion in transportation in our most urbanized areas
•Yield almost $2 for every dollar invested
•Reduce number of people driving alone in peak periods
•Provide 100 new miles of Trolley and SPRINTER service
•Increase transit access from 35 percent to 61 percent
•Increase jobs close to transit from 42 percent to 71 percent
•Increase the number of people taking transit to work (almost 20
percent in Downtown and 9 percent in University City and Kearny
Mesa)
•Reduce collision rates for bicycles and pedestrians by 18 percent
Results? By 2050, the Regional Plan will...
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•With increased SPRINTER service, transit mode share along the SR
78 corridor in Vista more than doubles –increasing from 2% in 2012
to 7% in 2050
•With I-5 Managed Lanes and COASTER improvements, Palomar
Airport Road area sees a 6% decrease in people driving alone in peak
periods and 2% increase of carpools, transit use, and goods
movement
•Jobs within ½ mile of high frequency transit in the Oceanside-
Escondido SPRINTER Corridor increase from 24% in 2012 to 92% in
2050
North County
North County
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•Spring 2015:
Release Draft San Diego Forward: The Regional Plan
and Draft Environmental Impact Report for
public review and comment
–May Public Workshops
–June Public Hearings
•Fall 2015:
SANDAG Board adopts the Plan and certifies the EIR
What Happens Next?
sdforward.com
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North County San Diego Map Detail
Regional Plan Public Outreach
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario:
2020 Transit Network
0
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario:
2035 Transit Network
0
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario:
2050 Transit Network
0
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario: 2020 Managed Lanes and Highway Network Improvements
0
0
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario: 2035 Managed Lanes and Highway Network Improvements
0
0
Revenue Constrained Preferred Scenario: 2050 Managed Lanes and Highway Network Improvements
0
SIINDAG
2050
Revenue Constrained
Managed Lanes and
Highway Network
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