HomeMy WebLinkAbout2017-06-29; City Council; ; Public Hearing Regarding Draft Maps of the City's Proposed Voting Districts Pursuant to Elections Code section 10010(a)(2) (Third of Five Public Hearings)Page 1
r\ CITY COUNCIL
~ Staff Report
Meeting Date;
To:
From:
Staff Contact:
June 29, 2017
Mayor and City Council v/.
Kevin Crawford, City Manage~
Celi a Brewer, City Attorney
760-434-2891
CA Review C{:j_
Subject: Public Hearing Regarding Draft Maps of the City's Proposed Voting
Districts Pursuant to Elections Code section 10010(a)(2) (Third of Five
Public Hearings)
Recommended Action
Receive public comment regarding draft maps of voting district boundaries.
Executive Summary
In response to a threat to sue the City for alleged violations of the California Voting Rights Act
("CVRA") (Elec. Code§§ 14025-14032) (Exhibit 1), and in order to avoid the potentially significant
litigation expenses that are likely to occur if the City retains its at-large election method of
election, at the City Council's May 9, 2017 hearing, the Council adopted Resolution No. 2017-083
(Exhibit 2) outlining its intention to transition from at-large to district based elections.
Pursuant to Elections Code section 10010(a)(l), on May 30, 2017 and June 13, 2017, the City held
two public hearings to receive public input regarding the composition of the City's voting districts
before any draft maps of voting districts were drawn. While not legally required, the City also
held two public workshops on Saturday, June 10, 2017 for this same purpose. The City Council
will hold at least two more public hearings to receive and consider public input on proposed
district maps before ultimately adopting district boundaries.
Based on public input, the Council's direction regarding the number of districts, and other legally
required criteria, the City's districting consultant/demographer has now prepared proposed draft
district maps for public review and comment, pursuant to Elections Code section 10010(a)(2).
These maps, along maps drawn by members of the public that meet the population and other
mandatory districting criteria, were publically released on the City's website on June 22, 2017.
Discussion
On April 11, 2017, the City received a letter from the law firrn of Shenkman & Hughes threatening
to sue the City for alleged violations of the CVRA unless the City voluntarily converts to elections
by district. The CVRA applies to jurisdictions, including charter cities, that utilize an "at-large"
method of election, where voters of the entire jurisdiction elect the members of the City Council.
The CVRA was specifically enacted in 2002 to eliminate several key burden of proof requirements
that exist under the federal Voting Rights Act of 1965 ("FVRA") (52 U.S.C. § 10301 et seq.) after
several jurisdictions in California successfully defended themselves in litigation brought under
the FVRA. The CVRA is tilted heavily in favor of plaintiffs’ attorneys because after the removal of
these federal burden of proof requirements, the threshold to establish liability under the CVRA
is extremely low, and prevailing plaintiffs are guaranteed to recover their attorneys’ fees and
costs. Every government defendant in the history of the CVRA that has challenged the conversion
to district elections has either lost in court or settled, and has also been forced to pay at least
some portion of the plaintiffs’ attorneys’ fees and costs; indeed over the relatively short 15-year
history of the CVRA, and only after an initial challenge to it was resolved in 2006, plaintiff public
agencies have paid nearly $15 million to CVRA plaintiff attorneys (Exhibit 3). In sum, all CVRA
cases that have been filed have ended with the defendant governmental agency implementing a
district election system and paying some sort of attorneys’ fee payment.
In response to the substantial costs imposed upon cities and other public agencies in defending
CVRA suits, in 2016 the California Legislature amended the Elections Codes to simplify the process
of converting to by-district method of election and to provide a “safe harbor” process to protect
agencies from litigation. Because the City Council enacted Resolution No. 2017-083 declaring its
intent to convert to a by-district method of election within 45 days of receiving the Shenkman &
Hughes demand letter, a CVRA lawsuit cannot be filed before August 7, 2017 (90 days after the
Council’s May 9 adoption of the Resolution). (Elec. Code § 10010(e)(3).)
The first step of the process in the City’s conversion from its current at-large method of election
to a by-district system was to hold two public hearings and receive public comment regarding the
composition of the yet to be formed voting districts, before any maps are drawn. (Elec. Code §
10010(a).) These hearings were held on May 30, 2017 and June 13, 2017, and the City held public
workshops on Saturday, June 10, 2017 for this same purpose. The City also allowed the public to
submit input regarding district boundaries via an online redistricting tool, provided by the City’s
districting consultant/demographer (National Demographics Corporation, or NDC), available at
http://www.carlsbadca.gov/cityhall/clerk/maps.asp. Further background information relating
to the districting process is available for the public on the City’s website at
http://www.carlsbadca.gov/cityhall/clerk/district.asp.
At the June 13, 2017 hearing, the City Council directed the City’s districting consultant to develop
maps containing four districts, which results in the City retaining a separately elected mayor. The
City Council made this decision based on the fact that the separately elected position of mayor
was established by a voter-sponsored initiative in 1964. When drawing districts to present to the
public and Council, the City’s consultant considered several mandatory districting criteria
required by federal law, as well as other permissive criteria under state and federal law. These
criteria were discussed at the May 30, 2017 hearing, and are set forth in Resolution 2017-097
adopted by the City Council (Exhibit 4).
Pursuant to these factors, the Council’s direction and the input provided by the public, specifically
including the maps drawn by members of the public, the City’s districting consultant has
developed maps for public review and comment, which will be presented along with eligible
maps submitted by the public (Exhibit 5).
Page 2
Fiscal Analysis
The costs of defending the City's current at-large election system in court would be significant
due to the risk of having to pay the plaintiffs' fees and costs. Awards in these cases have reached
upwards of $3,500,000. When sued, even the settlements reached by cities have included paying
the plaintiffs' attorneys fees. If the City Council chooses to maintain its at-large elections and
defend the threatened lawsuit, the costs and attorneys' fees would likely exceed $1,000,000.
The demographic consultant cost is anticipated to be approximately $35,000. Special counsel
fees required to voluntarily convert to district elections are estimated to be $30,000. Additional
legal costs will be incurred for additional analysis and public hearings. The City's good faith and
considered approach to by-district elections may forestall further threats and demands for
attorneys' fees, but other jurisdictions have suffered such demands even after initiating such
efforts.
Next Steps
Two more public hearings will be held concerning the proposed district boundaries on July 11
and July 18, 2017. At the conclusion of the final public hearing on July 18, the City Council may
introduce for first reading an ordinance establishing the district boundaries and the by-district
election method pursuant to Government Code section 34886 and Elections Code section 10010.
Environmental Evaluation (CEQA)
The requested action is not a project within the definition of the California Code of Regulations,
Title 14, Chapter 3, section 15378(a) since the action has no potential for resulting in either a
direct change in the environment or a reasonably foreseeable indirect change in the
environment.
Public Notification
Prior to this hearing, the City conducted outreach in both English and Spanish to encourage public
participation in both the districting process in general, and this public hearing in particular. A
press release was issued and posted on the City’s website on May 20, 2017. In addition, staff
held two community workshops (one at the Carlsbad City Library on Dove Lane and one at the
Harding Community Center) on June 10, 2017. Notice of this Public Hearing was published in
English and Spanish in the June 16, 2017 edition of the San Diego Union Tribune and the June 23,
2017 edition of the Coast News. Staff also published the Spanish version of the legal notice in
the June 16, 2017 edition of the La Prensa San Diego Newspaper.
Exhibits
1.April 11, 2017 Correspondence
2.Resolution No. 2017-083
3.Table of Results of CVRA Litigation
4.Resolution No. 2017-097
5.Draft Maps
6.Proposed Election Years Sequencing and Plan Listing Tables
Page 3
Exhibit 1
Page 4
VIA CERTIFIED MAIL
April 5, 2017
Barbara Engleson
City Clerk -City of Carlsbad
l 200 Carlsbad Village Drive
"-"'''"'"""'"'· CA 92008
Re: Violation of California Voting Rights Act
28905 Wight Road
Malibu, California 90265
(310) 457-0970
RECEIVED
APR 11 2017
CITY OF CARLSBAD
CITY CLERK'S OFF/CE
The City of Carlsbad ("Carlsbad") relies upon an at-large election system for
electing candidates to its City Council. Moreover, voting within Carlsbad is
racially polarized, resulting in minority vote dilution, and therefore Carlsbad's at-
large elections violate the California Voting Rights Act of 2001 ("CVRA").
The CVRA disfavors the use of so-called ''at-large" voting -an election method
that permits voters of an entire jurisdiction to elect candidates to each open seat.
See generally Sanchez v. City of Modesto (2006) 145 Cal.App.4th 660, 667
("Sanchez"). For example, if the U.S. Congress were elected through a nationwide
at-large election, rather than through typical single-member districts, each voter
could cast up to 435 votes and vote for any candidate in the country, not just the
candidates in the voter's district, and the 435 candidates receiving the most
nationwide votes would be elected. At-large elections thus allow a bare majority
of voters to control every seat, not just the seats in a particular district or a
proportional majority of seats.
Voting rights advocates have targeted "at-large" election schemes for decades,
because they often result in "vote dilution," or the impairment of minority groups'
ability to elect their preferred candidates or influence the outcome of elections,
which occurs when the electorate votes in a racially polarized manner. See
Thornburg v. Gingles, 478 U.S. 30, 46 (1986) ("Gingles"). The U.S. Supreme
Court "has long recognized that multi-member districts and at-large voting
schemes may operate to minimize or cancel out the voting strength" of minorities.
Id. at 47; see also id. at 48, fu. 14 (at-large elections may also cause elected
otlicials to "ignore [minority] interests without fear of political consequences"),
citing Rogers v. Lodge, 458 U.S. 613, 623 (1982); White v. Register, 412 U.S. 755,
769 (1973). "[T]he majority, by virtue of its numerical superiority, will regularly
Page 5
April 5, 2017
Page 2 of 4
defeat the choices of minority voters." Gingles, at 47. When racially polarized
voting occurs, dividing the political unit into single-member districts, or some
other appropriate remedy, may facilitate a minority group's ability to elect its
preferred representatives. Rogers, at 616.
Section 2 of the federal Voting Rights Act ("FVRA"), 42 U.S.C. § 1973, which
Congress enacted in 1965 and amended in 1982, targets, among other things, at-
large election schemes. Gingles at 37; see also Boyd & Markman, The 1982
Amendments to the Voting Rights Act: A Legislative History (1983) 40 Wash. &
Lee L. Rev. 1347, 1402. Although enforcement of the FVRA was successful in
many states, California was an exception. By enacting the CVRA, "[t]he
Legislature intended to expand protections against vote dilution over those
provided by the federal Voting Rights Act of 1965." Jauregui v. City of Palmdale
(2014) 226 Cal. App. 4th 781, 808. Thus, while the CVRA is similar to the FVRA
in several respects, it is also different in several key respects, as the Legislature
sought to remedy what it considered "restrictive interpretations given to the
federal act." Assem. Com. on Judiciary, Analysis of Sen. Bill No. 976 (2001-2002
Reg. Sess.) as amended Apr. 9, 2002, p. 2.
The California Legislature dispensed with the requirement in Gingles that a
rminority group demonstrate that it is su.fficiently large and geographically compact L19 constitute a "majority-minority district." Sanchez, at 669. Rather, the CVRA
requires only that a plaintiff show tlie existence of racially polarized voting to
establish that an at-large method of election violates the CVRA, not the
desirability of any particular remedy. See Cal. Elec. Code § 14028 ("A violation
of Section 14027 is established if it is shown that racially polarized voting occurs
... ") (emphasis added); also see Assem. Com. on Judiciary, Analysis of Sen. Bill
No. 976 (2001-2002 Reg. Sess.) as amended Apr. 9, 2002, p. 3 ("Thus, this bill
puts the voting rights horse (the discrimination issue) back where it sensibly
belongs in front of the cart (what type of remedy is appropriate once racially
polarized voting has been shown).")
To establish a violation of the CVRA, a plaintiff must generally show that
"racially polarized voting occurs in elections for members of the governing body
of the political subdivision or in elections incorporating other electoral choices by
the voters of the political subdivision." Elec. Code § 14028(a). The CVRA
specifies the elections that are most probative: "elections in which at least one
candidate is a member of a protected class or elections involving 'ballot measures,
or other electoral choices that affect the rights and privileges of members of a
protected class." Elec. Code § 14028(a). The CVRA also makes clear that
"[ e ]lections conducted prior to the filing of an action . . . are more probative to
Page 6
April 5, 2017
Page 3 of 4
establish the existence of racially polarized voting than elections conducted after
the filing of the action." Id.
Factors other than "racially polarized voting" that are required to make out a claim
under the FVRA -under the "totality of the circumstances" test -"are probative,
but not necessary factors to establish a violation of' the CVRA. Elec. Code §
14028( e ). These "other factors" include "the history of discrimination, the use of
electoral devices or other voting practices or procedures that may enhance the
dilutive effects of at-large elections, denial of access to those processes
determining which groups of candidates will receive financial or other support in a
given election, the extent to which members of a protected class bear the effects of
past discrimination in areas such as education, employment, and health, which
hinder their ability to participate effectively in the political process, and the use of
overt or subtle racial appeals in political campaigns." Id.
Carlsbad's at-large system dilutes the ability of Latinos (a "protected class") -to
elect candidates of their choice or otherwise influence the outcome of Carlsbad's
council elections.
The elections of 2004 and 2006 are illustrative. In 2004, a Latino candidate -
Ofelia Escobedo -ran for city council and lost. In 2006, two Latino candidates -
Ron Alvarez and Roland Chicas -ran for city council and lost. Each of those
candidates received significant support from Latino voters, but fell short of
securing a seat in Carlsbad's at-large election due to the bloc voting of Carlsbad's
majority non-Latino electorate. In fact, as a result of this racially polarized voting,
Carlsbad appears to have had no Latino council members in its recent history.
According to recent data, Latinos comprise approximately 13.3% of the population
of Carlsbad. The contrast between the significant Latino proportion of the
electorate and the absence of Latinos to be elected to the City Council is telling.
As you may be aware, in 2012, we sued the City of Palmdale for violating the
CVRA. After an eight-day trial, we prevailed. After spending millions of dollars,
a district-based remedy was ultimately imposed upon the Palmdale city council,
with districts that combine all incumbents into one of the four districts.
Given the lack of Latino representation on the city council in the context of
racially polarized elections, we urge Carlsbad to voluntarily change its at-large
system of electing council members. Otherwise, on behalf of residents within the
jurisdiction, we will be forced to seek judicial relief. Please advise us no later
than May 22, 2017 as to whether you would like to discuss a voluntary change to
Page 7
your current at-large system.
We look forward to your response.
Very~s,
Kevin I. Shenkman
April 5, 2017
Page 4 of 4
RESOLUTION NO. 2017-083
A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF CARLSBAD,
CALIFORNIA, EXPRESSING THE CITY COUNCIL'S INTENTION, PURSUANT TO
ELECTIONS CODE SECTION 10010(e)(3)(A), TO INITIATE PROCEDURES FOR
ESTABLISHING AND IMPLEMENTING BY-DISTRICT ELECTIONS FOR CITY
COUNCIL MEMBERS
EXHIBIT 2
WHEREAS, the City of Carlsbad, California ("City'') is a charter city, duly organized under the
constitution and laws of the State of California; and
WHEREAS, four of the members of the Carlsbad City Council are currently elected in at-large
elections, in which each City Council member is elected by all registered voters of the entire City, with
the mayor being separately elected by all registered voters of the entire City, pursuant to California
Government Code sections 34871 and 34900 et seq.; and
WHEREAS, Section 34886 of the Government Code authorizes any city to change to a by-district
system or by-district system with an elective mayor without the need to put such a change to voters;
and
WHEREAS, the City Council has determined that it is in the best interest of the City to move
from its current at-large electoral system to a by-district election for members of the City Council in
furtherance of the purposes of California Voting Rights Act; and
WHEREAS, the City moves to make this transition from an at-large system to a by-district system
in accordance with the new procedural rules outlined in Government Code Section 34886 and Elections
Code 10010; and
WHEREAS, the City received a letter threatening action under the California Voting Rights Act
on April 11, 2017, less than forty-five (45) days before the date of this Resolution; and
WHEREAS, the City will begin by working with an experienced demographer to assist the City in
establishing maps for a by-district electoral system; and
WHEREAS, before drawing a draft map of the proposed boundaries of the districts, the City will
hold at least two (2) public hearings over no more than thirty (30) days, at which time the public is
invited to provide input regarding the composition of the districts; and
WHEREAS, the City will then publish and make available for release at least one (1) draft map
of the new electoral districts, including the potential sequence of elections shown; and
Page 8
WHEREAS, once the draft map has been publicized for at least seven (7) days, the City will hold
at least two (2) additional public hearings, over no more than forty-five (45) days, at which time the
public is invited to provide input regarding the content of the draft map and the proposed sequence of
elections prior to the public hearing at which the City Council adopts a map; and
WHEREAS, if a draft map is revised at or following a public hearing, the revised map will be
published and made available to the public at least seven (7) days before the City chooses to adopt it;
and
WHEREAS, in determining the final sequence of staggered district elections, the City Council will
give special consideration to the purposes of the CVRA, and will take in to account the preferences
expressed by the members of the districts; and
WHEREAS, the City Council now wishes to adopt criteria to guide the establishment of electoral
districts consistent with legal requirements including reasonable equal population and section 2 of the
federal Voting Rights Act, as well as other concerns and considerations important to the City.
NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council of the City of Carlsbad, California, as
follows:
1.The above recitals are true and correct and are incorporated herein by this reference.
2.The City Council hereby resolves, pursuant to Elections Code section 10010, to adopt a
by-district election system by ordinance as authorized by California Government Code
section 34886, for use in the City's General Municipal Election for City Council Members.
4.The City Council further resolves to retain a qualified demographer, hold at least five (5)
public hearings and publish at least one (1) draft map and staggering sequence.
5.The City's redistricting/demographic consulting firm, acting under the supervision of the
City Manager, is hereby authorized to direct and formulate one or more electoral district
scenarios for review by the public and City Council at two or more public hearings if
necessary, in accordance with the City's proposed timeline.
6.Working with the demographic consulting firm, staff is directed to publicize relevant
maps, information, notices, agendas and other materials regarding by-district elections
and to establish means of communication to answer questions from the public.
Page 9
7.All public hearings shall be noticed as follows: posting on the City's website at least ten
(10)calendar days in advance of the hearing and publication at least ten (10) days in
advance of the hearing in the newspaper adjudicated to provide notice within the City.
8.The City Manager is authorized to take any and all other necessary actions to give effect
to this Resolution.
9.This Resolution shall become effective immediately upon its adoption.
PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED at a Regular Meeting of the City Council of the City of Carlsbad on
the 9th day of May, 2017, by the following vote, to wit:
AYES:
NOES:
ABSENT:
K. Blackburn, M. Schumacher, C. Schumacher.
M. Hall, M. Packard.
None.
(SEAL)
Page 10
Page 11('(') ....,
..a
..c X LU Citv/Political Subdivision I
Defendant Settlement Conditions Attorneys' Fees Notes -----~-------
City lost trial on the merits, held an
election that plaintiffs argued was
Agreed to have voters choose illegal, and unsuccessfully challenged
elected officials by districts, , an injunction stopping the City from
including two with Latino J°ertifying the results of that election;
City of Palmdale
--
majorities i --~--$4,500,000 ~~ttle_II1ent subsequent_!r_rea_£he~--
i
Moved to-District election~;-vot~rs I '
had already approved a move~ Settlement; Additional $1,700,000 to
_Q__ty ofModesto districts before settlement $3,000,000 1 defense attorneys
·-···---·--~---
Madera Unified School
District; Madera County I Moved to "by trustee area" [
Board of Education __ elections via admission of liability i--$162,500 court award
j Moved to by-district elections via I
1 ballot measure; kept mayor at ,
__gity of Compton _ [ larg~ / co_n~dential settlement
-----
!Agreed to hold a~ election re I --------~-------~
! I changing to district elections in
I Tulare Local Healthcare 2012 and agreed to cancel 2010
District ~ns
i
$500,000 Settlement --·-------------~--. -------~--~
1 City agreed to place a ballot
' I measure before voters regarding a
City of Tulare 1 move to district elections $225,000 Settlement -----·· ----
Hanford Unified School Agreed to move to by-trustee
District district elections $110,000 Settlement r--··------· ····---··· -·
Compton Community Agreed to move to by-district
College District elections $40,000 Settlement
Page 12Ceres Unified School
District
Moved to by-trustee district
elections before litigation was
filed ---------------+------~--------------·--$3,000 Settlement ---·--------
Cerritos Community College 1Moved to by-trustee district I
District !elections I $55,000 Settlement ----------------· ---+-----------·------------
County moved to by-District
elections (through a ballot
1 j, measure) and further agreed to
-,redraw its previously-approved [
-
I' District boundaries by forming a I i
nine-p~rson redistricting I I
§an Mateo County committee $650,000 Settlement
-r·.Agre;d to place ballot measur~-o--n-+1----------------·-1 ---------
November 2016 ballot re moving I Settlement; expected costs include at
City of Anaheim
I-------=------------
to by district elections . $1,200,000 least another $800,000
Case dismissed as moot when City I
changed voting system;
-------;
unsuccessful post election Court award under catalyst theory,
City of Whittier _________ --+_~_h_al!~ng;~ _re at large may~.£ .. _______________ $1_,000_,000 even. though case was di~m_i_ss_ed ___ _
Santa Clarita Community Agreed to conduct cumulative
College District voting, and by trustees $850,000 Settlement
Page 13City of Q.irden Grove _
Moved to by district elections via
stipluated judgment; mayor
elected at large ____ --------+
Settled via court order ( consent
decree) after vote of the people
failed to adopt by district
I
$290,000 • Settlement ---------------------
Cit;'ofEscondido __ 1 :::::: :::: t:::u~:~:ge $385,000
11
Settlement
City of ~anta Clarit~---/ ,: oting method _ __j_ _______ J600,000 1 Settlement ___ _
~ated judgment, court ordered)
City of Visalia _________ 1;;·~i;;ricts _ __ ______ _ +----~-$125,00Q Settlement l Agreed to move to by district; f ~i
City of Santa Barbara 1mayor remains elected at large $5~9,500 Settleill_~nt
>---'-----------~----I -~--·----~----
i Agreed to pay attorneys fees -
/ negotiate in good faith; required
· lacing measure on November
016_ballot to move to districts undisclosed City of Fullerton Settlement
-----·I-----------------t
ettled before lawsuit filed; agreed
l to ballot measure
[Agreed to place ballo~measure o~-k--
City of Merced $43,000 Settlement -· -----·---------
City of Bellflower ;November 2016 ballot undisclosed Settlement
---·-----------------1-------------· ---· -----+-------
Agree to move to by district
~~:!---~---S~-p----r-i=n---g--~---~-c-h--o _____ o---1----=----+-+ __ me~ __ --~ == =-3_··===:-_ --:_----_-_-__ --_-=-____ -=-___ -$_ .. :1_4-_4_,_0--0--0-+S-e-_t_t-l-e-m-__ -e_n-t===----_ -~~-----------=---::=_==---
TOTAL PAYMENTS TO
PLAINTIFFS'
ATTORNEYS
I
$14,482,000
Page 14
RESOLUTION NO. 2017-097
A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF CARLSBAD,
CALIFORNIA, ADOPTING LINE DRAWING CRITERIA FOR ADJUSTING
COUNCIL DISTRICT BOUNDARIES
Exhibit 4
WHEREAS, the City Council of the City of Carlsbad {"City") was elected under an "at large"
election system whereby Councilmembers were elected by voters of the entire City; and
WHEREAS, the City Council is considering a change to the "by district" elections whereby
each Councilmember must reside within the designated district boundary and is elected only by
voters of that district; and
WHEREAS, the Federal Voting Rights Act {42 U.S.C. Section 1973) prohibits the use of any
voting qualification, or prerequisite to voting, or standard practice or procedure in a manner
which results in a denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen of the United States to vote
on account of race or color; and
WHEREAS, federal law and the equal protection clause require that each district be equal
in population to ensure compliance with the "one person, one vote" rule; however, deviations
approximating five to ten percent may pass muster under the equal protection clause where
required to meet an official criteria; and
WHEREAS, the City Council has instructed its demographer and city staff to develop draft
maps that fully comply with legal requirements and intends to provide official criteria for any
needed deviations.
NOW, THEREFORE, IT IS HEREBY RESOLVED that the City Council of the City of Carlsbad
does hereby adopt the following criteria to guide the establishment of districts for council
elections:
1. Each Council District shall contain a nearly equal number of inhabitants; and
2. Council District borders shall be drawn in a manner that complies with the Federal
Voting Rights Act; and
3. Council districts shall consist of contiguous territory in as compact form as possible;
and
Page 15
4. Council districts shall respect communities of interest as much as possible; and
5. Council district borders shall follow visible natural and man-made geographical and
topographical features as much as possible; and
6. District borders shall respect the previous choices of voters by avoiding the creation
of head-to-head contests between Council members previously elected by the voters,
insofar as this does not conflict with Federal or State Law.
PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED at a Special Meeting ofthe City Council of the City of
Carlsbad on the 30th day of May, 2017, by the following vote, to wit:
AYES: M. Hall, K. Blackburn, M. Schumacher, C. Schumacher, M. Packard.
NOES: None.
ABSENT: None.
(SEAL)
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City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Green
Census Block
Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
Landmark Area
Pipeline/Power Line
Railroad
River
Exhibit 5
Page 16
D
D D
+
District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 25,664 26,762 26,255 26,647 105,328
Deviation from ideal -668 430 -77 315 1,098
% Deviation -2.54% 1.63% -0.29% 1.20% 4.17%
% Hisp 18% 9% 14% 12% 13%
% NH White 73% 79% 72% 75% 75%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 10% 11% 9% 9%
Total 20,730 19,850 19,670 19,712 79,962
% Hisp 16% 8% 12% 11% 12%
% NH White 77% 82% 75% 78% 78%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 9% 10% 9% 8%
Total 19,249 20,683 19,485 19,852 79,269
% Hisp 14% 9% 12% 11% 11%
% NH White 80% 82% 76% 77% 79%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.4% 7% 10% 9% 7%
Total 15,020 17,647 16,073 16,226 64,966
% Latino est.10% 6% 9% 7% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 5% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 5% 9% 7% 7%
% NH White est.85% 88% 82% 85% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 7,242 9,509 7,725 7,683 32,159
% Latino 8% 5% 7% 6% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 4% 6% 5% 5%
% NH White est.88% 91% 86% 88% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 11,777 14,928 12,622 13,237 52,563
% Latino 9% 5% 8% 7% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 4% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 5% 8% 6% 6%
% NH White est.87% 89% 85% 87% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 25,730 28,433 27,785 27,969 109,917
age0-19 20% 25% 26% 28% 25%
age20-60 56% 52% 53% 55% 54%
age60plus 24% 23% 21% 18% 21%
immigrants 15% 14% 14% 15% 14%
naturalized 51% 70% 65% 67% 63%
english 80% 84% 81% 85% 83%
spanish 14% 7% 9% 6% 9%
asian-lang 2% 4% 5% 5% 4%
other lang 4% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 5% 6% 5% 6%
hs-grad 47% 36% 45% 39% 42%
bachelor 26% 34% 31% 35% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 27% 19% 24% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 22% 34% 32% 36% 31%
employed 58% 57% 60% 60% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 3% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 17% 14% 12% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 20% 11% 13% 12% 14%
income 50-75k 16% 11% 17% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 36% 45% 46% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 10% 20% 12% 21% 16%
single family 48% 28% 30% 27% 34%
multi-family 41% 66% 65% 66% 59%
vacant 11% 6%5%7% 8%
occupied 89% 94% 95% 93% 92%
rented 54% 30% 32% 29% 36%
owned 46% 70% 68% 71% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Green Map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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2017 Districting
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Water Area
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Pipeline/Power Line
Railroad
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District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,731 26,132 26,442 26,023 105,328
Deviation from ideal 399 -200 110 -309 708
% Deviation 1.52% -0.76% 0.42% -1.17% 2.69%
% Hisp 14% 18% 12% 10% 13%
% NH White 72% 74% 74% 80% 75%
% NH Black 2% 1% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 10% 6% 11% 9% 9%
Total 20,252 20,673 19,791 19,246 79,962
% Hisp 12% 15% 10% 8% 12%
% NH White 75% 77% 78% 82% 78%
% NH Black 2% 1% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 9% 5% 10% 8% 8%
Total 20,279 18,946 20,693 19,352 79,269
% Hisp 13% 13% 11% 9% 11%
% NH White 75% 80% 80% 81% 79%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.10% 4% 8% 7% 7%
Total 15,902 15,720 16,526 16,818 64,966
% Latino est.10% 10% 8% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 9% 7% 5% 7%
% NH White est.82% 85% 85% 88% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,402 7,742 8,432 8,584 32,159
% Latino 7% 7% 5% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 4% 2% 3% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 6% 7% 5% 4% 5%
% NH White est.86% 88% 89% 90% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 12,321 12,527 13,572 14,144 52,563
% Latino 9% 8% 7% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 4% 3% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 7% 6% 5% 6%
% NH White est.85% 87% 88% 89% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 28,197 26,836 28,017 26,868 109,917
age0-19 25% 20% 26% 27% 25%
age20-60 54% 57% 52% 53% 54%
age60plus 20% 23% 21% 20% 21%
immigrants 13% 15% 16% 12% 14%
naturalized 61% 53% 70% 70% 63%
english 81% 81% 80% 89% 83%
spanish 10% 13% 10% 4% 9%
asian-lang 5% 3% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 5% 4% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"7% 8% 7% 4% 6%
hs-grad 46% 45% 38% 38% 42%
bachelor 29% 28% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 18% 20% 26% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 30% 24% 34% 36% 31%
employed 60% 59% 59% 58% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 2% 4% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 14% 15% 15% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 15% 19% 11% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 17% 15% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 44% 40% 44% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 11% 11% 20% 22% 16%
single family 37% 46% 29% 22% 34%
multi-family 58% 44% 61% 73% 59%
vacant 5% 10%11%5% 8%
occupied 95% 90% 89% 95% 92%
rented 39% 51% 32% 23% 36%
owned 61% 49% 68% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Orange Map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
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City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
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District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 25,971 26,116 26,813 26,428 105,328
Deviation from ideal -361 -216 481 96 842
% Deviation -1.37% -0.82% 1.83% 0.36% 3.20%
% Hisp 17% 13% 11% 12% 13%
% NH White 73% 75% 77% 74% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 2% 2%
% Asian-American 7% 8% 9% 11% 9%
Total 20,638 20,442 19,502 19,380 79,962
% Hisp 15% 12% 9% 10% 12%
% NH White 76% 78% 80% 77% 78%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
% Asian-American 6% 7% 9% 10% 8%
Total 19,975 19,937 19,648 19,710 79,269
% Hisp 14% 12% 9% 10% 11%
% NH White 78% 80% 82% 75% 79%
% NH Black 1% 0% 1% 3% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.5% 7% 7% 11% 7%
Total 14,834 16,478 16,836 16,818 64,966
% Latino est.10% 9% 7% 8% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 3% 3% 4% 5% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 8% 6% 7% 7%
% NH White est.84% 85% 88% 83% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 7,065 8,223 9,003 7,868 32,159
% Latino 8% 7% 5% 6% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 3% 4% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 4% 5% 5%
% NH White est.87% 89% 91% 86% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 11,748 13,098 14,175 13,542 52,563
% Latino 8% 8% 6% 7% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 3% 3% 3% 4% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 7% 5% 6% 6%
% NH White est.86% 88% 90% 85% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 27,144 27,194 27,101 28,479 109,917
age0-19 21% 23% 27% 28% 25%
age20-60 57% 54% 51% 54% 54%
age60plus 21% 23% 22% 18% 21%
immigrants 15% 13% 14% 15% 14%
naturalized 54% 58% 70% 71% 63%
english 80% 83% 85% 83% 83%
spanish 13% 9% 7% 7% 9%
asian-lang 3% 4% 4% 6% 4%
other lang 4% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"8% 6% 5% 5% 6%
hs-grad 44% 48% 36% 40% 42%
bachelor 30% 28% 33% 35% 31%
graduatedegree 20% 19% 28% 23% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 25% 27% 35% 36% 31%
employed 60% 58% 56% 61% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 4% 3% 1% 2% 2%
income 0-25k 16% 13% 15% 13% 14%
income 25-50k 18% 16% 11% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 14% 18% 10% 11% 14%
income 75-200k 40% 44% 42% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 12% 9% 22% 21% 16%
single family 48% 34% 23% 26% 34%
multi-family 41% 61% 69% 67% 59%
vacant 11% 5%8%6% 8%
occupied 89% 95% 92% 94% 92%
rented 54% 36% 25% 28% 36%
owned 46% 64% 75% 72% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Purple Map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
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Ideal Total Pop 25,457 25,434 27,175 27,262 105,328
Deviation from ideal -875 -898 843 930 1,828
% Deviation -3.32% -3.41% 3.20% 3.53% 6.94%
% Hisp 20% 15% 11% 8% 13%
% NH White 72% 71% 75% 82% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 11% 11% 8% 9%
Total 20,823 18,597 20,210 20,332 79,962
% Hisp 17% 13% 9% 7% 12%
% NH White 75% 74% 78% 84% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 10% 10% 7% 8%
Total 19,059 18,012 21,316 20,882 79,269
% Hisp 16% 12% 11% 7% 11%
% NH White 78% 76% 77% 84% 79%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.5% 9% 9% 6% 7%
Total 14,484 15,321 16,993 18,168 64,966
% Latino est.12% 10% 7% 5% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 11% 9% 6% 5% 7%
% NH White est.82% 84% 84% 90% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Total 6,647 7,541 8,336 9,635 32,159
% Latino 9% 7% 5% 4% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 0% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 6% 5% 4% 5%
% NH White est.86% 88% 87% 91% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Total 11,130 12,378 13,676 15,380 52,563
% Latino 10% 8% 7% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 7% 6% 4% 6%
% NH White est.85% 86% 86% 90% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 25,216 27,033 29,693 27,974 109,917
age0-19 18% 28% 26% 26% 25%
age20-60 58% 53% 54% 52% 54%
age60plus 24% 19% 20% 22% 21%
immigrants 15% 15% 16% 12% 14%
naturalized 44% 67% 69% 72% 63%
english 79% 80% 82% 89% 83%
spanish 14% 10% 8% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 4% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 6% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 49% 43% 38% 38% 42%
bachelor 24% 32% 35% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 18% 21% 24% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 20% 35% 34% 34% 31%
employed 60% 59% 60% 56% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 2% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 15% 14% 14% 15% 14%
income 25-50k 20% 13% 11% 12% 14%
income 50-75k 18% 15% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 39% 43% 46% 42% 42%
income 200k-plus 8% 15% 19% 22% 16%
single family 52% 31% 31% 20% 34%
multi-family 38% 63% 61% 73% 59%
vacant 10% 6%8%7% 8%
occupied 90% 94% 92% 93% 92%
rented 57% 33% 34% 21% 36%
owned 43% 67% 66% 79% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Cohen-Flock 1 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
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Ideal Total Pop 27,387 26,403 25,515 26,023 105,328
Deviation from ideal 1,055 71 -817 -309 1,872
% Deviation 4.01% 0.27% -3.10% -1.17% 7.11%
% Hisp 20% 12% 11% 10% 13%
% NH White 72% 73% 75% 80% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 11% 10% 9% 9%
Total 22,338 19,193 19,185 19,246 79,962
% Hisp 17% 11% 9% 8% 12%
% NH White 75% 75% 79% 82% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 11% 9% 8% 8%
Total 20,461 19,998 19,458 19,352 79,269
% Hisp 16% 10% 11% 9% 11%
% NH White 78% 77% 80% 81% 79%
% NH Black 1% 2% 0% 2% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.5% 10% 8% 7% 7%
Total 15,722 16,787 15,639 16,818 64,966
% Latino est.11% 9% 7% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 5% 4% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 10% 8% 6% 5% 7%
% NH White est.83% 83% 87% 88% 85%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,247 8,172 8,157 8,584 32,159
% Latino 8% 6% 5% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 3% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%
% NH White est.87% 86% 90% 90% 88%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total 12,229 13,271 12,920 14,144 52,563
% Latino 10% 8% 6% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 7% 6% 5% 6%
% NH White est.86% 85% 88% 89% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 27,149 28,728 27,173 26,868 109,917
age0-19 18% 28% 26% 27% 25%
age20-60 57% 53% 53% 53% 54%
age60plus 24% 19% 22% 20% 21%
immigrants 15% 13% 16% 12% 14%
naturalized 45% 73% 68% 70% 63%
english 79% 83% 80% 89% 83%
spanish 14% 7% 11% 4% 9%
asian-lang 3% 6% 4% 3% 4%
other lang 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 5% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 49% 43% 37% 38% 42%
bachelor 24% 34% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 20% 26% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 20% 36% 33% 36% 31%
employed 60% 60% 58% 58% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 4% 2% 3% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 15% 13% 15% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 20% 11% 12% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 18% 15% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 39% 45% 44% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 8% 17% 18% 22% 16%
single family 52% 26% 32% 22% 34%
multi-family 39% 71% 56% 73% 59%
vacant 10% 3%12%5% 8%
occupied 90% 97% 88% 95% 92%
rented 57% 27% 36% 23% 36%
owned 43% 73% 64% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Cohen-Flock 2 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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Drelleshak 1
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Drelleshak_1
Census Block
Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
Landmark Area
Pipeline/Power Line
Railroad
River
Page 26
D
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District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,081 27,320 25,822 26,105 105,328
Deviation from ideal -251 988 -510 -227 1,498
% Deviation -0.95% 3.75% -1.94% -0.86% 5.69%
% Hisp 18% 11% 14% 10% 13%
% NH White 74% 76% 72% 78% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 10% 11% 9% 9%
Total 21,055 20,639 19,329 18,939 79,962
% Hisp 16% 9% 12% 9% 12%
% NH White 77% 79% 75% 81% 78%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 9% 10% 8% 8%
Total 19,557 21,599 19,165 18,948 79,269
% Hisp 14% 11% 12% 9% 11%
% NH White 80% 80% 76% 80% 79%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.4% 8% 10% 8% 7%
Total 15,312 17,015 15,778 16,861 64,966
% Latino est.10% 7% 10% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 5% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 6% 9% 6% 7%
% NH White est.85% 87% 82% 86% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 7,372 8,929 7,594 8,265 32,159
% Latino 8% 5% 7% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 4% 6% 5% 5%
% NH White est.88% 90% 86% 88% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 12,006 14,084 12,385 14,089 52,563
% Latino 9% 6% 8% 6% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 4% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 5% 8% 5% 6%
% NH White est.87% 88% 85% 88% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,131 29,512 27,368 26,906 109,917
age0-19 20% 25% 26% 27% 25%
age20-60 56% 53% 53% 54% 54%
age60plus 24% 21% 21% 19% 21%
immigrants 15% 16% 14% 12% 14%
naturalized 51% 68% 65% 69% 63%
english 80% 81% 81% 88% 83%
spanish 14% 9% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 4% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 6% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 47% 37% 45% 39% 42%
bachelor 26% 34% 31% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 26% 19% 25% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 21% 33% 32% 37% 31%
employed 58% 58% 60% 59% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 3% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 16% 14% 12% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 20% 11% 13% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 16% 11% 17% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 36% 45% 46% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 10% 19% 12% 22% 16%
single family 48% 33% 30% 22% 34%
multi-family 41% 59% 65% 74% 59%
vacant 11% 9%5%5% 8%
occupied 89% 91% 95% 95% 92%
rented 54% 36% 32% 23% 36%
owned 46% 64% 68% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Drelleshak 1 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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Drelleshak 2
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Drelleshak_2
Census Block
Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
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Railroad
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D
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Ideal Total Pop 26,453 27,320 25,450 26,105 105,328
Deviation from ideal 121 988 -882 -227 1,870
% Deviation 0.46% 3.75% -3.35% -0.86% 7.10%
% Hisp 19% 11% 13% 10% 13%
% NH White 74% 76% 71% 78% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 10% 12% 9% 9%
Total 21,504 20,639 18,880 18,939 79,962
% Hisp 16% 9% 12% 9% 12%
% NH White 77% 79% 74% 81% 78%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 4% 9% 11% 8% 8%
Total 20,146 21,599 18,575 18,948 79,269
% Hisp 14% 11% 12% 9% 11%
% NH White 80% 80% 75% 80% 79%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.4% 8% 11% 8% 7%
Total 15,875 17,015 15,215 16,861 64,966
% Latino est.10% 7% 9% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 5% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 6% 8% 6% 7%
% NH White est.85% 87% 82% 86% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 7,730 8,929 7,236 8,265 32,159
% Latino 8% 5% 7% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 4% 6% 5% 5%
% NH White est.88% 90% 86% 88% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Total 12,632 14,084 11,759 14,089 52,563
% Latino 9% 6% 8% 6% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 4% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 5% 7% 5% 6%
% NH White est.87% 88% 86% 88% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,376 29,512 27,123 26,906 109,917
age0-19 18% 25% 28% 27% 25%
age20-60 56% 53% 53% 54% 54%
age60plus 25% 21% 19% 19% 21%
immigrants 14% 16% 14% 12% 14%
naturalized 50% 68% 66% 69% 63%
english 81% 81% 81% 88% 83%
spanish 14% 9% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 3% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 6% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 48% 37% 44% 39% 42%
bachelor 25% 34% 32% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 26% 20% 25% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 20% 33% 34% 37% 31%
employed 58% 58% 60% 59% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 3% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 16% 14% 13% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 21% 11% 13% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 17% 11% 16% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 37% 45% 45% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 9% 19% 13% 22% 16%
single family 48% 33% 30% 22% 34%
multi-family 41% 59% 65% 74% 59%
vacant 11% 9%5%5% 8%
occupied 89% 91% 95% 95% 92%
rented 54% 36% 32% 23% 36%
owned 46% 64% 68% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Drelleshak 2 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
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City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Egeland 1b
Border between Districts 3
and 4 moved across El Camino
Real by NDC to balance District
populations to within required balance.
Map layers
Egeland1b
Census Block
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Egeland1
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D D
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District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,980 26,062 26,156 26,130 105,328
Deviation from ideal 648 -270 -176 -202 918
% Deviation 2.46% -1.03% -0.67% -0.77% 3.49%
% Hisp 19% 14% 11% 9% 13%
% NH White 73% 71% 76% 80% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 12% 10% 8% 9%
Total 21,878 19,016 19,981 19,087 79,962
% Hisp 16% 12% 9% 8% 12%
% NH White 76% 73% 79% 83% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 11% 9% 8% 8%
Total 20,093 19,537 20,098 19,542 79,269
% Hisp 14% 12% 12% 8% 11%
% NH White 79% 75% 78% 83% 79%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.4% 10% 8% 6% 7%
Total 15,591 15,816 16,220 17,339 64,966
% Latino est.11% 9% 7% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 5% 4% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 10% 8% 6% 5% 7%
% NH White est.83% 83% 87% 88% 85%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,391 7,582 8,353 8,833 32,159
% Latino 8% 7% 5% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 3% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%
% NH White est.87% 87% 90% 90% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 12,196 12,596 13,364 14,407 52,563
% Latino 9% 8% 6% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 7% 6% 5% 6%
% NH White est.86% 85% 88% 90% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,648 28,289 28,020 26,960 109,917
age0-19 19% 29% 25% 27% 25%
age20-60 57% 53% 53% 53% 54%
age60plus 24% 19% 22% 20% 21%
immigrants 15% 13% 16% 12% 14%
naturalized 47% 71% 68% 69% 63%
english 79% 81% 81% 89% 83%
spanish 15% 8% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 3% 6% 4% 3% 4%
other lang 3% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"10% 6% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 48% 44% 37% 38% 42%
bachelor 25% 33% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 19% 26% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 20% 37% 31% 36% 31%
employed 59% 61% 58% 57% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 2% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 15% 13% 15% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 21% 11% 12% 12% 14%
income 50-75k 17% 16% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 38% 45% 45% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 9% 15% 18% 22% 16%
single family 51% 28% 31% 22% 34%
multi-family 38% 70% 58% 73% 59%
vacant 11% 2%12%5% 8%
occupied 89% 98% 88% 95% 92%
rented 58% 28% 35% 23% 36%
owned 42% 72% 65% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Egeland 1b
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
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Hawney 1
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Hawney1
Census Block
Water Area
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Railroad
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D
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District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,908 26,446 26,343 25,631 105,328
Deviation from ideal 576 114 11 -701 1,277
% Deviation 2.19% 0.43% 0.04% -2.66% 4.85%
% Hisp 17% 17% 10% 8% 13%
% NH White 72% 70% 77% 81% 75%
% NH Black 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 7% 9% 10% 9% 9%
Total 20,955 19,919 20,049 19,039 79,962
% Hisp 15% 15% 8% 7% 12%
% NH White 75% 73% 80% 83% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 7% 9% 9% 8% 8%
Total 20,497 18,283 21,349 19,140 79,269
% Hisp 14% 14% 10% 8% 11%
% NH White 78% 75% 81% 82% 79%
% NH Black 0% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.7% 8% 8% 7% 7%
Total 16,017 15,284 16,878 16,787 64,966
% Latino est.11% 10% 7% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 10% 9% 6% 5% 7%
% NH White est.83% 82% 86% 89% 85%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,576 7,318 8,584 8,681 32,159
% Latino 8% 7% 5% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 4% 4% 5%
% NH White est.87% 87% 89% 91% 88%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Total 12,261 12,207 13,935 14,161 52,563
% Latino 9% 9% 6% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 3% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 8% 6% 5% 6%
% NH White est.86% 85% 88% 90% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 27,697 27,465 28,355 26,400 109,917
age0-19 22% 25% 26% 26% 25%
age20-60 55% 55% 53% 53% 54%
age60plus 23% 20% 22% 20% 21%
immigrants 13% 16% 15% 12% 14%
naturalized 53% 60% 71% 70% 63%
english 81% 79% 82% 89% 83%
spanish 11% 12% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 3% 5% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"7% 8% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 48% 43% 38% 38% 42%
bachelor 26% 31% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 18% 21% 25% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 25% 29% 33% 35% 31%
employed 59% 60% 59% 57% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 3% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 14% 14% 14% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 17% 16% 11% 12% 14%
income 50-75k 18% 15% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 43% 40% 44% 42% 42%
income 200k-plus 8% 14% 19% 22% 16%
single family 41% 43% 29% 22% 34%
multi-family 53% 48% 62% 73% 59%
vacant 7% 9%10%5% 8%
occupied 93% 91% 90% 95% 92%
rented 44% 47% 32% 23% 36%
owned 56% 53% 68% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Hawney 1 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
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Kubacki 1
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Kubacki1
Census Block
Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
Landmark Area
Pipeline/Power Line
Railroad
River
Page 34
District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,495 25,637 26,568 26,628 105,328
Deviation from ideal 163 -695 236 296 991
% Deviation 0.62% -2.64% 0.90% 1.12% 3.76%
% Hisp 19% 13% 12% 9% 13%
% NH White 73% 72% 75% 79% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 5% 12% 10% 9% 9%
Total 21,627 18,779 19,878 19,678 79,962
% Hisp 16% 11% 10% 8% 12%
% NH White 77% 74% 79% 81% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 4% 11% 9% 8% 8%
Total 19,950 18,966 20,361 19,993 79,269
% Hisp 15% 11% 11% 9% 11%
% NH White 78% 77% 79% 81% 79%
% NH Black 1% 2% 1% 2% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.5% 10% 8% 7% 7%
Total 15,429 15,718 16,455 17,364 64,966
% Latino est.11% 9% 7% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 5% 4% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 10% 8% 6% 6% 7%
% NH White est.83% 84% 87% 87% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,209 7,671 8,835 8,446 32,159
% Latino 8% 6% 5% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 3% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 0% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 5% 5% 5%
% NH White est.86% 87% 90% 89% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 12,018 12,418 13,895 14,232 52,563
% Latino 9% 8% 6% 6% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 7% 5% 5% 6%
% NH White est.86% 86% 88% 89% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,241 27,602 28,454 27,620 109,917
age0-19 18% 29% 25% 27% 25%
age20-60 57% 53% 52% 54% 54%
age60plus 25% 19% 22% 19% 21%
immigrants 15% 14% 15% 13% 14%
naturalized 47% 69% 70% 67% 63%
english 80% 81% 81% 88% 83%
spanish 15% 8% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 6% 5% 3% 4%
other lang 3% 5% 5% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"9% 6% 6% 4% 6%
hs-grad 49% 43% 37% 39% 42%
bachelor 25% 33% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 19% 20% 26% 25% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 19% 36% 33% 36% 31%
employed 59% 60% 57% 59% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 3% 2% 3% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 15% 13% 14% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 21% 12% 12% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 17% 16% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 38% 45% 44% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 9% 14% 19% 21% 16%
single family 49% 29% 30% 23% 34%
multi-family 40% 67% 60% 71% 59%
vacant 11% 4%9%6% 8%
occupied 89% 96% 91% 94% 92%
rented 55% 31% 34% 25% 36%
owned 45% 69% 66% 75% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Kubacki 1 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
Page 35
4
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Batiquitos Dr
El
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Rancho Santa Fe RdSegovia WayAnillo W ayAl ic an te R d
Levante StKestrel DrHidden Valley RdAviara DrBlack Rail RdAmbrosia LnC an no n R d
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Linke 1
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
National Demographics Corporation, June 21, 2017
Map layers
Linke1
Census Block
Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
Landmark Area
Pipeline/Power Line
Railroad
River
Page 36
District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,266 26,184 26,390 26,488 105,328
Deviation from ideal -66 -148 58 156 304
% Deviation -0.25% -0.56% 0.22% 0.59% 1.15%
% Hisp 18% 13% 14% 9% 13%
% NH White 74% 74% 71% 80% 75%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
% Asian-American 6% 9% 12% 9% 9%
Total 21,467 19,970 18,974 19,551 79,962
% Hisp 15% 11% 12% 8% 12%
% NH White 77% 77% 74% 82% 78%
% NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 5% 9% 11% 8% 8%
Total 20,762 19,369 19,314 19,824 79,269
% Hisp 15% 11% 11% 9% 11%
% NH White 78% 80% 75% 82% 79%
% NH Black 1% 0% 2% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl.4% 8% 11% 7% 7%
Total 15,766 15,945 15,633 17,622 64,966
% Latino est.10% 9% 8% 6% 8%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 5% 4% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 9% 8% 8% 5% 7%
% NH White est.83% 86% 84% 87% 85%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Total 7,475 8,124 7,572 8,989 32,159
% Latino 8% 6% 6% 5% 6%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 5% 4% 5%
% NH White est.87% 89% 87% 89% 88%
% NH Black 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Total 12,329 12,833 12,738 14,663 52,563
% Latino 9% 7% 7% 5% 7%
% Asian-Surnamed 2% 3% 5% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
% Spanish-Surnamed 8% 7% 7% 5% 6%
% NH White est.86% 88% 85% 89% 87%
% NH Black est.1% 1% 2% 1% 1%
ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,968 27,592 28,022 27,335 109,917
age0-19 20% 25% 28% 26% 25%
age20-60 57% 54% 53% 53% 54%
age60plus 24% 22% 19% 20% 21%
immigrants 14% 14% 17% 13% 14%
naturalized 51% 60% 72% 69% 63%
english 81% 82% 79% 89% 83%
spanish 13% 9% 10% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 4% 7% 3% 4%
other lang 4% 5% 4% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less
than Very Well"8% 6% 7% 3% 6%
hs-grad 46% 46% 38% 38% 42%
bachelor 28% 30% 34% 34% 31%
graduatedegree 20% 20% 25% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-under18 23% 29% 37% 35% 31%
employed 59% 59% 60% 57% 59%
Commute on Public
Transit 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 16% 13% 14% 14% 14%
income 25-50k 19% 14% 10% 11% 14%
income 50-75k 15% 17% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-200k 39% 45% 43% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 11% 10% 21% 22% 16%
single family 48% 33% 28% 22% 34%
multi-family 42% 62% 63% 73% 59%
vacant 11% 5%9%5% 8%
occupied 89% 95% 91% 95% 92%
rented 53% 35% 31% 23% 36%
owned 47% 65% 69% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estim
Housing Stats
Immigration
Citizen Voting Age
Pop
Age
NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Work (percent of
pop age 16+)
Household Income
Education (among
those age 25+)
Total Pop
City of Carlsbad - Linke 1 map
Language spoken at
home
Voting Age Pop
Voter Registration
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2014)
Voter Turnout
(Nov 2012)
21,066
Page 37
NDC Proposed Election Years Sequencing and Plan Listing Tables 6/21/2017
Proposed Election Years Sequencing
Map 2018 2020
Cohen-Flock 1 Option 1: 1 & 3
Option 2: 3 & 4
Option 1: 2 & 4
Option 2: 1 & 2
Cohen-Flock 2 Option 1: 1 & 4
Option 2: 2 & 4
Option 1: 2 & 3
Option 2: 1 & 3
Drelleshak 1 3 & 4 1 & 2
Drelleshak 2 Option 1: 1 & 4
Option 2: 3 & 4
Option 1: 2 & 3
Option 2: 1 & 2
Egeland 1b
(other options possible)
Option 1: 1 & 2
Option 2: 3 & 4
Option 1: 3 & 4
Option 2: 1 & 2
Hawney 1 Option 1: 1 & 3
Option 2: 3 & 4
Option 1: 2 & 3
Option 2: 1 & 2
Kubacki 1 Option 1: 1 & 4
Option 2: 2 & 4
Option 1: 2 & 3
Option 2: 1 & 3
Linke 1 2 & 4 1 & 3
NDC Green 3 & 4 1 & 2
NDC Orange 2 & 4 1 & 3
NDC Purple 2 & 4 1 & 3
Plan Listing
“Pop. Dev.” is the overall plan deviation from perfect population balance.
“Pairs” indicate the number of Councilmembers placed together in a district.
Plan Name Pop.
Dev.
Pairs Districts
Touching
Airport Area
Districts
Touching
Coast
Cohen-Flock 1 6.94% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1 2 4
Cohen-Flock 2 7.11% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1 2 3
Drelleshak 1 5.69%none 3 1
Drelleshak 2 7.10% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1 2 1
Egeland 1b 3.49% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1
Blackburn & M. Schumacher in
D3
3 2
Hawney 1 4.85% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1 2 4
Kubacki 1 3.76% C. Shumacher & Packard in D1 2 2
Linke 1 1.15%none 2 1
NDC Green 4.17%none 4 1
NDC Orange 2.69%none 3 4
NDC Purple 3.20%none 4 3
Exhibit 6
Page 38
Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
stapleton
Monday, June 26, 2017 4:08 PM
carlsbad@NDCresearch.com
City of Carlsbad Give Input on Maps
Dear Mr. Douglas Johnson and Justin Levitt,
All Receive - Agenda Item # _\_
For the Information of the:
CITY COUNCIL ACM ,/ CA ./ CC / Date �ity Manager ./
I recommend the "Cohen-Flock 2" map. It illustrates a logical and visual view of 4 sensibly defined districts within the
City of Carlsbad.
Most importantly I would be disappointed if "Old Carlsbad" is divided. Old Carlsbad, Carlsbad Village and the Barrio
should be kept within one district.
Thank you,
Trudie Stapleton
Southwest Carlsbad, 92011
1
,-
Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
kcinciarelli
Sunday, June 25, 2017 10:10 PM
carlsbad@N DC research.com
Districts
Historically carlsbad has for purposes of plannig, populatiin, housing been divided into 4 quadrants which are separated
by El Camino Real and Palomar Airport Rd.
It seems natural.and fits with most of some of tue criteria (except equal population) to have representatives
elected.from each quadrant
I reside in the NE quadrant. Specifically i.do not.want to.see our.neighborhood grouped with the downtown carlsbad
area as the needs are quite different. Everyone east of El Camino Real in the NE quadrant should remain grouped
together. You should.not just carve out a little.chunk.of streets, without notifying those residents. Please make sure my
home address remains a part of the NE quadrant.
K. Cinciarelli
Cbd, CA 92010
Sent via the Samsung Galaxy S® 6, an AT&T 4G LTE smartphone
1
Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
John Marshall
Sunday, June 25, 2017 1:58 PM
carlsbad@ndcresear'ch.com
Question about projected population in each district
. Hello and thanks for asking for citizen input. My question is whether the planning process
includes best estimates for future populations in the proposed districts and their ethnic make up?
Did the city provide projections/numbers based on build-out in each district, with current
projects and those undergoing the approval process? Robertson Ranch comes to mind with single
family home, condos, apartments, some senior, as well as subsidized housing.
Thanks,
John Marshall
)
1
Douglas Johnson ..
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Linda Sinclair
Saturday, June 24, 2017 8:22 PM
carlsbad@ndcresearch.com
Carlsbad Draft Maps
In my opinion, the "Purple" map prepared by demographers is the most appropriate for adoption.
Linda Sinclair
Carlsbad, CA 92009
1
Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Laura Drelleshak <
Friday, June 23, 2017 9:16 PM
djohnson@ndcresearch.com Correction
to Carlsbad Plan Listings
Hi Doug, A small correction to your stats: My map "Drelleshak 1" actually has two districts touching the coast, not one (districts 1&2), although district 2 only has a bit of the south end. Thanks, Laura Drelleshak
-----Original Message-----From: Douglas Johnson <djohnson@ndcresearch.com> To: carlsbad <carlsbad@NDCresearch.com> Cc: 'Kristina Ray' <Kristina.Ray@carlsbadca.gov>; Justin Levitt -NOC <jlevitt@ndcresearch.com> Sent: Tue, Jun 20, 2017 2:26 am Subject: Carlsbad Online Districting Update
Thanks to all of you who have already created user ID's for the City of Carlsbad's on line redistricting system. I hope that
you have found it interesting and helpful as you have spent some time on it.
As you may have already heard, last week the City Council unanimously decided to focus on 4-district maps that keep
the voter-approved separately elected Mayor position. I am writing this note to let you know that the on line map
drawing tool has been updated to properly calculate the population balance for each district assuming four districts in
the map (and it may give you an error message if you attempt to add a fifth district). Note that the changes made will
only affect new plans that you started Monday (6/19) or that you create going forward -the settings for the plans you
already created, and for any plans you create as copies of those earlier maps, will remain unchanged.
If you previously submitted a five-district map proposal, we will keep that as a part of the City records, but moving
forward the focus will be on the four-district maps.
While the deadline for the initial draft map submissions (6/19) has just passed, the next stage of the project is a set of
hearings on the draft maps, and please feel free to use the online system or any of the other public participation tools to
review and suggest changes to any of the initial draft maps that will be posted to the City website by Thursday.
Remember that when you finish a plan, you can submit it-and your comments about it for the Council -using the
"Submit Plan" button in the top right portion of the screen.
If you have any questions, please feel free to email carlsbad@NDCresearch.com (or simply respond to this email) and we
will answer as quickly as we can. And the City has posted a wealth of resources on the City project page.
Thank you very much, and we look forward to seeing your plan submissions!
•Doug
1
· Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:
To:
Subject:
Ronee Kozlowski
Friday, June 23, 2017 7:01 PM
carlsbad@NDCresearch.com; council@carlsbadca.gov
Maps
After researching, talking with others and as to what is important to our family we much prefer the Map Cohen/Flock
No. 2. As part of Olde Carlsbad, Ridgecrest Dr., we totally identify to the Village/Barrio area. The areas East of El Camino
Real feel almost like a different City to us as do most areas South of Cannon.
Please take this into consideration.
Thank you.
Sent from my iPad=
1
Douglas Johnson
From:
Sent:.
To:
Subject:
SAnder
Thursday, June 22, 2017 4:45
PM carlsbad@NDCresearch.com
Carlsbad District Election Map
I vote for the ORANGE map. I would have preferred the 5 District option that was first proposed.
Shirley Anderson
Carlsbad, CA 92009
1
Faviola Medina
From:
Sent:
To:
Cc:
Subject:
Council Internet Email All Receive -Agenda Item # f For the Information of the:-Tuesday, June 27, 2017 1:24 PM Clry_ COUNCILCit� Clerk ACM v CA v CC vCelia Brewer D t �Gt M � FW: City of Carlsbad four district maps -ORANGE preferre3 e 2 ' 1 Y anager
From: Carl Pope [mailto:]
Sent: Tuesday, June 27, 2017 11:52 AM
To: carlsbad@NDCresearch.com; Council Internet Email <CityCouncil@carlsbadca.gov>
Subject: City of Carlsbad four district maps - ORANGE preferred -,
Please accept my input on the four district maps submitted so far as I am unable to attend the 6/29 public hearing. After reviewing all the demographers and publics draft maps and associated documents, I believe the map created by the demographer Douglas Johnson and labeled as Orange is the most beneficial and balanced. The Orange map meets all of the criteria, including having all current council members in a separate district and give all districts a stake/interest in the coast. If you have any questions please feel free to contact me. Thank you, Carl Pope
1
All Receive -Agenda Item # 1 For the Information of the:
CITY COUNCIL �/ ACM ./ CA v 00 / �-------\:�'.!__ ___ -----=-_____________ ...wg ___ ;:�-�ityManager 7
\\ . - '--�v�1
Map layers D Drelleshak:_1 [ .. J Census Block I WaterArea
Streets
+ Landmark Point
Landmark Area
Pipeline/Power Line
--Railroad
--River
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
- i
Drelleshak 1
National Demographics Cotporation,June 21, 2017
Page 26
-,--
-,.,,--
June 27, 2017
Dear Councilmember,
I'm the creator of the district map "Drelleshak-1". I'd like to share with
you what I see as the decisions involved in the process. I plan to speak this
Thursday at the public hearing to point out the features of my map, but
explaining the multiple decisions and various options involvecl is too much
ground to cover clearly in 3 nervous minutes spent in front of the public. I
think you�,11 find this brief summary useful, and hope it adds some color to
the reasoning behind my design. If-nothing else it may give you ideas.
I like to deal with facts and reasonable solutions, not rhetoric. I crafted
'-. thi_s map using the six criteria as listed by the City Council, with the goal of
/
'-- .
meeting fairly all parties' requirements and desires. I believe it does, both
in letter and spirit.
I've lived here 42 years, and in my profession often deal with statistics,
demographic trends, percentage variances, etc. The software was
enlightening to play with, and I thank you for providing it.
Thank you for your time,
drelleshak
/
To start, I asked myself the question, does "respecting communities of
interest" mean keeping residential communities together in the same
district as much as possible? I decided yes.
Does it mean following tradition and keeping the commercial areas and
natural resources in single districts? Or should district boundaries cut
through these areas? When the demographer mentioned some cities were
using the second option, the example he used was of a city cut into fourths
like a pizza, meeting in the middle of downtown. The rationale was that
this might foster greater cooperation among council members and more
accountability to the public.
When I looked at our distribution of people, I saw our densest centers
are in the NW and SE comers and we have a wide belt through the middle ...... � . with no one at all. Our malls and other retail areas are spread all over, our
ocean frontage runs the length of one side, and we have valuable open
space in the east.
I could see we weren't a pizza. Not even close. There is no rational way
to split it so all districts have equal shares of everything, without cutting
residential communities in half. This whole change is about voter
representation, not geographical territory. We're not the average city that
grew outward evenly from a core area, and the best that can be done under
this option is to divide the area around the airport that way.
Since it wasn't possible to have all districts share evenly and still keep
neighborhoods together, I went with giving each district an equal number
. of non-residential areas as much as possible.
I also think it would be good at this time for every area to have one clear
councitmember. If nothing else, it might cut down on the volume of your
emails.
/
Next, fulfilling the criteria as given.
EQUAL POPULATION
Must be within 5% of ideal for each district, or a difference of only 1300
people +/-. In our denser areas, this is only a few streets. There can be a
variance of up to 10% for all districts combined. The deviation in my
districts ranges from -1.94% (district 3) to +3.75% (district 2), with 5.69%
overall. This is deceptive though, because we have to use numbers from
2010. Since then, district 3 has probably grown the most, and district.2
probably not as much as 1 or 3. So in reality it's even better than it looks.
FEDERAL VOTING RIGHTS ACT
Complies, and raises the percentage of Hispanic voters to 18% in district
1 from 13 % overall.
CONTIGUOUS, COMP ACT TERRITORY
Contiguous, yes, and as compact as possible.
District 1 could be more compact if it gave the south coast area to district 2
(anout 4,000 people), but then district 1 would have to get those 4,000 from
somewhere else and the most logical place would be incumbent Mark
Packard's area. That would put 2 incumbents in one area.
District 2 and district 4 could be more compact if you redrew the borders,
but it would entail splitting up the La Costa Resort. That's why I put the
area S of La CostaBlvd. and W of El Camino Real in district 2. It's a
retirement neighborhood, somewhat self-contained. Putting it in district 2
frees up the north end of the Resort to stay in district 4. I'm sure Mr.
Blackburn and Mr. Schumacher would know best how to improve this
border ..
District 4 will probably expand geographically as time goes by, since its
neighboring districts have more growth planned, and they will need to shed
population after the next census. It will be an opportunity to readdress
"compact".
/
RESPECT COMMUNITIES OF INTEREST
Here I think I did well. Almost all residential neighborhoods are intact,
and the Encinitas school district is kept together in district 4.
For some of the non-residential revenue areas:
District 1 has the Village.
District 2 has Car Country, the Outlet Mall, Legoland, and the Flower
Fields.
District 3 has The Shoppes at Carlsbad mall, the airport, and much of the
business park area.
District 4 has the Forum and La Costa Resort.
For ocean and lagoons and the Lake Calaveras open space area:
District 1 gets part of Buena Vista lagoon, Agua Hedionda lagoon, and
most of the coastline. The demographer may be able to tweak it so that
more/all of Buena Vista is in district 3. If you reduce the coastline, like I
said earlier, you have to make it up somewhere.
District 2 gets all of Batiquitos lagoon, and the very southern tip of
coastline.
District 3 gets part of Buena Vista lagoon and all the open space by Lake
Calaveras.
District 4 is so dense it's hard to extend it toward the water.
Of course there's a lot of open space I haven't mentioned, golf courses,
parks, etc. This is just the highlights.
It isn't as even as I would like, but given the desire to keep residential
communities together and avoid pairing current Council members, I think
it's a good compromise.
Sheila Cobian
From:
Sent:
To:
Celia Brewer
Thursday, June 29, 2017 8:30 AM
Sheila Cobian
All R®ceive -Agenda Item # 1 ·
For the Information of the:
CITY COUNCIL
11 m~co::£i,i!l~
Subject:
Attachments:
FW: District Map Input for 29 June 2017 Carlsbad Special Council Meeting
LSchlesingerl.pdf
From: Douglas Johnson <djohnson@ndcresearch.com>
Organization: National Demographics (NDC)
Date: Wednesday, June 28, 2017 at 6:00 PM
To: 'Linda Schlesinger' <drlauragolfs@yahoo.com>
Cc: Justin Levitt -NDC <jlevitt@ndcresearch.com>, Celia Brewer <Celia.Brewer@carlsbadca.gov>, Kristina Ray
<Kristina.Ray@carlsbadca.gov>, "'Ramirez, John"' <jramirez@rutan.com>, Celia Brewer <Celiai"Brewer@carlsbadca.gov>,
"'Fenstermacher, Alan"' <AFenstermacher@rutan.com>
Subject: RE: District Map Input for 29 June 2017 Carlsbad Special Council Meeting
Unfortunately the deadline to be included in the agenda packet and in NDC's presentation was last week, because state
Jaw requires maps and proposed election sequences to be posted a week prior to Thursday's hearing.
But we have input your map into our computers and the resulting map and demographic spreadsheet are attached.
If you wish, you may make copies of this for the Council and present it in person at the hearing, or we will add it to the
public comment following the hearing for comment and consideration at future hearings.
Doug
Douglas Johnson
National Demographics Corporation
310-200-2058
djohnson@NDCresearch.com
www.NDCresearch.com
From: Linda Schlesinger [mailto:drlauragolfs@yahoo.com]
Sent: Wednesday, June 28, 2017 2:51 PM
To: carlsbad@ndcresearch.com
Subject: District Map Input for 29 June 2017 Carlsbad Special Council Meeting
NOC-
Attached is an excel spreadsheet to support 4 districts in Carlsbad. Is it possible for attached input to
be considered and/or presented via a map at the 29 June 2017 meeting in Carlsbad? Thanks.
Regard~,
Linda Schlesinger
mobile: 858-357-5525
1
Map layers
CJ LSchlesinger
L ; Census Block
·':·· .. '.·::. Water Area
Streets
Landmark Point
Landmark Area
--Pipeline/Power Line
--,.......+-Railroad
--River
City of Carlsbad
2017 Districting
LSchlesinger
City of Carlsbad -LSchlesinger 1 map
District 1 2 3 4 Total
Ideal Total Pop 26,379 26,437 26,186 26,276 105,328
21,066 Deviation from ideal 47 155 -146 -56 301
o/o Deviation 0.18% 0.59% -0.55% -0.21% 1.14%
%Hisp 20% 15% 10% 8% 13%
Total Pop %NH White 73% 69% 77% 81% 75%
%NH Black 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
o/o Asian-American 5% 12% 10% 9% 9%
Total 21,504 19,047 19,908 19,503 79,962
%Hisp 17% 13% 9% 7% 12%
Voting Age Pop %NH White 76% 73% 79% 83% 78%
%NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian-American 4% 11% 9% 8% 8%
Total 19,817 18,568 21,240 19,644 79,269
Citizen Voting Age %Hisp 15% 13% 10% 8% 11%
%NH White 78% 75% 80% 82% 79% Pop %NH Black 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
% Asian/Pac.Isl 5% 10% 8% 7% 7%
Total 15,313 15,727 16,766 17,160 64,966
% Latino est. 11% 10% 7% 6% 8%
Voter Registration % Asian-Surnamed 2% 5% 4% 3% 4%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% (Nov 2014) % Spanish-Surnamed 10% 9% 6% 5% 7%
% NH White est. . 83% 83% 86% 89% 85%
%NH Black 1% 1%. 1% 1% 1%
Total 7,226 7,517 8,577 8,840 32,159
% Latino 8% 7% 5% 5% 6%
Voter Turnout
0/o Asiao.-Sumamed 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed Oo/o 1% 1% 0% 1% (Nov 2014) % Spanish-Surnamed 7% 6% 4% 4% 5%
% NH White est. 87% 87% 89% 91% 88%
%NH Black 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 11,952 12,298 13,805 14,509 52,563
% Latino 10% 8% 6% 5% 7%
Voter Turnout % Asian-Surnamed 2% 4% 4% 3o/o 3%
% Filipino-Surnamed 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% (Nov 2012) % Spanish-Surnamed 9% 7% 6% 5% 6%
% NH White est. 86% 85% 87% 90% 87%
% NH Black est. 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
ACS Pop.Est. Total 26,132 28,457 28,301 27,027 109,917
age0-19 18% 28% 26% 26% 25%
Age age20-60 57% 53% 53% 53% 54%
•=60olus 25% 18% 21% 21% 21%
Immigration :immim:ao.ts 14% 15% 15% 12% 14%
naturalized 45% 66% 71% 70% 63%
Language spoken at english 80% 80% 81% 89% 83%
home Spanish 14% 9% 9% 4% 9%
asian-lang 2% 5% 5% 3% 4%
otherlang 3% 6% 4% 4% 4%
Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less 9% 6% 6% 4% 6% than Very Well"
Education (among hs-grad 49% 42% 38% 38% 42%
bachelor 24% 33% 35% 34% 31% those age 25+) graduated~=ee 18% 21% 24% 26% 22%
Child in Household child-underl 8 19% 36% 34% 35% 31%
Work (percent of employed 59% 60% 59% 57% 59%
Commute on Public pop age 16+) Transit 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
income 0-25k 15% 14% 14% 14% 14%
income 25-SOk 21% 12% 11% 11% 14%
Household Income income 50-75k 18% 15% 11% 10% 14%
income 75-ZOOk 39% 45% 44% 43% 42%
income 200k-plus 8% 14% 19% 22% 16%
single family 51% 32% 28% 22% 34%
multi-family 39% 62% 62% 73% 59%
Housing Stats vacant 10% 6% 10% 5% 8%
occuoied 90% 94% 90% 95% 92%
rented 56% 34% 31% 23% 36%
owned 44% 66% 69% 77% 64%
Total and Voting Age population data from the 2010 Decennial Census.
Surname-based Voter Registration and Tumout data from the California Statewide Database.
Latino voter :registration and tumout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estirr
NH White and 1'1H Black registration and rumout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other
demographics from the 2011-2015 American Community Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data.
Sums by District Assigned Ideal population: 26,332
City of Carlsbad 2017 Public Participation Kit
Schlesinger
Counts Percentages
Group Category 1 2 3 4 Unassigned Total 1 2 3 4 Unassigned Total
Tot. Pop. 26,379 26,487 26,186 26,276 0 105,328
Deviation from 47 155 ~-146 -56 301 0% 1% -1% 0% 1.14%
Total Ideal
Hisp 5,227 3,930 2,680 2,151 0 13,988 20% 15% 10% 8% 13% Population NHWht 19,142 18,331 20,094 21,312 0 78,879 73% 69% 77% 81% 75%
NHBlk 297 608 437 254 0 1,596 1% 2% 2% 1% 2%
NHAsn 1,226 3,187 2,600 2,263 0 9,276 5% 12% 10% 9% 9%
Total VAP 21,504 19,047 19,908 19,503 0 79,962
Voting Age Hisp 3,674 2,410 1,755 1,400 0 9,239 17% 13% 9% 7% 12%
NHWht 16,307 13,819 15,818 16,241 0 62,185 76% 73% 79% 83% 78% Population NHBlk 210 391 276 171 0 1,048 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
NHAsn 956 2,162 1,824 1,506 0 6,448 4% 11% 9% 8% 8%
Total CVAP 19,817 18,568 21,240 19,644 0 79,269
Citizen Voting Hisp 3,017 2,327 2,154 1,583 0 9,082 15% 13% 10% 8% 11%
NHWht 15,458 13,922 17,020 16,112 0 62,512 78% 75% 80% 82% 79% Age Population NHBlk 197 302 237 265 0 1,001 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
NHAsn 891 1,817 1,638 1,432 0 5,778 4% 10% 8% 7% 7%
Total Reg. 15,313 15,727 16,766 17,160 0 64,966
Nov. 2014 Latino 1,752 1,517 1,114 962 0 5,346 11% 10% 7% 6% 8%
Registration Asian-American 316 807 746 599 0 2,468 2% 5% 4% 3% 4%
Filipino 83 137 145 82 0 447 1% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Total Voters 7,226 7,517 8,577 8,840 0 32,159
Nov. 2014 Latino 603 526 426 401 0 1,957 8% 7% 5% 5% 6%
Voters Asian-American 134 303 306 254 0 997 2% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Filipino 34 57 71 31 0 193 0% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Submitter's Comments about the plan:
I think this map makes sense because ....
Sheila Cobian
Fro in:
Sent:
To:
Cc:
Subject:
Attachments:
Douglas Johnson <djohnson@ndcresearch.com > All R .
Thursday, June 29, 2017 4:02 PM ece,ve -Agenda Item# _J_
'Justin Levitt'; Celia Brewer; Kristina Ray For the Information of the:
'Ramirez John'· Sheila Cobian· 'Fenstermacher Alan' · CITY COUNCIL ' ' ' ' ACM 1 CA v' v' Last-minute public comment for Carlsbad · Date~~C"t M CC -
City of Carlsbad Public Feedback on Maps 20170629.pdf I Y anager "V
FYI:
There was a voicemail left on NDC's machine this morning from Larry Posnicke (spelling?) commenting on the Orange
draft map. He is concerned about the Orange map because "on the extreme right" it cuts Rancho Carrillo "right in half,"
and "there is a desert in between one section and the other section." He said in his message that he will attend tonight's
meeting to share these thoughts directly with the Council.
FYI, a map of Rancho Carrillo is on line here. It runs on both sides of Malibu Rd in the SE corner of Orange map's district
1, which uses Malibu Rd as the border between Dl and D3.
The "desert" he refers to is that giant Census Block in the northeast where 95%+ percent of the territory is uninhabited
open space, but the 652 people in the Census Block are along the south and east sides of the streets at the northern end
of the Census Block.
An updated list of public comments is attached, with the only changes being including Mr. Posnicke's comments and
noting the new maps submitted yesterday by Ms. Schlesinger.
Doug
Douglas Johnson
National Demographics Corporation
310-200-2058
djohnson@NDCresearch.com
. www.NDCresearch.com
1
City of Carlsbad Public Feedback on Maps Updated: 6/29/20017
Name Comn1ent
Larry Posnicke (sp?) V oicemail on the NDC machine.
6/29 He is concerned about the Orange map because "on the extreme right" it
cuts Rancho Carrillo "right in .half," and "there is a desert in between one
section and the other section."
Linda Schlesinger Sent new map submission. Too late for agenda packet and presentation.
6/28 NDC processed the map so she can bring it and present it in person.
Trudie Stapleton I recommend the "Cohen-Flock 2" map. It illustrates a logical and visual
6/26 view of 4 sensibly defined districts within the City of Carlsbad.
Most importantly I would be disappointed if "Old Carlsbad" is divided.
Old Carlsbad, Carlsbad Village and the Barrio should be kept within one
district.
K. Cinciarelli Historically Carlsbad has for purposes of planning, population, housing
6/25 been divided into 4 quadrants which are separated by El Camino Real and
Palomar Airport Rd.
It seems natural and fits with most of some of the criteria ( except equal
population) to have representatives elected from each quadrant.
I reside in the NE quadrant. Specifically I do not want to see our
neighborhood grouped with the downtown Carlsbad area as the needs are
quite different. Everyone east of El Camino Real in the NE quadrant
should remain grouped together. You should not just carve out a little
chunk of streets, without notifying those residents. Please make sure my
home address remains a part of the NE quadrant.
John Marshall Hello and thanks for asking for citizen input. My question is whether the
6/25 planning process includes best estimates for future populations in the
proposed districts and their ethnic make up?
Did the city provide projections/numbers based on build-out in each
district, with current projects and those undergoing )he approval process?
Robertson Ranch comes to mind with single family home, condos,
apartments, some senior, as well as subsidized housing.
Linda Sinclair In my opinion, the "Purple" map prepared by demographers is the most
6/24 appropriate for adoption.
Laura Drelleshak A small correction to your stats: My map "Drelleshak 1" actually has two
6/23 districts touching the coast, not one (districts 1&2), although district 2
only has a bit of the south end.
Ronee Kozlowski After researching, talking with other-s and as to what is important to our
6/23 family we much prefer the Map Cohen/Flock No. 2. As part of Olde
Carlsbad, Ridgecrest Dr., we totally identify to the Village/Barrio area.
The areas East of El Camino Real feel almost like a different qty to us as
do most areas South of Cannon.
Please take this into cop.sideration.
Shirley Anderson
6/22
I vote for the ORANGE map. I would have preferred the 5 District
o tion that was first ro osed.