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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2018-10-23; City Council; ; Growth Management Plan Update Scoping Session~ CITY COUNCIL ~ Staff Report Meeting Date: To: From: Staff Contact: Subject: October 23, 2018 Mayor and City Council Scott Chadwick, City Manager David de Cordova, Principal Planner David.decordova@carlsbadca.gov or 760-602-4604 Scott Donnell, Senior Planner Scott.donnell@carlsbadca.gov or 760-602-4618 Growth Management Plan Update Scoping Session Recommended Action CA Review f2-t,{.._. That the City Council receive a staff presentation and direct staff on the scope (update tier) and timing of potential Growth Management Plan revisions. Executive Summary At their March 20, 2018 goal-setting session, the City Council expressed a desire to begin a process to review and update the city's Growth Management Plan {GMP). Adopted in 1986, the GMP responded to a time of rapid development, large population increases, and concerns over future growth potential, adequate infrastructure, and the quality of life. It has been a cornerstone for proactively managing growth over the past 30 years by guiding development and ensuring that adequate facilities are properly financed and provided concurrent with all new development. In 2018, most of Carlsbad has now developed, infrastructure is largely in place, and the rate of growth has slowed. Residentially speaking, the city is at approximately 87 percent of potential buildout as planned for in the 2015 General Plan update. At the same time, Carlsbad and other California jurisdictions face a renewed state effort to address a housing shortage. Further, the way in which infrastructure is completed or improved may change as development becomes more incremental, smaller in scale, and infill in nature. For these and other reasons, while the City Council recognizes the unique value of the GMP, it also agrees that it is time for its review and update to meet the challenges of the next 30 years. As such, the City Council directed staff to draft a work plan and resourcing strategy to conduct the update and submit it for City Council's consideration. Staff began preparation of a work plan and resourcing strategy but needed more direction from City Council. To facilitate that discussion, this staff report provides helpful GMP information, including background, update options, and schedule and timing considerations. The report also provides a high-level overview of potential resource needs, whether financial, city department participation and staffing, or engagement of outside agencies, community members and boards and commissions. Upon October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 1 of 57 gaining a better understanding of City Council's GMP update goals and objectives, staff will prepare the necessary work plan and resourcing strategy for additional consideration by the City Council at a later date. Discussion The following topics are presented to assist the City Council's deliberations and staff direction: 1. GMP background 2. GMP compliance measures and status 3. GMP and housing 4. Facility standards 5. Financing 6. Potential GMP update tiers 7. Update approach 8. Work program timing 9. Next steps 1. GMP Background History. In the mid-1980s, the city was experiencing an era of rapid growth, which raised community concerns about how growth would affect quality of life-the community's "small town" identity, open space, natural habitat, and the adequacy of public facilities to serve new growth. Evidence for these concerns was found in realized and potential growth: in 1985, developers completed more than 2,000 homes and the General Plan allowed 87,000 more. In 1986, over 2,500 homes were built. These numbers sharply contrast with the 1,335 homes completed in 2016 and 2017 and a remaining 6,850 unbuilt and planned dwellings as of July 2018. In response, a 25-member citizen's committee was appointed to review the city's General Plan Land Use Element. From January to June 1985, the committee held 13 meetings, two Saturday workshops, and four additional public workshops, one in each quadrant. In July 1985, the City Council adopted the committee's recommendations. One month later the City Council passed the first of a series of interim ordinances to restrict development while the formal Growth Management Plan was finalized. The following year, in July 1986, the city passed Ordinance No. 9808, adopting the GMP and adding Chapter 21.90 to the Municipal Code. Following plan passage, Proposition E was placed on the ballot and ratified by Carlsbad voters in November 1986. This proposition, in addition to requiring adequate facilities, "locked in" the residential density controls which were already a part of the GMP and established ultimate dwelling unit caps for each of the city's four quadrants. Public Facilities. The GMP requires adequate public facilities be provided concurrent with new growth. To ensure this, the plan identifies performance standards for eleven public facilities - city administration, library, wastewater treatment, parks, drainage, circulation, fire, open space, schools, sewer collection, and water distribution. The facility performance standards were based on the city's residential dwelling unit capacity (existing and future units), which in October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 2 of 57 1986 was estimated to be 54,599 dwelling units, or the total of the dwelling unit capacities determined for each quadrant.1 Calculations were also performed to estimate the total square feet of industrial and commercial land uses at buildout. Projections for both residential and non-residential construction provided a basis for determining the level of development at buildout and the amount and types of public facilities necessary to adequately serve a future, fully developed city. Through Proposition E, voters limited the number of dwelling units in the city to the 54,599- dwelling unit estimate. As shown in Table 1, Proposition E established a maximum number of dwelling units that could be built after November 4, 1986, in each of the city's four quadrants, which are located along El Camino Real and Palomar Airport Road. Table 1 also shows the estimated number of existing dwelling units in November 1986 and the estimated total units allowed in each quadrant and citywide if unbuilt, approved projects were completed, vacant residential land was developed, and underdeveloped residential land was redeveloped to its General Plan potential. Table 1: Proposition E -Growth Management QUADRANT . ESTIMATED PROP. E. MAX I GMP DWELLING ESTIMATED EXISTING UNITS UNITS ALLOWED UNIT CAP DWELLING IN NOV. 1986 AFTER NOV. 4, ESTIMATE* UNITS AT 1986 ----+--------BUILDOUT** ------+---------·--·--- Northwest i 9,526 5,844 15,370 14,669 Northeast . 2,876 6,166 9,042 ' 8,940 ~------- Southwest ' 2,192 10,677 12,859 ____ , 1_1~,6_4_6 __ Southeast · 6,527 10,801 1 17,328 ____ ;_17,0_0_1 ___ _ CITYWIDE ; 21,121 I 33,478 I 54,599 i 52,256 'Excludes second dwelling units and commercial living units, which are not counted for purposes of the city's Growth Management dwelling unit limitations, as noted. **Includes unbuilt approved projects, as well as vacant and, except in the Village, underdeveloped property designated for residential use by the General Plan. Fii:t~res in this column are as of July 31, 2018. Application. Pursuant to Proposition E, the city cannot approve any General Plan amendment, zone change, subdivision map or other discretionary permit that could result in residential development that exceeds the dwelling unit limit in each quadrant without voter approval. Preparation of the 2015 General Plan, for example, included careful analysis of residential land uses to ensure that the resulting residential dwelling units would not exceed the number of units allowed by the GMP (citywide and in each quadrant) as established by Proposition E. 1 Pursuant to state law and city regulations, second dwelling units and commercial living units are not counted as dwellings for the purposes of Growth Management. California Government Code Section 65852.2 states that second dwelling units shall not be considered in the application of any local ordinance, policy or program that limits residential growth. In regard to commercial living units (e.g., professional care facilities, hotels and time- shares), Carlsbad Municipal Code Section 21.04.093 states that such units are not considered dwelling units due to the assistance/services provided in conjunction with the living unit and/or the use of the living unit for temporary lodging. In addition, pursuant to the city's Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan, hotels, time-shares and units that are not defined as a dwelling unit in the building code are not counted as dwelling units for purposes of Growth Management. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 3 of 57 Compliance with the dwelling unit limits is ensured by "growth management control points" that are at or near the midpoint of residential density ranges permitted by the General Plan. For example, the R-8 residential land use designation has a density range of 4-8 units per acre and a growth management control point of 6 units per acre. As General Plan Land Use and Community Design Element Policy 2-P.8. specifies, a project may exceed a control point only if: • The project qualifies for and receives an allocation of "excess" dwelling units • Other developments have been built at densities below the control point so that the project would not exceed quadrant and citywide limits • The project would construct or guarantee construction of all necessary public facilities required by the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan concurrent with the need created by the project and in compliance with city standards The City Council has established an Excess Dwelling Unit Bank to account for excess units and a policy (City Council Policy No. 43) to govern their deposit and allocation. More information on excess units and the bank is provided in the next section. The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (CFIP), adopted in 1986, was the first phase in the implementation process of the GM P adopted earlier that year. The CFIP identifies the performance standards for each of the eleven public facilities, divides the city into 25 local facility management zones (LFMZ) and identifies the city's ultimate public facility needs. In turn, a local facilities management plan identifies the public facility needs for each of the 25 LFMZs. Individual development projects, whether residential, commercial, office, or industrial, must comply with the CFIP and the applicable local facilities management plan, which ensures that adequate public facilities are provided concurrent with development. Adopted local facilities management plans are in place for each of the 25 zones. A map of the quadrants and the zones is provided as Exhibit 1. The performance standards specified by the CFIP are not goals or policies but requirements that must be met before development can occur. Failure of any one of the facilities to meet the standard would halt development on either a city-wide, quadrant or zone basis. For example, non-compliance with performance standards for city administrative facilities, libraries, and wastewater treatment capacity would affect the whole city and would halt all development in Carlsbad until the deficiency was corrected. Conversely, non-compliance with the parks performance standard, since it is analyzed on a quadrant basis, would mean development only in the quadrant would be halted. The other performance standards, including circulation and open space, are decentralized and have less widespread effects; a lack of compliance with them would only impact development within a given zone. A complete description of each performance standard and an "adequacy analysis" to determine compliance status with each standard are provided in the annual Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report The latest report, prepared for FY 2016-17, is attached as Exhibit 2 and discussed below. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 4 of 57 2. GMP Compliance Measures and Status Compliance with GMP housing caps and performance standards requires the city to comprehensively monitor development in each LFMZ. To do so, the Planning Division, in coordination with city departments and outside agencies, prepares a monthly Development Monitoring Report and an annual Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report. Both reports are available on the city's website, www.carlsbadca.gov; the latest reports are also attached. Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report and facility status. For each fiscal year, the Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report includes an analysis of development activity, public facilities and improvements, public facility financing, and Proposition E dwelling unit cap compliance. This adequacy analysis is meant to help answer the question, "does this facility meet the performance standard?" The city administrative facilities performance standard can help illustrate how this question can be answered. The standard requires that "1,500 sq . ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified." By monitoring development activity, the city can track dwelling units. Based on that data, a population estimate can be produced. This estimate enables the demand for administrative facilities to be determined. In comparison with an existing inventory of city and Carlsbad Municipal Water District buildings occupied for administrative services, an adequacy analysis can occur. Staff released the most recent FY 2016-17 Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report in March 2018. The major report findings are as follows: • Building permits for 952 dwellings and 1,210,993 square feet of non-residential space were issued during the fiscal year. Much of the residential development occurred in the Quarry Creek Master Plan and Robertson Ranch West Village Master Plan. • The total number of dwelling units in each quadrant continues to comply with the GMP limitations. • The current adequacy status for the circulation performance standard is not available because its revised facility performance evaluation criteria is under development. Staff expects the criteria to be completed by the end of 2018. • All other public facilities are currently meeting their adopted growth management performance standards for FY 2016-17. • As the report identifies, some public facilities will need to provide additional improvements to meet their performance standards at buildout. In summary, as of the last fiscal year, the GMP continued to meet its objective of assuring adequate public facilities concurrent with the need created by new development. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 5 of 57 Table 2: Residential Dwelling Unit Status per Quadrant (July 31, 2018) --._ ... NORTHWEST QUADRANT NORTHEAST SOUTHWEST PROPOSITION E Outside Village Total ~ __ -·-·--·. _ -----......, QUADRANT QUADRANT SOUTHEAST QUADRANT CITYWIDE TOTAL QUADRANT I -Village ______ N_W __ +---·-···-·--+-------+----<--·--··---- DWELLIN6.~! .. ~I! _ .................... _ ... ~---+-l_Sc,_3_7_0 --j--9C..,0_4_2 __ +--12_c,_85_9 __ -!i 17,328_ .. i 54,599 Existing Dwellings 11,775 627 12,402 6,488 10,149 I 16,365 1 45,404 -~-:b-e u-lii~l~-:s-l;_n_n_e~d~-+--2-,0-4-2 ---2-2-5--+-2-,-2-67-+--2-,4-5_2 __ _,/_1_,-49_7 ___ r ... 3 .. 6-.. ·-.-.. -.... --+!-6-,-85_2 __ -T-u 0-n ~-a u-\E-l;=~-~-i~-~-=-~-d--+--1-3 ,-8-1-7--il, ·is2---·+--14-,-6-69-+-8-,9-4_0 __ _,__11_,6_4_6_--;I i 7,ooi ·······1· 52,256 Dwellings . Potential Additional I 130 l s1i--·10_1_·--+-1-0-2----1-1-,-21-3 --T 327 I 2,343 Dwellings** I ' J l --------~---·-t···-·······-··~~----------···-·--·-·····--··~----~---- *All quadrants except the Village-includes unbuilt approved projects, as well as vacant and underdeveloped property designated for residential use by the General Plan. **Dwelling unit capacity in addition to what is currently planned by the General Plan or approved as part of an unbuilt project. "Potential additional dwellings" must be allocated from the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank. As Table 2 shows, unit accounting in the Northwest Quadrant is more complex than the other quadrants. This is because the Village portion of the quadrant, an approximately 215-acre area, has no residential units assigned to it by right as do all residential areas designated by the General Plan. Instead, Village developers proposing residences must receive a unit allocation from the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank, described below. The city has set aside a specific number of units (571, as of July 31, 2018) from which projects in the Village can draw. Excess Dwelling Unit Bank. Dwelling units that become "excess" shall be added to the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank. The bank provides another means of ensuring GMP consistency by tracking the number and use of these surplus units as they are deposited by and allocated to approved projects. Excess dwelling units may be allocated in any quadrant if consistency is maintained with each quadrant's dwelling unit limitation established by Proposition E. City Council Policy 43, first approved in 1990, establishes the guidelines for the allocation of excess units. The most recent version of the policy, revised in 2013, is provided as Exhibit 4. Regardless of location, all projects seeking an allocation of units from the bank are subject to City Council Policy 43. Table 3 provides the status of the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank. Besides noting the available units set aside for the Village, the table clarifies that only 413 total excess dwelling units are available for projects outside the Village. As noted, use of these excess units is subject to compliance with quadrant caps. In the Northeast Quadrant, for example, as shown in the above Table 2, no more than 102 excess units could be allocated in that quadrant under the cap. The number of excess units can fluctuate as units are withdrawn and deposited, which can result from development being built below or above its growth management control point, approvals converting non-residential land to residential use, and from projects which expire and are therefore no longer considered as unbuilt approved projects. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 7 of 57 adopting housing plans as part of their general plan. The state law mandating that housing be included as an element of each jurisdiction's general plan is known as "housing-element law." California's housing-element law acknowledges that, for the private market to adequately address the housing needs and demand of Californians, local governments must adopt plans and regulatory systems that provide opportunities for (and do not unduly constrain), housing development. As a result, housing policy in California rests largely on the effective implementation of local general plans and local housing elements. State law describes detailed requirements for a housing element's preparation, content and implementation timelines. Key among these requirements are determining the local share of a region's projected housing needs for a given period, and demonstrating that there is enough suitable land planned at the right densities to accommodate the need. Carlsbad's current Housing Element, which was adopted with the General Plan update in 2015, confirmed (and subsequently re-confirmed in 2017) that Carlsbad has sufficient planning capacity to meet the community's housing needs through 2021. Housing needs are re-examined every eight years through a process known as the Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA), which marks the beginning of a new housing element update cycle. This assessment process begins with a statewide projection of population and corresponding housing needs, which are allocated by the state government to the regions throughout the state. It is up to the regions, following parameters laid out in housing element law, to develop a RHNA Plan for distributing the region's share to each jurisdiction. The San Diego Association of Governments (SAN DAG) performs the housing needs allocation function for the San Diego region. On July 5, 2018, the California Department of Housing and Community Development (HCD) issued its final housing needs determination for the San Diego region. HCD determined that the region's cities and County must plan for 171,685 new housing units to accommodate the projected increase in population between June 2020 and April 2029. More than half (57.5%) of these new units must be planned to accommodate lower and moderate-income households. Over the next six months SAN DAG, in consultation with its member jurisdictions and regional stakeholders, will develop the methodology and RHNA Plan proposing how to allocate the regional housing needs to each jurisdiction. After a public comment period, the RHNA allocation will be finalized with concurrent adoption of the 2019 Regional Plan. The general timeline for the RHNA process is: • July 5, 2018 • Sep 2018 -Jul 2019 • Jul -Aug 2019 • Oct 2019 HCD issues final Regional Housing Need Determination SANDAG drafts methodology and RHNA Plan Draft RHNA Plan released for 60-day review and comment period Final RHNA Plan and allocation adopted by SANDAG Following adoption of the RHNA Plan, the region's cities and the County will have 18 months (April 2021) to update their housing elements to ensure their land use plans have sufficient available capacity to meet their share of housing needs. If a jurisdiction determines that their planned densities will not cover their share, then a rezoning program may be required as part of the housing element update. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 9 of 57 While it is too early to know what the implications are for Carlsbad's Housing Element, current land use plan and the GMP dwelling unit caps, consider the following: • The region's 171,685 housing units needed for the coming cycle is higher than it is for the current cycle (161,980 units) and covers a shorter projection period (8.8 years vs. 11.0 years). • Carlsbad's current share of 4,999 new units required the city to increase densities on certain sites as part of the 2015 General Plan update. • Changes in housing element law in 2017 require more rigor from an agency in adequately analyzing sites, such as providing more justification for including in a housing element certain nonvacant sites, small (less than ½-acre) and large (greater than 10 acres) sites, and vacant and nonvacant sites that have been listed in previous inventories but not developed during the housing element period (see AB 879 and AB 1397). • Recently-approved legislation (AB 1771) modifies RHNA allocation objectives by promoting improved jobs/housing balance between the number of low-wage jobs and the number of housing units affordable to low-wage workers in a jurisdiction. (Note that Carlsbad has a high jobs-to-housing ratio relative to the region, 1.6 vs. 1.3.) Looking to the next housing element cycle, key questions will be: to what extent new and pending legislation will alter the distribution of housing needs among jurisdictions, particularly for lower income households (and hence need for higher density land); to what degree can Carlsbad continue to rely on infill and redevelopment sites in its housing strategy; will additional sites need to be identified for increased densities, even though the city may have sufficient overall housing capacity under current land use plans and GMP housing caps; and if Carlsbad's share of housing units for the upcoming cycle exceeds GMP housing caps, how will the city reconcile state-mandated housing goals to Carlsbad voter-approved housing limits? If either GMP housing caps or overall housing capacity are inadequate to accommodate Carlsbad's share of housing units for the coming cycle, they would be identified as constraints in the upcoming housing element. The element would also need to identify programs that detail the city actions and timeframes necessary to address those constraints. An example of a potential program could be one that re-designates one or more properties for residential uses at a required density and made available for development within the housing element planning period. Furthermore, if a housing element program were necessary to show how the city would accommodate any residential units that exceed GMP housing caps, the program would need to factor in sufficient time to develop and schedule a ballot measure as necessary for voter ratification of changes to the cap. These and other housing element programs and their timelines would be subject to approval and annual monitoring by the state. 4. Public Facilities and Performance Standards Along with the housing caps, the eleven public facilities and their performance standards are the yardsticks to measure GMP compliance. Adopted as part of the CFIP in 1986, they have played a critical role in ensuring Carlsbad's high quality of life. They were also established when October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 10 of 57 much of the city's land and infrastructure, including roads, sewer systems, and fire stations, had yet to be completed. For much of the three decades since CFIP adoption, Carlsbad has been developing and changing based on the premise of available land to accommodate a growing population. Carlsbad's basic guiding documents, such as its 1994 General Plan, were created on that premise. Today, however, with the city approaching buildout, development will mostly occur through infill and redevelopment. Besides a change in how Carlsbad develops, the community is now guided and influenced by a vision, rules and regulations, and principles not in play 30 years ago. The Carlsbad Community Vision, the 2015 General Plan, Climate Action Plan, Habitat Management Plan, inclusionary housing, smart growth and sustainability principles are examples. Revisions are now underway to implement the circulation performance standard as expressed in the General Plan Mobility Element. Additionally, the city's utility needs are addressed through ongoing implementation and periodic updates to water, sewer, drainage, and recycled water master plans. Based on changing standards and preferences and the passage of time, reconsideration of the eleven public facilities and their performance standards has merit as to how well they will serve the community into the future and maintain the quality of life for all who live in Carlsbad. 5. Financing The Growth Management Ordinance (Chapter 21.90 of the Municipal Code) requires a financing plan for each of the 25 LFMZs. This plan, contained in each zone's local facilities management plan, addresses the financing necessary for the construction of facilities and improvements required to serve the new development in the zone, including the: • Source of funds for construction of the facility • Method of guaranteeing the availability of funds • Source of public funds from which reimbursement is made to the developer of the facility, if applicable Often, developers would dedicate land and construct facilities needed to serve proposed new development. Additionally, facilities were ensured through participation in various impact and facilities fee payments. In 1991, the city established Community Facilities District No. 1 (CFD) to provide financing for specific public facilities of citywide importance that are needed to meet the requirements of the Growth Management Plan, including various road and intersection improvements, City Hall, Veterans Memorial Park and the Dove Library. As LFMZ plans were adopted, the properties in the facilities zone were conditioned to annex into the CFD at the time the first discretionary permit granted an entitlement to develop in the LFMZ. This ensured financing for public facilities that could accommodate future growth consistent with the criteria of the Growth Management Plan. As the pace and amount of growth decreases, it may be necessary to reassess how facilities are funded and the adequacy of funding mechanisms. It may be prudent as well to consider how October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 11 of 57 infrastructure is financed in light of any changes made to the GM P's public facilities and performance standards. 6. Potential GMP Update Tiers Updates to the GMP could range from limited, technical revisions to a complete overhaul. Along these lines, the following tiers frame the potential contents of three different levels of review. Tier 1-Do Nothing. This option calls for maintaining the status quo with respect to ongoing implementatio,n of the GMP. Housing caps, facilities standards and the CFIP remain in place. Individual LFMPs would also remain except to the extent they would need to be amended from time-to-time to respond to substantive changes to land use and/or facility needs in a given zone. Compliance with the GMP would continue to be monitored and reported on through monthly and annual monitoring reports. This "wait-and-see" approach could put the city in a reactive posture with respect to the upcoming Housing Element update cycle. This option would require no work program or additional resources. Tier 2 -Technical Update. Tier 2 provides a "refreshing" of GMP components and a focused effort to confirm development and facility compliance with the GMP. This tier would make housekeeping changes to the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (CFIP) but would not revise any of the 25 LFMPs. A Tier 2 update would also not address GMP implications potentially resulting from the 2020-2029 RHNA. Tier 2 likely would have the shortest processing time. • Perform limited review and update to GMP • Confirm status of existing and projected housing relative to growth caps • Confirm status of existing facilities and planned improvements relative to facilities standards • Refresh CFIP with current data, remove obsolete info, update text, tables and figures to reflect current state. Improve look and format. • Update LFMP preparation/amendment guidelines to reflect changes in needs analysis, best practices and integration with other laws, requirements. • Review City Council Policy 43 regarding management of Excess Dwelling Unit Bank • Review CMC 21.90 Growth Management for "clean-up" of obsolete terms, conditions and requirements Tier 3 -Housing and Facilities. Tier 3 adds to Tier 2 in terms of time, resources, and complexity through its consideration of the GMP in relation to RHNA and other factors that might necessitate voter approval. Tier 3 would be processed along with the city's next housing element, due to the state in April 2021. • Review housing caps in relation to RHNA, smart growth planning principles, and jobs/housing balance; consider limited flexibility on caps, such as removing quadrant caps, exceptions to cap (e.g. to meet RHNA) October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 12 of 57 • Confirm facilities adequacy for projected population, jobs; select existing performance standards for review and adjustment • Include Tier 2 scope of review, update • Develop ballot measure as necessary for voter ratification of changes to cap Tier 4 -Comprehensive Review and Update. This tier incorporates the components of Tier 2 and Tier 3 from the standpoint of examining the GMP from the "ground-up," potentially enabling a complete overhaul of the entire plan. Facility standards, for example, could be rewritten to respond to current trends and anticipated future needs. • Include Tier 2 and Tier 3 • Consider broader changes to housing caps, such as increasing individual quadrants, citywide limits, or eliminating caps altogether • Examine GMP approach from capping amount of growth to controlling pace and quality of growth • Evaluate whether facilities standards are still relevant and meaningful; add, remove or modify facilities standards2 • If facility standards are revised, also consider modifying the financing strategies for public improvements • Consider updating any LFMPs proposed to receive additional housing development identified in the next Housing Element, particularly if quadrant housing caps may be exceeded 7. Update Approach A key scoping consideration for the GMP update work program relates to how the work would be carried out. The process can vary significantly depending on the depth of GMP review and revision desired, and has implications for the level of public participation that will be supported. For example, if the Council desires to limit the GMP review to technical considerations (such as Tier 2 review as described above}, then a public participation program could be designed to inform the public as work progresses, provide periodic status reports, and then invite public comment during review of draft work product and at a final hearing to adopt and update the plan. On the other hand, if the direction is for a comprehensive review of the fundamental components of the GMP, including potential revisions to housing caps and/or facilities standards (Tier 3 or Tier 4), then a more inclusive community engagement program is warranted. While there are a wide range of public participation options and techniques available, we outline three potential options below for Council discussion purposes and preliminary direction for work plan preparation. Option 1-Staff-led technical approach. Under this approach, a team of city staff from various departments would conduct the GMP review and prepare the update. Consultants from various disciplines would support staff's work in performing the review and developing 2 Note however, that per the Municipal Code, the City Council "shall not materially reduce or delete any public facilities or improvements without making a corresponding reduction in residential density unless such a reduction or deletion of public facilities is ratified by a vote of the citizens of Carlsbad {C.M.C. 21.90.180}." October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 13 of 57 recommendations for City Council consideration. As work progresses, the public and Council would be kept informed through periodic status reports. Staff would draft recommended changes to the GMP and release them for public review and comment. If desired, presentations could be made to various city boards and commissions, the City Council, and to community groups as part of the public review process. Staff would receive comments on the draft update and consider them in preparing a final document for a City Council adoption hearing. This approach would likely require the least amount of time and resources, provided that the scope of review is limited to technical considerations versus policy evaluation and choice. Community engagement activities would focus on awareness, soliciting comment on draft work product, and informing of decisions made. If the scope of GMP review is more comprehensive in nature and leads to potentially significant changes to the GMP, this may not be the most appropriate model. With a more wide-ranging GMP review scope, community acceptance becomes essential, requiring a more robust level of engagement. Option 2 -Citizens Advisory Committee approach. Under this approach, the City Council would determine the composition, purview, and term of the advisory body, and would agree on committee appointments. The committee would oversee and guide review of the GMP, consider advice of staff and solicit input of the public in formulating its recommendations to the City Council. The committee would hold a series of public business meetings and/or workshops in carrying out its charge. City staff would provide logistical support and professional guidance to the committee, supplemented by subject matter experts and consultants. City staff would also likely be responsible for creating all agenda reports and supporting materials for committee meetings, and producing draft and final work product on behalf of the committee for the public and decision-maker consideration. The advisory committee could report its findings and recommendations directly to the City Council, or through other standing boards and commissions, if desired. Alternatively, the advisory committee could include representatives from other city boards and commissions. Outside public agencies or other external interests could also be represented on the committee. The city has a well-established history of utilizing ad hoc committees to support major policy initiatives of communitywide interest. The most recent example of this is Envision Carlsbad and the 2015 General Plan update. Another example is one described earlier, where the City Council appointed a citizen's committee in 1985 to study the General Plan Land Use Element, and whose recommendations laid much of the foundation for the Growth Management Plan that followed a year later. In between, various other citizens committees have been formed to advise the City Council on a range of issues, such as open space, trails, agriculture protection, residential traffic management, sidewalks, street improvements, and public trees. Common among these examples is that they all dealt with community planning or quality of life issues of significant public interest, sometimes leading to, or resulting from, voter-approved measures. Supporting the efforts of an advisory committee process will require more time and resources than Option 1; however, such an approach may be warranted if the GMP review is comprehensive or could lead to substantive changes. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 14 of 57 Option 3 -City Council-led approach. In lieu of convening an advisory committee, the City Council, or a designated subcommittee thereof, could assume an active role in the GM review and update process. Under this scenario, the Council (or subcommittee) would exercise direct control over the review and update process, conduct all public meetings and workshops, consider directly staff advice and community input, and review all draft documents. If desired, the Council could refer draft GMP elements to standing boards and commissions (e.g., Library Board of Trustees, Parks & Recreation, Planning, Traffic Safety, etc.) for recommendation prior to considering final adoption of changes. Staff would perform the same role as in the advisory committee structure. While this approach shares some of the elements with Option 2, it has little precedent in Carlsbad. Staff resourcing and the public's role would be similar to that described in Option 2. The City Council's direct and ongoing involvement in the update program would signal the community-wide importance of the effort, and provide the benefit of more timely direction and decision-making regarding policy and technical matters. At first glance it may seem such an approach could reduce overall time and effort; however, this is unlikely to be the case given that such work would need to be accommodated on top of other City Council responsibilities. It is more likely that a series of special City Council meetings would need to be scheduled to conduct the update program in this manner. 8. Work Program Timing Review and update of the GMP will be a time and resource-intensive effort across the organization. The City Council acknowledged this during their goal-setting workshop in March by declining to add it to their FY 2018-19 Goals Work Plan. Rather, the decision was to remain focused on existing high priority goals3 while directing staff to initiate preliminary scoping and planning for a future GMP update. Significant staff resources are already committed to achieving the Council Goals work plan objectives, while continuing to advance other high priority and funded initiatives such as: parks planning and programming; trails master planning; General Plan and Climate Action Plan implementation; Local Coastal Program and Zoning Ordinance updates; improving mobility plans and installing active transportation projects; updating and revising utility master plans; and deploying advanced technologies in municipal operations, to name a few. Therefore, while undertaking a review of the GMP is timely and desirable, the challenge will be how to carry it out without unduly constraining progress on the other high priority work currently underway. Another important consideration regarding timing of the GMP review and update relates to the upcoming Housing Element cycle, as described earlier. At minimum, the existing GMP housing caps will need to be evaluated against the city's allocation of regional housing needs. The draft RHNA allocation is due in Summer 2019, so analysis of GMP housing limits can begin shortly thereafter. Although unknown at this time, if analysis reveals that housing caps would constrain 3 The FY 2018-19 City Council Goals are to: 1) partner with State Parks on a long-term coastline management agreement; 2) re-purpose the Traffic Safety Commission to advise on mobility initiatives; 3) complete the Village and Barrio Master Plan; 4) site and break ground on a new civic center; and 5) pursue and break ground on railroad grade separation through the Village. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 15 of 57 the city from meeting its state-mandated housing needs, then the city would need to determine how to respond. One potential response could be to seek voter authority to modify GMP housing caps, in which case timing relative to local election and Housing Element adoption deadlines becomes critical. For example, the next general election would occur in November of 2020 and Carlsbad's Housing Element update would be due in April 2021. 9. Next Steps Given the above considerations, staff recommends that GMP review occur in tandem with the Housing Element update process, at least as it relates to housing growth caps, which is expected to occur between October 2019 through April 2021. Review of facilities standards and financing could overlap this initial housing evaluation phase. After receiving direction from Council regarding the desired scope and approach to the GMP review, staff will develop a more detailed work plan for Council consideration in early 2019. The work plan can be used for departmental planning and budgeting purposes for the FY 2019-2020 budget year. Staff anticipates the need for subject matter consulting services at a minimum, and possibly temporary part-time staff to support the work of core staff. Initial work plan activities would include assembling an interdepartmental project team, establishing communication protocols, developing a project team "charter", drafting consultant requests for qualifications/proposals, and so forth. Fiscal Analysis There is no fiscal impact associated with this item. Based on City Council direction to prepare a work plan and resource strategy, staff will include a high-level overview of fiscal impacts related to possible Growth Management Plan changes, such as costs for communications, staffing, consultant services, and community participation. Environmental Evaluation (CEQA) Pursuant to Public Resources Code section 21065, this action does not constitute a "project" within the meaning of CEQA in that it has no potential to cause either a direct physical change in the environment, or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment, and therefore does not require environmental review. Public Notification This item was noticed in accordance with the Ralph M. Brown Act and was available for public viewing and review at least 72 hours prior to the scheduled meeting date. Exhibits 1. Quadrants and local facility management zones 2. Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report, fiscal year 2016-17 3. / Development Monitoring Report, July 2018 4. City Council Policy 43 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 16 of 57 CITY OF CARLSBAD Fiscal Year 2016-17 Growth Management Plan Monitoring Report July 1, 2016 through June 30, 2017 Carlsbad City Council Matt Hall, Mayor Mark Packard Keith Blackburn Michael Schumacher Cori Schumacher Report prepared in cooperation with the following departments: Community and Economic Development Fire Parks & Recreation Library and Cultural Arts Transportation Utilities Carlsbad Municipal Water District Exhibit 2 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 18 of 57 Introduction The purpose of this report is to provide information regarding the status of the Carlsbad Growth Management Plan for the fiscal year covering July 1, 2016-June 30, 2017, and to verify that the plan is continuing to accomplish its stated objectives. The primary objectives of the Growth Management Plan are to ensure that adequate public facilities are provided concurrent with growth, and to assure compliance with the ultimate dwelling unit limitations that were established by Proposition E, which was passed by voters in 1986. Performance Standards Proposition E established broad guidelines for determining adequacy of public facilities. These guidelines are further defined in the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan by means of specific performance standards for each of the eleven public facilities. These public facilities, their performance standards, current status, and anticipated adequacy at buildout are outlined in Table 1 and Table 2, as follows: TABLE 1-PERFORMANCE STANDARDS Public Facility Performance Standard More Information on Page 1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be City Administrative scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling 12 Facilities units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. 800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five- Library year period or prior to construction of 6,250 13 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. Wastewater Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a 14 Treatment Capacity five-year period. 3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park District must Parks1 be scheduled for construction within a five year 15 period, or prior to construction of 1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time the need is first identified. Drainage Drainage facilities must be provided as required 17 by the city concurrent with development. Circulation Implement a comprehensive livable streets 18 network that serves all users of the system - 1The performance standard was amended by City Council Resolution No. 2017-170 on August 22, 2017, and will be reflected in the upcoming report for FY 2017-18. 2 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 19 of 57 Public Facility Performance Standard More Information .. on Page vehicles, pedestrians, bicycles and public transit. Maintain LOS Dor better for all modes that are subject to this multi-modal level of service (MMLOS) standard, as identified in Table 3-1 of the General Plan Mobility Element, excluding LOS exempt intersections and streets approved by the City Council. The number of dwelling units outside a five- Fire minute "travel time" from the nearest fire station 22 shall not exceed 1,500 units. Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of Open Space environmentally constrained non-developable 24 land must be set aside for permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development. School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local Facility Management Zone Schools (LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school 25 district must be provided prior to projected occupancy. Sewer Collection Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as System determined by the appropriate sewer districts, 26 must be provided concurrent with development. Line capacity to meet demand as determined by Water Distribution the appropriate water district must be provided System concurrent with development. A minimum of 10-28 day average storage capacity must be provided prior to any development. TABLE 2-FACILITY ADEQUACY STATUS Public Facility FY 2016-17 Adequacy Status BuildoutAdequacy Status (Meets performance standard?J (Meets performance standard?) City Administrative Yes Yes Facilities Library Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Wastewater Yes Yes Treatment Capacity Parks Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Drainage Yes Additional facilities to be provided* 3 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 20 of 57 Public Facility FY 2016-17 Adequacy Status Buildout Adequacy Status (Meets performance standard?) (Meets performance standard?) Circulation Revised facility performance Additional facilities to be provided* criteria under development Fire Yes Yes Open Space Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Schools Yes Yes Sewer Collection Yes Additional facilities to be provided* System Water Distribution Yes Additional facilities to be provided* System *For additional information, please see the expanded discussion and an analysis on the adequacy of each public facility beginning on page 12. What Happens if Facilities Do Not Meet the Performance Standard? The Growth Management Plan requires development activity to stop if a performance standard is not being met. Some performance standards apply to the city as a whole, and others apply to more specific areas, as described below: • Administrative facilities, library, and wastewater treatment capacity are facilities that serve the entire city. Their adequacy in meeting the performance standard is analyzed by considering the cumulative impact of citywide development. The failure of any one of these facilities to meet the adopted performance standard would affect the city as a whole. In that event, all development in the city would be halted until the deficiency is corrected. • Parks are analyzed on a quadrant basis. This means that if the standard is not being met in the quadrant, development is halted for all Local Facility Management Zones (LFMZs, see description below) in the quadrant. • Fire facilities are analyzed on the basis of fire station districts which can comprise multiple LFMZs, and if the standard is not met for a district, then development would be halted in that district. • The remaining facilities (drainage, circulation, open space, schools, sewer collection system, and water distribution system) are analyzed on an LFMZ basis. If one of these facilities falls below the performance standard in a given LFMZ, development in that LFMZ would stop and other zones would not be affected if they are continuing to meet all performance standards. Local Facility Management Zone Plans The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan divided the city into twenty-five Local Facilities Management Zones (LFMZ). Each LFMZ is required to have an adopted Local Facilities Management Plan (LFMP) prior to any development in the LFMZ. Consistent with the Growth Management Plan, the LFMP must do the following: describe how the LFMZ will be developed, how compliance with the Growth Management Plan standards will be achieved, how the necessary public facilities will be provided, and what financing mechanisms will be used for the facilities. All twenty-five LFMZs have an adopted LFMP. Please see Figure 1 for the general boundaries and locations ?f the LFMZs. 4 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 21 of 57 Population as a Measurement for Facility Performance Standards As indicated in Table 1, above, the performance standards for city administrative facilities, library facilities, and parks are stated in terms of population. The demand for these facilities is based on each new dwelling unit built and the estimated number of new residents it adds to the city, which is determined using the average number of persons per dwelling unit. Utilizing data from the 2010 Federal Census (total population divided by total number of dwelling units), the average for Carlsbad is 2.358 persons per dwelling unit. As of June 30, 2017, the city's population is estimated to be 109,601, which is calculated by multiplying 2.358 persons per dwelling unit by the number of dwelling units, accessory dwelling units, and commercial living units (which were counted as dwelling units in the 2010 Federal Census); in total there are 46,435 dwellings and commercial living units, as shown in Table 3 below. TABLE 3-FY 2016-2017 POPULATION CALCULATION Quadrant Qwelling Acc:ess<>ry Commercial living Total units Population units cJwelling units units .. NW 12,382 173 226 12,781 30,138 NE 6,242 42 -6,284 14,818 SW 10,142 26 685 10,853 25,616 SE 16,354 163 -16,517 39,029 Total 45,120 404 911 46,435 109,601 1. Dwelling units represent the dwellings that are counted for purposes of the city's growth management dwelling unit limits per Proposition E (excludes accessory dwelling units and commercial living units); the number of dwelling units shown in this table are updated to June 30, 2017. 2· Accessory dwelling units are accessory to single family dwellings and are separate dwelling units with living space, kitchen and bathroom facilities. Pursuant to state law, accessory dwelling units cannot be counted as dwellings for purposes of the city's growth management dwelling limits. However, the units are counted here to ensure all city population is considered in regard to the performance standards for administrative facilities, libraries and parks. 3· Commercial living units, as shown in this table, are professional care facility living units that were counted as dwelling units in the 2010 Federal Census. Pursuant to city ordinance (CMC 21.04.093), commercial living units are not counted as dwellings for purposes of the city's growth management dwelling limits. However, the units are counted here to ensure all city population is considered in regard to the performance standards for administrative facilities, libraries and parks. As part of the Growth Management Plan monitoring process, the persons per dwelling unit number can be adjusted in the future when updated Federal Census data is available. It should be noted that the above population estimates are for growth management facility planning purposes only, and may vary from other official population estimates for Carlsbad. 6 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 23 of 57 Table 6 represents the number of dwelling units that could be built (based on the applicable growth management density) on all parcels that have a residential land use designation. The "total existing and unbuilt planned dwellings", as shown in Table 6, assumes all parcels with a residential land use designation will be developed with residential dwellings, including land that is currently developed with non-residential uses (e.g., some existing churches and professional care facilities are on land designated for residential use). Although it is not anticipated that these parcels will convert to residential uses, the dwelling unit potential for these parcels is tracked to ensure compliance with the Proposition E dwelling unit limits. Table 6 represents the total number of dwellings planned by the General Plan, rather than the number of dwellings estimated to exist in the future. Table 7 estimates the number of dwellings that will exist at buildout; this estimate assumes that the residentially designated land currently developed with non-residential uses will not all be developed with residential uses in the future. The data in Table 6 and Table 7 show that the Proposition E dwelling unit limits will not be exceeded. TABLE 7 -ESTIMATED DWELLING UNITS AND POPULATION AT BUILDOUT Quadrant Dwelling Units Population NW 15,076 38,606 NE 8,940 22,488 SW 10,937 28,113 SE 16,820 42,315 Total 51,773 .. 131,522 Density Control Points and Excess Dwelling Unit Bank To manage compliance with the Proposition E dwelling unit limitations, the City Council established Growth Management Control Point (GMCP) densities for all residential land use designations in the city (for example, for the R-4 land use designation, the GMCP density is 3.2 dwelling units per acre). All residential development must, on average, not exceed the GMCP densities. To ensure this, I Council Policy Statement 43 (Proposition E "Excess Dwelling" Unit Bank) established a dwelling unit bank concept. When development occurs below the GMCP, the "excess" number of units (difference between the potential number of units at the GMCP density and the number of units built) are available for other residential developments that provide affordable housing, to allow them to be constructed at a density that exceeds the GMCP density. On December 17, 2002, the City Council adopted Resolution No. 2002-350, which amended Council Policy Statement 43 by reducing the accumulated number of excess units to 2,800. Excess units may be allocated to any quadrant based on the criteria in Council Policy Statement 43, so long as the citywide or individual quadrant dwelling unit limits are not exceeded. Please see Table 8 for the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank status at the end of the FY 2016-17. "Pending" excess units are associated with projects that have been approved below the GMCP density but are not yet constructed, or an approved land use change is not yet effective. "Pending" excess units are not available to allocate to other sites; the units will be made available for allocation at the time the associated projects are constructed or the land use change becomes effective. 10 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 27 of 57 TABLE 8 -EXCESS DWELLING UNIT BANK Balance.as of June 30, 2017 Inside the Village 600 Outside the Village 406 Pending deposits 454 Public Facility Financing In 1991, the City of Carlsbad established Community Facilities District No. 1 (CFD) to provide financing for a number of public facilities of citywide importance that are needed to meet the requirements of the Growth Management Plan, including various road and intersection improvements, and the Dove Library. As LFMZ plans are adopted, they are conditioned to annex into the CFD at the time the first discretionary permit grants an entitlement to develop in the LFMZ. This ensures financing for public facilities that can accommodate future growth consistent with the criteria of the Growth Management Plan. Status of the Facilities Beginning on page 12 is a discussion of the adequacy of each of the eleven public facilities addressed in Carlsbad's Growth Management Plan. 11 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 28 of 57 CITY ADMINISTRATIVE FACILITIES A. Performance Standard 1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on the estimated June 30, 2017 population estimate of 109,601, the current demand for administrative facilities is 164,402 square feet. To date, city administrative facilities exceed the performance standard. The existing inventory of city and Carlsbad Municipal Water District buildings (leased and owned) occupied for administrative services includes the following: Facility Address Square Feet City Administration 1635 Faraday Avenue 68,000 City Council Chambers 1200 Carlsbad Village Drive 2,500 City Hall Complex 1200 Carlsbad Village Drive 13,500 City Yard 405 Oak Avenue 8,249 City Yard Modular Building 405 Oak Avenue 1,800 Senior Center 799 Pine Street 6,750 Parks Administration 1166 Carlsbad Village Drive 504 Parks Modular/Break Room 1166 Carlsbad Village Drive 2,000 Safety Center 2560 Orion Way 64,000 FR Training Facility 2560 Orion Way 18,112 Fleet Yard 2480 Impala Drive 10,358 Water District 5950 El Camino Real 18,000 Water District Modular 5950 El Camino Real 696 Total 214,469 C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on the 2035 projected buildout population of 131,523, the demand for city administrative facilities will be 197,285 square feet. The existing 214,469 square feet of administrative facilities exceeds the growth management performance standard at buildout. 12 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 29 of 57 LIBRARY FACILITIES A. Performance Standard 800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. Library space (leased/owned, public/non-public) is used as a standard library measurement of customer use and satisfaction and includes collection space, seating, meeting rooms, staff areas, technology, and other public facility needs. The performance standard, stated above, was originally developed based on surveys of other libraries of comparable size and based on related standards (such as volumes per capita) set by the American Library Association. B. FY 2016-17 Inventory and Adequacy of Facilities The current inventory of library facilities (city-owned) is as follows: Facility Square Feet Dove Library 64,000 Cole Library 24,600 Learning Center 11,393 Total 99,993 Based on the June 30, 2017 population estimate of 109,601, the growth management standard requires 87,681 sq. ft. of public library space. The city's current 99,993 sq. ft. of library facilities adequately meets the growth management standard. C. Facility Adequacy at Buildout Based on the General Plan projected buildout population of 131,523, the demand for library facilities will be 105,218 sq. ft. The existing 99,993 square feet of library facilities is expected to f911 short of the growth management standard at buildout. In 2015-16, the city completed major maintenance and renovation for both the Cole and Dove facilities that addresses current ADA requirements and allows delivery of modern library services and technology, while extending the life of the Cole Library by 10 to 15 years. Built in 1967, the design of the Cole Library could not have contemplated modern library services including the extensive delivery of electronic resources, automated materials handling, and the variety of new media formats. Additionally, the library's role as a community gathering space has increased. With an already maximized building footprint and infrastructure constraints, the Cole Library will not expand further to meet these changing needs. Additional meeting spaces, technology learning labs and maker spaces are examples of elements desired by the community. Complete replacement of the Cole facility is included in the Capital Improvement Program budget between the years 2020 and buildout. Additionally, civic center and city hall site studies, which are currently underway, could provide new information to inform the timing and opportunities for a new Cole facility. 13 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 30 of 57 WASTEWATER TREATMENT CAPACITY A. Performance Standard Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis The Encina Water Pollution Control Facility (EWPCF} Phase V expansion, which was completed in 2009, accommodates the ultimate buildout demand for the Carlsbad Sewer Service Area based on projections made in the 2012 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan; and therefore, currently provides adequate capacity in excess of the performance standard. Carlsbad's FY 2016-17 annual daily average dry weather sewer flow was 6.32 million gallons per day (MGD} representing 62% of the city's 10.26 MGD capacity rights. The city's annual daily average sewage flow to the EWPCF for the previous five years is measured as follows: Fiscal Year Annual daily average flow FY 2012-13 6.53 MGD FY 2013-14 5.90 MGD FY 2014-15 6.17 MGD FY 2015-16 5.82 MGD FY 2016-17 6.32 MGD C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The Encina Water Pollution Control Facility Phase V expansion provides adequate sewer treatment capacity to ensure compliance with the growth management wastewater performance standard through buildout of the Carlsbad sewer service area. The 2012 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan contains an analysis of annual daily average future sewer flow through buildout of the city based on the Carlsbad General Plan land use projections. The analysis indicates that the city's projected ultimate buildout flow is approximately 10.00 MGD. The city has purchased capacity rights to 10.26 MGD in the EWPCF, which ensures adequate wastewater treatment capacity is available to accommodate any unanticipated increase in future sewer flows. 14 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 31 of 57 PARKS A. Performance Standard1 3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park District2 must be scheduled for construction within a five year period, or prior to construction of 1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time the need is first identified.3 B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis To date, all quadrants are in compliance with the performance standard. Quadrant Park acreage inventory existing Park acreage required by Performance· Standards NW 105.2 90.4 NE 45.3 44.5 SW 70.2 76.8 SE 114.9 117.1 Total 335.6 328.8 Currently, the performance standard requirement for park acreage exceeds the inventory of existing and scheduled park acreage except for the following two quadrants: SW and SE. However, although short of the acreage required, these quadrants are not out of compliance with the performance standard because neither the time frame nor dwelling unit thresholds have been reached.2 The deficits in the SW and SE quadrants were identified in the FY 2012- 13 GMP report, and units are tracked from this point on by adding building permits for dwelling units finaled since that time frame. Quadrant SW SE Year deficit identified FY 2012-13 FY 2012-13 Units constructed since deficit identified 134 371 1 The performance standard was amended by City Council Resolution No. 2017-170 on August 22, 2017, and will be reflected in the upcoming report for FY 2017-18. 2 "Park District"= "quadrant". There are four park districts within the city, corresponding to the four quadrants. 3 The threshold for triggering the construction of a new park is as follows: Once a deficit of park acreage in a quadrant is identified, a new park must be scheduled for construction within the time frame of five years, or before the cumulative construction of 1,562 dwelling units, whichever occurs later. According to City Council Resolution No. 97-435, "scheduled for construction" means that the improvements have been designed, a park site has been selected, and a financing plan for construction of the facility has been approved. 15 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 32 of 57 C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on the current FY 2016-17 CIP list of projects, Veteran's Memorial Park (91.5 acres, with 22.9 acres applied to each quadrant) is proposed to be constructed prior to buildout. Construction of this community park would result in the projected park inventory for all city quadrants exceeding the projected required acreage at buildout, as shown below: Buildout Buildout Current Proposed park Projected Quadrant required population4 acreage4 inventory acreage inventory NW 38,606 115.8 105.2 22.9 128.1 NE 22,488 67.5 45.3 22.9 68.2 SW 28,113 84.3 70.2 22.9 93.1 SE 42,315 126.9 114.9 22.9 137.8 Total 131,523 394.6 335.6 91.5 427.2 Additional Parks Acreage The figures above for proposed park acreage do not include park projects listed in the CIP as "unfunded" or "partially unfunded": Zone 5 Business Park Recreational Facility (NW -9.3 acres); Cannon Lake Park (NW-6.8 acres); or Robertson Ranch Park (NE-11.2 acres). Should alternative funding mechanisms be found, and these parks are built, the additional parks acreage would further aid in meeting/exceeding the growth management parks performance standard. 4 Reflects the General Plan 16 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 33 of 57 DRAINAGE A. Performance Standard Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the city concurrent with development. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis All areas of the city currently meet the growth management drainage performance standard. The standard for drainage distinguishes it from the other public facility standards because, by its very nature, drainage facility needs are more accurately assessed as specific development plans for individual projects are finalized. Therefore, the drainage performance standard was written to allow the city to require appropriate drainage facilities as development plans are finalized and approved. The larger/master plan facilities have been identified in the city's 2008 Drainage Master Plan and the associated Planned Local Drainage Area (PLDA} fee program was established to finance their construction. The construction of smaller development/project related drainage facilities are addressed during the review of individual project proposals. Maintenance, repair and replacement projects are identified on an ongoing basis and are incorporated in the Capital Improvement Program as a part of the Corrugated Metal Pipe Replacement program, the Northwest Quadrant Storm Drain Program or as individual/stand~ alone projects. The Agua Hedionda and Calavera Creek channels located east of El Camino Real within the residential community of Rancho Carlsbad were found to be of inadequate size to fully contain and convey the 100-year flood event. As a result, some of the runoff is conveyed through the community and therefore projects located within LFMP Zones 5, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18 and 24 that drain to the Agua Hedionda or Calavera Creek must comply with the following conditions to maintain compliance with the drainage performance standard: 1. Payment of the PLDA fee. 2. Install onsite drainage improvements to ensure that direct drainage impacts resulting from the proposed development do not exacerbate the potential for downstream flooding of existing development. C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan proposes the construction of new facilities to accommodate potential storm events. Construction of the proposed Master Drainage Facilities will ensure the drainage performance standard is maintained through buildout of the city. The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan also updated the PLDA program to ensure adequate funds are available to fund construction of needed flood control facilities. The estimated costs for these facilities and the programming of PLDA funds are included in the annual Capital Improvement Program. 17 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 34 of 57 CIRCULATION A. Performance Standard Implement a comprehensive livable streets network that serves all users of the system - vehicles, pedestrians, bicycles and public transit. Maintain LOS Dor better for all modes that are subject to this multi-modal level of service (MMLOS) standard, as identified in Table 3-1 of the General Plan Mobility Element, excluding LOS exempt intersections and streets approved by the City Council. B. Livable Streets The California Complete Streets Act (2008) requires cities in California to plan for a balanced, multi-modal transportation system that meets the needs of all travel modes. Accomplishing this state mandate requires a fundamental shift in how the city plans and designs the street system -recognizing the street as a public space and ensuring that the public space serves all users of the system (elderly, children, bicyclists, pedestrians, etc.) within the urban context of that system (e.g. accounting for the adjacent land uses). The previous circulation performance standard, which was utilized prior to adoption of the 2015 General Plan Mobility Element, was established based on the circulation needs of a single mode of travel -the automobile. The General Plan Mobility Element, adopted on September 22, 2015, identifies a new livable streets strategy for mobility within the city; the livable streets strategy focuses on creating a 'multi-modal' street network that provides for the mobility needs of pedestrians, bicyclists, transit users, and vehicles. Providing travel mode options that reduce dependence on the vehicle also supports the city's Climate Action Plan in achieving its goals of reducing greenhouse gas emissions within the city. C. Multi-Modal Level of Service (MM LOS) The objective of the city's livable streets strategy is to balance the mobility needs of pedestrians, cyclists, transit users and vehicles. For each street in the city, the General Plan Mobility Element identifies the travel modes for which service levels should be maintained per the multi-modal level of service (MM LOS) standard. The service levels for each travel mode are represented as a "grade" ranging from LOS A to LOS F: LOS A reflects a high level of service for a travel mode (e.g. outstanding characteristics and experience for that mode) and LOS F would reflect an inadequate level of service for a travel mode (e.g. excessive congestion for vehicles, inadequate facilities for bicycle, pedestrian, or transit users). The levels of service for the various travel modes are evaluated according to the following factors. • Vehicular Level of Service: Level of service is evaluated using the most recent version of the Highway Capacity Manual. This methodology evaluates the capacity of a roadway system based on a driver's freedom to maneuver and may include an evaluation of overall delay experienced at intersections. 18 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 35 of 57 • Pedestrian Level of Service: Level of service will be evaluated using the MM LOS method. This method will evaluate the quality of the pedestrian system (e.g. number of vehicle lanes that need to be crossed and the speed of adjacent traffic} and the friendliness of the infrastructure at intersections (e.g. pedestrian countdown heads, dedicated pedestrian facilities (e.g. a scramble phase, curb extensions, refuge median}. • Bicycle Levels of Service: Level of service will be evaluated using the MMLOS method. This method will evaluate the quality of the bicycle system (e.g. bicycle route, bicycle lanes, or bicycle pathway; presence of bicycle buffers from the vehicle travel way}, the amenities of the system (e.g. presence of bicycle parking}, and the friendliness of the infra- structure (e.g. bicycle detection at intersections, pavement conditions, bicycle lanes}. • Transit Levels of Service: Level of service will be evaluated using the MMLOS method. This method will evaluate the transit vehicle right-of-way (e.g. dedicated or shared, signal priority}, hours and frequency of service (e.g. weekday/weekend hours, peak period headway}; performance (e.g. on-time or late}; amenities and safety (e.g. lighting, covered stop, bench, on-board bike/surfboard storage}; and connectivity (e.g. to other transit routes, employment areas, schools, visitor attractions and other major destinations}. D. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis This report does not include circulation facility adequacy analysis for FY 2016-17. City staff is currently in the process of developing and refining the criteria to evaluate the performance of a multi-modal circulation system. Measuring the performance of non-vehicle modes of travel is a new requirement for the city as a result of adoption of the 2015 General Plan Mobility Element. For the General Plan Environmental Impact Report, a method was used to evaluate the MMLOS standard for pedestrian, bicycle and transit facilities. Following the adoption of the General Plan and the new MMLOS standard, city staff began the process of revising the MMLOS and vehicle method used for the General Plan Environmental Impact Report; the purpose of the revisions is to refine the criteria used to evaluate level of service for all modes of travel. New traffic and mobility monitoring methodologies are being defined in the Evaluation and Monitoring (E&M} Manual that was under development at the time this report was being prepared. The E&M Manual is expected to be completed in the Summer of 2018 and will finalize the new evaluation methodologies required to be consistent with the current General Plan Mobility Element. The MMLOS tool that will be used to evaluate non-auto modes of travel has been developed and is being calibrated using case studies. Staff has started collecting the auto data expected to be used with the new methodologies. Therefore, this report does not include current level of service information, and FY 2017-18 monitoring results are expected to be available shortly after the E&M Manual is finalized. 19 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 36 of 57 The following summarizes the progress made during FY 2016-17 to improve the levels of service for pedestrian and bicycle modes of travel: FY 2016-17 IMPROVEMENTS TO PEDESTRIAN AND BICYCLE FACILITIES ·. Improvement Where Added buffered bike lanes El Camino Real College Boulevard Added new bike lanes Park Drive Added bikeway striping Avenida Encinas Revised crosswalk striping standard to specify High- Visibility Crosswalk Standard on all restriping projects at all locations. Revised bike lane striping standard to specify narrower vehicular lanes and bike lane buffers on all new striping projects. Installed ADA ramps at dozens of locations in Barrio. Various pedestrian improvements Installed RRFB flashing beacons with High-Visibility Crosswalks at 2 locations in Barrio. Installed Advanced Pedestrian Walk Indicators at various locations in city. Won $1.7 million award for bike and pedestrian improvements to 4+ miles of Coastal Rail Trail along Avenida Encinas. E. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The Environmental Impact Report for the 2015 General Plan evaluated how buildout of the land uses planned by the General Plan will impact the vehicle, pedestrian, bicycle and transit levels of service. The following summarizes the results of that evaluation: Vehicle Level of Service at Buildout • Additional future road segments (portions of College Boulevard, Poinsettia Lane and Camino Junipero) needed to accommodate the city's future growth were identified as part of the General Plan update. The General Plan Mobility Element identifies the needed future road segments as "planned ... streets." 20 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 37 of 57 • The following street facilities were identified in the General Plan and are expected to provide a vehicle level of service below LOS D. Per General Plan Mobility Element Policy 3-P.10, the following street facilities, including the intersections along these segments, are exempt from the vehicle level of service standard: o La Costa Avenue between lnterstate-5 and El Camino Real o El Camino Real between Palomar Airport Road and La Costa Avenue o Palomar Airport Road between lnterstate-5 and College Boulevard o Palomar Airport Road between El Camino Real and Melrose Drive At buildout, the improvements to these street facilities needed to meet the LOS D standard would significantly impact the environment in an unacceptable way and/or would conflict with the core values of the Carlsbad Community Vision. For example, creating streets wider than six lanes conflicts with other city goals, such as protecting open space and habitat, reducing greenhouse gases and ensuring public safety. Widening streets beyond six lanes also creates new challenges for intersection operations, maintenance, and storm water management. Therefore, rather than widening these arterial streets, General Plan Mobility Element policies promote implementation of other measures, such as transportation demand and system management, to better manage the transportation system as a whole. Pedestrian, Bicycle and Transit Level of Service at Buildout Improvements to pedestrian, bicycle and transit facilities may be needed to ensure compliance with the MM LOS standard. Needed improvements will be identified after the city has completed revisions to the MM LOS methodology. 21 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 38 of 57 FIRE A. Performance Standard The number of dwelling units outside a five-minute response from the nearest fire station shall not exceed 1,500 units. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis The city's fire facilities are in compliance with the growth Management performance standard. There are no more than 1,500 dwelling units outside of a five-minute response distance from any of the city's six fire stations. The intent of the growth management standard, as applied to fire facilities, is to establish the number of stations and their locations, based upon response distances. At the time the Growth Management Plan was developed, scientific fire behavior information and recognized best practices supported the position that a response time of five minutes would result in effective fire incident intervention. To determine the most desirable geographic sites for future fire stations, it was necessary to convert the five-minute response time to a measurable distance that could be applied to a future road network scheme. Because the Growth Management Plan provides no other trigger mechanism for the installation of additional fire stations, it follows that up to 1,500 dwelling units could exist outside the five- minute reach of the closest fire station for an indeterminate length of time without violating the growth management standard. The five-minute response time measure was selected exclusively as a means of logically positioning emergency response resources throughout the city. Therefore, the standard is applied as a means of measuring compliance with locating fire facilities in accordance with the Growth Management Plan, not the performance of the Fire Department in meeting service responsibilities. The growth management fire performance standard is utilized to determine the number of fire stations and their locations, not Fire Department response times. C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis At buildout, no single fire station district will exceed the established threshold of more than 1,500 units that exist outside of a five minute response time. To determine if fire facilities will be adequate at buildout, the city's Geographic Information System Department {GIS) created a map based upon the following information: • Existing fire station locations • Anticipated future development • 2.5 mile road distance from each of the six fire stations (five minute response equates to road driving distance of 2.5 miles); 22 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 39 of 57 • All planned, major roadway arterials; and • The number of dwelling units projected at buildout that will be located outside of the 2.5 mile road (5 minute) distance from each fire station. The GIS map, based upon the above-noted assumptions, revealed the following findings: Fire Station Number Total number of dwelling units outside of five minutes 1,3 & 4 (aggregated) 1,227 2 902 5 392 6 1,185 As noted above, the GIS map analysis revealed that at build out, the city's existing and planned fire facilities will meet the growth management performance standard (i.e. the total number of dwelling units that will exist outside of a five-minute response from the nearest fire station will not exceed the threshold of 1,500 units). 23 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 40 of 57 OPEN SPACE A. Performance Standard Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis To date, adequate open space has been provided to meet the performance standard. Open space to meet the performance standard is provided concurrent with approval of development projects. The location of performance standard open space must be indicated during project-specific analysis. It must be in addition to any constrained areas, such as protected wildlife habitat or slopes greater than 40%. At the time the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan was adopted (1986), the LFMZ's were divided into: a) those that were already developed and considered in compliance with the growth management open space performance standard, and b) those that still needed to comply with the standard. In 1986, LFMZs 1 through 10, and 16 were already developed and considered to be in compliance with the open space performance standard. Subsequent to the adoption of the CFIP, LFMZs 11-15, 17-21, and 23-25 have provided adequate open space to meet the performance standard concurrent with development. LFMZ 22 is still developing and, as future development occurs, open space will be required to meet the performance standard. C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis As discussed above, all LFMZs, except for Zone 22, have met the growth management open space performance standard. Future projects in LFMZ 22 must provide open space in compliance with the performance standard. 24 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 41 of 57 SCHOOLS A. Performance Standard School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected occupancy. B. FY 2015-16 Facility Adequacy Analysis Currently, school capacity is in compliance with the growth management school performance standard (see below). The city is served by four school districts as listed below: 1. Carlsbad Unified School District (CUSD) According to both the district's Long Range Facility Master Plan (approved Jan. 17, 2018) and CUSD staff, the district can accommodate both the current enrollment levels and expected future growth. The master plan indicates that the district has plans for accommodating projected student enrollment levels through the next 15-20 years, which includes proposals for renovating and replacing a variety of school facilities. 2. San Marcos Unified School District (SMUSD) SMUSD staff indicated that the schools serving Carlsbad are currently at maximum capacity but that will-serve letters are still being issued by SMUSD for proposed developments in the part of Carlsbad th,at is served by SMUSD schools, and that the schools serving C,arlsbad could accommodate the expected future growth within this area. SMUSD is in the construction stage for the La Costa Meadows Elementary School Reconstruction Project. In addition to reconstructing and modernizing La Costa Meadows Elementary School, the proposed improvements would increase student capacity by 80 seats. Construction began in May 2017 and completion is anticipated in August 2019. 3. Encinitas Union Elementary School District According to a site capacity report provided by the school district, sufficient student capacity exists through 2018. 4. San Dieguito Union High School District Based on demographic projections provided by San Dieguito Union High School District, it is estimated that schools serving Carlsbad will have sufficient student capacity through 2018. C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on Chapter 3.11 of the 2015 General Plan EIR, for all school districts at all grade levels, capacity is expected to be sufficient for the buildout student population with no need for additional schools. 25 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 42 of 57 SEWER COLLECTION SERVICES A. Performance Standard Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the appropriate sewer districts, must be provided concurrent with development. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis Sewer improvements are provided on a project by project basis concurrent with development. Currently, the City of Carlsbad's sewer service area pipelines are in compliance with the growth management performance standard. Representatives from the sewer agencies that provide sewer collection systems within the city include: Carlsbad, Leucadia Wastewater District and Vallecitos Water District. Each agency indicates that they currently have adequate conveyance capacity in place to meet Carlsbad's sewer collection demands. The City of Carlsbad is served by the following four major interceptor systems: Interceptor System Sewer Districts Served Carlsbad Capacity Rights Ranges from Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor City of Carlsbad & City of Vista 3.4%/0.93 MGD up to 50%/33.6 MGD City of Carlsbad & Buena Ranges from Buena Interceptor 18%/1.2 MGD up to 35%/3.0 Sanitation District MGD City of Carlsbad, Buena Val/ecitos Interceptor Sanitation District & Vallecitos 5 MGD Water District Occidental Sewer City of Carlsbad, City of Encinitas & Leucadia Waste Water District 8.5 MGD Note: MGD = million gallons per day For both the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor and the Buena Interceptor, the percentage of Carlsbad capacity rights increases in the downstream reaches of each interceptor system (3.4% in the upstream reaches as they enter the Carlsbad service area and up to 35% or 50% in the downstream reaches for Buena Interceptor and Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor, respectively as they enter the Encina Water Pollution Control Facility). 26 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 43 of 57 C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2012 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan evaluated the sewer infrastructure needs of the Carlsbad sewer service area and identified those facilities required to accommodate future customers at buildout. The master plan identified the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor, and Buena Interceptor as requiring improvements to accommodate build-out demand (see below). Sewer trunk main capacities are estimated by comparing wastewater flow projections to the capacity of the sewer system. Using a computer sewer model, the existing and future sewer demands are estimated and compared to the capacity of each trunk sewer pipeline. In addition, annual flow measurement information is also used to determine actual flows in the sewer trunk pipelines. Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor: A capacity analysis included in the 2012 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan indicates three relatively flat pipeline portions of Reaches VC13, VC14 & VC15. As a result, during peak period flows, the pipeline is flowing full. This is an active construction project, expected to be completed in FY 2018-19. The replacement pipelines are sized based on ultimate flows from both the City of Carlsbad and City of Vista sewer collection systems. Buena Interceptor: A capacity analysis conducted in 2010 indicates that although the city's wastewater flows are not projected to exceed the capacity rights in the Buena Interceptor, the combined flows of Buena Sanitation District and City of Carlsbad during peak wet weather periods result in capacity restrictions. As a result, Carlsbad is coordinating with Buena Sanitation District to construct a parallel trunk sewer which will allow all flows from Buena Sanitation District to be diverted to the parallel trunk sewer. Once constructed, the City of Carlsbad will be the only agency with flows remaining in the existing Buena Interceptor, and this will provide sufficient capacity for Carlsbad during wet weather conditions. Funding for the design and construction of the parallel trunk sewer was appropriated for FY 2013-14 by the City of Vista which operates the Buena Sanitation District, and is now in the design stage. Construction is expected to begin in early 2018. An update to the City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan has been initiated and is in the data collection phase, and the sewer model is currently being updated. The project will provide an updated evaluation of sewer infrastructure needs at buildout. 27 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 44 of 57 WATER DISTRIBUTION SERVICES A. Performance Standard Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate water district must be provided concurrent with development. A minimum of 10-day average storage capacity must be provided prior to any development. B. FY 2016-17 Facility Adequacy Analysis Carlsbad1s water distribution is provided by three agencies including the Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD) serving 32.32 square miles (82. 7 percent of the city), Olivenhain Municipal Water District (OMWD) serving 5.28 square miles (13.5 percent of the city), and Vallecitos Water District (VWD) serving 1.48 square miles (3.8 percent of the city). These districts indicate that they have adequate capacity to meet the growth management performance standard. Water service demand requirements are estimated using a computer model to simulate two water distribution scenarios: 1) maximum day demand plus a fire event; 2) peak hour demand. This computer model was calibrated using actual flow measurements collected in the field to verify it sufficiently represents the actual water system. Existing and future daily demand and storage requirements for CMWD, which is a subsidiary district of the City of Carlsbad, from the 2012 CMWD Water Master Plan are shown below: Water demand Volume Existing Maximum Daily Demand 26.7 MGD5 Future Maximum Daily Demand 39.4 MGD Water storage Volume Existing Storage Requirement 39.5 MG 6 Existing Storage Capacity 50.5 MG excluding Maerkle Dam storage Based on the water model analysis prepared for the 2012 CMWD Water Master Plan, future pipelines and water system facilities were identified to ensure a complete water system is constructed to accommodate future customers. In addition, funds for the construction of future facilities were included in the FY 2016-17 Capital Improvement Program. Therefore, the future water infrastructure is programmed to be in place at the time of need in order to ensure compliance with the performance standard. 5 MGD -Million gallons per day 6 MG -Million gallons 28 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 45 of 57 Within the CMWD service area the existing average daily potable water demand is shown below: Fiscal Year MGD 2007-08 18.2 2008-09 16.5 2009-10 14.2 2010-11 13.2 2011-12 13.7 2012-13 14.4 2013-14 14.9 2014-15 13.6 2015-16 11.4 2016-17 10.4 The lower water demand, compared to the peak in FY 2007-08, is a result of (1) implementing a new tiered water rate structure to encourage water conservation, (2) in 2009, a campaign was initiated to reduce customer consumption by the wholesale water agencies, (3) the persisting drought has forced voluntary and mandatory conservation measures in 2015, and (4) beginning in 2008 an expansion of CMWD's recycled water system lowered potable water consumption. Water conservation by CMWD customers has resulted in an overall reduction in per capita consumption. To meet the 10 day storage requirement, CMWD needs 182 MG of storage capacity based on the historic peak demand. CMWD has a storage capacity of 244 MG which consists of 195 MG of storage capacity at Maerkle Dam and an additional 49 MG of storage capacity in various storage tanks throughout the distribution system. In 2004, the OMWD completed construction of a water treatment facility at the San Diego County Water Authority Emergency Storage Reservoir, which provides the storage necessary to meet the 10 day storage requirement for OMWD. VWD's average day demand was 14.6 MGD with an existing storage capacity of 121.6 MG. Through interagency sharing arrangements VWD can obtain additional water supplies to meet a 10 day restriction on the imported water supply. C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2012 CMWD Water Master Plan identifies facilities necessary for build-out conditions within its service area. The 2012 update identified that no additional storage tanks are required to meet the future 10 average-day storage requirements because of a reduction in demand from expansion of CMWD's recycled water system. As proposed land development projects are reviewed by the city, the Water Master Plans from CMWD, OMWD, and VWD are consulted to check pipeline sizes and facility capacities to verify adequacy to support the water needs of the project and city. To comply with water master plan requirements, land development projects may be required to install a master plan water project concurrent with construction of that specific project. An update to the CMWD Water Master Plan has been initiated and is in the data collection phase, and the water model is currently being updated. The project will provide an updated evaluation of water infrastructure needs at buildout. 29 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 46 of 57 GROWTH MANAGEMENT PROGRAM Development Monitoring Report Exhibit 3 C cityof Carlsbad July 2018 The Development Monitoring Report (DMR) is a monthly summary of building permits issued for all residential and non-residential activity in Carlsbad. This report is required by the Growth Management Ordinance. The purpose of the DMR is to track new and significant growth that adds to the City's housing stock and commercial/industrial square footage, or space. Residential Activity In July, Carlsbad issued building permits for 7 residential dwelling units, a decrease from seventeen residential dwelling units permitted in June. In the northwest quadrant, two building permits were issued for second- dwelling units at 3766 Highland Drive and 1289 Buena Vista Way. 4 permits were issued for single family detached homes as part of Highland View Homes and one permit was issued for a single family detached home at 1610 Buena Vista Way, also within the northwest quadrant. For the calendar year, building permits for 111 residential dwelling units have been issued as compared to 457 permits issued at this time in calendar year 2017. Non-residential Activity During the month of July, no permits were issued for commercial and industrial space. Calendar year-to-date, 674,542 square feet of commercial and industrial space has been permitted as compared to 988,416 square feet at this time in calendar year 2017. For residential and non-residential activity, the attached charts and tables provide additional information for calendar year-to-date and fiscal year-to-date comparison. For information on a free subscription to this report, click the Email Notifications button on the City's homepage and scroll to Planning & Development; visit the City's home page at www.carlsbadca.gov. !.aaf<'e,e,lf Rj,alf Laureen Ryan Management Analyst Telephone: 760-602-4615 Fax: 760-602-8560 E-Mail: Laureen.Rvan@carlsbadca.gov October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 47 of 57 Development Activity Summary By Zone Fiscal Year (FY) As of July 31, 2018 (1 month) Residential Non-residential Zone Dwelling Units Zone Square Feet Permitted Commercial Industrial 1 7 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5(NE) 5(NE) 5(NW) 5(NW) 6 5(SW) 7 6 8 7 9 8 10 9 11 10 12 11 12 13 13 14 14 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 25 25 Subtotal 0 0 Total 7 Total 0 Calendar Year (CY) As of July 31, 2018 (7 months) Residential Non-residential Zone Dwelling Units Zone Square Feet Permitted Commercial Industrial 1 49 1 10,097 2 2 2 3(NW) 2 3 4 4 6(SE) 1 5(NW) 86,940 7 1 5(NE) 8 5(SW) 6 9 7 10 8 11 9 10 12 11 14 30 12 15 13 16 14 16 75,191 335,809 17 17 166,505 18 18 19 19 20 20 5 21 21 22 22 23 23 25 24 Subtotal 338,733 335,809 25 21 Total 111 Total 674,542 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 48 of 57 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Apr-18 Ma -18 LMFZ 25 14 14 14 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 14 20 25 25 14 ·14 25 14 14 14 14 3 14 25 25 20 25 Summary of Residential Building Permit Activity As of July 31, 2018 Dwelling Units 10 9 7 1 32 1 4 9 12 10 12 6 61 Project Condominiums al Agave at the Preserve Single Famlly Detached al The Ridge at Robertson Ranch Single FamITy Detached at The Vistas 3981 James Drive, Single Family Detached Second dwelling units, at 3449 & 3445 Madison St. and 3329 Adams St. Single Family Detached at 3443 & 3447 Madison st. SingleFamilyhomesalSeascape Second dwelling units at 6684 Peregrim, Place. 2640 Sutler Street and 6658 Surf Crest Street Second dwelling unit at 7205 Obelisco Circle Single Family Homes at The Bluffs at Robertson Ranch Single Family Homes at the Terraces at Robertson Ranch Condominiums at Acacia at the Preserve Condominiums at Agave at the Preserve Condominiums at Blue Sage Slngle Family Homes at Cypress al the Preserve Single Family home at 3657 Monroe Street SingleFamilyhomeat5070CarlsbadBlvd Single Family home at 3979 James Drive Single Family home al 7307 Bolero street Second-dwelling Unit at 2279 Cameo Road Second-dwelling Unit at 4037 Royal Drive Second-dwelling Unit at 1097 Oak Avenue 12 Blue Sage Condomlnums Single famlly homes at the Ridge, Toll Brothers Cherryfield Townhome Condominums Single family homes on Cherry Avenue Dwellingunit,271 Juniper Avenue Singlefamilyresidence,4090Garf1eldStreet Single family residence and ~nd dwelling unit, 2605 & 2607 Crest Drive Slngle family homes at the Terraces, Robertson Ranch Slngle family homes at the Vistas. Robertsori Ranch Single family homes at Golden Surf. New Point Communities 14 Condominiums at Agave at the Preserve. Cornerstone Communities 13 Single family homes at Cypress, Cornerstone Communities SinglefamilyattachedatTrailsEnd 16 Residential Condominiums at MagnoTia Walk SinglefamilydetachedatMagnoHaWalk SinglefamilydelachedatlhePresidlo Second dwelling unit at 3548 Vally Street Second dwelling unit at 3110 Afton Way 1 12 67 4 11 41 17 2 Singlefamilydelachedat2139AlgaRoad Single family detached as part of Phases 9 & 10 of the Vistas, Toll Brothers Single family detached as part of Phases 9 at the Terraces, Toll Brothers Residential Condominiums, Phase 3 al Acacia, Cornerstone Communities Single family detached as part of Phase7ofthe Bluffs Single family detached as part of Phase 10 of the Vistas, Toll Brothers Second dwelling unit al: 1882 & 1874 McCauley Lene and 3933 Syrne Drive SinglefamilyattachedatPacific\/iew\/illas Single family detached at 3935 Syme Drive Singlefamilydetachedaspartof Phase1 at Lanai Second dwelling unit et 3524 Knollwood Drive Single family detached as part of Phases 10 & 11 at The Terraces, Toll Brothers Single family detached as part of Phase 10 of The Vistas, Toll Brothers Condominiums at Acacia Estates Condominiums al Grand Madison Single family detached homes at 152 Sequoia Avenue Second-dwelling unit at 2712 Madison st. and 2627 Davis Ave. Singlefamilydelachedhomesa1Lanalll,Phese1 Second-dwelling unit at 5241 El Arbo\ Dr. and 5266 Los Robles Dr. Single family detached homes al The Terraces. Phase 12 & 13 Condominit.1rns as part of Acacia at the Preserves, Phase 4 Condominiums as part of Agave at the Preserve, Phase 8 Condominiums al Garfield Single family homes; 252 Normandy Lane and 3687 Valley Street Apartments al 906 Pine Avenue Second-dwelling units; 3689 Valley Street, 250 Normandy, 832 Citrus Place Second-dwelling unit, 7722 Farol Place Second Dwelling Unit at 157 Chestnut Avenue Second Dwelling Unit al 2726 Naples ct.102 & 4376Shasta Pl 2 Single family detached homes at Seascape at Avena Court Condominiums at Blue Sage as part of Phase 3 Second Dwelling Unitat3766 Highland Dr. and 1289 Buena Vista Way Singk:! family detached home at 1510 Buena Vista Way Sing!e family detached homes at Highland View Homes, Lots 1-4 Total forFiscalYear2018-19todate(1 month) 111 TotalforCalendarYear2018todate(7months) Notes These figures are based upon ISSuanc;e of bu,ldlng permits. They do not include add1t1ons, remodels, or replacements of e1thar demolished un1ts or units lost to fire When a '"second dwelling unit'' is built as an rntegral part of a new main dwellrng uni~ two units are counted. "Custom home" indicates a unit for which no discret1onarv ,...rm1t other than a coastal clevelo ment =rmit in the coastal zone\ was re uired October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 52 of 57 Summary of Non-Residential Permit Activity As of July 31, 2018 Month Commercial Industrial Project (Sq. Ft.) (Sq. Ft.) Jul-17 0 0 Aug-17 172,360 3266 Lionshead Avenue, shell building 209,524 ViaSat Bressi Ranch Campus 28,210 Bressi Ranch Lot 23 29,756 2505 Gateway Road 99,720 3261 Lionshead Avenue, shell building 267,490 272,080 Sep-17 635 La Costa Grees 144,742 Carlsbad Oaks North Lot 24 393 Grand Pacific 16,000 Bressi Ranch Lot 23 17,028 144,742 Oct-17 667 Leo Carrillo Ranch chicken coop and restrooms 13,200 Lego!and, ride building, bridges and shade structure 98,345 ViaSat 2-story cold shell tilt-up 71,614 Hoehn Porsche 3-story dealership 85,481 98,345 Nov-17 864 Commercial building at La Costa Glen 82,895 Industrial shell at Carlsbad Oaks North Lot 7 864 82,895 Dec-17 0 0 0 0 Jan-18 640 2 cargo containers for a restaurant at 430 Carlsbad Village Drive 640 16,451 CVS: Uptown Bressi building B Feb-18 28,052 Sprouts, new building 214,716 Pacific Vista: cold shell 121,093 Pacific Vista: cold shell building B 75,292 ViaSat building 15 11,650 Uptown Bressi: Building C 131,445 335,809 Mar-18 75,191 Pacific Vista Commerce Center Building 'A' 9,457 Grand Madison: 4-story 84,648 Apr-18 27,760 Uptown Bressi, 4 retail shell buildings 27,760 May-18 0 0 Jun-18 86,940 Hilton Home Hotel 7,300 Uptown Bressi Ranch retail shell 94,240 Jul-18 0 0 0 0 709,596 933,871 Total for Fiscal Year 2018-19 to date (1 month) 1,643,467 Total Commercial and Industrial 338,733 335,809 Total for Calendar Year 2018 to dale (7 months) 674,542 Total Commercial and Industrial Note: These figures are based upon issuance of building permits. They do not include remodels, minor additions, tenant improvements, or replacement of demolished buildings. October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 53 of 57 ~,~~ CITY OF ~"CARLSBAD Council Policy Statement Category: "EXCESS DWELLING UNIT BANK" Policy No. Date Issued: Effective Date: Resolution No. Cancellation Date: Supersedes No. Exhibit 4 43 July 9, 2013 July 9, 2013 2013-177 N/A 43, issued 4/26/05 Specific Subject: Policy for number and allocation of Proposition E "excess" dwelling units PURPOSE: To establish the City Council's policy regarding the number and the criteria for allocation of "excess" Dwelling Units (as defined in Carlsbad Municipal Code Section 21.04.120). Excess Dwelling Units become available as a result of residential projects being approved and constructed with fewer Dwelling Units than would have been allowed by the growth management control points of the Growth Management Plan approved by voters on November 4, 1986, as Proposition E and as set forth in Carlsbad Municipal Code (CMC) Section 21.90.045. BACKGROUND: Dwelling Units that become "excess" shall be added to the then-existing citywide balance contained in the "Excess Dwelling Unit Bank." Excess Dwelling Units may be allocated to projects located in any quadrant so long as the number of Dwelling Units built in each quadrant is consistent with the Dwelling Unit limitations for each quadrant established by Proposition E. A project does not need an allocation of excess Dwelling Units if its proposed density does not exceed the growth management control point as set forth in CMC 21.90.045. An allocation of excess Dwelling Units to a project is an "incentive," as defined in CMC Section 21.86.020 A.12 and Government Code Section 65915(k), in that it is a regulatory concession that modifies the requirements of CMC Chapter 21.90 of the Carlsbad Municipal Code by permitting developments with more Dwelling Units than otherwise permitted by the growth management control point established in CMC Section 21.90.045. The allocation of excess Dwelling Units to a project will result in identifiable, financially sufficient, and actual cost reductions to the project by permitting more Dwelling Units on a site than would otherwise be allowed by the underlying General Plan land use designation and so reducing land cost per Dwelling Unit. POLICY: Provision Of lnclusionary Units An applicant for excess Dwelling Units shall agree to provide the number of inclusionary housing units required by CMC Section 21.85.050 and to execute an affordable housing agreement according to CMC Section 21.85.140. The calculation of the required number of inclusionary units shall be based on all the Dwelling Units in the project and not just those for which the excess Dwelling Unit allocation is sought. The applicant shall otherwise agree to comply with the requirements of CMC Chapter 21.85 applicable to the inclusionary units. Page 1 of 3 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 55 of 57 Policy No. 43 If the applicant desires to rent any Dwelling Units in the project, the application for excess Dwelling Units shall be accompanied by an affidavit stating that any rental inclusionary units proposed by the applicant to comply with CMC Chapter 21.85 will not be subject to Civil Code Section 1954.52(a) nor any other provision of the Costa Hawkins Rental Housing Act (Civil Code Sections 1954.51 et seq.) inconsistent with controls on rents, because, pursuant to Civil Code Sections 1954.52(b) and 1954.53(a)(2), prior to approval of the project, the developer will enter into a contract (affordable housing agreement) with the city agreeing to the limitations on rents required by CMC Chapter 21.85 in consideration for the allocation of excess Dwelling Units, which is a form of assistance specified in Chapter 4.3 (commencing with Section 65915) of Division 1 ofTitle 7 ofthe Government Code. These requirements shall be considered minimum requirements for the allocation of excess Dwelling Units. As determined by the decision-maker designated by the Carlsbad Municipal Code, these minimum requirements may be increased depending on various factors, such as project scope and size and the amount of the allocation request. Exceptions The City Council also authorizes the decision-maker designated by the Carlsbad Municipal Code to allocate excess Dwelling Units to projects that do not meet the minimum requirements specified above under the limited circumstances identified below. 1. Any residential project with a General Plan designation of Residential Low Density (RL) or Residential Low-Medium Density (RLM) and a base zoning that permits a slightly higher yield of units than would be allowed by the RL or RLM General Plan designation; provided, the proposed density does not exceed the maximum density of the RL or RLM density range by more than an additional 25 percent, the project is compatible with the objectives, policies, general land uses and programs expressed in the General Plan, and all of the necessary infrastructure is in place to support the project. 2. Any residential project with a General Plan designation of Residential Medium-High Density (RMH) or Residential High Density (RH) which requires an allocation of excess Dwelling Units to meet the minimum density used to determine compliance with housing element law as identified in the latest adopted Housing Element since this minimum density exceeds the growth management control point. This exception does not apply to projects on RH-designated properties in the Beach Area Overlay Zone. 3. Any residential project in which the density used for calculation results in a Dwelling Unit yield that includes a fractional unit of .5 or greater and is the minimum density, growth management control point density, or the density used to determine compliance with housing element law (as identified in the latest adopted Housing Element). In this circumstance, a fraction of a unit may be granted in order to achieve, but not to exceed, the next whole unit; provided, the maximum density of the applicable General Plan land use designation or applicable Carlsbad Village Master Plan and Design Manual land use district is not exceeded. The procedure for determining Dwelling Unit yield and allocating fractional units is contained in CMC 21.53.230(e). Allocating Excess Dwelling Units The number of excess Dwelling Units allocated shall be at the sole discretion of the decision-maker designated by the Carlsbad Municipal Code. The City Council, Planning Commission or the City Planner retains the discretion to deny approval of the project or approve the proposed project without any Page 2 of3 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 56 of 57 Policy No. 43 excess Dwelling Units. In approving a request for an allocation of excess Dwelling Units, the City Council, Planning Commission, or City Planner shall make the following findings: 1. That the project location· and density are compatible with existing adjacent residential neighborhoods and/or nearby existing or planned uses. 2. That the project location and density are in accordance with the applicable provisions of the General Plan and any other applicable planning document. 3. That the project complies with the findings stated in the General Plan Land Use Element for projects that exceed the growth management control point for the applicable density range. (This finding applies only to properties outside the Village Review Zone.) 4. That the project complies with the findings stated in the Carlsbad Village Master Plan and Design Manual, Chapter 3, Development Standards, for projects that exceed the maximum densities set forth therein. (This finding applies only to properties inside the Village Review Zone.) Page 3-of3 October 23, 2018 Item #2 Page 57 of 57 Tammy McMinn From: Sent: To: Cc: Subject: Council Internet Email Tuesday, October 23, 2018 8:35 AM City Clerk Jason Goff; Don Neu; David de Cordova FW: "Ponto Beachfront" This email came in this morning and mentioned Growth Management. This may be related to the agenda item today on Growth Management Program, although the topic says Ponto. -----Original Message----- From: Jodi Good Sent: Tuesday, October 23, 2018 5:14 AM To: Council Internet Email <CityCouncil@carlsbadca.gov> Subject: "Ponto Beachfront" Mayor and City Council, This is a fervent request to maintain the current Growth Management Open Space Standard until "Ponto Beachfront", the controversial major development planned for southwest Carlsbad, is resolved. With the current plan there is a 30 acre open space deficit in Zone 9. The city is supposedly reviewing plans to build a high density, residential community in Planning Area F. Doesn't the current plan allow (or should) for a development with commercial and less than 25 residential units in this area? There is clearly a deficit of open space in Carlsbad's southwest quadrant and it will not be remedied by using Poinsettia and Veterans Parks as alternatives. Ponto is the last vacant coastal area for a regional park. There is currently over a 6 acre lack of beachfront parks in the area south of Palomar Airport Road west of ECR as per the Growth Management Plan of 3 acres per 1,000 residents. I've learned that Ponto residents concerned about overdevelopment were able to request and get public records. They found that the City, in the past, has given exemptions to developers from the requirement of providing open space and will continue this practice in the future. Please, do not change The Growth Management Open Space Standard to accommodate the corporation planning "Ponto Beachfront" that will allow this huge resort without giving to the community the open space and parkland they deserve, all of Carlsbad deserves. Thank you, 1 Jodi Pendry Good Carlsbad, 92008 Sent from my iPhone 2 Talk to Council on 10/23/18 Good morning Mr Mayor and Council Members. My name is Jean Camp and I am a resident of Carlsbad. As discussed at the Council meeting last week, we are missing 30 acres of unconstrained open space in Zone 9 (Zone 9 is approximately bordered by Poinsettia south, east to 1-5 and west to the ocean) AND we are missing approximately 6.5 acres of park in the SW quadrant. The update of the Growth Management Plan gives us residents the opportunity to have you, the City, correct these past oversights and mistakes. While the current Growth Management Plan states that Zone 9 is fully built out and exempted from meeting any more open space standards -from documents that you have provided to me and other residents, it is clear that these statements are incorrect. (We are not built out in Zone 9 as the so-called approved development plans were never built but zoning was changed-nor do we now or did we ever meet the required open space standards.) I respectfully request that the City makes the following changes with this Growth Management Plan update: 1) Put ALL development in Zone 9 on hold for now, until Zone 9 is in compliance with the intended Open Space standards. 2) Un-exempt Zone 9, meaning all developers have to analyze and provide the missing unconstrained open space (currently estimated at 30 acres of unconstrained open space deficit). 3) Re-evaluate all currently exempted Zones to ensure that no other mistakes were made in exempting them from providing open space. 4) Have the current developer(s) do the open space analysis and provide solutions for meeting the open space and park deficits. 5) Have a neighborhood park or other park of at least 6.5 acres planned for and provided for at Ponto. 6) Look for visitor serving commercial uses in the coastal Ponto area. To date, the current Mayor and Administration have chosen not to enforce the Growth Management Plan which would put development on hold and force Shopoff, the current developer, to do the Open Space analysis and to provide solutions to meet the 30 acres of unconstrained open space and 6.5 acre park deficits. In my opinion, this is just not right. You have the chance today to correct that situation. First put a hold on any more development, then proceed with the rest of my recommendations. Let's hope that all of you do the right thing and put residents' needs above development greed. Thank you. August 17, 2015 TO: The Honorable Matt Hall, Mayor, City of Carlsbad The Honorable Keith Blackburn, Mayor Pro Tern, City of Carlsbad The Honorable Mark Packard, Council Member, City of Carlsbad The Honorable Lorraine Wood, Council Member, City of Carlsbad The Honorable Michael Schumacher, Council Member, City of Carlsbad Planning Commissioner Neil Black Planning Commissioner Jeff Segal Planning Commissioner Velyn Anderson Planning Commissioner Kerry Siekmann Planning Commissioner Victoria Scully Planning Commissioner Marty Montgomery Planning Commissioner Hap L'Heureux FROM: Jim Nardi, San Pacifico HOA President, on behalf of the Ponto Beachfront Development Review Committee Re: City of Carlsbad City Council Proposed Amendments to General Plan "The issues facing the future of Carlsbad are ... related more to protecting and enhancing the quality of life that the community has worked hard to create." This first statement on the City of Carlsbad's General Plan website, Carlsbad's master plan for addressing the continuously changing needs of our growing populace, is a reflection of the core values that have driven city planning since the 195o's. Bordered by the coast and on our northern and southern ends by expansive, beautiful lagoons that are home to a large variety of flora and fauna, Carlsbad has uniquely created managed growth that preserves and protects valuable open spaces and sensitive ecological environments that make our community so attractive to citizens and businesses. The Carlsbad City Council, Planning Commission in consultation and concert with Carlsbad citizens, set out to reaffirm and enhance these values that are the heart and soul of the General Plan. It is with that long history of civic pride, collaboration and love for Carlsbad that the Citizens of San Pacifico, a community of about 500 homes and approximately 1,000 plus citizens ask for your support in our concerns for the planning and development of Ponto -the southern Coastal Gateway to Carlsbad. With respect to "Ponto East and Ponto West", the Heart of Ponto, a careful review of the City shows that these parcels comprise the last few undeveloped parcels of land in all of Coastal San Diego County and they are uniquely situated with pristine coastal beach and lagoon access. Even in the parcels minimally managed state, they provide daily, open access to the entire community of Carlsbad for trails and enjoyment of undisturbed coastal views. We support your efforts to, with careful thought, plan and develop this treasured land and wish to be constructive and collaborative partners in this process so that the end product is a Page 1 of s lasting joy to our citizens and visitors and an exemplary legacy to present to future generations. Coming together to express our consensus concerns, we as a community have identified the following key issues we would like to see addressed in the Carlsbad General Plan and Local Coastal Program, and as outlined in the City adopted Ponto Village Vision Plan created just less than a decade ago. 1. We generally support the rezoning of Ponto East, the Town home Residential to R-23, however would prefer a R-15 designation given the developers intent to apply for planning changes and density bonuses to increase density. We do not support their proposed massive apartment block in the Ponto Vision Plan "Townhome" community .. High density housing seems less appropriate for limited coastal and beach access land. 2. Neighborhood preservation and enhancement goals are of great importance to our San Pacifico citizens. We support the zoning of Ponto West ("Heart of Ponto" in the Ponto Vision Plan) to General Commercial that limits the residential uses to 12 dwellings, and feel the primary orientation for this site is toward Visitor Commercial as there is very limited commercial opportunities for both Carlsbad Citizens and visitors in South Carlsbad -and Ponto represents the last opportunity to provide those services. Citizens and visitors are forced to drive to Encinitas or Downtown Carlsbad for coastal commercial services which increase Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and congestion. We are aware of the developer's development proposal and proposed General Plan and Local Coastal Program Amendment applications to the city that seeks to change the Heart of Ponto's commercial and visitor servicing orientation to dense housing (estimated at 85%) with minimal and unsustainably designed residual amount of commercial establishments. We feel this is inadequate, will not generate enough commercial presence and momentum to allow these establishments to thrive, creates land use incompatibility for the commercial uses, will not create desirable commercial Village synergies with the adjacent hotels and planned for high-quality resorts and beach visitors, and not serve the long term needs of Carlsbad citizens and visitors for coastal commercial access in South Carlsbad. 3. Open space, coastal access, and natural environment goals are of great importance to our Ponto citizens and we do not support relaxation of the minimum setback and easement rules. The developer's proposal to not meet minimum setbacks and recreational open space standards would greatly limit all Carlsbad citizens and visitors the ability to enjoy the natural beauty of prime beachfront spaces that have previously been available to our citizens. The proposed large building masses run counter to a pedestrian scale and open environment of the Ponto Village vision. In certain public view and access corridors, such as along Avenida Encinas and other coastal access pathways perhaps expanded increased minimum building setbacks Page 2 of s should be considered to retain some portions of ocean views from public right-of-way and public spaces. 4. Below are proposed General Plan Policy updates for the Ponto area that we would like the City Council and Planning Commission to please consider adding to the General Plan. We believe these updates would help better serve to Develop Ponto Right and be more consistent with the adopted Ponto Vision. a. 2-P.86 Promote development of the Ponto area with high-quality and coastal priority land uses that are consistent with those envisioned in the Ponto Beachfront Village Vision Plan. b. 2-P.87 Promote development of high-quality activity centers with restaurants, cafes and shopping in the Mixed-Use Heart of Ponto and Visitor Serving Commercial areas of Ponto. c. 2-P.88 At the center of the Heart of Ponto advance the planned use of excess road right-of-way as a central public open space and connection to the beach as envisioned in the Ponto Beachfront Village Vision Plan. 5. Access to recreation (beach, walking trails) and potential of inadequate number of parking spaces are of great concern to our San Pacifico citizens. High density housing and the presence of commercial property will only increase the need for parking, which is already in very short supply along the stretch of Carlsbad Blvd from Poinsettia Lane to La Costa Avenue. Critical will be expanded parking requirements for mid to large residential units that correspond the unit's occupancy load for visitor serving rental (VRBO, etc.) that are allowed in the Coastal Zone. San Pacifico has experienced the increased demand for parking, and we have significant on-street parking which is critically missing in the proposed development. 6. Sustainability cannot be achieved without proving a more balanced land use as suggested above, and without addressing mobility and traffic concerns. Avenida Encinas is the only access way for a significant area of land use to/from the coast. It will, unless the planned second intersection north along Carlsbad Boulevard is developed soon, become the main artery for traffic for both East and West Ponto. There is no direct access from Poinsettia Lane, nor currently from Carlsbad Boulevard. Avenida Encinas is not in any way configured to handle this increased vehicle volume at just 2 lanes and with a railroad overpass bridge at 2 lanes, particularly given the funneling of significant pedestrian and bike coastal access travel along this corridor. Avenida Encinas at Ponto Road is currently used as a roundabout for regional coastal access to the beach. A comprehensive traffic plan for coastal circulation is needed as the development fronts on this intersection. A stop sign on Avenida Encinas was needed to try to address vehicle speeding and impacts to pedestrian and bike safety, however research into other traffic calming improvements should be explored. The eventual build out of a high-quality boutique hotel (per current Ponto Vision Plan) at Page 3 of s the southern Ponto parcel opposite the East and West Ponto properties will further complicate traffic and safety issues. 7. The nearest elementary school, Pacific Rim Elementary, is highly impacted and regularly turns away children to other district schools since it cannot accommodate any more. The introduction of high density housing into this exact area further compounds the problem, which is a severe disadvantage to the current citizens of Carlsbad and their children. This needs to be taken into consideration. We as citizens are meeting with the proposed developer to try to work with them to rethink their proposal to address these issues. We are hopeful. However we and all Carlsbad Citizens and Visitors, need to have the General Plan and Local Coastal Program policy and plans that as suggested help Develop Ponto Right. City Staff and the City Planning Commission have provided their recommendations which we support, and ask you to please consider adopting all the General Plan items mentioned in this letter. This patch of pristine coastal land at the southern end of Carlsbad deserves to represent the City of Carlsbad as well as the northern entrance to the city does, with an open, vibrant, walkable, enticing and community-focused village development...something that all of our citizens can continue to enjoy. We respectfully request that all of the above considerations be taken into account when assessing the possible General Plan, Local Coastal Program, and zoning standard revisions for Ponto and these Ponto East and West properties in particular. The City of Carlsbad has an incredible last opportunity to create a wonderful legacy for the community with thoughtful and appropriate development, and environmental stewardship that will last for generations to come. We sincerely hope that we can all reflect back on the values that have brought our beautiful city to this point, and continue to let those values govern our growth into the future. Sincerely, Jim Nardi, San Pacifico HOA President on behalf of The Ponto Beachfront Development Review Committee Cc: Kathy Dodson, Interim City Manager, City of Carlsbad Don Neu, City Planner, City of Carlsbad, Community and Economic Development Department Dave de Cordova, Principle Planner, City of Carlsbad, Community and Economic Development Department Jennifer Jesser, Senior Planner, City of Carlsbad, Community and Economic Development Department Page 4 of s Jason Goff, Associate Planner, City of Carlsbad, Community and Economic Development Department Gabriel Buhr, California Coastal Commission Pages of s Growth Management Plan – Update Scoping Session Debbie Fountain, Community and Economic Development Director Don Neu, City Planner David de Cordova, Principal Planner Scott Donnell, Senior Planner October 23, 2018 Background •1986 Growth Management Plan (GMP) •City Council direction •Scoping session •Staff report and attachments •Council discussion and direction Growth Management –in a nutshell •Setting •A facilities plan based on build-out •Quadrants, zones and dwelling unit caps •Regular monitoring •Voter approval c:J LnlP Zont Oourdilry -NOftt'!•att OuadrMt , ' D NOttnw .. t OU.14<,ni D SOULnO;M:I OUJ\k'Jtll -soutnwost o...a,;v,t .J Update Considerations •Status of the GMP and development •GMP age and relevancy –New policies, standards, and principles •Proposition E dwelling unit caps •State housing mandates –RHNA/Housing Element update Dwelling Unit Cap Status Total Proposition E Quadrant Dwelling Unit Caps 54,599 Existing and Unbuilt Planned Dwellings 52,256 Potential Additional Dwellings 2,343 Quadrant Potential Additional Dwellings NW 701* NE 102 SW 1,213 SE 327 *571 units reserved for Village Scoping Considerations •Update extent •Update approach •Update timing –Housing Element update •Potential for voter approval of changes Next Steps •Develop more detailed work plan –Identify resource strategy and fiscal impact •Present work plan to City Council early 2019 •Update GMP in tandem with the Housing Element –Oct 2019: Final RHNA numbers –April 2021: Housing Element due to state Recommendation Direct staff on the scope and timing of potential GMP revisions Scope/Approach •Scope –Tier 1: Do nothing –Tier 2: Technical update –Tier 3: Housing and facilities –Tier 4: Comprehensive review and update •Approach –Option 1: Staff-led technical approach –Option 2: Citizens Advisory Committee approach –Option 3: City Council- led approach Timing •Housing Element •Other important workload •City Council goal •Phased approach GMP Public Facilities •City administration •Library •Wastewater treatment •Parks •Drainage •Circulation •Fire •Open space •Schools •Sewer collection •Water distribution People for Ponto Ask you to Be Honest & fix errors Follow Growth Management Ordinance Enforce Growth Management Standards Provide Missing Open Space at Ponto Care about Carlsbad-Citizens-Ponto www.peopleforponto.com Be Honest & fix errors •Fix errors in Staff Report –“All other [Open Space in LFMP-9] public facilities are currently meeting their adopted growth management performance standards for FY 2016-17”, p. 5 •LFMP Zone 9 is missing a minimum of 30-acres of ‘developer required’ GMP Open Space per the 15% unconstrained Performance Standard. •Clearly documented in 3 Official Carlsbad Public Records Request 2017-164, 2017- 289, and 2018-289; City’s Open Space data, and City documents –“In 1986, LFMZs 1 through 10, and 16 were already developed and considered to be in compliance with the open space performance standard.”, p. 41, p. 24 of monitoring report •LFMP-9 says in 1989 only already developed land use was Lake Shore Garden Mobile Home Park that is only 13% or 55 of the total 417 acers in LFMP-9. p. 26 •How can LFMP-9 be already developed in 1986 if in 1989 only 13% was developed? Be Honest & fix errors •Fix errors in Staff Report –City’s FY16/17 Growth Management Program Monitoring Report [p. 4, p. 21 in Staff Report] that says: “What Happens if Facilities Do Not Meet the Performance Standard? The Growth Management Plan requires development activity to stop if a performance standard is not being met. … facilities (… open space … ) are analyzed on an Local Facility Management Plan Zone (LFMZ) basis. If one of these facilities falls below the performance standard in a given LFMZ, development in that LFMZ would stop“ u •5/7/18 met City Manager on LFMP-9’s missing 30-acres of developer required Open Space. 6/12/18 Debbie Fountain email with staff’s final position: –Debbie said: “… questioning the reasons [for the missing 30- acres of Open Space] is not productive…” –Debbie said developers can rely on inaccurate exemption from Growth Management Open Space Standard. –Debbie didn’t justify statements with City of Carlsbad Municipal Code -Growth Management Ordinance 21.90.130 Implementation Requirements –Debbie didn’t say if her [Staff’s] position was the City Council’s position, or if/how City Council made this decision Be Honest & fix errors Growth Management Ordinance 21.90.130(b) states: •“Adoption of a facilities management plan does not establish any entitlement or right to any particular general plan or zoning designation or any particular development proposal. … •no development occurs unless adequate facilities or improvements will be available … •The city council may initiate an amendment to any of the plans at any time if in its discretion it determines that an amendment is necessary to ensure adequate facilities and improvements”. Follow Growth Management Ordinance Growth Management Ordinance 21.90.130(c) states: •“If … city manager … [thinks] … the performance standards … are not being met he or she shall immediately report the deficiency to the council. •If the council determines that a deficiency exists then no further building or development permits shall be issued within the affected zone … and … •an amendment to the city-wide facilities and improvements plan or applicable local facilities management plan which addresses the deficiency is approved by the city council and the performance standard is met” Follow Growth Management Ordinance Growth Management Ordinance 21.90.130(d) states: •“The city planner shall … prepare an annual report to the city council … which includes … a facilities and improvements adequacy analysis, … and recommendation for any amendments to the facilities management plan.” Follow Growth Management Ordinance In summary City’s Growth Management Ordinance: •Requires City Staff to report facility inadequacies – report missing 30-aces of Open Space •Allows City Staff to recommend LFMP-9 Amendments to correct facility inadequacies -Why hasn’t Staff recommended addressing the missing 30-acres of Open Space? •GMP Ordinance conflicts with 6/12/18City Staff email saying developers can rely on LFMP-9 that violates Open Space Facility Standard – LFMP-9 not a developer entitlement •Allows City Council to amendment at any time the city-wide GMP & LFMP-9 to fix Facility Standard deficiency -missing 30- acres of Open Space in LFMP-9 •Says a LFMP-9 does not establish any entitlement or right to any particular general plan or zoning designation or any particular development proposal Follow Growth Management Ordinance •“Open Space Standard: Fifteen percent [15%] of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development” See page 20 of your staff report [p. 4 City’s FY16/17 Growth Management Program Monitoring Report Growth Management Open Space Standard City data & documents show developers falsely exempted from providing Growth Management Program required open-space: City’s data calculations of open-space at Ponto 472 Acres Total land in LFMP Zone 9 [Ponto] per City of Carlsbad GIS data (197 Acres)Constrained and Excluded from GMP Open Space Calculations 275 Acres Area unconstrained in LFMP Zone 9 X 15%GMP Minimum unconstrained Open Space requirement 41 Acres GMP Minimum unconstrained Open Space required in LFMP Zone 9 (11 Acres)GMP Open Space provided & mapped in LFMP Zone 9 30 Acres Missing unconstrained Open Space needed in LFMP Zone 9 to meet the minimum GMP Open Space Standard [73% missing] Ponto’s Missing 30 acres of developer required Open-Space Care about Carlsbad-Citizens-Ponto We ask you to care about Carlsbad, Citizens, & Ponto; and put those interests above a developer's: •Recognize & fix the flawed prior Ponto planning processes –twice City/developers failed to comply with Carlsbad Local Coastal Program [p. 101] requirements to first ‘consider/document Ponto as a Public Park and/or Low-cost visitor accommodations’ –LFMP-9 missing 30-acres of developer required Open Space –Failure to disclose LCP and Open Space issues & directly involve community about Ponto planning –a ‘planning area’ of our planned community. Developer led process was fundamentally flawed –Failure to provide any meaningful South Carlsbad Coastal Park for residents/visitors Care about Carlsbad-Citizens-Ponto We ask you to care about Carlsbad, Citizens, & Ponto. Put those interests above a developer's: •Follow Growth Management Ordinance 21.90.130 and require LFMP-9 to provide missing 30-acres of Open Space •Require in all Update Tiers: that developers provide Open Space in LFMP-9 per the GMP Open Space Standard •Comprehensively re-plan Ponto with a Community-based [not developer based] planning process that considers our long- term Coastal needs Care about Carlsbad-Citizens-Ponto •Consider how sea leave rise and erosion will remove Coastal areas and require Coastal Open Space buffers and upland Coastal Parks •Consider how much Coastal Open Space and Coastal Park acres are needed for South Carlsbad’s 64,000 existing, and more inland future, residents. Avoid overcrowding of North Carlsbad Coastal Parks •Consider over 4 presentations & over 300 letters/emails already provided you from concerned Citizens www.peopleforponto.com Thank You We hope you will Be honest & fix errors Follow the Growth Management Ordinance Enforce Growth Management Standards Provide LFMP-9’s missing 30-ac of Open Space Care about Carlsbad-Citizens-Ponto Together we can Develop Ponto Right!