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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2021-10-19; City Council; ; Update on Crime Statistics and Police Department’s Response to Crime Trends Meeting Date: Oct. 19, 2021 To: Mayor and City Council From: Scott Chadwick, City Manager Staff Contact: Cindy Anderson, Senior Management Analyst cindy.anderson@carlsbadca.gov, 760-931-2170 Christie Calderwood, Police Captain christie.Calderwood@carlsbadca.gov, or 760-931-2100 Subject: Update on Crime Statistics and Police Department’s Response to Crime Trends District: All Recommended Action Receive update from the police department regarding crime statistics, crime trends, and enforcement strategies. Executive Summary On September 17, 2021, the San Diego Association of Governments published the county’s 2021 mid-year crime index report. The report included an analysis on crime statistics, including increases and decreases within the county and a breakdown of the crime statistics by individual jurisdictions. Crimes are categorized according to the FBI’s standardized uniform crime reporting guidelines for law enforcement agencies across the country. This report provides the City Council with these statistics as well as an update on the Police Department’s response to current crime trends. Discussion Crime statistics The FBI Crime Index rates per 1,000 population shows that the crime rate in Carlsbad increased by one percent from 2017 to 2021 and by 20% from 2020 to 2021, while the county had a decrease of three percent from 2017 to 2021 and an increase of 11% from 2020 to 2021 (Exhibit 1, Table 2, Annualized FBI Crime Index rates). When comparing violent crimes, Carlsbad had a decrease of one percent from 2017 to 2021 and a decrease by three percent from 2020 to 2021. With property crimes, Carlsbad had an increase by one percent from 2017 to 2020 and an increase of 23% from 2020 to 2021. CITY OF CARLSBAD CRIME RATES 2017-2020 2020-2021 Violent crimes -1% -3% Property crimes 1% 23% Total FBI Index 1% 20% Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 1 of 33 According to SANDAG, “the number and type of crimes that are reported can be influenced by several factors, including the degree of opportunity to commit crimes in a given jurisdiction.” The biggest increases that Carlsbad saw from 2020 to 2021 among property crimes were in residential burglaries and thefts from motor vehicles. The uptick is relatively slight when compared to previous years, and the low rates in 2020 may be largely attributed to factors related to the pandemic, in which would-be victims were home, thus reducing the likelihood of having their homes and vehicles broken into. The majority of the recent residential burglary cases happened while the victims were not home. Now that many people have returned to work and school in-person, the reemergence of residential burglaries was anticipated. While SANDAG has noted that there are crime types that show an increase throughout San Diego County when comparing mid-year 2020 and 2021, it is important to note that the 2020 crime statistics do appear to be an anomaly due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Dr. Cynthia Burke, SANDAG’s Director of Program and Research Management, advises that 2020 was an unprecedented year due to the pandemic. Dr. Burke recommends comparing crime stats for 2021 to 2019 or other years to get a more accurate picture. When comparing mid-year crime statistics from 2021 to 2019, SANDAG notes that violent crime is down in Carlsbad and the property crimes statistics are very much in line with previous years, with the overall number showing a decrease from 2019. The charts below show the crime rate comparison between 2019 to 2021: 2 28 17 82 1 7 14 86 1 15 16 73 0 20 40 60 80 100 Homicide Rape Robbery Assault Violent crimes 2019 2020 2021 63 80 351 489 855352 293 373 654988 341 463 86 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Burglary (Non-Residential)Burglary (Residential)Theft >$400 Theft <$400 Motor Vehicle Theft Property crimes 2019 2020 2021 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 2 of 33 Exhibit 1 is the SANDAG report, Crime in the San Diego Region Mid-Year 2021 Statistics. Exhibit 2 is a criminal justice newsletter from SANDAG’s Criminal Justice Clearinghouse that highlights four key findings in the mid-year statistics. Crime analysis and response, department strategies The Carlsbad Police Department deploys the crime analysis and response model to coordinate its crime investigation and prevention. The Department also uses multiple strategies to combat and prevent crime by gathering and analyzing crime trends so that officers may direct their enforcement and investigative efforts intelligently and efficiently. Communication is a major component in successfully combating crime. Not only does the Police Department find it important to consistently communicate to those we serve, but also to communicate our efforts internally in order to create future plans that are aligned with the mission of fighting crime, while providing the best service possible to our community members. The Police Department’s watch commanders meet on a weekly basis with the Crime Analysts to discuss real time data in terms of recent arrests within the county, crime trends, citizen complaints and most importantly, future plans to solve and prevent crime. Additionally, every quarter the Police Department conducts a meeting, which includes the crime analysts, patrol and investigations lieutenants, along with the sergeants that oversee the Crime Suppression Team and Homeless Outreach Team. These quarterly presentations to the department’s command staff are intended to foster an open flow of communication within the department on how each unit is using the crime statistics, trends and ultimately the department’s resources to conduct investigations and prevent crime. The strategies deployed through the crime analysis and response model at the Police Department involve a multi-pronged approach. These strategies include, but are not limited to: Community partnerships Sworn and non-sworn personnel embrace relationships with our residents, businesses, the School District, the Carlsbad Village Association, the Carlsbad Chamber of Commerce, the Carlsbad Equity Coalition, and other community entities. We believe as public servants, maintaining consistent communication and positive working relationships with our partners within the City of Carlsbad, the San Diego region and beyond, is a driving force in our success. Education Whether it’s through social media, partnering with the local schools, events such as “Coffee with a Cop,” presentations at Rotary Club meetings, town hall meetings in each district, or just simply conversing one on one with residents and business owners, the Police Department looks for every opportunity to educate the public we serve and keep them apprised of what we are doing to improve the community they live, work, and play in. For example, when we see an uptick in thefts from vehicles, the Police Department takes a multi-pronged approach with education to our citizenry as one piece of that prong. An educational campaign via social media and volunteers handing out flyers is an example of the emphasis we put on bringing awareness to the public on removing the opportunity for criminals to gain access to their vehicle by locking their doors, removing their valuables, and parking in well-lit areas or a garage when possible. Another example is when we see increased complaints regarding e-bikes in the city violating traffic laws, Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 3 of 33 the Police Department teamed up with the Carlsbad Unified School District and the city Communication & Engagement Department to hold a webinar for parents and kids on e- bike safety laws. This effort is coupled with reaching out to the San Diego Bicycle Coalition to advertise classes, along with a social media campaign and one of our most important prongs – enforcement. Law enforcement partnerships Partnerships and consistent communication with allied agencies, the District Attorney’s Office and other regional partners, create a force multiplier when it comes to fighting crime in Carlsbad. The Police Department identifies crime trends and routinely works with surrounding law enforcement agencies to address them as a team. How partnerships yield results SANDAG reported an increase in residential burglaries in Carlsbad with 88 by mid-year 2021 compared to 80 in mid-year 2019. The department’s response serves as an example of how it addresses a rise in crime via law enforcement partnerships and crime analysis. In August 2021, patrol officers were notified of a series of property crimes occurring in the area of Alga Road and Melrose Drive. Officers began to meet with victims to take crime reports and investigate multiple burglaries, thefts from vehicles, and a stolen vehicle. After they took crime reports and obtained surveillance footage, they immediately notified the property crimes detective in charge of that area. The property crimes detective then collaborated with the Sheriff’s Department, which had experienced a similar series in San Marcos, near the border of Carlsbad. The property crimes detectives along with the Sheriff’s Department’s detectives identified a suspect and conducted a search warrant on his home in Carlsbad. Thousands of dollars’ worth of stolen property from multiple burglaries was recovered and returned to the victims. The suspect gave additional information regarding his accomplice. Both subjects were booked on suspicion of burglary, conspiracy, possession of stolen property and other charges. The property crimes detective also worked with the county Probation Department to get a probation hold placed on the suspects as well as added bail enhancements. This is just one of many examples of the department’s successful collaboration with other agencies. Other partnerships include information sharing and assistance in operations from the FBI, Joint Terrorism Task Force, Countywide Human Trafficking Task Force, Regional Auto Theft Task Force, North County Gang Task Force and the Narcotics Task Force. Directed enforcement via crime analysis The department currently deploys a Crime Suppression Team, a Homeless Outreach Team, as well as Patrol, Investigations and Traffic Officers, among other resources to combat crime. All of these teams look at the trends occurring within the city and address those trends through intelligence-led policing and education. A recent example is the uptick in crime related to thefts of catalytic converters. SANDAG reported there was a variation in the first six months of 2021 in terms of the type of larceny throughout the county, with theft of motor vehicle parts and accessories increasing the most, by 86%, followed by theft from motor vehicles, which increased 15%. After seeing an increase across the nation and specifically in San Diego County in catalytic converter thefts, the result of Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 4 of 33 an increase in price of the recycled precious metals inside of them, , our Crime Analyst and a property crimes detective teamed up with detectives from all over the county and the District Attorney’s Office to create a working group that is consistently sharing information and finding ways to track the trend and make arrests. The working group released important trend data to officers to direct them in their enforcement efforts. Recently, in August 2021, a patrol officer conducted a traffic stop on a vehicle for lane swerving in an area near the I-5 corridor identified as an area ripe for catalytic converter thefts, which turned into an arrest for possession of stolen catalytic converters and other stolen property. In September 2021, a patrol sergeant made a traffic stop on a suspicious vehicle that led to an arrest. Inside the vehicle, the officer located four freshly cut catalytic converters, stolen mail from numerous victims, several California license plates and stolen credit cards. In addition to finding ways to work with our law enforcement partners, our officers are consistently conducting directed enforcement when not responding to 911 calls for service. Throughout the month of September, uniformed night watch patrol shifts and plainclothes detectives conducted operations in order to combat the catalytic converter theft trend. Our Public Information Officer created several social media posts advising how to protect your catalytic converter from being stolen or making notification of a related arrest. With property crimes being the most common type of crime in the city of Carlsbad, the link to narcotics must be addressed as well. It is important to note that many times the arrest of an offender for property crimes leads to an arrest for narcotics or an arrest for narcotics leads to a property crime arrest. SANDAG noted in 2016 that 75% of male adult arrestees and 74 percent of female adult arrestees booked into jail in San Diego tested positive for an illicit substance, and that at least two in every three adult arrestees were under the influence of one or more drugs when taken into custody. Officers are aware through calls for service and data-driven policing that many people who use motels are transitory, and are not necessarily on vacation. Our patrol officers and specialty units frequently patrol the motels and hotels within our city to deter illegal activity and keep those who are legitimately visiting Carlsbad safe. The Police Department’s Crime Suppression Team has conducted proactive operations at local motels with the assistance of allied agencies that netted over 30 arrests in two days. These arrests were for arrest warrants and offenses such as possession of narcotics, possession of stolen property and possession of guns. In May 2021, Carlsbad vice narcotics detectives received information about narcotics sales occurring in Carlsbad and Oceanside. Detectives were able to serve a search warrant at the residence in a neighboring city of a suspected cocaine trafficker, selling to people in Carlsbad, and seized almost five pounds of cocaine, $27,000 in U.S. currency, and an illegal assault rifle, a “ghost gun.” These arrests related to narcotics have been found to ultimately reduce property crimes in the city of Carlsbad Tools and technology aids The Police Department is consistently looking at better and more efficient ways to address and prevent crime. We are cognizant that in the current digital age, technology aids, as well as the most current tools such as e-bikes and body worn cameras, can bolster our effectiveness as a police agency. The Police Department currently deploys officers on e-bikes, cameras in multiple Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 5 of 33 parks, a Sky Watch tower at special events, a deployable surveillance trailer in hot spot areas and license plate readers throughout the city. These tools are able to be in places where officers are not and have a proven history of assisting officers in solving cases. With Carlsbad being well on its way to becoming the region’s next “smart city,” the Police Department is continually looking at new technology that can keep us ahead of the curve in deterring, investigating, and solving crime. Conclusion Each prong in the Police Department’s model for addressing crime goes hand-in-hand with the other. When a crime trend or series is identified, each of these prongs is deployed in an effort to address crime through intelligence led policing with the goal of making Carlsbad the safest city in San Diego. Fiscal Analysis There is no fiscal impact for this departmental report. Next Steps The Police Department will continue to apply our Crime Analysis and Response Program, which teams up crime analysts with police managers, to review crime data and trends to prepare thoughtful deployments of department personnel and equipment. Environmental Evaluation In keeping with Public Resources Code section 21065, this action does not constitute a “project” within the meaning of CEQA in that it has no potential to cause either a direct physical change in the environment, or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment, and therefore, does not require environmental review. Public Notification and Outreach This item was noticed in keeping with the state's Ralph M. Brown Act and it was available for public viewing and review at least 72 hours before the scheduled meeting date. Exhibits 1. San Diego Association of Governments report, Crime in the San Diego Region, Mid-Year 2021 Statistics 2. CJ Flash - Four key highlights of mid-year statistics Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 6 of 33 Crime in the San Diego Region Mid-Year 2021 Statistics September 2021 Research findings from the Criminal Justice Clearinghouse Exhibit 1 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 7 of 33 This page Intentionally left blank Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 8 of 33 Introduction Since 1980, SANDAG has been compiling and reporting regional crime statistics for San Diego County and remains the only local source for regional statistics not available at the national level. This summary presents information regarding how many and what types of Part I crimes were reported to local law enforcement in the first half of 2021 and how these numbers compare to prior years. Because of the pandemic that resulted in the stay home order in March 2020, additional analyses are presented here regarding month-by-month change over the first half of the year, as well as comparisons to mid- year 2019, prior to the pandemic. Violent crime •A total of 6,080 Part I violent crimes were reported to local law enforcement agencies in the region between January and June 2021 (Tables 1 and 6). Part I violent crimes include homicide, rape,1 robbery, and aggravated assault. This number was higher than what was reported in both 2020 (14%) and 2019 (9%). •The violent crime rate of 3.64 per 1,000 population was 7% higher than it was ten years ago and the second highest rate it has been in the ten-year comparison period (Figure 1). •Of the 18 jurisdictions with violent crime numbers that were able to be compared, 13 had a higher violent crime rate in the first six months of 2021 compared to the same period in 2020 and 5 had a lower one (Table 3). •There were 48 homicides in the first half of 2021, lower than the 54 reported in 2020, but higher than the 38 reported in 2019 (Tables 1 and 8). -As Figure 2 shows, the number of homicides were higher in 2021, compared to 2020, in three of the months and lower the other three months. -For the 29 homicide incidents in which a motive could be determined (to date) in 2021, 17% were described as related to an argument, 17% to gangs, and 13% to domestic violence (not shown). •There were 532 rapes reported to law enforcement in San Diego County in the first half of 2021, more than the number reported in the first half of 2020 (433) when the stay-home order was in effect, but around the same number as in 2019 (when there were 539) (Tables 1 and 8). 1 When interpreting these mid-year figures, it is important to note that in 2015, California law enforcement agencies began to use the new and broader Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) definition of rape that includes male victims, sodomy, penetration with any body part or objects, and no longer requires force. As a result of this change, some Part I crimes that previously would have been aggravated assaults are now rapes and some Part II crimes that previously would not have been captured in these statistics are now Part I crimes. Highlights Six months into 2021, there have been more violent and property crimes reported to local law enforcement, compared to the first half of 2020. However, because 2020 was an unprecedented year in recent history, it is important to consider crime trends over a longer period of time. Looking at violent crime, there were fewer homicides and robberies reported in 2021 to date, compared to 2020, but more rapes and aggravated assaults. The greatest decreases in reported rapes were seen in the months when the stay-home order was most restrictive and the 2021 numbers are back to around what they were in 2019. Aggravated assaults were up compared to both 2019 and 2020 numbers, with the largest jumps in those that involved a firearm. Property crime was up, compared to 2020 numbers, but was still the second lowest rate in the past ten years. The number of reported burglaries was down, compared to 2020, but residential burglaries increased in number most recently, and non-residential was down. Larcenies increased in number, compared to 2020, as did m otor vehicle thefts. Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 9 of 33 - Additional analysis of the change month- to-month revealed that the greatest increases in rapes in 2021 were seen in April, May, and June, which is not surprising given that social distancing was possibly at its peak the prior year during these months (Figure 3). • The number of robberies reported across the region decreased 7% from mid-year 2020 (1,268) to 2021 (1,177). This mid-year total was also 17% lower than the reported total at mid-year 2019 (Tables 1 and 8). - Comparing the changes month-to- month, there was variation, with more robberies reported in three months in 2021, compared to 2020, and fewer the other three months, with no consistent pattern (Figure 4). • The 4,323 aggravated assaults reported during the first six months of the year represented a 20% increase from the prior year (Tables 1 and 8) and was also similarly higher than the number reported in 2019 (3,572, a 21% increase). Aggravated assaults that involved the use of a firearm increased more than any other type of aggravated assault (55%, compared to 9% to 21% increases for other weapon types) (not shown). - As Figure 5 shows, there were more aggravated assaults reported each of the first six months in 2021, compared to 2020, ranging from 15% to 27% more. • There were 8,936 domestic violence incidents reported in the first half of 2021, which include aggravated assaults and other offenses (both violent and property), a 5% increase from the 8,496 reported in the first half of 2020 (Table 12) and a 9% increase from the 8,235 reported in 2019. - As Figure 6 shows, there were fewer domestic violence incidents reported in January and February 2021, compared to those months in 2020 prior to the pandemic, but for the remaining four months, there were more, ranging from 5% more in March to 14% more in June. Property crime • A total of 27,023 property crimes were reported to local law enforcement agencies in the first half of 2021 (Tables 1 and 7). This was 10% higher than it was during the first half of 2020, but 1% lower compared to the first half of 2019. Property crime includes burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. • The mid-year 2020 property crime rate of 16.17 was 18% lower than it was in 2011 (19.82) and the second lowest rate in the past ten years (Figure 7). • Of the 25 jurisdictions with property crime numbers that were able to be compared, 17 had a higher property crime rate in the first six months of 2021 compared to 2019, and 8 had a higher one (Table 4). • The 3,525 burglaries reported in the San Diego region in the first half of 2021 represented a decrease of 3% from the first half of 2020 (when there were 3,636). This number was also lower than what was reported in the first half of 2019, prior to the pandemic (3,844, -8%). Residential burglaries decreased 4%, compared to mid-year 2020, and were also down 22%, compared to mid- year 2019. For non-residential burglaries, there were fewer compared to 2020 (-2%), but more compared to 2019 (7%) (Tables 1 and 8). - As Figure 8 shows, residential burglaries were lower for January through April 2021, compared to 2020, but were up in both May (9%) and June (24%). On the other hand, non-residential burglaries were up the first two months of 2021, compared to 2020, but down (between 3% and 26%) the next four months. - A greater percentage of burglaries in the first half of 2021 involved forced entry (57%), compared to 2020 (55%) and 2019 (47%) (not shown). • The number of larcenies reported in the region at mid-year 2021 (18,036) represented a 10% increase from mid-year 2020 (16,355), but a 4% decrease from mid-year 2019 (18,811) (Tables 1 and 8). Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 10 of 33 - As Figure 9 shows, the number of reported larcenies was up for five of the past six months, but increased the most between April and June. - There was variation over the past six months in terms of the type of larceny, with theft of motor vehicle parts and accessories increasing the most (86%), followed by theft from motor vehicles (15%), theft of bicycles (13%), theft from buildings (3%), and other types of theft, including coin operated machines (1%). Pickpocket and shoplifting were down mid-year 2021, compared to 2020 (-30% and -13%, respectively) (Table 1). • Motor vehicle theft increased 21%, from 4,527 vehicles stolen at mid-year 2020 to 5,462 at mid-year 2021. This 2021 number was also 19% higher than the 4,584 reported in mid-year 2019 (Tables 1 and 8). - There were double-digit increases in the number of motor vehicles stolen January through May 2021, compared to 2020 (ranging from 12% to 37%), with a 3% increase in June (Figure 10). Hate crime • At mid-year 2021, there were 45 hate crimes reported to law enforcement in the San Diego region, compared to 46 at mid- year 2020. • The most common motivation identified in both years was race, though a greater percentage was attributed to race in 2020 (76%), compared to 2021 (64%). • Of the 34 hate crime cases attributed to race in 2020, 2 or 6% involved Asian victims. In 2021, this percentage had increased to 18% (5 of 28). While these numbers are relatively small and should be considered when comparing percentage change, they are consistent with national statistics and other anecdotal feedback from the community regarding increases in these types of hate crimes since the pandemic began. Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 11 of 33 Background The ability for SANDAG to analyze data and produce reports on crime trends for the region relies upon a cooperative agreement with each local law enforcement agency. SANDAG obtains crime data from every agency on a monthly basis, allowing the presentation of regional crime data in a timely manner. Crimes are categorized according to the FBI’s standardized UCR guidelines for law enforcement agencies across the country. Reported crimes are tallied in ARJIS according to the date of data entry, which may or may not reflect the day of occurrence. It should be noted that while local law enforcement agencies strive to tabulate their statistics in a timely fashion, data entry delays sometimes occur, which may affect statistics. The mid-year crime rates per 1,000 residents are estimated by multiplying the number of crimes reported between January and June by two and dividing that number by the population which has been divided by 1,000. The statistics presented in this CJ Bulletin include crime rates and numbers for San Diego County and individual jurisdictions for the first half of 2021. Comparisons are made to prior years. The number and type of crimes that are reported can be influenced by several factors, including the degree of opportunity to commit crimes in a given jurisdiction, which can be related to the amount of commercial land use and ease of access to the area. It should be noted that in 2021, California States Parks was only able to share data for January and February and will not be contributing to UCR after this date. Data from this agency represented less than one percent of the crimes reported In the San Diego region. Crime statistics for January through December 2021 are expected to be available in April 2022. If you have any questions about these numbers, please contact the Criminal Justice Research Division at (619) 699-1900. For more information about the SANDAG Criminal Justice Clearinghouse, please visit sandag.org/cj. Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 12 of 33 Figure 1 Annualized violent crime rate mid-year 2011–2021 Notes: The violent crime rate includes reported homicides, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assault. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates, v2020, 2019-2020 Figure 2 Number of homicides January - June 2019, 2020, and 2021 Notes: The property crime rate includes reported burglaries, larceny thefts, and motor vehicle thefts. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates, v2020, 2019-2020 3.40 3.68 3.39 3.34 3.26 3.26 3.28 3.31 3.33 3.20 3.64 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021Rate per 1,000 population5 6 6 6 8 77 3 11 12 10 10 7 10 3 9 11 13 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 2019 2020 2021 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 13 of 33 Figure 3 Percent change in number of reported rapes in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG Figure 4 Percent change in number of reported robberies in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG -29% -3% 19% 59% 80% 43% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun -15% 7% -22% -15% 7% 4% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 14 of 33 Figure 5 Percent change in number of reported aggravated assaults in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG Figure 6 Percent change in number of reported domestic violence incidents in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG 21%21% 27% 19%19% 15% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun -1% -6% 5% 9%10% 14% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 15 of 33 Figure 7 Annualized property crime rate mid-year 2011–2021 Notes: The property crime rate includes reported burglaries, larceny thefts, and motor vehicle thefts. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates, v2020, 2019-2020 Figure 8 Percent change in number of reported residential and non-residential burglaries in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG 19.82 21.27 21.88 18.99 18.65 19.21 17.22 16.67 16.31 14.67 16.17 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021Rate per 1,000 population-19% -14% -8%-5% 9% 24% 38%40% -3% -25% -19% -26% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Residential Non-Residential Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 16 of 33 Figure 9 Percent change in number of reported larcenies in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG Figure 10 Percent change in number of reported motor vehicle thefts in the San Diego region, mid-year 2020–2021 Sources: SANDAG 8% -2% 6% 16% 21% 16% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 37% 24% 12% 27% 24% 3% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 17 of 33 Table 1 FBI Index Offenses San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017–2021 2020–2021 Violent crime Homicide 42 54 48 14% -11% Rape 534 433 532 <-1% 23% Robbery 1,440 1,268 1,177 -18% -7% Aggravated assault 3,412 3,598 4,323 27% 20% Domestic Violence 8,449 8,496 8,936 6% 5% Violent crime - Total 5,428 5,353 6,080 12% 14% Property crime Burglary - Total 4,760 3,636 3,525 -26% -3% Residential 2,631 1,673 1,606 -39% -4% Non-Residential 2,129 1,963 1,919 -10% -2% Larceny - Total 18,903 16,355 18,036 -5% 10% Over $400 7,401 7,385 9,264 25% 25% $400 and under 11,502 8,970 8,772 -24% -2% Larceny - Total 18,903 16,355 18,036 -5% 10% Purse Snatch/Pickpocket 96 137 96 0% -30% Shoplift 2,773 1,952 1,697 -39% -13% From Motor Vehicles 7,670 6,603 7,615 -1% 15% Motor Vehicle Parts/Access. 732 782 1,456 99% 86% Bicycle Theft 1,192 1,127 1,273 7% 13% From Buildings 4,297 3,998 4,126 -4% 3% Coin-Ops and Others 2,143 1,756 1,773 -17% 1% Motor Vehicle Theft 4,814 4,527 5,462 13% 21% Total Property Crimes 28,477 24,518 27,023 -5% 10% Total FBI Index 33,905 29,871 33,103 -2% 11% Total CCI 15,002 13,516 15,067 <1% 11% Note: The FBI Index of crimes include homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault in the violent category; and burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft in the property category. The California Crime Index (CCI) includes all FBI Index offenses except larceny. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 18 of 33 Table 2 Annualized FBI Index Crime rates per 1,000 population by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 19.82 16.49 19.78 <-1% 20% Chula Vista 17.19 15.25 16.29 -5% 7% Coronado 17.06 11.41 17.21 1% 51% El Cajon 26.92 23.01 22.47 -17% -2% Escondido 20.02 20.18 20.80 4% 3% La Mesa 26.01 19.61 21.71 -17% 11% National City 24.15 24.19 26.44 9% 9% Oceanside 27.58 22.35 23.62 -14% 6% San Diego 22.32 20.27 23.48 5% 16% Sheriff - Total 15.12 11.88 12.88 -15% 8% Del Mar 40.73 18.28 22.49 -45% 23% Encinitas 16.86 12.61 17.53 4% 39% Imperial Beach 19.12 12.69 12.69 -34% 0% Lemon Grove 30.52 21.49 24.43 -20% 14% Poway 12.77 8.84 9.28 -27% 5% San Marcos 15.16 11.79 10.70 -29% -9% Santee 17.42 10.79 11.03 -37% 2% Solana Beach 19.07 8.24 16.91 -11% 105% Vista 18.36 16.56 14.20 -23% -14% Unincorporated 11.71 9.67 11.39 -3% 18% 4S Ranch 8.60 6.86 4.99 -42% -27% Alpine 9.11 8.38 11.11 22% 33% Fallbrook 10.70 13.73 15.37 44% 12% Lakeside 11.63 9.24 8.47 -27% -8% Ramona 7.81 5.49 6.92 -11% 26% Spring Valley 16.49 14.93 13.77 -16% -8% Valley Center 19.62 11.85 21.39 9% 81% Total 20.51 17.87 19.80 -3% 11% Note: The FBI Crime Index include homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. "Sheriff- Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates v2020, 2019-2020 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 19 of 33 Table 3 Annualized FBI Index Violent Crime rates per 1,000 population by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 1.88 1.89 1.83 -3% -3% Chula Vista 2.83 3.11 3.61 28% 16% Coronado 0.91 0.56 0.84 -- -- El Cajon 3.64 4.62 5.04 38% 9% Escondido 3.32 3.74 3.40 2% -9% La Mesa 3.15 2.27 3.00 -5% 32% National City 4.23 5.19 5.80 37% 12% Oceanside 3.78 3.89 4.30 14% 11% San Diego 3.58 3.38 4.05 13% 20% Sheriff - Total 3.04 2.71 2.89 -5% 7% Del Mar 2.34 2.34 1.41 -- -- Encinitas 1.64 1.93 2.15 31% 11% Imperial Beach 5.14 2.85 3.49 -32% 22% Lemon Grove 6.51 5.50 6.41 -2% 17% Poway 1.09 1.01 1.50 -- -- San Marcos 2.28 1.85 2.08 -9% 12% Santee 2.65 2.72 2.45 -8% -10% Solana Beach 1.31 1.01 1.45 -- -- Vista 3.71 3.59 3.48 -6% -3% Unincorporated 2.52 2.31 2.46 -2% 6% 4S Ranch 0.51 0.18 0.36 -- -- Alpine 1.78 2.44 1.75 -- -- Fallbrook 2.65 1.87 2.25 -15% 20% Lakeside 2.66 2.90 2.49 -6% -14% Ramona 1.90 1.60 1.60 -- -- Spring Valley 4.80 4.21 4.50 -6% 7% Valley Center 4.82 2.73 2.81 -42% 9% Total 3.28 3.20 3.64 11% 14% Note: The FBI Crime Index Violent Crime include homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Percent changes are not presented if either comparison number used to compute the crime rate equals 30 or less. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates v2020, 2019-2020 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 20 of 33 Table 4 Annualized FBI Index Property Crime rates per 1,000 population by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 17.95 14.61 17.94 <-1% 23% Chula Vista 14.36 12.15 12.68 -12% 4% Coronado 16.16 10.85 16.37 1% 51% El Cajon 23.28 18.39 17.43 -25% -5% Escondido 16.71 16.44 17.40 4% 6% La Mesa 22.86 17.34 18.71 -18% 8% National City 19.92 19.00 20.64 4% 9% Oceanside 23.79 18.46 19.32 -19% 5% San Diego 18.74 16.89 19.43 4% 15% Sheriff - Total 12.08 9.17 9.99 -17% 9% Del Mar 38.39 15.93 21.09 -45% 32% Encinitas 15.22 10.68 15.37 1% 44% Imperial Beach 13.98 9.84 9.20 -34% -7% Lemon Grove 24.01 15.98 18.02 -25% 13% Poway 11.68 7.82 7.78 -33% -1% San Marcos 12.89 9.94 8.62 -33% -13% Santee 14.77 8.07 8.59 -42% 6% Solana Beach 17.76 7.23 15.46 -13% 114% Vista 14.64 12.96 10.73 -27% -17% Unincorporated 9.19 7.36 8.92 -3% 21% 4S Ranch 8.09 6.68 4.63 -43% -31% Alpine 7.33 5.94 9.36 28% 58% Fallbrook 8.05 11.86 13.12 63% 11% Lakeside 8.97 6.34 5.98 -33% -6% Ramona 5.91 3.89 5.32 -10% 37% Spring Valley 11.69 10.72 9.28 -21% -13% Valley Center 14.80 9.12 18.58 26% 104% Total 17.22 14.67 16.17 -6% 10% Note: The FBI Crime Index Property Crime include burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates v2020, 2019-2020 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 21 of 33 Table 5 FBI Index Crimes by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 1,120 944 1,132 1% 20% Chula Vista 2,283 2,076 2,217 -3% 7% Coronado 207 122 184 -11% 51% El Cajon 1,396 1,201 1,173 -16% -2% Escondido 1,521 1,544 1,591 5% 3% La Mesa 777 588 651 -16% 11% National City 742 751 821 11% 9% Oceanside 2,434 1,982 2,094 -14% 6% San Diego 15,688 14,497 16,792 7% 16% Sheriff - Total 6,824 5,376 5,829 -15% 8% Del Mar 87 39 48 -45% 23% Encinitas 524 392 545 4% 39% Imperial Beach 264 178 178 -33% 0% Lemon Grove 403 285 324 -20% 14% Poway 315 218 229 -27% 5% San Marcos 712 573 520 -27% -9% Santee 493 313 320 -35% 2% Solana Beach 131 57 117 -11% 105% Vista 935 852 731 -22% -14% Unincorporated 2,732 2,237 2,634 -4% 18% 4S Ranch 101 77 56 -45% -27% Alpine 133 120 159 20% 33% Fallbrook 287 360 403 40% 12% Lakeside 324 252 231 -29% -8% Ramona 140 96 121 -14% 26% Spring Valley 605 528 487 -20% -8% Valley Center 236 139 251 6% 81% Other Sheriff 228 232 183 -20% -21% California Highway Patrol 72 111 79 10% -29% Calif. State University San Marcos 11 10 6 -- -- San Diego State University 258 145 70 -73% -52% University of California San Diego 320 250 158 -51% -37% San Diego Harbor Police 215 249 287 33% 15% California State Parks 37 26 19 -- -- Total 33,905 29,871 33,103 -2% 11% Note: The FBI Crime Index include homicide, rape, robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Percent changes are not presented if either comparison number used to compute the crime rate equals 30 or less. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 22 of 33 Table 6 FBI Index Violent Crimes by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 106 108 105 -1% -3% Chula Vista 376 423 491 31% 16% Coronado 11 6 9 -- -- El Cajon 189 241 263 39% 9% Escondido 252 286 260 3% -9% La Mesa 94 68 90 -4% 32% National City 130 161 180 38% 12% Oceanside 334 345 381 14% 10% San Diego 2,515 2,419 2,897 15% 20% Sheriff - Total 1,373 1,225 1,308 -5% 7% Del Mar 5 5 3 -- -- Encinitas 51 60 67 31% 12% Imperial Beach 71 40 49 -31% 23% Lemon Grove 86 73 85 -1% 16% Poway 27 25 37 -- -- San Marcos 107 90 101 -6% 12% Santee 75 79 71 -5% -10% Solana Beach 9 7 10 -- -- Vista 189 185 179 -5% -3% Unincorporated 587 534 570 -3% 7% 4S Ranch 6 2 4 -- -- Alpine 26 35 25 -- -- Fallbrook 71 49 59 -17% 20% Lakeside 74 79 68 -8% -14% Ramona 34 28 28 -- -- Spring Valley 176 149 159 -10% 7% Valley Center 58 32 33 -43% 3% Other Sheriff 166 128 136 -18% 6% California Highway Patrol 7 14 14 -- -- Calif. State University San Marcos 3 0 1 -- -- San Diego State University 9 8 7 -- -- University of California San Diego 5 8 3 -- -- San Diego Harbor Police 22 36 70 -- 94% California State Parks 2 5 1 -- -- Total 5,428 5,353 6,080 12% 14% Note: The FBI Index Violent Crimes include homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Percent changes are not presented if either comparison number used to compute the crime rate equals 30 or less. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 23 of 33 Table 7 FBI Index Property Crimes by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 1,014 836 1,027 1% 23% Chula Vista 1,907 1,653 1,726 -9% 4% Coronado 196 116 175 -11% 51% El Cajon 1,207 960 910 -25% -5% Escondido 1,269 1,258 1,331 5% 6% La Mesa 683 520 561 -18% 8% National City 612 590 641 5% 9% Oceanside 2,100 1,637 1,713 -18% 5% San Diego 13,173 12,078 13,895 5% 15% Sheriff - Total 5,451 4,150 4,521 -17% 9% Del Mar 82 34 45 -45% 32% Encinitas 473 332 478 1% 44% Imperial Beach 193 138 129 -33% -7% Lemon Grove 317 212 239 -25% 13% Poway 288 193 192 -33% -1% San Marcos 605 483 419 -31% -13% Santee 418 234 249 -40% 6% Solana Beach 122 50 107 -12% 114% Vista 746 667 552 -26% -17% Unincorporated 2,145 1,703 2,064 -4% 21% 4S Ranch 95 75 52 -45% -31% Alpine 107 85 134 25% 58% Fallbrook 216 311 344 59% 11% Lakeside 250 173 163 -35% -6% Ramona 106 68 93 -12% 37% Spring Valley 429 379 328 -24% -13% Valley Center 178 107 218 22% 104% Other Sheriff 62 104 47 -24% -55% California Highway Patrol 65 97 65 0% -33% Calif. State University San Marcos 8 10 5 -- -- San Diego State University 249 137 63 -75% -54% University of California San Diego 315 242 155 -51% -36% San Diego Harbor Police 193 213 217 12% 2% California State Parks 35 21 18 -- -- Total 28,477 24,518 27,023 -5% 10% Note: The FBI Crime Index Property include burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District; and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The annualized crime rate per 1,000 population reflects the number of incidents reported in the first six months of the year, times two, divided by the population which has been divided by 1,000. Percent changes are not presented if either comparison number used to compute the crime rate equals 30 or less. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 24 of 33 Table 8 Number of crimes by offense San Diego region, mid-year 2011–2021 Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated assault Total violent crime Residential burglary Non- residential burglary Total burglary Larceny over $400 Larceny $400 & under Total larceny Motor vehicle theft Total property crime FBI crime index Calif. crime index Population 2011 51 298 1,445 3,527 5,321 3,751 2,323 6,074 7,853 11,822 19,675 5,232 30,981 36,302 16,627 3,125,621 2012 64 377 1,529 3,843 5,813 4,613 2,233 6,846 8,489 12,569 21,058 5,716 33,620 39,433 18,375 3,161,809 2013 41 314 1,473 3,602 5,430 4,291 2,626 6,917 9,468 12,969 22,437 5,656 35,010 40,440 18,003 3,199,901 2014 39 377 1,331 3,655 5,402 3,568 2,176 5,744 7,959 11,982 19,941 5,003 30,688 36,090 16,149 3,232,763 2015 43 511 1,337 3,439 5,330 3,175 1,837 5,012 8,288 12,369 20,657 4,778 30,447 35,777 15,120 3,265,039 2016 49 550 1,389 3,373 5,361 3,371 1,883 5,254 8,748 12,041 20,789 5,504 31,547 36,908 16,119 3,285,151 2017 42 534 1440 3412 5,428 2,631 2,129 4,760 7,401 11,502 18,903 4,814 28,477 33,905 15,002 3,306,890 2018 40 604 1,346 3,518 5,508 2,263 1,868 4,131 8,360 10,556 18,916 4,681 27,728 33,236 14,320 3,326,317 2019 38 539 1,410 3,572 5,559 2,057 1,787 3,844 8,560 10,251 18,811 4,584 27,239 32,798 13,987 3,340,302 2020 54 433 1,268 3,598 5,353 1,673 1,963 3,636 7,385 8,970 16,355 4,527 24,518 29,871 13,516 3,343,349 2021 48 532 1,177 4,323 6,080 1,606 1,919 3,525 9,264 8,772 18,036 5,462 27,023 33,103 15,067 3,343,349 Note: The FBI Crime Index includes homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault in the violent category and burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft in the property category. The California Crime Index (CCI) includes all FBI Index crimes except larceny. Sources: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 25 of 33 Table 9 Number of crimes by offense by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017 Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated assault Residential burglary Non- residential burglary Total burglary Larceny over $400 Larceny $400 and under Total larceny Motor vehicle theft Arson FBI crime index Calif. crime index Carlsbad 0 16 17 73 96 108 204 313 432 745 65 7 1,120 375 Chula Vista 0 30 138 208 201 112 313 521 723 1,244 350 13 2,283 1,039 Coronado 0 0 2 9 12 5 17 89 76 165 14 1 207 42 El Cajon 0 24 62 103 126 105 231 278 479 757 219 6 1,396 639 Escondido 3 21 68 160 98 117 215 271 606 877 177 9 1,521 644 La Mesa 1 4 26 63 56 54 110 182 277 459 114 3 777 318 National City 2 15 52 61 39 35 74 144 200 344 194 6 742 398 Oceanside 4 36 82 212 165 152 317 524 1,044 1,568 215 16 2,434 866 San Diego 17 265 694 1,539 1,196 836 2,032 3,359 5,193 8,552 2,589 81 15,688 7,136 Sheriff - Total 15 116 289 953 626 557 1,183 1,414 2,031 3,445 823 26 6,824 3,379 Del Mar 0 0 0 5 13 8 21 35 21 56 5 0 87 31 Encinitas 0 7 15 29 55 58 113 148 178 326 34 1 524 198 Imperial Beach 0 4 15 52 28 10 38 44 70 114 41 0 264 150 Lemon Grove 1 1 31 53 30 21 51 60 145 205 61 0 403 198 Poway 0 1 6 20 27 49 76 82 105 187 25 1 315 128 San Marcos 0 14 28 65 41 72 113 151 266 417 75 0 712 295 Santee 0 6 23 46 32 37 69 87 212 299 50 0 493 194 Solana Beach 0 2 3 4 10 24 34 46 35 81 7 0 131 50 Vista 4 22 54 109 80 79 159 169 291 460 127 7 935 475 Unincorporated 10 48 108 421 310 192 502 579 681 1,260 383 17 2,732 1,472 4S Ranch 0 2 0 4 7 14 21 38 29 67 7 0 101 34 Alpine 1 1 3 21 8 11 19 22 41 63 25 0 133 70 Fallbrook 0 6 13 52 43 28 71 53 58 111 34 0 287 176 Lakeside 0 3 7 64 18 26 44 73 74 147 59 0 324 177 Ramona 0 3 5 26 16 14 30 26 37 63 13 0 140 77 Spring Valley 2 11 49 114 57 30 87 90 157 247 95 0 605 358 Valley Center 4 8 5 41 19 23 42 66 46 112 24 0 236 124 Other Sheriff 0 11 6 149 0 7 7 13 27 40 15 0 228 188 California Highway Patrol 0 1 0 6 1 6 7 6 18 24 34 0 72 48 Calif. State University San Marcos 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 8 0 1 11 3 San Diego State University 0 0 8 1 13 13 26 59 160 219 4 1 258 39 University of California San Diego 0 1 0 4 1 11 12 115 180 295 8 5 320 25 San Diego Harbor Police 0 2 2 18 1 15 16 114 62 176 1 0 215 39 California State Parks 0 0 0 2 0 3 3 10 15 25 7 1 37 12 Total 42 534 1,440 3,412 2,631 2,129 4,760 7,401 11,502 18,903 4,814 176 33,905 15,002 Note: The FBI Crime Index includes homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault in the violent category and burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft in the property category. The California Crime Index (CCI) includes all FBI Index crimes except larceny. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista); and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 26 of 33 Table 10 Number of crimes by offense by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2020 Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated assault Residential burglary Non- residential burglary Total burglary Larceny over $400 Larceny $400 and under Total larceny Motor vehicle theft Arson FBI crime index Calif. crime index Carlsbad 1 7 14 86 53 52 105 293 373 666 65 0 944 278 Chula Vista 6 21 162 234 118 157 275 435 594 1,029 349 30 2,076 1,047 Coronado 0 2 2 2 5 6 11 48 44 92 13 0 122 30 El Cajon 3 13 55 170 71 84 155 198 420 618 187 17 1,201 583 Escondido 3 26 55 202 72 120 192 370 522 892 174 11 1,544 652 La Mesa 0 4 32 32 45 87 132 127 187 314 74 5 588 274 National City 1 5 52 103 24 41 65 162 220 382 143 3 751 369 Oceanside 4 32 64 245 115 105 220 440 787 1,227 190 24 1,982 755 San Diego 27 226 596 1,570 827 802 1,629 3,976 3,993 7,969 2,480 111 14,497 6,528 Sheriff - Total 9 89 230 897 327 410 737 1,119 1,552 2,671 742 55 5,376 2,705 Del Mar 0 3 0 2 5 4 9 10 9 19 6 0 39 20 Encinitas 0 4 15 41 33 34 67 113 127 240 25 2 392 152 Imperial Beach 1 4 8 27 10 1 11 35 55 90 37 1 178 88 Lemon Grove 2 5 27 39 9 12 21 42 101 143 48 1 285 142 Poway 0 1 9 15 8 28 36 64 78 142 15 4 218 76 San Marcos 0 6 15 69 29 51 80 143 184 327 76 5 573 246 Santee 0 3 15 61 13 14 27 67 114 181 26 1 313 132 Solana Beach 0 0 4 3 6 2 8 24 14 38 4 0 57 19 Vista 1 14 44 126 34 64 98 145 276 421 148 7 852 431 Unincorporated 5 34 90 405 179 194 373 453 583 1,036 294 34 2,237 1,201 4S Ranch 0 0 0 2 2 8 9 34 30 64 2 0 77 13 Alpine 0 3 2 30 8 16 24 30 18 48 13 0 120 72 Fallbrook 0 3 14 32 33 65 98 62 112 174 39 0 360 186 Lakeside 1 3 9 66 20 13 33 43 0 99 41 0 252 153 Ramona 0 3 3 22 5 10 15 14 26 40 13 0 96 56 Spring Valley 2 8 33 106 33 31 64 72 0 198 117 0 528 330 Valley Center 0 2 3 27 10 5 15 41 37 78 14 0 139 61 Other Sheriff 1 15 3 109 1 6 7 23 11 34 63 0 232 198 California Highway Patrol 0 0 0 14 1 0 1 7 17 24 72 0 111 87 Calif. State University San Marcos 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 3 7 1 0 10 3 San Diego State University 0 2 2 4 11 29 40 27 59 86 11 0 145 59 University of California San Diego 0 3 1 4 3 24 27 75 117 192 23 0 250 58 San Diego Harbor Police 0 3 3 30 1 38 39 96 75 171 3 1 249 78 California State Parks 0 0 0 5 0 6 6 8 7 15 0 0 26 11 Total 54 433 1,268 3,598 1,673 1,963 3,636 7,385 8,970 16,355 4,527 257 29,871 13,516 Note: The FBI Crime Index includes homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault in the violent category and burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft in the property category. The California Crime Index (CCI) includes all FBI Index crimes except larceny. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista); and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 27 of 33 Table 11 Number of crimes by offense by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2021 Homicide Rape Robbery Aggravated assault Residential burglary Non- residential burglary Total burglary Larceny over $400 Larceny $400 and under Total larceny Motor vehicle theft Arson FBI crime index Calif. crime index Carlsbad 1 15 16 73 49 88 137 341 463 804 86 12 1,132 328 Chula Vista 5 29 137 320 94 98 192 525 541 1,066 468 26 2,217 1,151 Coronado 0 4 2 3 32 16 48 60 43 103 24 0 184 81 El Cajon 2 24 55 182 36 64 100 284 351 635 175 16 1,173 538 Escondido 0 21 72 167 43 105 148 410 500 910 273 17 1,591 681 La Mesa 1 6 19 64 55 36 91 197 186 383 87 5 650 267 National City 1 9 45 125 21 48 69 214 197 411 161 9 821 410 Oceanside 4 50 76 251 104 95 199 589 741 1,330 184 17 2,094 764 San Diego 26 284 538 2,049 811 840 1,651 5,069 4,147 9,216 3,028 86 16,792 7,576 Sheriff - Total 8 83 203 1,014 354 472 826 1,380 1,407 2,787 908 40 5,829 3,042 Del Mar 0 1 0 2 3 5 8 22 14 36 1 0 48 12 Encinitas 0 7 13 47 50 38 88 183 162 345 45 1 545 200 Imperial Beach 0 4 11 34 13 5 18 31 29 60 51 1 178 118 Lemon Grove 1 2 23 59 14 23 37 68 79 147 55 1 324 177 Poway 0 8 11 18 9 29 38 67 63 130 24 2 229 99 San Marcos 1 8 21 71 17 49 66 119 155 274 79 0 520 246 Santee 0 0 21 50 17 25 42 70 109 179 28 3 320 141 Solana Beach 1 3 1 5 5 27 32 36 25 61 14 0 117 56 Vista 0 13 35 131 40 60 100 178 164 342 110 5 731 389 Unincorporated 5 35 64 466 184 208 392 599 596 1,195 477 27 2,634 1,439 4S Ranch 0 2 1 1 5 10 15 17 16 33 4 0 56 23 Alpine 0 3 0 22 15 10 25 49 36 85 24 0 159 74 Fallbrook 0 5 8 46 29 52 81 98 106 204 59 0 403 199 Lakeside 0 1 12 55 17 6 23 45 0 93 47 0 231 138 Ramona 1 1 1 25 3 10 13 25 35 60 20 0 121 61 Spring Valley 2 6 16 135 19 38 57 80 0 181 90 0 487 306 Valley Center 0 1 4 28 16 20 36 79 46 125 57 0 251 126 Other Sheriff 0 2 3 131 2 3 5 7 11 18 24 0 183 165 California Highway Patrol 0 0 1 13 0 1 1 1 13 14 50 0 79 65 Calif. State University San Marcos 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 4 1 0 6 2 San Diego State University 0 1 2 4 5 21 26 11 21 32 5 1 70 38 University of California San Diego 0 0 0 3 2 8 10 65 70 135 10 1 158 23 San Diego Harbor Police 0 6 10 54 0 26 26 108 81 189 2 3 287 98 California State Parks 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 9 8 17 0 0 19 2 Total 48 532 1,177 4,323 1,606 1,919 3,525 9,264 8,772 18,036 5,462 233 33,103 15,067 Note: The FBI Crime Index includes homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault in the violent category and burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft in the property category. The California Crime Index (CCI) includes all FBI Index crimes except larceny. "Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department, as well as crime reported in the Sheriff's "other" category that includes the Sheriff's detention facilities, courts staffed by the Sheriff, and crimes reported to the Sheriff that were determined to have occurred in a city not served by the Sheriff or at a location for which jurisdiction could not be determined. As of September 2013, the Sheriff's "other" category also included crimes occurring in the Grossmont/Cuyamaca Community College District. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch (began reporting separately July 2007), Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista); and in May 2014, it included the San Diego County Administration building and surrounding park area. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 28 of 33 Table 12 Number of domestic violence incidents reported by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020 2021 2017-2021 2020-2021 Carlsbad 222 231 282 27% 22% Chula Vista 621 700 742 19% 6% Coronado 24 22 18 -- -- El Cajon 422 532 529 25% -1% Escondido 531 523 498 -6% -5% La Mesa 275 203 282 3% 39% National City 219 347 347 58% 0% Oceanside 486 461 453 -7% -2% San Diego 3521 3304 3490 -1% 6% Sheriff - Total 2068 2129 2230 8% 5% Del Mar 8 3 3 -- -- Encinitas 94 63 104 11% 65% Imperial Beach 94 85 107 14% 26% Lemon Grove 92 94 110 20% 17% Poway 50 62 62 24% 0% San Marcos 147 162 182 24% 12% Santee 126 142 123 -2% -13% Solana Beach 10 17 17 -- -- Vista 291 328 297 2% -9% Unincorporated 1156 1173 1225 6% 4% Total 8,449 8,496 8,936 6% 5% Note: “Sheriff-Total" includes the contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department. Camp Pendleton is not included. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch, Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas for which crime data are not individually shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). The individual unincorporated areas in the Sheriff's jurisdiction are not required to report domestic violence to the State Department of Justice. Region total includes a relatively small number of incidents reported by the San Diego Harbor Police, California Highway Patrol, California State Parks, California State University San Marcos, San Diego State University, and University of California San Diego. Percent changes are not presented if either comparison number equals 30 or less. Source: SANDAG Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 29 of 33 Table 13 Population by jurisdiction San Diego region, mid-year 2017, 2020, and 2021 Change 2017 2020–2021 2017–2022 Carlsbad 112,990 114,463 1% Chula Vista 265,673 272,202 2% Coronado 24,262 21,381 -12% El Cajon 103,706 104,393 1% Escondido 151,916 153,008 1% La Mesa 59,756 59,966 <1% National City 61,456 62,099 1% Oceanside 176,525 177,335 <1% San Diego 1,405,702 1,430,483 2% Sheriff - Total 902,560 905,052 <1% Del Mar 4,272 4,268 <-1% Encinitas 62,151 62,183 <1% Imperial Beach 27,613 28,055 2% Lemon Grove 26,408 26,526 <1% Poway 49,325 49,338 <1% San Marcos 93,906 97,209 4% Santee 56,595 57,999 2% Solana Beach 13,737 13,838 1% Vista 101,879 102,928 1% Unincorporated 466,674 462,708 -1% 4S Ranch 23,492 22,457 -4% Alpine 29,206 28,632 -2% Fallbrook 53,635 52,456 -2% Lakeside 55,717 54,540 -2% Ramona 35,845 34,965 -2% Spring Valley 73,395 70,708 -4% Valley Center 24,062 23,465 -2% Camp Pendleton 42,344 42,967 1% Total 3,306,890 3,343,349 1% Note: Populations used to compute crime rates reflect the most current finalized California Department of Finance estimates. "Sheriff-Total" includes contract cities and the unincorporated area served by the San Diego County Sheriff's Department. Pendleton population is excluded from Sheriff's unincorporated area and included in the region total. "Unincorporated" includes 4S Ranch, Alpine, Fallbrook, Lakeside, Ramona, Spring Valley, and Valley Center, as well as the unincorporated areas not shown (Campo, Julian, Pine Valley, Ranchita, and the unincorporated areas of Encinitas, Imperial Beach, Lemon Grove, Poway, San Marcos, Santee, and Vista). Sources: California Department of Finance; SANDAG Population and Housing Estimates v2020, 2019-2020 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 30 of 33 CJFLASH Research findings fromthe Criminal Justice Clearinghouse 401 B STREET, SUITE 800 | SAN DIEGO, CA 92101-4231 | T (619) 699-1900 | F (619) 699-6905 | SANDAG.ORG/CJ VOLUME 23 ISSUE 6 On a bi-annual basis, SANDAG works with local law enforcement agencies to compile regional crime statistics that are reported to the FBI through the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program. With the release of data highlighting crime numbers for the first six months of 2021, this CJ Flash highlights some of the key findings, including how numbers have changed, both compared to the previous year (2020), as well as the same months in 2019, prior to the pandemic. CRIME IN THE SAN DIEGO REGION DURING THE FIRST HALF OF 2021 Figure 1 How Many Crimes Were Reported to Law Enforcement in the San Diego Region in the First Six Months of 2021, Compared to 2019 and 2020 Highlight 1 There are four violent crimes here (homicide, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) and three property (burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft) that are tracked as part of UCR statistics. While violent and property crime rates were both higher in the first half of 2021, compared to 2020 (14% and 10%, respectively), it is important to note that not all crimes increased or increased to the same degree. In addition, some crimes increased compared to last year when the stay-home order went into effect, but were around what they were, or lower than they were, prior to the pandemic. As Figure 1 shows: •the number of robberies (-17% in 2019 and -7% in 2020) and residential burglaries (-22% and -4%, respectively) reported to date in 2021 were lower than the number reported in both previous comparison years •there were fewer homicides (-11%) and non-residential burglaries (-2%) in 2021, compared to 2020, but more compared to 2019 (26% and 7%, respectively) •rapes (23%) and larcenies (10%) both increased in number from 2020 to 2021, which could reflect less opportunity with the stay-home order, but were less than they were in 2019 (-1% and -4%, respectively) •more aggravated assaults and motor vehicle thefts were reported at mid-year 2021 than in both 2020 (20% and 21%), and as in 2019 (21% and 19%) Down compared to 2019 and 2020 Robbery Residential Burglary Down compared to 2019, Up from 2020 Rape Larceny Up compared to 2019, Down from 2020 Homicide Non-Residential Burglary Up compared to 2019 and 2020 Aggravated Assault Motor Vehicle Theft Exhibit 2 Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 31 of 33 CJ Flash – Crime in the San Diego Region During the First Half of 2021 2 CJFLASH Highlight 2 Aggravated assault, which involve assaults either with a weapon or that result in great bodily injury, was the crime that increased the most in number from both 2019 (21%) and 2020 (20%). As Figure 2 shows, there have been a greater number of aggravated assaults reported each month to date in 2021, compared to the two previous years. In addition, aggravated assaults that involved the use of a firearm increased to an even larger degree (up 55% from both comparison years). In 2019 and 2020, 14% of aggravated assaults involved the use of a firearm, compared to 18% in 2021 (not shown). Highlight 3 During the stay-home order, SANDAG reported that residential burglaries were down, and non-residential burglaries were up, compared to 2019, which is consistent with more people staying home and fewer businesses open for business. How have the frequencies of these crimes changed more recently? As Figure 3 shows, 2019 consistently saw the greatest numbers of residential burglaries during the first six months of the year, with fewer and decreasing numbers during the first half of 2020. For 2021, there were fewer residential burglaries each month through April, with more being reported in May and June, consistent with a greater number of individuals possibly returning to work and engaging in more activities outside the home. Figure 2 Number of Aggravated Assaults Reported to Local Law Enforcement January to June 2019, 2020, and 2021 in the San Diego Region Figure 3 Number of Residential Burglaries Reported to Local Law Enforcement January to June 2019, 2020, and 2021 in the San Diego Region Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 32 of 33 CJ Flash – Crime in the San Diego Region During the First Half of 2021 3 CJFLASH Highlight 4 Larceny is the most common crime reported to law enforcement (54% of the UCR reported offenses) and increased ten percent from 2020 to 2021. However, it was four percent lower than it was in 2019 and the different larceny types did not show the same patterns of change, reflecting at least in part, opportunity to commit the different types of offenses. Theft of motor vehicle parts/accessories increased the most from mid-year 2020 to mid-year 2021 (86%, from 782 to 1,456), with double-digit increases also seen in theft from motor vehicles (15%), the most common type of larceny, and theft of bicycles (13%). Pickpocketing and shoplifting were lower over the past six months, compared to the first half of 2020 and there were small increases for theft from buildings and theft from coin-operated machines/other types of larcenies. Figure 5 Percent Change Mid-Year 2020-2021 by Larceny Type, San Diego Region Figure 4 Number of Non-Residential Burglaries Reported to Local Law Enforcement January to June 2019, 2020, and 2021 in the San Diego Region 6271 9/21 In comparison, non-residential burglaries showed a similar pattern for the first half of 2019 and 2020, although numbers were slightly higher in 2020. In 2021, there were a greater number of non-residential burglaries in January and February, compared to the two prior years, but a steady decline through April that resulted in fewer of these crimes reported between April and June. Oct. 19, 2021 Item #11 Page 33 of 33 2021 Mid-Year Crime Statistics Christie Calderwood, Police Captain Police Department October 19, 2021 {city of Carlsbad TODAY’S PRESENTATION •Overview of SANDAG Mid-Year Crime Stats •Crime Analysis and Response Model •Police Department Multi-Pronged Approach {city of Carlsbad SANDAG 2021 MID-YEAR CRIME STATISTICS •Highest increases in property crimes (burglary and auto theft) •Low crime rate in 2020 likely due to pandemic-unprecedented year •2021 crime rate is in line with previous years and has actually decreased in some areas 2 28 17 82 63 80 351 489 85 1 7 14 86 52 53 293 373 65 1 15 16 73 49 88 341 463 86 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 FBI Crime Index 2019 2020 2021 SA DAG 202 D-VEAR C E STAT STICS {city of Carlsbad Crime Analysis & Response Weekly meetings Weekly report department wide Quarterly meetings with Command Staff Collaboration between all units Future strategies & plans Crime Analysis and Response: A model for crime fighting and utilization of municipal police resources SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats ~ ll.l~-o o Wc::u::::lc {city of Carlsbad POLICE DEPARTMENT’S MULTI-PRONGED APPROACH COMMUNITY & LAW ENFORCEMENT PARTNERSHIPS DIRECTED ENFORCEMENT EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY TOOLS Community & Law Enforcement Partnerships •Employees embrace relationships with: •Residents •Businesses •Village Association, Chamber of Commerce, Equity Coalition, School districts, etc. •Other Law Enforcement entities SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats (city of Carlsbad Education •Social Media •“Coffee with a Cop” •Town hall meetings in each district •Webinars •School presentations •One-on-one conversations with residents, business owners and visitors SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats {city of Carlsbad Directed Enforcement •Patrol Division •Traffic Division •Investigations Division •Crime Analysts •Crime Suppression Team •Homeless Outreach Team SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats {city of Carlsbad Technology Tools •Body Worn Cameras •SkyWatch Tower •Surveillance Trailer •License Plate Readers •Mobile CAD system •Cameras in the Parks SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats ( City of Carlsbad SANDAG 2021 Mid-Year Crime Stats QUESTIONS? {city of Carlsbad