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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2021-12-16; Independent Redistricting Commission; ; Review of Draft MapsCA Review CKM Meeting Date: Dec. 16, 2021 To: Independent Redistricting Commission Staff Contact: Faviola Medina, City Clerk Services Manager faviola.medina@carlsbadca.gov, 760-434-5989 Subject: Review of Draft Maps Recommended Action Receive a presentation from National Demographics Corporation overviewing the draft maps submitted by members of the public received by December 1 and the draft maps prepared by National Demographics corporation and review next steps in the redistricting process. Any maps received by the public after December 1 will be presented at the Public Hearing in January. Fiscal Analysis This action has no fiscal impact. Environmental Evaluation In keeping with California Public Resources Code Section 21065, this action does not constitute a “project” within the meaning of the California Environmental Quality Act in that it has no potential to cause either a direct physical change in the environment or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment. Public Notification and Outreach This item was noticed in keeping with the Ralph M. Brown Act and it was available for public viewing and review at least 72 hours before the scheduled meeting date. Exhibits 1.Draft maps submitted by Dec. 1, 2021, by members of the public 2.Draft maps prepared by National Demographics Corporation 3.Carlsbad subdivision maps submitted by Chair Fabiano Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 1 of 33 City of Carlsbad Redistricting: Commission Meeting Review of Public Maps Prepared for the Carlsbad Independent Redistricting CommissionDecember 16, 2021Exhibit 1Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 2 of 33 2 DistrictR Maps as of December 1, 2021 Total Submitted:27 Summary: 4 Coast Districts: 10 3 Coastal Districts: 1 2 Coastal Districts: 9 1 Coastal District: 4 Non Compliant:1 Withdrawn: 2 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 3 of 33 3 Public Maps Coast Districts – 4 ID: 84695 Coast Districts – 4 ID: 69103 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 4 of 33 4 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 49635 Coast Districts – 4 Coast Districts – 4 ID: 79064 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 5 of 33 5 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 84698 Coast Districts – 4 ID: 84682 Coast Districts – 4 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 6 of 33 6 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 78343 Coast Districts – 4Coast Districts – 4Exhibit 1Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 7 of 33 7 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 79357 Coast Districts – 4 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 8 of 33 8 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 82160 Coast Districts – 3 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 9 of 33 9 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 80687 Coast Districts – 2 Coast Districts – 2 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 10 of 33 10 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 84815 Coast Districts – 2Coast Districts – 2 ID: 76607 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 11 of 33 11 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 75839 Coast Districts – 2 Coast Districts – 2 ID: 79085 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 12 of 33 12 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 87801 Coast Districts - 2 Coast Districts – 2 Public 201 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 13 of 33 13 Public Maps (Cont.) Coast District - 1 Coast District – 1 ID: 76634 Public Map 202 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 14 of 33 14 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 79103 Coast Districts – 1 ID: 80921 Coast Districts - 1 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 15 of 33 15 Public Maps (Cont.) ID: 44149 Non Compliant - Not Balanced Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 16 of 33 City of Carlsbad Redistricting: Commission Meeting NDC Draft Maps Prepared for the Carlsbad Independent Redistricting CommissionDecember 16, 2021Exhibit 2Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 17 of 33 2 Equal Population Federal Voting Rights Act No Racial Gerrymandering Minimize voters shifted to different election years Respect voters’ choices / continuity in office Future population growth Preserving the core of existing districts 1. Federal Laws 2. California Criteria for Cities 1. Geographically contiguous 2. Undivided neighborhoods and “communities of interest” (Socio-economic geographic areas that should be kept together) 3. Easily identifiable boundaries 4. Compact (Do not bypass one group of people to get to a more distant group of people) Prohibited: “Shall not favor or discriminate against a political party.” 3. Other Traditional Redistricting Principles Redistricting Rules and Goals Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 18 of 33 3 Current Map Ideal population is per district - 28,738 District 1: -3346 District 2: +1600 District 3: +1600 District 4: +147 Total Deviation +17.2%Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 19 of 33 4 Neighborhoods/ Communities of Interest •Beach/Coast •School districts •School attendance zones •4 Quadrants •Lagoons •Airport Area •Aviara •Calavera Hills •Carlsbad Village •La Costa •Olde Carlsbad •Poinsettia •Tamarack •South Coastal Carlsbad •Barrio •Bressi Ranch •Rancho Carrillo •Spinnaker •Seniors •Churches Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 20 of 33 5 NDC Draft Maps •4 Draft Maps options were developed •Considered input from the public at mapping workshops, public hearings and Commission meetings •Reviewed maps submitted by the public •Reviewed Carlsbad survey results •Incorporated direction from Commission members Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 21 of 33 6 NDC 101 District 1: -1002 District 2: -379 District 3: +629 District 4: +753 Ideal population is per district - 28,738 Total Deviation +6.11%Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 22 of 33 7 NDC 102 District 1: -1045 District 2: +1096 District 3: +552 District 4: -602 Ideal population is per district - 28,738 Total Deviation +7.45%Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 23 of 33 8 NDC 103 District 1: -16 District 2: +664 District 3: -151 District 4: -496 Ideal population is per district - 28,738 Total Deviation +4.04%Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 24 of 33 9 NDC 104 District 1: -158 District 2: +955 District 3: -206 District 4: -590 Ideal population is per district - 28,738 Total Deviation +5.38%Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 25 of 33 Feedback/Direction 10 Questions Regarding the Maps Feedback/Changes Regarding Maps Direction for Additional or Alternate Draft Maps for January Public Hearing Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 26 of 33 NDC 101 District 1 Total Pop 27,736 Deviation from ideal -1,002 % Deviation -3.49% % Hisp 20.1% % NH White 68% % NH Black 2% % Asian-American 6% Total 20,875 % Hisp 15% % NH White 76% % NH Black 2% % Asian/Pac.Isl.6% Total 19,469 % Latino est.13% % Spanish-Surnamed 12% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.83% % NH Black 1% Total 17,024 % Latino est.12% % Spanish-Surnamed 11% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.84% % NH Black 1% Total 13,297 % Latino est.11% % Spanish-Surnamed 10% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.85% % NH Black est.1% ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,758 age0-19 20% age20-60 56% age60plus 23% immigrants 12% naturalized 60% english 85% spanish 11% asian-lang 1% other lang 3% Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well"5% hs-grad 34% bachelor 30% graduatedegree 21% Child in Household child-under18 25% Pct of Pop. Age 16+employed 67% income 0-25k 11% income 25-50k 15% income 50-75k 16% income 75-200k 43% income 200k-plus 14% single family 55% multi-family 45% rented 55% owned 45% Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census. Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database. Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2015-2019 AmericanCommunity Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data. 2 28,359 -379 -1.32% 18% 62% 2% 14% 17,518 15% 71% 3% 10% 18,603 11% 10% 7% 1% 78% 3% 16,797 10% 10% 6% 1% 79% 3% 12,355 9% 8% 5% 1% 82% 3% 26,267 29% 50% 21% 18% 66% 78% 11% 5% 6% 8% 28% 31% 24% 38% 63% 10% 12% 12% 44% 22% 71% 29% 31% 69% 3 29,367 629 2.19% 12% 70% 2% 12% 22,615 9% 78% 1% 11% 21,289 8% 7% 6% 1% 85% 1% 19,431 7% 7% 6% 1% 85% 1% 15,149 7% 6% 5% 1% 87% 1% 30,945 26% 51% 23% 16% 72% 83% 6% 5% 6% 4% 25% 38% 26% 35% 66% 6% 10% 11% 46% 27% 76% 24% 30% 70% 4 29,491 753 2.62% 11% 75% 1% 10% 21,246 9% 83% 1% 7% 22,096 7% 6% 4% 1% 87% 1% 20,171 7% 6% 4% 1% 88% 1% 16,169 6% 6% 4% 1% 89% 1% 28,794 26% 48% 26% 13% 79% 86% 6% 4% 5% 4% 25% 36% 30% 36% 65% 5% 11% 9% 41% 33% 82% 18% 23% 77% Total 114,953 1,755 6.11% 15% 69% 2% 10% 82,254 12% 78% 2% 8% 81,457 9% 9% 5% 1% 84% 2% 73,423 9% 8% 5% 1% 84% 2% 56,970 8% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 112,763 25% 51% 24% 15% 69% 83% 8% 4% 5% 5% 28% 34% 26% 33% 65% 8% 12% 12% 44% 24% 71% 29% 35% 65% 11/26/2021 9:51 Page 1 of 1 Total Pop Citizen Voting Age Pop Voter Registration (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2018) Age Immigration Language spoken at home Education (among those age 25+) Household Income Housing Stats Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 27 of 33 NDC 102 District 1 Total Pop 27,693 Deviation from ideal -1,045 % Deviation -3.64% % Hisp 20.3% % NH White 68% % NH Black 2% % Asian-American 6% Total 20,425 % Hisp 15% % NH White 76% % NH Black 2% % Asian/Pac.Isl.5% Total 19,054 % Latino est.13% % Spanish-Surnamed 12% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.83% % NH Black 2% Total 16,630 % Latino est.12% % Spanish-Surnamed 11% % Asian-Surnamed 3% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.84% % NH Black 2% Total 12,791 % Latino est.11% % Spanish-Surnamed 10% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.85% % NH Black est.2% ACS Pop. Est.Total 26,212 age0-19 20% age20-60 56% age60plus 24% immigrants 12% naturalized 60% english 84% spanish 11% asian-lang 1% other lang 4% Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well"5% hs-grad 34% bachelor 30% graduatedegree 22% Child in Household child-under18 25% Pct of Pop. Age 16+employed 67% income 0-25k 12% income 25-50k 15% income 50-75k 16% income 75-200k 43% income 200k-plus 14% single family 53% multi-family 47% rented 57% owned 43% Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census. Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database. Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2015-2019 AmericanCommunity Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data. 2 29,834 1,096 3.81% 16% 65% 2% 14% 19,469 12% 74% 3% 10% 20,613 10% 9% 6% 1% 80% 3% 18,726 9% 9% 6% 1% 81% 3% 14,149 8% 8% 5% 1% 83% 3% 28,745 29% 50% 21% 17% 65% 79% 10% 5% 6% 7% 29% 33% 23% 39% 63% 9% 12% 12% 45% 21% 75% 25% 27% 73% 3 29,290 552 1.92% 15% 68% 2% 12% 21,963 11% 76% 1% 11% 20,649 9% 8% 6% 1% 84% 1% 18,713 8% 8% 6% 1% 84% 1% 14,563 7% 7% 5% 1% 86% 1% 30,374 25% 51% 24% 16% 72% 82% 6% 6% 6% 5% 25% 37% 27% 35% 66% 6% 11% 11% 45% 27% 74% 26% 31% 69% 4 28,136 -602 -2.09% 10% 76% 1% 10% 20,398 8% 84% 1% 7% 21,141 6% 6% 4% 1% 88% 0% 19,354 6% 6% 4% 1% 88% 0% 15,467 6% 5% 4% 1% 89% 0% 27,433 26% 48% 26% 13% 79% 86% 6% 4% 5% 4% 25% 36% 30% 36% 65% 5% 11% 9% 41% 34% 83% 17% 23% 77% Total 114,953 2,141 7.45% 15% 69% 2% 10% 82,254 12% 78% 2% 8% 81,457 9% 9% 5% 1% 84% 2% 73,423 9% 8% 5% 1% 84% 2% 56,970 8% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 112,763 25% 51% 24% 15% 69% 83% 8% 4% 5% 5% 28% 34% 26% 33% 65% 8% 12% 12% 44% 24% 71% 29% 35% 65% 11/26/2021 10:03 Page 1 of 1 Total Pop Citizen Voting Age Pop Voter Registration (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2018) Age Immigration Language spoken at home Education (among those age 25+) Household Income Housing Stats Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 28 of 33 NDC 103 District 1 Total Pop 28,722 Deviation from ideal -16 % Deviation -0.06% % Hisp 18.9% % NH White 69% % NH Black 2% % Asian-American 6% Total 21,777 % Hisp 14% % NH White 77% % NH Black 2% % Asian/Pac.Isl.5% Total 20,201 % Latino est.12% % Spanish-Surnamed 11% % Asian-Surnamed 3% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.83% % NH Black 2% Total 17,757 % Latino est.11% % Spanish-Surnamed 10% % Asian-Surnamed 3% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.84% % NH Black 2% Total 13,727 % Latino est.10% % Spanish-Surnamed 9% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 0% % NH White est.86% % NH Black est.2% ACS Pop. Est.Total 28,185 age0-19 21% age20-60 56% age60plus 23% immigrants 13% naturalized 61% english 84% spanish 11% asian-lang 1% other lang 4% Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well"5% hs-grad 31% bachelor 31% graduatedegree 23% Child in Household child-under18 26% Pct of Pop. Age 16+employed 67% income 0-25k 11% income 25-50k 14% income 50-75k 17% income 75-200k 42% income 200k-plus 16% single family 54% multi-family 46% rented 55% owned 45% Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census. Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database. Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2015-2019 AmericanCommunity Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data. 2 29,402 664 2.31% 15% 66% 2% 13% 19,071 11% 76% 2% 10% 20,166 10% 9% 6% 1% 81% 3% 18,259 9% 9% 6% 1% 81% 3% 13,750 8% 8% 5% 1% 83% 2% 27,358 28% 50% 22% 15% 65% 82% 7% 5% 7% 5% 31% 35% 22% 38% 65% 9% 11% 12% 46% 22% 79% 21% 25% 75% 3 28,587 -151 -0.53% 15% 68% 2% 12% 21,122 12% 76% 1% 11% 20,277 9% 8% 6% 1% 85% 1% 18,451 8% 7% 5% 1% 85% 1% 14,419 7% 7% 5% 1% 87% 1% 28,966 25% 49% 27% 16% 74% 80% 9% 6% 5% 6% 25% 36% 27% 31% 62% 8% 12% 11% 43% 25% 75% 25% 32% 68% 4 28,242 -496 -1.73% 11% 74% 2% 10% 20,284 8% 82% 1% 8% 20,813 7% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 18,956 7% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 15,074 6% 6% 4% 1% 88% 1% 28,254 28% 50% 22% 14% 77% 85% 6% 4% 5% 4% 25% 35% 30% 40% 68% 5% 10% 8% 43% 34% 80% 20% 25% 75% Total 114,953 1,160 4.04% 15% 69% 2% 10% 82,254 12% 78% 2% 8% 81,457 9% 9% 5% 1% 84% 2% 73,423 9% 8% 5% 1% 84% 2% 56,970 8% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 112,763 25% 51% 24% 15% 69% 83% 8% 4% 5% 5% 28% 34% 26% 33% 65% 8% 12% 12% 44% 24% 71% 29% 35% 65% 11/26/2021 21:00 Page 1 of 1 Total Pop Citizen Voting Age Pop Voter Registration (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2018) Age Immigration Language spoken at home Education (among those age 25+) Household Income Housing Stats Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 29 of 33 NDC 104 District 1 Total Pop 28,580 Deviation from ideal -158 % Deviation -0.55% % Hisp 18.2% % NH White 71% % NH Black 2% % Asian-American 6% Total 21,830 % Hisp 14% % NH White 78% % NH Black 2% % Asian/Pac.Isl.5% Total 20,568 % Latino est.11% % Spanish-Surnamed 11% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.85% % NH Black 1% Total 18,176 % Latino est.11% % Spanish-Surnamed 10% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.85% % NH Black 1% Total 14,224 % Latino est.10% % Spanish-Surnamed 9% % Asian-Surnamed 2% % Filipino-Surnamed 1% % NH White est.86% % NH Black est.1% ACS Pop. Est.Total 28,028 age0-19 20% age20-60 54% age60plus 26% immigrants 11% naturalized 61% english 85% spanish 11% asian-lang 1% other lang 3% Language Fluency Speaks Eng. "Less than Very Well"5% hs-grad 32% bachelor 31% graduatedegree 23% Child in Household child-under18 24% Pct of Pop. Age 16+employed 66% income 0-25k 11% income 25-50k 15% income 50-75k 16% income 75-200k 43% income 200k-plus 15% single family 60% multi-family 40% rented 52% owned 48% Total population data from the 2020 Decennial Census. Surname-based Voter Registration and Turnout data from the California Statewide Database. Latino voter registration and turnout data are Spanish-surname counts adjusted using Census Population Department undercount estimates. NH White and NH Black registration and turnout counts estimated by NDC. Citizen Voting Age Pop., Age, Immigration, and other demographics from the 2015-2019 AmericanCommunity Survey and Special Tabulation 5-year data. 2 29,693 955 3.32% 18% 63% 2% 13% 18,438 14% 72% 3% 10% 19,425 11% 10% 6% 1% 79% 3% 17,453 10% 10% 6% 1% 80% 3% 12,818 9% 9% 5% 1% 82% 3% 26,557 28% 51% 21% 17% 66% 81% 8% 5% 6% 6% 30% 32% 24% 37% 64% 10% 11% 12% 45% 21% 72% 28% 29% 71% 3 28,532 -206 -0.72% 13% 69% 2% 13% 21,768 10% 77% 1% 11% 20,700 8% 7% 6% 1% 85% 1% 18,886 7% 7% 6% 1% 86% 1% 14,892 7% 6% 5% 1% 87% 1% 30,041 25% 50% 25% 16% 71% 81% 8% 6% 5% 6% 25% 37% 26% 33% 64% 7% 12% 11% 43% 27% 74% 26% 31% 69% 4 28,148 -590 -2.05% 11% 74% 1% 10% 20,219 8% 82% 1% 8% 20,764 7% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 18,908 7% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 15,036 6% 6% 4% 1% 88% 1% 28,137 28% 50% 22% 14% 77% 85% 6% 4% 5% 4% 25% 35% 30% 40% 68% 5% 10% 8% 43% 34% 80% 20% 25% 75% Total 114,953 1,545 5.38% 15% 69% 2% 10% 82,254 12% 78% 2% 8% 81,457 9% 9% 5% 1% 84% 2% 73,423 9% 8% 5% 1% 84% 2% 56,970 8% 7% 4% 1% 86% 1% 112,763 25% 51% 24% 15% 69% 83% 8% 4% 5% 5% 28% 34% 26% 33% 65% 8% 12% 12% 44% 24% 71% 29% 35% 65% 11/26/2021 21:11 Page 1 of 1 Total Pop Citizen Voting Age Pop Voter Registration (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2020) Voter Turnout (Nov 2018) Age Immigration Language spoken at home Education (among those age 25+) Household Income Housing Stats Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 30 of 33 Exhibit 3 Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 31 of 33 Dec. 16, 2021 Item #2 Page 32 of 33 Dec. 16, 2021Item #2 Page 33 of 33 City Clerk Services 1200 Carlsbad Village Drive  Carlsbad, CA ZIP 92008  760-434-5989 t Independent Redistricting Commission Memorandum Dec. 15, 2021 To: Honorable Chair and Members of the Independent Redistricting Commission From: Faviola Medina, City Clerk Services Manager Re: Additional Materials Related to Staff Report Item No. 2 – Review of Draft Maps This memorandum provides amended data to Staff Report Item No. 2. On page 3 of the staff report, on the slide titled “DistrictR Maps as of December 1, 2021” located in Exhibit 1, National Demographics Corporation staff has amended the data to read as follows: Total Submitted: 28 Non-Compliant: 2 As a result of the additional map, an additional slide was also provided titled “Additional Public Map” to include Public Map ID: 75058. On page 5 of the staff report, on the slide titled “Public Maps (Cont.)” located in Exhibit 1, National Demographics Corporation staff has amended the data to read as follows: ID: 49365 Attachment: A. Exhibit 1 – Revised slides cc: Cindie McMahon, Assistant City Attorney 1 DistrictR Maps as of December 1, 2021 - UPDATED Total Submitted:28 Summary: 4 Coast Districts: 10 3 Coastal Districts: 1 2 Coastal Districts: 9 1 Coastal District: 4 Non Compliant:2 Withdrawn: 2 Attachment A 2 Additional Public Map Coast Districts – 1 ID: 75058 Non Compliant - Too many districts