HomeMy WebLinkAbout2022-07-28; Growth Management Citizens Committee; ; Presentation SlidesMay 26, 2022Meeting 5
July 28, 2022
Call to Order & Roll Call
Approval of Minutes
Public Comment
Welcome
&Introductions
COMMITTEE PURPOSE
Promote balanced consideration of a range of
perspectives on issues affecting the future
growth and quality of life in Carlsbad and
identify the key elements of a new plan to
manage growth in Carlsbad in a way that
maintains an excellent quality of life while also
complying with state law.
11 PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
•City Administrative
Facilities
•Libraries
•Parks
•Drainage
•Circulation
•Fire Response
•Open Space
•Sewer Collection System
•Schools
•Water Distribution System
•Wastewater Treatment
Orientation,
background &
history
COMMITTEE PROCESS
MAR –APRIL 2022
Information & dialogue on
existing standards
Discussion &
recommendation
development for
future standards
MAY –AUGUST 2022 SEPT –OCT 2022
Draft recommendations
available for public reviewCommittee meetings are open to the public and livestreamed.
Review &
discuss draft
recommendations
for new quality-
of-life standards
NOV 2022 –JAN 2023
Discuss &
finalize
report for
City
Council
FEB 2023
TODAY’S AGENDA
Discussion Items
•Committee business
–Fire performance standard
•SANDAG Presentation –Population statistics and trends
•Committee business
–“Committee housekeeping”
–Circulation performance standard
•Committee member requests for future agenda items
•Public comment (continued if needed)
•Adjourn
1.Committee Business
Fire Performance Standard
FIRE PERFORMANCE STANDARD
No more than 1,500 dwelling units
outside of a five-minute response time.
INTENT OF
FIRE STANDARD
•Distribute fire stations based on
response distance
•Consistent with best practices when
standard established in 1986
•Allows up to 1,500 homes outside 5-
minute reach
FIRE STANDARD
COMPLIANCE
•No more than 1,500 homes outside 5-minute
response –today and planned buildout
Fire Station #Homes outside 5 minutes at
buildout
1, 3 & 4 1,227
2 902
5 392
6 1,185
CONCERNS WITH CURRENT
STANDARD
•Sole focus is on geographic location of stations
•Does not measure performance
•Does not factor in call volume or call saturation
OPTIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
•Should Fire be included in Growth Management
Plan?
•Adopt complete performance measures to aid
deployment planning and to monitor
performance
•Measures of time should be designed to:
•Deliver outcomes that save patients when
possible
•Keep small serious fires from becoming more
serious
MEDICAL EMERGENCIES &
SMALL FIRES
Treat pre-hospital medical emergencies and control small fires:
•First-due unit should arrive within 7.5 minutes. 90% of the time from receipt of 9-1-1 call at fire dispatch
•90-second dispatch time
•2-minute company turnout time
•4-minute travel time
*Medical emergencies will be determined by the national dispatch criteria for determinant dispatching and will consist of
“Echo” level calls.
MULTIPLE-UNIT EFFECTIVE
RESPONSE FORCE
Multiple-Unit Effective Response Force should arrive within
11.5 minutes. 90% of the time from the receipt of the 9-1-1 call
at fire dispatch to:
Confine building fires near the room of origin
Keep vegetation fires under five acres in size
Extricate trapped victims within 30 minutes
Treat multiple medical patients at a single incident
HAZARDOUS MATERIALS
RESPONSE
The fundamental mission of the Department’s Haz-Matresponse is to isolate the hazard, deny entry into the hazard zone, and notify appropriate officials/resources to minimize impacts on the community.
▪First-due unit should arrive within 7.5 minutes. 90% of the time from the receipt of the 9-1-1 call at fire dispatch.
▪Provide initial hazard evaluation and/or mitigation actions
▪Determination can be made whether to request additional resources from the regional hazardous materials team
TECHNICAL RESCUE RESPONSE
Respond to technical rescue emergencies as efficiently and
effectively as possible with enough trained personnel to
facilitate a successful rescue
•First-due total response time of 7.5 minutes. 90% of the
time from the receipt of the 9-1-1 call at fire dispatch to:
Evaluate the situation and/or initiate rescue actions.
Assemble additional resources as needed within a total
response time of 11.5 minutes. 90% of the time from the
receipt of the 9-1-1 call at fire dispatch
Safely complete rescue/extrication and provide medical
transport
DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
•Is this standard important to quality of life in
Carlsbad?
•Should this standard be re-evaluated in any
way?
2.Presentation: Population Stats and Trends
Regional Economic Update
City of Carlsbad
Presented by
Marcia Smith, Associate Economic Research Analyst
July 28, 2022
San Diego Region
Continued growth
| 24
Annual growth rate is less
than 0.5% for the region of
3.4 million. Peak of 3.6
million forecasted for 2055.
Slowing growth of a
diversified and balanced
economy.
Source: California Department of Finance, Real Estate Research Council of Southern California
More than 10,000 homes
were built in 2021 –a
15-year high but still well
short of demand.
Population Jobs Housing
How Does Carlsbad Compare?
| 25
•115,585 persons (2022)1
3.5% of regional population
•0.2% annual growth rate
2016-20502
•120,313 forecasted for 20502
Population Jobs Housing
Source: 1California Department of Finance; 22010 Census, SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates, SANDAG Series 14 Regional Growth
Forecast; 32020 Census
•47,734 units (2020)3
3.9% of regional housing
•0.4% annual growth rate
2016-20502
•52,494 forecasted for 20502
•81,507 jobs (2020)2
4.7% of regional jobs
•1.1% annual growth rate
2016-20502
•103,979 forecasted for 20502
Population
105,328
114,746
- 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
2010 Census
2020 Census
Population
Carlsbad Population
2010 and 2020
A Decade of Growth
| 27Source: 2010 Census and 2020 Census
9% increase
Population Gains: Comparing Carlsbad
| 28
7%
9%
5%
13%
4%4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
San Diego
Region
Carlsbad Vista San Marcos Oceanside Encinitas
Ch
a
n
g
e
f
r
o
m
2
0
1
0
Population Growth
2010-2020
114,7463,298,6342020 Census
Source: 2010 Census and 2020 Census; SANDAG calculations
98,381 94,833 174,068 62,007
The Aging Population
| 29
24%
22%
76%
78%
0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000
2010 Census
2020 Census
Population by Age Category
2010 and 2020
Under 18 18 and Older
Source: 2010 Census and 2020 Census
2% decrease
105,328
114,746
Population Pyramids: Carlsbad 2010 and 2020
| 30
(6,000)(4,000)(2,000)0 2,000 4,000 6,000
<5
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85 plus
Carlsbad 2020 Population
(114,463)
Male Female
(6,000)(4,000)(2,000)0 2,000 4,000 6,000
<5
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85 plus
Carlsbad 2010 Population
(107,257)
Male Female
Source: 2010 Census, SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates
Population Forecast: Carlsbad 2020 and 2050
| 31
(6,000)(4,000)(2,000)0 2,000 4,000 6,000
<5
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85 plus
Carlsbad 2050 Population Forecast
(120,313)
Male Female
(6,000)(4,000)(2,000)0 2,000 4,000 6,000
<5
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85 plus
Carlsbad 2020 Population
(114,463)
Male Female
Source: SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates, SANDAG Series 14 Forecast
White
74.9%
Hispanic14%
Black1.2%
American Indian0.3%Asian7.0%
Pacific Islander
0.2%
Other Race0.2%Two or More Races3.0%
2010 Census
Increasing Diversity
| 32Source: 2010 Census and 2020 Census
White69.0%
Hispanic15.1%
Black
1.1%
American Indian
0.2%Asian
7.8%
Pacific Islander0.2%
Other Race
0.5%
Two or More Races6.0%
2020 CensusCarlsbad Population by
Race/Ethnicity
Higher Household Income
| 33Source: SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
<$15K $15K -
$29.9K
$30K -
$44.9K
$45K -
$59.9K
$60K -
$74.9K
$75K -
$99.9K
$100K -
$124.9K
$125K -
$149.9K
$150K -
$199.9K ≥$200K
Pe
r
c
e
n
t
o
f
T
o
t
a
l
H
o
u
s
e
h
o
l
d
s
Carlsbad Households by Income Category
(2010$, adjusted for Inflation)
2010 2020
Carlsbad Median
Household Income
$100,177 (2020)
Carlsbad Median
Household Income
$77,746 (2010)
Household Income: Comparing Carlsbad
| 34Source: SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
<$15K $15K -$29.9K $30K -$44.9K $45K -$59.9K $60K -$74.9K $75K -$99.9K $100K -$124.9K $125K -$149.9K $150K -$199.9K ≥$200K
Pe
r
c
e
n
t
o
f
T
o
t
a
l
H
o
u
s
e
h
o
l
d
s
Carlsbad San Diego Region
Carlsbad Median
Household Income
$100,177
San Diego Region
Median Household Income
$72,238
Households by Income Category
(2010$, adjusted for Inflation)
| 35
$72,238
$100,177
$68,025 $71,587 $66,271
$100,940
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
San Diego
Region
Carlsbad Vista San Marcos Oceanside Encinitas
Median Household Income (2020)
Median Household Income: Comparing Carlsbad
Source: SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates
Jobs
Job Growth
Source: SANDAG Series 14 Regional Growth Forecast
75,912 82,382 88,373 95,119 98,168 100,285 102,292 103,979
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2016 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Forecast Year
Carlsbad Jobs Forecast
2016-2050
Base
Year
SR 78 Corridor Employment Center
Forecast shows 35% job growth 2016-2050 as expansion in key industries continues.
2016:293,209 jobs
2050:394,681 jobs
| 38Source: SANDAG (2019, May). 78 Corridor employment center, Employment centers in the San Diego region:
An analysis of where people live and work [Map 1].
Employment Trends: Comparing Carlsbad
Jobs increase 35% from 2016 to 2050
| 39
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2016 2020 2050
SR 78 Corridor Jobs Forecast
Carlsbad Vista San Marcos Escondido Oceanside Encinitas
Source: SANDAG Series 14 Regional Growth Forecast
Base Year
293,209 jobs 315,916 jobs
394,681 jobs
Forecast Summary: Carlsbad
| 40Source: SANDAG Series 14 Regional Growth Forecast
113,179 118,068 118,719 120,313
75,912 88,373 98,168 103,979
46,152 49,299 51,552 52,494
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Forecast Year
Carlsbad Growth2016-2050
Total Population Jobs Housing Units
20252016
Base
Year
2035 2050
Housing
units
Jobs
Persons
Housing
Meeting the Region’s Housing and Climate Goals
171,685 new homes by 2029
20% GHG reduction by 2035
| 42
Sustainable Communities Strategy: Bringing Housing & Mobility Options Together
| 43
Series 14 Regional Growth Forecast 2016-2050Series 9 Regional Growth Forecast 1995-2020 | 44
Growth Forecast
San Diego Region
| 45
San Diego Region Growth Forecast
Comparing growth
| 46
San Diego Region Growth Forecast
Comparing growth
66.3%
31.1%
2.5%
2050
66.7%
30.4%
2.9%
2010
67.7%
29.5%
2.8%
2020
Single Family*Multifamily Mobile Home and Other
Carlsbad Housing 2010, 2020 and 2050
| 47Source: 2010 Census, SANDAG 2020 Demographic and Socioeconomic Estimates, SANDAG Series 14 Regional Growth Forecast
*Note: Single family includes both attached and detached single-family homes
44,422 Housing Units 47,183 Housing Units 52,494 Housing Units
26,386 24,575
9,578
12,455 7,858
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
19
7
0
19
7
1
19
7
2
19
7
3
19
7
4
19
7
5
19
7
6
19
7
7
19
7
8
19
7
9
19
8
0
19
8
1
19
8
2
19
8
3
19
8
4
19
8
5
19
8
6
19
8
7
19
8
8
19
8
9
19
9
0
19
9
1
19
9
2
19
9
3
19
9
4
19
9
5
19
9
6
19
9
7
19
9
8
19
9
9
20
0
0
20
0
1
20
0
2
20
0
3
20
0
4
20
0
5
20
0
6
20
0
7
20
0
8
20
0
9
20
1
0
20
1
1
20
1
2
20
1
3
20
1
4
20
1
5
20
1
6
20
1
7
20
1
8
20
1
9
Source: Economic Research Bureau, Greater San Diego Chamber of Commerce, Forecast Bulletin Economic Indicators (1970-1992); Real Estate Research Council (RERC) of Southern California, Real Estate and Construction Report (1993-2019)
Mira Mesa, Scripps Ranch
Peñasquitos, North Coast, San Marcos
Peñasquitos, Scripps Ranch, Eastlake,San Luis Rey
Carmel Valley, Poway/Rancho Bernardo, Eastlake
Residential Permits Issued
| 48
20
2
0
20
2
1
20
2
2
70,000
unit shortage
Questions
Stay connected with SANDAG
Explore our website
SANDAG.org
Email: marcia.smith@sandag.org
Follow us on social media:
@SANDAGregion @SANDAG
3.Committee Business
Committee Housekeeping Items
PUBLIC COMMENTS & INPUT
•City Hall location –Aug. 16 City Council meeting
•Day-to-day management of the Senior Center
•Ponto Park
•Reservoir solar panels
•Village development
BROWN ACT REMINDER
SUBCOMMITTEES
PRIORITIZING POTENTIAL
NEW TOPICS
PROJECT SCHEDULE
PROJECT SCHEDULE
Circulation Performance Standard
•Current Growth Management Plan
•How Roadway Improvements are Funded
•How Transportation Analysis has Changed
•Best Transportation Practices for Sustainable Growth
•Growth Management Plan Standards
Discussion
OUTLINE
Current Growth
Management Plan
CURRENT GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN
Established in 1986
•Updated with the 1994 General Plan Update
•Updated with the 2015 General Plan Update
Main Goals
•Provide a framework growth should occur
•Ensure that new development pays its own way
2015 General Plan Update Set the GMP Circulation Standard
•Established a livable streets approach to mobility
•Emphasized a multi-modal approach to transportation
•Established a Complete Streets network within the city
Circulation –Implement a comprehensive
livable streets network that serves all users
of the system –vehicles, pedestrians,
bicycles and public transit. Maintain LOS D
or better for all prioritized modes of travel,
as identified in the General Plan Mobility
Element, excluding LOS exempt
intersections and streets approved by the
City Council.
GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN
POLICY
3-P.3 Apply and update the city’s multi-modal level of service
(MMLOS) methodology and guidelines that reflect the core
values of the Carlsbad Community Vision related to
transportation and connectivity. Utilize the MMLOS
methodology to evaluate impacts of individual development
projects and amendments to the General Plan on the city’s
transportation system.
3-P.4 Implement the city’s MMLOS methodology and maintain LOS D
or better for each mode of travel for which the MMLOS
standard is applicable, as identified in Table 3-1 and Figure 3-1.
CURRENT GENERAL PLAN POLICIES
LIVABLE STREETS
VS
LIVABLE STREETS
CURRENT TRAFFIC TRENDS IN CARLSBAD
HOW PEOPLE TRAVEL: TRAVEL MODE SPLIT
5%4%0%
92%
Carlsbad Blvd.: Avenida Encinas to Ponto
Pedestrian Bicycle Transit Vehicle
0%1%1%
98%
El Camino Real, Chestnut to Tamarack
Pedestrian Bicycle Transit Vehicle
GENERAL PLAN POLICIES –GROWTH
MANAGEMENT PLAN
3-P.5 Require developers to construct or pay their fair share toward improvements for all
travel modes consistent with this Mobility Element, the Growth Management Plan,
and specific impacts associated with their development.
3-P.9 Develop and maintain a list of street facilities where specified modes of travel are
exempt from the LOS standard (LOS exempt street facilities), as approved by the
City Council. To exempt vehicle mode of travel from LOS standard, the street
facility must be identified as built-out by City Council because:
a.obtaining rights of way not feasible; or
b.proposed improvements significantly impact environment in an unacceptable
way; or
c.proposed improvements result in unacceptable impacts to other community
values or General Plan policies; or
d.proposed improvements require more than three through lanes in each
direction
GENERAL PLAN POLICIES:
GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN
3-P.11 Require new development that adds vehicle traffic to
street facilities that are exempt from the vehicle LOS
standard (consistent with 3-P.9) to implement:
a.Transportation Demand Management strategies
that reduce the reliance on single-occupant
automobile and assist in achieving the city’s livable
streets vision.
b.Transportation Systems Management strategies
that improve traffic signal coordination and improve
transit service.
HOW TO MANAGE TRAFFIC WITHOUT
WIDENING ROADS
Adds pressure to
the roadway
network
Reduce trips through
Transportation Demand
Management
Maximize roadway
capacity With
Transportation System
Management
Move more people
with less asphalt
Growth Result
Solution
TRANSPORTATION DEMAND MANAGEMENT
TYPES OF MEASURES
•Creating ridesharing services
•Offering flexible work schedules
•Providing amenities for alternative travel
modes such as bike racks, lockers, showers,
carpool parking , etc..
•Having dining, laundry, services at worksites
•Giving incentives for not commuting alone
by car
•Encouraging use of public transit
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT
•Transportation system management strategies that improve traffic signal
coordination, improve transit service,
and access for all modes.
•Signal detection for vehicles, buses,
bikes and pedestrians.
•City currently allows developments to
purchase updated signal controllers as mitigation.
Questions?
How Roadway
Improvements are
Funded
Grant Funding
•SANDAG’s Active Transportation Grant Program and Smart Growth Incentive
Program
•FHWA Highway Safety Improvement Program
•Caltrans sustainability grants
Developer Funding
•Direct mitigation and frontage improvements
•Transportation Impact Fees
•Regional Transportation Congestion Improvement Program Fees
•Other financing mechanisms, infrastructure districts, bridge
thoroughfare districts…
Taxes
•TransNet (half-cent sales tax)
•Gas Tax
HOW ROADWAY IMPROVEMENTS ARE FUNDED
WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE
TRANSPORTATION NETWORK
•Local roadways
•Traffic signals
•Sidewalks
•Multi-use trails
•Bicycle facilities
•On-street parking
•Mainline freeways
•Freeway over/under
Passes
•Ramp meters
•Traffic signals at ramps
•Managed lanes
•Park & Ride facilities
•Regional Network
Funding & Planning
•Transit planning
•Sustainable
Communities
Strategy
•Bus operations
•The COASTER
•Rail right-of-way
operation and
maintenance
•Transit station
amenities
•Flexible fleets
Questions?
How Transportation
Analysis has Changed
Vehicular traffic All modes of travel
Trip generation
1950s to the Early 2000s 2010s to Now
Vehicular delay Travel efficiency
Vehicular travel time Connectivity of all modes
Vehicle miles traveled (VMT)
HOW TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS HAS CHANGED
CALIFORNIA SENATE BILL 743
Required jurisdictions to adopt VMT based CEQA
Thresholds by July 1, 2020
Disallowed LOS-based CEQA thresholds for land
development projects
September 2013 –Governor Signed Bill
December 2018 –OPR Finalized Guidelines
December 2018 –Natural Resources Agency updates CEQA Guidelines
July 2020 -Opt-in Period Ends
WHAT IS VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED
2 Miles
1 Mile
3 Vehicle Miles Traveled2 Trips
WHY VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED
1 Mile 1 Mile
1 Mile 1 Mile
5 Miles
WHY VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED
Which is More Impactful?
4 Miles
5 Miles
1 Mile 1 Mile 1 Mile 1 Mile
HOW ARE IMPACTS DETERMINED
Proposed Project Area
Total Project VMT
Total Project Residents
Vehicle Miles Traveled Per Capita
Project VMT: 200 Miles
Residents: 10 People
VMT Per Capita: 20 Miles Per Person
Residential Projects
HOW ARE IMPACTS DETERMINED
Average VMT/Person in the Region
85% of the VMT/Person in the Region
What the project is allowed to generate
Impact
Mitigate
HOW ARE IMPACTS DETERMINED
Retail / Commercial Projects
3 Miles
1.5 Miles
Current Retail
New Retail
No Net Increase
in VMT
IMPACTS OF ROADWAY INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS
New Standard:
Roadway infrastructure projects that induce vehicular travel
demand are considered to have a VMT related impact.
•Pedestrian Facility Improvements
•Bicycle Facilities
•Multi-Use Trails
•Transit Only Facilities
•HOV Facilities
•Non-Capacity Enhancing Safety Improvements
•Roadway Extensions that Will Create a Shorter
Trip Length and Reduce the Over All VMT
No Impact
•Improvements that Improve Travel Time
•Capacity Enhancing Roadway Projects
•Additional Turn-Lanes at Intersections
•Improvements that Result in Additional Trips
•Roadway Extensions to Accommodate New
Development
•Roadway Improvements that Incentivize
People to Drive Further
Now Creates An Impact
Transportation Demand Management
HOW DO YOU MITIGATE FOR VMT
Implement Multi-Modal Infrastructure
HOW DO YOU MITIGATE FOR VMT
Questions?
Best Practices
•Plan for growth in areas where the transportation
network can accommodate it
•Provide a diversity of land uses
•Develop a system of mobility hubs
•Provide infrastructure that allow travelers to have
options
•Plan for multi-modal connectivity
•Utilize fee programs to require development to pay their
fair-share and mitigate their impacts
BEST PRACTICES
Questions?
Questions?
HOW ARE IMPACTS DETERMINED
Retail / Commercial Projects
3 Miles
1.5 Miles
Current Retail
New Retail
No Net Increase
in VMT
CHANGING MODES
1.5 Miles
0.5 Miles
Access Retail
and Services
$3.2 Billion
HAVE GROWTH PAY THEIR FAIR-SHARE VIA FEE
PROGRAMS
Growth Management Plan
Housing Element
Livable Streets
SMP
Implement
More Housing & Less
Strain on the
Transportation Network
New Homes Generate
Traffic / VMT
Fee Program to
Implement SMP and
Mitigate VMT Impacts
Accommodate traffic
growth with shifts in
modes, equity, and
efficiency
FEE PROGRAM STRUCTURE
Transportation
System Management
Program Transportation Impact Fee Program
Livable
Streets
CEQA
VMT Mitigation Fee Program
Transportation
Demand
Management
SMP
Improvements
Accommodate
Travel from New
Growth
Move More
People with Less
Asphalt
Reduce VMT Mitigate VMT
Impacts
Sustainable
Growth
Questions?
The Future of Growth
Management Plan
Standards Discussion
FUTURE GROWTH PROJECTIONS FOR TRIPS IN
CARLSBAD
•With the recent state law changes, like SB9 and
SB10, the future residential units going up
•With the increase in units will be increase in vehicle
trips and demand
•Under current vehicle LOS standards, the city will
experience future roadway deficiencies
PRESENT TRENDS
PRESENT TRENDS
110
111
0
20000000
40000000
60000000
80000000
100000000
120000000
140000000
160000000
180000000
NCC Mode Share
North Coast Corridor Program Mode Share
I5 ADT (2017)Coaster Boardings (2021)I5 ADT (2017)2 Coaster Boardings (2017)
PRESENT TRENDS
VMT: GOOD VS. BAD?
https://sdforward.com/
mobility-planning/2021-
regional-plan
STATUS OF REGIONAL PLAN
•December 10, 2021, meeting, after
adoption of the 2021 Regional Plan,
the Board of Directors directed staff
to immediately begin evaluation of
a potential update
•July 8, 2022, Board of Directors
approve a revision with schedule
estimated through 2025
CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE CONSIDERATIONS
•Given how technology changed the transportation landscape over
the last decade, SANDAG must continually reevaluate whether the
portfolio of projects remaining to be completed are the best mix
for achieving congestion relief and the other goals of the TransNet
Program. >>>
•Regardless, if autonomous vehicles become commonplace,
SANDAG must be nimble in its decisions on the design, operation,
and supply of roadways, public transit, and active demand traffic
management practices and employ planning efforts that avoid
building expensive infrastructure that may soon become obsolete.
Selected PWP/TREP Multi-
Modal Project (Alternative 18)
•Double Track LOSSAN,
Enhanced Regional Transit
Service, and Four Buffer-
Separated Express Lanes
CONSIDERATIONS FOR TRANSNET MOVING FORWARD
Selected PWP/TREP Multi-
Modal Project (Alternative 18)
•Double Track LOSSAN,
Enhanced Regional Transit
Service, and Four Buffer-
Separated Express Lanes
CONSIDERATIONS FOR TRANSNET MOVING FORWARD
Flexible public transit fleets on managed
lanes:
•Microtransit: On-demand transit, e-
bikes, future mobility technology
(wheels)
•Shared transportation options
•Flexible, compact, affordable, shared
and provide direct access to
destination
CONSIDERATIONS FOR TRANSNET MOVING
FORWARD
CONSIDERATIONS FOR TRANSNET MOVING FORWARD
CONSIDERATIONS FOR TRANSNET MOVING FORWARD
Future updates to the Regional Plan:
•Considering trends over the last 7 years, review model assumptions predicting increased transit ridership
•Consider increasing budget for Complete Corridors, Flexible Fleets and Active Transportation
•Future changes to Extension Ordinance or Expenditure Plan reviewed by City/County Technical Advisory Committee (CTAC) or Mobility Working Group and ITOC
PRESENT TRAVEL
MODE CHOICES:
TRAVEL TIME
EXAMPLE
•TRIP START: Carlsbad
Village
•TRIP END: Sorrento Valley
Employment Center
PRESENT TRAVEL MODE CHOICES
Travel Mode Travel Time Average Speed Trip Legs
Drive (SOV)32 min.44 MPH Walk, Drive, Park, Walk
Rideshare 42 min.34 MPH Walk, Rideshare, Walk
Transit (COASTER)2 hr. 19 min.10 MPH Walk, Rideshare, Train,
Rideshare, Walk
Bike 2 hr. 8 min.11 MPH Bike, walk
E-Bike 1 hr. 13 min.20 MPH E-Bike, walk
Carlsbad Village to Sorrento Valley Employment Center
FLEXIBLE FLEET SERVICES
Micromobility
Ridehail & Carshare
Rideshare
Microtransit
Last Mile Delivery
Low-speed devices
On-demand vehicles
Shared rides
On-demand shuttles
Ground and aerial
package delivery
Circulation –Implement a comprehensive
livable streets network that serves all users
of the system –vehicles, pedestrians,
bicycles and public transit. Maintain LOS D
or better for all prioritized modes of travel,
as identified in the General Plan Mobility
Element, excluding LOS exempt
intersections and streets approved by the
City Council.
POSSIBLE UPDATES
•Should we implement policies that allow the
city to provide faster, fairer, cleaner, and
safer mobility options?
•Should we remove LOS standards for
monitoring purposes and focus on improving
citywide connectivity?
Questions?
DISCUSSION QUESTIONS
•Is this standard important to quality of life in
Carlsbad?
•Should this standard be re-evaluated in any
way?
Committee Member Requests for Future Agenda Items
Public Comment
Adjournment
Next Meeting: Aug. 25, 2022