Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutSP 144B; SDG&E Wastewater Facility; Specific Plan (SP) (5)aped AIR POLLUTION CONTROL DISTRICT 9150 Chesapeake Drive. San Diego, California 92123 (714) 565-5901 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I DRAFT 1981 ANNUAL REPORT REASONABLE FURTHER PROGRESS VOLUME I A progress report on the implementation actions taken to achieve and maintain the National Ambient • Air Quality Standards in the San Diego Air Basin. MAY 1981 • Prepared by San Diego County Air Pollution Control Disrict Transportation Element provided by San Diego Association of Governments I This is a draft of the Reasonable Further Progress report for review and I public comment during the period May 30, 1981 to June 30, 1981. It is _ available at each City and County main public library in the San Diego region as well as at the address below. Additional copies of Volume I of the report can be obtained from the Air Pollution Control District for $2.00. • The report is an assessment of progress towards achieving clean air in the San Diego region. It is in two volumes. This one, Volume I, contains a • general summary and conclusions. It is specifically designed for wide public review and intended to promote an understanding of the issues. Volume | II contains detailed supporting data. The draft report will be finalized at _ the end of the comment period, and will incorporate comments received. The ™ reader is asked to submit comments to: I San Diego County Air Pollution Control District I ATTN: Air Resources/Special Projects 9150 Chesapeake Drive I San Diego, CA 92123 1 I 1 I I I - 1 - I I I I I I I I I TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE INTRODUCTION 1 CONCLUSIONS 5 BACKGROUND - 6 PROGRESS DURING 1980 8 SPECIFIC STRATEGY ANALYSIS 11 Ozone Strategy --------- — ____ n Figure 1.1 - Reactive Hydrocarbon Emissions • Carbon Monoxide Strategy ------ — -- 12 Figure 1.2 - Carbon Monoxide Emissions | Nitrogen Dioxide Strategy 12 _ Particulate Strategy ------------ 13 • Table 1.1 - Progress Toward Implementation of the R-RAQS/79 SIP | Table 1.2 - T-Tactic RFP Summary, 1980 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 i i i i i I i i INTRODUCTION This is the second annual Reasonable Further Progress Report, an assessment of implementation actions taken in 1980 to attain healthy air quality stan- dards in the San Diego region. The first report dealt with 1979. It was carefully reviewed and discussed by the Community Resource Panel which includes representatives of the community special interest groups and industry. Based upon the first report, that Panel enumerated the following concerns and conclusions. 1. Steady progress has been made in controlling stationary sources and continued progress is anticipated. However, remaining control tactics are expected to produce only small incremental improvements. 2. Steady progress is expected until growth in the 1986 period outpaces control efforts. 3. If private development decisions and local government policies continue to encourage growth, the emission reduction burden caused by growth will be shifted to less socially and economically acceptable tactics. 4. Adverse air quality impacts of land use decisions are often given a quick negataive declaration without sufficient review. 5. Some transportation control tactics show little promise providing a significant impact on air quality. 6. Effective utilization of carpools and vanpools could significantly reduce automotive emissions. 7. A viable regional transit system could displace automobiles and thus have a significant air quality impact over the long term. 8. An additional 30 or 40 tons of hydrocarbon emission reductions, assum- ing implementation of an inspection and maintenance program, will be needed to attain the ambient standard for ozone. 9. The automobile is the key source of carbon monoxide, hydrocarbon, and nitrogen oxides emissions. As the San Diego region grows, it will have to do some or all of the following: (1) modify its land use patterns to reduce vehicle emissions; (2) improve its transportation tactics to reduce vehicle utilization and emissions; (3) implement an effective motor vehicle inspection and maintenance program; (4) develop even more stringent standards for stationary sources; and, (5) limit population growth and thus limit all forms of pollution. I I I I I I I I I I 1 1 I I I I I I I - 2 - Based upon the previous assessments the Panel then proposed the following list of recommendations: 1. State Air Resources Board rules, EPA regulations, and the local Dis- trict rules should impose the most stringent rules technically and eco- nomically feasible. 2. A regional transit element with a phased integrated route system should be included as part of the air quality program. 3. Government and private agencies should use their unused vehicles in carpools or vanpools during off hours. The Panel strongly supports efforts to solve the problems of insurance, ordinances, and other restrictions that prevent carpools from using business or government vehicles. 4. Transportation control tactics need to assume a larger share of the necessary emission reductions. 5. The State vehicle emission control program should be retained, except in cases where alternative standards do not potentially interfere with attainment or maintenance of ambient air quality standards in the San Diego region. 6. The legislature should pass an enabling legislation to authorize a cen- tralized or an equivalent motor vehicle inspection and maintenance pro- gram. Reasonable Further Progress is defined in the Federal Clean Air Act as: "annual incremental reductions in emissions of the applicable air pollutant (including substantial reductions in the early years . . . and regular reductions thereafter) which are sufficient in the judgement of the Admini- strator of the Environmental Protection Ageny (EPA) to provide for attain- ment of the applicable national ambient air quality standard by the date required". Local air polluton control agencies are required by the Clean Air Act to annually assess progress being made to reduce pollutant emis- sions sufficient to meet health standards by the specified date. The assessment serves to identify existing or potential problems within each pollutant control strategy in order to develop corrective actions well in advance of the attainment dates. This, the first volume of the annual report, provides a summary of the assessment, general conclusions, and recommendations. The second volume contains detailed information and documentation required by the Environ- mental Protection Agency and the California Air Resources Board. The objectives of this report are to: o Review the Implementation of Adopted Control Strategies. Control strategies were adopted to reduce pollutant emissions suffi- cient to attain the health standards. Under this objective, an assess- ment is made as to how well those strategies are being implemented. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 3 - o Revise Strategy Assessments to Reflect Refined Data and Assumptions Demonstration of attainment of health standards is based on certain data and assumptions. If significant changes occur in the data base or basis for assumptions, the demonstration of attainment needs to be reassessed. There are four pollutants for which the entire San Diego County or a por- tion thereof is designated nonattainment. Those are ozone, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, and particulates. Recently, the EPA has proposed to redesignate San Diego as attainment for nitrogen dioxide, as the region no longer violates that standard. This report focuses on the ozone (so called smog) control strategy since smog is the major problem in San Diego. Other pollutant strategies are briefly discussed. A brief description of each pollutant and the required attainment dates are provided below. o Ozone - Attainment date: 1987 Ozone is the main constituent of a complex photochemical reaction among hydrocarbons and oxides of nitrogen in the atmosphere. The results of those reactions are generally referred to as "smog". In comparison to other pollutants, ozone is the most damaging to the lung. It may cause breathing problems to sensitive persons; generally the elderly, children and people who have respiratory or heart disease. At elevated levels even healthy persons may experience headaches, chest discomfort, sinus irritation and become short of breath after exercising outdoors. Other chemicals formed in the reactions cause the eye irritation/- typically associated with smog. o Nitrogen Dioxide - Attained The health standard was attained in 1979, four years ahead of schedule. The federal health standards have not been exceeded since then. Nitrogen dioxide is a pollutant that in high concentrations may cause sustained pulmonary impairment. Even short term exposure at high concentrations can cause significant but temporary impairment. Asthmatics and children are particularly sensitive to this pollutant. It causes the brownish color often seen in polluted areas and is the primary source of acidic precipitation and deppsition in California. Nitrogen dioxide is one of the pollutant which reacts in sunlight to form photochemical smog. o Carbon Monoxide - Attainment date: 1987 Carbon Monoxide results from the incomplete burning of fuels - notably by automobiles in San Diego. It is inhaled, enters the blood stream, and reduces the amount of oxygen delivered throughout the body. One of the results is a weakened heart function which further reduces blood I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I 1 1 I - 4 - flow, thus, compounding the effect. In a healthy person the ability to perform physical exercise is significantly reduced. But a person with heart disease may face a life threatening situation at elevated pollu- tion levels. Individuals with anemia, emphysema or other lung disease are likely to be more sensitive to this pollutant. Even at low concen- trations, mental functions, visual activity and altertness can be impaired. o Particulate Matter - Attainment date: 1982 Particulate matter is a general term for particles found in the atmo- sphere. Most of the materials is dust, soot, organic matter and various sulfur, nitrogen and metalic compounds. Some particles are formed in the smog production process. The present health standard is currently being reviewed by the EPA. Particulates may effect the lung function much the same way gaseous pollutants do. Prolonged exposure to certain components may increase the occurrance and severity of chro- nic respitory disease. o Sulfur Dioxide - Attained Sulfur Dioxide is one of a number of sulfur compounds found in the atmosphere. It enters the air from burning fuels and various in- dustrial processes. In San Diego the air has always been healthy in regard to this pollutant. In areas experiencing serious air pollution episodes, studies indicate an increase in death rates among people with existing heart and lung disease when high concentrations of this pollu- tant occur in combination with high concentrations of particulate matter. In more recent studies it was found that the effects of ozone (smog) were increased in combination with this pollutant. At lower concentrations chronic respiratory problems increase and are aggra- vated. In San Diego where smog and particulates frequently exceed the health standards, it is important that this pollutant remain under control. There are two regulatory agencies directly involved in air quality control. The San Diego County Air Pollution Control District and the State Air Resources Board. The District is responsible for control of pollution from stationary sources, and from large business establishments through implementation of traffic abatement plans. The purpose of the abatement plans is not to attain the health standards, but to prevent air pollution concentrations from reaching specified levels which could endanger or cause significant harm to the public health. The Air Resources Board is prima- rily responsible of control for motor vehicle pollution. The San Diego Association of Governments is responsible for planning transportation con- trol measures which will provide less than 1% of the total emission reduc- tions needed to attain the health standards. As a result, demonstrating progress toward attaining and maintaining the health standards is the responsibility of the Air Pollution Control District and the State Air Resources Board. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I - 5 - CONCLUSIONS Based upon the 1980 program evaluation the following conclusions are apparent. 1. The San Diego region has attained the health standard for nitrogen dioxide. 2. The region is expected to attain the health standard for carbon mon- oxide by 1982. 3. Additional emission controls will be required if the region is to attain the health standard for ozone (smog) by 1987. 4. The region has not attained the health standard for particulates. The State Air Resourcs Board has not carried out its committment to develop control measures necessary to attain the standard by December, 1982. The Environmental Protection Agency has not revised the standard in a timely manner. 5. Substantial progress is being made to reduce hydrocarbon emission from stationary sources. 6. California emission standards for motor vehicles continue to provide emission reductions. Vehicle emission control is important in San Diego. Every effort must be made to maintain and improve the current State program. 7. A motor vehicle inspection and maintenance program is needed to fight smog. 8. The State Air Resources Board has been slow in developing emission standards for off-road motor vehicles. To a certain extent, the legislature is responsible. 9. The statewide regulatory process for development of stationary source control measures is not benefiting San Diego to a great extent. 10. Expanded transit, one of the transportation control measures, is falling short of expectations. 11. Ridesharing is progressing when compared to the modest target esta- blished. 12. Currently, transportation control measures do not provide any measur- able contribution to air quality improvement. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I - 6 - BACKGROUND In 1977 Congress significantly amended the Clean Air Act. Deadlines for achieving federal clean air standards were extended to 1982 for five major pollutants (ozone, carbon monoxide, particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide and sulfur dioxide). An extension to 1987 was permitted to attain the ozone and carbon monoxide standards in regions that could not show attain- ment by December, 1982, even if all reasonably available control measures were implemented. Where standards were not being met — in San Diego this was the case for all the above pollutants except sulfur dioxide — a Regional Air Quality Strategy showing how they would be attained and maintained was required by July, 1979. The Strategy had to meet the following requirements. o Implementation of all reasonably available control technology. o Emission reductions cannot be defferred. Instead, annual incremental reduction are required in order to assure reasonable progress in maintained. o Major new sources must obtain the lowest achievable emissions rate and offsetting emission reductions are required. o Motor vehicle inspection and maintenance must be implemented on a specified schedule if an extension to 1987 for ozone and carbon monoxide was requested. There are potentially serious consequences for not preparing and imple- menting an adequate strategy. Specifically, if it is inadequate, the region will not receive federal highway funds, except for mass transit, safety improvements and transportation projects designed to improve air quality. No new major industrial sources can be constructed. Air quality planning funds for the region could be withheld, and the Environmental Protection Agency may curtail funding of sewage treatment plants. The required air quality strategy, called the Revised Regional Air Quality Strategy (Revised RAQS or Strategy) to distinguish it from the earlier strategy, was adopted by the region in October, 1978. The strategy did not show attainment for ozone and carbon monoxide by December, 1982. Accord- ingly, an extension to 1987 was requested. The State Air Resources Board reviewed the strategy and adopted it in February, 1979, subject to condi- tions. The resolution containing the conditions is included in the Appen- dices to Volume II of this report. I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I 1 I I - 7 - Finally the Environmental Protection Agency reviewed the strategy and determined it lacked legal authority to implement a motor vehicle inspec- tion and maintenance program. The sanctions previously mentioned were brought against California. Air Quality planning funds were not withheld. To date, no significant impact has been realized in the San Diego region. No final action was taken until April 14, 1981, when the Environmental Pro- tection Agency published its final rulemaking. The strategy relating to nitrogen dioxide and total suspended particulates has been conditionally approved. The District has already met most of the conditions. Portions of the ozone and carbon monoxide strategy have been approved, except no action was taken with respect to motor vehicle inspec- tion and maintenance. The State legislature has failed to pass enabling legislation to authorize the program. That means major sources of hydro- carbon emissions - the precursor for ozone, and carbon monoxide continue to be subject to the construction ban. No major sources of that kind are expected in the near future. The Clean Air Act also requires areas requesting an extension to 1987 to prepare and submit a revision to the strategy by July 1982. That revision is currently being prepared. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 8 - PROGRESS DURING 1980 This section addresses the progress made in 1980, the year for the purposes of reporting reasonable further progress. Progress is addressed by func- tional responsibilities of the Air Pollution Control District, State Air Resources Board, and San Diego Association of Governments. As mentioned in the introduction section, the San Diego Air Pollution Control District is responsible for control of emissions from stationary sources. Five major District rules were implemented in 1980. Rule 61.1: this rule requires 95 percent control of volatile organic com- pound emissions, a precursor for ozone, from storage of gasoline at bulk terminals. The previous requirement was 90 percent. Potentially, six facilities are affected. About 0.5 tons per day was expected as a result of strengthening the requirement. Test data from two facilities indicates a reduction of 0.1 ton per day. Data on the other four facilities has not been completed. Rule 61.4: This rule regulates emissions of volatile organic compounds during vehicle fueling. Out of 1400 facilities subject to this rule, by the end of 1980, 765 facilities were equipped with vapor recovery systems. The result was 6.8 tons per day of emissions controlled. The remaining facilities will be equipped with vapor recovery systems between now and the end of 1982. Currently implementation is ahead of schedule. When fully implemented, about 9 tons a day of pollution will be removed from the atmo- sphere. Recently, legislation has been introduced to do away with vapor recovery at service stations. If passed, it would have a major adverse impact on ozone control strategy. Rule 67.0: This rule regulates the use of architectural coatings by limiting the volatile organic compounds in such coatings. Most are in com- pliance. Estimated emission reductions in 1980 are 12.7 tons per day which exceeds the anticipated effectiveness by 5 tons. Rule 67.2: This rule prohibits the operation of dry cleaning facilities using petroleum solvents, unless volatile organic emissions from the dryers are reduced by 90 percent. The rule specifies a compliance schedule depen- ding on the size of the facility. Four facilities were required to comply in 1980. Two have installed the necessary equipment, one has stopped using petroleum solvent. The fourth is expected to be in compliance sometime in 1981. Emission reductions of 0.5 tons per day have been realized. Rule 67.7: Prohibits the use of rapid cure and medium cure cutback asphalt. The local manufacturers have reported that they are not making any more rapid or medium cure materials. Implementation of this rule has resulted in approximately 1.0 ton per day reduction of volatile organic compounds emissions. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 9 - The 1979 strategy included commitments from the District to adopt rules in 1980 to control emissions from certain operations; specifically, Auto Refinishing, Wood Furniture, Graphic Printing, Dry Cleaning (using haloge- nated solvents), Marine Coatings and Pharmaceutical Manufacturing. The schedule has since been revised to coincide with a statewide regulatory development schedule. That process was initiated in Jaunary, 1980, and is a cooperative effort between the State Air Resources Board and Air Pollu- tion Control Agencies. Under the revised schedule, two rules affecting San Diego were scheduled for adoption in 1980, one for Dry Cleaning, and the other for Aerospace Coatings. The Dry Cleaning rule was completed late last year, and is expected to be adopted in San Diego by mid 1981. A rule for Aerospace Coatings has not been completed. The statewide process does not seem to benefit San Diego region to a great extent. The process is primarily directed at South Coast Air Basin and San Francisco Bay Area. Table 1.1 at the end of this report provides a complete summary of stationary source control measures along with a schedule for adopting rules. The State Air Resources Board is responsible for controlling pollution from motor vehicles. Standards for motor vehicles continue to provide emission reductions, as new less polluting motor vehicles replace old ones. In 1979 the Air Resources Board also made a commitment to investigate the feasi- bility of establishing standards for off-road vehicles. That work is pre- sently being pursued, but progress is slow. To a certain extent, the legislature is responsible for slowing things down. Special interest legislation is being introduced to stop development and promulgation of standards which could provide about three tons a day reduction in hydro- carbon emissions in 1987. The Air Resources Board is also to develop particulate control measures; however, absolutely no progress has been made. This issue is addressed in the discussion of the particulate control strategy. The San Diego Association of Governments is reponsible for planning and monitoring the implementation of transportation tactics. Implementation is the responsibility of various jurisdictions including the Metropolitan Transit Development Board, Transit Districts, cities, County and CALTRANS. Transportation tactics included various transportation system management and facility improvement measures to increase ridesharing, transit use and bicycle travel, as well as traffic flow improvements and freeway ramp metering. In the Air Quality Strategy, the emission reduction role expected of transportation control measures is quite small. For example, the adopted transportation measures are expected to reduce reactive hydro- carbon emissions by 0.7 tons per day in 1987, less than one percent of total reduction needed to meet the ambient ozone standard by that year. Carbon monoxide emission reductions attributable to transportation mea- sures in 1987 are 6.53 tons per day; this is less than four percent of the total reductions needed to meet the carbon monoxide standard. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 10 - In general, emission reductions from ridesharing, freeway ramp metering, and inter-urban rail service exceeded expectations during the year. Tran- sit ridership has declined rather than increased as originally projected. The reduced emission reduction from transit was offset by gains in other tactics. A detailed assessment of the transportation control measures is included in Volume II of this report. Following is a brief assessment, and a summary is provided in Table 1.2 at the end of this report. T-l: This tactic is an air quality maintenance measure intended to achieve long-term air quality benefits through coordinated land use and transportation actions by local general-purpose govern- ments, SANDAG, transit districts and other special-purpose dis- tricts. No emission reduction targets were established for this tactic. Less progress was made in 1980 in implementing specific project-level measures to facilitate other transportation tactics. T-2: The purpose of this tactic is to shift travel from single- occu- pant vehicles to those carrying two or more persons, thereby reducing total travel. Ridesharing entails prearranged shared rides by people traveling at similar times from approximately the same origin to approximately the same destination. The primary ridesharing arrangements for work trips are carpools, vanpools and buspools. The target for 1980 was a modest 10,000 ridesharers, and that was exceeded by about 50%. Estimated hydrocarbon emis- sions reductions from ridesharing by the end of 1980 are 0.33 tons a day. T-5: This tactic is aimed at diverting automobile users to fixed-route public transit, primarily by increasing the level of transit service. In 1980, as in 1979, the region fell short of meeting transit targets. While transit service and ridership increased from '79 to '80, the targets also increased and the gap between targeted and actual performance did not decrease appreciably. In 1980, 7.5 percent fewer passengers were carried than were tar- geted. Thus, no reduction in emissions were achieved. T-7: Bicycle travel includes short trips to shopping, schools, work, and recreational facilities. With proper facility design and edu- cational programs, it is hoped that increasing numbers of people will use bicycles instead of automobiles, the result being less roadway congestion, improved air quality, and increased energy savings. About 25 miles of bicycle projects were completed in 1980. Demonstration Projects: In 1980, three demonstration projects were initi- ated to directly implement transportation tactics or to test the effective- ness of certain implementation techniques. One project is being carried out by the County of San Diego; the goal is to expand the County's existing employee vanpool program. The other two projects are being carried out by the City of San Diego. Those are aimed at maximizing the use of bicycles in a beach community, and testing the effectiveness of various rideshare marketing techniques. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 11 - SPECIFIC STRATEGY ANALYSIS The entire San Diego County is nonattainment for ozone, whereas the western two-thirds of the county is nonattainment for carbon monoxide and particu- lates. Since the strategy was prepared certain significant changes have occurred. For example, emission factors for in-use vehicles have substan- tially changed; also, evaporative emissions from general aviation were overestimated. The following evaluation of each strategy reflects current information Ozone Strategy The ozone strategy was based on a high ozone concentration of 0.22 ppm in Alpine in 1976, and reactive hydrocarbon emissions of 283 tons per day for that year. The high concentration was assumed to contain 0.04 ppm attri- butable to natural sources. The health standard for ozone is 0.12 ppm and attainment is required by December, 1987. In order to attain the standard, reactive hydrocarbon emissions had to be reduced to 126 tons per day in 1987. That limit was arrived at by using a methodology that reduced emis- sions in the same proportion required to reduce the high ozone concentra- tion to the health standard. For the purposes of this report, the same evaluation methodology will be used. However, the basis for the evaluation will be a new data base. Reactive hydrocarbon emisssions in 1978 were 307 tons per day; substan- tially more than the previously projected 269 tons per day. The increase is primarily due to changes in emission factors for in use motor vehicles. Based on a statistical analysis of the air quality monitoring data for Alpine, the appropriate 1978 high ozone concentration for Alpine in 1978 is 0.20 ppm. Using the 1978 data, reactive hydrocarbon emissions in the region must be limited to 153 tons per day by 1987 in order to attain the health standard. Figure 1.1 provides emission projections for reactive hydrocarbons through 1990. Emissions in 1987 are projected to be 186 tons per day; 33 tons a day in excess of that required to attain the standard. If the State Air Resources Board develops emission standards for off-road vehicles, as dis- cussed previously, the emissions in 1987 would be reduced by a maximum of three tons a day. That would still leave a 30 tons a day shortfall. Further, the benefit of motor vehicle inspection and maintenance (I/M) pro- gram as shown in the figure can only be realized if the legislature autho- rizes the program. In the absence of that authorization, further control measures will be required to offset an additional five tons a day. In summary, smog forming hydorcarbon emissions will continue to be reduced through 1985. The health standards will not be attained in 1987 unless additional measures sufficient to reduce an additional 30 to 38 tons per day are implemented by that time. Given the existing extensive stationary source controls, attainment of the smog standards will depend upon effec- tively reducing the use of automobiles. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I FIGURE 1.1 REACTIVE HYDROCARBONS EMISSIONS TONS/DAY STATIONARY/MOBILE SOURCES « 300- < 200' 4 100- » » » » 307 141 I"X;XvX;Xv X'"'X-X*X'X il|i;i|$i X'X'X'X'X'" X'X'X'X'X** •X'X'X'X'X' XvX'X'X'X1 X*X;XvX;X ixl&l&i 265 114 :•%:?§¥§* Illil Si**:*:*:: ::::5?:§:§S im^iiis •X'XvX'Xv 226 112 :*::::*::*::*:* ;.v.v.V'X-x *siv:ssi: x*x*x*x •$:*.•*.:*•:$:' •:•%:•:•:¥:•*.• 1 IJ «i 93 187 98 X-X ftv: 1'IvI 11: :•:•:•: x*x :5S?J :£•:•:•:•:•; i"x*x*x Us §:W* ill Motor Vehicle Inspection and Maintenance Mobile Source Emissions Stationary Source Emissions •- •• 1 I/M 186 101 •i'&v'lv'x'i: SSig§:ig:: Sjxgj*:*.: x'xvx'x-x ji-:-*.-*.^:*.mil il§|:^:^ S^o?gi:; 185 105 ilii^i x:*:*:*:*:: Siwiw'X'X'X'X'X' I-X'X'X'XJx. yox:i::i:;:^ ||$:i:o:i:¥ 153 Allowable - emissions to attain the ozone standard 1978 1980 1982 1985 1987 1990 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 12 - It should be noted that this assessment is based on the old (Series IVb) growth projections used in the 1979 strategy. The new projections, (Series V), will be used for the preparation of the required 1982 strategy revision. Also, a sophisticated air quality model will be used. With the application of the model and new growth projections the picture may look different than that presented in Figure 1.1. Carbon Monoxide Strategy Approximately 94 percent of all carbon monoxide pollution is from vehicular sources. Pollution from motor vehicles is regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency and the California Air Resources Board. Based on California standards, previous projections indicated the carbon monoxide standard would be attained around 1984 but only until 1992 when the stan- dard would again be exceeded, primarily because of growth. The current projections have been revised to reflect new vehicular emission factors and are shown in Figure 1.2. Based on old growth projections (Series IVb) the San Diego region is expected to attain the standard by as early as 1982 and maintain the standard now beyond 1990. This will occur even if there is no vehicle inspection program; however vehicle inspection would substantially improve the probability for early attainment and extend the maintenance of the standard. Nitrogen Dioxide Strategy The Clean Air Act requires that the national ambient air quality standard for nitrogen dioxide be attained by December 1982. In 1979 the San Diego region was designated nonattainment for this pollutant. In the last Rea- sonable Further Progress report the District indicated that the San Diego region may be in attainment. Since then the District has analyzed the data which confirms that is the case. In March, 1981, an application was submitted to the State Air Resources Board to designate San Diego in attainment for nitrogen dioxide. The State accepted the application, and submitted it to the Environmental Protection Agency for approval. In May, 1981, the Environmental Protection Agency proposed to accept the application. Final action will be taken at the end of a 30 day public comment period. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I FIGURE 1.2 CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSIONS TONS/DAY STATIONARY/MOBILE SOURCES ! I Motor-Vehicle Inspection !—! and Maintenance 1300T 900-• 500-• 100-- 1289 73 i?i I- 1032 60 993 61 :$::•:: 939 845 64 $•:•:•:•|| Mobile Source Emi Stationary Source r . 901 r 811 65 '•!•:•;•:•:•:•:•:§ 885i 1ii 800 67 Hltl 1978 980 1982 1985 1987 1030 - Allowable emissions to the 1990 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I - 13 - Nitrogen dioxide values at each monitoring site in the county are tabulated below. NITROGEN DIOXIDE ANNUAL AVERAGE - PARTS PER HUNDRED MILLION STANDARD VIOLATION >5 PARTS PER HUNDRED MILLION 1979 1980 El Cajon Chula Vista Escondido San Diego Island Avenue Oceanside San Diego Overland 92 36 55 65 64 61 48 91 20 95 3.41 2.77 All stations in the basin met the annual Federal Nitrogen Dioxide standard in both years. Particulate Strategy The total suspended particulate standard must be attained by December, 1982. Most particulate emissons are attributable to mineral product plants and vehicular travel on unpaved roads. The revised Regional Air Quality Strategy included two tactics to reduce fugitive emissions from vehicular travel at mineral product plants and unpaved roads. These two tactics taken together were expected to reduce particulate emissions by 50 tons a day in 1982. The State Air Resources Board, in its adoption of the Strategy, did not adopt these tactics but instead required additional refinements of the ana- lysis and control strategy. The District submitted a workplan, but has had no specific response from the State Air Resources Board. Although the Air Resources Board has established a statewide policy and a committment to adopt necessary controls to attain the standard, there has been no progress to that end. The Air Resources Board's efforts are primarily directed to- ward dealing with smog and carbon monoxide. The Environmental Protection Agency's notice of rulemaking concerning the San Diego Strategy (April 14, 1981) requires committments to study and con- trol fugitive emissions. The District will provide such committments in coordination with the State Air Resources Board. The state should move expeditiously to develop control measures necessary to attain the standard. Without the Air Resources Board's assistance, the health standard may not be attained by 1982. TABLE 1.1 SUMMARY PROGRESS TOWARD IMPLEMENTATION OF THE R-RAQS/79 SIP Ozone Strategy Page 1 1981 Reasonable Further Proaress Reoort TACTIC CONTROL MEASURES NO. PI* Dry Cleaners (Non-halogenated) P2 Organic Compound Surface Cleaners P3* Architectural Surface Coatings P4.01 General Metal Parts and Products P4.02 Can and Coil Coatings P4.03 Paper and Fabric Coatings P4.04 Auto Refinishing P4.05 Wood Furniture P4.06 Aerospace P4.07 Graphic Printing SAN DIFGO AIR POI 1 IIT10N COMTROI DISTRICT Rule No. 67.2 67.6 67.0 & 67.1 67.3 67.4 67.5 NA NA NA NA Rule Adoption Scheduled 1/78 6/79 11/77 4/79 4/79 5/79 12/80 9/80 not specified 1/80 Actual orAnticipated 1/78 7/79 11/77 . 5/79 5/79 5/79 1982 1981 1981 Undetermined Year Effective Scheduled (R-RAQS) 1980 & 1984 1980 & 1984 1979 3 1980 1982 1982 1982 1983 1984 1984 1983 Scheduled (Rule) or Anticipated 1978, 1980, 1982 & 1984 1980 & 1982 1979 & 1980 1982 1982 1982 1984 or 1985 1984 1986 Undetermined 1987 RHC Emissions (tons/day) R-RAQS/SIP Trends 0.5 21.8 8.4 21.1 0.5 0.2 6.2 6.2 11.3 1.9 Reduction 0 10.9 0 18.0 0.5 =0.2 5.3 '5.3 9.0 1.3 RFP Evaluation Trends 0.6 17.7 8.7 5.8 0.3 0.2 6.0 5.6 7.9 0.2 Reduction 0 5.3 0 3.0 0.3 *0.2 2.0 2.2 4.7 Undeterminec *P1 Dry Cleaners and P3 Architectural Surface Coatings were assumed in the baseline emissions case for future year implementation, and no additional control was credited for R-RAQS implementation. 1981 Reasonable Further Prepress Report TABLE 1.1 - continued SUMMARY PROGRESS TOWARD IMPLEMENTATION OF THE R-RAQS/79 SIPiOzone Strategy Page 2 SAN DIEGO AIR POLLUTION CONTROL DISTRICT TACTIC CONTROL MEASURES NO. P4.08 Other Special Coatings P8a Fixed & Floating Roof Storage P8b Marketing & Transfer P21** Dry Cleaning (Perchloroethylene) P23 Marine Coatings P24*** Cutback Asphalt P25 Chemical .Products Manufacturing P30 Marine Lightering M24 Maximum Inspection and Maintenance Rule No. NA 61.1 61.2, 61.3 & 61.4 NA NA 67.7 NA NA NA Rule Adoption Scheduled 7/79 3/79 3/79 3/80 6/80 6/79 3/80 U n d e t 7/79 Actual or Anticipated Undetermined 10/78 10/78 8/81 1982 8/79 1901 e r m 1 n e d Not on Schedult Year Effective Scheduled (R-RAQS) 1984 1980 1980-1985 1984 1981 1982 1982 U n d e t 1982 Scheduled (Rule) or Anticipated Undetermined 1980 1978-1982 1983 1985 or 1986 1980 & 1982 1983 or 1984 e r m 1 n e d 1982 1987 RHC Emissions (tons/day) R-RAQS/SIP Trends 1.7 1.0 3.9 4.6 3.2 5.4 24,4 Not Incl so no cr 42.6 Reduction 1.2 0.5 1.9 2.7 1.1 4.9 11,0 ided in the :dit for re( 16.2 RFP Evaluation Trends 2.8 1.6 2.2 4.2 4.3 5.2 12.5 emissions uctions Is 71.4 Reduction Undetermined 0.8 0".6 2.1 1.7 1.1 9.2 Inventory assessed. .5.2 ** Dry Cleaning (Perchloroethylene): In the original R-RAQS analysis, dry cleaning halogenated solvents were not considered reactive. However, under the EPA reactivity classification scheme, these emissions are considered reactive and so will be included now and in the future. n *** P24 Cutback Asphalt: Cutback asphalt emissions were not included in the 75' Emissions Inventory or credited against total emissions for the R-K TABLE 1.2 T-TACTIC RFP SUMMARY. 1980 T-l Modified Land Use Tactic T-2 Expanded Rldesharlng T-5 Expanded Transit T-7 Encourage Bike Travel T-14 Traffic Flow Improvements T-21 Flex-Time and Staggered Work Hours T-22 Preferential Parking for Rldesharers T-23 Carpool Toll Reduction on Coronado Bridge T-24 Park-and-Rlde Facilities T-25 Traffic Engineering forTransit T-26 Reduced On-Street Parking T-27 Encourage Pedestrian Mode T-28 Expanded Inter-Urban Busand Rail T-29 Freeway Ramp Metering 1980 Emission Reduction Targets (Tons/Day) RHC CO 0.22 0.07 0.05 0.28 0 0.003 0.03 N/A 2.23 0.68 0.30 3.02 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0 0.035 0.26 1980 Emission Reduction Targets (Tons/Day) RHC CO N/A 0.33 3.31 ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A ?? 0.009 0.114 0.14 1.02 Milestones Achieved? ' Comments Partially N/A - Any Emission reductions from support tactics are Included In targets of principal tactics. Yes No Yes Partially Partially No Partially Yes No No Yes Yes Yes