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HomeMy WebLinkAbout; ; CITY OF CARLSBAD 2008 GROWTH MANAGEMENT PROGRAM MONITORING REPORT; 2008-01-01 CITY OF CARLSBAD 2008 Growth Management Program Monitoring Report Carlsbad City Council Claude A. “Bud” Lewis, Mayor Ann J. Kulchin, Mayor Pro Tem Matt Hall Mark Packard Keith Blackburn Report prepared in cooperation with the following departments: Community Development Department Planning Department Public Works Department Fire Department Parks & Recreation Department Library Department Carlsbad Municipal Water District 2 Introduction This report is directed to the Carlsbad City Council, the City‟s various appointed boards and commissions, staff, and the citizens of Carlsbad. Its purpose is to report on the functioning of the Growth Management Program in Carlsbad for the calendar year covering January 1, 2008 – December 31, 2008, and to verify that the program is continuing to accomplish its stated objectives. These objectives are primarily to ensure adequate public facilities are provided concurrent with growth, and secondly to assure compliance with the ultimate dwelling unit limitations that were made a part of the Growth Management Plan when approved by the voters as Proposition E. Performance Standards Proposition E provided broad guidelines for determining adequacy of public facilities. These guidelines were given greater definition in the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (Sept. 16, 1986) by means of specific performance standards for each of the eleven public facilities. These public facilities, their current status and anticipated adequacy at build-out are as follows: Public Facility CY 2008 Adequacy Status (Meets performance standard?) Build out Adequacy Status (Meets performance standard?) City Administrative Facilities Yes Yes Library Yes Yes Wastewater Treatment Capacity Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Parks Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Drainage Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Circulation Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Fire Yes Yes Open Space Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Schools Yes Yes Sewer Collection System Yes Additional facilities to be provided* Water Distribution System Yes Additional facilities to be provided* * For additional information, please see the expanded discussion on each individual public facility beginning on page 10. City Administrative Facilities, Library, and Wastewater Treatment Capacity are facilities that serve the entire City. Their adequacy in meeting the performance standard is analyzed by considering the cumulative impact of citywide development. The failure of any one of these facilities to meet the adopted performance standard would affect the City as a whole. In that event, all development in the City would be halted until the deficiency is corrected. 3 Parks are analyzed on a quadrant basis. This means that if the standard is not being met in the quadrant, development is halted for all Local Facility Management Zones (described below) in the quadrant. Similarly, Fire is analyzed on the basis of service areas which include several Local Facility Management Zones (zone). The remaining facilities (Drainage, Circulation, Open Space, Schools, Sewer Collection System, and Water Distribution System) are analyzed on a zone basis. If one of these facilities falls below the performance standard in a given zone, development in this zone would stop and other zones would not be affected if they are continuing to meet all performance standards. Please turn to page 10 for a description of the individual facility performance standards and an analysis on the adequacy of each facility. Status of the Local Facility Management Zone Plans The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan divided the City into 25 Local Facilities Management Zones. Each zone is required to have an adopted Local Facilities Management Plan (zone plan) prior to any development in the zone. Of the twenty-five zones, twenty-four have adopted zone plans. One of the property owners within Zone 25 has submitted a master plan pre-filing for City review, which describes the applicant‟s proposal to develop the area. It is anticipated that an application for a master plan and zone plan will be submitted for technical review during 2009. Zone 25 is the only zone to remain without an adopted plan. Consistent with Growth Management, the zone plan must describe how the zone will be developed, how compliance with the Growth Management standards will be achieved, how the necessary public facilities will be provided, and what financing mechanisms will be used for the facilities. Please see Figure 1 for the general boundaries and locations of the Local Facility Management Zones. 4 Figure 1 COLLEGE BLAVIARA PY MELROSE DREL CAMI NO R E AL CANNON R D ALGA R D TAM ARACK AV OLIVENHAIN RDCARLSBAD VILLAGE DR CARLSBAD BL POINSETTIA LN LA COSTA A V PALOMAR AIRPORT RD 1223 9 11 6 21 19 4 20 10 22 17 18 133 16 5 24 8 15 7 14 1 2 25 City of Carlsbad Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) J:\cargis2\products\planning\r261.08 Population The performance standards for City Administrative Facilities, Library, and Parks are stated in terms of population. The federal census is the most accurate statement of population available. The census is taken every ten years at the beginning of each decade, with periodic updates. According to the 2006 update to the Federal Census, the total population for Carlsbad was 95,421, and the total number of dwelling units was 40,621. Dividing these numbers (95,421 / 40,621) results in an average persons per household number of 2.349. According to City records, the total number of dwelling units in Carlsbad was 44,281 as of December 31, 2008 (see page below for a discussion of residential development activity). Using the persons per household number (2.349), the resulting citywide population as of December 31, 2008 is estimated to be 104,016. This is the population number used by this report for analyzing the adequacy of City Administrative Facilities, Library and Parks. This methodology can also be applied to the Growth Management dwelling unit cap to estimate a build out population of 120,383. It should be noted that the above population estimates are based on the 2006 update of Federal Census population data and are for facility planning purposes only. As a comparison, the California Department of Finance 5 estimates that the population for Carlsbad as of January 1, 2008 was 103,811. The federal census will be conducted again in 2010 and the persons per household number can be adjusted in the future as part of the monitoring process. Residential Development Activity Building permits for 257 new dwelling units were issued during the Calendar Year (CY) 2008. Table 1 provides a breakdown by zone. Compared to previous years, the number of new dwelling units in CY 2008 is lower than in the previous five years. Figure 2 shows recent five year trend for residential building permits issued. Table 1 Residential Zone Dwelling Units 1 40 2 0 3 1 6 4 7 0 8 0 9 0 10 50 11 71 12 0 13 0 14 78 15 0 16 0 17 0 18 0 19 1 20 0 21 0 22 12 23 0 24 0 25 0 Total 257 6 Figure 2 Calendar Year Residential Permits Issued 1,600 ~----------------- 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2004 ti Permits Issued 1,476 2005 1,480 2006 2007 2008 713 364 257 7 Non-Residential Development Activity Building permits for 707,804 square feet of new non-residential construction were issued during CY 2008, comprising both commercial and industrial development. Table 2 provides a breakdown by zone. For CY 2008, the square footage of non-residential construction has decreased as compared to the previous three years (see Figure 3 for the recent five year trend in non-residential construction). Table 2 Non-residential Zone Square Feet Permitted Commercial Industrial 1 16,249 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 235,526 6 0 20,467 7 0 0 8 0 0 9 0 0 10 0 0 11 1,880 0 12 0 0 13 39,089 0 14 3,230 0 15 0 0 16 0 0 17 164,037 40,000 18 0 159,931 19 2,075 0 20 13,666 0 21 0 0 22 11,654 0 23 0 0 24 0 0 25 0 0 Subtotal 251,880 455,924 Total 707,804 8 Figure 3 Calendar Year Non-Residential Square Feet Permitted 1,600,000 ~---------------- 1,400,000 +--------- 1,200,000 +----- 1,000,000 +----- 800,000 +----- 600,000 -+----- 400,000 +----- 200,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Sq ua re Feet Perm itted 313,814 1,336,312 1,373,138 1,457,958 707,804 9 Proposition E Compliance The purpose of this part of the report is to demonstrate that the ultimate dwelling unit caps stated in Proposition E will not be exceeded. Proposition E states “the maximum number of residential dwelling units to be constructed or approved in the City after November 4, 1986 is as follows: Northwest Quadrant 5,844; Northeast Quadrant 6,166; Southwest Quadrant 10,667; Southeast Quadrant 10,801.” As shown in Figure 4, all quadrants are in compliance with the dwelling unit caps established by Proposition E for CY 2008. Figure 4 Council Policy Statement 43 – Proposition E “Excess Dwelling” Unit Bank (bank) established a dwelling unit bank concept in order to enable the City to grant density increases for certain types of residential projects, such as affordable housing projects, while assuring that the Proposition E caps are not exceeded. For projects that develop below the allowable density under Growth Management, these “excess” dwelling units are placed into the bank, and those units are then available to allow other projects to exceed the allowable density. The units in the bank have resulted from the following sources: (1) projects being developed at below allowable density under Growth Management, and (2) original build out estimates for Proposition E were based on a general analysis of the City as a whole, and the subsequent zone plans provided more detailed analysis and accurate information about constrained lands and developable Quadrant Dwelling Unit Report January 1, 2009 NORTHWEST 12,83 1 Existing units 2 539 Future 15,370 Total· SOUTHWEST 10,914 EXIsting unr1s 1 945 Future 12,859 Total• NORTHEAST 5.521 Existing untts 3.521 Future 9 042 Total • SOUTHEAST 15,015 Existing units 2 313 Future 17,328 Total• * Bascu on Proposilion 'E' Caps addc<l to the existing units in 1986 10 acreage, resulting in lower and more refined projections of the development potential of various portions of the City. On December 17, 2002, the City Council adopted Resolution No. 2002-350, which amended Council Policy Statement 43 by reducing the accumulated number of excess units from 5,985 to a new total of 2,800. This reduced the overall number of units that could be constructed citywide from 54,599 to 51,249. Excess units may be allocated from the bank to any quadrant based on the criteria in Council Policy Statement 43, so long as the citywide dwelling unit cap or individual quadrant caps are not exceeded. Please see Figure 5 for the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank status at the end of the CY 2008. Figure 5 Public Facility Financing In 1991, the City of Carlsbad established Community Facilities District No. 1 (CFD) to provide financing for a number of public facilities of citywide importance that are needed to meet the requirements of the Growth Management Program, including various road and intersection improvements, and the Dove Library. As zone plans are adopted, they are conditioned to annex into the CFD at the time the first discretionary permit grants an entitlement to develop in the zone. This ensures financing for public facilities that can accommodate future growth consistent with the criteria of Growth Management. Status of the Facilities Beginning on page 10 is a discussion of the adequacy of each of the eleven public facilities addressed in Carlsbad‟s Growth Management Program. Excess Dwelling Unit Bank Summary Bank balance of 5.985 reduced to 2.800 January 1 , 2009 Citywide Excess Dwelling Unit Bank Balance is 2.972 as of 12/01/2008 Cily Council Action 1211712002 _ rn:.::=< · ~ =-'7 ,·.'. • ~ IJ \ 'v·· ,_,..\ . :-. V ~J \,:?, _/ NORTHWEST /\;'(~~-, Excess Dwelling Units ·-\ l,. Deposited =65 Withdrawn =101 Sinoe 01/01/2003 SOUTHWEST Excess Dwelling Units Deposited = 37 Withdra-wn = 59 Since 01/01/2003 NORTHEAST Excess Dwelling Units Deposited = 374 Withdrawn =177 Since 01/01/2003 SOUTHEAST Excess Dwelling Units Deposited = 45 Withdra-,m = 12 Since 01/0112003 11 CITY ADMINISTRATIVE FACILITIES A. Performance Standard 1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on a CY 2008 population figure of 104,016, the current demand for administrative facilities is 156,024 square feet. To date, City Administrative Facilities exceeds the performance standard. The existing inventory of City and Carlsbad Municipal Water District buildings (leased and owned) occupied for administrative services includes the following: Facility Dept Address Sq. Ft. City Administration City 1635 Faraday Avenue 68,000 City Council Chambers City 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr 2,500 City Hall Complex City 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr 13,500 City Yard CSD 405 Oak Avenue 8,249 City Yard Modular Building CSD 405 Oak Avenue 1,800 Housing & Redevelopment H&R 2965 Roosevelt 3,200 Senior Center P&R 799 Pine Street 6,750 Parks Administration Parks 1166 Carlsbad Village Dr 504 Parks Modular/Break Room Parks 1166 Carlsbad Village Dr 2,000 Safety Center Pol 2560 Orion Way 64,000 Fleet Yard PW 2480 Impala Drive 10,358 Water District Wtr 5950 El Camino Real 18,000 Water District Modular Wtr 5950 El Camino Real 696 Total 199,557 C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on a projected build-out population of 120,383, the demand for city administrative facilities will be 180,575 s.f. Existing facilities are projected to exceed the Growth Management standard at build out. 12 LIBRARY FACILITIES A. Performance Standard 800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified. Library space (leased/owned, public/non-public) is used as a standard library measurement of customer use and satisfaction and includes collection space, seating, meeting rooms, staff areas, technology, and other public facility needs. A performance standard for library facilities was adopted by the City Council in 1986 as part of the Growth Management Program‟s Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan. This standard was originally developed at that time based on surveys of other libraries of comparable size and based on related standards (such as volumes per capita) set by the American Library Association. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on a CY 2008 population figure of 104,016, the performance standard requires 83,212 s.f. of public library space. To date, the Library Facilities adequately meet the performance standard with current facilities. The Library acquired a new facility location in 2004, which is referred to as the Learning Center. Building renovation began at this site in September 2006 to expand the facility in order to house the Library‟s Adult Learning and Centro de Información programs. The Learning Center renovation was completed and the facility will opened for public use in August 2008. This facility provides 11,393 s.f. of additional owned space. Leased space is eliminated as of July 15, 2008. Owned: Dove Library 64,000 s.f. Cole Library 24,352 s.f. Subtotal 6/30/08 88,352 s.f. Learning Center 11,393 s.f. TOTAL 99,745 s.f. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on a projected build-out population of 120,383, the demand for library facilities will be 96,306 s.f. Existing facilities are projected to exceed the Growth Management standard at build out. 13 Carlsbad‟s population would need to reach about 124,682 before the Growth Management Standard would trigger the need for expanded library space. It is unlikely the City‟s population will trigger the Growth Management Plan requirement to add additional space to the Cole Library before the city reaches build out. However, structural conditions may require the Cole Library to be reconstructed prior to build out. A 1998 feasibility study conducted at the Cole Library indicated several structural and building code issues to be addressed within a reasonable time, including such items as accessibility improvements (American‟s with Disabilities Act), and mechanical and electrical upgrades. The City has already included a building replacement project in the Capital Improvement Program budget, currently scheduled between the years 2016-2021. 14 WASTEWATER TREATMENT CAPACITY A. Performance Standard Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis The Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility Phase V expansion will accommodate the ultimate build out demand and therefore, currently provides adequate capacity in excess of the performance standard. Carlsbad‟s CY 2008 average annual sewer flows of 7.74 MGD represents 75% of the City‟s 10.26 MGD capacity rights. The City‟s average annual sewage flow to EWPCF for the previous five years is measured as follows: Fiscal Year Average Annual Flow CY 2004 7.64 MGD CY 2005 7.36 MGD CY 2006 6.62 MGD CY 2007 7.20 MGD CY 2008 7.74 MGD C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis With the completion of the Encina Phase V expansion, adequate sewer treatment capacity will exist to ensure compliance with the Growth Management Standard through build out of the Carlsbad sewer service area. The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan Update indicates the City‟s projected build-out flow is approximately 9.87 MGD. The master plan conducted an analysis of annual future sewer flow based on General Plan land use projections. Encina Wastewater Authority is currently constructing the Phase V expansion of the treatment facility, which will provide build-out treatment capacity for the entire Encina basin. The City has purchased capacity rights to 10.26 MGD in the expansion project to ensure adequate wastewater treatment capacity is available to accommodate any unanticipated increase in future sewer flows. 15 PARKS A. Performance Standard 3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park District * must be scheduled for construction within a five year period, or prior to construction of 1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time the need is first identified.** B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis To date, all quadrants are in compliance with the performance standard. Quadrant Current Inventory Current Demand NW (89) acres 90 acres required NE 42 acres 41 acres required SW 71 acres 70 acres required SE (78) acres 111 acres required Total (282) acres 312 acres The NW Quadrant, although 1 acre short of the acreage required, is not out of compliance with the GMP because neither has the time (5 years) nor dwelling units (1,562 dwelling units) trigger points been reached (refer to ** in Section A above and in the footnote below). The SE quadrant is also in compliance because Alga Norte Park is scheduled for construction*** and will add 32 acres to meet demand. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis After construction of Alga Norte Park, the only Quadrant projected to be in deficit at build out and requiring additional acreage to meet the performance standard is the NE Quadrant, which will require the construction of a park by 2021. This need could be met by either construction (partially or fully) of Veteran‟s Memorial Park or Robertson Ranch Park. * "Park District" = "quadrant". There are four park districts within the city, corresponding to the four quadrants. ** The threshold for triggering the construction of a new park is as follows: Once a deficit of park acreage in a quadrant is identified, a new park must be scheduled for construction within the time frame of five years, or before the cumulative construction of 1,562 dwelling units, whichever occurs later. ***According to City Council Resolution No. 97-435, “scheduled for construction” means that the improvements have been designed, a park site has been selected, and a financing plan for construction of the facility has been approved. Alga Norte Park meets the definition of “scheduled for construction”. 16 Based on the current FY 08-09 CIP list of projects and the Parks and Recreation Element of the General Plan, the following parks are proposed to be constructed prior to build out: Alga Norte Park, Veteran‟s Memorial Park, Zone 5 Business Park Recreation Facility, and Robertson Ranch Park. Construction of these parks would result in a total park acreage of 437 acres, which is expected to exceed the performance standard by 94 acres (based on projected build out population numbers). See below for a summary of the data. Quadrant Build Out Population Projected Inventory Projected Demand NW 36,104* 126 acres 108 acres required NE 21,240* 80 acres 64 acres required SW 30,206* 96 acres 91 acres required SE 40,704* 135 acres 122 acres required Total 120,383 437 acres 361 acres D. Other Items Figures above do not include park projects listed in the CIP as “unfunded”. Should alternative funding mechanisms be found, and these parks built, the excess acreage amount would increase. * Based on the potential maximum number of dwelling units allowed by Proposition E for each individual quadrant. However, the overall number of units that may be constructed citywide is 51,249 (see pages 7 – 9). This analysis shows adequate park acreage supply at build out, including a scenario where an individual quadrant builds to its ultimate Prop. E dwelling unit limit. 17 DRAINAGE A. Performance Standard Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the City concurrent with development. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis All areas of the City currently meet the growth management drainage performance standard. The standard for drainage distinguishes it from the other public facility standards because, by its very nature, drainage is more accurately assessed as specific development plans for individual projects are finalized. Therefore, the drainage standard was written to allow the City to require appropriate drainage facilities as development plans are finalized and approved. Smaller drainage facilities are addressed during the review of individual project proposals. The larger „backbone‟ drainage facilities are addressed in the City‟s Drainage Master Plan. The City‟s Planned Local Drainage Area (PLDA) fee program was established to assist developers and land owners with the financing of the larger „backbone‟ facilities identified in the Drainage Master plan. There is one area in the City where special conditions are being applied to development projects to ensure compliance with the drainage performance standard. The Agua Hedionda and Calavera Creek channels located east of El Camino Real within the residential community of Rancho Carlsbad were found to be of inadequate size to contain the 100 year flood event. Projects located within Local Facility Management Plan (LFMP) Zones 5, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18 and 24 that drain to the Agua Hedionda or Calavera Creek must comply with the following special conditions to maintain compliance with the drainage performance standard: 1. Financially guarantee construction of the master planned drainage improvements needed to mitigate flooding impacts within the residential community of Rancho Carlsbad. 2. Install onsite drainage improvements to ensure that direct drainage impacts resulting from the proposed development do not exacerbate the potential for downstream flooding of existing development. The financial guarantee, as approved by City Council, included payment of the existing PLDA fee and a requirement to enter into an agreement to pay the proposed updated PLDA fee that guaranteed financing for all required drainage facilities needed to mitigate the existing flooding condition. 18 C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan includes drainage projects designed to accommodate the expected build out demand for drainage services throughout the City. The Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan was updated in 2008 to reflect several changes in the City‟s growth patterns due to the Habitat Management Plan and the Habitat Conservation Plan that impact growth projections and densities in various areas of the City. These changes not only impact expected run-off, but also expected PLDA revenues. The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan proposes the construction of new facilities to accommodate potential storm events and revises the current PLDA program to ensure adequate funds are available to fund construction of needed flood control facilities. Completion of the above described facilities will eliminate the need to impose any further special conditions regarding drainage facilities within LFMP Zones 5, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18 and 24. For more information, please see the 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan and the Capital Improvement Program Budget for FY 2008 – 2009. 19 CIRCULATION A. Performance Standard No road segment or intersection in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) nor any road segment or intersection out of the zone which is impacted by development in the zone shall be projected to exceed a service level C during off-peak hours, nor service level D during peak hours. Impacted means where 20% or more of the traffic generated by the local facility management zone will use the road segment or intersection. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis All intersections and roadway segments currently comply with the Circulation System performance standard. For purposes of monitoring traffic throughout the City, the capacity of an intersection or roadway segment is compared to the actual volumes measured in the field and reported in terms identified as a “Level of Service (LOS). The definition of “Level of Service” is a quantitative measure of traffic conditions that reflects how restrictive vehicle movements are, or may become. The six levels of traffic service range from A to F. LOS Level A represents the most ideal conditions; Level E is at capacity; and Level F indicates forced flow, or stop and go traffic representing a gridlock condition. The Transportation Research Board Highway Capacity Manual further defines LOS based on specific measurements of traffic volumes and roadway capacities. The Growth Management Traffic Monitoring Program for 2008 (see Appendix A for the 2008 Traffic Monitoring Program report summary) included 34 roadway segments and 65 intersections. Results indicate all roadway segments and intersections meet the Growth Management Circulation Standard. After evaluating the results of the intersection LOS analysis, all intersections were identified as operating at LOS C or better during the AM or PM peak hours, and all roadway segments were identified as operating at LOS B or better. These will continue to be monitored in future Traffic Monitoring Programs. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis The Traffic Monitoring Program will continue to be utilized to monitor LOS and verify road and intersection performance and compliance with Growth Management standards at build out. In addition, future road segments have been identified in the Circulation Element of the General Plan as necessary to accommodate the build out of the city. The land use plan and road network of the Carlsbad General Plan are based on the 20 Growth Management residential capacity limits. Traffic forecasts for Carlsbad prepared by SANDAG are based on the build out of the General Plan and future regional traffic projections. To ensure compliance with the Growth Management Plan, Local Facility Management Plans detail the construction and financing plans for any circulation improvements identified by the traffic forecasts as necessary to accommodate the future build out. For more information, please see the Capital Improvement Program Budget for FY 2008 – 2009. .. ~,"!\"!::, o·;;,,,,,, i i ,;:)TT?;i\::,•1.,G CITY OF CARLSBAD CIRCULATION PLAN -~~-' ••• I ••• , )~Hi : .:_,.._ ... Vh't,\ ,,, .. , .. LEGEND: >-+-R/4/LROflD -FREfio/t\Y P~f!,fC Ai·fl'ERIAL lriAJ~ ARTER.','!!. SCCONDAR'/ ARTERIAL (XJLLH:IUH S!}U::f: J FUTU.~E ROAD 21 FIRE A. Performance Standard The number of dwelling units outside a five-minute “travel time” from the nearest fire station shall not exceed 1,500 units. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis The Fire Department is in compliance with the Growth Management Plan standard. None of the six fire station response areas have experienced growth that exceeded the 1,500 dwelling units outside of a five-minute travel distance. The intent of the Growth Management Plan (GMP) standard as applied to the Fire Department is to establish the number of stations and their locations, based upon travel distances. The outcome of the performance standard in regard to the number of stations and their locations is that emergency response resources are distributed throughout the City to ensure that no more than 1,500 dwelling units exist outside the 5 minute travel time from the nearest fire station. The GMP standard recognized a five-minute travel time from a fire station to the emergency scene as a reasonable means of locating fire station facilities throughout the community. At this time, the City currently maintains an inventory of six fire stations; however Fire Station No. 3 is in a temporary location. At the time the GMP was developed, scientific fire behavior information and recognized best practices supported the position that a response time of five minutes would result in effective fire incident intervention. To determine the most desirable geographic sites for future fire stations, it was necessary to convert the five-minute response time to a measurable distance that could be applied to a future road network scheme. Because the GMP provides no other trigger mechanism for the installation of additional fire stations, it follows that up to 1,500 dwelling units could exist outside the five-minute reach of the closest fire station for an indeterminate length of time without violating the GMP standard. The five- minute travel time measure was selected exclusively as a means of logically positioning emergency response resources throughout the City. Therefore, the standard would be applied as a means of measuring compliance with locating fire facilities in accordance with the GMP, not the performance of the Fire Department meeting service responsibilities. The GMP determines the number of fire stations and their locations, not Fire Department response times. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis At build out no single fire station district will exceed the established threshold of more than 1,500 units that exist outside of a five minute travel time. 22 Geographic Information System Department (GIS) created a map based upon the following information in order to determine compliance with the Growth Management Plan based upon fire station locations and anticipated future development: ● 2.5 mile road distance from each of the 6 Fire Stations; ● Fire Station No. 6 located at its permanent location of 7201 Rancho Santa Fe Road; ● Relocated Fire Station No. 3 sited just east of the northeast corner of the intersection of Cannon Road and El Camino Real; ● Included all planned, major roadway arterials; and ● Determined the number of dwelling units at build-out based upon CY 08 adopted zoning and land use standards for areas identified on the map as falling outside of the 2.5 mile road distance. Compliance with the terms of the Growth Management Plan is confirmed by determining that the total number of dwelling units that exist outside of a five minute travel time from the nearest fire station does not exceed the threshold of 1,500 units. The GIS map, based upon the above-noted assumptions, revealed the following findings: Fire Station Total Number of Dwelling Number Units Outside of 5 Minutes 1, 3 & 4 1,010 (Aggregated) 2 798 5 897 6 811 Total 3,516 As noted above, the GIS map analysis revealed that at build out, an inventory of six City Fire Stations will meet the performance standards of the Growth Management Plan. This includes the relocation of Fire Station No. 3, as planned for in the Capital Improvement Program. 23 OPEN SPACE A. Performance Standard Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis To date, adequate open space has been provided to meet the performance standard. Open space to meet the performance standard is provided concurrent with approval of projects. The location of performance standard open space must be indicated during project-specific analysis. It must be in addition to any constrained areas, such as protected wildlife habitat or slopes greater than 40%. At the time the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (1986) was adopted to implement Growth Management, the LFMZ‟s were divided into those that were already developed and considered in compliance with Growth Management, and those that still needed to comply with the open space performance standard. The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (CFIP) indicated zones 1 through 10, and 16 were already developed and considered in compliance. Subsequent to the CFIP, zones 11 – 15, 17 – 21, and 23 – 24 have provided adequate performance standard open space to meet the performance standard as development occurred, either through implementation of master plans or individual projects. Zone 22 is still developing and in the process of providing its performance standard open space. Future projects will be required to provide open space to meet the performance standard. Zone 25 is largely undeveloped and no LFMP has been adopted for the zone. Before development is allowed, an LFMP must be adopted which demonstrates how the zone will provide adequate performance standard open space. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis All LFMZ‟s, except for Zones 22 and 25 discussed above, have met the minimum Growth Management performance standard. Future projects in Zones 22 and 25 must provide open space in compliance with the performance standard. 24 SCHOOLS A. Performance Standard School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected occupancy. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis Currently, the school capacity is in compliance with the Growth Management Performance Standard (see below). The City is served by four school districts as listed below: 1. Carlsbad Unified School District According to the Carlsbad Unified School District Facilities Master Plan (2007), sufficient student capacity exists through 2014. 2. San Marcos Unified School District Projections for enrollment and school capacity analysis were not available; however, it is the practice of the City to require all development projects to pay impact fees to the appropriate school district to ensure adequate facilities are provided. 3. Encinitas Union Elementary School District According to demographics data in the Encinitas Union Elementary School District Facilities Master Plan (Nov. 2004), sufficient student capacity exists through 2015. 4. San Dieguito Union High School District Based on demographic projections provided by San Dieguito Union High School District, it is estimated that schools serving Carlsbad will have sufficient student capacity through 2018. C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on available information, it is estimated that school districts will maintain sufficient capacity through the years 2014 – 2018. School enrollment projections and facility master plans will be periodically updated by the school districts, allowing future capacity analysis to be performed to verify enrollment can be accommodated. 25 SEWER COLLECTION SERVICES A. Performance Standard Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the appropriate sewer districts, must be provided concurrent with development. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis Sewer improvements are provided on a project by project basis concurrent with development. Currently, the Carlsbad Sewer District sewer lines are in compliance with the Growth Management Performance Standard. The City of Carlsbad is served by the following four major interceptor systems and is described in more detail as follows: Note: MGD = million gallons per day For both the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor and the Buena Interceptor, the percentage of Carlsbad capacity rights increase in the downstream reaches of each interceptor system (35% in the upstream reaches up to 50% in the downstream reaches to Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility). C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan evaluated the sewer infrastructure needs of the Carlsbad Sewer District and identified those facilities required to accommodate future customers at build out. The master plan identified the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor as requiring improvements to accommodate build out demand (see below). Sewer trunk main capacities are estimated by comparing wastewater flow projections to the capacity of the sewer system. Using a sewer model, the existing and future sewer demands are estimated and compared to Interceptor System Sewer Districts Served Carlsbad Capacity Rights Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor Carlsbad Sewer & Vista Sanitation Districts Varies up to 50% Buena Interceptor Carlsbad Sewer, Vista Sewer & Buena Sanitation Districts Varies up to 35% Vallecitos Interceptor Carlsbad Sewer & Vallecitos Water District 5 MGD Occidental Sewer Carlsbad Sewer, Encinitas Sanitation & Leucadia Sanitation Districts 8.5 MGD 26 the capacity. In addition, annual flow measurement information is also used to determine actual flows in the sewer trunk mains. Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor: A capacity analysis included in the 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan indicates three relatively flat pipeline portions of Reaches VC13, VC14 & VC15. As a result, during peak period flows, the pipeline is flowing full. The FY 08/09 Capital Improvement Program has identified funds for construction of upgrades to these reaches projected to begin in FY 09. The replacement pipelines are sized based on ultimate flows from both the Carlsbad and Vista Sewer Districts. 27 WATER DISTRIBUTION SERVICES A. Performance Standard Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate water district must be provided concurrent with development. A minimum of 10-day average storage capacity must be provided prior to any development. B. CY 2008 Facility Adequacy Analysis Areas of Carlsbad served by both Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD) and Olivenhain Municipal Water District (OMWD) meet the minimum storage capacity. Water service demand requirements are estimated using a computer model to simulate the two water distribution scenarios: 1) maximum day demand plus a fire event, 2) peak hour demand as well as other possible scenarios. This computer model was calibrated using actual flow measurements collected in the field to verify it sufficiently represents the actual water system. Existing and Future Daily Demand and Storage Requirements Existing Maximum Daily Demand 27 MGD Existing Storage Requirement 40 MG Existing Storage 51 MG Future Maximum Daily Demand 40 MGD Future Storage Requirement 55 MG Based on the water model analysis prepared with the 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan, future pipelines and water system facilities were identified to ensure a complete water system is constructed to accommodate future customers. In addition, funds for the construction of future facilities were included in the FY08/09 Capital Improvement Program. Therefore, the future water infrastructure is programmed to be in place at the time of need in order to ensure compliance with the performance standard. The 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan estimates an average daily demand of 16.2 MGD. Therefore, to meet the 10 day storage requirement, CMWD must ensure 162 MG of storage capacity. Maerkle Dam, which has a storage capacity of 195 MG currently provides the requested storage volume for the District. Adequate 10 average-day storage capacities exist for the current customers in the Carlsbad Municipal Water District based on the capacity of existing and future reservoirs. In 2004, the OMWD completed construction of a water treatment facility at the San Diego County Water Authority Emergency Storage Reservoir. 28 C. Build Out Facility Adequacy Analysis The 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan identifies facilities necessary for City build- out conditions. The update identified additional improvements required to meet future water demands and the need for two additional water storage tanks to meet future 10 average-day storage requirements. As future land development projects are processed through the Development Services Division, the CMWD Water Master Plan is periodically used to check pipeline sizes and facility capacities to verify adequacy. In addition, land development projects may be required to install a master plan water project concurrent with construction of that specific project.