HomeMy WebLinkAbout; ; CITY OF CARLSBAD 2010 GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN MONITORING REPORT; 2010-01-01
CITY OF CARLSBAD
2010 Growth Management Plan
Monitoring Report
Carlsbad City Council
Matt Hall, Mayor
Ann Kulchin, Mayor Pro Tem
Mark Packard
Keith Blackburn
Farrah Golshan Douglas
Report prepared in cooperation with the following departments:
Community and Economic Development
Fire
Parks & Recreation
Library and Cultural Arts Transportation
Utilities
Carlsbad Municipal Water District
2
Introduction
The purpose of this report is to provide information regarding the status of the Carlsbad Growth
Management Plan (GMP) for the calendar year covering January 1, 2010 – December 31, 2010, and to verify that the plan is continuing to accomplish its stated objectives. The primary objectives
of the GMP are to ensure that adequate public facilities are provided concurrent with growth, and to
assure compliance with the ultimate dwelling unit limitations that were established by Proposition E, which was passed by voters in 1986.
Performance Standards
Proposition E established broad guidelines for determining adequacy of public facilities. These guidelines are further defined in the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (Sept. 16, 1986) by means of specific performance standards for each of the eleven public facilities. These public
facilities, their performance standards, current status, and anticipated adequacy at buildout are outlined in Table 1 and Table 2, as follows:
Table 1 Performance Standards
Public
Facility Performance Standard More Information on Page
City Administrative
Facilities
1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of
6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified.
11
Library
800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be
scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the
need is first identified.
12
Wastewater Treatment
Capacity Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period. 13
Parks
3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park District must be scheduled for
construction within a five year period, or prior to construction of 1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time
the need is first identified.
14
Drainage Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the City
concurrent with development. 16
Circulation
No road segment or intersection in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) nor any road segment or intersection
out of the zone which is impacted by development in the zone shall be projected to exceed a service level C during off-peak
hours, nor service level D during peak hours. Impacted means where 20% or more of the traffic generated by the local facility management zone will use the road segment or intersection.
18
3
Table 1, Continued Performance Standards
Public Facility Performance Standard
More
Information on Page
Fire The number of dwelling units outside a five-minute “travel time”
from the nearest fire station shall not exceed 1,500 units. 21
Open Space
Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility
Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for
permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development.
23
Schools
School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local
Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected
occupancy.
24
Sewer Collection
System
Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the appropriate sewer districts, must be provided concurrent with
development.
25
Water
Distribution
System
Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate water district must be provided concurrent with development. A
minimum of 10-day average storage capacity must be provided prior to any development.
27
Table 2 Facility Adequacy Status
Public Facility CY 2010 Adequacy Status
(Meets performance standard?)
Buildout Adequacy Status
(Meets performance standard?)
City Administrative Facilities Yes Yes
Library Yes Yes
Wastewater Treatment
Capacity
Yes Yes
Parks Yes Additional facilities to be provided*
Drainage Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Circulation Yes Additional facilities to be provided*
Fire Yes Yes
Open Space Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Schools Yes Yes
Sewer Collection System Yes Additional facilities to be provided*
Water Distribution System Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
* For additional information, please see the expanded discussion and an analysis on the adequacy of
each public facility beginning on page 11.
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What Happens if Facilities Do Not Meet the Performance Standard?
The GMP requires development activity to stop (in a specific area of the city or citywide) if a
performance standard is not being met, as described below:
• Administrative Facilities, Library, and Wastewater Treatment Capacity are facilities that serve the entire City. Their adequacy in meeting the performance standard is analyzed by
considering the cumulative impact of citywide development. The failure of any one of these
facilities to meet the adopted performance standard would affect the City as a whole. In that event, all development in the City would be halted until the deficiency is corrected.
• Parks are analyzed on a quadrant basis. This means that if the standard is not being met in
the quadrant, development is halted for all Local Facility Management Zones (LFMZs, see
description below) in the quadrant.
• Fire facilities are analyzed on the basis of fire station districts which can comprise multiple LFMZs, and if the standard is not met for a district, then development would be halted in that
district.
• The remaining facilities (Drainage, Circulation, Open Space, Schools, Sewer Collection
System, and Water Distribution System) are analyzed on an LFMZ basis. If one of these facilities falls below the performance standard in a given LFMZ, development in that LFMZ
would stop and other zones would not be affected if they are continuing to meet all
performance standards.
Local Facility Management Zone Plans The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan divided the City into 25 Local Facilities Management
Zones (LFMZ). Each LFMZ is required to have an adopted Local Facilities Management Plan (LFMP) prior to any development in the LFMZ. Of the twenty-five LFMZs, twenty-four have adopted LFMPs. Zone 25 is the only LFMZ to remain without an adopted plan. Prior to any development in
Zone 25, an LFMP must be adopted.
Consistent with the GMP, the LFMP must: describe how the LFMZ will be developed, how
compliance with the Growth Management standards will be achieved, how the necessary public facilities will be provided, and what financing mechanisms will be used for the facilities. Please see
Figure A for the general boundaries and locations of the LFMZs.
5
Figure A
Population as a Measurement for Facility Performance Standards
As indicated in Table 1, above, the performance standards for City Administrative facilities, Library facilities, and Parks are stated in terms of population. The demand for these facilities is based on
each new dwelling unit built and the estimated number of new residents it adds to the city, which is
determined using the average number of persons per household. According to the 2006 update to the Federal Census, the average number of persons per household in Carlsbad is 2.349 persons.
As of December 31, 2010, the City’s population is estimated to be 105,299, which is based on 2.349 persons per household and the estimated number of dwelling units in Carlsbad, which is
44,827 (see page below for a discussion of residential development activity).
As part of the monitoring process, the persons per household number can be adjusted in the future
when updated Federal Census data is available. It should be noted that the above population
estimates are for facility planning purposes only and not an official population estimate for Carlsbad.
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2010 Residential Development Activity
Building permits for 372 new dwelling units were issued during the Calendar Year (CY) 2010. Table
3 provides a breakdown by LFMZ, excluding the zones that had no development activity. Figure 2 shows the recent five year trend for the number of residential building permits issued.
Table 3 2010 Residential Development by LFMZ
Residential
Zone Dwelling Units
1 11
3(NW) 1
6(SE) 4
10 166
11 115
14 71
20 4
Total 372
Figure 2
Calendar Year Residential Permits Issued
800 ~-------------------
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
# Permits Iss ued
2006 2007
713 364
2008 2009 2010
257 174 372
7
Non-Residential Development Activity
Building permits for 329,362 square feet of new non-residential construction were issued during CY
2010, comprising both commercial and industrial development. Table 4 provides a breakdown by LFMZ, excluding the zones that had no development activity. Figure 3 shows the recent five year
trend for the square footage of non-residential construction that was permitted.
Table 4
2010 Non-Residential Development by LFMZ
Non-residential
Zone Square Feet Permitted
Commercial Industrial
5(NE) 36,950 0
6 (SE) 18,443 0
11 0 11,400
13 36,254 0
16 0 170,597
17 49,660 0
19 6,058 0
Subtotal 147,365 181,997
Total 329,362
Figure 3
Calendar Year Non-Residential
Square Feet Permitted
1,600,000 ~------------------
1,400,000 -+------
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Square Feet Permitted 1,373,138 1,457,958 707,804 108,622 329,362
8
Proposition E Compliance
The purpose of this part of the report is to demonstrate that the ultimate dwelling unit caps stated in
Proposition E will not be exceeded. Proposition E states “the maximum number of residential dwelling units to be constructed or approved in the City after November 4, 1986 is as follows:
Northwest Quadrant 5,844; Northeast Quadrant 6,166; Southwest Quadrant 10,667; Southeast
Quadrant 10,801.” This resulted in dwelling unit caps as shown in Figure 4 (see the totals for each quadrant below). All quadrants are in compliance with the dwelling unit caps established by
Proposition E for CY 2010. Figure 4
Council Policy Statement 43 (Proposition E “Excess Dwelling” Unit Bank) established a dwelling
unit bank concept in order to enable the City to grant density increases for certain types of residential projects, such as affordable housing projects, while assuring that the Proposition E caps
are not exceeded. For projects that develop below the allowable density under Growth Management, these “excess” dwelling units are placed into the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank (Bank), and those units are then available to allow other projects to exceed the allowable density.
On December 17, 2002, the City Council adopted Resolution No. 2002-350, which amended
Council Policy Statement 43 by reducing the accumulated number of excess units from 5,985 to a
Quadrant Dwelling Unit Report
NORTHWEST
12,861 Existing units
2 509 Future
15,370 Total *
SOUTHWEST
10,919 Existing units
1940 Future
12,859 Total *
DECEMBER 2010
NORTHEAST
5,638 Existing units
3 404 Future
9,042 Total *
SOUTHEAST
15,409 Existing units
1919 Future
17,328 Total*
* Based on Proposition 'E' Caps added to the existing units in 1986
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new total of 2,800. Excess units may be allocated from the Bank to any quadrant based on the criteria in Council Policy Statement 43, so long as the citywide dwelling unit cap or individual
quadrant caps are not exceeded. Please see Figure 5 for the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank status at
the end of the CY 2010.
Figure 5
Buildout Analysis
Under Growth Management, the maximum number of dwelling units that could be constructed is
54,599; however, as a result of the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank reduction in 2002, the potential number of dwelling units at buildout is estimated to be 51,414 units, which is less than what Growth
Management allows. In addition, it is possible that the City may not have enough developable land to reach the Growth Management dwelling unit cap.
On February 26, 2010, the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) adopted its 2050 Regional Growth Forecast. Along with all other cities in San Diego County, the forecast analyzed
the development yield in Carlsbad from (1) available vacant land and (2) areas of potential
redevelopment. According to the 2050 Regional Growth Forecast, the maximum number of dwelling units in Carlsbad is estimated to be 50,566 in the year 2050. Utilizing this forecast, the
projected dwelling units and population for Carlsbad at buildout is shown in Table 5 below:
Excess Dwelling Unit Bank Summary
Bank balance of 5,985 reduced to 2,800
City Council Action 12/17/2002
NORTHWEST
Excess Dwelling Units
Deposited =67
Withdrawn =60
Since 01/01/2003
SOUTHWEST
Excess Dwelling Units
Deposited =52
Withdrawn= 59
Since 01/01/2003
DECEMBER 2010
Citywide Excess Dwelling Unit Bank
Balance is 3,012 as of 12/01/2010
--r1--------NORTHEAST
Excess Dwelling Units -, ','L,
'1 I_I
Deposited= 374
Withdrawn =171
Since 01/01/2003
SOUTHEAST
Excess Dwelling Units
Deposited = 46
Withdrawn= 37
Since 01/01/2003
10
Table 5
2050 Dwelling Unit and Population Projections
Quadrant Dwelling Units * Population **
NW 14,554 34,187
NE 8,048 18,905
SW 11,209 26,330
SE 16,755 39,357
Citywide Total 50,566 118,780
* SANDAG 2050 Regional Growth Forecast ** Calculated using household size of 2.349
Public Facility Financing
In 1991, the City of Carlsbad established Community Facilities District No. 1 (CFD) to provide
financing for a number of public facilities of citywide importance that are needed to meet the requirements of the GMP, including various road and intersection improvements, and the Dove Library. As LFMZ plans are adopted, they are conditioned to annex into the CFD at the time the
first discretionary permit grants an entitlement to develop in the LFMZ. This ensures financing for public facilities that can accommodate future growth consistent with the criteria of Growth
Management.
Status of the Facilities
Beginning on page 11 is a discussion of the adequacy of each of the eleven public facilities addressed in Carlsbad’s GMP.
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CITY ADMINISTRATIVE FACILITIES
A. Performance Standard
1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Based on the estimated CY 2010 population figure of 105,299, the current demand for administrative facilities is 157,949 square feet. To date, City Administrative Facilities
exceeds the performance standard. The existing inventory of City and Carlsbad Municipal Water District buildings (leased and owned) occupied for administrative services includes
the following:
Facility Address Sq. Ft.
City Administration 1635 Faraday Avenue 68,000
City Council Chambers 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr 2,500
City Hall Complex 1200 Carlsbad Village Dr 13,500
City Yard 405 Oak Avenue 8,249
City Yard Modular Building 405 Oak Avenue 1,800
Housing & Redevelopment 2965 Roosevelt 3,200
Senior Center 799 Pine Street 6,750
Parks Administration 1166 Carlsbad Village Dr 504
Parks Modular/Break Room 1166 Carlsbad Village Dr 2,000
Safety Center 2560 Orion Way 64,000
Fleet Yard 2480 Impala Drive 10,358
Water District 5950 El Camino Real 18,000
Water District Modular 5950 El Camino Real 696
Total 199,557
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
Based on the 2050 projected buildout population of 118,780, the demand for city
administrative facilities will be 178,170 square feet. The existing 199,557 square feet of administrative facilities exceeds the Growth Management performance standard at buildout.
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LIBRARY FACILITIES
A. Performance Standard
800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-
year period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first identified.
Library space (leased/owned, public/non-public) is used as a standard library measurement of customer use and satisfaction and includes collection space, seating, meeting rooms, staff areas,
technology, and other public facility needs. The performance standard, stated above, was originally
developed based on surveys of other libraries of comparable size and based on related standards (such as volumes per capita) set by the American Library Association.
B. CY 2010 Inventory and Adequacy of Facilities
The current inventory of library facilities is as follows:
Owned: Dove Library 64,000 s.f.
Cole Library 24,352 s.f.
Learning Center 11,393 s.f. TOTAL 99,745 s.f.
Based on the Dec. 31, 2010 population estimate of 105,299, the growth management standard requires 84,239 s.f. of public library space. The Library adequately meets the growth management
standard with current facilities (99,745 s.f.).
C. Facility Adequacy at Buildout
Based on the 2050 projected buildout population of 118,780, the demand for library facilities will
be 95,024 s.f. The existing 99,745 square feet of library facilities exceeds the Growth
Management standard at buildout.
It is possible that the City’s population will not trigger the Growth Management Plan requirement to add additional space to the Cole Library before the city reaches buildout. However, structural conditions may require the Cole Library to be reconstructed prior to buildout.
A 1998 feasibility study conducted at the Cole Library indicated several structural and building
code issues to be addressed within a reasonable time, including such items as American’s with
Disabilities Act (ADA), mechanical, and electrical requirements. The City has already included a building replacement project within the Capital Improvement Program budget, currently
scheduled between the years 2020 and buildout.
13
WASTEWATER TREATMENT CAPACITY
A. Performance Standard
Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
The recently completed Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility Phase V expansion will
accommodate the ultimate buildout demand for the Carlsbad Sewer Service Area and
therefore, currently provides adequate capacity in excess of the performance standard.
Carlsbad’s CY 2010 average annual sewer flows of 8.12 million gallons per day (MGD)
represents 79% of the City’s 10.26 MGD capacity rights. The City’s average annual sewage flow to the Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility for the previous five years is measured as
follows:
Fiscal Year
Average Annual Flow
CY 2006 6.62 MGD
CY 2007 7.20 MGD
CY 2008 7.74 MGD
CY 2009 7.15 MGD
CY 2010 8.12 MGD
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
With the completion of the Encina Phase V expansion, adequate sewer treatment capacity exists to ensure compliance with the Growth Management wastewater performance
standard through buildout of the Carlsbad sewer service area. The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan (currently being updated) conducts an
analysis of annual future sewer flow through buildout of the city based on the Carlsbad General Plan land use projections, and indicates that the City’s projected buildout flow is approximately 9.87 MGD. The 2010 update analysis projects ultimate wastewater flow to be
10.0 MGD. The City has purchased capacity rights to 10.26 MGD in the Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility, which ensures adequate wastewater treatment capacity is available to accommodate any unanticipated increase in future sewer flows.
14
PARKS
A. Performance Standard
3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park
District * must be scheduled for construction within a five year period, or prior to construction of 1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time the need is first identified.**
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
To date, all quadrants are in compliance with the performance standard.
Park inventory Park acreage required Quadrant existing & scheduled by Performance Standard
NW 90 acres 89 acres required
NE 42 acres 42 acres required SW 71 acres 69 acres required
SE 110 acres 113 acres required
Total 313 acres 313 acres
The SE quadrant includes the 32 acre proposed Alga Norte Park which was scheduled for
construction*** in 2003. In 2010, the performance standard requirement for park acreage exceeded the inventory of existing and scheduled park acreage, and a deficit was identified.
As of Dec. 31, 2010, 366 dwelling units have been constructed since the acreage required exceeded the inventory. The SE quadrant, although 3 acres short of the acreage required, is not out of compliance with the Performance Standard because neither the time frame nor
dwelling unit thresholds have been reached.**
* "Park District" = "quadrant". There are four park districts within the city, corresponding to the four quadrants.
** The threshold for triggering the construction of a new park is as follows: Once a deficit of park acreage in a quadrant is identified, a new park must be scheduled for construction within the time frame of five years, or before the cumulative construction of 1,562 dwelling units, whichever occurs later.
***According to City Council Resolution No. 97-435, “scheduled for construction” means that the improvements have been designed, a park site has been selected, and a financing plan for construction of the facility has been
approved. Alga Norte Park meets the definition of “scheduled for construction”.
15
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
At buildout, the only Quadrant projected to be in deficit and requiring additional acreage to
meet the performance standard is the NE Quadrant, which will require the construction of a park by 2021. Based on the current FY 10-11 CIP list of projects, Veteran’s Memorial Park
(100 acres, with 25 acres applied to each quadrant) is proposed to be constructed prior to
buildout. Construction of this park would result in the projected park inventory for all city quadrants exceeding the projected demand at buildout, as shown below:
Quadrant Buildout Population * Projected required
acreage *
Current Inventory Proposed park
acreage
Projected Inventory
NW 34,187 103 90 25 115
NE 18,905 57 42 25 67
SW 26,330 79 71 25 96
SE 39,357 118 110 25 135
Total 118,779 357 313 100 413
* Reflects SANDAG 2050 Regional Growth Forecast (see pages 9 and 10 of this report)
D. Other Items
Figures above for proposed park acreage do not include park projects listed in the CIP as
“unfunded” or “partially unfunded” (e.g. Business Park Recreational Facility, Robertson
Ranch Park, Cannon Lake Park, Pine Park Madison Properties, etc.). Should alternative funding mechanisms be found, and these are parks built, the additional park acreage would
further aid in meeting/exceeding the Growth Management park performance standard.
16
DRAINAGE
A. Performance Standard
Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the City concurrent with development.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
All areas of the City currently meet the growth management drainage performance standard.
The standard for drainage distinguishes it from the other public facility standards because,
by its very nature, drainage facility needs are more accurately assessed as specific development plans for individual projects are finalized. Therefore, the drainage performance
standard was written to allow the City to require appropriate drainage facilities as
development plans are finalized and approved.
Smaller drainage facilities are addressed during the review of individual project proposals.
The larger ‘backbone’ drainage facilities are addressed in the City’s 2008 Drainage Master Plan. The City’s Planned Local Drainage Area (PLDA) fee program was established to
assist developers and land owners with the financing of the larger ‘backbone’ facilities
identified in the Drainage Master plan.
There is one area in the City where special conditions are being applied to development
projects to ensure compliance with the drainage performance standard. The Agua Hedionda and Calavera Creek channels located east of El Camino Real within the residential
community of Rancho Carlsbad were found to be of inadequate size to contain the 100 year flood event. Projects located within LFMP Zones 5, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18 and 24 that drain to the Agua Hedionda or Calavera Creek must comply with the following special conditions to
maintain compliance with the drainage performance standard:
1. Financially guarantee construction of the master planned drainage improvements
needed to mitigate flooding impacts within the residential community of Rancho Carlsbad.
2. Install onsite drainage improvements to ensure that direct drainage impacts resulting from the proposed development do not exacerbate the potential for downstream
flooding of existing development.
The financial guarantee (special condition 1 above) includes payment of the existing PLDA
fee and a requirement to enter into an agreement to pay the proposed updated PLDA fee
that guarantees financing for all required drainage facilities needed to mitigate the existing flooding condition. Subsequent to the City Council’s adoption of the PLDA fee structure and
the 2008 Drainage Master Plan, all development projects must pay revised PLDA fees.
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C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan proposes the construction of new facilities to
accommodate potential storm events. Construction of the proposed Master Drainage Facilities will ensure the Drainage performance standard is maintained through buildout of
the city. The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan also updated the PLDA program to
ensure adequate funds are available to fund construction of needed flood control facilities. The estimated costs for these facilities and the programming of PLDA funds are included in
the annual Operating Budget and Capital Improvement Program.
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CIRCULATION
A. Performance Standard
No road segment or intersection in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) nor any
road segment or intersection out of the zone which is impacted by development in the zone shall be projected to exceed a service level C during off-peak hours, nor service level D during peak hours. Impacted means where 20% or more of the traffic generated by the local
facility management zone will use the road segment or intersection.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis All intersections and roadway segments currently comply with the Circulation System
performance standard.
For purposes of monitoring traffic throughout the City, the capacity of an intersection or
roadway segment is compared to the actual volumes measured in the field and reported in terms identified as a “Level of Service (LOS). The definition of “Level of Service” is a
quantitative measure of traffic conditions that reflects how restrictive vehicle movements are,
or may become. The six levels of traffic service range from A to F. LOS Level A represents the most ideal conditions; Level E is at capacity; and Level F indicates forced flow, or stop
and go traffic representing a gridlock condition. The Transportation Research Board Highway Capacity Manual further defines LOS based on specific measurements of traffic volumes and roadway capacities.
The Growth Management Traffic Monitoring Program for 2010 included 34 roadway segments and 68 intersections. Results indicate all roadway segments and intersections
meet the Growth Management Circulation performance standard, as follows:
• All 34 roadway segments operate at a LOS A during AM and PM peak hours.
• During AM and PM peak hours, 67 intersections operate at a LOS C or better
• During AM and PM peak hours, the following intersection operates at a LOS D or better, which remains consistent with the performance standard.
o El Camino Real/Alga Road/Aviara Parkway
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis The Traffic Monitoring Program will continue to be utilized to monitor LOS and verify road
and intersection performance and compliance with Growth Management standards at buildout.
In addition, future road segments have been identified in the Circulation Element of the General Plan as necessary to accommodate the buildout of the city (see Figure 6). Traffic
forecasts for Carlsbad prepared by SANDAG are based on the buildout of the General Plan,
which is based on the Growth Management Plan, and future regional traffic projections. To
19
ensure compliance with the Growth Management Plan, all of the city’s LFMPs detail the construction and financing plans for any circulation improvements identified by the traffic
forecasts as necessary to accommodate the future buildout. For more information about the
funding of circulation improvements, please see the Capital Improvement Program Budget for FY 2010-2011.
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Figure 6
PACIFIC
OCEAN
¼
NOTTO SCALE
CITY OF CARLSBAD
CIRCULATION PLAN
LEGEND:
+-++++ RAILROAD
-FREEWAY
PRIME ARTERIAL
MAJOR ARTERIAL
SECONDARY ARTERIAL
COLLECTOR STREET
FUTURE ROAD
i •
L,. .. _ .. J GJL __ 1
L •......• .,
'._J-__
OLIVENHA/N
21
FIRE
A. Performance Standard
The number of dwelling units outside a five-minute “travel time” from the nearest fire station shall not exceed 1,500 units.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
The City’s Fire facilities are in compliance with the Growth Management performance standard. There are no more than 1,500 dwelling units outside of a five-minute travel distance from any of the City’s six fire stations.
The intent of the GMP standard, as applied to Fire facilities, is to establish the number of
stations and their locations, based upon travel distances. At the time the GMP was
developed, scientific fire behavior information and recognized best practices supported the position that a response time of five minutes would result in effective fire incident
intervention. To determine the most desirable geographic sites for future fire stations, it was
necessary to convert the five-minute response time to a measurable distance that could be applied to a future road network scheme. Because the GMP provides no other trigger
mechanism for the installation of additional fire stations, it follows that up to 1,500 dwelling units could exist outside the five-minute reach of the closest fire station for an indeterminate length of time without violating the GMP standard. The five-minute travel time measure was
selected exclusively as a means of logically positioning emergency response resources throughout the City. Therefore, the standard is applied as a means of measuring compliance with locating fire facilities in accordance with the GMP, not the performance of
the Fire Department in meeting service responsibilities. The GMP Fire performance standard is utilized to determine the number of fire stations and their locations, not Fire Department response times.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
At buildout no single fire station district will exceed the established threshold of more than
1,500 units that exist outside of a five minute travel time.
To determine if Fire facilities will be adequate at buildout, the City’s Geographic Information
System Department (GIS) created a map based upon the following information: ● Existing fire station locations, except Station No. 3, which was sited at its planned
future location (just east of the northeast corner of the intersection of Cannon Road and El Camino Real)
• Anticipated future development
• 2.5 mile road distance from each of the 6 Fire Stations (five minute “travel time”
equates to road driving distance of 2.5 miles);
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● All planned, major roadway arterials; and ● The number of dwelling units projected at buildout that will be located outside of
the 2.5 mile road (5 minute) distance from each fire station
The GIS map, based upon the above-noted assumptions, revealed the following findings:
Fire Station Total Number of Dwelling Number Units Outside of 5 Minutes
1, 3 & 4 1,010 (Aggregated)
2 798
5 897 6 811
As noted above, the GIS map analysis revealed that at buildout, the City’s existing and planned Fire
facilities will meet the GMP performance standards standard (i.e. the total number of dwelling units that will exist outside of a five minute travel time from the nearest fire station will not exceed the
threshold of 1,500 units).
23
OPEN SPACE
A. Performance Standard
Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ)
exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
To date, adequate open space has been provided to meet the performance standard.
Open space to meet the performance standard is provided concurrent with approval of
development projects. The location of performance standard open space must be indicated during project-specific analysis. It must be in addition to any constrained areas, such as
protected wildlife habitat or slopes greater than 40%. At the time the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan was adopted (1986), the LFMZ’s were divided into: a) those that were already developed and considered in compliance with Growth Management, and b) those
that still needed to comply with the open space performance standard.
In 1986, LFMZs 1 through 10, and 16 were already developed and considered in
compliance with the open space performance standard. Subsequent to the adoption of the CFIP, LFMZs 11 – 15, 17 – 21, and 23 – 24 have provided adequate open space to meet
the performance standard concurrent with development.
LFMZ 22 is still developing and, as future development occurs, open space will be required
to meet the performance standard.
LFMZ 25 is largely undeveloped and no LFMP has been adopted for this zone. Before
development is allowed in this area, an LFMP must be adopted that demonstrates how the
open space performance standard will be met.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
As discussed above, all LFMZs, except for Zones 22 and 25, have met the Growth Management open space performance standard. Future projects in LFMZs 22 and 25 must
provide open space in compliance with the performance standard.
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SCHOOLS
A. Performance Standard
School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected occupancy.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Currently, school capacity is in compliance with the Growth Management School performance standard (see below). The City is served by four school districts as listed
below:
1. Carlsbad Unified School District
According to the Carlsbad Unified School District Facilities Master Plan (2007), sufficient
student capacity exists through 2014.
2. San Marcos Unified School District
Projections for enrollment and school capacity analysis were not available; however, it is Carlsbad’s practice to require all development projects to pay impact fees to the
appropriate school district to ensure adequate facilities are provided. 3. Encinitas Union Elementary School District
According to demographics data in the Encinitas Union Elementary School District Facilities Master Plan (Nov. 2004), sufficient student capacity exists through 2015.
4. San Dieguito Union High School District
Based on demographic projections provided by San Dieguito Union High School District, it is estimated that schools serving Carlsbad will have sufficient student capacity through
2018.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis Based on available information, as indicated above, it is estimated that school districts will
maintain sufficient capacity through the years 2014 – 2018. School enrollment projections and facility master plans will be periodically updated by the school districts, allowing future capacity analysis to be performed to verify that enrollment can be accommodated.
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SEWER COLLECTION SERVICES
A. Performance Standard
Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the appropriate sewer districts, must
be provided concurrent with development.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Sewer improvements are provided on a project by project basis concurrent with
development. Currently, the City of Carlsbad’s Sewer service area pipelines are in compliance with the Growth Management performance standard. Representatives from the
sewer agencies that provide sewer collection systems within the City include: Carlsbad,
Leucadia Waste Water District and Vallecitos Water District. Each agency indicates that they currently have adequate conveyance capacity in place to meet Carlsbad’s sewer collection
demands. The City of Carlsbad is served by the following four major interceptor systems and is
described in more detail as follows:
Note: MGD = million gallons per day
For both the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor and the Buena Interceptor, the percentage of Carlsbad capacity rights increases in the downstream reaches of each interceptor system
(0% in the upstream reaches as they enter the Carlsbad service area and up to 35% or 50%
in the downstream reaches for Buena Interceptor and Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor, respectively as they enter the Encina Water Pollution Control Facility).
Interceptor System Sewer Districts Served Carlsbad Capacity
Rights
Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor City of Carlsbad & City of Vista Varies from
0% / 0 MGD up to 50% / 33.6 MGD
Buena Interceptor City of Carlsbad & Buena Sanitation District
Varies from
18% / 1.2 MGD up to
35% / 3.0 MGD
Vallecitos Interceptor City of Carlsbad, Buena Sanitation District & Vallecitos Water District 5 MGD
Occidental Sewer City of Carlsbad, City of Encinitas &
Leucadia Waste Water District 8.5 MGD
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C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan evaluated the sewer infrastructure needs of
the Carlsbad’s Sewer service area and identified those facilities required to accommodate future customers at buildout. The master plan identified the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor, and
Buena Interceptor as requiring improvements to accommodate buildout demand (see
below). Sewer trunk main capacities are estimated by comparing wastewater flow projections to the capacity of the sewer system. Using a sewer model, the existing and
future sewer demands are estimated and compared to the capacity. In addition, annual flow
measurement information is also used to determine actual flows in the sewer trunk mains.
Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor: A capacity analysis included in the 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan indicates three relatively flat pipeline portions of Reaches VC13, VC14 & VC15. As a result, during peak period flows, the pipeline is flowing full. The FY 10/11
Capital Improvement Program has identified funds for construction of upgrades to these reaches projected to begin in FY 11/12. The replacement pipelines are sized based on
ultimate flows from both the City of Carlsbad and City of Vista sewer collection systems.
Buena Interceptor. A capacity analysis conducted in 2010 indicates that although the City’s
wastewater flows are not projected to exceed the capacity rights in the Buena Interceptor,
the combined flows of Buena Sanitation District and City of Carlsbad during peak wet weather periods result in capacity restrictions. As a result, Carlsbad is participating with
Buena Sanitation District to construct a parallel trunk sewer which will provide relief capacity
during wet weather conditions. The parallel sewer is now in the planning stages with construction scheduled to occur in FY 2012/2013.
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WATER DISTRIBUTION SERVICES
A. Performance Standard
Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate water district must be
provided concurrent with development. A minimum of 10-day average storage capacity must be provided prior to any development.
B. CY 2010 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Carlsbad’s water distribution is provided by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD), Vallecitos Water District (VWD) and Olivenhain Municipal Water District (OMWD). These
districts indicate that they have adequate capacity to meet the Growth Management
performance standard.
Water service demand requirements are estimated using a computer model to simulate two water distribution scenarios: 1) maximum day demand plus a fire event, 2) peak hour demand. This computer model was calibrated using actual flow measurements collected in
the field to verify it sufficiently represents the actual water system.
Existing and future daily demand and storage requirements for CMWD from 2003 water
master plan:
Existing Maximum Day Demand 33 MGD
Existing Storage Requirement 40 MG
Existing Storage Capacity 51 MG
Future Maximum Daily Demand 40 MGD
Future Storage Requirement 55 MG
Based on the water model analysis prepared with the 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan,
future pipelines and water system facilities were identified to ensure a complete water system is constructed to accommodate future customers. In addition, funds for the
construction of future facilities were included in the FY10/11 Capital Improvement Program.
Therefore, the future water infrastructure is programmed to be in place at the time of need in order to ensure compliance with the performance standard.
Within the CMWD the existing average daily demand peaked in 2007 at 21.8 MGD. In 2010 the annual demand reduced to 19.3 MGD as a result of implementation of a new tiered
water rate structure and a campaign to reduce customer consumption by the wholesale water agencies. To meet the 10 day storage requirement, CMWD needs 218 MG of storage
capacity. CMWD has a storage capacity of 249 MGD which consists of 195 MG of storage
capacity at Maerkle Dam and an additional 54 MG of storage capacity in various storage tanks throughout the distribution system. In 2004, the OMWD completed construction of a
water treatment facility at the San Diego County Water Authority Emergency Storage
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Reservoir, which provides the storage necessary to meet the 10 day storage requirement for OMWD.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan identifies facilities necessary for buildout conditions within its service area. The update identified additional improvements required to meet
future water demands and the need for two additional water storage tanks to meet future 10
average-day storage requirements.
As proposed land development projects are reviewed by the City, the CMWD Water Master Plan is consulted to check pipeline sizes and facility capacities to verify adequacy to support the water needs of the project and city. To comply with water master plan requirements,
land development projects may be required to install a master plan water project concurrent with construction of that specific project.