HomeMy WebLinkAbout; ; CITY OF CARLSBAD 2011 GROWTH MANAGEMENT PLAN MONITORING REPORT; 2011-01-01CITY OF CARLSBAD
CY 2011 Growth Management Plan
Monitoring Report
January 1 through December 31, 2011
Carlsbad City Council
Matt Hall, Mayor
Ann Kulchin, Mayor Pro Tern
Mark Packard
Keith Blackburn
Farrah Golshan Douglas
Report prepared in cooperation with the following departments:
Community and Economic Development
Fire
Parks & Recreation
Library and Cultural Arts
Transportation
Utilities
Carlsbad Municipal Water District
Introduction
The purpose of this report is to provide information regarding the status of the Carlsbad Growth
Management Plan (GMP) for the .. calendar year covering January 1, 2011 -December 31, 2011,
and to verify that the plan is continuing to accomplish Hs stated objectives. The primary objectives
of the GMP are to ensure that adequate public facilities are provided concurrent with growth, and to
assure compliance with the ultimate dwelling unit limitations that were established by Proposition E,
which was passed by voters in 1986.
Performance Standards
Proposition E established broad guidelines for determining adequacy of public facilities. These
guidelines are further defined in the Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan (Sept. 16, 1986) by
means of specific performance standards for each of the eleven public facilities. These public
facilities, their performance standards, current status, and anticipated adequacy at buildout are
outlined in Table 1 and Table 2, as follows:
Public
Facility
City
Administrative
Facilities
Library
Wastewater
Treatment
Capacity
Parks
Drainage
Circulation
Table 1
Performance Standards
Performance Standard
1,500 sq: ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for
construction within a five-year period or prior to construction of
6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first
identified.
800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be
scheduled for construction within a five-year period or prior to
construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the
need is first identified.
Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period.
3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000
population within the Park District must be scheduled for
construction within a five year period, or prior to construction of
1,562 dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time
the need is first identified.
Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the City
concurrent with development.
No road segment or intersection in the Local Facility
Management Zone (LFMZ) nor any road segment or intersection
out of the zone which is impacted by development in the zone
shall be projected to exceed a service level C during off-peak
hours, nor service level D during peak hours. Impacted means
where 20% or more of the traffic generated by the local facility
management zone will use the road seQment or intersection.
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Public
Facility
Fire
Open Space
Schools
Sewer
Collection
System
Water
Distribution
System
Public Facility
Table 1, Continued
Performance Standards
Performance Standard
The number of dwelling units outside a fiye:..minute "travel time"
from the nearest fire station shall not exceed 1,500 units.
Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility
Management Zone (LFMZ) exclusive of environmentally
constrained non-developable land must be set aside for
permanent open space and must be available concurrent with
development.
School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local
Facility Management Zone (LFMZ) as determined by the
appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected
occupancy.·
Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the
appropriate sewer districts, must be provided concurrent with
development.
Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate
water district must be provided concurrent with development. A
minimum of 10-day average storage capacity must be provided
prior to any development.
Table 2
Facility Adequacy Status
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CY 2011 Adequacy Status Buildout Adequacy Status
(Meets performance (Meets performance
standard?) standard?)
City Administrative Facilities Yes Yes
Library Yes Yes
Wastewater Treatment Yes Yes
Capacity
Parks Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Drainage Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Circulation Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Fire Yes Yes
Open Space Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Schools Yes Yes
Sewer Collection System Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
Water Distribution System Yes Additional facilities to be
provided*
* For additional information, please see the expanded discussion and an analysis on the adequacy of
each public facility beginning on page 11.
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What Happens if Facilities Do Not Meet the Performance Standard?
Th·e GMP requires development activity to stop (in a specific area of the city or citywide) if a
performance standard is not being met, as described below:
• Administrative Facilities, Library, and Wastewater Treatment Capacity are facilities that serve
the entire City. Their adequacy in meeting the performance standard is analyzed by
considering the cumulative impact of citywide development. The failure of any one of these
facilities to meet the adopted performance standard would affect the City as a whole. In that
event, all development in the City would be halted until the deficiency is corrected.
• Parks are analyzed on a quadrant basis. This means that if the standard is not being met in
the quadrant, development is halted for all Local Facility Management Zones (LFMZs, see
description below) in the quadrant.
• Fire facilities are analyzed on the basis of fire station districts which can comprise multiple
LFMZs, and if the standard is not met for a district, then development would be halted in that
district.
• The remaining facilities (Drainage, Circulation, Open Space, Schools, Sewer Collection
System, and .Water Distribution System) are analyzed on an LFMZ basis. If one of these
facilities falls below the performance standard in a given LFMZ, development in that LFMZ
would stop and other zones would not be affected . if they are continuing to meet all
performance standards.
Local Facility Management Zone Plans
The Citywide Facilities and Improvements Plan divided the City into 25 Local Facilities Management
Zones (LFMZ). Each LFMZ is required to have an adopted Local Facilities Management Plan
(LFMP) prior to any development in the LFMZ. Of the twenty-five LFMZs, twenty-four have adopted
LFMPs. Zone 25 is the only LFMZ to remain without an adopted plan; however, an application for a.
master plan has been submitted for the development Quarry Creek, which includes a draft LFMP
for Zone 25. Prior to any development in Zone 25, an LFMP must be adopted.
Consistent with the GMP, the LFMP must: describe how the 'LFMZ will be developed, how
compliance with the Growth Management standards will be achieved, how the necessary public
facilities will be provided, and what financing mechanisms will be used for the facilities. Please see
Figure 1 for the general boundaries and locations of the LFMZs.
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Figure 1
City of Carlsbad
Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ)
J:\cargis2\produels\planning\r261.08
Population as a Measurement for Facility Performance Standards
As indicated in Table 1, above, the performance standards for City Administrative facilities, Library
facilities, and Parks are stated in terms of population. The demand for these facilities is based on
each new dwelling unit built and the estimated number of new residents it adds to the city, which is
determined using the average number of persons per dwelling unit. According to data compiled by
the 201 0 Federal Census, the average number of persons per dwelling unit in Carlsbad is 2.358
persons.
As of December 31, 2011, the City's population is estimated to be 106,440, which is derived by
multiplying 2.358 persons pe~ dwelling unit by the number of dwelling units in Carlsbad, which is
45, 140 ( see page below for a discussion of residential development activity).
As part of the monitoring process, the· persons per household number can be adjusted in the future
when updated Federal Census data is available. It should be noted that the above population
estimates are for facility planning purposes only and not an official population estimate for Carlsbad.
5
2011 Residential Development Activity
Building permits for 312 new dwelling units were issued during the Calendar Year (CY) 2011. Table
3 provides a breakdown by LFMZ, excluding the zones that had no development activity. Figure 2
shows the recent five year trend for the number of residential building permits issued.
Table 3
2011 Residential Development
By LFMZ By Quadrant
Zone Dwelling Units Quadrant Dwelling Units
1 . 62 NW 62 4 11
6(SE) 60 NE 47 10 30
11 95 SW 14 16 47
17 2 SE 20 187 4
22 1
Total 312 Total 312
Figure 2
Calendar Year Residential Permits Issued
400 ~-----------------
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0 2007
# Permits Issued 364
2008
257
2009 2010 2011
174 372 312
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Non-Residential Development Activity
Building permits for 338,813 square feet of new non-residential construction were issued during CY
2011, comprising bo_th commercial and industrial development. Table 4 provides a breakdown by
LFMZ, excluding the zones that had no development activity. Figure 3 shows the recent five year
trend for the square footage of non-residential construction that was permitted.
Zone
1
3(NW)
17
22
Subtotal
Total
Table 4
2011 Non-Residential Development
By LFMZ Bv Quadrant
Square· Feet Permitted
Quadrant Square Feet Permitted
Commercial Industrial Commercial
1,919 0 NW· 4,308
2,389 0 NE 0
35,262 0 SW 299,243
299,243 0 SE 35,262
338,813 0 Subtotal 338,813
338,813 Total 338,813
Figure 3
Calendar Year Non-Residential
Square Feet Permitted
1,600,000
1,400,000 ..
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000 ·
Feet Permitted 707,804 338,813
Industrial
0
0
0
0
0
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Proposition E Compliance
The purpose of this part of the report is to demonstrate that the ultimate dwelling unit caps stated in
Proposition E will not be exceeded. Proposition E states "the maximum number of residential
dwelling units to be constructed or approved in the City after November 4, 1986 is as follows:
Northwest Quadrant 5,844; Northeast Quadrant 6, 166; Southwest Quadrant 10,667; Southeast
Quadrant 10,801." This resulted in dwelling unit caps as shown in Figure 4 (see the totals for each
quadrant below). All quadrants are in compliance with the dwelling unit caps established by
Proposition E for CY 2011.
Figure 4
Council Policy Statement 43 (Proposition E "Excess Dwelling" Unit Bank) established a dwelling
unit bank concept in order to enable the City to grant density increases for certain types of
residential projE?cts, such as affordable housing projects, while assuring that the Proposition E caps
are not exceeded. For projects that develop below the allowable density under Growth
Management, these "excess" dwelling units are placed into the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank (Bank),
and those units are then available to allow other projects to exceed the allowable density.
8
On December 17, 2002, the City Council adopted Resolution No. 2002-350, which amended
Council Policy Statement 43 by reducing the accumulated number of excess units to 2,800. Excess
units may be · allocated from the Bank to any quadrant based on the criteria in Council Policy
Statement 43, so long· as the citywide dwelling unit cap or individual quadrant caps are not
exceeded. · Please see Figure 5 for the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank status at the end of the CY
2011.
Figure 5
Buildout Analysis
Under Growth Management, the maximum number of dwelling units that could be constructed is
54,599; however, as a result of the Excess Dwelling Unit Bank reduction in 2002, the potential
number of dwelling units at buildout is estimated to be 51,899 units, which is less than what Growth
Management allows.
On February 26, 2010, the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) adopted its2050
Regional Growth Forecast. Along with all other cities in San Diego County, the forecast analyzed
the development yield in Carlsbad from (1) available vacant land and (2) areas of potential
redevelopment. According to the 2050 Regional Growth Forecast, the maximum number of
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dwelling units in Carlsbad is estimated to be 50,566 in the year 2050. Utilizing this forecast, the
projected dwelling units and population for Carlsbad at buildout is shown in Table 5 below:
Table 5
2050 D II" U ·t d P I f P . f we mg man opu a ,on roJec ions
Quadrant Dwelling Units * Population **
NW 14,554 34,318
NE 8,048 18,977
SW 11,209 26,431
SE 16,755 39,508
Citywide Total 50,566 119,235
* SANDAG 2050 Regional Growth Forecast
** Calculated using persons per dwelling unit size of 2.358 (based on Census 201 0
data)
Public Facility Financing
In 1991, the City of Carlsbad established Community Facilities District No. 1 (CFO) to provide
financing for a number of public facilities of citywide importance that are needed to meet the
requirements of. the GMP, including various road and intersection improvements, and the Dove
Library. As LFMZ plans are adopted, they are conditioned to annex into the CFO at the tirne the
first discretionary permit grants an entitlement to develop in the LFMZ. This ensures fi,nancing for
public facilities that can accommodate future growth consistent with the criteria of Growth
Management.
Status of the Facilities
Beginning on page 11 is a discussion of the· adequacy of each of the eleven public facilities
addressed in Carlsbad's GMP.
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CITY ADMINISTRATIVE FACILITIES
A. Performance Standard
1,500 sq. ft. per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-year
period or prior to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first
identified.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
C.
Based on the estimated Dec. 31, 2011 population figure of 106,440, the current demand for
administrative facilities is 159,660 square feet. To date, City Administrative Facilities
exceeds the performance standard. The existing inventory of City and Carlsbad Municipal
Water District buildings (leased and owned) occupied for administrative services includes
the following:
Facility Address Sq.Ft.
City Administration 1635 Faraday Avenue 68,000
1200 Carlsbad Village
City Council Chambers Drive 2,500
1200 Carlsbad Village
City Hall Complex Drive 13,500
City Yard 405 Oak Avenue 8,249
City Yard Modular Building 405 Oak Avenue 1,800
Housing & Redevelopment 2965 Roosevelt 3,200
Senior Center 799 Pine Street 6,750
1166 Carlsbad Village
Parks Administration Drive 504
1166 Carlsbad Village
Parks Modular/Break Room Drive 2,000
Safety Center 2560 Orion Way 64,000
Fleet Yard 2480 Impala Drive 10,358
Water District 5950 El Camino Real 18,000 ·
Water District Modular 5950 El Camino Real 696
Total 199,557
Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
Based on the 2050 projected buildout population of 119,235, the demand for city
administrative facilities will be 178,853 square feet. The existing 199,557 square feet of
administrative facilities exceeds the Growth Management performance standard at buildout.
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LIBRARY FACILITIES
A. Performance Standard
800 sq. ft. (of library space) per 1,000 population must be scheduled for construction within a five-
year period or priQr to construction of 6,250 dwelling units, beginning at the time the need is first
identified.
Library space (leased/owned, public/non-public) is used as a standard library measurement of
customer use and satisfaction and includes collection space, seating, meeting rooms, staff areas,
technology, and other public faciiity needs. The performance standard, stated above, was originally
developed based on surveys of other I.ibraries of comparable size and based on related standards
(such as volumes per capita) set by the American Library Association.
B. CY 2011 Inventory and Adequacy of Facilities
The current inventory of library facilities is as follows:
Owned:
Dove Library
Cole Library
Learning Center
TOTAL
64,000 safe
24,352 safe
11,393 safe
99,745 safe
Based on the Dec. 31, 2011 population estimate of 106,440, the growth management standard
. requires 85,152 safe of public library space. The Library adequately meets the growth
management standard with current facilities (99,745 safe).
C. Facility Adequacy at Buildout
Based on the 2050 projected buildout population of 119,235, the demand for library facilities will
be 95,388 safe. The existing 99,745 square feet of library facilities exceeds the Growth
Management standard at buildout.
It is possible that the City's population will not trigger the Growth Management Plan requirement
to add additional space to the Cole Library before the city reaches buildout. However, structural
conditions may require the Cole Library to be reconstructed prior to buildout.
A 1998 feasibility study conducted at the Cole Library indicated several structural and building
code issues to be addressed within a reasonable time, including such items as American's with
Disabilities Act (ADA), mechanical, and electrical requirements. The City has already included a
building replacement project within the Capital Improvement Program budget, currently
scheduled between the years 2020 and buildout.
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WASTEWATER TREATMENT CAPACITY
A. Performance Standard
Sewer plant capacity is adequate for at least a five-year period.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
The recently . completed Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility Phase V expansion will
accommodate the ultimate buildout demand for the Carlsbad Sewer Service Area and
therefore, currently provides adequate capacity in excess of the performance standard.
Carlsbad's CY 2011 average annual sewer flows of 7.49 million gallons per day (MGD)
represents 73% of the City's 10.26 MGD capacity rights. The City's average annual sewage
flow to the Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility for the previous five years is measured as
follows:
Fiscal Average Annual
Year Flow
CY 2007 7.20 MGD
CY 2008 7.74 MGD
CY 2009 7.15 MGD
CY 2010 8.12 MGD
CY 2011 7.49 MGD
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
With the completion of the Encina Phase V expansion, adequate sewer treatment capacity
exists to ensure compliance with the Growth Management wastewater performance
standard through buildout of the Carlsbad sewer service area.
The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan (currently being updated as part of the City of
Carlsbad Water, Sewer and Recycled Water Master Plan Update, which is expected to be
completed by November 2012) conducts an analysis of annual future sewer flow through
buildout of the city based on the Carlsbad General Plan land use projections, and indicates
that the City's p~ojected buildout flow is approximately 10.00 MGD. The 201 0 update
analysis projects ultimate wastewater flow to be 10.0 MGD. The City has purchased
capacity rights to 10.26 MGD in the Encina Wastewater Treatment Facility, which ensures
adequate wastewater treatment capacity is available to accommodate any unanticipated
increase in future sewer flows.
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PARKS
A. Performance Standard
3.0 acres of Community Park or Special Use Area per 1,000 population within the Park
District1 must be scheduled for construction within a five year period, or prior to construction
of 1,562 · dwelling units within the Park District beginning at the time the need is first
identified. 2
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
To date, all quadrants are in compliance with the performance standard.
Quadrant
NW
NE
SW
SE
Total
Park inventory
existing & scheduled
89 acres
42 acres
71 acres
110 acres
312 acres
I
Park acreage required
by Performance Standard
90 acres required
42 acres required
69 acres required
114 acres required
315 acres
The SE quadrant includes the 32 acre proposed Alga Norte Park which will begin
construction in Summer 2012. Currently, the performance standard requirement for park
acreage exceeds the inventory of existing and scheduled park acreage for the following two
quadrants: NW and SE. However, although short of the acreage required, these quadrants
are not out of compliance with the performance standard because neither the time frame nor
dwelling unit thresholds have been reached.2
Quadrant
NW
SE
Year deficit identified
2011
2010
Units constructed since deficit identified
145
649
1 "Park District" = "quadrant". There are four park districts within the city, corresponding to the four quadrants.
2 The threshold for triggering the construction of a new park is as follows: Once a deficit of park acreage in a quadrant is
identified, a new park must be scheduled for construction within the time frame of five years, or before the cumulative
construction of 1,562 dwelling units, whichever occurs later. According to City Council Resolution No. 97-435, "scheduled
for construction" means that the improvements have been designed, a park site has been selected, and a financing plan
for construction of the facility has been approved.
14
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
At buildout, the only Quadrant projected to be in deficit and requiring additional acreage to
meet the performance standard is the NE Quadrant, which will require the construction of a
park by 2025. Based on the current FY 11-12 CIP list of projects, Veteran's Memorial Park
( 100 acres, with 25 acres applied to each quadrant) is proposed to be constructed prior to
buildout. Construction of this park would result in the projected park inventory for all city
quadrants exceeding the projected required acreage at buildout, as shown below:
Quadrant Buildout Projected Current Proposed Projected
Population3 required Inventory park Inventory
acreage3 acreage
NW 34,318 103 89 25 114
NE 18,977 57 42 25 67
SW 26,431 79 71 25 96
SE 39,508 119 110 25 135
Total 119,235 358 312 100 412
D. Other Items
Figures above for proposed park acreage do not include park projects listed in the CIP as
"unfunded" or "partially unfunded" (e.g. Business Park Recreational 'Facility, Robertson
Ranch Park, Cannon Lake Park, Pine Park Madison Properties, etc.). Should alternative
funding mechanisms be found, and these parks are built, the additional park acreage would
further aid in-meeting/exceeding the Growth Management park performance standard;
3 Reflects SAN DAG 2050 Regional Growth Forecast (see pages 9 and 10 of this report) and the updated persons per household number
from the 201 0 Census (this results in a slightly higher buildout population as compared to previous reports.
15
DRAINAGE
A. Performance Standard
Drainage facilities must be provided as required by the City concurrent with development.
8. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
All areas of the City currently meet the growth management drainage performance standard.
The standard for drainage distinguishes it from the other public facility. standards because,
by its very nature, drainage facility needs are more accurately assessed as specific
development plans for individual projects are finalized. Therefore, the drainage performance
standard was . written to allow the City to require appropriate drainage facilities as
development plans are finalized and approved.
Smaller drainage facilities are addressed during the review of individual project proposals.
The larger 'backbone' drainage facilities are addressed in the City's 2008 Drainage Master
Plan. The City's Planned Local Drainage Area (PLDA) fee program was established to
assist developers and land owners with the financing of the larger 'backbone' facilities
identified in the Drainage Master plan.
There is one area in the City where special conditions are being applied to development
projects to ensure compliance with the drainage performance standard. The Agua Hedionda
and Calavera Creek channels located east of El Camino Real within the residential
community of Rancho Carlsbad were found to be of inadequate size to contain the 100 year
flood event. Projects located within LFMP Zones 5, 7, 14, 15, 16, 18 and 24 that drain to the
Agua Hedionda or Calavera Creek must comply with the following special conditions to
maintain compliance with the drainage performance standard:
1. Financially guarantee construction of the master planned drainage improvements
needed to mitigate flooding impacts within the residential community of Rancho
Carlsbad.
2. Install onsite drainage improvements to ensure that direct drainage impacts resulting
from the proposed development do not exacerbate the potential for downstream
flooding of existing development.
The financial guarantee (special condition 1 above) includes payment of the existing PLDA
fee and a .requirement to enter into an agreement to pay the proposed updated PLDA fee
that guarantees financing for all required drainage facilities needed to mitigate the existing
flooding condition. Subsequent to the City Council's adoption of the PLDA fee structure and
the 2008 Drainage Master Plan, all development projects must pay revised PLDA fees.
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C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan proposes the construction of new facilities to
accommodate potential storm events. Construction of the proposed Master Drainage
Facilities will ensure the Drainage performance standard is maintained through buildout of
the city. The 2008 Carlsbad Drainage Master Plan also updated the PLDA program to
ensure adequate funds are available to fund construction of needed flood control facilities.
The estimated costs for these facilities and the programming of PLDA funds are included in
the annual Operating Budget and Capital Improvement Program.
17
CIRCULATION
A. Performance Standard
No road segment or intersection in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFIV)Z) nor any
road segment or intersection out of the zone which is impacted by development in the zone
shall be projected to exceed a service level C during off-peak hours, nor service level D
during peak hours. Impacted means where 20% or more of the traffic generated by the local
facility management zone will use the road segment or intersection.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
All intersections. and roadway segments currently comply with the Circulation System
performance standard.
For purposes of monitoring traffic throughout the City, the capacity of an intersection or
roadway segment is compared to the actual volumes measured in the field and reported in
terms identified as a "Level of Service (LOS). The definition of "Level of Service" is a
quantitative measure of traffic conditions that reflects how restrictive vehicle movements are,
or may become. The six levels of traffic service range from A to F. LOS Level A represents
the most ideal conditions; Level E is at capacity; and Level F indicates forced flow, or stop
and go traffic representing a gridlock condition. The Transportation Research Board
Highway Capacity Manual further defines LOS based on specific measurements of traffic
volumes and roadway capacities.
The Growth Management Traffic Monitoring Program for 2011 included 34 roadway
segments and 68 intersections. Results indicate all roadway segments and intersections
meet the Growth Management Circulatio_n performance standard, as follows:
• 33 roadway segments operated at a LOS A and one roadway segment operated at a
LOS B during 2011.
• During the AM peak hour, 68 intersections operated at a LOS C or better during
2011.
• During the PM peak hour, 65 intersections operated at a LOS C or better in 2011.
• During the PM peak hour, the following intersections operated at a LOS D or better,
which remains consistent with the performance standard.
o El Camino Real/Alga Road/Aviara Parkway
o El Camino Real/Arena! Road
o El Camino Real/La Costa Avenue
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The Traffic Monitoring Program will continue to be utilized to monitor LOS and verify road
and· intersection performance and compliance with Growth Management standards at
buildout.
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In addition, future road segments have been identified in the Circulation Element of the
General Plan as necessary to accommodate the buildout of the city (see Figure 6). Traffic
forecasts for Carlsbad prepared by SANDAG are based on the buildout of the General Plan,
which is based on the Growth Management Plan, and future regional traffic projections. To
ensure compliance with the Growth Management Plan, all of the city's LFMPs detail the
construction and financing plans for any circulation improvements identified by the traffic
forecasts as necessary to accommodate the future buildout. For more information about the
funding of circulation improvements, please see the Capital Improvement Program Budget
for FY 2011-2012.
19
PACIFIC
OCEAN
i NOTTO SCALI:
Figure 6
CITY OF CARLSBAD
C/RCULA T/ON PLAN
HWY78
-:---t--!!l£...----11•.W-,-... r···-··1
~KE
CAIAVl?RI\
LEGEND:
H+H-RAILROAD
-FREEWAY
PRIME ARTERIAL
MAJOR ARTERIAL
SECONDARY ARTERIAL
COLLECTOR STREET
FUTURE ROAD
20
FIRE
A. Performance Standard
The number of dwelling units outside a five-minute "travel time" from the nearest fire station
shall riot exceed 1,500 units. ·
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
The City's Fire -facilities are in compliance with the Growth Management performance
standard. There are no more than 1,500 dwelling units outside of a five-minute travel
distance from any of the City's six fire stations.
The intent of the GMP standard, as applied to Fire facilities, is to establish the number of
stations and their locations, based upon travel distances. At the time the GMP was
developed, scientific fire behavior information and recognized best practices supported the
position that a response time of five minutes would result in effective fire incident
intervention. To determine the most desirable geographic sites for future fire stations, it was
necessary to convert the five-minute response time to a measurable distance that could be
applied to a future road network scheme. Because the GMP provides no other trigger
mechanism for the installation of additional fire stations, it follows that up to 1,500 dwelling
units could exist outside the five-minute reach of the closest fire station for an indeterminate
length of time without violating the GMP standard. The five-minute travel time measure was
selected exclusively as a means of logically positioning emergency response resources
throughout the City. Therefore, the standard is applied as a means of · measuring
compliance with locating fire facilities in accordance with the GMP, not the performance of
the Fire Department in meeting service responsibilities. The GMP Fire performance
· standard is utilized to determine the number of fire stations and their locations, not Fire
Department response times.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
At buildout no single fire station district will exceed the established threshold of more than
1,500 units that exist outside of a five minute travel time.
To determine if Fire facilities will be adequate at buildout, the City's Geographic Information
System Department (GIS) created a map based upon the following information:
• Existing fire station locations, except Station No. 3, which was sited at its planned
future location Uust east of the northeast corner of the intersection of Cannon
Road and El Camino Real)
• Anticipated future development
· • 2.5 mile road distance from each of the 6 Fire Stations (five minute "travel time"
equates to road driving distance of 2.5 miles);
21
• All planned, major roadway arterials; and
• The number of dwelling units projected at buildout that will be located outside of
the 2.5 mile road (5 minute) distance from each fire station
The GIS map, based upon the above-noted assumptions, revealed the following findings:
Fire Station
Number
1, 3 & 4
(Aggregated)
2
5
6
Total Number of Dwelling
Units Outside of 5 Minutes
1,010
798
897
811
As noted above, the GIS map analysis revealed that at buildout, the City's existing and planned Fire
facilities will meet the GMP performance standards standard (i.e. the total number of dwelling units
that will exist outside of a five minute travel time from the nearest fire station will not exceed the
threshold of 1,500 units).
22
OPEN SPACE
A. Performance Standard
Fifteen percent of the total land area in the Local Facility Management Zone (LFMZ)
exclusive of environmentally constrained non-developable land must be set aside for
permanent open space and must be available concurrent with development.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
To date, adequate open space has been provided to meet the performance standard.
Open space to meet the performance standard is provided .concurrent with approval of
development projects. The location of performance standard open space must be indicated
during project-specific analysis. It must be in addition to any constrained areas, such as
protected wildlife habitat or slopes greater than 40%. At the time the Citywide Facilities and
Improvements Plan was adopted (1986), the LFMZs were divided into: a) those that were
already developed and considered in compliance with Growth Management, and b) those
that still needed to comply with the open space performance standard.
In 1986, LFMZs 1 through 10, and 16 were already developed. and considered in
compliance with the open space performance standard. Subsequent to the adoption of the
CFIP, LFMZs 11 -15, 17 -21, and 23 -24 have provided adequate open space to meet
the performance standard concurrent with development.
LFMZ 22 is still developing and, as future development occurs, open space will be required
to meet the performance standard.
LFMZ 25 is largely undeveloped and no LFMP has been adopted for this zone. Before
development is allowed in this area, an LFMP must be adopted that demonstrates how the
open space performance standard will be met. McMillan Homes has submitted a master
plan for the development of Quarry Creek (within LFMZ 25). This draft master plan
submittal is under city review, and includes a draft LFMP for LFMZ 25 which is also under
review.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
As discussed above, all LFMZs, except for Zones 22 and 25, have met the Growth
Management open space performance standard. Future projects in LFMZs 22 and 25 must
provide open space in compliance with the performance standard.
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SCHOOLS
A. Performance Standard
School capacity to meet projected enrollment within the Local Facility Management Zone
(LFMZ) as determined by the appropriate school district must be provided prior to projected
occupancy.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Currently, school capacity is in compliance with the Growth Management School
performance standard (see below). The City is served by four school districts as listed
below:
1. Carlsbad Unified School District
According to the Carlsbad Unified School District Facilities Master Plan (2007), sufficient
student capacity exists through 2014.
2. San Marcos Unified School District
Projections for enrollment and school capacity analysis were not available; however, it is
Carlsbad's practice to require all development projects to pay impact fees to the
appropriate school district to ensure adequate facilities are provided.
3. Encinitas Union Elementary School District
According to demographics data in the Encinitas Union Elementary School District
Facilities Master Plan (Nov. 2004 ), sufficient student capacity exists through 2015.
4. San Dieguito Union High School District
Based on demographic projections provided by San Dieguito ·Union High School District;
it is estimated that schools serving Carlsbad will have sufficient student capacity through
2018.
C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
Based on available information, as indicated above, it is estimated that school districts will
maintain sufficient capacity through the years 2014 -2018. School enrollment projections
and facility master plans will be. periodically updated by the school districts, allowing future
capacity analysis to be performed to verify that enrollment can be accommodated.
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SEWER COLLECTION SERVICES
A. Performance Standard
Trunk-line capacity to meet demand, as determined by the appropriate sewer districts, must
be provided concurrent with development.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Sewer improvements are provided on a project by project basis concurrent with
development. Currently, the City of Carlsbad's Sewer service area pipelines are in
compliance with the Growth Management performance standard. Representatives from the
sewer agencies that provide sewer collection systems within the City include: Carlsbad,
Leucadia Wastewater District and Vallecitos Water District. Each agency indicates that they
currently have adequate conveyance capacity in place to meet Carlsbad's sewer collection
demands.
The City of Carlsbad is served by the following four major interceptor systems and is
described in more detail as follows:
Interceptor System Sewer Districts Served Carlsbad Capacity
Riqhts
Varies from
Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor City of Carlsbad & City of Vista 0% I O MGD up to
50o/~ I 33.6 MGD
City of Carlsbad & Buena Sanitation Varies from
Buena Interceptor 18% / 1.2 MGD up to District 35% I 3.0 MGD
Val/ecitos Interceptor City of Carlsbad, Buena Sanitation 5 MGD District & Vallecitos Water District
Occidental Sewer City of Carlsbad, City of Encinitas & 8.5 MGD Leucadia Waste Water District
Note: MGD = million gallons per day
For both the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor and the Buena Interceptor, the percentage of
Carlsbad capacity rights increases in the downstream reaches of each interceptor system
(0% in the upstream reaches as they enter the Carlsbad service area and up to 35% or 50%
in the downstream reaches for Buena Interceptor and Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor,
. respectively as they enter the Encina Water Pollution Control Facility).
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C. Buildout Facility Adequacy Analysis
The 2003 City of Carlsbad Sewer Master Plan ( currently being updated as part of the City of
Carlsbad Water, Sewer and Recycled Water Master Plan Update, which is expected to be
completed by November 2012) evaluated the sewer infrastructure needs of the Carlsbad's
Sewer service area and identified those facilities required to accommodate future customers
at buildout. The master plan identified the Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor, and Buena
Interceptor as requiring improvements to accommodate buildout demand (see below).
Sewer trunk main capacities are estimated by comparing wastewater flow projections to the
capacity of the sewer system. Using a sewer model, the existing and future sewer demands
are estimated and compared to the capacity. In addition, annual flow measurement
information is also used to determine actual flows in the sewer trunk mains.
Vista/Carlsbad Interceptor. A capacity analysis included in the 2003 City of Carlsbad
Sewer Master Plan indicates three relatively flat pipeline portions of Reaches VC13, VC14 &
VC15. As a result, during peak period flows, the pipeline is flowing full. The FY 11 /12
Capital Improvement Program has identified funds for construction of upgrades to these
reaches projected to begin in FY 12/13. The replacement pipelines are sized based on
ultimate flows from both the City of Carlsbad and City of Vista sewer collection systems.
Buena Interceptor. A capacity analysis conducted in 2010 indicates that although the City's
wastewater flows are not projected to exceed the capacity rights in the Buena Interceptor,
the combined flows of Buena Sanitation District and City of Carlsbad during peak wet
weather periods result in capacity restrictions. As a result, Carlsbad is coordinating with
Buena Sanitation District to construct a parallel trunk sewer which will allow all flows from
Buena Sanitation District to be diverted to the parallel trunk sewer. Once constructed the
City of Carlsbad will be the only agency with flows remaining in the existing Buena
Interceptor, and this will provide sufficient capacity for Carlsbad during wet weather
conditions. The parallel trunk sewer is now in the final design stage with construction
scheduled to begin in FY 2012/2013.
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WATER DISTRIBUTION SERVICES
A. Performance Standard
Line capacity to meet demand as determined by the appropriate water district must be
provided concurrent with development. A minimum. of 10-day average storage capacity
must be provided prior to any development.
B. CY 2011 Facility Adequacy Analysis
Carlsbad's water distribution is provided by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD),
Vallecitos Water District (VWD) and Olivenhain Municipal Water District (OMWD). These
districts indicate that they have adequate capacity to meet the Growth Management
performance standard.
Water service demand requirements are estimated using a computer model to simulate two
water distribution scenarios: 1) maximum day demand plus a fire event, 2) peak hour.
demand. This computer model was calibrated using actual flow measurements collected in
the field to verify it sufficiently represents the actual water system.
Existing and future daily demand and storage requirements for CMWD from the 2003 water
master plan are shown below:
Existin 33MGD
Existin 40 MG
51 MG
40MGD
55MG
Based on the water model analysis prepared for the 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan, future
pipelines and water system facilities were identified to ensure a complete water system is
constructed to accommodate future customers. In addition, funds for the construction of
future facilities were included in the FY11/12 Capital Improvement Program. Therefore, the
future water infrastructure is programmed to be in place at the time of need in order to
ensure compliance with the performance standard.
Within the CMWD service area the existing average daily demand peaked in 2007 at 21.8
MGD. In 2010 the annual demand reduced to 13.5 MGD and in 2011 it was 13.4 MGD. The
lower water demand, compared to 2007, is a result of (1) implementing a new tiered water
rate structure, (2) in 2009, a campaign to reduce customer consumption by the wholesale
water agencies, and (3) an expansion of the recycled water system.
To meet the 10 day storage requirement, CMWD needs 218 MG of storage capacity based
on the historic peak demand. CMWD has a storage· capacity of 244 MG which consists of
195 MG of storage capacity at Maerkle Dam and an additional 49 MG of storage capacity in
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various storage tanks throughout the distribution system. In 2004, the OMWD completed
construction of a water treatment facility at the San Diego County Water Authority
Emergency Storage Reservoir, which provides the storage necessary to meet the 10 day
storage requirement for OMWD.
C. Buildout Facility Adequa~y Analysis
The 2003 CMWD Water Master Plan (currently being updated as part of the City of Carlsbad
Water, Sewer and Recycled Water Master Plan Update, which is expected to be completed
by November 2012) identifies facilities necessary for buildout conditions within its service
area. The update identified additional improvements required to meet future water demands
and the need for two additional water storage tanks to meet the future 10 average-day
storage requirements.
As proposed land development projects are reviewed by the City, the CMWD Water Master
Plan is consulted to check pipeline sizes and facility capacities to verify adequacy to support
the water needs of the project and city. To comply with water master plan requirements,
land development projects may be required to install a master plan water project concurrent
with construction of that specific project.
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