Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout2022-06-21; Municipal Water District; ; Approval of the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report and authorization of submittal to the California Department of Water ResourcesCA Review _RMC_ Meeting Date: June 21, 2022 To: President and Board Members From: Scott Chadwick, Executive Manager Staff Contact: Keri Martinez, Utilities Senior Engineer keri.martinez@carlsbadca.gov, 442-339-2354 Shoshana Aguilar, Senior Management Analyst shoshana.aguilar@carlsbadca.gov, 442-339-2360 Subject: Approval of the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report and authorization of submittal to the California Department of Water Resources Districts: All Recommended Action Adopt a resolution approving the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report, authorizing submittal of the assessment to the California Department of Water Resources and granting authority to the Executive Manager to incorporate requested revisions, if any, made by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District Board of Directors into the report prior to submitting to the Department of Water Resources by July 1, 2022. Executive Summary California Water Code section 10632.1 requires urban water suppliers to conduct an annual water supply and demand assessment and submit this data in an annual water shortage assessment report. The report projects demand for the period from July 1, 2022, to June 30, 2023. The 2022 annual report, which is provided as Attachment A to Exhibit 1, must be submitted to the Department of Water Resources on or before July 1, 2022, and annually thereafter. The Carlsbad Municipal Water District is an urban water supplier subject to this new requirement and must submit the results of this annual assessment for the first time this year. The purpose of the annual assessment is to determine whether anticipated water supplies will adequately meet anticipated demands under current and dry year conditions. The assessment is intended as a tool to assist with local and statewide water supply planning to address water shortages. CMWD’s annual assessment indicates that the current supplies would adequately meet the demands in fiscal year 2022-23. To comply with requirements established in CMWD’s Water Shortage Contingency Plan, the 2022 annual report must be approved by the CMWD Board of Directors. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 1 of 22 MUNICIIPAL WATER D IISTRIC'f Staff Report Discussion The CMWD board approved the district’s Water Shortage Contingency Plan concurrent with approval of the 2020 Urban Water Management Plan on June 8, 2021. The water shortage response actions in the contingency plan determine how to address identified water shortages. Suppliers use their water supply and demand assessment procedures from the contingency plan, along with supporting information from their management plan to conduct annual supply and demand assessments to predict potential shortages and submit the results in an annual report to the Department of Water Resources. Information in the report includes anticipated demands based on historical uses, anticipated supplies based on current sources, any identified shortages, triggered shortage response actions, compliance and enforcement actions, and communication actions consistent with the supplier’s contingency plan. Estimated water demand projections are based on past and current years data and demands are inclusive of residential, commercial, industrial, institutional, agricultural, irrigation and fire protection monthly uses. Since the Department of Water Resources requires these demands to represent a dry year, an additional 7% of water use is added to the demand in accordance with the approved management plan procedures. Demands also include estimates for expected water distribution system losses based on historical data. While Drought Level 1 actions have been and will continue to be implemented, the total projected demand for fiscal year 2022–23 without drought restrictions is 21,549 acre-feet. CMWD’s projected supplies include: • 14,804 acre-feet potable water purchased from the Water Authority • 2,500 acre-feet desalinated seawater purchased from the Water Authority • 4,245 acre-feet of recycled water total from CMWD’s two recycled water sources, the Carlsbad Water Recycling Facility and the Vallecitos Water District CMWD’s assessment indicates adequate supplies are available to meet customer demands under the Department of Water Resources’ scenarios for dry year conditions. While it is not required to meet anticipated demands, CMWD will implement additional conservation measures as required by the State Water Resources Control Board (i.e., demand reduction actions for water shortage Level 2) when necessary for regulatory compliance, which would likely reduce demands further. Options Staff provide the following options for the CMWD board’s consideration: 1. Adopt a resolution approving the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report and authorizing submittal of the assessment to the California Department of Water Resources and granting authority to the Executive Manager to incorporate requested revisions, if any, made by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District Board of Directors into the report prior to submitting to the Department of Water Resources by July 1, 2022. Pros • CMWD will have a completed Annual Water Supply and Demand Assessment • CMWD will comply with state law • The CMWD Board can comment on the 2022 annual report and still meet the submittal deadline June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 2 of 22 Cons •If the Board requests changes to the report, the CMWD Board will not have the opportunity to review the final document prior to the submittal deadline 2.Adopt a resolution approving the 2022 annual report and authorizing submittal to the Department of Water Resources. Pros •CMWD will have a completed annual water supply and demand assessment •CMWD will comply with state law Cons •If the CMWD Board requests changes to the report, the document would need to come back to the Board for approval and CMWD would not be able to comply with the regulatory deadline of submittal by July 1, 2022. Staff recommend Option 1 for the board’s consideration. Fiscal Analysis The 2022 annual report has no financial impact although the projects and policies that may develop from its findings may have a financial impact. These impacts will be disclosed and brought before the CMWD board for consideration as the projects or policies are identified or implemented. Next Steps With the CMWD board’s approval, staff will submit the 2022 annual report to the Department of Water Resources. Environmental Evaluation The proposed action is exempt from California Environmental Quality Act under the California Environmental Quality Act Guidelines Section 15282 (v), which applies to the preparation and adoption of an annual water supply and demand assessment in accordance with the provisions of Section 10652 of the California Water Code. Public Notification This item was noticed in accordance with the Ralph M. Brown Act and was available for public viewing and review at least 72 hours prior to the scheduled meeting date. Exhibits 1.Carlsbad Municipal Water District board resolution June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 3 of 22 RESOLUTION NO. 1676 A RESOLUTION OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS OF THE CARLSBAD MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT, APPROVING THE 2022 ANNUAL WATER SHORTAGE ASSESSMENT REPORT, AUTHORIZING SUBMITTAL OF THE ASSESSMENT TO THE CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES AND GRANTING AUTHORITY TO THE EXECUTIVE MANAGER TO INCORPORATE REQUESTED REVISIONS, IF ANY, MADE BY THE CARLSBAD MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT BOARD OF DIRECTORS INTO THE REPORT PRIOR TO SUBMITTING TO THE DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES EXHIBIT 1 WHEREAS, California Water Code 10632.1 requires urban water suppliers to conduct an annual water supply and demand assessment and submit this data in an Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report to the California Department of Water Resources on or before July 1, 2022, and annually thereafter; and WHEREAS, the Carlsbad Municipal Water District, or CMWD, is an urban water supplier subject to this new requirement and must submit the results of this annual assessment for the first time this year; and WHEREAS, the purpose of this annual water supply and demand assessment is to determine whether anticipated current water supplies will adequately meet anticipated demands under current and dry year conditions and to assist with local and statewide water supply planning on how to address water shortages; and WHEREAS the annual water supply and demand assessment determined that anticipated current water supplies will meet anticipated demands under current and dry year conditions; and WHEREAS, the city planner has determined that the Project is statutorily exempt from the proceedings of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) pursuant to state CEQA Guidelines Article 18, Section 15282 -(v) The preparation and adoption of an annual water supply and demand assessment pursuant to the provision of Section 10652 of the Water Code. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the Carlsbad Municipal Water District Board of the City of Carlsbad, California, as follows: 1.That the above recitations are true and correct. 2.That the Board approves the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report attached hereto as Attachment A and hereby delegates authority to the Executive Manager to June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 4 of 22 incorporate requested revisions made at the June 21, 2022 meeting by the Board, if any, as outlined in the meeting minutes, into the report. 3.That the Executive Manager is hereby authorized and directed to submit the 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report to the California Department of Water Resources. PASSED, APPROVED AND ADOPTED at a Regular Meeting of the Board of Directors of the Carlsbad Municipal Water District of the City of Carlsbad on the 21st day of June, 2022, by the following vote, to wit: AYES: NAYS: ABSENT: Hall, Blackburn, Bhat-Patel, Acosta, Norby. None. None. MATT HALL, President °,fY FAVIOLA MEDINA, City Clerk Services Manager (SEAL) June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 5 of 22 jqvL Attachment A 9655 Chesapeake Drive Suite 320 San Diego, California 92123 ANNUAL WATER SHORTAGE ASSESSMENT REPORT Carlsbad Municipal Water District May 2022 June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 6 of 22 Carlsbad - Municipal Water District ~ Woodard & Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District i Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 TABLE OF CONTENTS SECTION PAGE NO. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................... ES-1 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Definitions .............................................................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Decision Making Process ................................................................................................................................. 1 2. DATA INPUTS ..................................................................................................................................... 4 2.1 Current Year Unconstrained Demand ......................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Next Year Unconstrained Demand............................................................................................................... 4 2.3 Current Year Available Supply ....................................................................................................................... 7 2.4 Next Year Available Supply ............................................................................................................................. 7 2.5 Infrastructure Capabilities ..............................................................................................................................10 2.6 Assessment Methodology .............................................................................................................................10 2.7 Description and Quantification of Each Water Supply Source .......................................................10 3. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND ACTIONS .......................................................................................... 11 3.1 Supply and Demand Assessment ...............................................................................................................11 3.2 Planned Shortage Response Actions ........................................................................................................14 4. REFERENCES ..................................................................................................................................... 15 TABLES Table 1: Annual Assessment Information Table 2: Unconstrained Current Year FY 21-22 Water Demands (DWR Table 2: Water Demand) Table 3: Unconstrained Next Year FY 22-23 Estimated Water Demands (DWR Table 2: Water Demand) Table 4: Current Year Water FY 21-22 Supply (DWR Table 3: Water Supplies) Table 5: Next Year FY 22-23 Projected Water Supply (DWR Table 3: Water Supplies) Table 6: Potable Water Demand Supply Assessment (DWR Table 4(P): Potable Water Shortage Assessment) Table 7: Recycled Water Demand Supply Assessment (DWR Table 4(NP): Non-Potable Water Shortage Assessment) Table 8: Water Conservation Actions (DWR Table 5: Planned Water Shortage Response Actions) June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 7 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 1 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This Water Shortage Assessment Report has been prepared for the Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD) in compliance with the requirements of California Water Code (CWC) §10632. This preliminary report will be submitted to the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) by June 1, 2022, in accordance with Executive Order N-7-22. The report will then be finalized and submitted to DWR no later than July 1, 2022, in accordance with the CWC §10632.1. This report compares the monthly estimated water demand to available projected supply between July 2022 and June 2023 for CMWD, to assist with predicting shortages in the coming year. Consistent with guidance provided by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) (2021), the next year has been assumed to be dry. With ongoing implementation of water conservation measures listed in Level 1 of CMWD’s drought ordinance, and continued reliance on water purchases from the San Diego County Water Authority, CMWD expects to have a supply surplus over the next year even in dry year conditions. In addition, this report presents the expected water conservation savings from Level 2 of CMWD’s drought ordinance in order to demonstrate that compliance with Executive Order N-7-22 to implement a Statewide Standard Shortage Level 2 over the next year would be feasible. 1.INTRODUCTION This Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report includes both the Annual Water Supply Demand Assessment and the Water Shortage Response Actions of Carlsbad Municipal Water District (CMWD) as of July 1, 2022. 1.1 Definitions This assessment makes use of the following terms, as defined here. Current Year – The Current Year is defined as the twelve-month period between July 1, 2021 and June 30, 2022. Next Year – The Next Year is defined as the twelve-month period between July 1, 2022 and June 30, 2023. Dry Year – For the purposes of this 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report, the Dry Year is the first year of a multi-dry year period between July 1, 2022 and June 30, 2023. Unconstrained Demand – Water demand absent any water supply restrictions. 1.2 Decision Making Process The California Water Code (CWC Section 10632(a)(2)) requires that each urban water supplier include in its Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP) a description of the written decision-making process that the supplier will use each year to determine its water supply reliability. The procedure for conducting and approving the annual demand and supply reliability assessment can be found in CMWD’s WSCP, which is a part of its 2020 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP), Section 8.2. According to the WSCP, the annual reliability assessment procedure includes the following steps and annual timing. However, the procedure this year has the additional step of submitting a preliminary assessment to DWR on or before June 1, 2022. Therefore, the following decision-making process has been modified from that in the WSCP, to accommodate this change. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 8 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 2 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 1. March - April a. CMWD determines CMWD local supply available. b. CMWD coordinates with the San Diego County Water Authority (SDCWA) to gather necessary information to conduct SDCWA Annual Assessment. c. CMWD conducts Annual Assessment (previously scheduled for May in WSCP): i. CMWD determines total supply available – inclusive of imported water supply. ii. CMWD determines infrastructure constraints (including water quality conditions limiting local sources). iii. CMWD determines expected demand for current year and one subsequent dry year. iv. CMWD compares supply and demand and makes a determination of the water supply reliability (see Section 8.2.6 Evaluation Criteria). 2. May a. SDCWA announces member agency allocation determination for current year. b. SDCWA determines carryover (and emergency storage apportionments if under emergency). 3. June a. CMWD submits preliminary Annual Assessment to the state by June 1 (new addition to process). b. Board of Directors reviews and approves Annual Assessment determination. c. CMWD coordinates with SDCWA on submittal of the report. Annual Assessment report to be submitted to the state by July 1. The following table summarizes the 2022 Annual Assessment information. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 9 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 3 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 1: Annual Assessment Information Annual Assessment Information (Required) Year Covered By This Shortage Report Start: July 1,2022 End: June 30,2023 Supplier's Annual Assessment Planning Cycle Start Month:July End Month:June Data Reporting Interval Used: MONTHLY Volume Unit for Reported Supply and Demand: (Must use the same unit throughout)AF Water Supplier's Contact Information Water Supplier's Name:Carlsbad Municipal Water District Contact Name:Keri Martinez Contact Title:Utilities Senior Engineer Street Address:5950 El Camino Real ZIP Code:92008 Phone Number:442-339-2354 Email Address:keri.martinez@carlsbadca.gov Report Preparer's Contact Information (if different from above) Preparer's Organization Name: Woodard & Curran Preparer's Contact Name: Haley Johnson Phone Number:(858) 875-7407 Email Address:HJohnson@woodardcurran.com Supplier's Water Shortage Contingency Plan WSCP Title CMWD UWMP 2020 Chapter 8 Water Shortage Contingency Planning WSCP Adoption Date 6/8/2021 Other Annual Assessment Related Activities (Optional) Activity Timeline/ Outcomes / Links / Notes Annual Assessment/ Shortage Report Title: 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report Annual Assessment / Shortage Report Approval Date:expected 06/07/2022 Water Shortage Contingency Plan adopted 6/8/2021 2022 preliminary Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report to be submitted to the state expected 6/1/2022, following availability of submittal procedure guidance from DWR 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment Report to be submitted to the state expected 6/30/2022, when 2022 Annual Water Shortage Assessment finalized following Board approval June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 10 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 4 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 2. DATA INPUTS 2.1 Current Year Unconstrained Demand As required by the California Water Code (CWC Section 10632(a)(2)(B)(i)), CMWD has estimated the current year’s unconstrained demand for the purpose of determining currently needed water shortage response actions. In the current year, July 2021 – June 2022, CMWD implemented water conservation practices from Level 1 Drought Watch of its Drought Ordinance to achieve at least a 10% reduction in water demand. Unconstrained demand in the current year, which is presented in Table 2, represents potable water sales, including water losses, between July 2021 and June 2022, with the addition of the hypothetical demand that would have existed were it not for the current year water use conservation practices. CMWD water loss reports between 2018 to 2020 were used to estimate water loss in 2021 and 2022. Historical average annual water loss as a percentage of annual potable water sales was used to approximate water loss on a monthly basis in the current year and the next year for the purposes of this report. Unconstrainted recycled water demand in the current year is simply recycled water sales between July 2021 and June 2022 because the Level 1 Drought Water conservation practices only apply to potable demand. Water sales in May and June of 2022 were not yet available as of the drafting of this report and were therefore estimated based on the recent historical average May and June water sales between 2019 and 2021. The hypothetical demand that would have existed were it not for current water conservation practices was estimated based on the savings CMWD estimated it would achieve from Level 1 Drought Watch (see 2020 CMWD UWMP Table 8.4). 2.2 Next Year Unconstrained Demand CMWD assumes that demand in the next year (July 2022 – June 2023) will be representative of a single dry year as defined in Section 7 Supply Reliability Assessment of CMWD’s 2020 UWMP, consistent with the methodology used to evaluate water supply reliability, as described in CMWD’s WSCP (see Section 8.2.3 of the 2020 CMWD UWMP). Unconstrained next year demand, which is shown in Table 3, represents unconstrained demand in the current year multiplied by the expected demand increase during a dry year. Demand in a dry year is expected to be 107% of normal for both potable and recycled water. This factor is explained in greater detail in the 2020 CMWD UWMP Section 7.2 Reliability by Year Type and is based on regional demand modeling conducted by the San Diego County Water Authority, the regional wholesaler. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 11 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 5 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 2: Unconstrained Current Year FY 21-22 Water Demands (DWR Table 2: Water Demand) Use Type Start Year:2021 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Total by Water Demand Type All Demands Potable Demand 1353.2 1433.5 1410.9 1295.1 1105.1 1131.1 859.8 899.9 987.8 1068.2 1071.4 1223.9 13840 Other Potable Additional hypothetical demand w/o conservation 172.4 182.6 179.7 165.0 140.8 144.1 109.5 114.6 125.8 136.1 136.5 155.9 1763 Losses Estimated water loss 55.7 59.0 58.1 53.3 45.5 46.6 35.4 37.0 40.7 44.0 44.1 50.4 570 1581 1675 1649 1513 1291 1322 1005 1052 1154 1248 1252 1430 16172 Other Nonpotable Recycled Water Tertiary 470.8 505.0 513.1 449.9 275.9 321.9 108.2 142.2 249.3 257.2 290.4 383.3 3967 471 505 513 450 276 322 108 142 249 257 290 383 3967 Table 2: Water Demands1 Projected Water Demands - Volume3 Total by Month (Non-Potable) 1Projections are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual demand volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When opting to provide other than monthly volumes (bi-monthly, quarterly, or annual), please see directions on entering data for Projected Water Demand in the Table Instructions. Notes: This table reflects current year demands. Total by Month (Potable) Additional Description (as needed) Level of Treatment for Non- Potable Supplies Drop-down list Drop-down list May select each use multiple times These are the only Use Types that will be recognized by the WUEdata online submittal tool (Add additional rows as needed) Demands Served by Potable Supplies Demands Served by Non-Potable SuppliesJune 21, 2022Item #6 Page 12 of 22"E ~ ro i.. "'C lo.. o:::::s OU 3:..s Carlsbad Municipal Water District 6 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 3: Unconstrained Next Year FY 22-23 Estimated Water Demands (DWR Table 2: Water Demand) Use Type Start Year:2022 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Total by Water Demand Type All Demands Potable Demand 1447.9 1533.8 1509.6 1385.8 1182.4 1210.3 920.0 962.9 1057.0 1142.9 1146.4 1309.6 14809 Other Potable Additional hypothetical demand w/o conservation 184.4 195.4 192.3 176.5 150.6 154.2 117.2 122.6 134.6 145.6 146.0 166.8 1886 Losses Estimated water loss 59.6 63.1 62.1 57.0 48.7 49.8 37.9 39.6 43.5 47.0 47.2 53.9 609 1692 1792 1764 1619 1382 1414 1075 1125 1235 1336 1340 1530 17304 Other Nonpotable Recycled Water Tertiary 503.8 540.3 549.0 481.4 295.2 344.5 115.8 152.2 266.8 275.2 310.7 410.1 4245 504 540 549 481 295 344 116 152 267 275 311 410 4245 Table 2: Water Demands1 Projected Water Demands - Volume3 Total by Month (Non-Potable) 1Projections are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual demand volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When opting to provide other than monthly volumes (bi-monthly, quarterly, or annual), please see directions on entering data for Projected Water Demand in the Table Instructions. Notes: CMWD has been in Level 1 Drought Watch since 2017. Total by Month (Potable) Additional Description (as needed) Level of Treatment for Non- Potable Supplies Drop-down list Drop-down list May select each use multiple times These are the only Use Types that will be recognized by the WUEdata online submittal tool (Add additional rows as needed) Demands Served by Potable Supplies Demands Served by Non-Potable SuppliesJune 21, 2022Item #6 Page 13 of 22"E ~ ro i.. "'C lo.. o:::::s OU 3:..s Carlsbad Municipal Water District 7 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 2.3 Current Year Available Supply As required by the California Water Code (CWC Section 10632(a)(2)(B)(ii)), CMWD estimated the available supply in the current year and one dry year, presented in Table 4 and Table 5, respectively. Available supply includes local supplies, including recycled and desalinated water, and imported supplies purchased from the SDCWA. Note that current year available supply (Table 4) is less than current year unconstrained demand (Table 2) due to the Level 1 Drought Watch conservation practices implemented in CMWD’s service area between July 2021 and June 2022, and there was no shortage experienced in the Current Year. 2.4 Next Year Available Supply CMWD has estimated available supply in the next year, which is assumed to be a single dry water year, as specified in the WSCP, Section 8.2.3 Planned Water Use for Current Year and Subsequent Dry Year: Data Inputs and Methodology. Available supply in the next year (Table 5), represents expected supply during a dry year. Available supply in a dry year is expected to be 100% of normal for desalinated seawater, 107% of normal for recycled water, and the rest would be supplied by purchases from the SDCWA. SDCWA’s 2020 UWMP indicates sufficient available supplies to meet member agency unconstrained demands in single and multiple dry year scenarios, even without member agencies implementing additional conservation measures from their WSCPs. As such, CMWD does not anticipate any issues accessing needed supplies to meet projected next year demands. These factors are explained in greater detail in UWMP Section 7.2 Reliability by Year Type. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 14 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 8 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 4: Current Year Water FY 21-22 Supply (DWR Table 3: Water Supplies) Water Supply Start Year:2021 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Total by Water Supply Type Purchased or Imported Water SDCWA 1200.6 1284.1 1260.6 1140.1 942.2 969.3 686.9 728.6 820.1 903.8 907.1 1065.9 11909 --Desalinated Surfacewater Seawater 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 2500 --1409 1492 1469 1348 1151 1178 895 937 1028 1112 1115 1274 14409 0 Recycled Water 470.8 505.0 513.1 449.9 275.9 321.9 108.2 142.2 249.3 257.2 290.4 383.3 3967 Tertiary -- 471 505 513 450 276 322 108 142 249 257 290 383 3967 0 Potable Supplies Non-Potable Supplies 1Projections are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual supply volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When opting to provide other than monthly volumes (bi-monthly, quarterly, or annual), please see directions on entering data for Projected Water Supplies in the Table Instructions. Notes: CMWD did not experience hydrological and regulatory conditions, infrastructure capabilities, or constraints impacted water supplies in the current year. Total by Month (Potable) Total by Month (Non-Potable) Table 3: Water Supplies1 Projected Water Supplies - Volume3 Water Quality Drop-down List Total Right or Safe Yield* (optional) Additional Detail on Water Supply Drop-down List May use each category multiple times.These are the only water supply categories that will be recognized by the WUEdata online submittal tool (Add additional rows as needed)June 21, 2022Item #6 Page 15 of 22 Carlsbad Municipal Water District 9 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 5: Next Year FY 22-23 Projected Water Supply (DWR Table 3: Water Supplies) Water Supply Start Year:2022 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Total by Water Supply Type Purchased or Imported Water SDCWA 1483.6 1583.9 1555.7 1411.0 1173.4 1205.9 866.7 916.9 1026.7 1127.2 1131.2 1321.9 14804Desalinated Surfacewater Seawater 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 208.3 25001692 1792 1764 1619 1382 1414 1075 1125 1235 1336 1340 1530 17304 0 Recycled Water 503.8 540.3 549.0 481.4 295.2 344.5 115.8 152.2 266.8 275.2 310.7 410.1 4245 Tertiary 504 540 549 481 295 344 116 152 267 275 311 410 4245 0 Potable Supplies Non-Potable Supplies 1Projections are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual supply volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When opting to provide other than monthly volumes (bi-monthly, quarterly, or annual), please see directions on entering data for Projected Water Supplies in the Table Instructions. Notes: CMWD does not expect upcoming infrastructure changes, such as scheduled operation and maintenance, construction impacts, water quality impacts, or projects that may add capacity, that may affect supply in the next year. Total by Month (Potable) Total by Month (Non-Potable) Table 3: Water Supplies1 Projected Water Supplies - Volume3 Water Quality Drop-down List Total Right or Safe Yield* (optional) Additional Detail on Water Supply Drop-down List May use each category multiple times.These are the only water supply categories that will be recognized by the WUEdata online submittal tool (Add additional rows as needed)June 21, 2022Item #6 Page 16 of 22 Carlsbad Municipal Water District 10 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 2.5 Infrastructure Capabilities The California Water Code (CWC Section 10632(a)(2)(B)(iii)) requires urban water suppliers to provide a description of the existing infrastructure capabilities and plausible constraints used to evaluate water supply reliability. CMWD’s existing infrastructure is capable of meeting expected potable and recycled water demands. As documented in Section 4.2 of CMWD’s 2020 UWMP, a relatively modest increase in demands is anticipated within its service area between 2020 and 2025, and CMWD’s conveyance system is adequately sized to meet potable demands. CWMD meets potable demand with desalinated seawater wheeled through SDCWA and purchased treated water from SDCWA; additional treatment and conveyance infrastructure would not be needed to meet the expected increase in potable demands. Although in the past, CMWD’s recycled water treatment facility, the Carlsbad Water Reclamation Facility (WRF), has produced on average around 4,000 AFY of tertiary treated water, it is capable of producing up to 7.0 MGD (equivalent to approximately 7,800 AFY) of tertiary treated water (see 2020 CMWD UWMP Section 6.7.2). CMWD also has an agreement with Vallecitos Water District to supplement recycled water purchases. The Carlsbad WRF receives secondary treated effluent from the Encina Water Pollution Control Facility (WPCF), which, in 2020 treated approximately 27,000 AF of wastewater. CMWD will only provide or purchase as much recycled water as needed to meet demands, up to its full treatment capacity; however, there is a sufficient supply of effluent from the Encina WPCF to produce more recycled water at the Carlsbad WRF if needed to meet higher demand. CMWD does not have any upcoming infrastructure changes, such as scheduled operation and maintenance, construction impacts, water quality impacts, or projects that may affect supply in the next year. 2.6 Assessment Methodology The methodology used to evaluate water supply reliability is described in CMWD’s WSCP Section 8.2 Annual Demand and Supply Reliability Assessment Procedures. 2.7 Description and Quantification of Each Water Supply Source The California Water Code (CWC Section 10632(a)(2)(B)(v)) requires that each urban water supplier describe and quantify each of its water supply sources, to be used in combination with data on demand and infrastructure constraints to perform the annual water supply and demand assessment and to evaluate water supply reliability. The description of each of CMWD’s water supply types can be found in Table 4 and Table 5 above, under the Water Supply Type, Additional Detail on Water Supply, and Water Quality columns. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 17 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 11 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 3. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND ACTIONS The California Water Code (CWC Section 10632.1) requires that each urban water supplier assess its water supplies and demands on an annual basis, with information for anticipated shortage, triggered shortage response actions, compliance and enforcement actions, and communication actions consistent with the supplier’s water shortage contingency plan. 3.1 Supply and Demand Assessment Table 6 and Table 7 below provide space for CMWD to comply with the requirements of the CWC. Table 6 presents unconstrainted demand for potable water compared to available potable supplies and presents the calculated surplus/shortage without demand reduction benefits of conservation actions from Level 1 Drought Watch. As shown in Table 6, CMWD expects to be able to produce and purchase enough supplies to meet demands. By implementing Level 1 Drought Watch, CMWD expects to achieve a demand reduction benefit of 10.9%, which begins to approach the 20% conservation that would be required by a State Standard Shortage Response Level 2. CMWD intends to continue its Level 1 Drought Watch conservation actions over the next year. However, if there is a requirement under EO-N-7-22 to implement Level 2 actions, CMWD would do so. Table 6 presents the benefit from WSCP Level 2 Drought Watch demand reduction actions. Table 7 presents unconstrainted demand for recycled water compared to available recycled water supplies. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 18 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 12 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 6: Potable Water Demand Supply Assessment (DWR Table 4(P): Potable Water Shortage Assessment) Table 4(P): Potable Water Shortage Assessment1 Start Year:2022 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun3 Total Anticipated Unconstrained Demand 1691.9 1792.3 1764.0 1619.3 1381.7 1414.3 1075.1 1125.2 1235.1 1335.5 1339.5 1530.2 17304.20 Anticipated Total Water Supply 1691.9 1792.3 1764.0 1619.3 1381.7 1414.3 1075.1 1125.2 1235.1 1335.5 1339.5 1530.2 17304.20 Surplus/Shortage w/o WSCP Action 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 % Surplus/Shortage w/o WSCP Action 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% State Standard Shortage Level 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Benefit from WSCP: Supply Augmentation 0.0 Benefit from WSCP: Demand Reduction 399.3 423.0 416.3 382.2 326.1 333.8 253.7 265.5 291.5 315.2 316.1 361.1 4083.8 Revised Surplus/Shortage with WSCP 399.3 423.0 416.3 382.2 326.1 333.8 253.7 265.5 291.5 315.2 316.1 361.1 4083.8 % Revised Surplus/Shortage with WSCP 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% Planned WSCP Actions 1Assessments are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When optional monthly volumes aren't provided, verify Tables 2 and 3 use the same columns for data entry and are reflected properly in Table 4 and make sure to use those same columns to enter the benefits from Planned WSCP Actions. Please see directions on the shortage balancing exercise in the Table Instructions. If a shortage is projected, the supplier is highly recommended to perform a monthly analysis to more accurately identify the time of shortage.June 21, 2022Item #6 Page 19 of 22 Carlsbad Municipal Water District 13 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 Table 7: Recycled Water Demand Supply Assessment (DWR Table 4(NP): Non-Potable Water Shortage Assessment) Table 4(NP): Non-Potable Water Shortage Assessment1 Start Year:2022 Volumetric Unit Used2:AF Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun3 Total Anticipated Unconstrained Demand: Non-Potable 503.8 540.3 549.0 481.4 295.2 344.5 115.8 152.2 266.8 135.3 310.7 410.1 4,104.98 Anticipated Total Water Supply: Non-Potable 503.8 540.3 549.0 481.4 295.2 344.5 115.8 152.2 266.8 135.3 310.7 410.1 4,105.0 Surplus/Shortage w/o WSCP Action: Non-Potable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 % Surplus/Shortage w/o WSCP Action: Non-Potable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Benefit from WSCP: Supply Augmentation 0.0 Benefit from WSCP: Demand Reduction 0.0 Revised Surplus/Shortage with WSCP 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 % Revised Surplus/Shortage with WSCP 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Planned WSCP Actions 1Assessments are based on best available data at time of submitting the report and actual volumes could be different due to many factors. 2Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent. 3When optional monthly volumes aren't provided, verify Tables 2 and 3 use the same columns for data entry and are reflected properly in Table 4 and make sure to use those same columns to enter the benefits from Planned WSCP Actions. Please see directions on the shortage balancing exercise in the Table Instructions. If a shortage is projected, the supplier is highly recommended to perform a monthly analysis to more accurately identify the time of shortage.June 21, 2022Item #6 Page 20 of 22 Carlsbad Municipal Water District 14 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 3.2 Planned Shortage Response Actions Table 8 below lists the demand reduction and supply augmentation actions from CMWD’s WSCP. These actions are consistent with Level 1 Drought Watch, CMWD’s current level of water use restrictions. CMWD will continue implementing shortage Level 1 actions over the next year, even though it does not anticipate a supply shortage. As documented in Table 6 and Table 7, above, no additional shortage response actions are anticipated to be necessary to meet projected demands should the Next Year be dry. However, CMWD will implement appropriate Level 2 actions from its WSCP as required by the California State Water Resources Control Board regulations promulgated per EO N-7-22. Table 8: Water Conservation Actions (DWR Table 5: Planned Water Shortage Response Actions) July 1,2022 to June 30,2023 Enter Amount (Drop-down List) Select % or Volume Unit Start Month End Month 0 (No Shortage)Landscape - Limit landscape irrigation to specifi Yes 0.9 %July June 0 (No Shortage)CII - Other CII restriction or prohibition Yes 0.2 %July June 0 (No Shortage) Other - Customers must repair leaks, breaks, and malfunctions in a timely manner Yes 0.9 %July June 0 (No Shortage)Expand Public Information Campaign Yes 4.7 %July June 0 (No Shortage)Provide Rebates for Landscape Irrigation Efficiency Yes 4.2 %July June 0 (No Shortage)Landscape - Limit landscape irrigation to specific days No 4.2 %July June 0 (No Shortage)Landscape - Other landscape restriction or prohibition No 1.8 %July June 0 (No Shortage) Other - Customers must repair leaks, breaks, and malfunctions in a timely manner No 0.9 %July June 0 (No Shortage) Water Features - Restrict water use for decorative water features, such as fountains No 5.8 %July June Table 5: Planned Water Shortage Response Actions NOTES: Per EO N-77-22: Agency is implementing Level 1 Response Actions and locally appropriate Level 2 Response Actions throughout the year even when there is no supply shortage. Add additional rows as needed How much is action going to reduce the shortage gap? When is shortage response action anticipated to be implemented?Is action already being implemented? (Y/N) ACTIONS: Demand Reduction, Supply Augmentation, and Other Actions. (Drop-down List) These are the only categories that will be accepted by the WUEdata online submittal tool. Select those that apply. Anticipated Shortage Level Drop-down List of State Standard Levels (1 - 6) and Level 0 (No Shortage) June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 21 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran Carlsbad Municipal Water District 15 Woodard & Curran, Inc. 2022 Water Shortage Assessment Report May 18, 2022 4. REFERENCES California Department of Water Resources. 2022. Annual Water Supply and Demand Assessment Guidance. April. California Department of Water Resources. 2022. Annual Water Supply and Demand Assessment Preliminary Report Submittal (Per EO 7-22) (workshop). April 28. Carlsbad Municipal Water District. 2019. American Water Works Association Water Audit Report for Reporting Year 2018. August. Carlsbad Municipal Water District. 2020. American Water Works Association Water Audit Report for Reporting Year 2019. August. Carlsbad Municipal Water District. 2021. 2020 Urban Water Management Plan. June. Available online at: https://www.carlsbadca.gov/departments/utilities/water. Carlsbad Municipal Water District. 2021. American Water Works Association Water Audit Report for Reporting Year 2020. August. June 21, 2022 Item #6 Page 22 of 22 ~ Woodard &Curran